GiveBetter x Los Angeles

Climate Resolve

Heat resilience, local cooling and climate policy

Research time: ~7 min on GPT-6 Astra Light + ~13 min on GPT-6.1 Sol
  • Research — reviewed programs, finances and impact evidence.
  • Modeling — estimated costs, QALYs and uncertainty.
  • Source audit — checked claims, assumptions and calculations.

Updated: 2026-10-05

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Summary

What do they do? Climate Resolve works on local climate policy, neighborhood cooling and technical assistance in Los Angeles. It supports indoor-heat protections and installs cool roofs with partners in neighborhoods including Pacoima, Watts and Wilmington. Its broader work includes transportation, wildfire resilience, planning and international cool-surface initiatives.

Why we’re interested in this organization:

  • Cool roofs and effective indoor cooling offer a plausible way to reduce heat exposure in vulnerable neighborhoods, and the organization reports specific installations.

  • Implementation work could help tenants obtain useful protection beyond an adopted rule, while local partnerships connect policy with projects.

  • The current local projects and complete recipient accounts make additional funding, exposure and household costs concrete questions for donors.

Our main reservations:

  • Additional compliance, occupied cooling exposure, utility gains and marginal gift responsiveness remain unmeasured judgments.

  • Energy bills, rent, landlord capital, displacement and roof savings can offset health benefits; household incidence and donor room are unknown.

  • The estimate prices a partial local cooling pathway; broader organizational and nonlocal effects remain unestimated.

What do you get for your dollar? $2.3M per DALY in Los Angeles. DALY is our one-year comparison unit. QALY-based health gains and income-welfare equivalents retain their original assumptions; they are not measured clinical DALYs. Partial local clinical heat relief plus signed net consumption; broader portfolio/world welfare unknown..

Additional effective resident cooling and finite symptom-relieved days; signed net household consumption after tax/benefit/work offsets, energy, rent, user copay, landlord capital-service and counterparties. Surface temperatures, solar forecasts and sector jobs not clinical or cash outcomes.

1. What do they do?

Climate Resolve (EIN 46-4736278) combines policy, implementation, technical assistance and community engagement. Its 2025 year-end account reports more than 40 cool roofs in Pacoima, Watts and Wilmington and local public-space cooling projects. These named places are within LA County. Shine On also works internationally, whose global climate benefits cannot simply be assigned to LA residents.

The original FY 2025 return describes heat standards, county plans, resilience funding, wildfire recovery and neighborhood work. An ordinary gift supports that recipient, not an assumed restricted roof project. The donation route was verified without making a transaction. Original FY 2025 return

2. Monitoring and information sharing

An original county report dated July 14, 2025 supplies a 97,124-unit unincorporated rental inventory in Table 1. It is an estimated inventory, not homes needing cooling. The same report says retrofit needs cannot be quantified from assessor data and notes enforcement, grid and tenant-cost concerns. Its countywide 75% air-conditioning survey is not an observed fraction for those rental units.

A randomized crossover experiment exposed 16 older adults to four eight-hour indoor temperatures. It found greater core-temperature and cardiovascular strain at 31°C and 36°C, with much less change at 26°C. This establishes physiological plausibility, not a QALY effect or mortality rate for an 82°F ordinance. The Pacoima field study concerns thermal conditions around reflective pavement, not randomized clinical outcomes; surface-temperature reductions are not equivalent to residents' whole-day exposure reductions.

Monitor effective cooling during occupied heat-hours, electricity affordability and actual use, resident symptoms and utility, complaint resolution, landlord compliance and displacement. Compare supported buildings with otherwise-similar buildings already receiving county or utility help. For roofs, verify replacement timing, preexisting code/rebate obligations, occupancy, exposure change and coating durability.

3. Qualitative assessment

The county rule applies to unincorporated rentals. Enforcement starts in January 2027, with small-landlord room exceptions and possible extensions. Existing rebates, public assistance and landlord obligations belong in the baseline. The city's amended motion does not establish a final citywide ordinance, so no citywide rental cohort is priced.

The physiological crossover study supports heat-strain plausibility but does not measure the model's clinical utility weights. Roof and solar projections, or pavement surface changes, cannot establish occupied personal exposure or causal household savings. The reported $300,000 savings projection mixes installations without a verified horizon or breakdown and is not assigned to annual roof savings. Additional jobs and broader climate or resilience effects remain unmeasured.

4. What do you get for your dollar?

The conditional central is $2.3M per DALY, meaning ten combined healthy-year equivalents. A $10,000 normalization yields 0.01 clinical QALYs and −0.00271146 consumption-equivalent years, totaling 0.00437311. The initial $1.4M health-only illustration is preserved and reproduces when financial effects are excluded. The change follows signed resource assumptions, not measured clinical deterioration.

The denominator is the full gross annual recipient expense of $3,745,093, including support, fundraising and events once. One year's organizational work is assumed to improve additional implementation beyond existing funding and accelerate protection for three years before the baseline catches up; roofs receive five finite years. The first benefit occurs one year after an October 2026 gift. There is no perpetual law benefit or retrospective purchase of laws or installed roofs.

Clinical inputs retain the initial assumptions: 97,124 inventory units, 25% with meaningful unmet cooling need, 2.5 residents per unit, a ten-point additional coalition implementation effect, 10% recipient causal share and 50% funding responsiveness. Each effective resident receives 20 equivalent relieved days at a utility gain of 0.05. The roof illustration uses 40 units, 50% additionality, three residents, 20 days and utility 0.02. These are priors. More than 40 reported installations in 2025 do not verify a future annual cohort or unrestricted donor queue.

The financial ledger counts households rather than every resident. Unincorporated tenants have a judged $30,000 resource baseline and $100 annual net productivity gain after taxes, benefits and work costs. A positive overlap adjustment halves this to $50. Full annual costs of $120 for energy, $60 for rent and $20 for user participation are jointly deducted before logarithmic valuation, leaving −$150.

Separate landlord households are assumed to own two units each, live locally and have a $60,000 baseline. Per unit, the $60 rent transfer is offset by $120 in annual net capital-service or financing costs from accelerated implementation and $10 maintenance: −$70 per unit, or −$140 per owner. These incidence and residency assumptions are unverified. The $120 is a provisional acceleration opportunity/service cost, not a full retrofit purchase repeatedly charged. An upfront stress replaces it with a one-time $1,000 per unit cost, jointly netted in the first year, yielding $3.8M per DALY. A separate case adds one-time counterfactual expenditure relief when the baseline catches up at year four, yielding $2.0M. Neither amount is an observed cost or refund.

Owner-occupied roof homes in incorporated Pacoima, Watts and Wilmington are geographically separate from the unincorporated policy cohort. Judged annual bill savings of $150 are halved for positive overlap, then full recurring maintenance and operating user costs of $40 are deducted, leaving $35 on a $30,000 baseline. The $40 is not a repeated upfront payment. These figures do not come from the solar savings projection. A separate utility/counterparty ledger judges $20 of net margin or displacement loss per roof across ten owner units with a $60,000 baseline, half local. It does not treat all electricity revenue as profit. All negative costs remain full.

The production income method nets each household's dollars before the logarithm and counts resource equivalents once; clinical QALYs stay separate. Comparison method Clinical-null and failed-thermal cases retain the entire negative financial ledger and have no beneficial price. No additional installation gives true zero unless a gift induces participation costs, which can persist after failure. Unknown incidence retains a health diagnostic with no combined price. Adverse rent, energy or capital costs can outweigh health gains. Other sensitivities test owner concentration, overlap, delay, duration, baseline resources, clinical effects and funding; they are scenarios, not confidence bounds.

Public and partner capital, enforcement, nonlocal counterparty burdens and broader portfolio effects remain unpriced. Donor expense and household welfare losses are distinct; the same capital must not be added twice. This is a partial local comparison, not complete world welfare, a full societal ratio, a lower bound or a donor-ready recommendation.

The counterparty ledger prices the illustrative utility margin loss from roof savings. Additional tenant electricity payments could also create utility margin gains; their net household incidence is unknown and unpriced here, rather than established as zero. A complete resource ledger would net policy-energy gains and roof losses for overlapping utility households in each year before logarithmic valuation. This partial central therefore cannot be described as total household resources or complete world benefit.

Model, assumptions and sensitivity

Full latest annual recipient gross expense normalized to$10K ordinarygift. Public/partner capital, enforcement and service resources remain unpriced outside donor expense; household-incidence losses in welfare counted separately, not double-added to donor numerator.

Only LA/Orange MSA outcomes priced. Policy cohort unincorporated LA County rental units; roofowner cohort named incorporated City ofLA sites, geographically disjoint. Tenant and owner counterparties assumed disjoint households; owner residency/count uncertain. allPopulationQalys equals locally quantified health, not all global effects. Nonlocal utility/owner/public/global effects unpriced, not assumed absent.

effort=gift/C; policyCausal=effort*p*a*b; roofCausal=effort*z. P=U*f. Health=[P*h*H*u/365*A(Tpolicy,delay)*policyCausal + R*hr*Hr*ur/365*A(Troof,delay)*roofCausal]*effectiveCooling −effort*clinicalHarm. A=sum annual discount at delay+i. Tenant net=policyWorkGain*positiveShare−energy−rent−user. Landlord net perhousehold=(rent−capitalService−maintenance)*unitsPerLandlord. Roofowner net=roofSavings*positiveShare−userCopay. Utility counterparty net=−R*marginLossPerRoof/utilityPeople. Shared CG=.5*people*discountedYears*log1p(net/baseline)*causal*local; reportPrice adds once. Clinical values independent of signed financial ledger. Upfront capital stress excludes annual capital120: first-year landlord net combines annual rent/maintenance with one-time1000/unit loss before log. Separate sensitivity adds one-time counterfactual expenditure relief at delay4, not a repeated refund.

C
3745093 USD annual (observed). Fresh original PartIX3,582,432+events162,661. [99025]
gift
10000 USD gift (judgment). Explicit unmeasured finite planning input; cannot be inferred from source activity/solar forecast. [county26]
U
97124 rental units (observed). County rental inventory97,124,not cooling need; original table reused with primary retrieval/hash and indexed confirmation. [county-inventory]
f
0.25 fractions (judgment). Explicit unmeasured finite planning input; cannot be inferred from source activity/solar forecast. [county26]
h
2.5 residents per unit (judgment). Explicit unmeasured finite planning input; cannot be inferred from source activity/solar forecast. [county26]
p
0.1 fractions (judgment). Explicit unmeasured finite planning input; cannot be inferred from source activity/solar forecast. [county26]
a
0.1 fractions (judgment). Explicit unmeasured finite planning input; cannot be inferred from source activity/solar forecast. [county26]
b
0.5 fractions (judgment). Explicit unmeasured finite planning input; cannot be inferred from source activity/solar forecast. [county26]
H
20 days per resident year (judgment). Explicit unmeasured finite planning input; cannot be inferred from source activity/solar forecast. [county26]
u
0.05 clinical utility (judgment). Explicit unmeasured finite planning input; cannot be inferred from source activity/solar forecast. [county26]
R
40 roof installations per annual normalization (judgment). Explicit unmeasured finite planning input; cannot be inferred from source activity/solar forecast. [county26]
z
0.5 fractions (judgment). Explicit unmeasured finite planning input; cannot be inferred from source activity/solar forecast. [county26]
hr
3 residents per unit (judgment). Explicit unmeasured finite planning input; cannot be inferred from source activity/solar forecast. [county26]
Hr
20 days per resident year (judgment). Explicit unmeasured finite planning input; cannot be inferred from source activity/solar forecast. [county26]
ur
0.02 clinical utility (judgment). Explicit unmeasured finite planning input; cannot be inferred from source activity/solar forecast. [county26]
Tpolicy
3 years (judgment). Explicit unmeasured finite planning input; cannot be inferred from source activity/solar forecast. [county26]
Troof
5 years (judgment). Explicit unmeasured finite planning input; cannot be inferred from source activity/solar forecast. [county26]
delay
1 years (judgment). Explicit unmeasured finite planning input; cannot be inferred from source activity/solar forecast. [county26]
effectiveCooling
1 fractions (judgment). Explicit unmeasured finite planning input; cannot be inferred from source activity/solar forecast. [county26]
policyBaseline
30000 USD annual per household (judgment). Explicit unmeasured finite planning input; cannot be inferred from source activity/solar forecast. [county26]
policyWorkGain
100 USD annual per household (judgment). Explicit unmeasured finite planning input; cannot be inferred from source activity/solar forecast. [county26]
positiveShare
0.5 fractions (judgment). Explicit unmeasured finite planning input; cannot be inferred from source activity/solar forecast. [county26]
policyEnergyCost
120 USD annual per household (judgment). Explicit unmeasured finite planning input; cannot be inferred from source activity/solar forecast. [county26]
policyRentCost
60 USD annual per rental unit (judgment). Explicit unmeasured finite planning input; cannot be inferred from source activity/solar forecast. [county26]
policyUserCost
20 USD annual per household (judgment). Explicit unmeasured finite planning input; cannot be inferred from source activity/solar forecast. [county26]
landlordBaseline
60000 USD annual per household (judgment). Explicit unmeasured finite planning input; cannot be inferred from source activity/solar forecast. [county26]
unitsPerLandlord
2 units per landlord (judgment). Explicit unmeasured finite planning input; cannot be inferred from source activity/solar forecast. [county26]
landlordAnnualCapitalCost
120 USD annual per rental unit (judgment). Explicit unmeasured finite planning input; cannot be inferred from source activity/solar forecast. [county26]
landlordMaintenance
10 USD annual per rental unit (judgment). Explicit unmeasured finite planning input; cannot be inferred from source activity/solar forecast. [county26]
roofBaseline
30000 USD annual per household (judgment). Explicit unmeasured finite planning input; cannot be inferred from source activity/solar forecast. [county26]
roofSavings
150 USD annual per household (judgment). Explicit unmeasured finite planning input; cannot be inferred from source activity/solar forecast. [county26]
roofUserCost
40 USD annual per household (judgment). Explicit unmeasured finite planning input; cannot be inferred from source activity/solar forecast. [county26]
utilityPeople
10 household units (judgment). Explicit unmeasured finite planning input; cannot be inferred from source activity/solar forecast. [county26]
utilityBaseline
60000 USD annual per household (judgment). Explicit unmeasured finite planning input; cannot be inferred from source activity/solar forecast. [county26]
utilityLossPerRoof
20 USD annual per roof (judgment). Explicit unmeasured finite planning input; cannot be inferred from source activity/solar forecast. [county26]
utilityLocalShare
0.5 fractions (judgment). Explicit unmeasured finite planning input; cannot be inferred from source activity/solar forecast. [county26]
clinicalHarm
0.00 clinical QALYs per annual budget (judgment). Explicit unmeasured finite planning input; cannot be inferred from source activity/solar forecast. [county26]
inducedPeople
0 household units (judgment). Explicit unmeasured finite planning input; cannot be inferred from source activity/solar forecast. [county26]
inducedCost
0 USD one-time per household (judgment). Explicit unmeasured finite planning input; cannot be inferred from source activity/solar forecast. [county26]
landlordUpfrontCost
0 one-time USD per unit (judgment). Upfront and catchup sensitivity only; not observed capital cost or receipt. [county26]
landlordCatchupRelief
0 one-time USD per unit (judgment). Upfront and catchup sensitivity only; not observed capital cost or receipt. [county26]
landlordReliefDelay
4 years after gift (judgment). Upfront and catchup sensitivity only; not observed capital cost or receipt. [county26]

central: Cost: $10K; Los Angeles health QALYs: 0.01; all-population health QALYs: 0.01. Income-equivalent healthy years: 0.00. Explicit conditional judgment scenario, not confidence bounds or measured marginal returns.

health-only-diagnostic: Cost: $10K; Los Angeles health QALYs: 0.01; all-population health QALYs: 0.01. Income-equivalent healthy years: 0.00. Explicit conditional judgment scenario, not confidence bounds or measured marginal returns.

clinical-null: Cost: $10K; Los Angeles health QALYs: 0.00; all-population health QALYs: 0.00. Income-equivalent healthy years: 0.00. Explicit conditional judgment scenario, not confidence bounds or measured marginal returns.

failed-thermal-response: Cost: $10K; Los Angeles health QALYs: 0.00; all-population health QALYs: 0.00. Income-equivalent healthy years: 0.00. Explicit conditional judgment scenario, not confidence bounds or measured marginal returns.

financial-only: Cost: $10K; Los Angeles health QALYs: 0.00; all-population health QALYs: 0.00. Income-equivalent healthy years: 0.00. Explicit conditional judgment scenario, not confidence bounds or measured marginal returns.

no-additional-installation: Cost: $10K; Los Angeles health QALYs: 0.00; all-population health QALYs: 0.00. Income-equivalent healthy years: 0.00. Explicit conditional judgment scenario, not confidence bounds or measured marginal returns.

true-zero: Cost: $10K; Los Angeles health QALYs: 0.00; all-population health QALYs: 0.00. Income-equivalent healthy years: 0.00. Explicit conditional judgment scenario, not confidence bounds or measured marginal returns.

failed-expansion-induced-loss: Cost: $10K; Los Angeles health QALYs: 0.00; all-population health QALYs: 0.00. Income-equivalent healthy years: 0.00. Explicit conditional judgment scenario, not confidence bounds or measured marginal returns.

unknown-net-incidence: Cost: $10K; Los Angeles health QALYs: 0.01; all-population health QALYs: 0.01. Explicit conditional judgment scenario, not confidence bounds or measured marginal returns.

energy-rent-adverse: Cost: $10K; Los Angeles health QALYs: 0.01; all-population health QALYs: 0.01. Income-equivalent healthy years: -0.01. Explicit conditional judgment scenario, not confidence bounds or measured marginal returns.

half-utility: Cost: $10K; Los Angeles health QALYs: 0.00; all-population health QALYs: 0.00. Income-equivalent healthy years: 0.00. Explicit conditional judgment scenario, not confidence bounds or measured marginal returns.

double-utility: Cost: $10K; Los Angeles health QALYs: 0.01; all-population health QALYs: 0.01. Income-equivalent healthy years: 0.00. Explicit conditional judgment scenario, not confidence bounds or measured marginal returns.

low-policy-attribution: Cost: $10K; Los Angeles health QALYs: 0.00; all-population health QALYs: 0.00. Income-equivalent healthy years: 0.00. Explicit conditional judgment scenario, not confidence bounds or measured marginal returns.

funding-replacement: Cost: $10K; Los Angeles health QALYs: 0.00; all-population health QALYs: 0.00. Income-equivalent healthy years: 0.00. Explicit conditional judgment scenario, not confidence bounds or measured marginal returns.

roof-only: Cost: $10K; Los Angeles health QALYs: 0.00; all-population health QALYs: 0.00. Income-equivalent healthy years: 0.00. Explicit conditional judgment scenario, not confidence bounds or measured marginal returns.

policy-only: Cost: $10K; Los Angeles health QALYs: 0.01; all-population health QALYs: 0.01. Income-equivalent healthy years: 0.00. Explicit conditional judgment scenario, not confidence bounds or measured marginal returns.

five-year-delay: Cost: $10K; Los Angeles health QALYs: 0.01; all-population health QALYs: 0.01. Income-equivalent healthy years: 0.00. Explicit conditional judgment scenario, not confidence bounds or measured marginal returns.

one-year-acceleration: Cost: $10K; Los Angeles health QALYs: 0.00; all-population health QALYs: 0.00. Income-equivalent healthy years: 0.00. Explicit conditional judgment scenario, not confidence bounds or measured marginal returns.

five-year-acceleration: Cost: $10K; Los Angeles health QALYs: 0.01; all-population health QALYs: 0.01. Income-equivalent healthy years: 0.00. Explicit conditional judgment scenario, not confidence bounds or measured marginal returns.

lower-resource-baseline: Cost: $10K; Los Angeles health QALYs: 0.01; all-population health QALYs: 0.01. Income-equivalent healthy years: 0.00. Explicit conditional judgment scenario, not confidence bounds or measured marginal returns.

no-positive-overlap: Cost: $10K; Los Angeles health QALYs: 0.01; all-population health QALYs: 0.01. Income-equivalent healthy years: 0.00. Explicit conditional judgment scenario, not confidence bounds or measured marginal returns.

owner-unit-concentration: Cost: $10K; Los Angeles health QALYs: 0.01; all-population health QALYs: 0.01. Income-equivalent healthy years: 0.00. Explicit conditional judgment scenario, not confidence bounds or measured marginal returns.

clinical-harm: Cost: $10K; Los Angeles health QALYs: -0.01; all-population health QALYs: -0.01. Income-equivalent healthy years: 0.00. Explicit conditional judgment scenario, not confidence bounds or measured marginal returns.

three-year-cost-mean: Cost: $10K; Los Angeles health QALYs: 0.01; all-population health QALYs: 0.01. Income-equivalent healthy years: 0.00. Explicit conditional judgment scenario, not confidence bounds or measured marginal returns.

poor-joint: Cost: $10K; Los Angeles health QALYs: 0.00; all-population health QALYs: 0.00. Income-equivalent healthy years: 0.00. Explicit conditional judgment scenario, not confidence bounds or measured marginal returns.

favorable-joint: Cost: $10K; Los Angeles health QALYs: 0.41; all-population health QALYs: 0.41. Income-equivalent healthy years: -0.05. Explicit conditional judgment scenario, not confidence bounds or measured marginal returns.

upfront-capital: Cost: $10K; Los Angeles health QALYs: 0.01; all-population health QALYs: 0.01. Income-equivalent healthy years: 0.00. Explicit conditional judgment scenario, not confidence bounds or measured marginal returns.

upfront-with-catchup-relief: Cost: $10K; Los Angeles health QALYs: 0.01; all-population health QALYs: 0.01. Income-equivalent healthy years: 0.00. Explicit conditional judgment scenario, not confidence bounds or measured marginal returns.

Counterfactual: Adopted unincorporated county rule and enforcement from 2027, existing inspector/landlord obligations, rebates and county assistance, code-required roof replacement and partner funding continue. No gift retrospectively buys law passage or installed 2025 roofs. One-year work changes additional installations/implementation and finite 3 year acceleration; wider city adoption not presumed.

Attribution: p=.1 additional installation/compliance increment under coalition work, a=.1 recipient causal share, b=.5 gift responsiveness are distinct judgment margins. effectiveCooling gates health only; costs survive clinical/thermal failure. z=.5 combined roof partner/gift/replacement additionality. Full annual recipient cost, not roof-only slice. Proportional small-gift extrapolation lacks priced tranche. Roof user 40 means recurring maintenance/operating user cost, not a repeated upfront payment. Assumed-local landlord residency/disjointness remain unverified; nonlocal owner/counterparty effects are unpriced.

Conditional planning reference retains initial health and adds explicit signed-resource priors. None of household baselines/dollars, unmet need, marginal compliance or QALY utilities is measured by sources. Complete organizational welfare remains unknown; not a lower bound or calibrated expected value. Policy electricity-counterparty gains are unknown and unpriced; modeled roof margin losses do not constitute complete total-resource incidence.

Sensitivity

  • health-only-diagnostic: $1.4M per DALY. Explicit conditional judgment scenario, not confidence bounds or measured marginal returns.
  • clinical-null: no finite positive estimate. Explicit conditional judgment scenario, not confidence bounds or measured marginal returns.
  • failed-thermal-response: no finite positive estimate. Explicit conditional judgment scenario, not confidence bounds or measured marginal returns.
  • financial-only: no finite positive estimate. Explicit conditional judgment scenario, not confidence bounds or measured marginal returns.
  • no-additional-installation: no finite positive estimate. Explicit conditional judgment scenario, not confidence bounds or measured marginal returns.
  • true-zero: no finite positive estimate. Explicit conditional judgment scenario, not confidence bounds or measured marginal returns.
  • failed-expansion-induced-loss: no finite positive estimate. Explicit conditional judgment scenario, not confidence bounds or measured marginal returns.
  • unknown-net-incidence: no finite positive estimate. Explicit conditional judgment scenario, not confidence bounds or measured marginal returns.
  • energy-rent-adverse: no finite positive estimate. Explicit conditional judgment scenario, not confidence bounds or measured marginal returns.
  • half-utility: $12.0M per DALY. Explicit conditional judgment scenario, not confidence bounds or measured marginal returns.
  • double-utility: $873K per DALY. Explicit conditional judgment scenario, not confidence bounds or measured marginal returns.
  • low-policy-attribution: $5.1M per DALY. Explicit conditional judgment scenario, not confidence bounds or measured marginal returns.
  • funding-replacement: $11.4M per DALY. Explicit conditional judgment scenario, not confidence bounds or measured marginal returns.
  • roof-only: $10.8M per DALY. Explicit conditional judgment scenario, not confidence bounds or measured marginal returns.
  • policy-only: $2.9M per DALY. Explicit conditional judgment scenario, not confidence bounds or measured marginal returns.
  • five-year-delay: $2.6M per DALY. Explicit conditional judgment scenario, not confidence bounds or measured marginal returns.
  • one-year-acceleration: $4.7M per DALY. Explicit conditional judgment scenario, not confidence bounds or measured marginal returns.
  • five-year-acceleration: $1.5M per DALY. Explicit conditional judgment scenario, not confidence bounds or measured marginal returns.
  • lower-resource-baseline: $4.5M per DALY. Explicit conditional judgment scenario, not confidence bounds or measured marginal returns.
  • no-positive-overlap: $1.8M per DALY. Explicit conditional judgment scenario, not confidence bounds or measured marginal returns.
  • owner-unit-concentration: $2.3M per DALY. Explicit conditional judgment scenario, not confidence bounds or measured marginal returns.
  • clinical-harm: no finite positive estimate. Explicit conditional judgment scenario, not confidence bounds or measured marginal returns.
  • three-year-cost-mean: $2.2M per DALY. Explicit conditional judgment scenario, not confidence bounds or measured marginal returns.
  • poor-joint: $428.0M per DALY. Explicit conditional judgment scenario, not confidence bounds or measured marginal returns.
  • favorable-joint: $28K per DALY. Explicit conditional judgment scenario, not confidence bounds or measured marginal returns.
  • upfront-capital: $3.8M per DALY. Explicit conditional judgment scenario, not confidence bounds or measured marginal returns.
  • upfront-with-catchup-relief: $2.0M per DALY. Explicit conditional judgment scenario, not confidence bounds or measured marginal returns.

Unresolved inputs

  • Observed unmet-cooling fraction and occupancy for the 97,124 unit inventory.
  • Current ordinary-gift policy staffing and compliance improvement beyond funded public implementation.
  • Clinical utility change per occupied exposure-day, implementation lag, electricity affordability and displacement.
  • Additionality, code baseline, partner finance and durability for new roof cohorts.
  • Marginal wildfire, transportation, global climate and planning outcomes with LA beneficiary attribution.
  • Net utility margin gains from additional cooling electricity and their overlap with roof-savings counterparty households; time-sliced joint ledger required before any combined pricing.

Health and income breakdown

For the modeled $10K: 0.01 health QALYs + 0.00 income-equivalent healthy years in Los Angeles: $2.3M per DALY. Income equivalents are welfare comparisons, not observed QALYs or DALYs.

Method and caveats.

5. Funding and previous grants

Fresh original returns for FY 2023–2025 reconcile gross expenses of $3,311,328, $3,626,028 and $3,745,093, averaging $3,560,816.33: Part IX plus separately netted event costs once. Latest Part IX expense is $3,582,432 and event costs $162,661. Programs were $2,538,921, management $663,918 and fundraising $379,593 before event costs. Net assets of $906,954 include $603,069 restricted and $303,885 unrestricted. The return indicates an independent audit; its actual opinion and control findings were not obtained. These dated figures do not identify a current priced marginal funding gap.

Request current unrestricted staff and contract allocations, additional compliant buildings beyond the 2027 baseline, roof replacement timing, partner finance, a costed donor tranche and monitoring of household bills, capital costs and displacement. Existing rebates, county enforcement and developer or utility-funded installations remain alternatives. No restricted best-program donation or fundraising outreach is implied.

Annual expenses

Organization-level spending, including programs, administration and fundraising. The research list averages three comparable, consecutive full fiscal years when available.

  • FY 2023: $3.3M; Climate Resolve, EIN46-4736278, 12-month period, Accrual Form 990 Part IX plus separately netted direct event expenses; gross recipient resources; fiscal year ending June 30. Source
  • FY 2024: $3.6M; Climate Resolve, EIN46-4736278, 12-month period, Accrual Form 990 Part IX plus separately netted direct event expenses; gross recipient resources; fiscal year ending June 30. Source
  • FY 2025: $3.7M; Climate Resolve, EIN46-4736278, 12-month period, Accrual Form 990 Part IX plus separately netted direct event expenses; gross recipient resources; fiscal year ending June 30. Source

6. Sources

  1. Current portfolio. Climate Resolve. Published: not stated; retrieved: 2026-09-14.
  2. 2025 year-end activities. Climate Resolve. Published: not stated; retrieved: 2026-10-05.
  3. Shine On local/global scope. Climate Resolve. Published: not stated; retrieved: 2026-10-05.
  4. Original FY2025 Form 990. Climate Resolve / IRS via ProPublica. Published: 2026-03-11; retrieved: 2026-10-05.
  5. Original FY2024 Form 990. Climate Resolve / IRS via ProPublica. Published: 2025-05-08; retrieved: 2026-10-05.
  6. Original FY2023 Form 990. Climate Resolve / IRS via ProPublica. Published: 2024-02-04; retrieved: 2026-10-05.
  7. July 2025 county heat policy and rental inventory, Table 1. LA County Department of Public Health. Published: 2025-07-14; retrieved: 2026-09-14.
  8. March 2026 tenant indoor-temperature guidance. LA County Department of Public Health. Published: not stated; retrieved: 2026-09-14.
  9. August 2025 ordinance proposal and implementation resources. LA County Department of Public Health. Published: 2025-08-05; retrieved: 2026-09-14.
  10. Climate Resolve February 2026 city heat-policy submission. Climate Resolve via LA City Clerk. Published: 2026-02-17; retrieved: 2026-09-14.
  11. Official city action on amended reports, not a final ordinance. Los Angeles City Clerk. Published: 2026-02-17; retrieved: 2026-09-14.
  12. Randomized indoor-heat physiological crossover trial. Meade et al., Environmental Health Perspectives. Published: 2024-02-08; retrieved: 2026-09-14.
  13. Pacoima observational thermal field study. Taha, Environmental Research Communications. Published: not stated; retrieved: 2026-09-14.
  14. Ordinary recipient donation route. Climate Resolve. Published: not stated; retrieved: 2026-10-05.
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