GiveBetter x SF

California Immunization Coalition

Statewide vaccine policy, access, provider education, communication, and coalition support

Research time: ~18 min on GPT-6 Astra Lite + GPT-5.6 Sol
  • Research — reviewed programs, finances and impact evidence.

Published: 10 September 2026.

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Summary

What do they do? CIC, EIN 94-3318502, is a statewide 501(c)(3) supporting vaccine policy/access, provider and public communication, the annual summit, local coalitions and partner advocacy. Vaccinate California is profiled as a parent advocacy group; the modeled legal entity is CIC. More

Why this approach interests us

  • California policy has quasi-experimentally increased vaccination coverage, and CIC is a small statewide coalition with current policy/access and provider-communication work.

Our main reservations

  • CIC reports no current CIC-attributable coverage outcome, policy counterfactual, or priced next-gift campaign. Partners, lawmakers, agencies and providers share causality.

What do you get for your dollar?

A $100,000 reasoned-prior illustration is $41.9M donor and $46.1M illustrative gross resources per 10 QALYs. Central is $228M; a 5%-weight favorable policy case is $2.28M donor and supplies 91.75% of weighted benefit. Inspect the model, assumptions and scenarios.

modeled ordinary gift
$41.9M — prior-weighted donor cost per 10 modeled QALYs; 40% null and 10% harm
central
$228M — donor cost per 10 modeled QALYs
favorable policy stress
$2.28M — donor cost; 5% weight, 91.75% of weighted QALYs, and $5.66M gross proxy
bay / sf share
20% / 2% — statewide population-share priors; SF nested in Bay
funding room
Plausible, unpriced — 6.0 months net assets and a deficit, but $100K is 23.7% of expense

1. What do they do?

CIC, EIN 94-3318502, is a statewide 501(c)(3) supporting vaccine policy/access, provider and public communication, the annual summit, local coalitions and partner advocacy. Vaccinate California is profiled as a parent advocacy group; the modeled legal entity is CIC.

Support policy and access

Advocate for policies and programs that preserve evidence-based vaccine access.

Educate providers and the public

Maintain resources, communications, webinars and annual summit programming.

Coordinate coalitions

Connect local coalitions, professional groups, public health and parent advocates.

Scope of this review. Training, convening, downloads and communications receive no direct QALY credit. Only a bounded policy-to-uptake chain is quantified against full FY2024 expense.

2. Monitoring and information sharing

California kindergarten vaccination coverage

Prespecified synthetic control plus county difference-in-differences. SB277 associated with +3.3pp MMR and +4.3pp overall county coverage.

Our assessment. Policy mechanism benchmark only; not CIC attribution.

California kindergarteners

State school-entry trend analysis. Not-up-to-date share fell 7.15% to 4.42% in year one; replacement pathways and partial year-two reversal remained.

Our assessment. Supports downside and nonpersistence.

117M US children born 1994–2023

CDC economic disease model. Routine vaccination modeled to prevent 508M illnesses, 32M hospitalizations and 1.129M deaths.

Our assessment. Full schedule versus no vaccination; not marginal CIC effect.

Whole CIC legal organization

IRS Form 990. FY2024 revenue $402,482, expense $422,714, deficit $20,232, net assets $213,077.

Our assessment. Full expense denominator; marginal absorption unknown.

3. Qualitative assessment

California policy has quasi-experimentally increased vaccination coverage, and CIC is a small statewide coalition with current policy/access and provider-communication work.

Key reservations

  • No current CIC-specific policy, uptake, morbidity or mortality outcome is identified.
  • Historical SB277 evidence is a mechanism benchmark, not proof of future policy production.
  • Organization attribution among coalition partners, government and providers is highly uncertain.
  • QALY per coverage-affected child uses MMR-only historical components and a judgmental modern marginal transfer; it is not an observed CIC effect.
  • Potential polarization, adverse events, replacement exemptions and education effects appear in harm/downside boundaries.
  • Gross resources omit unmeasured advocacy partners and public-health infrastructure and do not net avoided costs.
  • Bay/SF shares are statewide priors, not measured beneficiaries.

Benefits not included in our estimate

  • Provider knowledge
  • Public confidence
  • Summit and networking value
  • Local coalition capacity
  • Policy spillovers outside California
  • Avoided medical spending
  • Equity, trust and preparedness benefits not captured by vaccination QALYs

4. What do you get for your dollar?

Prior-weighted gift $41.9M/10 QALYs; favorable stress $2.28M/10.

SB277's 3.3-point MMR coverage estimate, multiplied by a rounded 500K kindergarten cohort, creates 16,500 MMR-coverage-affected child-equivalents—not a CIC outcome. Annual policy-equivalent production, CIC attribution, MMR-specific finite health calibration, deployability and realization are separate inputs.

A better life is our comparison unit of 10 additional quality-adjusted life years (QALYs), potentially spread across people. These are uncertain estimates, not measured returns or verified donation offers.

How we calculate the estimate

CENTRAL GIFT: 16,500 × 5% annual policy-equivalent × 5% CIC attribution × 0.001511 QALY × ($100K/$422,714) × 35% deployability × 85% realization
0.0043865 QALY; $227,970,996 donor per 10 QALYs

Model inputs and assumptions
SB277-scale MMR-coverage-affected children
16,500 (range: 3.3% × rounded 500K cohort). Synthetic-control MMR coverage estimate; rounded cohort is an analyst scale input. Low as scale, not CIC outcome.
Annual policy-equivalent fraction
5% (range: 1% / 0 / 5% / 20%). No current CIC-attributable policy outcome; scenario prior. Very low.
CIC share
5% (range: 2% harm / 0 / 5% / 15%). Lawmakers, agencies, clinicians, funders and coalition partners share causality. Very low.
Finite QALY per MMR-coverage-affected child
0.001511 (range: −0.0002 / 0 / 0.001511 / 0.006060). MMR-only CDC death/illness/hospital rows form a historical upper calibration, then 5%/15% modern marginal transfer is applied. Very low.
Deployability and realization
35% × 85% (range: 25%×75% / 35%×80% / 35%×85% / 65%×95%). $100K is large relative to CIC expense and no priced marginal campaign is public. Low.
High-side full-schedule resource proxy
$2,050/affected child (range: fixed illustration). CDC $240B full nine-vaccine program cost / 117M children; intentionally high-side and not a matched marginal MMR price. Low proxy.

  • Harm 10%: Net harm. −0.000029 gift QALY.
  • Null 40%: No positive QALYs. Gift spent; stand-alone cost infinite.
  • Central 45%: $228M donor / $242M gross. 0.0043865 gift QALY.
  • Favorable 5%: $2.28M donor / $5.66M gross. 0.438230 gift QALY; 91.75% of weighted benefit.
  • Weighted: $41.9M donor / $46.1M gross. 0.023883 signed gift QALY.
  • No favorable: $482M donor. 0.002075 renormalized gift QALY.

Uncertainty. All CIC attribution, annual policy, QALY, gift and geography values are analyst priors, not confidence intervals or observed outcomes. The favorable case drives the headline.

5. Funding and previous grants

Obtain a dated next-$100,000 policy campaign, measurable decision target, partner contribution budget, and post-policy uptake design.

FY2024 expense $422,714, deficit $20,232 and net assets $213,077 suggest some room, but no priced marginal campaign or grant-displacement analysis exists.

This review does not establish a verified marginal funding offer or a complete history of grants.

Donate

Opens the organization’s giving page. A general donation may not fund the specific activity modeled here; confirm allocation with the recipient.

6. Sources

  1. Donate. California Immunization Coalition. Official identity, donation and current scope. Published: Updated 2026-07-29; retrieved: 2026-09-10.
  2. Homepage and 2026 activities. California Immunization Coalition. Official organization activity page. Published: Current 2026; retrieved: 2026-09-10.
  3. Vaccinate California. California Immunization Coalition. Official partner/program profile and historical policy claim. Published: Current profile; retrieved: 2026-09-10.
  4. California Immunization Coalition, EIN 94-3318502. IRS via ProPublica Nonprofit Explorer. IRS Form 990 data. Published: FY2024 filing, filed 2025-11-12; retrieved: 2026-09-10.
  5. The 2016 California policy to eliminate nonmedical vaccine exemptions and changes in vaccine coverage. PLOS Medicine / PubMed Central. Peer-reviewed quasi-experimental policy analysis. Published: 2019; retrieved: 2026-09-10.
  6. Elimination of Nonmedical Immunization Exemptions in California and School-Entry Vaccine Status. Pediatrics / PubMed Central. Peer-reviewed policy analysis. Published: 2019; retrieved: 2026-09-10.
  7. Health and Economic Benefits of Routine Childhood Immunizations in the Era of the Vaccines for Children Program—United States, 1994–2023. CDC MMWR. Government health and economic model. Published: 2024-08-08; retrieved: 2026-09-10.

Annual expenses: years and sources

Average annual expenses (three consecutive fiscal years): Not available. Organization size is separate from the modeled cost-effectiveness of a donation.

California Immunization Coalition

Three years of organization-level expenses have not yet been verified for this report. No other organization or fiscal sponsor budget has been substituted.