BAY AREA · PROGRAM COST-EFFECTIVENESS
Specific programs, not entire organizations. Lower dollars per 10 incremental QALYs is better.
YMCA diabetes prevention comes closest at about $2.10 million per better life. Its favorable scenario falls below $100,000, but requires low costs and persistent effects together; it is not the central finding or a verified offer.
These uncertain health-only models omit some economic and dignity benefits. All five lack a verified marginal donation tranche. Bay-only programs remain separate from SF-city recommendations. Positive ranges are joint assumptions, not confidence intervals; null or harm remains possible.
1 · Conditional San Francisco resident cohort; adult program, not children
No leading health-only opportunity under the central model. The report explains the mechanism, contrary evidence and assumptions that could change this conclusion.
Read the research report →2 · Solano County; not San Francisco city
No leading health-only opportunity under the central model. The report explains the mechanism, contrary evidence and assumptions that could change this conclusion.
Read the research report →3 · San Francisco and Marin
No leading health-only opportunity under the central model. The report explains the mechanism, contrary evidence and assumptions that could change this conclusion.
Read the research report →4 · Santa Clara and San Mateo; not San Francisco city
No leading health-only opportunity under the central model. The report explains the mechanism, contrary evidence and assumptions that could change this conclusion.
Read the research report →5 · Alameda County; not San Francisco city
No leading health-only opportunity under the central model. The report explains the mechanism, contrary evidence and assumptions that could change this conclusion.
Read the research report →Five selected large Bay-serving direct-service nonprofits; not an exhaustive largest-five ranking and not an impact ranking. This is not an exhaustive largest-five ranking. Goodwill and other large organizations require separate program reviews.
FY2025 whole-entity expenses are not cash budgets, funding gaps or SF-only expenditure. Donated food is substantial; transfers between food banks can be counted twice, so do not sum these totals.
$179,510,457 in donated food/supplies; remaining expenses still include noncash items. Primary audit · printed pages 5–6 ↗
$115,551,129 in donated food/supplies; remaining expenses still include noncash items. Primary audit · printed pages 5–6 ↗
$128,642,363 in donated food/supplies; remaining expenses still include noncash items. Primary audit · printed pages 5, 9–12 ↗
$90,760,157 in donated food/supplies; remaining expenses still include noncash items. Primary audit · printed pages 6, 8, 12 ↗
No comparable donated-food expense identified. Primary audit · printed pages 6–7, 15 ↗