{"edition":"los-angeles","organization":"Climate Resolve","organizationId":"org:climate-resolve","boundaryVersion":"OMB-23-01-2023-07-21","updated":"2026-10-05","display":{"metric":{"id":"daly-equivalent","years":1,"label":"DALY","priceLabel":"$ / DALY"},"priceUSD":2286700.806294294,"canonicalPriceUSDPerTenEquivalentYears":22867008.06294294,"conversion":"display only; QALYs and income equivalents are not measured clinical DALYs"},"listDisplay":{"metric":{"id":"daly-equivalent","years":1,"label":"DALY","priceLabel":"$ / DALY"},"priceUSD":2286700.806294294,"canonicalPriceUSDPerTenEquivalentYears":22867008.06294294,"conversion":"display only; QALYs and income equivalents are not measured clinical DALYs"},"model":{"version":"la-climate-resolve-signed-heat-v3","costScope":"Full latest annual recipient gross expense normalized to$10 k ordinarygift. Public/partner capital, enforcement and service resources remain unpriced outside donor expense; household-incidence losses in welfare counted separately, not double-added to donor numerator.","geographicAttribution":"Only LA/Orange MSA outcomes priced. Policy cohort unincorporated LA County rental units; roofowner cohort named incorporated City ofLA sites, geographically disjoint. Tenant and owner counterparties assumed disjoint households; owner residency/count uncertain. allPopulationQalys equals locally quantified health, not all global effects. Nonlocal utility/owner/public/global effects unpriced, not assumed absent.","formula":"effort=gift/C; policyCausal=effort*p*a*b; roofCausal=effort*z. P=U*f. Health=[P*h*H*u/365*A(Tpolicy,delay)*policyCausal + R*hr*Hr*ur/365*A(Troof,delay)*roofCausal]*effectiveCooling −effort*clinicalHarm. A=sum annual discount at delay+i. Tenant net=policyWorkGain*positiveShare−energy−rent−user. Landlord net perhousehold=(rent−capitalService−maintenance)*unitsPerLandlord. Roofowner net=roofSavings*positiveShare−userCopay. Utility counterparty net=−R*marginLossPerRoof/utilityPeople. Shared CG=.5*people*discountedYears*log1p(net/baseline)*causal*local; reportPrice adds once. Clinical values independent of signed financial ledger. Upfront capital stress excludes annual capital120: first-year landlord net combines annual rent/maintenance with one-time1000/unit loss before log. Separate sensitivity adds one-time counterfactual expenditure relief at delay4, not a repeated refund.","counterfactual":"Adopted unincorporated county rule and enforcement from 2027, existing inspector/landlord obligations, rebates and county assistance, code-required roof replacement and partner funding continue. No gift retrospectively buys law passage or installed 2025 roofs. One-year work changes additional installations/implementation and finite 3 year acceleration; wider city adoption not presumed.","attribution":"p=.1 additional installation/compliance increment under coalition work, a=.1 recipient causal share, b=.5 gift responsiveness are distinct judgment margins. effectiveCooling gates health only; costs survive clinical/thermal failure. z=.5 combined roof partner/gift/replacement additionality. Full annual recipient cost, not roof-only slice. Proportional small-gift extrapolation lacks priced tranche. Roof user 40 means recurring maintenance/operating user cost, not a repeated upfront payment. Assumed-local landlord residency/disjointness remain unverified; nonlocal owner/counterparty effects are unpriced.","uncertainty":"Conditional planning reference retains initial health and adds explicit signed-resource priors. None of household baselines/dollars, unmet need, marginal compliance or QALY utilities is measured by sources. Complete organizational welfare remains unknown; not a lower bound or calibrated expected value. Policy electricity-counterparty gains are unknown and unpriced; modeled roof margin losses do not constitute complete total-resource incidence.","nativeOutcomes":"Additional effective resident cooling and finite symptom-relieved days; signed net household consumption after tax/benefit/work offsets, energy, rent, user copay, landlord capital-service and counterparties. Surface temperatures, solar forecasts and sector jobs not clinical or cash outcomes.","inputs":[{"name":"C","value":3745093,"unit":"USD annual","basis":"observed","rationale":"Fresh original PartIX3,582,432+events162,661.","sourceIds":["99025"]},{"name":"gift","value":10000,"unit":"USD gift","basis":"judgment","rationale":"Explicit unmeasured finite planning input; cannot be inferred from source activity/solar forecast.","sourceIds":["county26"]},{"name":"U","value":97124,"unit":"rental units","basis":"observed","rationale":"County rental inventory97,124,not cooling need; original table reused with primary retrieval/hash and indexed confirmation.","sourceIds":["county-inventory"]},{"name":"f","value":0.25,"unit":"fractions","basis":"judgment","rationale":"Explicit unmeasured finite planning input; cannot be inferred from source activity/solar forecast.","sourceIds":["county26"]},{"name":"h","value":2.5,"unit":"residents per unit","basis":"judgment","rationale":"Explicit unmeasured finite planning input; cannot be inferred from source activity/solar forecast.","sourceIds":["county26"]},{"name":"p","value":0.1,"unit":"fractions","basis":"judgment","rationale":"Explicit unmeasured finite planning input; cannot be inferred from source activity/solar forecast.","sourceIds":["county26"]},{"name":"a","value":0.1,"unit":"fractions","basis":"judgment","rationale":"Explicit unmeasured finite planning input; cannot be inferred from source activity/solar forecast.","sourceIds":["county26"]},{"name":"b","value":0.5,"unit":"fractions","basis":"judgment","rationale":"Explicit unmeasured finite planning input; cannot be inferred from source activity/solar forecast.","sourceIds":["county26"]},{"name":"H","value":20,"unit":"days per resident year","basis":"judgment","rationale":"Explicit unmeasured finite planning input; cannot be inferred from source activity/solar forecast.","sourceIds":["county26"]},{"name":"u","value":0.05,"unit":"clinical utility","basis":"judgment","rationale":"Explicit unmeasured finite planning input; cannot be inferred from source activity/solar forecast.","sourceIds":["county26"]},{"name":"R","value":40,"unit":"roof installations per annual normalization","basis":"judgment","rationale":"Explicit unmeasured finite planning input; cannot be inferred from source activity/solar forecast.","sourceIds":["county26"]},{"name":"z","value":0.5,"unit":"fractions","basis":"judgment","rationale":"Explicit unmeasured finite planning input; cannot be inferred from source activity/solar forecast.","sourceIds":["county26"]},{"name":"hr","value":3,"unit":"residents per unit","basis":"judgment","rationale":"Explicit unmeasured finite planning input; cannot be inferred from source activity/solar forecast.","sourceIds":["county26"]},{"name":"Hr","value":20,"unit":"days per resident year","basis":"judgment","rationale":"Explicit unmeasured finite planning input; cannot be inferred from source activity/solar forecast.","sourceIds":["county26"]},{"name":"ur","value":0.02,"unit":"clinical utility","basis":"judgment","rationale":"Explicit unmeasured finite planning input; cannot be inferred from source activity/solar forecast.","sourceIds":["county26"]},{"name":"Tpolicy","value":3,"unit":"years","basis":"judgment","rationale":"Explicit unmeasured finite planning input; cannot be inferred from source activity/solar forecast.","sourceIds":["county26"]},{"name":"Troof","value":5,"unit":"years","basis":"judgment","rationale":"Explicit unmeasured finite planning input; cannot be inferred from source activity/solar forecast.","sourceIds":["county26"]},{"name":"delay","value":1,"unit":"years","basis":"judgment","rationale":"Explicit unmeasured finite planning input; cannot be inferred from source activity/solar forecast.","sourceIds":["county26"]},{"name":"effectiveCooling","value":1,"unit":"fractions","basis":"judgment","rationale":"Explicit unmeasured finite planning input; cannot be inferred from source activity/solar forecast.","sourceIds":["county26"]},{"name":"policyBaseline","value":30000,"unit":"USD annual per household","basis":"judgment","rationale":"Explicit unmeasured finite planning input; cannot be inferred from source activity/solar forecast.","sourceIds":["county26"]},{"name":"policyWorkGain","value":100,"unit":"USD annual per household","basis":"judgment","rationale":"Explicit unmeasured finite planning input; cannot be inferred from source activity/solar forecast.","sourceIds":["county26"]},{"name":"positiveShare","value":0.5,"unit":"fractions","basis":"judgment","rationale":"Explicit unmeasured finite planning input; cannot be inferred from source activity/solar forecast.","sourceIds":["county26"]},{"name":"policyEnergyCost","value":120,"unit":"USD annual per household","basis":"judgment","rationale":"Explicit unmeasured finite planning input; cannot be inferred from source activity/solar forecast.","sourceIds":["county26"]},{"name":"policyRentCost","value":60,"unit":"USD annual per rental unit","basis":"judgment","rationale":"Explicit unmeasured finite planning input; cannot be inferred from source activity/solar forecast.","sourceIds":["county26"]},{"name":"policyUserCost","value":20,"unit":"USD annual per household","basis":"judgment","rationale":"Explicit unmeasured finite planning input; cannot be inferred from source activity/solar forecast.","sourceIds":["county26"]},{"name":"landlordBaseline","value":60000,"unit":"USD annual per household","basis":"judgment","rationale":"Explicit unmeasured finite planning input; cannot be inferred from source activity/solar forecast.","sourceIds":["county26"]},{"name":"unitsPerLandlord","value":2,"unit":"units per landlord","basis":"judgment","rationale":"Explicit unmeasured finite planning input; cannot be inferred from source activity/solar forecast.","sourceIds":["county26"]},{"name":"landlordAnnualCapitalCost","value":120,"unit":"USD annual per rental unit","basis":"judgment","rationale":"Explicit unmeasured finite planning input; cannot be inferred from source activity/solar forecast.","sourceIds":["county26"]},{"name":"landlordMaintenance","value":10,"unit":"USD annual per rental unit","basis":"judgment","rationale":"Explicit unmeasured finite planning input; cannot be inferred from source activity/solar forecast.","sourceIds":["county26"]},{"name":"roofBaseline","value":30000,"unit":"USD annual per household","basis":"judgment","rationale":"Explicit unmeasured finite planning input; cannot be inferred from source activity/solar forecast.","sourceIds":["county26"]},{"name":"roofSavings","value":150,"unit":"USD annual per household","basis":"judgment","rationale":"Explicit unmeasured finite planning input; cannot be inferred from source activity/solar forecast.","sourceIds":["county26"]},{"name":"roofUserCost","value":40,"unit":"USD annual per household","basis":"judgment","rationale":"Explicit unmeasured finite planning input; cannot be inferred from source activity/solar forecast.","sourceIds":["county26"]},{"name":"utilityPeople","value":10,"unit":"household units","basis":"judgment","rationale":"Explicit unmeasured finite planning input; cannot be inferred from source activity/solar forecast.","sourceIds":["county26"]},{"name":"utilityBaseline","value":60000,"unit":"USD annual per household","basis":"judgment","rationale":"Explicit unmeasured finite planning input; cannot be inferred from source activity/solar forecast.","sourceIds":["county26"]},{"name":"utilityLossPerRoof","value":20,"unit":"USD annual per roof","basis":"judgment","rationale":"Explicit unmeasured finite planning input; cannot be inferred from source activity/solar forecast.","sourceIds":["county26"]},{"name":"utilityLocalShare","value":0.5,"unit":"fractions","basis":"judgment","rationale":"Explicit unmeasured finite planning input; cannot be inferred from source activity/solar forecast.","sourceIds":["county26"]},{"name":"clinicalHarm","value":0,"unit":"clinical QALYs per annual budget","basis":"judgment","rationale":"Explicit unmeasured finite planning input; cannot be inferred from source activity/solar forecast.","sourceIds":["county26"]},{"name":"inducedPeople","value":0,"unit":"household units","basis":"judgment","rationale":"Explicit unmeasured finite planning input; cannot be inferred from source activity/solar forecast.","sourceIds":["county26"]},{"name":"inducedCost","value":0,"unit":"USD one-time per household","basis":"judgment","rationale":"Explicit unmeasured finite planning input; cannot be inferred from source activity/solar forecast.","sourceIds":["county26"]},{"name":"landlordUpfrontCost","value":0,"unit":"one-time USD per unit","basis":"judgment","rationale":"Upfront and catchup sensitivity only; not observed capital cost or receipt.","sourceIds":["county26"]},{"name":"landlordCatchupRelief","value":0,"unit":"one-time USD per unit","basis":"judgment","rationale":"Upfront and catchup sensitivity only; not observed capital cost or receipt.","sourceIds":["county26"]},{"name":"landlordReliefDelay","value":4,"unit":"years after gift","basis":"judgment","rationale":"Upfront and catchup sensitivity only; not observed capital cost or receipt.","sourceIds":["county26"]}],"scenarios":[{"costUSD":10000,"editionQalys":0.007084571778014451,"allPopulationQalys":0.007084571778014451,"policyQalys":0.0062805024758989525,"roofQalys":0.0008040693021154983,"incomePathways":[{"people":24281,"annualIncomeBeforeUSD":30000,"annualIncomeGainUSD":-150,"years":3,"delayYears":1,"discountRate":0.03,"causalShare":0.000013350803304484029,"editionShare":1,"independentShare":1,"rationale":"Unincorporated tenant households: jointly net after-tax/benefit/work-cost productivity positive after overlap minus full energy,rent and user costs before log. Counts and dollars are judgments; financial ledger independent of clinical benefit.","counterfactual":"Existing adopted county2027rule,landlord obligations,utility rebates,public/partner support and code-compliant roof replacement continue. Only donor-induced acceleration/additional installations counted.","sourceIds":["cg","county26","year25"]},{"people":12140.5,"annualIncomeBeforeUSD":60000,"annualIncomeGainUSD":-140,"years":1,"delayYears":1,"discountRate":0.03,"causalShare":0.000013350803304484029,"editionShare":1,"independentShare":1,"rationale":"Disjoint assumed-local landlord household: annual rent gain minus full capital-service/maintenance; first-year upfront stress jointly netted once,not repeated. Annual capital120 excluded in upfront cases. Local ownership/disjointness are unverified priors.","counterfactual":"Existing adopted county2027rule,landlord obligations,utility rebates,public/partner support and code-compliant roof replacement continue. Only donor-induced acceleration/additional installations counted.","sourceIds":["cg","county26","year25"]},{"people":12140.5,"annualIncomeBeforeUSD":60000,"annualIncomeGainUSD":-140,"years":1,"delayYears":2,"discountRate":0.03,"causalShare":0.000013350803304484029,"editionShare":1,"independentShare":1,"rationale":"Disjoint assumed-local landlord household: annual rent gain minus full capital-service/maintenance; first-year upfront stress jointly netted once,not repeated. Annual capital120 excluded in upfront cases. Local ownership/disjointness are unverified priors.","counterfactual":"Existing adopted county2027rule,landlord obligations,utility rebates,public/partner support and code-compliant roof replacement continue. Only donor-induced acceleration/additional installations counted.","sourceIds":["cg","county26","year25"]},{"people":12140.5,"annualIncomeBeforeUSD":60000,"annualIncomeGainUSD":-140,"years":1,"delayYears":3,"discountRate":0.03,"causalShare":0.000013350803304484029,"editionShare":1,"independentShare":1,"rationale":"Disjoint assumed-local landlord household: annual rent gain minus full capital-service/maintenance; first-year upfront stress jointly netted once,not repeated. Annual capital120 excluded in upfront cases. Local ownership/disjointness are unverified priors.","counterfactual":"Existing adopted county2027rule,landlord obligations,utility rebates,public/partner support and code-compliant roof replacement continue. Only donor-induced acceleration/additional installations counted.","sourceIds":["cg","county26","year25"]},{"people":40,"annualIncomeBeforeUSD":30000,"annualIncomeGainUSD":35,"years":5,"delayYears":1,"discountRate":0.03,"causalShare":0.0013350803304484028,"editionShare":1,"independentShare":1,"rationale":"Incorporated Pacoima/Watts/Wilmington owner-occupant roof households: bill savings positive after overlap minus full extra homeowner capital/maintenance copayment; disjoint from unincorporated tenant/landlord ledger. No solar$300k projection used as annual roof savings.","counterfactual":"Existing adopted county2027rule,landlord obligations,utility rebates,public/partner support and code-compliant roof replacement continue. Only donor-induced acceleration/additional installations counted.","sourceIds":["cg","county26","year25"]},{"people":10,"annualIncomeBeforeUSD":60000,"annualIncomeGainUSD":-80,"years":5,"delayYears":1,"discountRate":0.03,"causalShare":0.0013350803304484028,"editionShare":0.5,"independentShare":1,"rationale":"Disjoint local utility/counterparty owner units: net margin/displacement loss,not full utility revenue or production cost. All loss retained; incidence/local share are judgments. Nonlocal effects unpriced,not zero world harm.","counterfactual":"Existing adopted county2027rule,landlord obligations,utility rebates,public/partner support and code-compliant roof replacement continue. Only donor-induced acceleration/additional installations counted.","sourceIds":["cg","county26","year25"]}],"incomeUnknown":false,"incomeEquivalentYears":-0.002711459225434619,"combinedEquivalentYears":0.004373112552579832,"inputs":{"landlordUpfrontCost":0,"landlordCatchupRelief":0,"landlordReliefDelay":4,"C":3745093,"gift":10000,"U":97124,"f":0.25,"h":2.5,"p":0.1,"a":0.1,"b":0.5,"H":20,"u":0.05,"R":40,"z":0.5,"hr":3,"Hr":20,"ur":0.02,"Tpolicy":3,"Troof":5,"delay":1,"effectiveCooling":1,"policyBaseline":30000,"policyWorkGain":100,"positiveShare":0.5,"policyEnergyCost":120,"policyRentCost":60,"policyUserCost":20,"landlordBaseline":60000,"unitsPerLandlord":2,"landlordAnnualCapitalCost":120,"landlordMaintenance":10,"roofBaseline":30000,"roofSavings":150,"roofUserCost":40,"utilityPeople":10,"utilityBaseline":60000,"utilityLossPerRoof":20,"utilityLocalShare":0.5,"clinicalHarm":0,"inducedPeople":0,"inducedCost":0},"costPer10Qalys":22867008.06294294,"id":"central","label":"central","assumptions":"Explicit conditional judgment scenario, not confidence bounds or measured marginal returns."},{"costUSD":10000,"editionQalys":0.007084571778014451,"allPopulationQalys":0.007084571778014451,"policyQalys":0.0062805024758989525,"roofQalys":0.0008040693021154983,"incomePathways":[{"people":24281,"annualIncomeBeforeUSD":30000,"annualIncomeGainUSD":0,"years":3,"delayYears":1,"discountRate":0.03,"causalShare":0.000013350803304484029,"editionShare":1,"independentShare":1,"rationale":"Unincorporated tenant households: jointly net after-tax/benefit/work-cost productivity positive after overlap minus full energy,rent and user costs before log. Counts and dollars are judgments; financial ledger independent of clinical benefit.","counterfactual":"Existing adopted county2027rule,landlord obligations,utility rebates,public/partner support and code-compliant roof replacement continue. Only donor-induced acceleration/additional installations counted.","sourceIds":["cg","county26","year25"]},{"people":12140.5,"annualIncomeBeforeUSD":60000,"annualIncomeGainUSD":0,"years":1,"delayYears":1,"discountRate":0.03,"causalShare":0.000013350803304484029,"editionShare":1,"independentShare":1,"rationale":"Disjoint assumed-local landlord household: annual rent gain minus full capital-service/maintenance; first-year upfront stress jointly netted once,not repeated. Annual capital120 excluded in upfront cases. Local ownership/disjointness are unverified priors.","counterfactual":"Existing adopted county2027rule,landlord obligations,utility rebates,public/partner support and code-compliant roof replacement continue. Only donor-induced acceleration/additional installations counted.","sourceIds":["cg","county26","year25"]},{"people":12140.5,"annualIncomeBeforeUSD":60000,"annualIncomeGainUSD":0,"years":1,"delayYears":2,"discountRate":0.03,"causalShare":0.000013350803304484029,"editionShare":1,"independentShare":1,"rationale":"Disjoint assumed-local landlord household: annual rent gain minus full capital-service/maintenance; first-year upfront stress jointly netted once,not repeated. Annual capital120 excluded in upfront cases. Local ownership/disjointness are unverified priors.","counterfactual":"Existing adopted county2027rule,landlord obligations,utility rebates,public/partner support and code-compliant roof replacement continue. Only donor-induced acceleration/additional installations counted.","sourceIds":["cg","county26","year25"]},{"people":12140.5,"annualIncomeBeforeUSD":60000,"annualIncomeGainUSD":0,"years":1,"delayYears":3,"discountRate":0.03,"causalShare":0.000013350803304484029,"editionShare":1,"independentShare":1,"rationale":"Disjoint assumed-local landlord household: annual rent gain minus full capital-service/maintenance; first-year upfront stress jointly netted once,not repeated. Annual capital120 excluded in upfront cases. Local ownership/disjointness are unverified priors.","counterfactual":"Existing adopted county2027rule,landlord obligations,utility rebates,public/partner support and code-compliant roof replacement continue. Only donor-induced acceleration/additional installations counted.","sourceIds":["cg","county26","year25"]},{"people":40,"annualIncomeBeforeUSD":30000,"annualIncomeGainUSD":0,"years":5,"delayYears":1,"discountRate":0.03,"causalShare":0.0013350803304484028,"editionShare":1,"independentShare":1,"rationale":"Incorporated Pacoima/Watts/Wilmington owner-occupant roof households: bill savings positive after overlap minus full extra homeowner capital/maintenance copayment; disjoint from unincorporated tenant/landlord ledger. No solar$300k projection used as annual roof savings.","counterfactual":"Existing adopted county2027rule,landlord obligations,utility rebates,public/partner support and code-compliant roof replacement continue. Only donor-induced acceleration/additional installations counted.","sourceIds":["cg","county26","year25"]},{"people":10,"annualIncomeBeforeUSD":60000,"annualIncomeGainUSD":0,"years":5,"delayYears":1,"discountRate":0.03,"causalShare":0.0013350803304484028,"editionShare":0.5,"independentShare":1,"rationale":"Disjoint local utility/counterparty owner units: net margin/displacement loss,not full utility revenue or production cost. All loss retained; incidence/local share are judgments. Nonlocal effects unpriced,not zero world harm.","counterfactual":"Existing adopted county2027rule,landlord obligations,utility rebates,public/partner support and code-compliant roof replacement continue. Only donor-induced acceleration/additional installations counted.","sourceIds":["cg","county26","year25"]}],"incomeUnknown":false,"incomeEquivalentYears":0,"combinedEquivalentYears":0.007084571778014451,"inputs":{"landlordUpfrontCost":0,"landlordCatchupRelief":0,"landlordReliefDelay":4,"C":3745093,"gift":10000,"U":97124,"f":0.25,"h":2.5,"p":0.1,"a":0.1,"b":0.5,"H":20,"u":0.05,"R":40,"z":0.5,"hr":3,"Hr":20,"ur":0.02,"Tpolicy":3,"Troof":5,"delay":1,"effectiveCooling":1,"policyBaseline":30000,"policyWorkGain":0,"positiveShare":0.5,"policyEnergyCost":0,"policyRentCost":0,"policyUserCost":0,"landlordBaseline":60000,"unitsPerLandlord":2,"landlordAnnualCapitalCost":0,"landlordMaintenance":0,"roofBaseline":30000,"roofSavings":0,"roofUserCost":0,"utilityPeople":10,"utilityBaseline":60000,"utilityLossPerRoof":0,"utilityLocalShare":0.5,"clinicalHarm":0,"inducedPeople":0,"inducedCost":0},"costPer10Qalys":14115179.171496287,"id":"health-only-diagnostic","label":"health-only-diagnostic","assumptions":"Explicit conditional judgment scenario, not confidence bounds or measured marginal returns."},{"costUSD":10000,"editionQalys":0,"allPopulationQalys":0,"policyQalys":0,"roofQalys":0,"incomePathways":[{"people":24281,"annualIncomeBeforeUSD":30000,"annualIncomeGainUSD":-150,"years":3,"delayYears":1,"discountRate":0.03,"causalShare":0.000013350803304484029,"editionShare":1,"independentShare":1,"rationale":"Unincorporated tenant households: jointly net after-tax/benefit/work-cost productivity positive after overlap minus full energy,rent and user costs before log. Counts and dollars are judgments; financial ledger independent of clinical benefit.","counterfactual":"Existing adopted county2027rule,landlord obligations,utility rebates,public/partner support and code-compliant roof replacement continue. Only donor-induced acceleration/additional installations counted.","sourceIds":["cg","county26","year25"]},{"people":12140.5,"annualIncomeBeforeUSD":60000,"annualIncomeGainUSD":-140,"years":1,"delayYears":1,"discountRate":0.03,"causalShare":0.000013350803304484029,"editionShare":1,"independentShare":1,"rationale":"Disjoint assumed-local landlord household: annual rent gain minus full capital-service/maintenance; first-year upfront stress jointly netted once,not repeated. Annual capital120 excluded in upfront cases. Local ownership/disjointness are unverified priors.","counterfactual":"Existing adopted county2027rule,landlord obligations,utility rebates,public/partner support and code-compliant roof replacement continue. Only donor-induced acceleration/additional installations counted.","sourceIds":["cg","county26","year25"]},{"people":12140.5,"annualIncomeBeforeUSD":60000,"annualIncomeGainUSD":-140,"years":1,"delayYears":2,"discountRate":0.03,"causalShare":0.000013350803304484029,"editionShare":1,"independentShare":1,"rationale":"Disjoint assumed-local landlord household: annual rent gain minus full capital-service/maintenance; first-year upfront stress jointly netted once,not repeated. Annual capital120 excluded in upfront cases. Local ownership/disjointness are unverified priors.","counterfactual":"Existing adopted county2027rule,landlord obligations,utility rebates,public/partner support and code-compliant roof replacement continue. Only donor-induced acceleration/additional installations counted.","sourceIds":["cg","county26","year25"]},{"people":12140.5,"annualIncomeBeforeUSD":60000,"annualIncomeGainUSD":-140,"years":1,"delayYears":3,"discountRate":0.03,"causalShare":0.000013350803304484029,"editionShare":1,"independentShare":1,"rationale":"Disjoint assumed-local landlord household: annual rent gain minus full capital-service/maintenance; first-year upfront stress jointly netted once,not repeated. Annual capital120 excluded in upfront cases. Local ownership/disjointness are unverified priors.","counterfactual":"Existing adopted county2027rule,landlord obligations,utility rebates,public/partner support and code-compliant roof replacement continue. Only donor-induced acceleration/additional installations counted.","sourceIds":["cg","county26","year25"]},{"people":40,"annualIncomeBeforeUSD":30000,"annualIncomeGainUSD":35,"years":5,"delayYears":1,"discountRate":0.03,"causalShare":0.0013350803304484028,"editionShare":1,"independentShare":1,"rationale":"Incorporated Pacoima/Watts/Wilmington owner-occupant roof households: bill savings positive after overlap minus full extra homeowner capital/maintenance copayment; disjoint from unincorporated tenant/landlord ledger. No solar$300k projection used as annual roof savings.","counterfactual":"Existing adopted county2027rule,landlord obligations,utility rebates,public/partner support and code-compliant roof replacement continue. Only donor-induced acceleration/additional installations counted.","sourceIds":["cg","county26","year25"]},{"people":10,"annualIncomeBeforeUSD":60000,"annualIncomeGainUSD":-80,"years":5,"delayYears":1,"discountRate":0.03,"causalShare":0.0013350803304484028,"editionShare":0.5,"independentShare":1,"rationale":"Disjoint local utility/counterparty owner units: net margin/displacement loss,not full utility revenue or production cost. All loss retained; incidence/local share are judgments. Nonlocal effects unpriced,not zero world harm.","counterfactual":"Existing adopted county2027rule,landlord obligations,utility rebates,public/partner support and code-compliant roof replacement continue. 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Only donor-induced acceleration/additional installations counted.","sourceIds":["cg","county26","year25"]},{"people":12140.5,"annualIncomeBeforeUSD":60000,"annualIncomeGainUSD":-140,"years":1,"delayYears":3,"discountRate":0.03,"causalShare":0.000013350803304484029,"editionShare":1,"independentShare":1,"rationale":"Disjoint assumed-local landlord household: annual rent gain minus full capital-service/maintenance; first-year upfront stress jointly netted once,not repeated. Annual capital120 excluded in upfront cases. Local ownership/disjointness are unverified priors.","counterfactual":"Existing adopted county2027rule,landlord obligations,utility rebates,public/partner support and code-compliant roof replacement continue. Only donor-induced acceleration/additional installations counted.","sourceIds":["cg","county26","year25"]}],"incomeUnknown":false,"incomeEquivalentYears":-0.002833648008327802,"combinedEquivalentYears":0.0034468544675711507,"inputs":{"landlordUpfrontCost":0,"landlordCatchupRelief":0,"landlordReliefDelay":4,"C":3745093,"gift":10000,"U":97124,"f":0.25,"h":2.5,"p":0.1,"a":0.1,"b":0.5,"H":20,"u":0.05,"R":40,"z":0,"hr":3,"Hr":20,"ur":0.02,"Tpolicy":3,"Troof":5,"delay":1,"effectiveCooling":1,"policyBaseline":30000,"policyWorkGain":100,"positiveShare":0.5,"policyEnergyCost":120,"policyRentCost":60,"policyUserCost":20,"landlordBaseline":60000,"unitsPerLandlord":2,"landlordAnnualCapitalCost":120,"landlordMaintenance":10,"roofBaseline":30000,"roofSavings":150,"roofUserCost":40,"utilityPeople":10,"utilityBaseline":60000,"utilityLossPerRoof":20,"utilityLocalShare":0.5,"clinicalHarm":0,"inducedPeople":0,"inducedCost":0},"costPer10Qalys":29011958.85722024,"id":"policy-only","label":"policy-only","assumptions":"Explicit conditional judgment scenario, not confidence bounds or measured marginal returns."},{"costUSD":10000,"editionQalys":0.006294550264794862,"allPopulationQalys":0.006294550264794862,"policyQalys":0.005580145104238634,"roofQalys":0.0007144051605562273,"incomePathways":[{"people":24281,"annualIncomeBeforeUSD":30000,"annualIncomeGainUSD":-150,"years":3,"delayYears":5,"discountRate":0.03,"causalShare":0.000013350803304484029,"editionShare":1,"independentShare":1,"rationale":"Unincorporated tenant households: jointly net after-tax/benefit/work-cost productivity positive after overlap minus full energy,rent and user costs before log. 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Only donor-induced acceleration/additional installations counted.","sourceIds":["cg","county26","year25"]},{"people":12140.5,"annualIncomeBeforeUSD":60000,"annualIncomeGainUSD":-140,"years":1,"delayYears":6,"discountRate":0.03,"causalShare":0.000013350803304484029,"editionShare":1,"independentShare":1,"rationale":"Disjoint assumed-local landlord household: annual rent gain minus full capital-service/maintenance; first-year upfront stress jointly netted once,not repeated. Annual capital120 excluded in upfront cases. Local ownership/disjointness are unverified priors.","counterfactual":"Existing adopted county2027rule,landlord obligations,utility rebates,public/partner support and code-compliant roof replacement continue. Only donor-induced acceleration/additional installations counted.","sourceIds":["cg","county26","year25"]},{"people":12140.5,"annualIncomeBeforeUSD":60000,"annualIncomeGainUSD":-140,"years":1,"delayYears":7,"discountRate":0.03,"causalShare":0.000013350803304484029,"editionShare":1,"independentShare":1,"rationale":"Disjoint assumed-local landlord household: annual rent gain minus full capital-service/maintenance; first-year upfront stress jointly netted once,not repeated. Annual capital120 excluded in upfront cases. Local ownership/disjointness are unverified priors.","counterfactual":"Existing adopted county2027rule,landlord obligations,utility rebates,public/partner support and code-compliant roof replacement continue. Only donor-induced acceleration/additional installations counted.","sourceIds":["cg","county26","year25"]},{"people":40,"annualIncomeBeforeUSD":30000,"annualIncomeGainUSD":35,"years":5,"delayYears":5,"discountRate":0.03,"causalShare":0.0013350803304484028,"editionShare":1,"independentShare":1,"rationale":"Incorporated Pacoima/Watts/Wilmington owner-occupant roof households: bill savings positive after overlap minus full extra homeowner capital/maintenance copayment; disjoint from unincorporated tenant/landlord ledger. No solar$300k projection used as annual roof savings.","counterfactual":"Existing adopted county2027rule,landlord obligations,utility rebates,public/partner support and code-compliant roof replacement continue. 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Only donor-induced acceleration/additional installations counted.","sourceIds":["cg","county26","year25"]},{"people":40,"annualIncomeBeforeUSD":30000,"annualIncomeGainUSD":35,"years":5,"delayYears":1,"discountRate":0.03,"causalShare":0.00026701606608968057,"editionShare":1,"independentShare":1,"rationale":"Incorporated Pacoima/Watts/Wilmington owner-occupant roof households: bill savings positive after overlap minus full extra homeowner capital/maintenance copayment; disjoint from unincorporated tenant/landlord ledger. No solar$300k projection used as annual roof savings.","counterfactual":"Existing adopted county2027rule,landlord obligations,utility rebates,public/partner support and code-compliant roof replacement continue. Only donor-induced acceleration/additional installations counted.","sourceIds":["cg","county26","year25"]},{"people":10,"annualIncomeBeforeUSD":60000,"annualIncomeGainUSD":-80,"years":5,"delayYears":1,"discountRate":0.03,"causalShare":0.00026701606608968057,"editionShare":0.5,"independentShare":1,"rationale":"Disjoint local utility/counterparty owner units: net margin/displacement loss,not full utility revenue or production cost. All loss retained; incidence/local share are judgments. Nonlocal effects unpriced,not zero world harm.","counterfactual":"Existing adopted county2027rule,landlord obligations,utility rebates,public/partner support and code-compliant roof replacement continue. Only donor-induced acceleration/additional installations counted.","sourceIds":["cg","county26","year25"]}],"incomeUnknown":false,"incomeEquivalentYears":-0.000002765264301310415,"combinedEquivalentYears":0.000023365750628440038,"inputs":{"landlordUpfrontCost":0,"landlordCatchupRelief":0,"landlordReliefDelay":4,"C":3745093,"gift":10000,"U":97124,"f":0.1,"h":2.5,"p":0.02,"a":0.03,"b":0.2,"H":10,"u":0.01,"R":40,"z":0.1,"hr":3,"Hr":10,"ur":0.005,"Tpolicy":3,"Troof":5,"delay":1,"effectiveCooling":1,"policyBaseline":30000,"policyWorkGain":100,"positiveShare":0.5,"policyEnergyCost":120,"policyRentCost":60,"policyUserCost":20,"landlordBaseline":60000,"unitsPerLandlord":2,"landlordAnnualCapitalCost":120,"landlordMaintenance":10,"roofBaseline":30000,"roofSavings":150,"roofUserCost":40,"utilityPeople":10,"utilityBaseline":60000,"utilityLossPerRoof":20,"utilityLocalShare":0.5,"clinicalHarm":0,"inducedPeople":0,"inducedCost":0},"costPer10Qalys":4279768349.4183674,"id":"poor-joint","label":"poor-joint","assumptions":"Explicit conditional judgment scenario, not confidence bounds or measured marginal returns."},{"costUSD":10000,"editionQalys":0.40838471287445693,"allPopulationQalys":0.40838471287445693,"policyQalys":0.40195215845753296,"roofQalys":0.006432554416923988,"incomePathways":[{"people":38849.6,"annualIncomeBeforeUSD":30000,"annualIncomeGainUSD":-150,"years":3,"delayYears":1,"discountRate":0.03,"causalShare":0.00013350803304484028,"editionShare":1,"independentShare":1,"rationale":"Unincorporated tenant households: jointly net after-tax/benefit/work-cost productivity positive after overlap minus full energy,rent and user costs before log. Counts and dollars are judgments; financial ledger independent of clinical benefit.","counterfactual":"Existing adopted county2027rule,landlord obligations,utility rebates,public/partner support and code-compliant roof replacement continue. Only donor-induced acceleration/additional installations counted.","sourceIds":["cg","county26","year25"]},{"people":19424.8,"annualIncomeBeforeUSD":60000,"annualIncomeGainUSD":-140,"years":1,"delayYears":1,"discountRate":0.03,"causalShare":0.00013350803304484028,"editionShare":1,"independentShare":1,"rationale":"Disjoint assumed-local landlord household: annual rent gain minus full capital-service/maintenance; first-year upfront stress jointly netted once,not repeated. Annual capital120 excluded in upfront cases. Local ownership/disjointness are unverified priors.","counterfactual":"Existing adopted county2027rule,landlord obligations,utility rebates,public/partner support and code-compliant roof replacement continue. Only donor-induced acceleration/additional installations counted.","sourceIds":["cg","county26","year25"]},{"people":19424.8,"annualIncomeBeforeUSD":60000,"annualIncomeGainUSD":-140,"years":1,"delayYears":2,"discountRate":0.03,"causalShare":0.00013350803304484028,"editionShare":1,"independentShare":1,"rationale":"Disjoint assumed-local landlord household: annual rent gain minus full capital-service/maintenance; first-year upfront stress jointly netted once,not repeated. Annual capital120 excluded in upfront cases. Local ownership/disjointness are unverified priors.","counterfactual":"Existing adopted county2027rule,landlord obligations,utility rebates,public/partner support and code-compliant roof replacement continue. Only donor-induced acceleration/additional installations counted.","sourceIds":["cg","county26","year25"]},{"people":19424.8,"annualIncomeBeforeUSD":60000,"annualIncomeGainUSD":-140,"years":1,"delayYears":3,"discountRate":0.03,"causalShare":0.00013350803304484028,"editionShare":1,"independentShare":1,"rationale":"Disjoint assumed-local landlord household: annual rent gain minus full capital-service/maintenance; first-year upfront stress jointly netted once,not repeated. Annual capital120 excluded in upfront cases. Local ownership/disjointness are unverified priors.","counterfactual":"Existing adopted county2027rule,landlord obligations,utility rebates,public/partner support and code-compliant roof replacement continue. Only donor-induced acceleration/additional installations counted.","sourceIds":["cg","county26","year25"]},{"people":40,"annualIncomeBeforeUSD":30000,"annualIncomeGainUSD":35,"years":5,"delayYears":1,"discountRate":0.03,"causalShare":0.0021361285287174446,"editionShare":1,"independentShare":1,"rationale":"Incorporated Pacoima/Watts/Wilmington owner-occupant roof households: bill savings positive after overlap minus full extra homeowner capital/maintenance copayment; disjoint from unincorporated tenant/landlord ledger. No solar$300k projection used as annual roof savings.","counterfactual":"Existing adopted county2027rule,landlord obligations,utility rebates,public/partner support and code-compliant roof replacement continue. Only donor-induced acceleration/additional installations counted.","sourceIds":["cg","county26","year25"]},{"people":10,"annualIncomeBeforeUSD":60000,"annualIncomeGainUSD":-80,"years":5,"delayYears":1,"discountRate":0.03,"causalShare":0.0021361285287174446,"editionShare":0.5,"independentShare":1,"rationale":"Disjoint local utility/counterparty owner units: net margin/displacement loss,not full utility revenue or production cost. All loss retained; incidence/local share are judgments. Nonlocal effects unpriced,not zero world harm.","counterfactual":"Existing adopted county2027rule,landlord obligations,utility rebates,public/partner support and code-compliant roof replacement continue. Only donor-induced acceleration/additional installations counted.","sourceIds":["cg","county26","year25"]}],"incomeUnknown":false,"incomeEquivalentYears":-0.04514286608061573,"combinedEquivalentYears":0.3632418467938412,"inputs":{"landlordUpfrontCost":0,"landlordCatchupRelief":0,"landlordReliefDelay":4,"C":3745093,"gift":10000,"U":97124,"f":0.4,"h":2.5,"p":0.25,"a":0.25,"b":0.8,"H":40,"u":0.1,"R":40,"z":0.8,"hr":3,"Hr":40,"ur":0.05,"Tpolicy":3,"Troof":5,"delay":1,"effectiveCooling":1,"policyBaseline":30000,"policyWorkGain":100,"positiveShare":0.5,"policyEnergyCost":120,"policyRentCost":60,"policyUserCost":20,"landlordBaseline":60000,"unitsPerLandlord":2,"landlordAnnualCapitalCost":120,"landlordMaintenance":10,"roofBaseline":30000,"roofSavings":150,"roofUserCost":40,"utilityPeople":10,"utilityBaseline":60000,"utilityLossPerRoof":20,"utilityLocalShare":0.5,"clinicalHarm":0,"inducedPeople":0,"inducedCost":0},"costPer10Qalys":275298.6774036397,"id":"favorable-joint","label":"favorable-joint","assumptions":"Explicit conditional judgment scenario, not confidence bounds or measured marginal returns."},{"costUSD":10000,"editionQalys":0.007084571778014451,"allPopulationQalys":0.007084571778014451,"policyQalys":0.0062805024758989525,"roofQalys":0.0008040693021154983,"incomePathways":[{"people":24281,"annualIncomeBeforeUSD":30000,"annualIncomeGainUSD":-150,"years":3,"delayYears":1,"discountRate":0.03,"causalShare":0.000013350803304484029,"editionShare":1,"independentShare":1,"rationale":"Unincorporated tenant households: jointly net after-tax/benefit/work-cost productivity positive after overlap minus full energy,rent and user costs before log. Counts and dollars are judgments; financial ledger independent of clinical benefit.","counterfactual":"Existing adopted county2027rule,landlord obligations,utility rebates,public/partner support and code-compliant roof replacement continue. Only donor-induced acceleration/additional installations counted.","sourceIds":["cg","county26","year25"]},{"people":12140.5,"annualIncomeBeforeUSD":60000,"annualIncomeGainUSD":-1900,"years":1,"delayYears":1,"discountRate":0.03,"causalShare":0.000013350803304484029,"editionShare":1,"independentShare":1,"rationale":"Disjoint assumed-local landlord household: annual rent gain minus full capital-service/maintenance; first-year upfront stress jointly netted once,not repeated. Annual capital120 excluded in upfront cases. Local ownership/disjointness are unverified priors.","counterfactual":"Existing adopted county2027rule,landlord obligations,utility rebates,public/partner support and code-compliant roof replacement continue. Only donor-induced acceleration/additional installations counted.","sourceIds":["cg","county26","year25"]},{"people":12140.5,"annualIncomeBeforeUSD":60000,"annualIncomeGainUSD":100,"years":1,"delayYears":2,"discountRate":0.03,"causalShare":0.000013350803304484029,"editionShare":1,"independentShare":1,"rationale":"Disjoint assumed-local landlord household: annual rent gain minus full capital-service/maintenance; first-year upfront stress jointly netted once,not repeated. Annual capital120 excluded in upfront cases. Local ownership/disjointness are unverified priors.","counterfactual":"Existing adopted county2027rule,landlord obligations,utility rebates,public/partner support and code-compliant roof replacement continue. Only donor-induced acceleration/additional installations counted.","sourceIds":["cg","county26","year25"]},{"people":12140.5,"annualIncomeBeforeUSD":60000,"annualIncomeGainUSD":100,"years":1,"delayYears":3,"discountRate":0.03,"causalShare":0.000013350803304484029,"editionShare":1,"independentShare":1,"rationale":"Disjoint assumed-local landlord household: annual rent gain minus full capital-service/maintenance; first-year upfront stress jointly netted once,not repeated. Annual capital120 excluded in upfront cases. Local ownership/disjointness are unverified priors.","counterfactual":"Existing adopted county2027rule,landlord obligations,utility rebates,public/partner support and code-compliant roof replacement continue. Only donor-induced acceleration/additional installations counted.","sourceIds":["cg","county26","year25"]},{"people":40,"annualIncomeBeforeUSD":30000,"annualIncomeGainUSD":35,"years":5,"delayYears":1,"discountRate":0.03,"causalShare":0.0013350803304484028,"editionShare":1,"independentShare":1,"rationale":"Incorporated Pacoima/Watts/Wilmington owner-occupant roof households: bill savings positive after overlap minus full extra homeowner capital/maintenance copayment; disjoint from unincorporated tenant/landlord ledger. No solar$300k projection used as annual roof savings.","counterfactual":"Existing adopted county2027rule,landlord obligations,utility rebates,public/partner support and code-compliant roof replacement continue. Only donor-induced acceleration/additional installations counted.","sourceIds":["cg","county26","year25"]},{"people":10,"annualIncomeBeforeUSD":60000,"annualIncomeGainUSD":-80,"years":5,"delayYears":1,"discountRate":0.03,"causalShare":0.0013350803304484028,"editionShare":0.5,"independentShare":1,"rationale":"Disjoint local utility/counterparty owner units: net margin/displacement loss,not full utility revenue or production cost. All loss retained; incidence/local share are judgments. Nonlocal effects unpriced,not zero world harm.","counterfactual":"Existing adopted county2027rule,landlord obligations,utility rebates,public/partner support and code-compliant roof replacement continue. Only donor-induced acceleration/additional installations counted.","sourceIds":["cg","county26","year25"]}],"incomeUnknown":false,"incomeEquivalentYears":-0.004457134813683987,"combinedEquivalentYears":0.002627436964330464,"inputs":{"landlordUpfrontCost":1000,"landlordCatchupRelief":0,"landlordReliefDelay":4,"C":3745093,"gift":10000,"U":97124,"f":0.25,"h":2.5,"p":0.1,"a":0.1,"b":0.5,"H":20,"u":0.05,"R":40,"z":0.5,"hr":3,"Hr":20,"ur":0.02,"Tpolicy":3,"Troof":5,"delay":1,"effectiveCooling":1,"policyBaseline":30000,"policyWorkGain":100,"positiveShare":0.5,"policyEnergyCost":120,"policyRentCost":60,"policyUserCost":20,"landlordBaseline":60000,"unitsPerLandlord":2,"landlordAnnualCapitalCost":0,"landlordMaintenance":10,"roofBaseline":30000,"roofSavings":150,"roofUserCost":40,"utilityPeople":10,"utilityBaseline":60000,"utilityLossPerRoof":20,"utilityLocalShare":0.5,"clinicalHarm":0,"inducedPeople":0,"inducedCost":0},"costPer10Qalys":38059904.522003435,"id":"upfront-capital","label":"upfront-capital","assumptions":"Explicit conditional judgment scenario, not confidence bounds or measured marginal returns."},{"costUSD":10000,"editionQalys":0.007084571778014451,"allPopulationQalys":0.007084571778014451,"policyQalys":0.0062805024758989525,"roofQalys":0.0008040693021154983,"incomePathways":[{"people":24281,"annualIncomeBeforeUSD":30000,"annualIncomeGainUSD":-150,"years":3,"delayYears":1,"discountRate":0.03,"causalShare":0.000013350803304484029,"editionShare":1,"independentShare":1,"rationale":"Unincorporated tenant households: jointly net after-tax/benefit/work-cost productivity positive after overlap minus full energy,rent and user costs before log. Counts and dollars are judgments; financial ledger independent of clinical benefit.","counterfactual":"Existing adopted county2027rule,landlord obligations,utility rebates,public/partner support and code-compliant roof replacement continue. Only donor-induced acceleration/additional installations counted.","sourceIds":["cg","county26","year25"]},{"people":12140.5,"annualIncomeBeforeUSD":60000,"annualIncomeGainUSD":-1900,"years":1,"delayYears":1,"discountRate":0.03,"causalShare":0.000013350803304484029,"editionShare":1,"independentShare":1,"rationale":"Disjoint assumed-local landlord household: annual rent gain minus full capital-service/maintenance; first-year upfront stress jointly netted once,not repeated. Annual capital120 excluded in upfront cases. Local ownership/disjointness are unverified priors.","counterfactual":"Existing adopted county2027rule,landlord obligations,utility rebates,public/partner support and code-compliant roof replacement continue. Only donor-induced acceleration/additional installations counted.","sourceIds":["cg","county26","year25"]},{"people":12140.5,"annualIncomeBeforeUSD":60000,"annualIncomeGainUSD":100,"years":1,"delayYears":2,"discountRate":0.03,"causalShare":0.000013350803304484029,"editionShare":1,"independentShare":1,"rationale":"Disjoint assumed-local landlord household: annual rent gain minus full capital-service/maintenance; first-year upfront stress jointly netted once,not repeated. Annual capital120 excluded in upfront cases. Local ownership/disjointness are unverified priors.","counterfactual":"Existing adopted county2027rule,landlord obligations,utility rebates,public/partner support and code-compliant roof replacement continue. Only donor-induced acceleration/additional installations counted.","sourceIds":["cg","county26","year25"]},{"people":12140.5,"annualIncomeBeforeUSD":60000,"annualIncomeGainUSD":100,"years":1,"delayYears":3,"discountRate":0.03,"causalShare":0.000013350803304484029,"editionShare":1,"independentShare":1,"rationale":"Disjoint assumed-local landlord household: annual rent gain minus full capital-service/maintenance; first-year upfront stress jointly netted once,not repeated. Annual capital120 excluded in upfront cases. Local ownership/disjointness are unverified priors.","counterfactual":"Existing adopted county2027rule,landlord obligations,utility rebates,public/partner support and code-compliant roof replacement continue. Only donor-induced acceleration/additional installations counted.","sourceIds":["cg","county26","year25"]},{"people":12140.5,"annualIncomeBeforeUSD":60000,"annualIncomeGainUSD":2000,"years":1,"delayYears":4,"discountRate":0.03,"causalShare":0.000013350803304484029,"editionShare":1,"independentShare":1,"rationale":"Separate delayed counterfactual purchase relief at baseline catchup: prior avoided later expenditure,not observed cash refund or recurring gain.","counterfactual":"Existing adopted county2027rule,landlord obligations,utility rebates,public/partner support and code-compliant roof replacement continue. Only donor-induced acceleration/additional installations counted.","sourceIds":["cg","county26","year25"]},{"people":40,"annualIncomeBeforeUSD":30000,"annualIncomeGainUSD":35,"years":5,"delayYears":1,"discountRate":0.03,"causalShare":0.0013350803304484028,"editionShare":1,"independentShare":1,"rationale":"Incorporated Pacoima/Watts/Wilmington owner-occupant roof households: bill savings positive after overlap minus full extra homeowner capital/maintenance copayment; disjoint from unincorporated tenant/landlord ledger. No solar$300k projection used as annual roof savings.","counterfactual":"Existing adopted county2027rule,landlord obligations,utility rebates,public/partner support and code-compliant roof replacement continue. Only donor-induced acceleration/additional installations counted.","sourceIds":["cg","county26","year25"]},{"people":10,"annualIncomeBeforeUSD":60000,"annualIncomeGainUSD":-80,"years":5,"delayYears":1,"discountRate":0.03,"causalShare":0.0013350803304484028,"editionShare":0.5,"independentShare":1,"rationale":"Disjoint local utility/counterparty owner units: net margin/displacement loss,not full utility revenue or production cost. All loss retained; incidence/local share are judgments. Nonlocal effects unpriced,not zero world harm.","counterfactual":"Existing adopted county2027rule,landlord obligations,utility rebates,public/partner support and code-compliant roof replacement continue. Only donor-induced acceleration/additional installations counted.","sourceIds":["cg","county26","year25"]}],"incomeUnknown":false,"incomeEquivalentYears":-0.002096090456107236,"combinedEquivalentYears":0.004988481321907216,"inputs":{"landlordUpfrontCost":1000,"landlordCatchupRelief":1000,"landlordReliefDelay":4,"C":3745093,"gift":10000,"U":97124,"f":0.25,"h":2.5,"p":0.1,"a":0.1,"b":0.5,"H":20,"u":0.05,"R":40,"z":0.5,"hr":3,"Hr":20,"ur":0.02,"Tpolicy":3,"Troof":5,"delay":1,"effectiveCooling":1,"policyBaseline":30000,"policyWorkGain":100,"positiveShare":0.5,"policyEnergyCost":120,"policyRentCost":60,"policyUserCost":20,"landlordBaseline":60000,"unitsPerLandlord":2,"landlordAnnualCapitalCost":0,"landlordMaintenance":10,"roofBaseline":30000,"roofSavings":150,"roofUserCost":40,"utilityPeople":10,"utilityBaseline":60000,"utilityLossPerRoof":20,"utilityLocalShare":0.5,"clinicalHarm":0,"inducedPeople":0,"inducedCost":0},"costPer10Qalys":20046181.10141938,"id":"upfront-with-catchup-relief","label":"upfront-with-catchup-relief","assumptions":"Explicit conditional judgment scenario, not confidence bounds or measured marginal returns."}],"sensitivity":[{"id":"health-only-diagnostic","label":"health-only-diagnostic","pricePer10Qalys":14115179.171496287,"assumptions":"Explicit conditional judgment scenario, not confidence bounds or measured marginal returns."},{"id":"clinical-null","label":"clinical-null","pricePer10Qalys":null,"assumptions":"Explicit conditional judgment scenario, not confidence bounds or measured marginal returns."},{"id":"failed-thermal-response","label":"failed-thermal-response","pricePer10Qalys":null,"assumptions":"Explicit conditional judgment scenario, not confidence bounds or measured marginal returns."},{"id":"financial-only","label":"financial-only","pricePer10Qalys":null,"assumptions":"Explicit conditional judgment scenario, not confidence bounds or measured marginal returns."},{"id":"no-additional-installation","label":"no-additional-installation","pricePer10Qalys":null,"assumptions":"Explicit conditional judgment scenario, not confidence bounds or measured marginal returns."},{"id":"true-zero","label":"true-zero","pricePer10Qalys":null,"assumptions":"Explicit conditional judgment scenario, not confidence bounds or measured marginal returns."},{"id":"failed-expansion-induced-loss","label":"failed-expansion-induced-loss","pricePer10Qalys":null,"assumptions":"Explicit conditional judgment scenario, not confidence bounds or measured marginal returns."},{"id":"unknown-net-incidence","label":"unknown-net-incidence","pricePer10Qalys":null,"assumptions":"Explicit conditional judgment scenario, not confidence bounds or measured marginal returns."},{"id":"energy-rent-adverse","label":"energy-rent-adverse","pricePer10Qalys":null,"assumptions":"Explicit conditional judgment scenario, not confidence bounds or measured marginal returns."},{"id":"half-utility","label":"half-utility","pricePer10Qalys":120362049.49176013,"assumptions":"Explicit conditional judgment scenario, not confidence bounds or measured marginal returns."},{"id":"double-utility","label":"double-utility","pricePer10Qalys":8727767.0700859,"assumptions":"Explicit conditional judgment scenario, not confidence bounds or measured marginal returns."},{"id":"low-policy-attribution","label":"low-policy-attribution","pricePer10Qalys":51012224.72803834,"assumptions":"Explicit conditional judgment scenario, not confidence bounds or measured marginal returns."},{"id":"funding-replacement","label":"funding-replacement","pricePer10Qalys":114335040.3147147,"assumptions":"Explicit conditional judgment scenario, not confidence bounds or measured marginal returns."},{"id":"roof-only","label":"roof-only","pricePer10Qalys":107961270.85796267,"assumptions":"Explicit conditional judgment scenario, not confidence bounds or measured marginal returns."},{"id":"policy-only","label":"policy-only","pricePer10Qalys":29011958.85722024,"assumptions":"Explicit conditional judgment scenario, not confidence bounds or measured marginal returns."},{"id":"five-year-delay","label":"five-year-delay","pricePer10Qalys":25737019.033183314,"assumptions":"Explicit conditional judgment scenario, not confidence bounds or measured marginal returns."},{"id":"one-year-acceleration","label":"one-year-acceleration","pricePer10Qalys":47408339.36309676,"assumptions":"Explicit conditional judgment scenario, not confidence bounds or measured marginal returns."},{"id":"five-year-acceleration","label":"five-year-acceleration","pricePer10Qalys":15368203.573927362,"assumptions":"Explicit conditional judgment scenario, not confidence bounds or measured marginal returns."},{"id":"lower-resource-baseline","label":"lower-resource-baseline","pricePer10Qalys":45334641.17290387,"assumptions":"Explicit conditional judgment scenario, not confidence bounds or measured marginal returns."},{"id":"no-positive-overlap","label":"no-positive-overlap","pricePer10Qalys":18364074.272078022,"assumptions":"Explicit conditional judgment scenario, not confidence bounds or measured marginal returns."},{"id":"owner-unit-concentration","label":"owner-unit-concentration","pricePer10Qalys":22880190.966697842,"assumptions":"Explicit conditional judgment scenario, not confidence bounds or measured marginal returns."},{"id":"clinical-harm","label":"clinical-harm","pricePer10Qalys":null,"assumptions":"Explicit conditional judgment scenario, not confidence bounds or measured marginal returns."},{"id":"three-year-cost-mean","label":"three-year-cost-mean","pricePer10Qalys":21741840.804752313,"assumptions":"Explicit conditional judgment scenario, not confidence bounds or measured marginal returns."},{"id":"poor-joint","label":"poor-joint","pricePer10Qalys":4279768349.4183674,"assumptions":"Explicit conditional judgment scenario, not confidence bounds or measured marginal returns."},{"id":"favorable-joint","label":"favorable-joint","pricePer10Qalys":275298.6774036397,"assumptions":"Explicit conditional judgment scenario, not confidence bounds or measured marginal returns."},{"id":"upfront-capital","label":"upfront-capital","pricePer10Qalys":38059904.522003435,"assumptions":"Explicit conditional judgment scenario, not confidence bounds or measured marginal returns."},{"id":"upfront-with-catchup-relief","label":"upfront-with-catchup-relief","pricePer10Qalys":20046181.10141938,"assumptions":"Explicit conditional judgment scenario, not confidence bounds or measured marginal returns."}],"missingInputs":["Observed unmet-cooling fraction and occupancy for the 97,124 unit inventory.","Current ordinary-gift policy staffing and compliance improvement beyond funded public implementation.","Clinical utility change per occupied exposure-day, implementation lag, electricity affordability and displacement.","Additionality, code baseline, partner finance and durability for new roof cohorts.","Marginal wildfire, transportation, global climate and planning outcomes with LA beneficiary attribution.","Net utility margin gains from additional cooling electricity and their overlap with roof-savings counterparty households; time-sliced joint ledger required before any combined pricing."],"historicalAlphaModel":{"version":"la-climate-resolve-heat-policy-v1","costScope":"Entire recipient annual gross resource expense: Part IX plus separately netted event costs. This is not restricted to Shine On. Additional public and landlord capital is excluded from the donor price but included in a disclosed sensitivity. The numerical estimate covers the heat component, not the full portfolio.","geographicAttribution":"g=1 for modeled unincorporated LA County rental units and named City of LA roofs. County rule not applied automatically to incorporated cities or Orange County. Global Shine On effects unpriced.","formula":"Q_LA(D) = (D / C) × [U × f × h × p × a × b × (H × u / 365) × A3 + R × z × hr × (Hr × ur / 365) × A5], where AT = sum from t = 1 to T of (1.03)^(-t). U = 97124; f = 0.25; h = 2.5; p = 0.1; a = 0.1; b = 0.5; H = 20; u = 0.05; R = 40; z = 0.5; hr = 3; Hr = 20; ur = 0.02; C = 3745093. Price per ten QALYs = 10 × D / Q_LA(D). Q_total = Q_heat + Q_other - Harm; the other-portfolio and harm terms remain unknown.","counterfactual":"Existing county law, inspectors, utility help, landlord obligations, existing code-compliant roof replacement, partners and other advocates continue. Only additional implementation/acceleration and genuinely additional roofs credited; no retroactive policy win.","attribution":"p is coalition-level additional effective compliance; a is Climate Resolve causal share; b is ordinary funding responsiveness. Roof z combines replacement and partner/funding additionality. Incorporated roof sites separated from unincorporated policy denominator. No media-view, carbon-offset or public-grant multiplier.","uncertainty":"Subjective heat-component central, not calibrated posterior or full portfolio. Physiological and thermal evidence supports mechanism, not QALY weights. Native scope and current cost are observed; most conversion/attribution factors are priors. Finite 3-year acceleration and 5-year roof benefit; zero/downside retained.","nativeOutcomes":"Additional effectively cooled resident-years and equivalent symptom/stress-relieved days in LA/Orange boundary; not cool roofs, grants, laws, workshop attendance or ambient surface degrees themselves.","inputs":[{"name":"C","value":3745093,"unit":"USD gross recipient annual expense","basis":"observed","rationale":"$3,582,432 in Part IX plus $162,661 in separately netted Part VIII event costs; no program-only restriction.","sourceIds":["99025"]},{"name":"U","value":97124,"unit":"estimated rental units","basis":"observed","rationale":"County report Table 1, July 2025; not current verified cooling need.","sourceIds":["county-inventory"]},{"name":"f","value":0.25,"unit":"units needing meaningful additional cooling","basis":"judgment","rationale":"Countywide 75% AC survey is context only; no empirical rental-specific estimate.","sourceIds":["county-inventory"]},{"name":"h","value":2.5,"unit":"residents per target unit","basis":"judgment","rationale":"Not observed occupancy.","sourceIds":[]},{"name":"p","value":0.1,"unit":"additional effective compliance fraction under stronger coalition implementation","basis":"judgment","rationale":"Not a law-adoption probability; resources and complaints could alter implementation.","sourceIds":["county26"]},{"name":"a","value":0.1,"unit":"Climate Resolve causal share","basis":"judgment","rationale":"Coalition and agency roles, not sole credit.","sourceIds":["city-letter"]},{"name":"b","value":0.5,"unit":"ordinary funding responsiveness","basis":"judgment","rationale":"Limited unrestricted cushion but no verified costed queue.","sourceIds":["99025"]},{"name":"H","value":20,"unit":"equivalent symptom/stress-relieved days per protected resident-year","basis":"judgment","rationale":"Not meteorological hot days; permits partial-day and partial-effect aggregation.","sourceIds":[]},{"name":"u","value":0.05,"unit":"health utility difference on equivalent relieved day","basis":"judgment","rationale":"Not derived from core temperature or a QALY trial.","sourceIds":["heat-trial"]},{"name":"R","value":40,"unit":"roof cohort annual normalization","basis":"judgment","rationale":"Conservative floor from more than 40 reported 2025 installations, not a promised annual run rate.","sourceIds":["year25"]},{"name":"z","value":0.5,"unit":"ordinary gift and partner roof additionality","basis":"judgment","rationale":"Allows code-required replacement and partner funding.","sourceIds":["shine"]},{"name":"hr","value":3,"unit":"residents per roof","basis":"judgment","rationale":"No observed occupancy.","sourceIds":[]},{"name":"Hr","value":20,"unit":"equivalent improved days per roof resident-year","basis":"judgment","rationale":"Effective exposure and use assumed.","sourceIds":[]},{"name":"ur","value":0.02,"unit":"utility difference per improved roof-resident day","basis":"judgment","rationale":"Smaller than full safe-room cooling; no empirical QALY conversion.","sourceIds":[]},{"name":"Tpolicy","value":3,"unit":"years","basis":"judgment","rationale":"Finite acceleration before the baseline catches up.","sourceIds":[]},{"name":"Troof","value":5,"unit":"years","basis":"judgment","rationale":"Finite durability, no automatic replacement.","sourceIds":[]},{"name":"d","value":0.03,"unit":"annual discount","basis":"judgment","rationale":"One-year lag to first annual benefit.","sourceIds":[]},{"name":"Q_other","value":null,"unit":"LA QALYs","basis":"unknown","rationale":"Broader portfolio unpriced, not zero.","sourceIds":["home"]}],"scenarios":[{"id":"central","label":"Local heat policy plus roof component — not entire portfolio","costUSD":3745093,"allPopulationQalys":2.6532380173839467,"editionQalys":2.6532380173839467,"assumptions":"Central inputs, three-year policy acceleration and five-year roof benefit; all other portfolio effects remain unpriced."},{"id":"conservative","label":"Weak implementation and health response","costUSD":3745093,"allPopulationQalys":0.009786308109630392,"editionQalys":0.009786308109630392,"assumptions":"f = 0.1; p = 0.02; a = 0.03; b = 0.2; H = 10; u = 0.01; z = 0.1; Hr = 10; ur = 0.005. This is not a confidence bound."},{"id":"favorable","label":"Strong effective implementation and morbidity improvement","costUSD":3745093,"allPopulationQalys":152.94387294931383,"editionQalys":152.94387294931383,"assumptions":"f = 0.4; p = 0.25; a = 0.25; b = 0.8; H = 40; u = 0.1; z = 0.8; Hr = 40; ur = 0.05. This is not a confidence bound."},{"id":"all-resource-sensitivity","label":"Illustrative donor-attributable cooling-resource sensitivity","costUSD":3866498,"allPopulationQalys":2.6532380173839467,"editionQalys":2.6532380173839467,"assumptions":"Add $1,000 × 121.405 units, where units=U*f*p*a*b already include organization attribution and funding responsiveness. Not all coalition-induced units or complete societal cost. Actual capital cost unknown; no numerical change."},{"id":"zero","label":"Full substitution or no additional health","costUSD":3745093,"allPopulationQalys":0,"editionQalys":0,"assumptions":"Existing public/private provision achieves the same outcomes."},{"id":"downside","label":"Adverse net effect unquantified","costUSD":3745093,"allPopulationQalys":null,"editionQalys":null,"assumptions":"Displacement, energy burden, unsafe cooling or policy trade-offs may outweigh benefits; no fabricated negative bound."}],"sensitivity":["Only roof branch: Q=0.3011314314867639; most modeled health comes from uncertain policy implementation.","Half/double utility gains halve/double Q; no mortality term included.","$1 million/10 QALYs requires 37.45093 LA QALYs per annual gross recipient-cost normalization; $100 thousand requires 374.5093.","At assumed 20 days*.05 utility, $1 million/10 QALYs needs about 13,669.59 additional discounted protected person-years (before roof contribution).","Illustrative donor-attributable resource sensitivity adds $1,000 × 121.405 attributable additional cooling units = $121,405. Units = U*f*p*a*b = 97,124*.25*.1*.1*.5 and already include Climate Resolve's causal share a and ordinary-funding responsiveness b. These are not all coalition-induced units; this is not a full societal-cost estimate. $1,000 is not an observed retrofit cost or amount paid by donors.","Three-year acceleration assumes baseline catches up; extending law benefits indefinitely is not allowed."],"missingInputs":["Observed unmet-cooling fraction and occupancy for the 97,124 unit inventory.","Current ordinary-gift policy staffing and compliance improvement beyond funded public implementation.","Clinical utility change per occupied exposure-day, implementation lag, electricity affordability and displacement.","Additionality, code baseline, partner finance and durability for new roof cohorts.","Marginal wildfire, transportation, global climate and planning outcomes with LA beneficiary attribution."]},"centralInterpretation":"$22.867 M per 10 combined equivalents with unchanged initial clinical contribution and signed negative net resources. Missing complete portfolio/counterparty data not empirical zeros; unknown-incidence null case preserves health diagnostic.","priceScope":"Partial local clinical heat relief plus signed net consumption; broader portfolio/world welfare unknown."},"sources":[{"id":"home","title":"Current portfolio","url":"https://climateresolve.org/","publisher":"Climate Resolve","published":null,"retrieved":"2026-09-14"},{"id":"year25","title":"2025 year-end activities","url":"https://climateresolve.org/winds-of-change/","publisher":"Climate Resolve","published":null,"retrieved":"2026-10-05"},{"id":"shine","title":"Shine On local/global scope","url":"https://climateresolve.org/shine-on-initiative/","publisher":"Climate Resolve","published":null,"retrieved":"2026-10-05"},{"id":"99025","title":"Original FY2025 Form 990","url":"https://projects.propublica.org/nonprofits/organizations/464736278/202620709349301592/full","publisher":"Climate Resolve / IRS via ProPublica","published":"2026-03-11","retrieved":"2026-10-05"},{"id":"99024","title":"Original FY2024 Form 990","url":"https://projects.propublica.org/nonprofits/organizations/464736278/202541289349303174/full","publisher":"Climate Resolve / IRS via ProPublica","published":"2025-05-08","retrieved":"2026-10-05"},{"id":"99023","title":"Original FY2023 Form 990","url":"https://projects.propublica.org/nonprofits/organizations/464736278/202430349349300418/full","publisher":"Climate Resolve / IRS via ProPublica","published":"2024-02-04","retrieved":"2026-10-05"},{"id":"county-inventory","title":"July 2025 county heat policy and rental inventory, Table 1","url":"https://file.lacounty.gov/SDSInter/bos/bc/1188278_EstablishingaSafeMaximumTemperatureThresholdforResidentialUnitsDirective1Jan23.2024Item47.14.pdf","publisher":"LA County Department of Public Health","published":"2025-07-14","retrieved":"2026-09-14"},{"id":"county26","title":"March 2026 tenant indoor-temperature guidance","url":"https://ph.lacounty.gov/eh/docs/about/indoor-temperature-requirements-en.pdf","publisher":"LA County Department of Public Health","published":null,"retrieved":"2026-09-14"},{"id":"county-adoption","title":"August 2025 ordinance proposal and implementation resources","url":"https://file.lacounty.gov/SDSInter/bos/supdocs/205510.pdf","publisher":"LA County Department of Public Health","published":"2025-08-05","retrieved":"2026-09-14"},{"id":"city-letter","title":"Climate Resolve February 2026 city heat-policy submission","url":"https://cityclerk.lacity.org/onlinedocs/2025/25-1036_PC_AM_02-17-2026.pdf","publisher":"Climate Resolve via LA City Clerk","published":"2026-02-17","retrieved":"2026-09-14"},{"id":"city-action","title":"Official city action on amended reports, not a final ordinance","url":"https://cityclerk.lacity.org/onlinedocs/2025/25-1036_CA.pdf","publisher":"Los Angeles City Clerk","published":"2026-02-17","retrieved":"2026-09-14"},{"id":"heat-trial","title":"Randomized indoor-heat physiological crossover trial","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/38329752/","publisher":"Meade et al., Environmental Health Perspectives","published":"2024-02-08","retrieved":"2026-09-14"},{"id":"pavement","title":"Pacoima observational thermal field study","url":"https://doi.org/10.1088/2515-7620/ad2a8e","publisher":"Taha, Environmental Research Communications","published":null,"retrieved":"2026-09-14"},{"id":"donate","title":"Ordinary recipient donation route","url":"https://climateresolve.org/donate/","publisher":"Climate Resolve","published":null,"retrieved":"2026-10-05"},{"id":"cg","title":"Coefficient Giving logarithmic income/healthy-year comparison","publisher":"Coefficient Giving","url":"https://coefficientgiving.org/research/cost-effectiveness/","published":null,"retrieved":"2026-10-05"},{"id":"county-current","title":"Current county indoor heat implementation and assistance","publisher":"LA County Supervisor Horvath","url":"https://lindseyhorvath.lacounty.gov/indoor-heat-protections/","published":"2026-08-24","retrieved":"2026-10-05"}]}