{"schemaVersion":"1.0.0","modelId":"new-incentives-representative-core-general-gift-v1","date":"2026-09-08","status":"Independently audited conditional representative-core model; no verified marginal funding offer","organization":"New Incentives","ein":"45-2368993","givingScope":"Ordinary organizational gift represented by its dominant All Babies Are Equal vaccination-incentive platform. No geographic restriction or special new donor product. Explicit marginal core allocation prior; noncore health uncredited, not known zero.","giftUsd":10000,"unit":"One eligible infant in a supported clinic catchment, whether or not enrolled/completing. Cost is analyst all-in cash per catchment infant, NOT sourced price per unique enrolled child.","geography":{"globalDirectHealthLocation":"Northern Nigeria","directBayHealthShare":0,"directSfHealthShare":0,"indirectBayHealthShare":null,"indirectBayQalyCredited":0,"bayUsdPer10Qaly":null},"evidence":{"rctUrl":"https://www.idinsight.org/wp-content/uploads/2021/03/NewIncentivesReport_13thNovember.pdf","rctPages":[3,4],"rctClinics":167,"rctEndlineInfants":5173,"rctAgeMonths":[12,16],"rctBCGIncrease":0.16,"rctPenta1Increase":0.21,"rctMeaslesIncrease":0.14,"rctFullScheduleIncrease":0.27,"measuredMortality":false,"measuredQaly":false,"clinicalAnchorUrl":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/15794968/","burdenContextUrl":"https://health.gov.ng/fg-launches-2024-ndhs-report-unveils-data-on-fertility-child-mortality-others/","costContextUrl":"https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/aqyGLEvmbCrwyNHvH/ama-svetha-janumpalli-ceo-and-founder-of-new-incentives","fundedBaselineUrl":"https://www.givewell.org/research/grants/new-incentives-extension-of-support-in-northern-nigeria-march-2025"},"formulas":{"eligibleInfants":"giftUsd*coreAllocation/cashCostPerEligibleCatchmentInfant","deaths":"eligibleInfants*fundingAdditionality*effectiveBundleCoverageIncrease*residualUnvaccinatedDiseaseDeathRisk*bundleDiseaseMortalityEfficacy","lifeQ":"persistentSurvivalFraction*utility*sum(k=1..survivalYears, annualSurvival^(k-.5)/(1+discount)^(k-.5))","calendar":"sum(j=0..3, .25/(1+discount)^(implementationDelayYears+j+1))","netQ":"deaths*lifeQ*calendar - eligibleInfants*fundingAdditionality*sharedHarmQalyPerEligibleInfant/(1+discount)^implementationDelayYears - independentGiftHarmQaly","cashRatio":"10*giftUsd/netQ if netQ>0 else null","grossFiscal":"giftUsd+eligibleInfants*otherResourcesPerEligibleInfant","transferExcludedProxy":"grossFiscal-eligibleInfants*cashTransferPerEligibleInfant"},"assumptionMeaning":{"effectiveBundleCoverageIncrease":"Analyst extra full-course-equivalent mortality-weighted coverage, informed by but NOT equal to any single RCT endpoint. Dose/completion is standardized here once, alongside self-report and modern transport; no second transport or incomplete-series factor.","residualUnvaccinatedDiseaseDeathRisk":"Analyst probability of dying before age5 from bundle-targeted diseases among marginal not-yet-protected infants, after enrollment eligibility and before alternative catch-up. Not national under5 mortality, not all children, not annual risk.","bundleDiseaseMortalityEfficacy":"Analyst efficacy of the standardized full-course equivalent against that disease-death risk; no further incomplete-series reduction. Not allcause RRR or 100% protection.","fundingAdditionality":"Combined nonreplacement of funded duration/other donors and genuinely additional supported core activity, beyond usual public supply. Does not again reduce trial compliance.","cashCost":"Includes staff, incentive transfers, administration, failures and repeat enrollments; quote is for a different enrolled-child denominator and is context only.","resources":"Other public vaccine, clinical, household and donated input allowance, excluded from NI cash. Gross package stress, not measured net societal cost; no health-care savings subtracted.","coreAllocation":"Noncore marginal activity/reserve diversion prior, NOT an overhead haircut: core cost already all-in. Uncredited noncore effects may be positive or negative.","survival":"Finite analyst survival difference with competing mortality, not an observed trial lifetable. Persistent fraction allows early gains not to last; 3yr sensitivity tests postponement.","harm":"Illustrative diagnostics for vaccine/program/crowding harms, not measured incidence or safety 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