Coalition for Clean Air

Summary

What do they do? Coalition for Clean Air is a statewide policy organization with concrete LA County projects. Its two local YMCA reports identify filtration and operating improvements, while ports advocacy may affect much broader exposure. A judgment-based partial-health central estimate is about $10 million per 10 LA/Orange QALYs; it is not an observed return or a donor-ready recommendation.

Why we’re interested in this organization:

Current primary local reports identify a finite equipment shortfall and operational problems that a costed intervention could address.
Original recipient accounts and current ports agreement distinguish real costs and existing public commitments from additional donor leverage.
External pollution-health evidence provides a finite survival bridge and useful exposure break-even thresholds.

Our main reservations:

Policy probability, exposed population, dose reduction and marginal funding response are judgment inputs, with no verified next-dollar work plan; zero or harm remains possible.
The actual additional occupied exposure reduction and age mix remain unknown; indoor/outdoor percentages are not a causal personal-dose reduction.
A statewide headquarters and LA ports do not imply all pollution or climate benefit falls in the LA/Orange edition.

What do you get for your dollar? $10.0M per better life: ten additional quality-adjusted life years in Los Angeles. Judgment-based partial-health; full recipient expenses; not all-resource social cost.

Additional annual ambient PM2.5 exposure reduction among an explicitly modeled older cohort; finite discounted all-cause survival differences, without adding overlapping mortality/morbidity or lead/IQ units.

1. What do they do?

Coalition for Clean Air (EIN 23-7120567) is the California recipient, not the international Climate and Clean Air Coalition. General donations support policy, education, community projects and overhead. The current organization page identifies statewide clean-transportation and air-protection work; many historical achievements already belong in the counterfactual.

The AirAware project is EPA-funded with TD Enviro and IQAir. Its 'Los Angeles area' description includes Corona-Norco, which is outside this LA-plus-Orange-county boundary. The other two facilities are verified within LA County: Southeast-Rio Vista in Maywood and Weingart East Los Angeles. No equal one-third project weighting is used.

2. Monitoring and information sharing

The current Southeast-Rio Vista report documents eight purifiers installed in March 2026 versus a room-sizing target of fifteen. Funds, available outlets and wall space constrained placement. The large gym received three units where roughly six were indicated. Higher fan speeds did not materially resolve the large-room filtration problem; the report also identifies doors and indoor sources. Thus seven units is a sizing shortfall, not a verified cash-only waiting list.

The Weingart report reports six units against an eight-unit target. It records an apparently user-changed low setting in one multipurpose room from May 7 until correction on July 16, and possible HVAC problems. Device purchase is only one route: operating settings and source control may be cheaper, but partners may already do them. The report's exact initial installation dates vary internally, so only March 2026 is asserted here.

Both reports are labeled April–June but include July observations or actions. Publication dates are left unknown rather than inferred from the July 1 filenames. Indoor-versus-outdoor reductions, changes in outside pollution and overnight fireworks when buildings may be closed cannot establish additional occupied personal exposure. The next data request is room-level occupied person-hours, age mix, observed concentrations with and without additional devices/settings, lifecycle costs and what EPA/YMCA/IQAir resources will already cover.

3. Qualitative assessment

A large Medicare analysis provides the external PM2.5 mortality benchmark used in the diagnostic: its most conservative full-cohort hazard ratio was 1.06 per 10 micrograms/m³. Causal interpretation still depends on confounder control and transfer across ages and pollutant mixtures. It is not a clinical result for YMCA children or a few hours of indoor exercise. Clinical morbidity, mortality and black-carbon pathways should not be added independently when they describe overlapping exposure or outcomes.

The current ports agreement and September 2026 addendum are already part of the baseline. They establish infrastructure planning and ship/truck incentive design, including a $40 million off-port infrastructure commitment. That is not a CCA grant or measured emissions reduction. The addendum explicitly leaves participation outside ports' control and requires future budgets, targets and tracking metrics.

CCA could improve incentive design, uptake or accountability. But the source does not identify a current extra-dollar work package, its effect on the number of additional cleaner trips, the dirty trips actually displaced, or LA/Orange exposure under competing designs. Transported pollution and truck routes extend into the Inland Empire and beyond; a port address cannot set the beneficiary share to one. A model multiplying an invented small advocacy probability by an invented large health total would hide, rather than resolve, the decisive uncertainty.

4. What do you get for your dollar?

Full gross reported recipient expenses are $1,462,006 (FY2023), $2,150,922 (FY2024) and $2,494,912 (FY2025), averaging $2,035,946.67. These restore $58,761, $61,030 and $42,017 of separately netted direct event costs to Part IX; all program, administration and fundraising costs remain. Current original return

The central model charges five full budgets at the latest annual expense, not only a selected campaign cost. Policy/technical capacity changes the probability of additional transport/freight emissions controls or implementation beyond adopted rules, the current ports agreement and already-agreed public funding. Current activities establish a live mechanism, not the assumed probability or PM reduction. YMCA device gaps and indoor/outdoor percentages do not determine this ambient older-adult model.

Conditional on an additional policy increment, 500,000 older residents experience 0.2 micrograms/m³ less annual ambient PM2.5. A 10% recipient-specific increase in that policy probability over the five-year effort and 50% marginal funding response are judgments, not measured attribution. The funding response allows for reserves and replacement gifts; coalition contribution is already inside the probability change and is not discounted twice. The assumed exposed cohort is alive at implementation, three years after model start.

Using the external HR 1.06 per 10 micrograms/m³, a 0.7 log-risk transport factor, annual baseline mortality hazard 0.035 and survivor utility 0.75, integrate competing all-cause survival curves for ten years and discount at 3%. Half the modeled effect is durable within that window; half is three-year acceleration of an otherwise identical policy. Acceleration retains only the finite survival difference versus delayed implementation. No lifetime QALYs are appended. All inputs beyond the external study estimate and financial accounts are judgments. External clinical study

The $10,000 normalization yields 0.0099687 local QALYs and $10,031,384 per 10. Favorable and poor joint scenarios give $109,019 and $600,601,578,234 per 10; they are sensitivity cases, not confidence limits. Zero and net-harm cases have no finite beneficial price. This is a partial-health estimate: omitted pathways have zero net central contribution by judgment, not proven absence of benefit or harm. Public implementation, regulated-facility, volunteer and partner resources are additional unpriced social costs; this is not an all-resource societal cost-effectiveness estimate.

Model, assumptions and sensitivity

Five full latest-year gross reported recipient budgets, across all programs and support, normalized linearly to a $10,000 ordinary gift. No policy-only cost carveout. External social resources unpriced.

Only health within Los Angeles and Orange counties (FIPS 06037, 06059) is counted. The 500,000 older adults are an analyst-selected conditional exposure cohort, not an office-count allocation or observed participant total. Riverside and San Bernardino outcomes are excluded. CA and LA are nested views of the same recipient; never add them. The statewide 1.5m and local 0.5m central cohorts are separate judgment exposure denominators, not measured shares. allPopulationQalys includes the modeled California branch only.

h1=h0*exp(-ln(HR)/10*transport*pm); rho=ln(1.03); F(a,t)=(1-exp(-a*t))/a. qD=u*(F(h1+rho,T)-F(h0+rho,T)). a=min(A,T). qT=u*(F(h1+rho,a)-F(h0+rho,a)+(1-exp(-(h0-h1)*a))*(exp(-(h1+rho)*a)-exp(-(h1+rho)*T))/(h1+rho)). q=(f*qD+(1-f)*qT)/1.03^L. Qgift=10000/(E*Y)*b*(p*N*q-harm). Price=100000/Qgift if positive. N is cohort alive at implementation; no extra survival-to-implementation multiplier. Costs are constant-real full budgets; no cost discount haircut.

E: 2494912 USD per recipient year (observed). Latest original filing, full reported gross expense. [99025]
Y: 5 budget years (judgment). Explicit finite partial-health modeling judgment; requires empirical refinement.
N: 500000 local older people alive at implementation (judgment). Conditional policy exposure cohort selected for plausibility, not measured reach or demographic allocation.
Nall: 1500000 people in all quantified branches (judgment). Explicit finite partial-health modeling judgment; requires empirical refinement.
pm: 0.2 micrograms/m³ sustained ambient reduction (judgment). Explicit finite partial-health modeling judgment; requires empirical refinement.
p: 0.1 incremental policy probability (judgment). Low incremental probability over five years reflects multiple actors, existing rules and legal reversal; unelicited analyst judgment.
b: 0.5 marginal funding response (judgment). Replacement funding/reserves uncertainty; smaller CBE response reflects materially larger reported unrestricted balances.
HR: 1.06 hazard ratio per 10 micrograms/m³ higher PM2.5 (observed). External older US Medicare cohort estimate; conditional causal interpretation, not a CCA/CBE trial. [wu]
transport: 0.7 multiplier on log HR (judgment). Explicit finite partial-health modeling judgment; requires empirical refinement.
h0: 0.035 annual all-cause mortality hazard (judgment). Explicit finite partial-health modeling judgment; requires empirical refinement.
u: 0.75 utility among survivors (judgment). Explicit finite partial-health modeling judgment; requires empirical refinement.
T: 10 finite years after implementation (judgment). Explicit finite partial-health modeling judgment; requires empirical refinement.
L: 3 years to implementation (judgment). Explicit finite partial-health modeling judgment; requires empirical refinement.
f: 0.5 durable branch share (judgment). Explicit finite partial-health modeling judgment; requires empirical refinement.
A: 3 years of acceleration (judgment). Explicit finite partial-health modeling judgment; requires empirical refinement.
harm: 0 other QALYs lost per five-year effort before b (judgment). Explicit finite partial-health modeling judgment; requires empirical refinement.

Judgment central: partial older-adult air health: Cost: $10K; Los Angeles QALYs: 0.009968713757273838; all-population QALYs: 0.029906141271821514. All nonfinancial parameters except the external HR are explicitly analyst judgment; scenario bundle is not an empirical interval. Full five-year expense denominator; no gift restriction assumed.

Favorable joint assumptions, not a confidence bound: Cost: $10K; Los Angeles QALYs: 0.9172704695976672; all-population QALYs: 3.057568231992224. All nonfinancial parameters except the external HR are explicitly analyst judgment; scenario bundle is not an empirical interval. Full five-year expense denominator; no gift restriction assumed.

Poor joint assumptions, not a confidence bound: Cost: $10K; Los Angeles QALYs: 1.6649972897842015e-7; all-population QALYs: 4.994991869352605e-7. All nonfinancial parameters except the external HR are explicitly analyst judgment; scenario bundle is not an empirical interval. Full five-year expense denominator; no gift restriction assumed.

One-tenth central incremental policy probability: Cost: $10K; Los Angeles QALYs: 0.000996871375727384; all-population QALYs: 0.0029906141271821515. All nonfinancial parameters except the external HR are explicitly analyst judgment; scenario bundle is not an empirical interval. Full five-year expense denominator; no gift restriction assumed.

Strong replacement funding: Cost: $10K; Los Angeles QALYs: 0.001993742751454768; all-population QALYs: 0.005981228254364303. All nonfinancial parameters except the external HR are explicitly analyst judgment; scenario bundle is not an empirical interval. Full five-year expense denominator; no gift restriction assumed.

Entire effect durable within finite ten years: Cost: $10K; Los Angeles QALYs: 0.012917486782518106; all-population QALYs: 0.038752460347554314. All nonfinancial parameters except the external HR are explicitly analyst judgment; scenario bundle is not an empirical interval. Full five-year expense denominator; no gift restriction assumed.

Only three-year acceleration; finite survival comparison: Cost: $10K; Los Angeles QALYs: 0.00701994073202957; all-population QALYs: 0.02105982219608871. All nonfinancial parameters except the external HR are explicitly analyst judgment; scenario bundle is not an empirical interval. Full five-year expense denominator; no gift restriction assumed.

Comparable three-year gross expense mean: Cost: $10K; Los Angeles QALYs: 0.012215970086440174; all-population QALYs: 0.03664791025932052. All nonfinancial parameters except the external HR are explicitly analyst judgment; scenario bundle is not an empirical interval. Full five-year expense denominator; no gift restriction assumed.

No causal clinical transfer: Cost: $10K; Los Angeles QALYs: 0; all-population QALYs: 0. All nonfinancial parameters except the external HR are explicitly analyst judgment; scenario bundle is not an empirical interval. Full five-year expense denominator; no gift restriction assumed.

No additional policy or health effect: Cost: $10K; Los Angeles QALYs: 0; all-population QALYs: 0. All nonfinancial parameters except the external HR are explicitly analyst judgment; scenario bundle is not an empirical interval. Full five-year expense denominator; no gift restriction assumed.

No policy benefit and ten QALYs of other harm per five-year effort: Cost: $10K; Los Angeles QALYs: -0.004008157401944437; all-population QALYs: -0.004008157401944437. All nonfinancial parameters except the external HR are explicitly analyst judgment; scenario bundle is not an empirical interval. Full five-year expense denominator; no gift restriction assumed.

Counterfactual: Existing EPA, IQAir and YMCA devices, already-corrected fan settings, partner HVAC investigation, public plans, current ports agreement and clean-truck rules continue. A new gift cannot retroactively buy March installations or July corrections. The policy alternative must exceed the current baseline. Policy/technical capacity changes the probability of additional transport/freight emissions controls or implementation beyond adopted rules, the current ports agreement and already-agreed public funding. Current activities establish a live mechanism, not the assumed probability or PM reduction. YMCA device gaps and indoor/outdoor percentages do not determine this ambient older-adult model.

Attribution: p is the incremental recipient-specific probability effect of a five-year whole-organization effort versus partner/regulator action without it. b models donation-sensitive capacity after replacement funding, distinct from coalition p. Local linear extrapolation to a small gift is judgment and can fail at lumpy capacity thresholds.

Explicit judgment central, not identified causal charity effectiveness. Wide scenarios include clinical-null, no-policy-effect and harm. This is not a complete portfolio estimate or a reason to override donor diligence.

Sensitivity

Favorable/poor bundles vary several linked assumptions and are not probabilistic credible intervals.
Tenfold reduction in p increases price tenfold.
N and exposure are conditional on reform, not multiplied by total state population or total historic policy benefits.
Timing-only model compares gift and delayed-policy survival through the same finite endpoint.
Zero-net omitted pathways is a provisional central judgment; harms can reverse the result.

Unresolved inputs

Ordinary-gift allocation and feasible quote addressing the nine-unit nominal gap, outlets, wall space, HVAC and ongoing filters/power; remaining EPA, YMCA and IQAir funding.
Unique LA/Orange occupants by age, time in rooms, additional PM reduction versus installed devices and corrected settings, and persistence.
Specific CCA policy-capacity increment and design alternative; cleaner trips induced, dirty trips displaced, lifecycle pollution and LA/Orange exposure.
Finite age-specific utility and survival transfer; harms and displacement; overlapping pollutants.
Public/private implementation costs and withdrawal or reversal counterfactual.

5. Funding and previous grants

Fresh original-account review confirms FY 2025 remains the latest linked return. Part IX expenses are $1,403,245 forFY 2023, $2,089,892 forFY 2024 and $2,452,895 forFY 2025. Separately netted direct event costs are $58,761, $61,030 and $42,017. Gross full-recipient resources therefore total $1,462,006, $2,150,922 and $2,494,912, averaging $2,035,946.67. The FY 2023 source is the organization's posted 'Electronic Filing Only' copy; no filing/publication day is inferred from its preparer date. FY 2023 copy FY 2024 return FY 2025 return

FY 2025 revenue was $2,149,048 after event netting, $303,847 below Part IX expense. It included $373,769 government contributions and $321,468 fee-for-service contracts. Program, management and fundraising expenses were $1,479,082, $647,639 and $326,174 before direct event costs. Net assets were $1,113,614, including $1,036,114 without donor restrictions. Consultants accounted for $974,336; a consultant total does not reveal which incremental policy work is unfunded.

The new reports narrow an actionable question: can an ordinary gift fund technically feasible extra filtration or sustained correct operation beyond existing EPA and YMCA partner plans, and for how many occupied dose-hours? A funder would need the costed plan and subsequent exposure monitoring. An unrestricted donation is not automatically allocated to this gap, and no restricted offer, matching multiplier, transaction or endorsement is implied. For policy, request the specific additional staff/consultant work, alternative funding and measurable implementation target.

Annual expenses

Organization-level spending, including programs, administration and fundraising. The research list averages three comparable, consecutive full fiscal years when available.

FY 2023: $1.5M; Coalition for Clean Air, EIN23-7120567, 12-month period, Accrual Form 990 Part IX plus separately netted direct event expenses; gross reported recipient expenses; fiscal year ending June 30. Source
FY 2024: $2.2M; Coalition for Clean Air, EIN23-7120567, 12-month period, Accrual Form 990 Part IX plus separately netted direct event expenses; gross reported recipient expenses; fiscal year ending June 30. Source
FY 2025: $2.5M; Coalition for Clean Air, EIN23-7120567, 12-month period, Accrual Form 990 Part IX plus separately netted direct event expenses; gross reported recipient expenses; fiscal year ending June 30. Source

6. Sources

Coalition for Clean Air: current mission and projects. Coalition for Clean Air. Published: not stated; retrieved: 2026-09-14.
General individual donation form. Coalition for Clean Air. Published: not stated; retrieved: 2026-09-13.
Form 990 for July 2024–June 2025. Coalition for Clean Air / IRS. Published: not stated; retrieved: 2026-09-14.
Form 990 for July 2023–June 2024, with FY2023 comparison. Coalition for Clean Air / IRS. Published: not stated; retrieved: 2026-09-14.
Financial information and current returns. Coalition for Clean Air. Published: not stated; retrieved: 2026-09-14.
AirAware YMCA project and current report index. Coalition for Clean Air. Published: not stated; retrieved: 2026-09-14.
Evaluating long-term fine particulate exposure and mortality among the elderly. Wu and colleagues / Science Advances. Published: 2020-07-17; retrieved: 2026-09-13.
Current Ports Cooperative Agreement and implementation. South Coast Air Quality Management District. Published: not stated; retrieved: 2026-09-14.
Final Ports Cooperative Agreement addendum, reference date September10,2026. South Coast AQMD / Cities of Los Angeles and Long Beach. Published: not stated; retrieved: 2026-09-14.
Original organization-posted FY2023 Form990 copy. Coalition for Clean Air. Published: not stated; retrieved: 2026-09-14.
Southeast-Rio Vista quarterly report with July actions. AirAware team / Coalition for Clean Air. Published: not stated; retrieved: 2026-09-14.
Weingart quarterly report with July actions. AirAware team / Coalition for Clean Air. Published: not stated; retrieved: 2026-09-14.
Southeast-Rio Vista official location and hours. YMCA of Metropolitan Los Angeles. Published: not stated; retrieved: 2026-09-14.
Weingart East LA official location and hours. YMCA of Metropolitan Los Angeles. Published: not stated; retrieved: 2026-09-14.