{"edition":"denver","organization":"Cultivando","organizationId":"org:cultivando","boundaryVersion":"OMB-23-01-2023-07-21","updated":"2026-10-07","display":{"metric":{"id":"daly-equivalent","years":1,"label":"DALY","priceLabel":"$ / DALY"},"priceUSD":359924.1420516166,"canonicalPriceUSDPerTenEquivalentYears":3599241.4205161664,"conversion":"display only; QALYs and income equivalents are not measured clinical DALYs"},"listDisplay":{"metric":{"id":"daly-equivalent","years":1,"label":"DALY","priceLabel":"$ / DALY"},"priceUSD":359924.1420516166,"canonicalPriceUSDPerTenEquivalentYears":3599241.4205161664,"conversion":"display only; QALYs and income equivalents are not measured clinical DALYs"},"model":{"version":"cultivando-beta-20261007","costScope":"Whole FY 2025 recognized recipient cost including sponsorship, against one policy benefit channel. Environmental cost 432384 and excluding 333654 sponsorship are scope diagnostics, not complete marginal cost.","geographicAttribution":"Potential residents are explicitly local North Denver/Commerce City CBSA 19740 hypothesis; g 1 represents that chosen local channel, not all organizational work. Texas and other nonlocal program benefits excluded as unknown.","formula":"Health = (resident N × implementation × recipient attribution × q × finite discounted duration − full current advocate process harm) × local share. Income uses explicit beneficiary/advocate/worker intersections and actual-period joint net resources; current advocate effort persists on failed policy, implemented compliance/job losses are gated. Price = 10C/(health + signed income equivalents) when positive.","counterfactual":"Existing regulatory enforcement, baseline industry obligations, other COCA coalition members and public services absent added recipient advocacy.","attribution":"Implementation .3 is delivered incremental abatement/exposure change beyond legal adoption; recipient contribution .15 is incremental influence versus statutory enforcement and coalition alternatives. Neither is an observed causal coefficient or extra donor multiplier.","uncertainty":"Current adopted controls are verified; actual local implementation, concentrations, health size, income, residence and household intersections remain uncertain. Central price stays conditional and unchanged, not proof no learning or measured causal effectiveness.","nativeOutcomes":"2025 coalition participation 20+leaders/30+testimonies, standards/rulemaking claims and community programs. No delivered causal emission-health cohort.","inputs":[{"name":"C","value":1508452,"unit":"USD annual","basis":"observed","rationale":"Original FY2025 full recipient expense, not an allocated pollution or gift budget.","sourceIds":["finance"]},{"name":"N","value":10000,"unit":"potential exposed residents","basis":"judgment","rationale":"Judged 10,000 potential local residents, not observed unique beneficiary count.","sourceIds":["services","current-rule","pollution-work","pollution-health","cg-cost"]},{"name":"householdShare","value":0.5,"unit":"model parameter","basis":"judgment","rationale":"Explicit finite conditional hypothesis; source monitoring and rule adoption do not measure this coefficient.","sourceIds":["services","current-rule","pollution-work","pollution-health","cg-cost"]},{"name":"engaged","value":30,"unit":"current advocate households, hypothesis","basis":"judgment","rationale":"Explicit finite conditional hypothesis; source monitoring and rule adoption do not measure this coefficient.","sourceIds":["services","current-rule","pollution-work","pollution-health","cg-cost"]},{"name":"advocateOverlap","value":1,"unit":"model parameter","basis":"judgment","rationale":"Central advocates are assumed within potential benefit households, not independent groups; changed subset is explicitly joint logged when periods overlap.","sourceIds":["services","current-rule","pollution-work","pollution-health","cg-cost"]},{"name":"implementation","value":0.3,"unit":"model parameter","basis":"judgment","rationale":"Judged .3 probability of delivered incremental abatement/exposure change beyond adopted rules.","sourceIds":["services","current-rule","pollution-work","pollution-health","cg-cost"]},{"name":"attribution","value":0.15,"unit":"model parameter","basis":"judgment","rationale":"Judged .15 recipient contribution versus other coalition and enforcement actors.","sourceIds":["services","current-rule","pollution-work","pollution-health","cg-cost"]},{"name":"q","value":0.003,"unit":"model parameter","basis":"judgment","rationale":"Judged .003 annual healthy-year gain conditional on real exposure reduction; no TSP or Mexico coefficient transported as local QALYs.","sourceIds":["services","current-rule","pollution-work","pollution-health","cg-cost"]},{"name":"T","value":3,"unit":"model parameter","basis":"judgment","rationale":"Explicit finite conditional hypothesis; source monitoring and rule adoption do not measure this coefficient.","sourceIds":["services","current-rule","pollution-work","pollution-health","cg-cost"]},{"name":"g","value":1,"unit":"model parameter","basis":"judgment","rationale":"Explicit finite conditional hypothesis; source monitoring and rule adoption do not measure this coefficient.","sourceIds":["services","current-rule","pollution-work","pollution-health","cg-cost"]},{"name":"delay","value":2,"unit":"model parameter","basis":"judgment","rationale":"Explicit finite conditional hypothesis; source monitoring and rule adoption do not measure this coefficient.","sourceIds":["services","current-rule","pollution-work","pollution-health","cg-cost"]},{"name":"r","value":0.03,"unit":"model parameter","basis":"judgment","rationale":"Explicit finite conditional hypothesis; source monitoring and rule adoption do not measure this coefficient.","sourceIds":["services","current-rule","pollution-work","pollution-health","cg-cost"]},{"name":"harm","value":0.0001,"unit":"model parameter","basis":"judgment","rationale":"Explicit finite conditional hypothesis; source monitoring and rule adoption do not measure this coefficient.","sourceIds":["services","current-rule","pollution-work","pollution-health","cg-cost"]},{"name":"resourceGain","value":100,"unit":"model parameter","basis":"judgment","rationale":"Judged $100 annual net household illness/work/medical resources, not gross earnings or property value.","sourceIds":["services","current-rule","pollution-work","pollution-health","cg-cost"]},{"name":"overlap","value":0.5,"unit":"model parameter","basis":"judgment","rationale":"Explicit finite conditional hypothesis; source monitoring and rule adoption do not measure this coefficient.","sourceIds":["services","current-rule","pollution-work","pollution-health","cg-cost"]},{"name":"cost","value":10,"unit":"model parameter","basis":"judgment","rationale":"Judged $10 net current-year advocate participation cost, independent of future policy success.","sourceIds":["services","current-rule","pollution-work","pollution-health","cg-cost"]},{"name":"baseline","value":30000,"unit":"model parameter","basis":"judgment","rationale":"Explicit finite conditional hypothesis; source monitoring and rule adoption do not measure this coefficient.","sourceIds":["services","current-rule","pollution-work","pollution-health","cg-cost"]},{"name":"payerPeople","value":10000,"unit":"model parameter","basis":"judgment","rationale":"Explicit finite conditional hypothesis; source monitoring and rule adoption do not measure this coefficient.","sourceIds":["services","current-rule","pollution-work","pollution-health","cg-cost"]},{"name":"payerBaseline","value":50000,"unit":"model parameter","basis":"judgment","rationale":"Explicit finite conditional hypothesis; source monitoring and rule adoption do not measure this coefficient.","sourceIds":["services","current-rule","pollution-work","pollution-health","cg-cost"]},{"name":"externalCost","value":20000,"unit":"model parameter","basis":"judgment","rationale":"Judged one-year unrecognized compliance resources conditional on incremental implementation; distinct global payers associated with local channel.","sourceIds":["services","current-rule","pollution-work","pollution-health","cg-cost"]},{"name":"displacedPeople","value":20,"unit":"model parameter","basis":"judgment","rationale":"Explicit finite conditional hypothesis; source monitoring and rule adoption do not measure this coefficient.","sourceIds":["services","current-rule","pollution-work","pollution-health","cg-cost"]},{"name":"displacedGain","value":-1000,"unit":"model parameter","basis":"judgment","rationale":"Explicit finite conditional hypothesis; source monitoring and rule adoption do not measure this coefficient.","sourceIds":["services","current-rule","pollution-work","pollution-health","cg-cost"]},{"name":"workerOverlap","value":0,"unit":"model parameter","basis":"judgment","rationale":"Central zero is an explicitly disjoint worker-versus-beneficiary assumption, not observed; full overlap scenarios test same-household net losses.","sourceIds":["services","current-rule","pollution-work","pollution-health","cg-cost"]},{"name":"workerAdvocateOverlap","value":0,"unit":"model parameter","basis":"judgment","rationale":"Within shared worker-beneficiary households, tested overlap with advocate subset; no independent additive log for the same period.","sourceIds":["services","current-rule","pollution-work","pollution-health","cg-cost"]}],"scenarios":[{"id":"central","label":"central","overrides":{},"costUSD":1508452,"exposed":10000,"households":5000,"union":450,"changed":225,"advocateBenefits":1.3499999999999999,"workerBenefits":0,"joint":0,"editionQalys":3.7044032321435134,"allPopulationQalys":3.7044032321435134,"incomePathways":[{"id":"beneficiary-advocate-period-0","people":1.3499999999999999,"annualIncomeBeforeUSD":30000,"annualIncomeGainUSD":-10,"years":1,"delayYears":0,"discountRate":0.03,"editionShare":1,"rationale":"Joint actual-period resources for explicitly overlapping households. 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Implementation, recipient contribution, residents, utility, net resources and cohort intersections are explicit judgments. Actual-period joint household logs retain full negatives."},{"label":"same year all shared","pricePer10Qalys":3392242.4451925005,"assumptions":"Conditional local pollution policy reference, not observed causal exposure reduction. Implementation, recipient contribution, residents, utility, net resources and cohort intersections are explicit judgments. Actual-period joint household logs retain full negatives."},{"label":"same year no positive benefit","pricePer10Qalys":3866911.0918238554,"assumptions":"Conditional local pollution policy reference, not observed causal exposure reduction. Implementation, recipient contribution, residents, utility, net resources and cohort intersections are explicit judgments. Actual-period joint household logs retain full negatives."},{"label":"three full year mean cost","pricePer10Qalys":3789853.385709195,"assumptions":"Conditional local pollution policy reference, not observed causal exposure reduction. Implementation, recipient contribution, residents, utility, net resources and cohort intersections are explicit judgments. Actual-period joint household logs retain full negatives."}],"missingInputs":["Delivered policy implementation and measured exposure reduction","Incremental recipient contribution versus coalition/public enforcement","Local exposed residents and household overlap","Clinical utility/duration and net resources","Payer/job incidence and marginal donor capacity"]},"sources":[{"id":"services","title":"2025 primary annual report and rulemaking participation","url":"https://cultivando.org/wp-content/uploads/2026/05/Cultivando-Annual-Report-2025.pdf","publisher":"Cultivando","published":null,"retrieved":"2026-10-06"},{"id":"identity","title":"Own direct donation route","url":"https://cultivando.org/donate/","publisher":"Cultivando","published":null,"retrieved":"2026-10-06"},{"id":"finance","title":"Original FY2025 IRS return","url":"https://projects.propublica.org/nonprofits/full_text/202631989349301403/IRS990","publisher":"IRS original filing","published":null,"retrieved":"2026-10-06"},{"id":"finance2024","title":"Original FY2024 IRS return","url":"https://projects.propublica.org/nonprofits/full_text/202541409349300019/IRS990","publisher":"IRS original filing","published":null,"retrieved":"2026-10-06"},{"id":"finance2023","title":"Original FY2023 IRS return","url":"https://projects.propublica.org/nonprofits/full_text/202421789349301327/IRS990","publisher":"IRS original filing","published":null,"retrieved":"2026-10-06"},{"id":"cg-cost","title":"Health and logarithmic income comparison","url":"https://coefficientgiving.org/research/cost-effectiveness/","publisher":"Coefficient Giving","published":null,"retrieved":"2026-10-06"},{"id":"state-rule","title":"Official AQCC 2024–2025 annual report","url":"https://spl.cde.state.co.us/artemis/heserials/he211internet/he211202425internet.pdf","publisher":"Colorado Air Quality Control Commission","published":null,"retrieved":"2026-10-06"},{"id":"current-rule","title":"Original current Regulation 30, version 12561","url":"https://www.sos.state.co.us/CCR/GenerateRulePdf.do?ruleVersionId=12561&fileName=5%20CCR%201001-34","publisher":"Colorado Secretary of State / Air Quality Control Commission","published":"2026-04-17","retrieved":"2026-10-07"},{"id":"pollution-work","title":"Original refinery closure and labor supply natural experiment","url":"https://remahanna.scholars.harvard.edu/sites/g/files/omnuum3176/files/remahanna/files/11_jpube_labor_supply.pdf","publisher":"Hanna and Oliva, Journal of Public Economics; author-hosted original","published":"2015-02-01","retrieved":"2026-10-07"},{"id":"pollution-health","title":"Original historical TSP and infant mortality research abstract","url":"https://www.nber.org/papers/w10053","publisher":"Chay and Greenstone, NBER","published":"2003-10-01","retrieved":"2026-10-07"},{"id":"rulemaking","title":"Original proposed April 2026 toxic-air control rulemaking","url":"https://www.dora.state.co.us/pls/real/SB121_Web.Show_Rules?p_agency_id=88&p_called_from=CALENDAR&p_hearing_date=15-APR-26","publisher":"Colorado DORA / Air Quality Control Commission","published":null,"retrieved":"2026-10-07"}]}