{"model":{"organization":"NEXT Distro (NEXT Harm Reduction Inc.)","ein":"83-1333112","version":"next-distro-whole-gift-v1","status":"conditional prior-based partial-health model; independent acceptance pending","date":"2026-09-08","central":{"gift":100000,"allocation":0.5,"course_cash":100,"additionality":0.5,"unique_fraction":0.5,"event_hazard":0.2,"active_years":1,"horizon_years":15,"delay_years":0.05,"mortality_hazard":0.07,"discount":0.03,"utility":0.7,"fatality_difference":0.05,"course_harm_q":0,"independent_harm_q":0,"alternative_q":0,"public_per_course":20,"private_per_course":20,"ems_per_event":100,"real_savings":0,"bay_share":0.02,"sf_share":0,"harm_bay_share":0.02,"harm_sf_share":0},"parameterNotes":[{"key":"gift","label":"Whole unrestricted gift","best":"100,000 dollars","range":"1–1 billion calculator domain","basis":"Full gift remains numerator in all scenarios.","confidence":"Specified scenario gift"},{"key":"allocation","label":"Naloxone allocation","best":"50%","range":"20–70%; zero stress","basis":"Marginal prior including attributable central overhead; other 50% health unquantified, cost retained.","confidence":"Explicit uncalibrated prior"},{"key":"course_cash","label":"NEXT cash per complete supported course","best":"$100","range":"$40–$250; $140 donor-pays case","basis":"Unpriced prior covering platform, staff, postage, recruitment failures and attributable administration. Not sprays, old cost/volume division or outside partner resources.","confidence":"Explicit uncalibrated prior"},{"key":"additionality","label":"Funding additionality","best":"50%","range":"20–80%; zero","basis":"Fraction of courses added beyond public/other donor funding. Not clinical efficacy or allocation.","confidence":"Explicit uncalibrated prior"},{"key":"unique_fraction","label":"Distinct at-risk beneficiaries per added course","best":"50%","range":"25–80%","basis":"Deduplicates repeat orders, shared responders and overlapping programs. At most one lifetime stream/person; secondary population multipliers excluded.","confidence":"Explicit uncalibrated prior"},{"key":"event_hazard","label":"First eligible use hazard","best":"0.2/year","range":"0.05–0.4; zero","basis":"First adequate-course rescue opportunity, not all overdoses or reported reversals/mailed kits.","confidence":"Explicit uncalibrated prior"},{"key":"active_years","label":"Finite access window","best":"1 year","range":"0.25-year stress; domain 0–5","basis":"No credited new use after access ends; excludes subsequent repeat-use benefit.","confidence":"Explicit uncalibrated prior"},{"key":"horizon_years","label":"Finite health horizon from activation","best":"15 years","range":"5–20; zero; domain 0–50","basis":"Same finite end date for early and late index rescues.","confidence":"Explicit uncalibrated prior"},{"key":"delay_years","label":"Implementation delay","best":"0.05 year","range":"Domain 0–10","basis":"Health discounted from activation to gift date; population defined at activation.","confidence":"Explicit uncalibrated prior"},{"key":"mortality_hazard","label":"Common competing/future mortality","best":"0.07/year","range":"0.04 favorable; domain 0–1","basis":"Explicit prior includes non-index overdoses before first event and all future mortality after it; prevents a permanent saved-life assumption.","confidence":"Explicit uncalibrated prior"},{"key":"discount","label":"Continuous health discount","best":"3%/year","range":"Domain 0–20%","basis":"Judgment; not 3% effective annual compounding.","confidence":"Explicit uncalibrated prior"},{"key":"utility","label":"Survivor utility","best":"0.7","range":"Domain 0–1","basis":"Not healthy life expectancy or directly measured NEXT utility.","confidence":"Explicit uncalibrated prior"},{"key":"fatality_difference","label":"Conditional death-risk reduction","best":"5 percentage points","range":"1–10 points; −2-point harm; zero","basis":"Signed difference relative to actual alternative rescue/EMS, including adequate supply and readiness. Not a drug success rate.","confidence":"Explicit uncalibrated prior"},{"key":"course_harm_q","label":"Burden per added course","best":"0 gift-date PV QALY","range":"0.02 stress","basis":"Applies to all added courses, including those without a credited unique beneficiary. Excludes any harm already in fatality difference.","confidence":"Explicit uncalibrated prior"},{"key":"independent_harm_q","label":"Independent harm","best":"0 gift-date PV QALY","range":"0.2 no-activity stress","basis":"Survives zero allocation. No second discount.","confidence":"Explicit uncalibrated prior"},{"key":"alternative_q","label":"Displaced alternative health","best":"0 gift-date PV QALY","range":"1 target-failure stress","basis":"Distinct crowd-out of other medicine/partner uses, beyond replacement courses already removed. Not a counterfactual assumption of no public care.","confidence":"Explicit uncalibrated prior"},{"key":"public_per_course","label":"Outside public resources","best":"$20/course","range":"Unpriced; zero donor-pays case","basis":"Real medicine/partner inputs excluding expenses paid by NEXT or subcontract invoices already counted. Public transfers themselves are not extra resource costs.","confidence":"Explicit uncalibrated prior"},{"key":"private_per_course","label":"Outside private/volunteer resources","best":"$20/course","range":"Unpriced; zero donor-pays case","basis":"Real inputs outside NEXT cash; excludes upstream/downstream duplicate payment.","confidence":"Explicit uncalibrated prior"},{"key":"ems_per_event","label":"Additional medical resources per eligible event","best":"$100","range":"Unpriced; zero sensitivity","basis":"Expected incremental real EMS/aftercare, not a billed reimbursement or a claim every event causes a new ambulance trip.","confidence":"Explicit uncalibrated prior"},{"key":"real_savings","label":"Other net real resource savings","best":"$0 gift-date dollars","range":"$150,000 diagnostic; signed domain ±$1 billion","basis":"Separate unmeasured public/private resource savings, not transfers. Negative input denotes extra costs. Not a benefit estimate.","confidence":"Explicit uncalibrated prior"},{"key":"bay_share","label":"Benefit in nine-county Bay Area","best":"2%","range":"Zero sensitivity; unmeasured","basis":"Independent residence prior outside SF, not population share or California statewide delivery share.","confidence":"Explicit uncalibrated prior"},{"key":"sf_share","label":"Benefit in SF","best":"0%","range":"No positive SF claim","basis":"Official mail exclusion. Mobility/secondary rescue spillovers not established.","confidence":"Current activity boundary; spillover uncertainty"},{"key":"harm_bay_share","label":"Loss in Bay Area","best":"2%","range":"Zero sensitivity","basis":"Separate residence share of course harms, independent harms and displaced alternative health; no addition to US total.","confidence":"Explicit uncalibrated prior"},{"key":"harm_sf_share","label":"Loss in SF","best":"0%","range":"Nested domain enforced","basis":"Not mechanically constrained to match benefit share; default no SF effect.","confidence":"Explicit uncalibrated prior"}],"scenarios":{"central":{},"favorable_joint":{"allocation":0.7,"course_cash":40,"additionality":0.8,"unique_fraction":0.8,"event_hazard":0.4,"fatality_difference":0.1,"mortality_hazard":0.04,"horizon_years":20},"pessimistic_positive":{"allocation":0.2,"course_cash":250,"additionality":0.2,"unique_fraction":0.25,"event_hazard":0.05,"fatality_difference":0.01,"horizon_years":10},"zero_allocation":{"allocation":0},"replacement_only":{"additionality":0},"no_use":{"event_hazard":0},"no_incremental_rescue":{"fatality_difference":0},"short_access":{"active_years":0.25},"five_year_horizon":{"horizon_years":5},"zero_horizon":{"horizon_years":0},"negative_clinical_effect":{"fatality_difference":-0.02},"independent_harm_no_activity":{"allocation":0,"independent_harm_q":0.2},"target_failure_displaced_alternative":{"fatality_difference":0,"alternative_q":1},"course_burden":{"course_harm_q":0.02},"donor_pays_outside":{"course_cash":140,"public_per_course":0,"private_per_course":0},"no_bay_health":{"bay_share":0,"harm_bay_share":0},"resource_saving_diagnostic":{"real_savings":150000},"zero_associated_resources":{"public_per_course":0,"private_per_course":0,"ems_per_event":0}},"results":{"central":{"courses":500,"added_courses":250,"people":125,"events":21.909306079921002,"event_probability":0.17527444863936803,"health_integral":1.3214285376743973,"benefit":5.781249852325488,"loss":0,"q":{"us":5.781249852325488,"bay":0.11562499704650976,"sf":0},"gross_resources":124381.8612159842,"net_resources":112190.9306079921,"prices":{"us":{"donor":172972.9773913427,"gross":215147.0086800556,"net":194059.99303569912},"bay":{"donor":8648648.869567135,"gross":10757350.43400278,"net":9702999.651784956},"sf":{"donor":null,"gross":null,"net":null}}},"favorable_joint":{"courses":1750,"added_courses":1400,"people":1120,"events":362.4356439880743,"event_probability":0.3236032535607806,"health_integral":3.3927489149734513,"benefit":265.99151493391855,"loss":0,"q":{"us":265.99151493391855,"bay":5.319830298678371,"sf":0},"gross_resources":215304.45549850928,"net_resources":192243.56439880742,"prices":{"us":{"donor":3759.518420158757,"gross":8094.410663888972,"net":7227.432215142929},"bay":{"donor":187975.92100793787,"gross":404720.53319444857,"net":361371.6107571464},"sf":{"donor":null,"gross":null,"net":null}}},"pessimistic_positive":{"courses":80,"added_courses":16,"people":4,"events":0.1884659388047375,"event_probability":0.047116484701184375,"health_integral":0.28446281025082937,"benefit":0.00796495868702322,"loss":0,"q":{"us":0.00796495868702322,"bay":0.0001592991737404644,"sf":0},"gross_resources":103294.23296940236,"net_resources":100658.84659388047,"prices":{"us":{"donor":125549929.29583348,"gross":129685836.45975818,"net":126377110.72861841},"bay":{"donor":6277496464.791675,"gross":6484291822.987909,"net":6318855536.430921},"sf":{"donor":null,"gross":null,"net":null}}},"zero_allocation":{"courses":0,"added_courses":0,"people":0,"events":0,"event_probability":0.17527444863936803,"health_integral":1.3214285376743973,"benefit":0,"loss":0,"q":{"us":0,"bay":0,"sf":0},"gross_resources":100000,"net_resources":100000,"prices":{"us":{"donor":null,"gross":null,"net":null},"bay":{"donor":null,"gross":null,"net":null},"sf":{"donor":null,"gross":null,"net":null}}},"replacement_only":{"courses":500,"added_courses":0,"people":0,"events":0,"event_probability":0.17527444863936803,"health_integral":1.3214285376743973,"benefit":0,"loss":0,"q":{"us":0,"bay":0,"sf":0},"gross_resources":124381.8612159842,"net_resources":100000,"prices":{"us":{"donor":null,"gross":null,"net":null},"bay":{"donor":null,"gross":null,"net":null},"sf":{"donor":null,"gross":null,"net":null}}},"no_use":{"courses":500,"added_courses":250,"people":125,"events":0,"event_probability":0,"health_integral":0,"benefit":0,"loss":0,"q":{"us":0,"bay":0,"sf":0},"gross_resources":120000,"net_resources":110000,"prices":{"us":{"donor":null,"gross":null,"net":null},"bay":{"donor":null,"gross":null,"net":null},"sf":{"donor":null,"gross":null,"net":null}}},"no_incremental_rescue":{"courses":500,"added_courses":250,"people":125,"events":21.909306079921002,"event_probability":0.17527444863936803,"health_integral":1.3214285376743973,"benefit":0,"loss":0,"q":{"us":0,"bay":0,"sf":0},"gross_resources":124381.8612159842,"net_resources":112190.9306079921,"prices":{"us":{"donor":null,"gross":null,"net":null},"bay":{"donor":null,"gross":null,"net":null},"sf":{"donor":null,"gross":null,"net":null}}},"short_access":{"courses":500,"added_courses":250,"people":125,"events":6.043729572590044,"event_probability":0.04834983658072035,"health_integral":0.37232931487380744,"benefit":1.6289407525729076,"loss":0,"q":{"us":1.6289407525729076,"bay":0.032578815051458154,"sf":0},"gross_resources":121208.745914518,"net_resources":110604.37295725901,"prices":{"us":{"donor":613895.8697058212,"gross":744095.4848914492,"net":678995.6772986352},"bay":{"donor":30694793.485291056,"gross":37204774.24457246,"net":33949783.86493176},"sf":{"donor":null,"gross":null,"net":null}}},"five_year_horizon":{"courses":500,"added_courses":250,"people":125,"events":21.909306079921002,"event_probability":0.17527444863936803,"health_integral":0.6274830387466784,"benefit":2.745238294516718,"loss":0,"q":{"us":2.745238294516718,"bay":0.05490476589033436,"sf":0},"gross_resources":124381.8612159842,"net_resources":112190.9306079921,"prices":{"us":{"donor":364267.10278571415,"gross":453082.2022424135,"net":408674.65251406375},"bay":{"donor":18213355.139285706,"gross":22654110.112120673,"net":20433732.62570319},"sf":{"donor":null,"gross":null,"net":null}}},"zero_horizon":{"courses":500,"added_courses":250,"people":125,"events":0,"event_probability":0,"health_integral":0,"benefit":0,"loss":0,"q":{"us":0,"bay":0,"sf":0},"gross_resources":120000,"net_resources":110000,"prices":{"us":{"donor":null,"gross":null,"net":null},"bay":{"donor":null,"gross":null,"net":null},"sf":{"donor":null,"gross":null,"net":null}}},"negative_clinical_effect":{"courses":500,"added_courses":250,"people":125,"events":21.909306079921002,"event_probability":0.17527444863936803,"health_integral":1.3214285376743973,"benefit":-2.3124999409301954,"loss":0,"q":{"us":-2.3124999409301954,"bay":-0.04624999881860391,"sf":0},"gross_resources":124381.8612159842,"net_resources":112190.9306079921,"prices":{"us":{"donor":null,"gross":null,"net":null},"bay":{"donor":null,"gross":null,"net":null},"sf":{"donor":null,"gross":null,"net":null}}},"independent_harm_no_activity":{"courses":0,"added_courses":0,"people":0,"events":0,"event_probability":0.17527444863936803,"health_integral":1.3214285376743973,"benefit":0,"loss":0.2,"q":{"us":-0.2,"bay":-0.004,"sf":0},"gross_resources":100000,"net_resources":100000,"prices":{"us":{"donor":null,"gross":null,"net":null},"bay":{"donor":null,"gross":null,"net":null},"sf":{"donor":null,"gross":null,"net":null}}},"target_failure_displaced_alternative":{"courses":500,"added_courses":250,"people":125,"events":21.909306079921002,"event_probability":0.17527444863936803,"health_integral":1.3214285376743973,"benefit":0,"loss":1,"q":{"us":-1,"bay":-0.02,"sf":0},"gross_resources":124381.8612159842,"net_resources":112190.9306079921,"prices":{"us":{"donor":null,"gross":null,"net":null},"bay":{"donor":null,"gross":null,"net":null},"sf":{"donor":null,"gross":null,"net":null}}},"course_burden":{"courses":500,"added_courses":250,"people":125,"events":21.909306079921002,"event_probability":0.17527444863936803,"health_integral":1.3214285376743973,"benefit":5.781249852325488,"loss":5,"q":{"us":0.7812498523254883,"bay":0.015624997046509756,"sf":0},"gross_resources":124381.8612159842,"net_resources":112190.9306079921,"prices":{"us":{"donor":1280000.2419499657,"gross":1592088.1245064682,"net":1436044.1832282168},"bay":{"donor":64000012.09749833,"gross":79604406.22532347,"net":71802209.16141088},"sf":{"donor":null,"gross":null,"net":null}}},"donor_pays_outside":{"courses":357.14285714285717,"added_courses":178.57142857142858,"people":89.28571428571429,"events":15.649504342800718,"event_probability":0.17527444863936803,"health_integral":1.3214285376743973,"benefit":4.129464180232492,"loss":0,"q":{"us":4.129464180232492,"bay":0.08258928360464983,"sf":0},"gross_resources":103129.90086856014,"net_resources":101564.95043428006,"prices":{"us":{"donor":242162.16834787978,"gross":249741.60415832413,"net":245951.88625310195},"bay":{"donor":12108108.41739399,"gross":12487080.207916208,"net":12297594.312655099},"sf":{"donor":null,"gross":null,"net":null}}},"no_bay_health":{"courses":500,"added_courses":250,"people":125,"events":21.909306079921002,"event_probability":0.17527444863936803,"health_integral":1.3214285376743973,"benefit":5.781249852325488,"loss":0,"q":{"us":5.781249852325488,"bay":0,"sf":0},"gross_resources":124381.8612159842,"net_resources":112190.9306079921,"prices":{"us":{"donor":172972.9773913427,"gross":215147.0086800556,"net":194059.99303569912},"bay":{"donor":null,"gross":null,"net":null},"sf":{"donor":null,"gross":null,"net":null}}},"resource_saving_diagnostic":{"courses":500,"added_courses":250,"people":125,"events":21.909306079921002,"event_probability":0.17527444863936803,"health_integral":1.3214285376743973,"benefit":5.781249852325488,"loss":0,"q":{"us":5.781249852325488,"bay":0.11562499704650976,"sf":0},"gross_resources":124381.8612159842,"net_resources":-37809.06939200791,"prices":{"us":{"donor":172972.9773913427,"gross":215147.0086800556,"net":-65399.473051314904},"bay":{"donor":8648648.869567135,"gross":10757350.43400278,"net":-3269973.652565745},"sf":{"donor":null,"gross":null,"net":null}}},"zero_associated_resources":{"courses":500,"added_courses":250,"people":125,"events":21.909306079921002,"event_probability":0.17527444863936803,"health_integral":1.3214285376743973,"benefit":5.781249852325488,"loss":0,"q":{"us":5.781249852325488,"bay":0.11562499704650976,"sf":0},"gross_resources":100000,"net_resources":100000,"prices":{"us":{"donor":172972.9773913427,"gross":172972.9773913427,"net":172972.9773913427},"bay":{"donor":8648648.869567135,"gross":8648648.869567135,"net":8648648.869567135},"sf":{"donor":null,"gross":null,"net":null}}}},"finance":{"period":"2024-07-01/2025-06-30","filed":"2026-04-03","revenue":2222780,"expense":2648980,"government_grants":738924,"program":2411672,"management":169318,"fundraising":67990,"shipping":131237,"program_supplies":203137,"subcontracts":421017,"cash":723284,"receivables":521365,"total_assets":1675428,"total_liabilities":896774,"net_assets":778654},"sources":[{"title":"Give to NEXT","publisher":"NEXT Harm Reduction","url":"https://nextdistro.org/donate","published":"Undated current page","retrieved":"September 8, 2026","sourceType":"Primary recipient, ordinary gift uses and affiliate separation; no priced open tranche."},{"title":"Naloxone mailing program","publisher":"NEXT Harm Reduction","url":"https://nextdistro.org/naloxone","published":"Undated current page","retrieved":"September 8, 2026","sourceType":"Primary current network and alternative-access eligibility."},{"title":"California resources","publisher":"NEXT Harm Reduction","url":"https://nextdistro.org/california","published":"Undated current page; contains older surrounding context","retrieved":"September 8, 2026","sourceType":"Primary SANE partner and explicit SF mail exclusion; old mortality, hours and legal text not used."},{"title":"FY2025 Form 990","publisher":"NEXT Harm Reduction; IRS filing hosted by ProPublica","url":"https://projects.propublica.org/nonprofits/organizations/831333112/202630939349300903/full","published":"Filed April 3, 2026; July 2024–June 2025 fiscal period","retrieved":"September 8, 2026","sourceType":"Primary e-file return and Schedule O read; tax-year-2024 label is not fiscal-year-2024; no shipment denominator."},{"title":"Naloxone access","publisher":"California Department of Public Health","url":"https://www.cdph.ca.gov/Programs/CCDPHP/sapb/pages/naloxone.aspx","published":"Current page; 2026 updates","retrieved":"September 8, 2026","sourceType":"Primary public/pharmacy/community baseline and NEXT access route."},{"title":"NC overdose summit operator presentation","publisher":"NCHRC/NEXT presenters; NCACC","url":"https://www.ncacc.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/03/TH-B4-HR-306-Kestner-Miller-Powell.pdf","published":"March 2025","retrieved":"September 8, 2026","sourceType":"Primary separation of NEXT platform from partner medicine, processing and shipping."},{"title":"2024 Project RED outputs","publisher":"Project RED","url":"https://projectredinitiative.org/","published":"2024 output period; undated page","retrieved":"September 8, 2026","sourceType":"Primary 2,342 individual Oregon mail recipients, distinct from organizational/festival output."},{"title":"NEXT Harm Reduction: online mail-based program","publisher":"Yang, Favaro and Meacham; AJPH","url":"https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC7958031/","published":"2021; outcomes 2017–2019","retrieved":"September 8, 2026","sourceType":"Primary descriptive study; search-accessible abstract/text. Direct NIH challenge limited full access. Reports not unique causal lives."},{"title":"OTC naloxone approval","publisher":"FDA","url":"https://www.fda.gov/news-events/press-announcements/fda-approves-first-over-counter-naloxone-nasal-spray","published":"March 29, 2023","retrieved":"September 8, 2026","sourceType":"Primary pharmacological indication, not marginal mailing efficacy."},{"title":"Narcan prescribing label","publisher":"FDA","url":"https://www.accessdata.fda.gov/drugsatfda_docs/label/2023/208411s007lbl.pdf","published":"2023","retrieved":"September 8, 2026","sourceType":"Primary repeat-dose/emergency-care warning; no assumed network formulation mix."}]},"evaluated":[{"id":"central","courses":500,"added_courses":250,"people":125,"events":21.909306079921002,"event_probability":0.17527444863936803,"health_integral":1.3214285376743973,"benefit":5.781249852325488,"loss":0,"q":{"us":5.781249852325488,"bay":0.11562499704650976,"sf":0},"gross_resources":124381.8612159842,"net_resources":112190.9306079921,"prices":{"us":{"donor":172972.9773913427,"gross":215147.0086800556,"net":194059.99303569912},"bay":{"donor":8648648.869567135,"gross":10757350.43400278,"net":9702999.651784956},"sf":{"donor":null,"gross":null,"net":null}}},{"id":"favorable_joint","courses":1750,"added_courses":1400,"people":1120,"events":362.4356439880743,"event_probability":0.3236032535607806,"health_integral":3.3927489149734513,"benefit":265.99151493391855,"loss":0,"q":{"us":265.99151493391855,"bay":5.319830298678371,"sf":0},"gross_resources":215304.45549850928,"net_resources":192243.56439880742,"prices":{"us":{"donor":3759.518420158757,"gross":8094.410663888972,"net":7227.432215142929},"bay":{"donor":187975.92100793787,"gross":404720.53319444857,"net":361371.6107571464},"sf":{"donor":null,"gross":null,"net":null}}},{"id":"pessimistic_positive","courses":80,"added_courses":16,"people":4,"events":0.1884659388047375,"event_probability":0.047116484701184375,"health_integral":0.28446281025082937,"benefit":0.00796495868702322,"loss":0,"q":{"us":0.00796495868702322,"bay":0.0001592991737404644,"sf":0},"gross_resources":103294.23296940236,"net_resources":100658.84659388047,"prices":{"us":{"donor":125549929.29583348,"gross":129685836.45975818,"net":126377110.72861841},"bay":{"donor":6277496464.791675,"gross":6484291822.987909,"net":6318855536.430921},"sf":{"donor":null,"gross":null,"net":null}}},{"id":"zero_allocation","courses":0,"added_courses":0,"people":0,"events":0,"event_probability":0.17527444863936803,"health_integral":1.3214285376743973,"benefit":0,"loss":0,"q":{"us":0,"bay":0,"sf":0},"gross_resources":100000,"net_resources":100000,"prices":{"us":{"donor":null,"gross":null,"net":null},"bay":{"donor":null,"gross":null,"net":null},"sf":{"donor":null,"gross":null,"net":null}}},{"id":"replacement_only","courses":500,"added_courses":0,"people":0,"events":0,"event_probability":0.17527444863936803,"health_integral":1.3214285376743973,"benefit":0,"loss":0,"q":{"us":0,"bay":0,"sf":0},"gross_resources":124381.8612159842,"net_resources":100000,"prices":{"us":{"donor":null,"gross":null,"net":null},"bay":{"donor":null,"gross":null,"net":null},"sf":{"donor":null,"gross":null,"net":null}}},{"id":"no_use","courses":500,"added_courses":250,"people":125,"events":0,"event_probability":0,"health_integral":0,"benefit":0,"loss":0,"q":{"us":0,"bay":0,"sf":0},"gross_resources":120000,"net_resources":110000,"prices":{"us":{"donor":null,"gross":null,"net":null},"bay":{"donor":null,"gross":null,"net":null},"sf":{"donor":null,"gross":null,"net":null}}},{"id":"no_incremental_rescue","courses":500,"added_courses":250,"people":125,"events":21.909306079921002,"event_probability":0.17527444863936803,"health_integral":1.3214285376743973,"benefit":0,"loss":0,"q":{"us":0,"bay":0,"sf":0},"gross_resources":124381.8612159842,"net_resources":112190.9306079921,"prices":{"us":{"donor":null,"gross":null,"net":null},"bay":{"donor":null,"gross":null,"net":null},"sf":{"donor":null,"gross":null,"net":null}}},{"id":"short_access","courses":500,"added_courses":250,"people":125,"events":6.043729572590044,"event_probability":0.04834983658072035,"health_integral":0.37232931487380744,"benefit":1.6289407525729076,"loss":0,"q":{"us":1.6289407525729076,"bay":0.032578815051458154,"sf":0},"gross_resources":121208.745914518,"net_resources":110604.37295725901,"prices":{"us":{"donor":613895.8697058212,"gross":744095.4848914492,"net":678995.6772986352},"bay":{"donor":30694793.485291056,"gross":37204774.24457246,"net":33949783.86493176},"sf":{"donor":null,"gross":null,"net":null}}},{"id":"five_year_horizon","courses":500,"added_courses":250,"people":125,"events":21.909306079921002,"event_probability":0.17527444863936803,"health_integral":0.6274830387466784,"benefit":2.745238294516718,"loss":0,"q":{"us":2.745238294516718,"bay":0.05490476589033436,"sf":0},"gross_resources":124381.8612159842,"net_resources":112190.9306079921,"prices":{"us":{"donor":364267.10278571415,"gross":453082.2022424135,"net":408674.65251406375},"bay":{"donor":18213355.139285706,"gross":22654110.112120673,"net":20433732.62570319},"sf":{"donor":null,"gross":null,"net":null}}},{"id":"zero_horizon","courses":500,"added_courses":250,"people":125,"events":0,"event_probability":0,"health_integral":0,"benefit":0,"loss":0,"q":{"us":0,"bay":0,"sf":0},"gross_resources":120000,"net_resources":110000,"prices":{"us":{"donor":null,"gross":null,"net":null},"bay":{"donor":null,"gross":null,"net":null},"sf":{"donor":null,"gross":null,"net":null}}},{"id":"negative_clinical_effect","courses":500,"added_courses":250,"people":125,"events":21.909306079921002,"event_probability":0.17527444863936803,"health_integral":1.3214285376743973,"benefit":-2.3124999409301954,"loss":0,"q":{"us":-2.3124999409301954,"bay":-0.04624999881860391,"sf":0},"gross_resources":124381.8612159842,"net_resources":112190.9306079921,"prices":{"us":{"donor":null,"gross":null,"net":null},"bay":{"donor":null,"gross":null,"net":null},"sf":{"donor":null,"gross":null,"net":null}}},{"id":"independent_harm_no_activity","courses":0,"added_courses":0,"people":0,"events":0,"event_probability":0.17527444863936803,"health_integral":1.3214285376743973,"benefit":0,"loss":0.2,"q":{"us":-0.2,"bay":-0.004,"sf":0},"gross_resources":100000,"net_resources":100000,"prices":{"us":{"donor":null,"gross":null,"net":null},"bay":{"donor":null,"gross":null,"net":null},"sf":{"donor":null,"gross":null,"net":null}}},{"id":"target_failure_displaced_alternative","courses":500,"added_courses":250,"people":125,"events":21.909306079921002,"event_probability":0.17527444863936803,"health_integral":1.3214285376743973,"benefit":0,"loss":1,"q":{"us":-1,"bay":-0.02,"sf":0},"gross_resources":124381.8612159842,"net_resources":112190.9306079921,"prices":{"us":{"donor":null,"gross":null,"net":null},"bay":{"donor":null,"gross":null,"net":null},"sf":{"donor":null,"gross":null,"net":null}}},{"id":"course_burden","courses":500,"added_courses":250,"people":125,"events":21.909306079921002,"event_probability":0.17527444863936803,"health_integral":1.3214285376743973,"benefit":5.781249852325488,"loss":5,"q":{"us":0.7812498523254883,"bay":0.015624997046509756,"sf":0},"gross_resources":124381.8612159842,"net_resources":112190.9306079921,"prices":{"us":{"donor":1280000.2419499657,"gross":1592088.1245064682,"net":1436044.1832282168},"bay":{"donor":64000012.09749833,"gross":79604406.22532347,"net":71802209.16141088},"sf":{"donor":null,"gross":null,"net":null}}},{"id":"donor_pays_outside","courses":357.14285714285717,"added_courses":178.57142857142858,"people":89.28571428571429,"events":15.649504342800718,"event_probability":0.17527444863936803,"health_integral":1.3214285376743973,"benefit":4.129464180232492,"loss":0,"q":{"us":4.129464180232492,"bay":0.08258928360464983,"sf":0},"gross_resources":103129.90086856014,"net_resources":101564.95043428006,"prices":{"us":{"donor":242162.16834787978,"gross":249741.60415832413,"net":245951.88625310195},"bay":{"donor":12108108.41739399,"gross":12487080.207916208,"net":12297594.312655099},"sf":{"donor":null,"gross":null,"net":null}}},{"id":"no_bay_health","courses":500,"added_courses":250,"people":125,"events":21.909306079921002,"event_probability":0.17527444863936803,"health_integral":1.3214285376743973,"benefit":5.781249852325488,"loss":0,"q":{"us":5.781249852325488,"bay":0,"sf":0},"gross_resources":124381.8612159842,"net_resources":112190.9306079921,"prices":{"us":{"donor":172972.9773913427,"gross":215147.0086800556,"net":194059.99303569912},"bay":{"donor":null,"gross":null,"net":null},"sf":{"donor":null,"gross":null,"net":null}}},{"id":"resource_saving_diagnostic","courses":500,"added_courses":250,"people":125,"events":21.909306079921002,"event_probability":0.17527444863936803,"health_integral":1.3214285376743973,"benefit":5.781249852325488,"loss":0,"q":{"us":5.781249852325488,"bay":0.11562499704650976,"sf":0},"gross_resources":124381.8612159842,"net_resources":-37809.06939200791,"prices":{"us":{"donor":172972.9773913427,"gross":215147.0086800556,"net":-65399.473051314904},"bay":{"donor":8648648.869567135,"gross":10757350.43400278,"net":-3269973.652565745},"sf":{"donor":null,"gross":null,"net":null}}},{"id":"zero_associated_resources","courses":500,"added_courses":250,"people":125,"events":21.909306079921002,"event_probability":0.17527444863936803,"health_integral":1.3214285376743973,"benefit":5.781249852325488,"loss":0,"q":{"us":5.781249852325488,"bay":0.11562499704650976,"sf":0},"gross_resources":100000,"net_resources":100000,"prices":{"us":{"donor":172972.9773913427,"gross":172972.9773913427,"net":172972.9773913427},"bay":{"donor":8648648.869567135,"gross":8648648.869567135,"net":8648648.869567135},"sf":{"donor":null,"gross":null,"net":null}}}]}