GiveBetter x Denver

Cultivando

Community-led environmental health, leadership and policy advocacy

Research time: ~9 min on GPT-6.1 Sol
  • Research — reviewed programs, finances and impact evidence.
  • Modeling — estimated costs, QALYs and uncertainty.
  • Source audit — checked claims, assumptions and calculations.

Updated: 2026-10-07

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Summary

What do they do? Cultivando develops Latino community leadership, environmental advocacy and culturally responsive family support in North Denver and Commerce City. Its environmental work combines community monitoring and coalition participation in toxic-air regulation. Promotora, early-childhood and emotional-wellness programs are additional services, not automatically independent pollution-health cohorts.

Why we’re interested in this organization:

  • The original 2025 annual report identifies concrete coalition activities and an exact legal recipient.

  • Current original 2026 rule text establishes new emission-control requirements beyond the earlier pollutant benchmarks.

  • Explicit shared-household and actual-period ledgers retain immediate effort costs and conditional compliance/job losses.

Our main reservations:

  • Implemented local exposure reduction, recipient causal share and 10,000 affected residents remain hypotheses rather than observed outcomes.

  • Historical TSP/infant and Mexico SO2/work evidence do not calibrate local toxic-pollutant QALYs or disposable income.

  • Full recipient annual cost against the conditional pollution channel omits unknown benefits from other programs and is not marginal-gift effectiveness.

What do you get for your dollar? $360K per DALY in Denver. DALY is our one-year comparison unit. QALY-based health gains and income-welfare equivalents retain their original assumptions; they are not measured clinical DALYs. Full FY2025 recipient annual expense against a conditional finite local pollution-policy channel; not whole-portfolio or next-gift expected value..

2025 coalition participation 20+leaders/30+testimonies, standards/rulemaking claims and community programs. No delivered causal emission-health cohort.

1. What do they do?

Cultivando supports Latino community leadership, environmental justice and culturally responsive family services in Commerce City and North Denver. Its 2025 annual report describes coalition rulemaking, public testimony and monitoring, alongside Promotora training, early-childhood and emotional-wellness support. The owned donor page links PayPal hosted button 4S4UWPDCAU6FA; no transaction or new destination-payee verification is claimed.

2. Monitoring and information sharing

The annual report records more than 20 coalition leaders and more than 30 testimonies, not 10,000 causal health beneficiaries. It reports revenue $1,132,325 rather than full annual expenses. Some training occurred in Texas. Current monitoring and self-reported symptoms do not identify measured changes attributable to Cultivando. Request implemented equipment controls and dates, before/after pollutants and counterfactual trends, exposed resident geography, coalition contribution, participant overlap, actual net household cash and employment effects.

3. Qualitative assessment

The verified original Regulation 30 version adopted April 17, 2026 and effective June 14, 2026 contains new emission controls, including refinery benzene equipment-leak requirements via Regulation 24. Its basis describes more stringent leak detection and repair. That advances the mechanism beyond 2025 pollutant identification/benchmarks, but compliance schedules and actual local concentrations are not equivalent to rule adoption. Public statutory obligations, regulators, refinery permit requirements and other coalition members are alternative providers. Historical Chay/Greenstone TSP infant evidence supports a possible health mechanism, not all-age toxic-pollutant utility. The original Hanna/Oliva refinery-closure study reports changed SO2 and work hours in Mexico; work hours are not net Denver household earnings. Neither source calibrates local .003 utility, $100 net resources, implementation .3 or attribution .15. These remain explicit hypotheses, with null and adverse regimes. Other family/program benefits are unknown, not zero.

4. What do you get for your dollar?

Full FY2025 original IRS functional expense is $1,508,452, with no separately netted event expense added. Prior full annual costs are $1,653,391 (2024) and $1,603,171 (2023). The conditional central remains $360K per DALY: health 3.70440323 plus signed income-equivalent .48662433. Current legal controls strengthen the pathway but do not justify a forced numerical recalibration. This is not an empirical whole-portfolio ranking. Recognized environmental cost $432,384 and excluding fiscal sponsorship $1,174,798 are cost-boundary sensitivities, not verified marginal pollution costs; full recipient cost includes unquantified other services.

Model, assumptions and sensitivity

Whole FY 2025 recognized recipient cost including sponsorship, against one policy benefit channel. Environmental cost 432384 and excluding 333654 sponsorship are scope diagnostics, not complete marginal cost.

Potential residents are explicitly local North Denver/Commerce City CBSA 19740 hypothesis; g 1 represents that chosen local channel, not all organizational work. Texas and other nonlocal program benefits excluded as unknown.

Health = (resident N × implementation × recipient attribution × q × finite discounted duration − full current advocate process harm) × local share. Income uses explicit beneficiary/advocate/worker intersections and actual-period joint net resources; current advocate effort persists on failed policy, implemented compliance/job losses are gated. Price = 10C/(health + signed income equivalents) when positive.

C
1508452 USD annual (observed). Original FY2025 full recipient expense, not an allocated pollution or gift budget. [finance]
N
10000 potential exposed residents (judgment). Judged 10,000 potential local residents, not observed unique beneficiary count. [services] [current-rule] [pollution-work] [pollution-health] [cg-cost]
householdShare
0.5 model parameter (judgment). Explicit finite conditional hypothesis; source monitoring and rule adoption do not measure this coefficient. [services] [current-rule] [pollution-work] [pollution-health] [cg-cost]
engaged
30 current advocate households, hypothesis (judgment). Explicit finite conditional hypothesis; source monitoring and rule adoption do not measure this coefficient. [services] [current-rule] [pollution-work] [pollution-health] [cg-cost]
advocateOverlap
1 model parameter (judgment). Central advocates are assumed within potential benefit households, not independent groups; changed subset is explicitly joint logged when periods overlap. [services] [current-rule] [pollution-work] [pollution-health] [cg-cost]
implementation
0.3 model parameter (judgment). Judged .3 probability of delivered incremental abatement/exposure change beyond adopted rules. [services] [current-rule] [pollution-work] [pollution-health] [cg-cost]
attribution
0.15 model parameter (judgment). Judged .15 recipient contribution versus other coalition and enforcement actors. [services] [current-rule] [pollution-work] [pollution-health] [cg-cost]
q
0.003 model parameter (judgment). Judged .003 annual healthy-year gain conditional on real exposure reduction; no TSP or Mexico coefficient transported as local QALYs. [services] [current-rule] [pollution-work] [pollution-health] [cg-cost]
T
3 model parameter (judgment). Explicit finite conditional hypothesis; source monitoring and rule adoption do not measure this coefficient. [services] [current-rule] [pollution-work] [pollution-health] [cg-cost]
g
1 model parameter (judgment). Explicit finite conditional hypothesis; source monitoring and rule adoption do not measure this coefficient. [services] [current-rule] [pollution-work] [pollution-health] [cg-cost]
delay
2 model parameter (judgment). Explicit finite conditional hypothesis; source monitoring and rule adoption do not measure this coefficient. [services] [current-rule] [pollution-work] [pollution-health] [cg-cost]
r
0.03 model parameter (judgment). Explicit finite conditional hypothesis; source monitoring and rule adoption do not measure this coefficient. [services] [current-rule] [pollution-work] [pollution-health] [cg-cost]
harm
0.0001 model parameter (judgment). Explicit finite conditional hypothesis; source monitoring and rule adoption do not measure this coefficient. [services] [current-rule] [pollution-work] [pollution-health] [cg-cost]
resourceGain
100 model parameter (judgment). Judged $100 annual net household illness/work/medical resources, not gross earnings or property value. [services] [current-rule] [pollution-work] [pollution-health] [cg-cost]
overlap
0.5 model parameter (judgment). Explicit finite conditional hypothesis; source monitoring and rule adoption do not measure this coefficient. [services] [current-rule] [pollution-work] [pollution-health] [cg-cost]
cost
10 model parameter (judgment). Judged $10 net current-year advocate participation cost, independent of future policy success. [services] [current-rule] [pollution-work] [pollution-health] [cg-cost]
baseline
30000 model parameter (judgment). Explicit finite conditional hypothesis; source monitoring and rule adoption do not measure this coefficient. [services] [current-rule] [pollution-work] [pollution-health] [cg-cost]
payerPeople
10000 model parameter (judgment). Explicit finite conditional hypothesis; source monitoring and rule adoption do not measure this coefficient. [services] [current-rule] [pollution-work] [pollution-health] [cg-cost]
payerBaseline
50000 model parameter (judgment). Explicit finite conditional hypothesis; source monitoring and rule adoption do not measure this coefficient. [services] [current-rule] [pollution-work] [pollution-health] [cg-cost]
externalCost
20000 model parameter (judgment). Judged one-year unrecognized compliance resources conditional on incremental implementation; distinct global payers associated with local channel. [services] [current-rule] [pollution-work] [pollution-health] [cg-cost]
displacedPeople
20 model parameter (judgment). Explicit finite conditional hypothesis; source monitoring and rule adoption do not measure this coefficient. [services] [current-rule] [pollution-work] [pollution-health] [cg-cost]
displacedGain
-1000 model parameter (judgment). Explicit finite conditional hypothesis; source monitoring and rule adoption do not measure this coefficient. [services] [current-rule] [pollution-work] [pollution-health] [cg-cost]
workerOverlap
0 model parameter (judgment). Central zero is an explicitly disjoint worker-versus-beneficiary assumption, not observed; full overlap scenarios test same-household net losses. [services] [current-rule] [pollution-work] [pollution-health] [cg-cost]
workerAdvocateOverlap
0 model parameter (judgment). Within shared worker-beneficiary households, tested overlap with advocate subset; no independent additive log for the same period. [services] [current-rule] [pollution-work] [pollution-health] [cg-cost]

central: Cost: $1.5M; Denver health QALYs: 3.70; all-population health QALYs: 3.70. Income-equivalent healthy years: 0.49. Conditional local pollution policy reference, not observed causal exposure reduction. Implementation, recipient contribution, residents, utility, net resources and cohort intersections are explicit judgments. Actual-period joint household logs retain full negatives.

clinical null: Cost: $1.5M; Denver health QALYs: 0.00; all-population health QALYs: 0.00. Income-equivalent healthy years: 0.49. Conditional local pollution policy reference, not observed causal exposure reduction. Implementation, recipient contribution, residents, utility, net resources and cohort intersections are explicit judgments. Actual-period joint household logs retain full negatives.

financial only: Cost: $1.5M; Denver health QALYs: 0.00; all-population health QALYs: 0.00. Income-equivalent healthy years: 0.49. Conditional local pollution policy reference, not observed causal exposure reduction. Implementation, recipient contribution, residents, utility, net resources and cohort intersections are explicit judgments. Actual-period joint household logs retain full negatives.

failed policy full effort: Cost: $1.5M; Denver health QALYs: 0.00; all-population health QALYs: 0.00. Income-equivalent healthy years: -0.01. Conditional local pollution policy reference, not observed causal exposure reduction. Implementation, recipient contribution, residents, utility, net resources and cohort intersections are explicit judgments. Actual-period joint household logs retain full negatives.

no attribution full effort: Cost: $1.5M; Denver health QALYs: 0.00; all-population health QALYs: 0.00. Income-equivalent healthy years: -0.01. Conditional local pollution policy reference, not observed causal exposure reduction. Implementation, recipient contribution, residents, utility, net resources and cohort intersections are explicit judgments. Actual-period joint household logs retain full negatives.

no exposure: Cost: $1.5M; Denver health QALYs: 0.00; all-population health QALYs: 0.00. Income-equivalent healthy years: 0.00. Conditional local pollution policy reference, not observed causal exposure reduction. Implementation, recipient contribution, residents, utility, net resources and cohort intersections are explicit judgments. Actual-period joint household logs retain full negatives.

no gift no exposure: Cost: $0; Denver health QALYs: 0.00; all-population health QALYs: 0.00. Income-equivalent healthy years: 0.00. Conditional local pollution policy reference, not observed causal exposure reduction. Implementation, recipient contribution, residents, utility, net resources and cohort intersections are explicit judgments. Actual-period joint household logs retain full negatives.

adverse: Cost: $1.5M; Denver health QALYs: -1.24; all-population health QALYs: -1.24. Income-equivalent healthy years: -1.10. Conditional local pollution policy reference, not observed causal exposure reduction. Implementation, recipient contribution, residents, utility, net resources and cohort intersections are explicit judgments. Actual-period joint household logs retain full negatives.

unknown: Cost: unknown; Denver health QALYs: unknown; all-population health QALYs: unknown. Conditional local pollution policy reference, not observed causal exposure reduction. Implementation, recipient contribution, residents, utility, net resources and cohort intersections are explicit judgments. Actual-period joint household logs retain full negatives.

no resources: Cost: $1.5M; Denver health QALYs: 3.70; all-population health QALYs: 3.70. Income-equivalent healthy years: -0.03. Conditional local pollution policy reference, not observed causal exposure reduction. Implementation, recipient contribution, residents, utility, net resources and cohort intersections are explicit judgments. Actual-period joint household logs retain full negatives.

short duration: Cost: $1.5M; Denver health QALYs: 1.27; all-population health QALYs: 1.27. Income-equivalent healthy years: 0.15. Conditional local pollution policy reference, not observed causal exposure reduction. Implementation, recipient contribution, residents, utility, net resources and cohort intersections are explicit judgments. Actual-period joint household logs retain full negatives.

five years: Cost: $1.5M; Denver health QALYs: 6.00; all-population health QALYs: 6.00. Income-equivalent healthy years: 0.81. Conditional local pollution policy reference, not observed causal exposure reduction. Implementation, recipient contribution, residents, utility, net resources and cohort intersections are explicit judgments. Actual-period joint household logs retain full negatives.

low attribution: Cost: $1.5M; Denver health QALYs: 1.23; all-population health QALYs: 1.23. Income-equivalent healthy years: 0.16. Conditional local pollution policy reference, not observed causal exposure reduction. Implementation, recipient contribution, residents, utility, net resources and cohort intersections are explicit judgments. Actual-period joint household logs retain full negatives.

high attribution: Cost: $1.5M; Denver health QALYs: 7.41; all-population health QALYs: 7.41. Income-equivalent healthy years: 0.98. Conditional local pollution policy reference, not observed causal exposure reduction. Implementation, recipient contribution, residents, utility, net resources and cohort intersections are explicit judgments. Actual-period joint household logs retain full negatives.

low implementation: Cost: $1.5M; Denver health QALYs: 1.23; all-population health QALYs: 1.23. Income-equivalent healthy years: 0.16. Conditional local pollution policy reference, not observed causal exposure reduction. Implementation, recipient contribution, residents, utility, net resources and cohort intersections are explicit judgments. Actual-period joint household logs retain full negatives.

implemented: Cost: $1.5M; Denver health QALYs: 12.36; all-population health QALYs: 12.36. Income-equivalent healthy years: 1.63. Conditional local pollution policy reference, not observed causal exposure reduction. Implementation, recipient contribution, residents, utility, net resources and cohort intersections are explicit judgments. Actual-period joint household logs retain full negatives.

half local: Cost: $1.5M; Denver health QALYs: 1.85; all-population health QALYs: 3.70. Income-equivalent healthy years: 0.24. Conditional local pollution policy reference, not observed causal exposure reduction. Implementation, recipient contribution, residents, utility, net resources and cohort intersections are explicit judgments. Actual-period joint household logs retain full negatives.

no local: Cost: $1.5M; Denver health QALYs: 0.00; all-population health QALYs: 0.00. Income-equivalent healthy years: 0.00. Conditional local pollution policy reference, not observed causal exposure reduction. Implementation, recipient contribution, residents, utility, net resources and cohort intersections are explicit judgments. Actual-period joint household logs retain full negatives.

no positive overlap: Cost: $1.5M; Denver health QALYs: 3.70; all-population health QALYs: 3.70. Income-equivalent healthy years: -0.03. Conditional local pollution policy reference, not observed causal exposure reduction. Implementation, recipient contribution, residents, utility, net resources and cohort intersections are explicit judgments. Actual-period joint household logs retain full negatives.

full positive overlap: Cost: $1.5M; Denver health QALYs: 3.70; all-population health QALYs: 3.70. Income-equivalent healthy years: 1.00. Conditional local pollution policy reference, not observed causal exposure reduction. Implementation, recipient contribution, residents, utility, net resources and cohort intersections are explicit judgments. Actual-period joint household logs retain full negatives.

negative overlap zero: Cost: $1.5M; Denver health QALYs: 3.70; all-population health QALYs: 3.70. Income-equivalent healthy years: -1.06. Conditional local pollution policy reference, not observed causal exposure reduction. Implementation, recipient contribution, residents, utility, net resources and cohort intersections are explicit judgments. Actual-period joint household logs retain full negatives.

negative overlap one: Cost: $1.5M; Denver health QALYs: 3.70; all-population health QALYs: 3.70. Income-equivalent healthy years: -1.06. Conditional local pollution policy reference, not observed causal exposure reduction. Implementation, recipient contribution, residents, utility, net resources and cohort intersections are explicit judgments. Actual-period joint household logs retain full negatives.

same year resource ledger: Cost: $1.5M; Denver health QALYs: 3.93; all-population health QALYs: 3.93. Income-equivalent healthy years: 0.52. Conditional local pollution policy reference, not observed causal exposure reduction. Implementation, recipient contribution, residents, utility, net resources and cohort intersections are explicit judgments. Actual-period joint household logs retain full negatives.

fractional year overlap: Cost: $1.5M; Denver health QALYs: 3.87; all-population health QALYs: 3.87. Income-equivalent healthy years: 0.51. Conditional local pollution policy reference, not observed causal exposure reduction. Implementation, recipient contribution, residents, utility, net resources and cohort intersections are explicit judgments. Actual-period joint household logs retain full negatives.

fractional duration overlap: Cost: $1.5M; Denver health QALYs: 0.67; all-population health QALYs: 0.67. Income-equivalent healthy years: 0.06. Conditional local pollution policy reference, not observed causal exposure reduction. Implementation, recipient contribution, residents, utility, net resources and cohort intersections are explicit judgments. Actual-period joint household logs retain full negatives.

five year delay: Cost: $1.5M; Denver health QALYs: 3.39; all-population health QALYs: 3.39. Income-equivalent healthy years: 0.44. Conditional local pollution policy reference, not observed causal exposure reduction. Implementation, recipient contribution, residents, utility, net resources and cohort intersections are explicit judgments. Actual-period joint household logs retain full negatives.

no effort cost: Cost: $1.5M; Denver health QALYs: 3.70; all-population health QALYs: 3.70. Income-equivalent healthy years: 0.49. Conditional local pollution policy reference, not observed causal exposure reduction. Implementation, recipient contribution, residents, utility, net resources and cohort intersections are explicit judgments. Actual-period joint household logs retain full negatives.

high effort: Cost: $1.5M; Denver health QALYs: 3.70; all-population health QALYs: 3.70. Income-equivalent healthy years: 0.44. Conditional local pollution policy reference, not observed causal exposure reduction. Implementation, recipient contribution, residents, utility, net resources and cohort intersections are explicit judgments. Actual-period joint household logs retain full negatives.

no compliance cost: Cost: $1.5M; Denver health QALYs: 3.70; all-population health QALYs: 3.70. Income-equivalent healthy years: 0.50. Conditional local pollution policy reference, not observed causal exposure reduction. Implementation, recipient contribution, residents, utility, net resources and cohort intersections are explicit judgments. Actual-period joint household logs retain full negatives.

high compliance cost: Cost: $1.5M; Denver health QALYs: 3.70; all-population health QALYs: 3.70. Income-equivalent healthy years: 0.41. Conditional local pollution policy reference, not observed causal exposure reduction. Implementation, recipient contribution, residents, utility, net resources and cohort intersections are explicit judgments. Actual-period joint household logs retain full negatives.

no displacement: Cost: $1.5M; Denver health QALYs: 3.70; all-population health QALYs: 3.70. Income-equivalent healthy years: 0.50. Conditional local pollution policy reference, not observed causal exposure reduction. Implementation, recipient contribution, residents, utility, net resources and cohort intersections are explicit judgments. Actual-period joint household logs retain full negatives.

higher net resource gain: Cost: $1.5M; Denver health QALYs: 3.70; all-population health QALYs: 3.70. Income-equivalent healthy years: 1.51. Conditional local pollution policy reference, not observed causal exposure reduction. Implementation, recipient contribution, residents, utility, net resources and cohort intersections are explicit judgments. Actual-period joint household logs retain full negatives.

double cost: Cost: $3.0M; Denver health QALYs: 3.70; all-population health QALYs: 3.70. Income-equivalent healthy years: 0.49. Conditional local pollution policy reference, not observed causal exposure reduction. Implementation, recipient contribution, residents, utility, net resources and cohort intersections are explicit judgments. Actual-period joint household logs retain full negatives.

environmental recognized cost: Cost: $432K; Denver health QALYs: 3.70; all-population health QALYs: 3.70. Income-equivalent healthy years: 0.49. Conditional local pollution policy reference, not observed causal exposure reduction. Implementation, recipient contribution, residents, utility, net resources and cohort intersections are explicit judgments. Actual-period joint household logs retain full negatives.

exclude fiscal sponsorship: Cost: $1.2M; Denver health QALYs: 3.70; all-population health QALYs: 3.70. Income-equivalent healthy years: 0.49. Conditional local pollution policy reference, not observed causal exposure reduction. Implementation, recipient contribution, residents, utility, net resources and cohort intersections are explicit judgments. Actual-period joint household logs retain full negatives.

half population: Cost: $1.5M; Denver health QALYs: 1.85; all-population health QALYs: 1.85. Income-equivalent healthy years: 0.23. Conditional local pollution policy reference, not observed causal exposure reduction. Implementation, recipient contribution, residents, utility, net resources and cohort intersections are explicit judgments. Actual-period joint household logs retain full negatives.

double population: Cost: $1.5M; Denver health QALYs: 7.41; all-population health QALYs: 7.41. Income-equivalent healthy years: 1.00. Conditional local pollution policy reference, not observed causal exposure reduction. Implementation, recipient contribution, residents, utility, net resources and cohort intersections are explicit judgments. Actual-period joint household logs retain full negatives.

failed policy worker loss gated: Cost: $1.5M; Denver health QALYs: 0.00; all-population health QALYs: 0.00. Income-equivalent healthy years: -0.01. Conditional local pollution policy reference, not observed causal exposure reduction. Implementation, recipient contribution, residents, utility, net resources and cohort intersections are explicit judgments. Actual-period joint household logs retain full negatives.

zero population effort remains: Cost: $1.5M; Denver health QALYs: 0.00; all-population health QALYs: 0.00. Income-equivalent healthy years: -0.03. Conditional local pollution policy reference, not observed causal exposure reduction. Implementation, recipient contribution, residents, utility, net resources and cohort intersections are explicit judgments. Actual-period joint household logs retain full negatives.

advocates outside benefit cohort: Cost: $1.5M; Denver health QALYs: 3.70; all-population health QALYs: 3.70. Income-equivalent healthy years: 0.49. Conditional local pollution policy reference, not observed causal exposure reduction. Implementation, recipient contribution, residents, utility, net resources and cohort intersections are explicit judgments. Actual-period joint household logs retain full negatives.

all displaced workers overlap benefits: Cost: $1.5M; Denver health QALYs: 3.70; all-population health QALYs: 3.70. Income-equivalent healthy years: 0.49. Conditional local pollution policy reference, not observed causal exposure reduction. Implementation, recipient contribution, residents, utility, net resources and cohort intersections are explicit judgments. Actual-period joint household logs retain full negatives.

workers also advocates: Cost: $1.5M; Denver health QALYs: 3.70; all-population health QALYs: 3.70. Income-equivalent healthy years: 0.49. Conditional local pollution policy reference, not observed causal exposure reduction. Implementation, recipient contribution, residents, utility, net resources and cohort intersections are explicit judgments. Actual-period joint household logs retain full negatives.

same year all shared: Cost: $1.5M; Denver health QALYs: 3.93; all-population health QALYs: 3.93. Income-equivalent healthy years: 0.52. Conditional local pollution policy reference, not observed causal exposure reduction. Implementation, recipient contribution, residents, utility, net resources and cohort intersections are explicit judgments. Actual-period joint household logs retain full negatives.

same year no positive benefit: Cost: $1.5M; Denver health QALYs: 3.93; all-population health QALYs: 3.93. Income-equivalent healthy years: -0.03. Conditional local pollution policy reference, not observed causal exposure reduction. Implementation, recipient contribution, residents, utility, net resources and cohort intersections are explicit judgments. Actual-period joint household logs retain full negatives.

three full year mean cost: Cost: $1.6M; Denver health QALYs: 3.70; all-population health QALYs: 3.70. Income-equivalent healthy years: 0.49. Conditional local pollution policy reference, not observed causal exposure reduction. Implementation, recipient contribution, residents, utility, net resources and cohort intersections are explicit judgments. Actual-period joint household logs retain full negatives.

Counterfactual: Existing regulatory enforcement, baseline industry obligations, other COCA coalition members and public services absent added recipient advocacy.

Attribution: Implementation .3 is delivered incremental abatement/exposure change beyond legal adoption; recipient contribution .15 is incremental influence versus statutory enforcement and coalition alternatives. Neither is an observed causal coefficient or extra donor multiplier.

Current adopted controls are verified; actual local implementation, concentrations, health size, income, residence and household intersections remain uncertain. Central price stays conditional and unchanged, not proof no learning or measured causal effectiveness.

Sensitivity

  • clinical null: $3.1M per DALY. Conditional local pollution policy reference, not observed causal exposure reduction. Implementation, recipient contribution, residents, utility, net resources and cohort intersections are explicit judgments. Actual-period joint household logs retain full negatives.
  • financial only: $3.1M per DALY. Conditional local pollution policy reference, not observed causal exposure reduction. Implementation, recipient contribution, residents, utility, net resources and cohort intersections are explicit judgments. Actual-period joint household logs retain full negatives.
  • failed policy full effort: no finite positive estimate. Conditional local pollution policy reference, not observed causal exposure reduction. Implementation, recipient contribution, residents, utility, net resources and cohort intersections are explicit judgments. Actual-period joint household logs retain full negatives.
  • no attribution full effort: no finite positive estimate. Conditional local pollution policy reference, not observed causal exposure reduction. Implementation, recipient contribution, residents, utility, net resources and cohort intersections are explicit judgments. Actual-period joint household logs retain full negatives.
  • no exposure: no finite positive estimate. Conditional local pollution policy reference, not observed causal exposure reduction. Implementation, recipient contribution, residents, utility, net resources and cohort intersections are explicit judgments. Actual-period joint household logs retain full negatives.
  • no gift no exposure: no finite positive estimate. Conditional local pollution policy reference, not observed causal exposure reduction. Implementation, recipient contribution, residents, utility, net resources and cohort intersections are explicit judgments. Actual-period joint household logs retain full negatives.
  • adverse: no finite positive estimate. Conditional local pollution policy reference, not observed causal exposure reduction. Implementation, recipient contribution, residents, utility, net resources and cohort intersections are explicit judgments. Actual-period joint household logs retain full negatives.
  • unknown: no finite positive estimate. Conditional local pollution policy reference, not observed causal exposure reduction. Implementation, recipient contribution, residents, utility, net resources and cohort intersections are explicit judgments. Actual-period joint household logs retain full negatives.
  • no resources: $410K per DALY. Conditional local pollution policy reference, not observed causal exposure reduction. Implementation, recipient contribution, residents, utility, net resources and cohort intersections are explicit judgments. Actual-period joint household logs retain full negatives.
  • short duration: $1.1M per DALY. Conditional local pollution policy reference, not observed causal exposure reduction. Implementation, recipient contribution, residents, utility, net resources and cohort intersections are explicit judgments. Actual-period joint household logs retain full negatives.
  • five years: $222K per DALY. Conditional local pollution policy reference, not observed causal exposure reduction. Implementation, recipient contribution, residents, utility, net resources and cohort intersections are explicit judgments. Actual-period joint household logs retain full negatives.
  • low attribution: $1.1M per DALY. Conditional local pollution policy reference, not observed causal exposure reduction. Implementation, recipient contribution, residents, utility, net resources and cohort intersections are explicit judgments. Actual-period joint household logs retain full negatives.
  • high attribution: $180K per DALY. Conditional local pollution policy reference, not observed causal exposure reduction. Implementation, recipient contribution, residents, utility, net resources and cohort intersections are explicit judgments. Actual-period joint household logs retain full negatives.
  • low implementation: $1.1M per DALY. Conditional local pollution policy reference, not observed causal exposure reduction. Implementation, recipient contribution, residents, utility, net resources and cohort intersections are explicit judgments. Actual-period joint household logs retain full negatives.
  • implemented: $108K per DALY. Conditional local pollution policy reference, not observed causal exposure reduction. Implementation, recipient contribution, residents, utility, net resources and cohort intersections are explicit judgments. Actual-period joint household logs retain full negatives.
  • half local: $720K per DALY. Conditional local pollution policy reference, not observed causal exposure reduction. Implementation, recipient contribution, residents, utility, net resources and cohort intersections are explicit judgments. Actual-period joint household logs retain full negatives.
  • no local: no finite positive estimate. Conditional local pollution policy reference, not observed causal exposure reduction. Implementation, recipient contribution, residents, utility, net resources and cohort intersections are explicit judgments. Actual-period joint household logs retain full negatives.
  • no positive overlap: $410K per DALY. Conditional local pollution policy reference, not observed causal exposure reduction. Implementation, recipient contribution, residents, utility, net resources and cohort intersections are explicit judgments. Actual-period joint household logs retain full negatives.
  • full positive overlap: $321K per DALY. Conditional local pollution policy reference, not observed causal exposure reduction. Implementation, recipient contribution, residents, utility, net resources and cohort intersections are explicit judgments. Actual-period joint household logs retain full negatives.
  • negative overlap zero: $570K per DALY. Conditional local pollution policy reference, not observed causal exposure reduction. Implementation, recipient contribution, residents, utility, net resources and cohort intersections are explicit judgments. Actual-period joint household logs retain full negatives.
  • negative overlap one: $570K per DALY. Conditional local pollution policy reference, not observed causal exposure reduction. Implementation, recipient contribution, residents, utility, net resources and cohort intersections are explicit judgments. Actual-period joint household logs retain full negatives.
  • same year resource ledger: $339K per DALY. Conditional local pollution policy reference, not observed causal exposure reduction. Implementation, recipient contribution, residents, utility, net resources and cohort intersections are explicit judgments. Actual-period joint household logs retain full negatives.
  • fractional year overlap: $344K per DALY. Conditional local pollution policy reference, not observed causal exposure reduction. Implementation, recipient contribution, residents, utility, net resources and cohort intersections are explicit judgments. Actual-period joint household logs retain full negatives.
  • fractional duration overlap: $2.0M per DALY. Conditional local pollution policy reference, not observed causal exposure reduction. Implementation, recipient contribution, residents, utility, net resources and cohort intersections are explicit judgments. Actual-period joint household logs retain full negatives.
  • five year delay: $393K per DALY. Conditional local pollution policy reference, not observed causal exposure reduction. Implementation, recipient contribution, residents, utility, net resources and cohort intersections are explicit judgments. Actual-period joint household logs retain full negatives.
  • no effort cost: $359K per DALY. Conditional local pollution policy reference, not observed causal exposure reduction. Implementation, recipient contribution, residents, utility, net resources and cohort intersections are explicit judgments. Actual-period joint household logs retain full negatives.
  • high effort: $364K per DALY. Conditional local pollution policy reference, not observed causal exposure reduction. Implementation, recipient contribution, residents, utility, net resources and cohort intersections are explicit judgments. Actual-period joint household logs retain full negatives.
  • no compliance cost: $359K per DALY. Conditional local pollution policy reference, not observed causal exposure reduction. Implementation, recipient contribution, residents, utility, net resources and cohort intersections are explicit judgments. Actual-period joint household logs retain full negatives.
  • high compliance cost: $367K per DALY. Conditional local pollution policy reference, not observed causal exposure reduction. Implementation, recipient contribution, residents, utility, net resources and cohort intersections are explicit judgments. Actual-period joint household logs retain full negatives.
  • no displacement: $359K per DALY. Conditional local pollution policy reference, not observed causal exposure reduction. Implementation, recipient contribution, residents, utility, net resources and cohort intersections are explicit judgments. Actual-period joint household logs retain full negatives.
  • higher net resource gain: $289K per DALY. Conditional local pollution policy reference, not observed causal exposure reduction. Implementation, recipient contribution, residents, utility, net resources and cohort intersections are explicit judgments. Actual-period joint household logs retain full negatives.
  • double cost: $720K per DALY. Conditional local pollution policy reference, not observed causal exposure reduction. Implementation, recipient contribution, residents, utility, net resources and cohort intersections are explicit judgments. Actual-period joint household logs retain full negatives.
  • environmental recognized cost: $103K per DALY. Conditional local pollution policy reference, not observed causal exposure reduction. Implementation, recipient contribution, residents, utility, net resources and cohort intersections are explicit judgments. Actual-period joint household logs retain full negatives.
  • exclude fiscal sponsorship: $280K per DALY. Conditional local pollution policy reference, not observed causal exposure reduction. Implementation, recipient contribution, residents, utility, net resources and cohort intersections are explicit judgments. Actual-period joint household logs retain full negatives.
  • half population: $725K per DALY. Conditional local pollution policy reference, not observed causal exposure reduction. Implementation, recipient contribution, residents, utility, net resources and cohort intersections are explicit judgments. Actual-period joint household logs retain full negatives.
  • double population: $179K per DALY. Conditional local pollution policy reference, not observed causal exposure reduction. Implementation, recipient contribution, residents, utility, net resources and cohort intersections are explicit judgments. Actual-period joint household logs retain full negatives.
  • failed policy worker loss gated: no finite positive estimate. Conditional local pollution policy reference, not observed causal exposure reduction. Implementation, recipient contribution, residents, utility, net resources and cohort intersections are explicit judgments. Actual-period joint household logs retain full negatives.
  • zero population effort remains: no finite positive estimate. Conditional local pollution policy reference, not observed causal exposure reduction. Implementation, recipient contribution, residents, utility, net resources and cohort intersections are explicit judgments. Actual-period joint household logs retain full negatives.
  • advocates outside benefit cohort: $360K per DALY. Conditional local pollution policy reference, not observed causal exposure reduction. Implementation, recipient contribution, residents, utility, net resources and cohort intersections are explicit judgments. Actual-period joint household logs retain full negatives.
  • all displaced workers overlap benefits: $360K per DALY. Conditional local pollution policy reference, not observed causal exposure reduction. Implementation, recipient contribution, residents, utility, net resources and cohort intersections are explicit judgments. Actual-period joint household logs retain full negatives.
  • workers also advocates: $360K per DALY. Conditional local pollution policy reference, not observed causal exposure reduction. Implementation, recipient contribution, residents, utility, net resources and cohort intersections are explicit judgments. Actual-period joint household logs retain full negatives.
  • same year all shared: $339K per DALY. Conditional local pollution policy reference, not observed causal exposure reduction. Implementation, recipient contribution, residents, utility, net resources and cohort intersections are explicit judgments. Actual-period joint household logs retain full negatives.
  • same year no positive benefit: $387K per DALY. Conditional local pollution policy reference, not observed causal exposure reduction. Implementation, recipient contribution, residents, utility, net resources and cohort intersections are explicit judgments. Actual-period joint household logs retain full negatives.
  • three full year mean cost: $379K per DALY. Conditional local pollution policy reference, not observed causal exposure reduction. Implementation, recipient contribution, residents, utility, net resources and cohort intersections are explicit judgments. Actual-period joint household logs retain full negatives.

Unresolved inputs

  • Delivered policy implementation and measured exposure reduction
  • Incremental recipient contribution versus coalition/public enforcement
  • Local exposed residents and household overlap
  • Clinical utility/duration and net resources
  • Payer/job incidence and marginal donor capacity

Health and income breakdown

For the modeled $1.5M: 3.70 health QALYs + 0.49 income-equivalent healthy years in Denver: $360K per DALY. Income equivalents are welfare comparisons, not observed QALYs or DALYs.

Method and caveats.

5. Funding and previous grants

The 10,000 resident envelope, .5 household grouping, .3 incremental implemented-abatement probability, .15 recipient attribution, three-year effect and two-year delay are judgments. All modeled affected residents are assumed within Denver CBSA19740; this is not headquarters-based attribution of statewide programs. The $100 household gain is net after taxes, benefit withdrawal, work costs and otherwise-paid medical costs, not gross salaries, child wages, retail pollution value or survivor earnings. Positive gains alone receive .5 overlap adjustment. Thirty active advocate household equivalents and $10 annual net participation cost are judgments, not deduplicated testimonies. The reference explicitly assumes advocates are within the potential beneficiary household envelope; their changed subset overlaps delayed gains. Costs occur in year zero and are not capitalized into future consumption. Same-period components are jointly logged; different-year costs and benefits remain separate, including fractional delay/duration. Full advocate costs and process harm survive failed implementation/attribution. Conditional compliance costs $20,000 and 20 worker households with $1,000 net losses arise only when the incremental policy is implemented; worker and payer cohorts are explicitly assumed distinct centrally, not observed, with worker/beneficiary/advocate overlap stress tests. Compliance resources and worker losses last one modeled year, whereas benefits last three; duration alternatives are transparent, not permanent forecasts. Global payer loss associated with local implementation is included once. Unknown donor expansion capacity and additional public/partner resources preclude a next-gift claim. The payer group is assumed distinct from benefit households and advocates; 10,000 payer households is a modeled incidence population, not observed separate people. Worker-advocate overlap scenarios cover workers already inside the beneficiary cohort only, not every possible intersection of nonbeneficiary advocates, workers and payers. Distinct resident clinical units are not reduced by the .5 household resource grouping.

Annual expenses

Organization-level spending, including programs, administration and fundraising. The research list averages three comparable, consecutive full fiscal years when available.

  • FY 2023: $1.6M; org:cultivando, 12-month period, IRS full functional expenses plus netted direct event expenses. Source
  • FY 2024: $1.7M; org:cultivando, 12-month period, IRS full functional expenses plus netted direct event expenses. Source
  • FY 2025: $1.5M; org:cultivando, 12-month period, IRS full functional expenses plus netted direct event expenses. Source

6. Sources

  1. 2025 primary annual report and rulemaking participation. Cultivando. Published: not stated; retrieved: 2026-10-06.
  2. Own direct donation route. Cultivando. Published: not stated; retrieved: 2026-10-06.
  3. Original FY2025 IRS return. IRS original filing. Published: not stated; retrieved: 2026-10-06.
  4. Original FY2024 IRS return. IRS original filing. Published: not stated; retrieved: 2026-10-06.
  5. Original FY2023 IRS return. IRS original filing. Published: not stated; retrieved: 2026-10-06.
  6. Health and logarithmic income comparison. Coefficient Giving. Published: not stated; retrieved: 2026-10-06.
  7. Official AQCC 2024–2025 annual report. Colorado Air Quality Control Commission. Published: not stated; retrieved: 2026-10-06.
  8. Original current Regulation 30, version 12561. Colorado Secretary of State / Air Quality Control Commission. Published: 2026-04-17; retrieved: 2026-10-07.
  9. Original refinery closure and labor supply natural experiment. Hanna and Oliva, Journal of Public Economics; author-hosted original. Published: 2015-02-01; retrieved: 2026-10-07.
  10. Original historical TSP and infant mortality research abstract. Chay and Greenstone, NBER. Published: 2003-10-01; retrieved: 2026-10-07.
  11. Original proposed April 2026 toxic-air control rulemaking. Colorado DORA / Air Quality Control Commission. Published: not stated; retrieved: 2026-10-07.