Hunger Free Colorado

FY June2025 full annual cost is $5,030,480: $5,007,591 functional expenses plus $22,889 netted fundraising expenses. Comparable FY2024 $5,550,876 and FY2023 $6,295,996 give mean $5,625,784. Recognized client-services expense $3,008,512 is an annual channel sensitivity without fully allocated overhead, not a marginal gift. Whole annual cost against a limited SNAP service channel is conservative on omitted benefits but not whole-portfolio EV. The59.6MB2025 annual report exceeded web retrieval limits and was not reviewed; matched original IRS native narrative was read. Current health 0.031150386968986737 and signed resource equivalents 10.353536685280094 give $484K per DALY versus $4,716,794.07 previously. The modest change comes from requiring actual modeled SNAP receipt for clinical benefit, not observed HFC deterioration. The original payer formula is retained and clarified: beneficiary geography selects corresponding transfers; global payer welfare itself is not geographically discounted. An adverse local-benefit/all-statewide-payer boundary can be nonpositive because nonlocal recipient gains are omitted. Its paired all-statewide benefits-and-payers reference is $2184958.38, not a Denver ranking. Recognized client-services cost is not fully allocated SNAP-only or marginal cost.

Current own donation HTML links the EveryAction form endpoint, which returned HTTP 200 without any transaction or verified receipt. Added annual donor capacity remains unmeasured. FoodGain $2,000 is judged net restricted food-consumption resources after withdrawals/offsets, not gross SNAP entitlement, retail food or wages. Positive resource gains receive .6 overlap; negative gains and $10 NET additional access/time costs versus county/self-application remain full. Approved and other application households have separate joint same-year logs. The central global public-payer loss equals the full $2,000 transfer associated with modeled Denver recipients, with no overlap discount. Payer distribution over 10,000 households and $50,000 baseline is a judgment, not empirical federal incidence. A Denver-only taxpayer-share case is separately labeled and not confused with allocating recipient transfers. Household $15,000 baseline, one-year receipt and .1-year engagement delay are judgments. School recipient households and engagement households are assumed distinct in standalone sensitivities; child wages, cafeteria gross salaries and implementation from passing a bill are not counted.

SNAP health=[N*unique*b*success*eligible*completion*response*q*discountedYears - N*unique*fullProcessHarm*discount]*g. Resources=.5*people*discountedYears*log(after/before), joint same-household gains/full costs; full corresponding global transfer payer losses separate. Price=10*C/(health+signed resource equivalents). School policy standalone only.

C

5030480 USD annual (observed). Observed matched FY June2025 full IRS expenses, including $22,889 netted fundraising. [finance]

N

17357 annual application households (FY2025 observed envelope) (observed). Observed 17,357 annual HFC-plus-partner application households; not approvals or HFC-only outcomes. [finance]

unique

1 model parameter (judgment). Explicit finite conditional judgment; not observed HFC clinical utility, net resources or causal policy attribution.

b

0.15 model parameter (judgment). Explicit finite conditional judgment; not observed HFC clinical utility, net resources or causal policy attribution.

success

0.6 model parameter (judgment). Judged .6 receipt probability, shared by SNAP resources and SNAP-dependent health; external randomized navigation trial is not a per-application estimate. [snap-rct] [snap-foodsecurity]

eligible

0.3 model parameter (judgment). Judged .3 health-compatible index-person household subgroup, not SNAP financial eligibility or a measured patient cohort. [snap-rct] [snap-foodsecurity]

completion

1 model parameter (judgment). Explicit finite conditional judgment; not observed HFC clinical utility, net resources or causal policy attribution.

response

0.2 model parameter (judgment). Explicit finite conditional judgment; not observed HFC clinical utility, net resources or causal policy attribution. [snap-rct] [snap-foodsecurity]

q

0.01 model parameter (judgment). Explicit finite conditional judgment; not observed HFC clinical utility, net resources or causal policy attribution.

T

1 model parameter (judgment). Explicit finite conditional judgment; not observed HFC clinical utility, net resources or causal policy attribution.

g

0.45 model parameter (judgment). Judged .45 ten-county Denver recipient share; selects corresponding transfers, not taxpayer residence.

delay

0.1 model parameter (judgment). Explicit finite conditional judgment; not observed HFC clinical utility, net resources or causal policy attribution.

r

0.03 model parameter (judgment). Explicit finite conditional judgment; not observed HFC clinical utility, net resources or causal policy attribution.

harm

0.00005 model parameter (judgment). Explicit finite conditional judgment; not observed HFC clinical utility, net resources or causal policy attribution.

workGain

0 model parameter (judgment). Explicit finite conditional judgment; not observed HFC clinical utility, net resources or causal policy attribution.

foodGain

2000 model parameter (judgment). Judged $2,000 net constrained food consumption after offsets/withdrawals, with full corresponding public-payer transfer loss.

overlap

0.6 model parameter (judgment). Explicit finite conditional judgment; not observed HFC clinical utility, net resources or causal policy attribution.

cost

10 model parameter (judgment). Judged $10 NET incremental time/access burden relative to county/self application, on all exposed households even failed receipt.

baseline

15000 model parameter (judgment). Explicit finite conditional judgment; not observed HFC clinical utility, net resources or causal policy attribution.

payerLoss

2000 model parameter (judgment). Full public-payer transfer cost per changed household, without positive-overlap reduction.

externalCost

0 model parameter (judgment). Explicit finite conditional judgment; not observed HFC clinical utility, net resources or causal policy attribution.

payerPeople

10000 model parameter (judgment). Explicit finite conditional judgment; not observed HFC clinical utility, net resources or causal policy attribution.

payerBaseline

50000 model parameter (judgment). Explicit finite conditional judgment; not observed HFC clinical utility, net resources or causal policy attribution.

payerShare

1 model parameter (judgment). Global taxpayer welfare share 1; Denver-only share sensitivity is a separate judgment.

schoolN

0 model parameter (judgment). Explicit finite conditional judgment; not observed HFC clinical utility, net resources or causal policy attribution.

schoolAttribution

0.01 model parameter (judgment). Explicit finite conditional judgment; not observed HFC clinical utility, net resources or causal policy attribution.

schoolAdditional

0.5 model parameter (judgment). Explicit finite conditional judgment; not observed HFC clinical utility, net resources or causal policy attribution.

schoolImplementation

1 model parameter (judgment). Explicit finite conditional judgment; not observed HFC clinical utility, net resources or causal policy attribution.

schoolQ

0.001 model parameter (judgment). Explicit finite conditional judgment; not observed HFC clinical utility, net resources or causal policy attribution.

schoolYears

1 model parameter (judgment). Explicit finite conditional judgment; not observed HFC clinical utility, net resources or causal policy attribution.

schoolHousehold

0.8 model parameter (judgment). Explicit finite conditional judgment; not observed HFC clinical utility, net resources or causal policy attribution.

schoolFoodGain

300 model parameter (judgment). Explicit finite conditional judgment; not observed HFC clinical utility, net resources or causal policy attribution.

schoolPayerLoss

500 model parameter (judgment). Explicit finite conditional judgment; not observed HFC clinical utility, net resources or causal policy attribution.

schoolEngaged

0 model parameter (judgment). Explicit finite conditional judgment; not observed HFC clinical utility, net resources or causal policy attribution.

schoolCost

10 model parameter (judgment). Explicit finite conditional judgment; not observed HFC clinical utility, net resources or causal policy attribution.

schoolHarm

0.00005 model parameter (judgment). Explicit finite conditional judgment; not observed HFC clinical utility, net resources or causal policy attribution.

central: Cost: $5.0M; Denver health QALYs: 0.03; all-population health QALYs: 0.07. Income-equivalent healthy years: 10.35. FullFY2025 recipient cost against a conditional SNAP-navigation channel; native applications not approvals. Local recipient welfare plus separately assessed global public-payer losses; central counts full global payer losses associated with Denver transfers. The explicitly asymmetric full-state payer stress omits other-state recipient gains; paired statewide welfare is available. School policy is a standalone finite sensitivity, never additive to overlapping SNAP households. All causal/resource/utility/geographic coefficients judged, not empirical HFC EV.

clinical null: Cost: $5.0M; Denver health QALYs: -0.39; all-population health QALYs: -0.87. Income-equivalent healthy years: 10.35. FullFY2025 recipient cost against a conditional SNAP-navigation channel; native applications not approvals. Local recipient welfare plus separately assessed global public-payer losses; central counts full global payer losses associated with Denver transfers. The explicitly asymmetric full-state payer stress omits other-state recipient gains; paired statewide welfare is available. School policy is a standalone finite sensitivity, never additive to overlapping SNAP households. All causal/resource/utility/geographic coefficients judged, not empirical HFC EV.

financial only: Cost: $5.0M; Denver health QALYs: 0.00; all-population health QALYs: 0.00. Income-equivalent healthy years: 10.35. FullFY2025 recipient cost against a conditional SNAP-navigation channel; native applications not approvals. Local recipient welfare plus separately assessed global public-payer losses; central counts full global payer losses associated with Denver transfers. The explicitly asymmetric full-state payer stress omits other-state recipient gains; paired statewide welfare is available. School policy is a standalone finite sensitivity, never additive to overlapping SNAP households. All causal/resource/utility/geographic coefficients judged, not empirical HFC EV.

failed benefits full burdens: Cost: $5.0M; Denver health QALYs: -0.39; all-population health QALYs: -0.87. Income-equivalent healthy years: -2.60. FullFY2025 recipient cost against a conditional SNAP-navigation channel; native applications not approvals. Local recipient welfare plus separately assessed global public-payer losses; central counts full global payer losses associated with Denver transfers. The explicitly asymmetric full-state payer stress omits other-state recipient gains; paired statewide welfare is available. School policy is a standalone finite sensitivity, never additive to overlapping SNAP households. All causal/resource/utility/geographic coefficients judged, not empirical HFC EV.

no receipt full burdens: Cost: $5.0M; Denver health QALYs: -0.39; all-population health QALYs: -0.87. Income-equivalent healthy years: -2.60. FullFY2025 recipient cost against a conditional SNAP-navigation channel; native applications not approvals. Local recipient welfare plus separately assessed global public-payer losses; central counts full global payer losses associated with Denver transfers. The explicitly asymmetric full-state payer stress omits other-state recipient gains; paired statewide welfare is available. School policy is a standalone finite sensitivity, never additive to overlapping SNAP households. All causal/resource/utility/geographic coefficients judged, not empirical HFC EV.

no exposure: Cost: $5.0M; Denver health QALYs: 0.00; all-population health QALYs: 0.00. Income-equivalent healthy years: 0.00. FullFY2025 recipient cost against a conditional SNAP-navigation channel; native applications not approvals. Local recipient welfare plus separately assessed global public-payer losses; central counts full global payer losses associated with Denver transfers. The explicitly asymmetric full-state payer stress omits other-state recipient gains; paired statewide welfare is available. School policy is a standalone finite sensitivity, never additive to overlapping SNAP households. All causal/resource/utility/geographic coefficients judged, not empirical HFC EV.

no gift no exposure: Cost: $0; Denver health QALYs: 0.00; all-population health QALYs: 0.00. Income-equivalent healthy years: 0.00. FullFY2025 recipient cost against a conditional SNAP-navigation channel; native applications not approvals. Local recipient welfare plus separately assessed global public-payer losses; central counts full global payer losses associated with Denver transfers. The explicitly asymmetric full-state payer stress omits other-state recipient gains; paired statewide welfare is available. School policy is a standalone finite sensitivity, never additive to overlapping SNAP households. All causal/resource/utility/geographic coefficients judged, not empirical HFC EV.

adverse: Cost: $5.0M; Denver health QALYs: -39.78; all-population health QALYs: -88.40. Income-equivalent healthy years: -0.64. FullFY2025 recipient cost against a conditional SNAP-navigation channel; native applications not approvals. Local recipient welfare plus separately assessed global public-payer losses; central counts full global payer losses associated with Denver transfers. The explicitly asymmetric full-state payer stress omits other-state recipient gains; paired statewide welfare is available. School policy is a standalone finite sensitivity, never additive to overlapping SNAP households. All causal/resource/utility/geographic coefficients judged, not empirical HFC EV.

unknown: Cost: unknown; Denver health QALYs: unknown; all-population health QALYs: unknown. FullFY2025 recipient cost against a conditional SNAP-navigation channel; native applications not approvals. Local recipient welfare plus separately assessed global public-payer losses; central counts full global payer losses associated with Denver transfers. The explicitly asymmetric full-state payer stress omits other-state recipient gains; paired statewide welfare is available. School policy is a standalone finite sensitivity, never additive to overlapping SNAP households. All causal/resource/utility/geographic coefficients judged, not empirical HFC EV.

no recipient resources full payer loss: Cost: $5.0M; Denver health QALYs: 0.03; all-population health QALYs: 0.07. Income-equivalent healthy years: -16.63. FullFY2025 recipient cost against a conditional SNAP-navigation channel; native applications not approvals. Local recipient welfare plus separately assessed global public-payer losses; central counts full global payer losses associated with Denver transfers. The explicitly asymmetric full-state payer stress omits other-state recipient gains; paired statewide welfare is available. School policy is a standalone finite sensitivity, never additive to overlapping SNAP households. All causal/resource/utility/geographic coefficients judged, not empirical HFC EV.

clinical response null: Cost: $5.0M; Denver health QALYs: -0.39; all-population health QALYs: -0.87. Income-equivalent healthy years: 10.35. FullFY2025 recipient cost against a conditional SNAP-navigation channel; native applications not approvals. Local recipient welfare plus separately assessed global public-payer losses; central counts full global payer losses associated with Denver transfers. The explicitly asymmetric full-state payer stress omits other-state recipient gains; paired statewide welfare is available. School policy is a standalone finite sensitivity, never additive to overlapping SNAP households. All causal/resource/utility/geographic coefficients judged, not empirical HFC EV.

short health: Cost: $5.0M; Denver health QALYs: -0.28; all-population health QALYs: -0.63. Income-equivalent healthy years: 10.35. FullFY2025 recipient cost against a conditional SNAP-navigation channel; native applications not approvals. Local recipient welfare plus separately assessed global public-payer losses; central counts full global payer losses associated with Denver transfers. The explicitly asymmetric full-state payer stress omits other-state recipient gains; paired statewide welfare is available. School policy is a standalone finite sensitivity, never additive to overlapping SNAP households. All causal/resource/utility/geographic coefficients judged, not empirical HFC EV.

low additionality: Cost: $5.0M; Denver health QALYs: -0.11; all-population health QALYs: -0.24. Income-equivalent healthy years: 6.04. FullFY2025 recipient cost against a conditional SNAP-navigation channel; native applications not approvals. Local recipient welfare plus separately assessed global public-payer losses; central counts full global payer losses associated with Denver transfers. The explicitly asymmetric full-state payer stress omits other-state recipient gains; paired statewide welfare is available. School policy is a standalone finite sensitivity, never additive to overlapping SNAP households. All causal/resource/utility/geographic coefficients judged, not empirical HFC EV.

all additionality: Cost: $5.0M; Denver health QALYs: 2.41; all-population health QALYs: 5.36. Income-equivalent healthy years: 82.98. FullFY2025 recipient cost against a conditional SNAP-navigation channel; native applications not approvals. Local recipient welfare plus separately assessed global public-payer losses; central counts full global payer losses associated with Denver transfers. The explicitly asymmetric full-state payer stress omits other-state recipient gains; paired statewide welfare is available. School policy is a standalone finite sensitivity, never additive to overlapping SNAP households. All causal/resource/utility/geographic coefficients judged, not empirical HFC EV.

half local transfers full corresponding global payers: Cost: $5.0M; Denver health QALYs: 0.02; all-population health QALYs: 0.07. Income-equivalent healthy years: 5.18. FullFY2025 recipient cost against a conditional SNAP-navigation channel; native applications not approvals. Local recipient welfare plus separately assessed global public-payer losses; central counts full global payer losses associated with Denver transfers. The explicitly asymmetric full-state payer stress omits other-state recipient gains; paired statewide welfare is available. School policy is a standalone finite sensitivity, never additive to overlapping SNAP households. All causal/resource/utility/geographic coefficients judged, not empirical HFC EV.

no local benefits no corresponding transfers: Cost: $5.0M; Denver health QALYs: 0.00; all-population health QALYs: 0.00. Income-equivalent healthy years: 0.00. FullFY2025 recipient cost against a conditional SNAP-navigation channel; native applications not approvals. Local recipient welfare plus separately assessed global public-payer losses; central counts full global payer losses associated with Denver transfers. The explicitly asymmetric full-state payer stress omits other-state recipient gains; paired statewide welfare is available. School policy is a standalone finite sensitivity, never additive to overlapping SNAP households. All causal/resource/utility/geographic coefficients judged, not empirical HFC EV.

all statewide benefits and payers: Cost: $5.0M; Denver health QALYs: 0.07; all-population health QALYs: 0.07. Income-equivalent healthy years: 22.95. FullFY2025 recipient cost against a conditional SNAP-navigation channel; native applications not approvals. Local recipient welfare plus separately assessed global public-payer losses; central counts full global payer losses associated with Denver transfers. The explicitly asymmetric full-state payer stress omits other-state recipient gains; paired statewide welfare is available. School policy is a standalone finite sensitivity, never additive to overlapping SNAP households. All causal/resource/utility/geographic coefficients judged, not empirical HFC EV.

all statewide payers local benefits adverse boundary: Cost: $5.0M; Denver health QALYs: 0.03; all-population health QALYs: 0.07. Income-equivalent healthy years: -6.86. FullFY2025 recipient cost against a conditional SNAP-navigation channel; native applications not approvals. Local recipient welfare plus separately assessed global public-payer losses; central counts full global payer losses associated with Denver transfers. The explicitly asymmetric full-state payer stress omits other-state recipient gains; paired statewide welfare is available. School policy is a standalone finite sensitivity, never additive to overlapping SNAP households. All causal/resource/utility/geographic coefficients judged, not empirical HFC EV.

Denver only payer incidence hypothesis: Cost: $5.0M; Denver health QALYs: 0.03; all-population health QALYs: 0.07. Income-equivalent healthy years: 24.25. FullFY2025 recipient cost against a conditional SNAP-navigation channel; native applications not approvals. Local recipient welfare plus separately assessed global public-payer losses; central counts full global payer losses associated with Denver transfers. The explicitly asymmetric full-state payer stress omits other-state recipient gains; paired statewide welfare is available. School policy is a standalone finite sensitivity, never additive to overlapping SNAP households. All causal/resource/utility/geographic coefficients judged, not empirical HFC EV.

no payer loss diagnostic: Cost: $5.0M; Denver health QALYs: 0.03; all-population health QALYs: 0.07. Income-equivalent healthy years: 24.39. FullFY2025 recipient cost against a conditional SNAP-navigation channel; native applications not approvals. Local recipient welfare plus separately assessed global public-payer losses; central counts full global payer losses associated with Denver transfers. The explicitly asymmetric full-state payer stress omits other-state recipient gains; paired statewide welfare is available. School policy is a standalone finite sensitivity, never additive to overlapping SNAP households. All causal/resource/utility/geographic coefficients judged, not empirical HFC EV.

no positive overlap: Cost: $5.0M; Denver health QALYs: 0.03; all-population health QALYs: 0.07. Income-equivalent healthy years: -16.63. FullFY2025 recipient cost against a conditional SNAP-navigation channel; native applications not approvals. Local recipient welfare plus separately assessed global public-payer losses; central counts full global payer losses associated with Denver transfers. The explicitly asymmetric full-state payer stress omits other-state recipient gains; paired statewide welfare is available. School policy is a standalone finite sensitivity, never additive to overlapping SNAP households. All causal/resource/utility/geographic coefficients judged, not empirical HFC EV.

full positive overlap: Cost: $5.0M; Denver health QALYs: 0.03; all-population health QALYs: 0.07. Income-equivalent healthy years: 27.26. FullFY2025 recipient cost against a conditional SNAP-navigation channel; native applications not approvals. Local recipient welfare plus separately assessed global public-payer losses; central counts full global payer losses associated with Denver transfers. The explicitly asymmetric full-state payer stress omits other-state recipient gains; paired statewide welfare is available. School policy is a standalone finite sensitivity, never additive to overlapping SNAP households. All causal/resource/utility/geographic coefficients judged, not empirical HFC EV.

negative overlap zero: Cost: $5.0M; Denver health QALYs: 0.03; all-population health QALYs: 0.07. Income-equivalent healthy years: -40.83. FullFY2025 recipient cost against a conditional SNAP-navigation channel; native applications not approvals. Local recipient welfare plus separately assessed global public-payer losses; central counts full global payer losses associated with Denver transfers. The explicitly asymmetric full-state payer stress omits other-state recipient gains; paired statewide welfare is available. School policy is a standalone finite sensitivity, never additive to overlapping SNAP households. All causal/resource/utility/geographic coefficients judged, not empirical HFC EV.

negative overlap one: Cost: $5.0M; Denver health QALYs: 0.03; all-population health QALYs: 0.07. Income-equivalent healthy years: -40.83. FullFY2025 recipient cost against a conditional SNAP-navigation channel; native applications not approvals. Local recipient welfare plus separately assessed global public-payer losses; central counts full global payer losses associated with Denver transfers. The explicitly asymmetric full-state payer stress omits other-state recipient gains; paired statewide welfare is available. School policy is a standalone finite sensitivity, never additive to overlapping SNAP households. All causal/resource/utility/geographic coefficients judged, not empirical HFC EV.

no net access cost: Cost: $5.0M; Denver health QALYs: 0.03; all-population health QALYs: 0.07. Income-equivalent healthy years: 12.93. FullFY2025 recipient cost against a conditional SNAP-navigation channel; native applications not approvals. Local recipient welfare plus separately assessed global public-payer losses; central counts full global payer losses associated with Denver transfers. The explicitly asymmetric full-state payer stress omits other-state recipient gains; paired statewide welfare is available. School policy is a standalone finite sensitivity, never additive to overlapping SNAP households. All causal/resource/utility/geographic coefficients judged, not empirical HFC EV.

high net access cost: Cost: $5.0M; Denver health QALYs: 0.03; all-population health QALYs: 0.07. Income-equivalent healthy years: -12.94. FullFY2025 recipient cost against a conditional SNAP-navigation channel; native applications not approvals. Local recipient welfare plus separately assessed global public-payer losses; central counts full global payer losses associated with Denver transfers. The explicitly asymmetric full-state payer stress omits other-state recipient gains; paired statewide welfare is available. School policy is a standalone finite sensitivity, never additive to overlapping SNAP households. All causal/resource/utility/geographic coefficients judged, not empirical HFC EV.

higher full transfer cost: Cost: $5.0M; Denver health QALYs: 0.03; all-population health QALYs: 0.07. Income-equivalent healthy years: -3.72. FullFY2025 recipient cost against a conditional SNAP-navigation channel; native applications not approvals. Local recipient welfare plus separately assessed global public-payer losses; central counts full global payer losses associated with Denver transfers. The explicitly asymmetric full-state payer stress omits other-state recipient gains; paired statewide welfare is available. School policy is a standalone finite sensitivity, never additive to overlapping SNAP households. All causal/resource/utility/geographic coefficients judged, not empirical HFC EV.

outside provider cost: Cost: $5.0M; Denver health QALYs: 0.03; all-population health QALYs: 0.07. Income-equivalent healthy years: 2.54. FullFY2025 recipient cost against a conditional SNAP-navigation channel; native applications not approvals. Local recipient welfare plus separately assessed global public-payer losses; central counts full global payer losses associated with Denver transfers. The explicitly asymmetric full-state payer stress omits other-state recipient gains; paired statewide welfare is available. School policy is a standalone finite sensitivity, never additive to overlapping SNAP households. All causal/resource/utility/geographic coefficients judged, not empirical HFC EV.

program recognized cost: Cost: $3.0M; Denver health QALYs: 0.03; all-population health QALYs: 0.07. Income-equivalent healthy years: 10.35. FullFY2025 recipient cost against a conditional SNAP-navigation channel; native applications not approvals. Local recipient welfare plus separately assessed global public-payer losses; central counts full global payer losses associated with Denver transfers. The explicitly asymmetric full-state payer stress omits other-state recipient gains; paired statewide welfare is available. School policy is a standalone finite sensitivity, never additive to overlapping SNAP households. All causal/resource/utility/geographic coefficients judged, not empirical HFC EV.

three full year mean cost: Cost: $5.6M; Denver health QALYs: 0.03; all-population health QALYs: 0.07. Income-equivalent healthy years: 10.35. FullFY2025 recipient cost against a conditional SNAP-navigation channel; native applications not approvals. Local recipient welfare plus separately assessed global public-payer losses; central counts full global payer losses associated with Denver transfers. The explicitly asymmetric full-state payer stress omits other-state recipient gains; paired statewide welfare is available. School policy is a standalone finite sensitivity, never additive to overlapping SNAP households. All causal/resource/utility/geographic coefficients judged, not empirical HFC EV.

full annual resource cost: Cost: $6.5M; Denver health QALYs: 0.03; all-population health QALYs: 0.07. Income-equivalent healthy years: 10.35. FullFY2025 recipient cost against a conditional SNAP-navigation channel; native applications not approvals. Local recipient welfare plus separately assessed global public-payer losses; central counts full global payer losses associated with Denver transfers. The explicitly asymmetric full-state payer stress omits other-state recipient gains; paired statewide welfare is available. School policy is a standalone finite sensitivity, never additive to overlapping SNAP households. All causal/resource/utility/geographic coefficients judged, not empirical HFC EV.

half cohort: Cost: $5.0M; Denver health QALYs: 0.02; all-population health QALYs: 0.03. Income-equivalent healthy years: 5.18. FullFY2025 recipient cost against a conditional SNAP-navigation channel; native applications not approvals. Local recipient welfare plus separately assessed global public-payer losses; central counts full global payer losses associated with Denver transfers. The explicitly asymmetric full-state payer stress omits other-state recipient gains; paired statewide welfare is available. School policy is a standalone finite sensitivity, never additive to overlapping SNAP households. All causal/resource/utility/geographic coefficients judged, not empirical HFC EV.

household deduplication: Cost: $5.0M; Denver health QALYs: 0.02; all-population health QALYs: 0.05. Income-equivalent healthy years: 7.25. FullFY2025 recipient cost against a conditional SNAP-navigation channel; native applications not approvals. Local recipient welfare plus separately assessed global public-payer losses; central counts full global payer losses associated with Denver transfers. The explicitly asymmetric full-state payer stress omits other-state recipient gains; paired statewide welfare is available. School policy is a standalone finite sensitivity, never additive to overlapping SNAP households. All causal/resource/utility/geographic coefficients judged, not empirical HFC EV.

higher net food resources: Cost: $5.0M; Denver health QALYs: 0.03; all-population health QALYs: 0.07. Income-equivalent healthy years: 21.33. FullFY2025 recipient cost against a conditional SNAP-navigation channel; native applications not approvals. Local recipient welfare plus separately assessed global public-payer losses; central counts full global payer losses associated with Denver transfers. The explicitly asymmetric full-state payer stress omits other-state recipient gains; paired statewide welfare is available. School policy is a standalone finite sensitivity, never additive to overlapping SNAP households. All causal/resource/utility/geographic coefficients judged, not empirical HFC EV.

no health compatible subgroup: Cost: $5.0M; Denver health QALYs: -0.39; all-population health QALYs: -0.87. Income-equivalent healthy years: 10.35. FullFY2025 recipient cost against a conditional SNAP-navigation channel; native applications not approvals. Local recipient welfare plus separately assessed global public-payer losses; central counts full global payer losses associated with Denver transfers. The explicitly asymmetric full-state payer stress omits other-state recipient gains; paired statewide welfare is available. School policy is a standalone finite sensitivity, never additive to overlapping SNAP households. All causal/resource/utility/geographic coefficients judged, not empirical HFC EV.

no completed health dose: Cost: $5.0M; Denver health QALYs: -0.39; all-population health QALYs: -0.87. Income-equivalent healthy years: 10.35. FullFY2025 recipient cost against a conditional SNAP-navigation channel; native applications not approvals. Local recipient welfare plus separately assessed global public-payer losses; central counts full global payer losses associated with Denver transfers. The explicitly asymmetric full-state payer stress omits other-state recipient gains; paired statewide welfare is available. School policy is a standalone finite sensitivity, never additive to overlapping SNAP households. All causal/resource/utility/geographic coefficients judged, not empirical HFC EV.

public transfer null: Cost: $5.0M; Denver health QALYs: 0.03; all-population health QALYs: 0.07. Income-equivalent healthy years: -2.60. FullFY2025 recipient cost against a conditional SNAP-navigation channel; native applications not approvals. Local recipient welfare plus separately assessed global public-payer losses; central counts full global payer losses associated with Denver transfers. The explicitly asymmetric full-state payer stress omits other-state recipient gains; paired statewide welfare is available. School policy is a standalone finite sensitivity, never additive to overlapping SNAP households. All causal/resource/utility/geographic coefficients judged, not empirical HFC EV.

withdrawals and fees: Cost: $5.0M; Denver health QALYs: 0.03; all-population health QALYs: 0.07. Income-equivalent healthy years: -28.52. FullFY2025 recipient cost against a conditional SNAP-navigation channel; native applications not approvals. Local recipient welfare plus separately assessed global public-payer losses; central counts full global payer losses associated with Denver transfers. The explicitly asymmetric full-state payer stress omits other-state recipient gains; paired statewide welfare is available. School policy is a standalone finite sensitivity, never additive to overlapping SNAP households. All causal/resource/utility/geographic coefficients judged, not empirical HFC EV.

one year delay: Cost: $5.0M; Denver health QALYs: 0.03; all-population health QALYs: 0.07. Income-equivalent healthy years: 10.08. FullFY2025 recipient cost against a conditional SNAP-navigation channel; native applications not approvals. Local recipient welfare plus separately assessed global public-payer losses; central counts full global payer losses associated with Denver transfers. The explicitly asymmetric full-state payer stress omits other-state recipient gains; paired statewide welfare is available. School policy is a standalone finite sensitivity, never additive to overlapping SNAP households. All causal/resource/utility/geographic coefficients judged, not empirical HFC EV.

half year resource receipt hypothesis: Cost: $5.0M; Denver health QALYs: 0.03; all-population health QALYs: 0.07. Income-equivalent healthy years: 4.14. FullFY2025 recipient cost against a conditional SNAP-navigation channel; native applications not approvals. Local recipient welfare plus separately assessed global public-payer losses; central counts full global payer losses associated with Denver transfers. The explicitly asymmetric full-state payer stress omits other-state recipient gains; paired statewide welfare is available. School policy is a standalone finite sensitivity, never additive to overlapping SNAP households. All causal/resource/utility/geographic coefficients judged, not empirical HFC EV.

standalone school implemented policy: Cost: $5.0M; Denver health QALYs: 0.02; all-population health QALYs: 0.04. Income-equivalent healthy years: -0.02. FullFY2025 recipient cost against a conditional SNAP-navigation channel; native applications not approvals. Local recipient welfare plus separately assessed global public-payer losses; central counts full global payer losses associated with Denver transfers. The explicitly asymmetric full-state payer stress omits other-state recipient gains; paired statewide welfare is available. School policy is a standalone finite sensitivity, never additive to overlapping SNAP households. All causal/resource/utility/geographic coefficients judged, not empirical HFC EV.

standalone school no implementation: Cost: $5.0M; Denver health QALYs: 0.00; all-population health QALYs: 0.00. Income-equivalent healthy years: -0.01. FullFY2025 recipient cost against a conditional SNAP-navigation channel; native applications not approvals. Local recipient welfare plus separately assessed global public-payer losses; central counts full global payer losses associated with Denver transfers. The explicitly asymmetric full-state payer stress omits other-state recipient gains; paired statewide welfare is available. School policy is a standalone finite sensitivity, never additive to overlapping SNAP households. All causal/resource/utility/geographic coefficients judged, not empirical HFC EV.

standalone school no recipient contribution: Cost: $5.0M; Denver health QALYs: 0.00; all-population health QALYs: 0.00. Income-equivalent healthy years: -0.01. FullFY2025 recipient cost against a conditional SNAP-navigation channel; native applications not approvals. Local recipient welfare plus separately assessed global public-payer losses; central counts full global payer losses associated with Denver transfers. The explicitly asymmetric full-state payer stress omits other-state recipient gains; paired statewide welfare is available. School policy is a standalone finite sensitivity, never additive to overlapping SNAP households. All causal/resource/utility/geographic coefficients judged, not empirical HFC EV.

standalone school clinical null: Cost: $5.0M; Denver health QALYs: 0.00; all-population health QALYs: 0.00. Income-equivalent healthy years: -0.02. FullFY2025 recipient cost against a conditional SNAP-navigation channel; native applications not approvals. Local recipient welfare plus separately assessed global public-payer losses; central counts full global payer losses associated with Denver transfers. The explicitly asymmetric full-state payer stress omits other-state recipient gains; paired statewide welfare is available. School policy is a standalone finite sensitivity, never additive to overlapping SNAP households. All causal/resource/utility/geographic coefficients judged, not empirical HFC EV.

standalone school adverse health: Cost: $5.0M; Denver health QALYs: -0.02; all-population health QALYs: -0.05. Income-equivalent healthy years: -0.02. FullFY2025 recipient cost against a conditional SNAP-navigation channel; native applications not approvals. Local recipient welfare plus separately assessed global public-payer losses; central counts full global payer losses associated with Denver transfers. The explicitly asymmetric full-state payer stress omits other-state recipient gains; paired statewide welfare is available. School policy is a standalone finite sensitivity, never additive to overlapping SNAP households. All causal/resource/utility/geographic coefficients judged, not empirical HFC EV.

standalone school matched local transfer: Cost: $5.0M; Denver health QALYs: 0.02; all-population health QALYs: 0.04. Income-equivalent healthy years: -0.02. FullFY2025 recipient cost against a conditional SNAP-navigation channel; native applications not approvals. Local recipient welfare plus separately assessed global public-payer losses; central counts full global payer losses associated with Denver transfers. The explicitly asymmetric full-state payer stress omits other-state recipient gains; paired statewide welfare is available. School policy is a standalone finite sensitivity, never additive to overlapping SNAP households. All causal/resource/utility/geographic coefficients judged, not empirical HFC EV.

standalone school short duration: Cost: $5.0M; Denver health QALYs: 0.01; all-population health QALYs: 0.02. Income-equivalent healthy years: -0.02. FullFY2025 recipient cost against a conditional SNAP-navigation channel; native applications not approvals. Local recipient welfare plus separately assessed global public-payer losses; central counts full global payer losses associated with Denver transfers. The explicitly asymmetric full-state payer stress omits other-state recipient gains; paired statewide welfare is available. School policy is a standalone finite sensitivity, never additive to overlapping SNAP households. All causal/resource/utility/geographic coefficients judged, not empirical HFC EV.

Historical alpha diagnostic: original own health and signed income: Cost: $5.0M; Denver health QALYs: 0.31; all-population health QALYs: 0.69. Income-equivalent healthy years: 10.35. Preserved original diagnostic, not current price.

Counterfactual: County and self application, other navigators and public food programs; external Pennsylvania elderly trial transported only as mechanism evidence.

Attribution: Mabli and Worthington studied about 3,000 households with children using cross-sectional and longitudinal quasi-experimental comparisons and found roughly one-third lower odds of child food insecurity after six months. Food insecurity is not measured QALYs or a utility conversion. Reference additionality .15, receipt .6, health-compatible household share .3, completed dose 1, response .2 and utility .01 for one year remain conditional hypotheses. Clinical index-person health now requires receipt: N*unique*b*success*eligible*completion*response. Application household grouping does not count every child as an independently treated patient. No receipt or additionality retains full applicant burdens but no SNAP health. County application, self-application and other navigators are alternatives. Public school meals actually launched in 2023–24 at participating school food authorities; wage and local-purchasing components depend on appropriations. Coalition influence, extra participation and causal health remain unknown. Standalone school-policy scenarios test finite hypothetical children and distinct advocate households, not an observed HFC cohort, and cannot be added to the overlapping SNAP ledger.

Hypotheses and boundary sensitivities, not empirical HFC EV or confidence intervals. FY2025 reach cannot establish current eligibility or donor capacity.

Sensitivity

• Receipt gates dependent clinical health; success zero retains full access costs and process harms.
• Central full global payer losses correspond only to Denver transfers. Local-benefit/all-statewide payer case exposes asymmetric scope; all-statewide benefits-and-payers pairs it.
• School meals are implemented, but HFC-specific increment is unknown; standalone numerical sensitivity is not additive to SNAP.
• Recognized program-cost, complete three-year mean, half-year receipt, alternative providers and signed losses tested.

Unresolved inputs

• Unique approved current household cohort by county and partner
• Net resource amounts, duration and public payer incidence
• Causal nutrition utility and other-provider alternative access
• Policy implementation, attribution, displacement and finite benefits
• Next-gift capacity and allocated client-service costs
• Actual new approvals and sustained receipt relative to self/county application
• Index-person utility and actual household consumption/withdrawals
• Implemented school-meal increment, household overlap and federal payer incidence