Inner City Law Center

Recipient-wide annual cost, not tenant-defense program cost. The central reconstruction adds the separately reported donated legal-service valuation to 2024 gross accrual Form 990 expenses. It is not an audited full-resource amount: the $146,191 reconciliation gap remains. Sensitivities use Form 990 gross expense excluding donated legal services and the impact report's stated total. The numerator prices only short-term eviction-related health, not a whole-portfolio return or full societal analysis.

LA MSA is Los Angeles and Orange counties. Direct legal services are Los Angeles-focused; g=.98 is a judgment allowance for beneficiary residence outside the boundary, not an observed geocoded share. Statewide policy spillovers are unpriced.

Q_all=N*d*a*b*q/(1+r); Q_LA=g*Q_all; price10=10*C/Q_LA. N=875 reported prevention outcomes; d=.8 unique relevant index clients; a=.25 genuinely incremental versus alternatives; b=.5 marginal funding response; q=.06 utility improvement for .5 year=.03 QALY; r=.03 one-year delay; g=.98; C=20,326,674+76,793+12,354,422=32,757,889. No household-size multiplier, recurring annual credit or separate hospital/benefits QALYs.

C_990

20403467 USD per 2024 recipient-year (observed). Part IX total plus Part VIII line 8b; no gaming or inventory cost shown. [iclc-99024]

C_donated

12354422 USD valued donated professional services per year (observed). Report valuation; potential accounting reconciliation uncertainty, not an incremental cash need. [iclc-impact24]

N

875 reported eviction-prevention outcomes in 2024 (observed). Provider claim, not counterfactual effects. [iclc-impact24]

d

0.8 distinct relevant index clients per reported outcome (judgment). Deduplication and classification allowance; .6–1 scenarios, no empirical ICLC rate.

a

0.25 incremental prevention fraction versus other assistance (judgment). Judgment informed by positive and null legal-aid trials; not their ITT coefficient or an ICLC causal rate. [greiner-district] [greiner-housing]

b

0.5 funding-responsive share after finance substitution (judgment). No current unrestricted marginal case schedule; range includes zero.

q

0.03 undiscounted QALYs per additional prevention (judgment). One index person improves utility by .06 for six months. Research supports health relevance, not this utility. No lifetime, mortality, household or earnings addition. [collinson]

g

0.98 LA beneficiary share for priced direct-service outcomes (judgment). Los Angeles service focus with residence allowance .9–1; no statewide policy allocation. [iclc-programs]

r

0.03 annual discount rate; one-year delivery delay (judgment). Finite one-year timing adjustment; q already has six-month duration.

Conditional eviction-health component, reconstructed resources: Cost: $32.8M; Los Angeles QALYs: 2.4975728155339803; all-population QALYs: 2.5485436893203883. d=.8, a=.25, b=.5, q=.03, g=.98; not a whole-portfolio return.

Weak transfer and substantial substitution: Cost: $32.8M; Los Angeles QALYs: 0.02867111650485437; all-population QALYs: 0.031856796116504854. d=.6, a=.05, b=.25, q=.005, g=.9.

Stronger conditional housing-health pathway: Cost: $32.8M; Los Angeles QALYs: 31.856796116504853; all-population QALYs: 31.856796116504853. d=1, a=.5, b=.75, q=.1 for at most one year, g=1; no lifetime benefits.

No marginal outcome or health effect: Cost: $32.8M; Los Angeles QALYs: 0; all-population QALYs: 0. a, b or q is zero; no finite health price.

Original Form 990 gross expense excluding donated legal services: Cost: $20.4M; Los Angeles QALYs: 2.4975728155339803; all-population QALYs: 2.5485436893203883. Excludes donated professional resources; does not imply they have zero opportunity cost.

Impact-report total; reconciliation remains unverified: Cost: $32.6M; Los Angeles QALYs: 2.4975728155339803; all-population QALYs: 2.5485436893203883. Financial discrepancy sensitivity, not a verified audit total.

Counterfactual: Existing public contracts, right-to-counsel programs, limited assistance, other counsel, tenant self-help and settlements continue. a concerns legal outcome additionality at case level; b separately concerns whether more unrestricted resources change volume rather than replace existing finance. Already enacted policy wins are not new-gift benefits.

Attribution: No coalition policy credit is claimed. d reduces possible repeated or insufficiently defined prevention records. Only one index client receives the finite utility benefit; financial recovery and family members are not added.

Subjective conditional component model, not a causal estimate of ICLC or probability confidence interval. External trials justify a possible legal mechanism and a zero scenario, not these parameter values. Utility conversion is an explicit prior. Unpriced portfolio may dominate, so do not use this component price as a complete rank.

Sensitivity

• Central price is approximately $131.2m per ten LA QALYs, versus $81.7m on Form 990 gross expense; favorable component assumptions yield about $10.3m. Zero is not excluded.
• For a whole-portfolio $1m per ten QALYs price, annual attributable LA health benefit must reach 327.57889 QALYs at reconstructed resource cost; at $100k it must reach 3275.7889. This is a diagnostic, not a claim that legal benefits are all health.
• Halving funding responsiveness or utility doubles the conditional component price. Other portfolio outcomes are not assigned a convenient multiplier.

Unresolved inputs

• Reconciled 2024 audit and accessible 2025 financial statements, including gross netted costs and donated resources.
• Unique case-level prevention definition, counterfactual housing retention and six/twelve-month outcomes.
• Current donation-sensitive volume, public-contract restrictions and alternative-provider capacity.
• Measured health utility and separate causal benefit/policy outcomes with overlap and LA allocation.