GiveBetter x Chicago

Chicago Recovery Alliance

Harm reduction outreach, naloxone, sterile equipment and care linkage

Research time: ~5 min on GPT-6 Astra Light + ~37 min on GPT-6 Astra Medium + ~13 min on GPT-6.1 Sol + ~less than 1 min on an unrecorded AI model
  • Research — reviewed programs, finances and impact evidence.
  • Modeling — estimated costs, QALYs and uncertainty.
  • Source audit — checked claims, assumptions and calculations.

Updated: 2026-10-18

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Summary

What do they do? Chicago Recovery Alliance provides low-barrier harm-reduction services in Chicago, Cicero and Harvey. Its outreach supplies naloxone and practical training so people can respond promptly to an opioid overdose. It also offers sterile equipment, drug checking, testing and referrals; this estimate focuses on its overdose-response pathway.

Why we’re interested in this organization:

  • Timely overdose response can prevent death and preserve years of health for people facing substantial risks.

  • Peer-based, low-barrier outreach can reach people who may not receive timely help through pharmacies or clinical services.

  • Original annual returns and audited accounts make its institutional spending inspectable, including a material settlement expense.

Our main reservations:

  • Current unique at-risk reach, additional timely rescues and the response to another donation are not directly measured.

  • The survival course, household spending and recovery earnings depend on explicit assumptions rather than a local causal study.

  • The 2024 return and later audit disagree, while public alternatives and existing grants complicate additional funding capacity.

What do you get for your dollar? $264K per DALY in Chicago. DALY is our one-year comparison unit. QALY-based health gains and income-welfare equivalents retain their original assumptions; they are not measured clinical DALYs. Conditional Chicago overdose-response health and signed household-resource comparison; not verified marginal capacity..

Financed risk-person-year equivalents, completed/unmet coverage, additional timely administrations, deaths averted, finite health, signed cash and actual disposable pay.

1. What do they do?

CRA provides naloxone access and overdose-response education alongside sterile supplies, drug checking, counseling, HIV/HCV testing and referrals. Its current website lists Chicago, Cicero and Harvey sites and reports weekend closures after August 2025 funding cuts. A separate claim of seven-day service remains on the website; it is not treated as a verified current schedule. Schedule Services

The model follows a prospective first-overdose encounter among people without otherwise-equivalent timely naloxone protection. It does not count every distributed dose or repeated reversal as a new person with a fresh lifetime of benefit. A 4,500 annual risk-person-year scale is a planning judgment, approximately 30% of an inherited statement that over 15,000 people relied on CRA annually after accounting jointly for current cuts, repeat contacts, nonopioid services and indirect recipients. It is not an observed current count; 2,250 and 9,000 are independent sensitivities.

Other services may confer substantial benefits or harms, but their net effects are not identified in this comparison. The current finite health and signed household-resource pathways should not be mistaken for measured impact of the entire organization.

2. Monitoring and information sharing

CRA's 2006 evaluation reported peer reversals, not counterfactual deaths averted. It predates today's fentanyl supply and alternative access. The Massachusetts naloxone study was observational; the 2024 HEALing Communities randomized trial of a broader package found a mortality rate ratio of 0.91 (95% CI 0.76–1.09), not a statistically clear reduction. Neither estimates CRA's current effect, and the latter does not show that naloxone itself is ineffective. CRA evaluation Massachusetts Trial

Request distinct people, repeated contacts, doses, witnessed events, administrations, verified survival, subsequent mortality, MSA residence and alternative access. A reversal need not equal a death prevented. Recent county/city data describe declining mortality alongside multiple interventions; no fraction of that decline is assigned to CRA. Local context

October 2 reassessment: current homepage and original 2022–24 IRS-derived returns were freshly accessed. Root independently confirmed the same entity and EIN in all three returns and matched source hashes. The detailed service/cut pages were blocked; matching signed audits, opinions, public-contract details and prior deduplication research are inherited earlier evidence, not newly reread PDFs. Historical peer reversals and the broader HEALing Communities trial do not identify current CRA marginal mortality effects. Fresh primary abstracts were read for those studies and the Massachusetts prognosis cohort, not their complete papers.

3. Qualitative assessment

CRA was selected for research value, not a validated donation ranking: direct overdose prevention and documented service cuts make additional diligence potentially useful. Accepted clinic alphas have uncertain utility transfers; DHC has major external-provider cost ambiguity; legal/housing models require further causal steps. These comparisons do not establish expected-value superiority.

Peer trust and low-barrier outreach may complement libraries, clinical care and vending machines; alternatives also reduce exclusivity. Illinois' free Access supply channel does not establish CRA's participation or mortality effect. Volunteers provide real resources, not economically free labor. Illinois evaluation Volunteers

Other portfolio net health remains unknown, tested in both directions rather than declared absent. No separate infection, counseling or referral credit is added. Beneficiaries may overlap Night Ministry, clinics and other outreach, so edition estimates cannot be summed as independent impact.

The current estimate reconstructs finite survival, signed access costs, actual purchase avoidance and conditional common-alive economic effects independently. It does not allocate income inside an inherited health total. The explicit clinical-null, adverse, unknown, alternative-access and survival cases are unweighted diagnostics rather than a calibrated probability distribution.

4. What do you get for your dollar?

GiveBetter estimates about $264K per DALY for CRA's specified Chicago-area overdose-response pathway, including health and signed household-resource effects. We think this pathway can be valuable because timely naloxone response can prevent an overdose death, preserving a finite course of health. The cost-effectiveness estimate depends on how much additional timely protection a donation actually creates, not simply the number of doses distributed or reversals reported.

Under the current assumptions, an illustrative $10,000 donation supports 4.03 risk-person-year equivalents, of which 3.22 receive usable supplied or trained coverage. After excluding people who would otherwise receive equivalent free protection or buy it, 1.45 equivalents have unmet timely access. The model predicts 0.0345 additional timely administrations and 0.00517 deaths averted. These are fractional model expectations, not observed additional people served or a verified donation offer.

The chain assumes 35% gift-sensitive funding response, 80% usable coverage, 50% otherwise-free access, 5% otherwise-purchasers, an 8% annual first-overdose encounter chance, a 30% increase in timely administration among remaining unmet encounters, and a 15-percentage-point mortality reduction conditional on an additional timely administration. Every coefficient is an explicit planning judgment. Free or otherwise-purchased equivalent protection receives no additional clinical credit. The timely-response coefficient is not another discount for the same public alternative, and funding response concerns usable financed coverage rather than clinical effectiveness. Illinois pharmacy coverage and Cook County free vending support the existence of alternatives but do not establish actual timely use.

Health is calculated independently of the old five-year estimate. The current model integrates survival and discount over a finite 40-year analytical course at utility 0.65. Annual conditional mortality is 7.5% in the first year, 4% in years 2–10, 5% in years 11–25 and 8% thereafter. The resulting discounted health area is 7.87 years per initially averted death before event-delay adjustment. A Massachusetts EMS cohort provides first-year prognosis context; later hazards and recipient utility are judgments, not a fitted Chicago life table. Forty years is a cap, not a claim of 40 years of remaining life. One-year, prior five-year, 55-year and alternative mortality cases expose this important uncertainty. Independent attempt harm persists even if rescue has no clinical benefit.

Income and household resources are evaluated separately. Twenty percent of financed person-equivalents are assumed to incur $5 of additional travel expense and $5 of actual lost disposable pay. Completed recipients who would otherwise purchase equivalent protection are assumed to avoid one $15 payment, with no extra clinical-access credit. Those who would otherwise obtain free supplies or forego purchase do not receive fictional retail savings. Publicly supplied medicine and volunteer labor are institutional resources, not recipient income.

Medical obligations and recovery earnings are considered only for people alive in both counterfactuals. Their central net amounts are zero as provisional, unidentified-sign judgments—not findings of no economic effect. Positive and negative sensitivities test $500 of actual household medical obligations and $300 of one-year recovery pay, with a 30% worker share. Lives saved do not receive ordinary baseline lifetime wages as an additional income benefit. The modeled common-alive and mortality-changed groups cannot exceed the same event cohort.

The resource ledger uses a $25,000 annual household baseline and the Coefficient Giving log-resource crosswalk. Actual access losses and purchase savings are evaluated in separate states before conversion, rather than logging their pooled mean. Lost pay uses the cash-adjusted budget. Delayed event obligations are stratified by earlier access burden; recovery pay starts one year after the event and includes first-year survival. Positive event-related gains receive 50% retention for possible overlap with health valuation; negative effects are fully debited. Access states and later event households are an additive low-incidence approximation, not observed joint lifetime consumption trajectories. Peer rescuer and victim household identity may differ.

Per $10,000, discounted local cash is −$1.53 and actual disposable pay is −$3.83. Resource equivalents are −0.0001072 years, added to 0.04 health years for 0.037922 combined equivalent years. The health-only comparison is $263K per DALY; the combined comparison is $264K. Income equivalents support welfare comparison and are not measured clinical QALYs. Knowledge flags distinguish missing magnitudes from genuinely absent routes; an unknown clinical zero placeholder does not establish zero benefit.

Financial normalization uses $3,908,692 of later audited 2024 full recipient expense, including the $1,811,958 settlement loss once. Fresh original 2022 and 2023 amended returns report $1,642,030 and $2,385,530 of expenses. The earlier 2024 return reports $1,988,340 and does not reconcile to the later audit; the blank Schedule D bridge does not resolve the gap. All three original returns identify the same organization and EIN 36-3809778. The three-year audited average remains $2,645,417. These are historical accrual accounts, not cash flow or a priced expansion tranche.

Captured gross support equals the audited normalization centrally. External donated supplies, volunteer opportunity cost and induced care costs remain unknown, so the comprehensive resource comparison is not established. A 25% gross-cost allowance changes only the numerator. A settlement-exclusion diagnostic rescales funding with the denominator so it does not create extra people or health merely by changing accounting treatment. The $25,000 gift ceiling is a computational comparison boundary, not verified room for funding.

Historical comparison and financial appendix. The original clinical-only central was $4,080,401.52. The new estimate is more favorable mainly because it replaces an arbitrary five-year cutoff with a finite mortality-adjusted course, while using a different and lower effective reach/rescue chain. It is not improved by assigning saved-life wages. All 16 original scenarios remain frozen below; the following discussion is historical and does not govern the current comparison.

The cost boundary is one full recipient: $3,908,692 of 2024 audited expense including all support functions and the $1,811,958 settlement loss. Missing volunteer and externally provided inputs are K, additional resource cost net of anything already recorded. The displayed finite scenario conditionally sets K=0; it is not a complete economic-cost estimate. An illustrative 25% resource add-on raises the price to $510K. Retail medicine prices are not substituted for opportunity cost. Audit Volunteers

The retained chain gives 4.05 conditional deaths prevented, 2.49 discounted QALYs per death over five capped years, and 9.5792 MSA QALYs. Reach, risk, causality and financing factors are unmeasured. Ontario post-poisoning mortality is context only, not a CRA calibration. Survival 90%, utility 0.65 and the horizon are judgments. No lifetime extrapolation, recurring cohorts or extra reversal credit is added. Mortality context

One survival year gives $1.6M per DALY; half distinct reach gives $816K. Zero effect, no exclusive rescue access or complete financing substitution yields no incremental QALYs and no finite price. A negative net other-portfolio scenario is included. These are sensitivity cases, not confidence intervals.

The annual average is not an incremental gift price: a $1,000 gift cannot be promised 0.00 QALYs or staff hours. At the central survival/geography assumptions, ten QALYs require about 4.228 additional deaths prevented, not four reported rescues. A priced expansion tranche and verified funding response are missing.

Model, assumptions and sensitivity

Full recipient audited accrual support including settlement once; captured gross proxy equal centrally, external resources unknown. Not verified gift capacity.

Specified Chicago-area risk cohort: separate health and household-resource residency shares .95 centrally, each applied once.

Financed risk-person-years=gift/supportCost*riskUnits*peoplePerUnit*funding. Additional first timely responses exclude completed otherwise-free/buyer coverage, then use encounter and timely-response judgments. Signed mortality benefit integrates finite discounted survival less attempt harm. Signed household cash/pay use state-level log-resource conversion. Price=10*gift/(local health+signed resources) when known and positive.

gift
10000 USD (judgment). Explicit planning parameter or knowledge boundary; mechanisms motivate, but do not measure, exact values. [cra-income-method] [cra-mass-prognosis] [cra-peer-historical] [cra-healing-trial]
supportCost
3908692 USD (observed). Later audited FY2024 full expense; earlier return disagreement unresolved. [audit24]
grossCost
3908692 USD (judgment). Captured support proxy equal to audited accrual expense centrally; comprehensive outside-resource cost unknown. [audit24]
riskUnits
4500 Prospective risk-person-year equivalents (judgment). Explicit planning parameter or knowledge boundary; mechanisms motivate, but do not measure, exact values. [cra-income-method] [cra-mass-prognosis] [cra-peer-historical] [cra-healing-trial]
peoplePerUnit
1 Defined in report and calculator (judgment). Explicit planning parameter or knowledge boundary; mechanisms motivate, but do not measure, exact values. [cra-income-method] [cra-mass-prognosis] [cra-peer-historical] [cra-healing-trial]
funding
0.35 Defined in report and calculator (judgment). Explicit planning parameter or knowledge boundary; mechanisms motivate, but do not measure, exact values. [cra-income-method] [cra-mass-prognosis] [cra-peer-historical] [cra-healing-trial]
completion
0.8 Defined in report and calculator (judgment). Explicit planning parameter or knowledge boundary; mechanisms motivate, but do not measure, exact values. [cra-income-method] [cra-mass-prognosis] [cra-peer-historical] [cra-healing-trial]
otherwiseFree
0.5 Defined in report and calculator (judgment). Explicit planning parameter or knowledge boundary; mechanisms motivate, but do not measure, exact values. [cra-income-method] [cra-mass-prognosis] [cra-peer-historical] [cra-healing-trial]
purchaser
0.05 Defined in report and calculator (judgment). Explicit planning parameter or knowledge boundary; mechanisms motivate, but do not measure, exact values. [cra-income-method] [cra-mass-prognosis] [cra-peer-historical] [cra-healing-trial]
overdoseChance
0.08 Defined in report and calculator (judgment). Explicit planning parameter or knowledge boundary; mechanisms motivate, but do not measure, exact values. [cra-income-method] [cra-mass-prognosis] [cra-peer-historical] [cra-healing-trial]
timelyIncrement
0.3 Defined in report and calculator (judgment). Explicit planning parameter or knowledge boundary; mechanisms motivate, but do not measure, exact values. [cra-income-method] [cra-mass-prognosis] [cra-peer-historical] [cra-healing-trial]
deathReduction
0.15 Defined in report and calculator (judgment). Explicit planning parameter or knowledge boundary; mechanisms motivate, but do not measure, exact values. [cra-income-method] [cra-mass-prognosis] [cra-peer-historical] [cra-healing-trial]
commonAliveShare
0.7 Defined in report and calculator (judgment). Explicit planning parameter or knowledge boundary; mechanisms motivate, but do not measure, exact values. [cra-income-method] [cra-mass-prognosis] [cra-peer-historical] [cra-healing-trial]
utility
0.65 Defined in report and calculator (judgment). Explicit planning parameter or knowledge boundary; mechanisms motivate, but do not measure, exact values. [cra-income-method] [cra-mass-prognosis] [cra-peer-historical] [cra-healing-trial]
survivalYears
40 Defined in report and calculator (judgment). Explicit planning parameter or knowledge boundary; mechanisms motivate, but do not measure, exact values. [cra-income-method] [cra-mass-prognosis] [cra-peer-historical] [cra-healing-trial]
firstYearMortality
0.075 Defined in report and calculator (judgment). Explicit planning parameter or knowledge boundary; mechanisms motivate, but do not measure, exact values. [cra-income-method] [cra-mass-prognosis] [cra-peer-historical] [cra-healing-trial]
year2to10Mortality
0.04 Defined in report and calculator (judgment). Explicit planning parameter or knowledge boundary; mechanisms motivate, but do not measure, exact values. [cra-income-method] [cra-mass-prognosis] [cra-peer-historical] [cra-healing-trial]
year11to25Mortality
0.05 Defined in report and calculator (judgment). Explicit planning parameter or knowledge boundary; mechanisms motivate, but do not measure, exact values. [cra-income-method] [cra-mass-prognosis] [cra-peer-historical] [cra-healing-trial]
laterMortality
0.08 Defined in report and calculator (judgment). Explicit planning parameter or knowledge boundary; mechanisms motivate, but do not measure, exact values. [cra-income-method] [cra-mass-prognosis] [cra-peer-historical] [cra-healing-trial]
preEventMortality
0.02 Defined in report and calculator (judgment). Explicit planning parameter or knowledge boundary; mechanisms motivate, but do not measure, exact values. [cra-income-method] [cra-mass-prognosis] [cra-peer-historical] [cra-healing-trial]
eventDelay
0.5 Defined in report and calculator (judgment). Explicit planning parameter or knowledge boundary; mechanisms motivate, but do not measure, exact values. [cra-income-method] [cra-mass-prognosis] [cra-peer-historical] [cra-healing-trial]
discount
0.03 Defined in report and calculator (judgment). Explicit planning parameter or knowledge boundary; mechanisms motivate, but do not measure, exact values. [cra-income-method] [cra-mass-prognosis] [cra-peer-historical] [cra-healing-trial]
healthLocality
0.95 Defined in report and calculator (judgment). Explicit planning parameter or knowledge boundary; mechanisms motivate, but do not measure, exact values. [cra-income-method] [cra-mass-prognosis] [cra-peer-historical] [cra-healing-trial]
resourceLocality
0.95 Defined in report and calculator (judgment). Explicit planning parameter or knowledge boundary; mechanisms motivate, but do not measure, exact values. [cra-income-method] [cra-mass-prognosis] [cra-peer-historical] [cra-healing-trial]
attemptHarm
0.00001 Defined in report and calculator (judgment). Explicit planning parameter or knowledge boundary; mechanisms motivate, but do not measure, exact values. [cra-income-method] [cra-mass-prognosis] [cra-peer-historical] [cra-healing-trial]
baseline
25000 USD (judgment). Explicit planning parameter or knowledge boundary; mechanisms motivate, but do not measure, exact values. [cra-income-method] [cra-mass-prognosis] [cra-peer-historical] [cra-healing-trial]
burdenShare
0.2 Defined in report and calculator (judgment). Explicit planning parameter or knowledge boundary; mechanisms motivate, but do not measure, exact values. [cra-income-method] [cra-mass-prognosis] [cra-peer-historical] [cra-healing-trial]
travelUSD
5 USD (judgment). Explicit planning parameter or knowledge boundary; mechanisms motivate, but do not measure, exact values. [cra-income-method] [cra-mass-prognosis] [cra-peer-historical] [cra-healing-trial]
lostPayUSD
5 USD (judgment). Explicit planning parameter or knowledge boundary; mechanisms motivate, but do not measure, exact values. [cra-income-method] [cra-mass-prognosis] [cra-peer-historical] [cra-healing-trial]
avoidedPurchaseUSD
15 USD (judgment). Explicit planning parameter or knowledge boundary; mechanisms motivate, but do not measure, exact values. [cra-income-method] [cra-mass-prognosis] [cra-peer-historical] [cra-healing-trial]
medicalCashUSD
0 USD (judgment). Explicit planning parameter or knowledge boundary; mechanisms motivate, but do not measure, exact values. [cra-income-method] [cra-mass-prognosis] [cra-peer-historical] [cra-healing-trial]
recoveryPayUSD
0 USD (judgment). Explicit planning parameter or knowledge boundary; mechanisms motivate, but do not measure, exact values. [cra-income-method] [cra-mass-prognosis] [cra-peer-historical] [cra-healing-trial]
workerShare
0.3 Defined in report and calculator (judgment). Explicit planning parameter or knowledge boundary; mechanisms motivate, but do not measure, exact values. [cra-income-method] [cra-mass-prognosis] [cra-peer-historical] [cra-healing-trial]
positiveResourceIndependent
0.5 Defined in report and calculator (judgment). Explicit planning parameter or knowledge boundary; mechanisms motivate, but do not measure, exact values. [cra-income-method] [cra-mass-prognosis] [cra-peer-historical] [cra-healing-trial]
positivePayIndependent
0.5 Defined in report and calculator (judgment). Explicit planning parameter or knowledge boundary; mechanisms motivate, but do not measure, exact values. [cra-income-method] [cra-mass-prognosis] [cra-peer-historical] [cra-healing-trial]
reachKnown
true Defined in report and calculator (judgment). Explicit planning parameter or knowledge boundary; mechanisms motivate, but do not measure, exact values. [cra-income-method] [cra-mass-prognosis] [cra-peer-historical] [cra-healing-trial]
fundingKnown
true Defined in report and calculator (judgment). Explicit planning parameter or knowledge boundary; mechanisms motivate, but do not measure, exact values. [cra-income-method] [cra-mass-prognosis] [cra-peer-historical] [cra-healing-trial]
clinicalKnown
true Defined in report and calculator (judgment). Explicit planning parameter or knowledge boundary; mechanisms motivate, but do not measure, exact values. [cra-income-method] [cra-mass-prognosis] [cra-peer-historical] [cra-healing-trial]
cashKnown
true Defined in report and calculator (judgment). Explicit planning parameter or knowledge boundary; mechanisms motivate, but do not measure, exact values. [cra-income-method] [cra-mass-prognosis] [cra-peer-historical] [cra-healing-trial]
payKnown
true Defined in report and calculator (judgment). Explicit planning parameter or knowledge boundary; mechanisms motivate, but do not measure, exact values. [cra-income-method] [cra-mass-prognosis] [cra-peer-historical] [cra-healing-trial]
externalResourcesKnown
false Defined in report and calculator (unknown). Explicit planning parameter or knowledge boundary; mechanisms motivate, but do not measure, exact values. [cra-income-method] [cra-mass-prognosis] [cra-peer-historical] [cra-healing-trial]
portfolioKnown
false Defined in report and calculator (unknown). Explicit planning parameter or knowledge boundary; mechanisms motivate, but do not measure, exact values. [cra-income-method] [cra-mass-prognosis] [cra-peer-historical] [cra-healing-trial]

Conditional finite health and signed household resources: Cost: $10K; Chicago health QALYs: 0.04; all-population health QALYs: 0.04. Income-equivalent healthy years: 0.00. {"gift":10000,"supportCost":3908692,"grossCost":3908692,"riskUnits":4500,"peoplePerUnit":1,"funding":0.35,"completion":0.8,"otherwiseFree":0.5,"purchaser":0.05,"overdoseChance":0.08,"timelyIncrement":0.3,"deathReduction":0.15,"commonAliveShare":0.7,"utility":0.65,"survivalYears":40,"firstYearMortality":0.075,"year2to10Mortality":0.04,"year11to25Mortality":0.05,"laterMortality":0.08,"preEventMortality":0.02,"eventDelay":0.5,"discount":0.03,"healthLocality":0.95,"resourceLocality":0.95,"attemptHarm":0.00001,"baseline":25000,"burdenShare":0.2,"travelUSD":5,"lostPayUSD":5,"avoidedPurchaseUSD":15,"medicalCashUSD":0,"recoveryPayUSD":0,"workerShare":0.3,"positiveResourceIndependent":0.5,"positivePayIndependent":0.5,"reachKnown":true,"fundingKnown":true,"clinicalKnown":true,"cashKnown":true,"payKnown":true,"externalResourcesKnown":false,"portfolioKnown":false}

zero Gift: Cost: $0; Chicago health QALYs: 0.00; all-population health QALYs: 0.00. Income-equivalent healthy years: 0.00. {"gift":0,"supportCost":3908692,"grossCost":3908692,"riskUnits":4500,"peoplePerUnit":1,"funding":0.35,"completion":0.8,"otherwiseFree":0.5,"purchaser":0.05,"overdoseChance":0.08,"timelyIncrement":0.3,"deathReduction":0.15,"commonAliveShare":0.7,"utility":0.65,"survivalYears":40,"firstYearMortality":0.075,"year2to10Mortality":0.04,"year11to25Mortality":0.05,"laterMortality":0.08,"preEventMortality":0.02,"eventDelay":0.5,"discount":0.03,"healthLocality":0.95,"resourceLocality":0.95,"attemptHarm":0.00001,"baseline":25000,"burdenShare":0.2,"travelUSD":5,"lostPayUSD":5,"avoidedPurchaseUSD":15,"medicalCashUSD":0,"recoveryPayUSD":0,"workerShare":0.3,"positiveResourceIndependent":0.5,"positivePayIndependent":0.5,"reachKnown":true,"fundingKnown":true,"clinicalKnown":true,"cashKnown":true,"payKnown":true,"externalResourcesKnown":false,"portfolioKnown":false}

zero Funding: Cost: $10K; Chicago health QALYs: 0.00; all-population health QALYs: 0.00. Income-equivalent healthy years: 0.00. {"gift":10000,"supportCost":3908692,"grossCost":3908692,"riskUnits":4500,"peoplePerUnit":1,"funding":0,"completion":0.8,"otherwiseFree":0.5,"purchaser":0.05,"overdoseChance":0.08,"timelyIncrement":0.3,"deathReduction":0.15,"commonAliveShare":0.7,"utility":0.65,"survivalYears":40,"firstYearMortality":0.075,"year2to10Mortality":0.04,"year11to25Mortality":0.05,"laterMortality":0.08,"preEventMortality":0.02,"eventDelay":0.5,"discount":0.03,"healthLocality":0.95,"resourceLocality":0.95,"attemptHarm":0.00001,"baseline":25000,"burdenShare":0.2,"travelUSD":5,"lostPayUSD":5,"avoidedPurchaseUSD":15,"medicalCashUSD":0,"recoveryPayUSD":0,"workerShare":0.3,"positiveResourceIndependent":0.5,"positivePayIndependent":0.5,"reachKnown":true,"fundingKnown":true,"clinicalKnown":true,"cashKnown":true,"payKnown":true,"externalResourcesKnown":false,"portfolioKnown":false}

zero Reach: Cost: $10K; Chicago health QALYs: 0.00; all-population health QALYs: 0.00. Income-equivalent healthy years: 0.00. {"gift":10000,"supportCost":3908692,"grossCost":3908692,"riskUnits":0,"peoplePerUnit":1,"funding":0.35,"completion":0.8,"otherwiseFree":0.5,"purchaser":0.05,"overdoseChance":0.08,"timelyIncrement":0.3,"deathReduction":0.15,"commonAliveShare":0.7,"utility":0.65,"survivalYears":40,"firstYearMortality":0.075,"year2to10Mortality":0.04,"year11to25Mortality":0.05,"laterMortality":0.08,"preEventMortality":0.02,"eventDelay":0.5,"discount":0.03,"healthLocality":0.95,"resourceLocality":0.95,"attemptHarm":0.00001,"baseline":25000,"burdenShare":0.2,"travelUSD":5,"lostPayUSD":5,"avoidedPurchaseUSD":15,"medicalCashUSD":0,"recoveryPayUSD":0,"workerShare":0.3,"positiveResourceIndependent":0.5,"positivePayIndependent":0.5,"reachKnown":true,"fundingKnown":true,"clinicalKnown":true,"cashKnown":true,"payKnown":true,"externalResourcesKnown":false,"portfolioKnown":false}

unknown Reach Zero: Cost: $10K; Chicago health QALYs: unknown; all-population health QALYs: unknown. {"gift":10000,"supportCost":3908692,"grossCost":3908692,"riskUnits":0,"peoplePerUnit":1,"funding":0.35,"completion":0.8,"otherwiseFree":0.5,"purchaser":0.05,"overdoseChance":0.08,"timelyIncrement":0.3,"deathReduction":0.15,"commonAliveShare":0.7,"utility":0.65,"survivalYears":40,"firstYearMortality":0.075,"year2to10Mortality":0.04,"year11to25Mortality":0.05,"laterMortality":0.08,"preEventMortality":0.02,"eventDelay":0.5,"discount":0.03,"healthLocality":0.95,"resourceLocality":0.95,"attemptHarm":0.00001,"baseline":25000,"burdenShare":0.2,"travelUSD":5,"lostPayUSD":5,"avoidedPurchaseUSD":15,"medicalCashUSD":0,"recoveryPayUSD":0,"workerShare":0.3,"positiveResourceIndependent":0.5,"positivePayIndependent":0.5,"reachKnown":false,"fundingKnown":true,"clinicalKnown":true,"cashKnown":true,"payKnown":true,"externalResourcesKnown":false,"portfolioKnown":false}

unknown Funding Zero: Cost: $10K; Chicago health QALYs: unknown; all-population health QALYs: unknown. {"gift":10000,"supportCost":3908692,"grossCost":3908692,"riskUnits":4500,"peoplePerUnit":1,"funding":0,"completion":0.8,"otherwiseFree":0.5,"purchaser":0.05,"overdoseChance":0.08,"timelyIncrement":0.3,"deathReduction":0.15,"commonAliveShare":0.7,"utility":0.65,"survivalYears":40,"firstYearMortality":0.075,"year2to10Mortality":0.04,"year11to25Mortality":0.05,"laterMortality":0.08,"preEventMortality":0.02,"eventDelay":0.5,"discount":0.03,"healthLocality":0.95,"resourceLocality":0.95,"attemptHarm":0.00001,"baseline":25000,"burdenShare":0.2,"travelUSD":5,"lostPayUSD":5,"avoidedPurchaseUSD":15,"medicalCashUSD":0,"recoveryPayUSD":0,"workerShare":0.3,"positiveResourceIndependent":0.5,"positivePayIndependent":0.5,"reachKnown":true,"fundingKnown":false,"clinicalKnown":true,"cashKnown":true,"payKnown":true,"externalResourcesKnown":false,"portfolioKnown":false}

clinical Null: Cost: $10K; Chicago health QALYs: 0.00; all-population health QALYs: 0.00. Income-equivalent healthy years: 0.00. {"gift":10000,"supportCost":3908692,"grossCost":3908692,"riskUnits":4500,"peoplePerUnit":1,"funding":0.35,"completion":0.8,"otherwiseFree":0.5,"purchaser":0.05,"overdoseChance":0.08,"timelyIncrement":0.3,"deathReduction":0,"commonAliveShare":0.7,"utility":0.65,"survivalYears":40,"firstYearMortality":0.075,"year2to10Mortality":0.04,"year11to25Mortality":0.05,"laterMortality":0.08,"preEventMortality":0.02,"eventDelay":0.5,"discount":0.03,"healthLocality":0.95,"resourceLocality":0.95,"attemptHarm":0,"baseline":25000,"burdenShare":0.2,"travelUSD":5,"lostPayUSD":5,"avoidedPurchaseUSD":15,"medicalCashUSD":0,"recoveryPayUSD":0,"workerShare":0.3,"positiveResourceIndependent":0.5,"positivePayIndependent":0.5,"reachKnown":true,"fundingKnown":true,"clinicalKnown":true,"cashKnown":true,"payKnown":true,"externalResourcesKnown":false,"portfolioKnown":false}

clinical Adverse: Cost: $10K; Chicago health QALYs: -0.04; all-population health QALYs: -0.04. Income-equivalent healthy years: 0.00. {"gift":10000,"supportCost":3908692,"grossCost":3908692,"riskUnits":4500,"peoplePerUnit":1,"funding":0.35,"completion":0.8,"otherwiseFree":0.5,"purchaser":0.05,"overdoseChance":0.08,"timelyIncrement":0.3,"deathReduction":-0.15,"commonAliveShare":0.7,"utility":0.65,"survivalYears":40,"firstYearMortality":0.075,"year2to10Mortality":0.04,"year11to25Mortality":0.05,"laterMortality":0.08,"preEventMortality":0.02,"eventDelay":0.5,"discount":0.03,"healthLocality":0.95,"resourceLocality":0.95,"attemptHarm":0.00001,"baseline":25000,"burdenShare":0.2,"travelUSD":5,"lostPayUSD":5,"avoidedPurchaseUSD":15,"medicalCashUSD":0,"recoveryPayUSD":0,"workerShare":0.3,"positiveResourceIndependent":0.5,"positivePayIndependent":0.5,"reachKnown":true,"fundingKnown":true,"clinicalKnown":true,"cashKnown":true,"payKnown":true,"externalResourcesKnown":false,"portfolioKnown":false}

clinical Unknown: Cost: $10K; Chicago health QALYs: unknown; all-population health QALYs: unknown. Income-equivalent healthy years: 0.00. {"gift":10000,"supportCost":3908692,"grossCost":3908692,"riskUnits":4500,"peoplePerUnit":1,"funding":0.35,"completion":0.8,"otherwiseFree":0.5,"purchaser":0.05,"overdoseChance":0.08,"timelyIncrement":0.3,"deathReduction":0.15,"commonAliveShare":0.7,"utility":0.65,"survivalYears":40,"firstYearMortality":0.075,"year2to10Mortality":0.04,"year11to25Mortality":0.05,"laterMortality":0.08,"preEventMortality":0.02,"eventDelay":0.5,"discount":0.03,"healthLocality":0.95,"resourceLocality":0.95,"attemptHarm":0.00001,"baseline":25000,"burdenShare":0.2,"travelUSD":5,"lostPayUSD":5,"avoidedPurchaseUSD":15,"medicalCashUSD":0,"recoveryPayUSD":0,"workerShare":0.3,"positiveResourceIndependent":0.5,"positivePayIndependent":0.5,"reachKnown":true,"fundingKnown":true,"clinicalKnown":false,"cashKnown":true,"payKnown":true,"externalResourcesKnown":false,"portfolioKnown":false}

unknown Clinical Zero: Cost: $10K; Chicago health QALYs: unknown; all-population health QALYs: unknown. Income-equivalent healthy years: 0.00. {"gift":10000,"supportCost":3908692,"grossCost":3908692,"riskUnits":4500,"peoplePerUnit":1,"funding":0.35,"completion":0.8,"otherwiseFree":0.5,"purchaser":0.05,"overdoseChance":0.08,"timelyIncrement":0.3,"deathReduction":0,"commonAliveShare":0.7,"utility":0.65,"survivalYears":40,"firstYearMortality":0.075,"year2to10Mortality":0.04,"year11to25Mortality":0.05,"laterMortality":0.08,"preEventMortality":0.02,"eventDelay":0.5,"discount":0.03,"healthLocality":0.95,"resourceLocality":0.95,"attemptHarm":0.00001,"baseline":25000,"burdenShare":0.2,"travelUSD":5,"lostPayUSD":5,"avoidedPurchaseUSD":15,"medicalCashUSD":0,"recoveryPayUSD":0,"workerShare":0.3,"positiveResourceIndependent":0.5,"positivePayIndependent":0.5,"reachKnown":true,"fundingKnown":true,"clinicalKnown":false,"cashKnown":true,"payKnown":true,"externalResourcesKnown":false,"portfolioKnown":false}

cash Unknown: Cost: $10K; Chicago health QALYs: 0.04; all-population health QALYs: 0.04. {"gift":10000,"supportCost":3908692,"grossCost":3908692,"riskUnits":4500,"peoplePerUnit":1,"funding":0.35,"completion":0.8,"otherwiseFree":0.5,"purchaser":0.05,"overdoseChance":0.08,"timelyIncrement":0.3,"deathReduction":0.15,"commonAliveShare":0.7,"utility":0.65,"survivalYears":40,"firstYearMortality":0.075,"year2to10Mortality":0.04,"year11to25Mortality":0.05,"laterMortality":0.08,"preEventMortality":0.02,"eventDelay":0.5,"discount":0.03,"healthLocality":0.95,"resourceLocality":0.95,"attemptHarm":0.00001,"baseline":25000,"burdenShare":0.2,"travelUSD":5,"lostPayUSD":5,"avoidedPurchaseUSD":15,"medicalCashUSD":0,"recoveryPayUSD":0,"workerShare":0.3,"positiveResourceIndependent":0.5,"positivePayIndependent":0.5,"reachKnown":true,"fundingKnown":true,"clinicalKnown":true,"cashKnown":false,"payKnown":true,"externalResourcesKnown":false,"portfolioKnown":false}

pay Unknown: Cost: $10K; Chicago health QALYs: 0.04; all-population health QALYs: 0.04. {"gift":10000,"supportCost":3908692,"grossCost":3908692,"riskUnits":4500,"peoplePerUnit":1,"funding":0.35,"completion":0.8,"otherwiseFree":0.5,"purchaser":0.05,"overdoseChance":0.08,"timelyIncrement":0.3,"deathReduction":0.15,"commonAliveShare":0.7,"utility":0.65,"survivalYears":40,"firstYearMortality":0.075,"year2to10Mortality":0.04,"year11to25Mortality":0.05,"laterMortality":0.08,"preEventMortality":0.02,"eventDelay":0.5,"discount":0.03,"healthLocality":0.95,"resourceLocality":0.95,"attemptHarm":0.00001,"baseline":25000,"burdenShare":0.2,"travelUSD":5,"lostPayUSD":5,"avoidedPurchaseUSD":15,"medicalCashUSD":0,"recoveryPayUSD":0,"workerShare":0.3,"positiveResourceIndependent":0.5,"positivePayIndependent":0.5,"reachKnown":true,"fundingKnown":true,"clinicalKnown":true,"cashKnown":true,"payKnown":false,"externalResourcesKnown":false,"portfolioKnown":false}

buyer Only: Cost: $10K; Chicago health QALYs: 0.00; all-population health QALYs: 0.00. Income-equivalent healthy years: 0.00. {"gift":10000,"supportCost":3908692,"grossCost":3908692,"riskUnits":4500,"peoplePerUnit":1,"funding":0.35,"completion":0.8,"otherwiseFree":0,"purchaser":1,"overdoseChance":0.08,"timelyIncrement":0.3,"deathReduction":0.15,"commonAliveShare":0.7,"utility":0.65,"survivalYears":40,"firstYearMortality":0.075,"year2to10Mortality":0.04,"year11to25Mortality":0.05,"laterMortality":0.08,"preEventMortality":0.02,"eventDelay":0.5,"discount":0.03,"healthLocality":0.95,"resourceLocality":0.95,"attemptHarm":0.00001,"baseline":25000,"burdenShare":0.2,"travelUSD":5,"lostPayUSD":5,"avoidedPurchaseUSD":15,"medicalCashUSD":0,"recoveryPayUSD":0,"workerShare":0.3,"positiveResourceIndependent":0.5,"positivePayIndependent":0.5,"reachKnown":true,"fundingKnown":true,"clinicalKnown":true,"cashKnown":true,"payKnown":true,"externalResourcesKnown":false,"portfolioKnown":false}

free Only: Cost: $10K; Chicago health QALYs: 0.00; all-population health QALYs: 0.00. Income-equivalent healthy years: 0.00. {"gift":10000,"supportCost":3908692,"grossCost":3908692,"riskUnits":4500,"peoplePerUnit":1,"funding":0.35,"completion":0.8,"otherwiseFree":1,"purchaser":0,"overdoseChance":0.08,"timelyIncrement":0.3,"deathReduction":0.15,"commonAliveShare":0.7,"utility":0.65,"survivalYears":40,"firstYearMortality":0.075,"year2to10Mortality":0.04,"year11to25Mortality":0.05,"laterMortality":0.08,"preEventMortality":0.02,"eventDelay":0.5,"discount":0.03,"healthLocality":0.95,"resourceLocality":0.95,"attemptHarm":0.00001,"baseline":25000,"burdenShare":0.2,"travelUSD":5,"lostPayUSD":5,"avoidedPurchaseUSD":15,"medicalCashUSD":0,"recoveryPayUSD":0,"workerShare":0.3,"positiveResourceIndependent":0.5,"positivePayIndependent":0.5,"reachKnown":true,"fundingKnown":true,"clinicalKnown":true,"cashKnown":true,"payKnown":true,"externalResourcesKnown":false,"portfolioKnown":false}

no Buyers: Cost: $10K; Chicago health QALYs: 0.04; all-population health QALYs: 0.04. Income-equivalent healthy years: 0.00. {"gift":10000,"supportCost":3908692,"grossCost":3908692,"riskUnits":4500,"peoplePerUnit":1,"funding":0.35,"completion":0.8,"otherwiseFree":0.5,"purchaser":0,"overdoseChance":0.08,"timelyIncrement":0.3,"deathReduction":0.15,"commonAliveShare":0.7,"utility":0.65,"survivalYears":40,"firstYearMortality":0.075,"year2to10Mortality":0.04,"year11to25Mortality":0.05,"laterMortality":0.08,"preEventMortality":0.02,"eventDelay":0.5,"discount":0.03,"healthLocality":0.95,"resourceLocality":0.95,"attemptHarm":0.00001,"baseline":25000,"burdenShare":0.2,"travelUSD":5,"lostPayUSD":5,"avoidedPurchaseUSD":15,"medicalCashUSD":0,"recoveryPayUSD":0,"workerShare":0.3,"positiveResourceIndependent":0.5,"positivePayIndependent":0.5,"reachKnown":true,"fundingKnown":true,"clinicalKnown":true,"cashKnown":true,"payKnown":true,"externalResourcesKnown":false,"portfolioKnown":false}

known No Resources: Cost: $10K; Chicago health QALYs: unknown; all-population health QALYs: unknown. Income-equivalent healthy years: 0.00. {"gift":10000,"supportCost":3908692,"grossCost":3908692,"riskUnits":4500,"peoplePerUnit":1,"funding":0.35,"completion":0.8,"otherwiseFree":0.5,"purchaser":0,"overdoseChance":0.08,"timelyIncrement":0.3,"deathReduction":0.15,"commonAliveShare":0,"utility":0.65,"survivalYears":40,"firstYearMortality":0.075,"year2to10Mortality":0.04,"year11to25Mortality":0.05,"laterMortality":0.08,"preEventMortality":0.02,"eventDelay":0.5,"discount":0.03,"healthLocality":0.95,"resourceLocality":0.95,"attemptHarm":0.00001,"baseline":25000,"burdenShare":0,"travelUSD":5,"lostPayUSD":5,"avoidedPurchaseUSD":15,"medicalCashUSD":0,"recoveryPayUSD":0,"workerShare":0.3,"positiveResourceIndependent":0.5,"positivePayIndependent":0.5,"reachKnown":false,"fundingKnown":true,"clinicalKnown":true,"cashKnown":false,"payKnown":false,"externalResourcesKnown":false,"portfolioKnown":false}

positive Economic: Cost: $10K; Chicago health QALYs: 0.04; all-population health QALYs: 0.04. Income-equivalent healthy years: 0.00. {"gift":10000,"supportCost":3908692,"grossCost":3908692,"riskUnits":4500,"peoplePerUnit":1,"funding":0.35,"completion":0.8,"otherwiseFree":0.5,"purchaser":0.05,"overdoseChance":0.08,"timelyIncrement":0.3,"deathReduction":0.15,"commonAliveShare":0.7,"utility":0.65,"survivalYears":40,"firstYearMortality":0.075,"year2to10Mortality":0.04,"year11to25Mortality":0.05,"laterMortality":0.08,"preEventMortality":0.02,"eventDelay":0.5,"discount":0.03,"healthLocality":0.95,"resourceLocality":0.95,"attemptHarm":0.00001,"baseline":25000,"burdenShare":0.2,"travelUSD":5,"lostPayUSD":5,"avoidedPurchaseUSD":15,"medicalCashUSD":500,"recoveryPayUSD":300,"workerShare":0.3,"positiveResourceIndependent":0.5,"positivePayIndependent":0.5,"reachKnown":true,"fundingKnown":true,"clinicalKnown":true,"cashKnown":true,"payKnown":true,"externalResourcesKnown":false,"portfolioKnown":false}

negative Economic: Cost: $10K; Chicago health QALYs: 0.04; all-population health QALYs: 0.04. Income-equivalent healthy years: 0.00. {"gift":10000,"supportCost":3908692,"grossCost":3908692,"riskUnits":4500,"peoplePerUnit":1,"funding":0.35,"completion":0.8,"otherwiseFree":0.5,"purchaser":0.05,"overdoseChance":0.08,"timelyIncrement":0.3,"deathReduction":0.15,"commonAliveShare":0.7,"utility":0.65,"survivalYears":40,"firstYearMortality":0.075,"year2to10Mortality":0.04,"year11to25Mortality":0.05,"laterMortality":0.08,"preEventMortality":0.02,"eventDelay":0.5,"discount":0.03,"healthLocality":0.95,"resourceLocality":0.95,"attemptHarm":0.00001,"baseline":25000,"burdenShare":0.2,"travelUSD":5,"lostPayUSD":5,"avoidedPurchaseUSD":15,"medicalCashUSD":-500,"recoveryPayUSD":-300,"workerShare":0.3,"positiveResourceIndependent":0,"positivePayIndependent":0,"reachKnown":true,"fundingKnown":true,"clinicalKnown":true,"cashKnown":true,"payKnown":true,"externalResourcesKnown":false,"portfolioKnown":false}

no Recovery Work: Cost: $10K; Chicago health QALYs: 0.04; all-population health QALYs: 0.04. Income-equivalent healthy years: 0.00. {"gift":10000,"supportCost":3908692,"grossCost":3908692,"riskUnits":4500,"peoplePerUnit":1,"funding":0.35,"completion":0.8,"otherwiseFree":0.5,"purchaser":0.05,"overdoseChance":0.08,"timelyIncrement":0.3,"deathReduction":0.15,"commonAliveShare":0.7,"utility":0.65,"survivalYears":40,"firstYearMortality":0.075,"year2to10Mortality":0.04,"year11to25Mortality":0.05,"laterMortality":0.08,"preEventMortality":0.02,"eventDelay":0.5,"discount":0.03,"healthLocality":0.95,"resourceLocality":0.95,"attemptHarm":0.00001,"baseline":25000,"burdenShare":0.2,"travelUSD":5,"lostPayUSD":5,"avoidedPurchaseUSD":15,"medicalCashUSD":0,"recoveryPayUSD":0,"workerShare":0,"positiveResourceIndependent":0.5,"positivePayIndependent":0.5,"reachKnown":true,"fundingKnown":true,"clinicalKnown":true,"cashKnown":true,"payKnown":true,"externalResourcesKnown":false,"portfolioKnown":false}

positive Work Excluded: Cost: $10K; Chicago health QALYs: 0.04; all-population health QALYs: 0.04. {"gift":10000,"supportCost":3908692,"grossCost":3908692,"riskUnits":4500,"peoplePerUnit":1,"funding":0.35,"completion":0.8,"otherwiseFree":0.5,"purchaser":0.05,"overdoseChance":0.08,"timelyIncrement":0.3,"deathReduction":0.15,"commonAliveShare":0.7,"utility":0.65,"survivalYears":40,"firstYearMortality":0.075,"year2to10Mortality":0.04,"year11to25Mortality":0.05,"laterMortality":0.08,"preEventMortality":0.02,"eventDelay":0.5,"discount":0.03,"healthLocality":0.95,"resourceLocality":0.95,"attemptHarm":0.00001,"baseline":25000,"burdenShare":0,"travelUSD":5,"lostPayUSD":5,"avoidedPurchaseUSD":15,"medicalCashUSD":0,"recoveryPayUSD":300,"workerShare":0.3,"positiveResourceIndependent":0.5,"positivePayIndependent":0,"reachKnown":true,"fundingKnown":true,"clinicalKnown":true,"cashKnown":false,"payKnown":true,"externalResourcesKnown":false,"portfolioKnown":false}

zero Local Unknown: Cost: $10K; Chicago health QALYs: 0.00; all-population health QALYs: unknown. Income-equivalent healthy years: 0.00. {"gift":10000,"supportCost":3908692,"grossCost":3908692,"riskUnits":4500,"peoplePerUnit":1,"funding":0.35,"completion":0.8,"otherwiseFree":0.5,"purchaser":0.05,"overdoseChance":0.08,"timelyIncrement":0.3,"deathReduction":0.15,"commonAliveShare":0.7,"utility":0.65,"survivalYears":40,"firstYearMortality":0.075,"year2to10Mortality":0.04,"year11to25Mortality":0.05,"laterMortality":0.08,"preEventMortality":0.02,"eventDelay":0.5,"discount":0.03,"healthLocality":0,"resourceLocality":0,"attemptHarm":0.00001,"baseline":25000,"burdenShare":0.2,"travelUSD":5,"lostPayUSD":5,"avoidedPurchaseUSD":15,"medicalCashUSD":0,"recoveryPayUSD":0,"workerShare":0.3,"positiveResourceIndependent":0.5,"positivePayIndependent":0.5,"reachKnown":false,"fundingKnown":true,"clinicalKnown":false,"cashKnown":false,"payKnown":false,"externalResourcesKnown":false,"portfolioKnown":false}

unit Reexpression: Cost: $10K; Chicago health QALYs: 0.04; all-population health QALYs: 0.04. Income-equivalent healthy years: 0.00. {"gift":10000,"supportCost":3908692,"grossCost":3908692,"riskUnits":450,"peoplePerUnit":10,"funding":0.35,"completion":0.8,"otherwiseFree":0.5,"purchaser":0.05,"overdoseChance":0.08,"timelyIncrement":0.3,"deathReduction":0.15,"commonAliveShare":0.7,"utility":0.65,"survivalYears":40,"firstYearMortality":0.075,"year2to10Mortality":0.04,"year11to25Mortality":0.05,"laterMortality":0.08,"preEventMortality":0.02,"eventDelay":0.5,"discount":0.03,"healthLocality":0.95,"resourceLocality":0.95,"attemptHarm":0.00001,"baseline":25000,"burdenShare":0.2,"travelUSD":5,"lostPayUSD":5,"avoidedPurchaseUSD":15,"medicalCashUSD":0,"recoveryPayUSD":0,"workerShare":0.3,"positiveResourceIndependent":0.5,"positivePayIndependent":0.5,"reachKnown":true,"fundingKnown":true,"clinicalKnown":true,"cashKnown":true,"payKnown":true,"externalResourcesKnown":false,"portfolioKnown":false}

lower Risk: Cost: $10K; Chicago health QALYs: 0.01; all-population health QALYs: 0.01. Income-equivalent healthy years: 0.00. {"gift":10000,"supportCost":3908692,"grossCost":3908692,"riskUnits":4500,"peoplePerUnit":1,"funding":0.35,"completion":0.8,"otherwiseFree":0.5,"purchaser":0.05,"overdoseChance":0.03,"timelyIncrement":0.3,"deathReduction":0.15,"commonAliveShare":0.7,"utility":0.65,"survivalYears":40,"firstYearMortality":0.075,"year2to10Mortality":0.04,"year11to25Mortality":0.05,"laterMortality":0.08,"preEventMortality":0.02,"eventDelay":0.5,"discount":0.03,"healthLocality":0.95,"resourceLocality":0.95,"attemptHarm":0.00001,"baseline":25000,"burdenShare":0.2,"travelUSD":5,"lostPayUSD":5,"avoidedPurchaseUSD":15,"medicalCashUSD":0,"recoveryPayUSD":0,"workerShare":0.3,"positiveResourceIndependent":0.5,"positivePayIndependent":0.5,"reachKnown":true,"fundingKnown":true,"clinicalKnown":true,"cashKnown":true,"payKnown":true,"externalResourcesKnown":false,"portfolioKnown":false}

higher Risk: Cost: $10K; Chicago health QALYs: 0.07; all-population health QALYs: 0.08. Income-equivalent healthy years: 0.00. {"gift":10000,"supportCost":3908692,"grossCost":3908692,"riskUnits":4500,"peoplePerUnit":1,"funding":0.35,"completion":0.8,"otherwiseFree":0.5,"purchaser":0.05,"overdoseChance":0.15,"timelyIncrement":0.3,"deathReduction":0.15,"commonAliveShare":0.7,"utility":0.65,"survivalYears":40,"firstYearMortality":0.075,"year2to10Mortality":0.04,"year11to25Mortality":0.05,"laterMortality":0.08,"preEventMortality":0.02,"eventDelay":0.5,"discount":0.03,"healthLocality":0.95,"resourceLocality":0.95,"attemptHarm":0.00001,"baseline":25000,"burdenShare":0.2,"travelUSD":5,"lostPayUSD":5,"avoidedPurchaseUSD":15,"medicalCashUSD":0,"recoveryPayUSD":0,"workerShare":0.3,"positiveResourceIndependent":0.5,"positivePayIndependent":0.5,"reachKnown":true,"fundingKnown":true,"clinicalKnown":true,"cashKnown":true,"payKnown":true,"externalResourcesKnown":false,"portfolioKnown":false}

weak Funding: Cost: $10K; Chicago health QALYs: 0.01; all-population health QALYs: 0.01. Income-equivalent healthy years: 0.00. {"gift":10000,"supportCost":3908692,"grossCost":3908692,"riskUnits":4500,"peoplePerUnit":1,"funding":0.1,"completion":0.8,"otherwiseFree":0.5,"purchaser":0.05,"overdoseChance":0.08,"timelyIncrement":0.3,"deathReduction":0.15,"commonAliveShare":0.7,"utility":0.65,"survivalYears":40,"firstYearMortality":0.075,"year2to10Mortality":0.04,"year11to25Mortality":0.05,"laterMortality":0.08,"preEventMortality":0.02,"eventDelay":0.5,"discount":0.03,"healthLocality":0.95,"resourceLocality":0.95,"attemptHarm":0.00001,"baseline":25000,"burdenShare":0.2,"travelUSD":5,"lostPayUSD":5,"avoidedPurchaseUSD":15,"medicalCashUSD":0,"recoveryPayUSD":0,"workerShare":0.3,"positiveResourceIndependent":0.5,"positivePayIndependent":0.5,"reachKnown":true,"fundingKnown":true,"clinicalKnown":true,"cashKnown":true,"payKnown":true,"externalResourcesKnown":false,"portfolioKnown":false}

strong Funding: Cost: $10K; Chicago health QALYs: 0.08; all-population health QALYs: 0.08. Income-equivalent healthy years: 0.00. {"gift":10000,"supportCost":3908692,"grossCost":3908692,"riskUnits":4500,"peoplePerUnit":1,"funding":0.7,"completion":0.8,"otherwiseFree":0.5,"purchaser":0.05,"overdoseChance":0.08,"timelyIncrement":0.3,"deathReduction":0.15,"commonAliveShare":0.7,"utility":0.65,"survivalYears":40,"firstYearMortality":0.075,"year2to10Mortality":0.04,"year11to25Mortality":0.05,"laterMortality":0.08,"preEventMortality":0.02,"eventDelay":0.5,"discount":0.03,"healthLocality":0.95,"resourceLocality":0.95,"attemptHarm":0.00001,"baseline":25000,"burdenShare":0.2,"travelUSD":5,"lostPayUSD":5,"avoidedPurchaseUSD":15,"medicalCashUSD":0,"recoveryPayUSD":0,"workerShare":0.3,"positiveResourceIndependent":0.5,"positivePayIndependent":0.5,"reachKnown":true,"fundingKnown":true,"clinicalKnown":true,"cashKnown":true,"payKnown":true,"externalResourcesKnown":false,"portfolioKnown":false}

high Public Access: Cost: $10K; Chicago health QALYs: 0.01; all-population health QALYs: 0.01. Income-equivalent healthy years: 0.00. {"gift":10000,"supportCost":3908692,"grossCost":3908692,"riskUnits":4500,"peoplePerUnit":1,"funding":0.35,"completion":0.8,"otherwiseFree":0.85,"purchaser":0.05,"overdoseChance":0.08,"timelyIncrement":0.3,"deathReduction":0.15,"commonAliveShare":0.7,"utility":0.65,"survivalYears":40,"firstYearMortality":0.075,"year2to10Mortality":0.04,"year11to25Mortality":0.05,"laterMortality":0.08,"preEventMortality":0.02,"eventDelay":0.5,"discount":0.03,"healthLocality":0.95,"resourceLocality":0.95,"attemptHarm":0.00001,"baseline":25000,"burdenShare":0.2,"travelUSD":5,"lostPayUSD":5,"avoidedPurchaseUSD":15,"medicalCashUSD":0,"recoveryPayUSD":0,"workerShare":0.3,"positiveResourceIndependent":0.5,"positivePayIndependent":0.5,"reachKnown":true,"fundingKnown":true,"clinicalKnown":true,"cashKnown":true,"payKnown":true,"externalResourcesKnown":false,"portfolioKnown":false}

strong Clinical: Cost: $10K; Chicago health QALYs: 0.11; all-population health QALYs: 0.11. Income-equivalent healthy years: 0.00. {"gift":10000,"supportCost":3908692,"grossCost":3908692,"riskUnits":4500,"peoplePerUnit":1,"funding":0.35,"completion":0.8,"otherwiseFree":0.5,"purchaser":0.05,"overdoseChance":0.08,"timelyIncrement":0.5,"deathReduction":0.25,"commonAliveShare":0.7,"utility":0.65,"survivalYears":40,"firstYearMortality":0.075,"year2to10Mortality":0.04,"year11to25Mortality":0.05,"laterMortality":0.08,"preEventMortality":0.02,"eventDelay":0.5,"discount":0.03,"healthLocality":0.95,"resourceLocality":0.95,"attemptHarm":0.00001,"baseline":25000,"burdenShare":0.2,"travelUSD":5,"lostPayUSD":5,"avoidedPurchaseUSD":15,"medicalCashUSD":0,"recoveryPayUSD":0,"workerShare":0.3,"positiveResourceIndependent":0.5,"positivePayIndependent":0.5,"reachKnown":true,"fundingKnown":true,"clinicalKnown":true,"cashKnown":true,"payKnown":true,"externalResourcesKnown":false,"portfolioKnown":false}

poor Clinical: Cost: $10K; Chicago health QALYs: 0.00; all-population health QALYs: 0.00. Income-equivalent healthy years: 0.00. {"gift":10000,"supportCost":3908692,"grossCost":3908692,"riskUnits":4500,"peoplePerUnit":1,"funding":0.35,"completion":0.8,"otherwiseFree":0.5,"purchaser":0.05,"overdoseChance":0.08,"timelyIncrement":0.1,"deathReduction":0.05,"commonAliveShare":0.7,"utility":0.65,"survivalYears":40,"firstYearMortality":0.075,"year2to10Mortality":0.04,"year11to25Mortality":0.05,"laterMortality":0.08,"preEventMortality":0.02,"eventDelay":0.5,"discount":0.03,"healthLocality":0.95,"resourceLocality":0.95,"attemptHarm":0.00001,"baseline":25000,"burdenShare":0.2,"travelUSD":5,"lostPayUSD":5,"avoidedPurchaseUSD":15,"medicalCashUSD":0,"recoveryPayUSD":0,"workerShare":0.3,"positiveResourceIndependent":0.5,"positivePayIndependent":0.5,"reachKnown":true,"fundingKnown":true,"clinicalKnown":true,"cashKnown":true,"payKnown":true,"externalResourcesKnown":false,"portfolioKnown":false}

first Year Only: Cost: $10K; Chicago health QALYs: 0.00; all-population health QALYs: 0.00. Income-equivalent healthy years: 0.00. {"gift":10000,"supportCost":3908692,"grossCost":3908692,"riskUnits":4500,"peoplePerUnit":1,"funding":0.35,"completion":0.8,"otherwiseFree":0.5,"purchaser":0.05,"overdoseChance":0.08,"timelyIncrement":0.3,"deathReduction":0.15,"commonAliveShare":0.7,"utility":0.65,"survivalYears":1,"firstYearMortality":0.075,"year2to10Mortality":0.04,"year11to25Mortality":0.05,"laterMortality":0.08,"preEventMortality":0.02,"eventDelay":0.5,"discount":0.03,"healthLocality":0.95,"resourceLocality":0.95,"attemptHarm":0.00001,"baseline":25000,"burdenShare":0.2,"travelUSD":5,"lostPayUSD":5,"avoidedPurchaseUSD":15,"medicalCashUSD":0,"recoveryPayUSD":0,"workerShare":0.3,"positiveResourceIndependent":0.5,"positivePayIndependent":0.5,"reachKnown":true,"fundingKnown":true,"clinicalKnown":true,"cashKnown":true,"payKnown":true,"externalResourcesKnown":false,"portfolioKnown":false}

prior Five Year: Cost: $10K; Chicago health QALYs: 0.01; all-population health QALYs: 0.01. Income-equivalent healthy years: 0.00. {"gift":10000,"supportCost":3908692,"grossCost":3908692,"riskUnits":4500,"peoplePerUnit":1,"funding":0.35,"completion":0.8,"otherwiseFree":0.5,"purchaser":0.05,"overdoseChance":0.08,"timelyIncrement":0.3,"deathReduction":0.15,"commonAliveShare":0.7,"utility":0.65,"survivalYears":5,"firstYearMortality":0.1,"year2to10Mortality":0.1,"year11to25Mortality":0.05,"laterMortality":0.08,"preEventMortality":0.02,"eventDelay":0.5,"discount":0.03,"healthLocality":0.95,"resourceLocality":0.95,"attemptHarm":0.00001,"baseline":25000,"burdenShare":0.2,"travelUSD":5,"lostPayUSD":5,"avoidedPurchaseUSD":15,"medicalCashUSD":0,"recoveryPayUSD":0,"workerShare":0.3,"positiveResourceIndependent":0.5,"positivePayIndependent":0.5,"reachKnown":true,"fundingKnown":true,"clinicalKnown":true,"cashKnown":true,"payKnown":true,"externalResourcesKnown":false,"portfolioKnown":false}

long Tail55: Cost: $10K; Chicago health QALYs: 0.04; all-population health QALYs: 0.04. Income-equivalent healthy years: 0.00. {"gift":10000,"supportCost":3908692,"grossCost":3908692,"riskUnits":4500,"peoplePerUnit":1,"funding":0.35,"completion":0.8,"otherwiseFree":0.5,"purchaser":0.05,"overdoseChance":0.08,"timelyIncrement":0.3,"deathReduction":0.15,"commonAliveShare":0.7,"utility":0.65,"survivalYears":55,"firstYearMortality":0.075,"year2to10Mortality":0.04,"year11to25Mortality":0.05,"laterMortality":0.08,"preEventMortality":0.02,"eventDelay":0.5,"discount":0.03,"healthLocality":0.95,"resourceLocality":0.95,"attemptHarm":0.00001,"baseline":25000,"burdenShare":0.2,"travelUSD":5,"lostPayUSD":5,"avoidedPurchaseUSD":15,"medicalCashUSD":0,"recoveryPayUSD":0,"workerShare":0.3,"positiveResourceIndependent":0.5,"positivePayIndependent":0.5,"reachKnown":true,"fundingKnown":true,"clinicalKnown":true,"cashKnown":true,"payKnown":true,"externalResourcesKnown":false,"portfolioKnown":false}

shorter High Mortality: Cost: $10K; Chicago health QALYs: 0.03; all-population health QALYs: 0.03. Income-equivalent healthy years: 0.00. {"gift":10000,"supportCost":3908692,"grossCost":3908692,"riskUnits":4500,"peoplePerUnit":1,"funding":0.35,"completion":0.8,"otherwiseFree":0.5,"purchaser":0.05,"overdoseChance":0.08,"timelyIncrement":0.3,"deathReduction":0.15,"commonAliveShare":0.7,"utility":0.65,"survivalYears":40,"firstYearMortality":0.1,"year2to10Mortality":0.08,"year11to25Mortality":0.1,"laterMortality":0.15,"preEventMortality":0.02,"eventDelay":0.5,"discount":0.03,"healthLocality":0.95,"resourceLocality":0.95,"attemptHarm":0.00001,"baseline":25000,"burdenShare":0.2,"travelUSD":5,"lostPayUSD":5,"avoidedPurchaseUSD":15,"medicalCashUSD":0,"recoveryPayUSD":0,"workerShare":0.3,"positiveResourceIndependent":0.5,"positivePayIndependent":0.5,"reachKnown":true,"fundingKnown":true,"clinicalKnown":true,"cashKnown":true,"payKnown":true,"externalResourcesKnown":false,"portfolioKnown":false}

lower Mortality: Cost: $10K; Chicago health QALYs: 0.05; all-population health QALYs: 0.05. Income-equivalent healthy years: 0.00. {"gift":10000,"supportCost":3908692,"grossCost":3908692,"riskUnits":4500,"peoplePerUnit":1,"funding":0.35,"completion":0.8,"otherwiseFree":0.5,"purchaser":0.05,"overdoseChance":0.08,"timelyIncrement":0.3,"deathReduction":0.15,"commonAliveShare":0.7,"utility":0.65,"survivalYears":40,"firstYearMortality":0.05,"year2to10Mortality":0.025,"year11to25Mortality":0.03,"laterMortality":0.05,"preEventMortality":0.02,"eventDelay":0.5,"discount":0.03,"healthLocality":0.95,"resourceLocality":0.95,"attemptHarm":0.00001,"baseline":25000,"burdenShare":0.2,"travelUSD":5,"lostPayUSD":5,"avoidedPurchaseUSD":15,"medicalCashUSD":0,"recoveryPayUSD":0,"workerShare":0.3,"positiveResourceIndependent":0.5,"positivePayIndependent":0.5,"reachKnown":true,"fundingKnown":true,"clinicalKnown":true,"cashKnown":true,"payKnown":true,"externalResourcesKnown":false,"portfolioKnown":false}

half Distinct: Cost: $10K; Chicago health QALYs: 0.02; all-population health QALYs: 0.02. Income-equivalent healthy years: 0.00. {"gift":10000,"supportCost":3908692,"grossCost":3908692,"riskUnits":2250,"peoplePerUnit":1,"funding":0.35,"completion":0.8,"otherwiseFree":0.5,"purchaser":0.05,"overdoseChance":0.08,"timelyIncrement":0.3,"deathReduction":0.15,"commonAliveShare":0.7,"utility":0.65,"survivalYears":40,"firstYearMortality":0.075,"year2to10Mortality":0.04,"year11to25Mortality":0.05,"laterMortality":0.08,"preEventMortality":0.02,"eventDelay":0.5,"discount":0.03,"healthLocality":0.95,"resourceLocality":0.95,"attemptHarm":0.00001,"baseline":25000,"burdenShare":0.2,"travelUSD":5,"lostPayUSD":5,"avoidedPurchaseUSD":15,"medicalCashUSD":0,"recoveryPayUSD":0,"workerShare":0.3,"positiveResourceIndependent":0.5,"positivePayIndependent":0.5,"reachKnown":true,"fundingKnown":true,"clinicalKnown":true,"cashKnown":true,"payKnown":true,"externalResourcesKnown":false,"portfolioKnown":false}

double Distinct: Cost: $10K; Chicago health QALYs: 0.08; all-population health QALYs: 0.08. Income-equivalent healthy years: 0.00. {"gift":10000,"supportCost":3908692,"grossCost":3908692,"riskUnits":9000,"peoplePerUnit":1,"funding":0.35,"completion":0.8,"otherwiseFree":0.5,"purchaser":0.05,"overdoseChance":0.08,"timelyIncrement":0.3,"deathReduction":0.15,"commonAliveShare":0.7,"utility":0.65,"survivalYears":40,"firstYearMortality":0.075,"year2to10Mortality":0.04,"year11to25Mortality":0.05,"laterMortality":0.08,"preEventMortality":0.02,"eventDelay":0.5,"discount":0.03,"healthLocality":0.95,"resourceLocality":0.95,"attemptHarm":0.00001,"baseline":25000,"burdenShare":0.2,"travelUSD":5,"lostPayUSD":5,"avoidedPurchaseUSD":15,"medicalCashUSD":0,"recoveryPayUSD":0,"workerShare":0.3,"positiveResourceIndependent":0.5,"positivePayIndependent":0.5,"reachKnown":true,"fundingKnown":true,"clinicalKnown":true,"cashKnown":true,"payKnown":true,"externalResourcesKnown":false,"portfolioKnown":false}

unknown Zero Risk: Cost: $10K; Chicago health QALYs: unknown; all-population health QALYs: unknown. Income-equivalent healthy years: 0.00. {"gift":10000,"supportCost":3908692,"grossCost":3908692,"riskUnits":4500,"peoplePerUnit":1,"funding":0.35,"completion":0.8,"otherwiseFree":0.5,"purchaser":0.05,"overdoseChance":0,"timelyIncrement":0.3,"deathReduction":0.15,"commonAliveShare":0.7,"utility":0.65,"survivalYears":40,"firstYearMortality":0.075,"year2to10Mortality":0.04,"year11to25Mortality":0.05,"laterMortality":0.08,"preEventMortality":0.02,"eventDelay":0.5,"discount":0.03,"healthLocality":0.95,"resourceLocality":0.95,"attemptHarm":0.00001,"baseline":25000,"burdenShare":0.2,"travelUSD":5,"lostPayUSD":5,"avoidedPurchaseUSD":15,"medicalCashUSD":0,"recoveryPayUSD":0,"workerShare":0.3,"positiveResourceIndependent":0.5,"positivePayIndependent":0.5,"reachKnown":true,"fundingKnown":true,"clinicalKnown":false,"cashKnown":true,"payKnown":true,"externalResourcesKnown":false,"portfolioKnown":false}

unknown Zero Timeliness: Cost: $10K; Chicago health QALYs: unknown; all-population health QALYs: unknown. Income-equivalent healthy years: 0.00. {"gift":10000,"supportCost":3908692,"grossCost":3908692,"riskUnits":4500,"peoplePerUnit":1,"funding":0.35,"completion":0.8,"otherwiseFree":0.5,"purchaser":0.05,"overdoseChance":0.08,"timelyIncrement":0,"deathReduction":0.15,"commonAliveShare":0.7,"utility":0.65,"survivalYears":40,"firstYearMortality":0.075,"year2to10Mortality":0.04,"year11to25Mortality":0.05,"laterMortality":0.08,"preEventMortality":0.02,"eventDelay":0.5,"discount":0.03,"healthLocality":0.95,"resourceLocality":0.95,"attemptHarm":0.00001,"baseline":25000,"burdenShare":0.2,"travelUSD":5,"lostPayUSD":5,"avoidedPurchaseUSD":15,"medicalCashUSD":0,"recoveryPayUSD":0,"workerShare":0.3,"positiveResourceIndependent":0.5,"positivePayIndependent":0.5,"reachKnown":true,"fundingKnown":true,"clinicalKnown":false,"cashKnown":true,"payKnown":true,"externalResourcesKnown":false,"portfolioKnown":false}

gross Resource25: Cost: $10K; Chicago health QALYs: 0.04; all-population health QALYs: 0.04. Income-equivalent healthy years: 0.00. {"gift":10000,"supportCost":3908692,"grossCost":4885865,"riskUnits":4500,"peoplePerUnit":1,"funding":0.35,"completion":0.8,"otherwiseFree":0.5,"purchaser":0.05,"overdoseChance":0.08,"timelyIncrement":0.3,"deathReduction":0.15,"commonAliveShare":0.7,"utility":0.65,"survivalYears":40,"firstYearMortality":0.075,"year2to10Mortality":0.04,"year11to25Mortality":0.05,"laterMortality":0.08,"preEventMortality":0.02,"eventDelay":0.5,"discount":0.03,"healthLocality":0.95,"resourceLocality":0.95,"attemptHarm":0.00001,"baseline":25000,"burdenShare":0.2,"travelUSD":5,"lostPayUSD":5,"avoidedPurchaseUSD":15,"medicalCashUSD":0,"recoveryPayUSD":0,"workerShare":0.3,"positiveResourceIndependent":0.5,"positivePayIndependent":0.5,"reachKnown":true,"fundingKnown":true,"clinicalKnown":true,"cashKnown":true,"payKnown":true,"externalResourcesKnown":false,"portfolioKnown":false}

settlement Cost Only: Cost: $10K; Chicago health QALYs: 0.04; all-population health QALYs: 0.04. Income-equivalent healthy years: 0.00. {"gift":10000,"supportCost":2096734,"grossCost":3908692,"riskUnits":4500,"peoplePerUnit":1,"funding":0.18774999411567858,"completion":0.8,"otherwiseFree":0.5,"purchaser":0.05,"overdoseChance":0.08,"timelyIncrement":0.3,"deathReduction":0.15,"commonAliveShare":0.7,"utility":0.65,"survivalYears":40,"firstYearMortality":0.075,"year2to10Mortality":0.04,"year11to25Mortality":0.05,"laterMortality":0.08,"preEventMortality":0.02,"eventDelay":0.5,"discount":0.03,"healthLocality":0.95,"resourceLocality":0.95,"attemptHarm":0.00001,"baseline":25000,"burdenShare":0.2,"travelUSD":5,"lostPayUSD":5,"avoidedPurchaseUSD":15,"medicalCashUSD":0,"recoveryPayUSD":0,"workerShare":0.3,"positiveResourceIndependent":0.5,"positivePayIndependent":0.5,"reachKnown":true,"fundingKnown":true,"clinicalKnown":true,"cashKnown":true,"payKnown":true,"externalResourcesKnown":false,"portfolioKnown":false}

captured Resource Unknown: Cost: $10K; Chicago health QALYs: 0.04; all-population health QALYs: 0.04. Income-equivalent healthy years: 0.00. {"gift":10000,"supportCost":3908692,"grossCost":3908692,"riskUnits":4500,"peoplePerUnit":1,"funding":0.35,"completion":0.8,"otherwiseFree":0.5,"purchaser":0.05,"overdoseChance":0.08,"timelyIncrement":0.3,"deathReduction":0.15,"commonAliveShare":0.7,"utility":0.65,"survivalYears":40,"firstYearMortality":0.075,"year2to10Mortality":0.04,"year11to25Mortality":0.05,"laterMortality":0.08,"preEventMortality":0.02,"eventDelay":0.5,"discount":0.03,"healthLocality":0.95,"resourceLocality":0.95,"attemptHarm":0.00001,"baseline":25000,"burdenShare":0.2,"travelUSD":5,"lostPayUSD":5,"avoidedPurchaseUSD":15,"medicalCashUSD":0,"recoveryPayUSD":0,"workerShare":0.3,"positiveResourceIndependent":0.5,"positivePayIndependent":0.5,"reachKnown":true,"fundingKnown":true,"clinicalKnown":true,"cashKnown":true,"payKnown":true,"externalResourcesKnown":false,"portfolioKnown":false}

delay Stress: Cost: $10K; Chicago health QALYs: 0.04; all-population health QALYs: 0.04. Income-equivalent healthy years: 0.00. {"gift":10000,"supportCost":3908692,"grossCost":3908692,"riskUnits":4500,"peoplePerUnit":1,"funding":0.35,"completion":0.8,"otherwiseFree":0.5,"purchaser":0.05,"overdoseChance":0.08,"timelyIncrement":0.3,"deathReduction":0.15,"commonAliveShare":0.7,"utility":0.65,"survivalYears":40,"firstYearMortality":0.075,"year2to10Mortality":0.04,"year11to25Mortality":0.05,"laterMortality":0.08,"preEventMortality":0.02,"eventDelay":2,"discount":0.03,"healthLocality":0.95,"resourceLocality":0.95,"attemptHarm":0.00001,"baseline":25000,"burdenShare":0.2,"travelUSD":5,"lostPayUSD":5,"avoidedPurchaseUSD":15,"medicalCashUSD":0,"recoveryPayUSD":0,"workerShare":0.3,"positiveResourceIndependent":0.5,"positivePayIndependent":0.5,"reachKnown":true,"fundingKnown":true,"clinicalKnown":true,"cashKnown":true,"payKnown":true,"externalResourcesKnown":false,"portfolioKnown":false}

access Harm: Cost: $10K; Chicago health QALYs: 0.04; all-population health QALYs: 0.04. Income-equivalent healthy years: 0.00. {"gift":10000,"supportCost":3908692,"grossCost":3908692,"riskUnits":4500,"peoplePerUnit":1,"funding":0.35,"completion":0.8,"otherwiseFree":0.5,"purchaser":0.05,"overdoseChance":0.08,"timelyIncrement":0.3,"deathReduction":0.15,"commonAliveShare":0.7,"utility":0.65,"survivalYears":40,"firstYearMortality":0.075,"year2to10Mortality":0.04,"year11to25Mortality":0.05,"laterMortality":0.08,"preEventMortality":0.02,"eventDelay":0.5,"discount":0.03,"healthLocality":0.95,"resourceLocality":0.95,"attemptHarm":0.00001,"baseline":25000,"burdenShare":0.2,"travelUSD":30,"lostPayUSD":30,"avoidedPurchaseUSD":15,"medicalCashUSD":0,"recoveryPayUSD":0,"workerShare":0.3,"positiveResourceIndependent":0.5,"positivePayIndependent":0.5,"reachKnown":true,"fundingKnown":true,"clinicalKnown":true,"cashKnown":true,"payKnown":true,"externalResourcesKnown":false,"portfolioKnown":false}

Historical clinical central; not current combined comparison: Cost: $3.9M; Chicago health QALYs: 9.58; all-population health QALYs: 10.08. {"C":3908692,"f":1,"K":0,"N":15000,"c":0.6,"r":0.6,"h":0.02,"e":0.15,"a":0.5,"b":0.5,"T":5,"s":0.9,"u":0.65,"d":0.03,"g":0.95,"H":0}; deaths=4.05; capped discounted QALYs per death=2.489716634743022; H is signed all-population net other-portfolio QALYs. K=0 is a conditional omission, not evidence that external resources are free. price10=4080401.517585316

Counterfactual: Public supplies, equivalent free/bought protection and other rescuers continue; gifts may replace existing finance. No reported reversal or ecological decline receives automatic causal credit.

Attribution: First-event risk-person-year units, disjoint mortality/common-alive cohorts, actual purchaser savings without extra clinical credit; no repeat lifetime, household or portfolio multiplication.

Finite unweighted planning judgments, not identified expected donation return, comprehensive economic cost, whole-portfolio benefit or verified capacity.

Sensitivity

  • 43 unweighted current diagnostics vary risk reach, survival, funding, alternatives, clinical response, signed resources and unknowns; not confidence intervals.
  • 2,250/9,000 risk-person-year cases bracket the prospective 4,500 judgment; unit re-expression changes no outcome.
  • Accounting-only gross/settlement comparisons hold physical rescue and health output fixed.
  • Unknown clinical zero placeholders do not establish absence; disjoint common-alive/mortality cohorts are bounded.

Unresolved inputs

  • 2025/2026 accounts, cash/restrictions, 2024 audit/return bridge, settlement payment status, controls and audit inconsistencies.
  • Grant conditions, renewals and reimbursement periods; payment date is not current-year revenue or donor room.
  • Priced unfunded whole-recipient restoration tranche, hiring timing/output and financing substitution.
  • Distinct opioid-risk reach, kit use, verified outcomes, alternative supply and MSA residence.
  • Donated supplies and volunteer opportunity cost net of recognized and supplier overlap.
  • Recipient causal mortality effect, repeat-event survival, utility and signed other-portfolio net health.
  • Current unique risk-person-time, prognosis and causal effect of additional timely response.
  • Measured net household medical obligations, recovery pay, access burdens and affected victim/rescuer household identity.

Health and income breakdown

For the modeled $10K: 0.04 health QALYs + 0.00 income-equivalent healthy years in Chicago: $264K per DALY. Income equivalents are welfare comparisons, not observed QALYs or DALYs.

Method and caveats.

5. Funding and previous grants

Original full-recipient audited expenses are $1,642,030 (2022), $2,385,530 (2023) and $3,908,692 (2024). Earlier amended returns match their audits. The 2024 return predates the April 2026 audit, reports $1,988,340 and has blank Schedule D audit reconciliations. Its $1,920,352 expense difference exceeds the settlement loss by $108,394; that residual is unexplained. The later audit remains central. Settlement-excluded expense $2,096,734 and descriptive three-year mean $2,645,417 are sensitivities, not forecasts. 2022 audit 2023 audit 2024 return

The 2024 audit records $2,261,995 revenue, $1,298,180 cash and $487,099 settlement payable. These are historical balances, not current liquidity; expected 2025 payment is not verified. Government grants were about 85.6% of revenue. An unmodified financial opinion coexists with a repeated receivables-control weakness. An older personnel-compliance finding was marked resolved; no diversion or fraud is inferred.

The 2025 funding appeal is not proof of today's gap. City contract 259502 was extended through December 2026 with a $540,000 amendment amount but a requirements-dependent master ceiling; ledger payments during calendar 2026 total $323,090.73 through retrieved entries. Contract 259501 was extended through August 2026 and shows $62,497.69 paid during calendar 2026. Payment dates are not service periods, unrestricted revenue or new donor room. Neither payments nor contract modification amounts are added to historic revenue or subtracted from costs. 259502 Payments 259501 Payments

Donor readiness: HOLD. Request current management accounts/cash forecast, audit-to-return reconciliation, settlement status, grants and reimbursement timing, a priced unfunded restoration tranche, resource valuations and deduplicated local outcomes. The current 35% funding-response factor is a planning judgment, not evidence that 35% of a gift creates services. No contact or donation was made.

The assumed 35% funding response does not verify a new unfunded tranche. Current grants, restrictions, reserves, staffing capacity, settlement payment status and the 2024 audit/return disagreement still need reconciliation. This planning comparison should not be treated as verified productivity for an ordinary unrestricted donation.

Annual expenses

Annual size figure used in comparisons

$3.9M — FY2024 audited expenses. FY2024.

All-in audited total includes a material settlement. The audit and older Form990 differ; the reconciliation gap and donor HOLD remain unresolved. Not a recurring operating-budget forecast or a comparable three-year mean.

Original2024 audited financial statements, accessed via FAC-copy embed · Reviewed 2026-10-18.

Organization-level spending, including programs, administration and fundraising. The research list averages three comparable, consecutive full fiscal years when available.

  • FY 2022: $1.6M; Chicago Recovery Alliance, 12-month period, Accrual audited full-recipient expense. Source
  • FY 2023: $2.4M; Chicago Recovery Alliance, 12-month period, Accrual audited full-recipient expense. Source
  • FY 2024: $3.9M; Chicago Recovery Alliance, 12-month period, Accrual audited expense; material settlement and unreconciled earlier return. Source

6. Sources

  1. Original2024 audited financial statements, accessed via FAC-copy embed. Chicago Recovery Alliance / Lopez & Co. CPAs. Published: not stated; retrieved: 2026-09-29.
  2. Staff and service reductions. Chicago Recovery Alliance. Published: 2025-08-15; retrieved: 2026-09-29.
  3. Current services. Chicago Recovery Alliance. Published: not stated; retrieved: 2026-09-29.
  4. Current van timetable. Chicago Recovery Alliance. Published: not stated; retrieved: 2026-09-29.
  5. Massachusetts overdose education/naloxone interrupted-time-series study. BMJ. Published: 2013-01-31; retrieved: 2026-09-29.
  6. Community-Based Cluster-Randomized Trial to Reduce Opioid Overdose Deaths. New England Journal of Medicine. Published: 2024-06-16; retrieved: 2026-09-29.
  7. One-Year Mortality After Emergency Department Visit for Nonfatal Opioid Poisoning: A Population-Based Analysis. Annals of Emergency Medicine / PubMed. Published: not stated; retrieved: 2026-09-29.
  8. Original 2022 signed audit. CRA / Lopez & Co. CPAs. Published: not stated; retrieved: 2026-09-29.
  9. Original 2023 signed audit. CRA / Lopez & Co. CPAs. Published: not stated; retrieved: 2026-09-29.
  10. 2022 amended Form 990. CRA / IRS efile. Published: not stated; retrieved: 2026-09-29.
  11. 2023 amended Form 990. CRA / IRS efile. Published: not stated; retrieved: 2026-09-29.
  12. 2024 Form 990. CRA / IRS efile. Published: not stated; retrieved: 2026-09-29.
  13. 2024 Schedule D blank reconciliations. CRA / IRS efile. Published: not stated; retrieved: 2026-09-29.
  14. 2023 amendment explanation. CRA / IRS efile. Published: not stated; retrieved: 2026-09-29.
  15. Current outreach schedule. CRA. Published: not stated; retrieved: 2026-09-29.
  16. Staff and broader Illinois activity. CRA. Published: not stated; retrieved: 2026-09-29.
  17. Volunteer roles. CRA. Published: not stated; retrieved: 2026-09-29.
  18. Job openings page. CRA. Published: not stated; retrieved: 2026-09-29.
  19. Contract and 2026 amendment. City of Chicago. Published: not stated; retrieved: 2026-09-29.
  20. Contract payment ledger. City of Chicago. Published: not stated; retrieved: 2026-09-29.
  21. OD2A contract extension. City of Chicago. Published: not stated; retrieved: 2026-09-29.
  22. OD2A payment ledger. City of Chicago. Published: not stated; retrieved: 2026-09-29.
  23. Original 2006 CRA program evaluation. Maxwell et al. / Journal of Addictive Diseases. Published: not stated; retrieved: 2026-09-29.
  24. Illinois Access evaluation. Beeler et al. / BMC Public Health. Published: not stated; retrieved: 2026-09-29.
  25. Joint opioid mortality report announcement. Cook County Department of Public Health. Published: not stated; retrieved: 2026-09-29.
  26. Ontario post-poisoning cohort. Leece et al. / Annals of Emergency Medicine. Published: not stated; retrieved: 2026-09-29.
  27. Historical naloxone donation, not current inventory. Aptar. Published: not stated; retrieved: 2026-09-29.
  28. Hypothetical naloxone cost-effectiveness model. Coffin and Sullivan / Annals of Internal Medicine. Published: not stated; retrieved: 2026-09-29.
  29. Income and health welfare crosswalk (inherited reference). Coefficient Giving. Published: not stated; retrieved: 2026-10-02.
  30. Massachusetts survival after EMS-treated overdose (primary abstract). Primary study. Published: not stated; retrieved: 2026-10-02.
  31. Historical CRA peer naloxone program (primary abstract). Primary study. Published: not stated; retrieved: 2026-10-02.
  32. HEALing Communities trial (primary abstract). Primary study. Published: not stated; retrieved: 2026-10-02.