{"modelVersion":"glide-depth-v2-2026-09-11","currentModelVersion":"glide-legacy-native-signed-recalibration-20261004","legacyTopLevelFields":true,"current":{"modelVersion":"glide-legacy-native-signed-recalibration-20261004","evaluated":{"version":"glide-legacy-native-signed-recalibration-20261004","model":{"health":{"model_id":"glide-foundation-material-coverage-v2-design","prepared_utc":"2026-09-09","status":"Prior specification and coverage-ledger asset; not independently accepted or publication ready","recipient":{"name":"Glide Foundation","ein":"94-1156481","boundary":"Ordinary unrestricted Foundation gift. 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Gift above cap still fully costed with capped output.","common_external_fraction":"0.2 [0,0.8] gross associated volunteer/common partner resources beyond branch-specific costs, not causal net cost or waived charges. Excludes clinical resources separately specified.","geography":"Bay0.99/SF0.95 priors, nested. No additional indirect Bay/SF benefit assigned; policy spillovers unresolved."},"allocation":{"rescue":0.1,"housing":0.1,"meals":0.22,"parenting":0.04,"childcare":0.06,"women":0.05,"moud":0.03,"behavioral":0.02,"infection_linkage":0.01,"wound_care":0.01,"policy":0.04,"common_operations":0.28,"property_affiliate":0.04},"allocation_basis":"Retains v1 top-level allocation priors; subdivides 7% other HEAT and 10% family. Entire gift costed; allocation does not cancel out of benefits. Not observed budget fractions. 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External cost includes medication, prescribing, labs and public clinical delivery. 3%*30.77m/56 enrollees≈16.5k is only a plausibility check, not audited program cost or evidence of additional patients.","counts":"Impact report says 56 people enrolled in MAT, not verified deduplicated longitudinal treatment records. No 56*survival multiplier. Per-gift capacity10 is a prior and must stress to zero.","baseline":"Both rescue and medication compare with same current-care hazard. Medication effect shrunk halfway from observed HR0.63 toward1; no-gift treatment share handles replacement of existing accessible medication, retention handles effective funded-course completion, funding additionality handles donor displacement. None is a second multiplication by trial ITT adherence.","survival":"Three exclusive cohorts rescue-only/MOUD-only/both. While active h=(base-rescueReduction)*(1-(1-HR)*transfer) for both; remove each factor when its active period ends. Equal baseline hazard after funded care preserves but does not create a survival gap, capped at15years. No separate opioid deaths added to all-cause."},"housing":{"cost":10000,"external":300,"cash_transfer":3045,"capacity":10,"no_gift_stability":0.8,"incremental_stability":0.056,"unique_health":0.8,"utility":0.1,"years":1,"catchup_hazard":0,"mortality":0.01,"delay":0.1,"harm_q":0.0001},"housing_basis":"10k complete access/stabilization episode is a new prior, not v1 transfer-oriented3077. Current965254/317≈3045 is transfer per reported person, not full cost. 10% consolidated scale/317≈9706 contextual only. Stability difference0.112*0.5 transfer from prior VA evidence, capped by current80% no-gift stability. 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Gift above cap still fully costed with capped output.","common_external_fraction":"0.2 [0,0.8] gross associated volunteer/common partner resources beyond branch-specific costs, not causal net cost or waived charges. Excludes clinical resources separately specified.","geography":"Bay0.99/SF0.95 priors, nested. No additional indirect Bay/SF benefit assigned; policy spillovers unresolved."},"allocation":{"rescue":0.1,"housing":0.1,"meals":0.22,"parenting":0.04,"childcare":0.06,"women":0.05,"moud":0.03,"behavioral":0.02,"infection_linkage":0.01,"wound_care":0.01,"policy":0.04,"common_operations":0.28,"property_affiliate":0.04},"allocation_basis":"Retains v1 top-level allocation priors; subdivides 7% other HEAT and 10% family. Entire gift costed; allocation does not cancel out of benefits. Not observed budget fractions. 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Equal baseline hazard after funded care preserves but does not create a survival gap, capped at15years. No separate opioid deaths added to all-cause."},"housing":{"cost":10000,"external":300,"cash_transfer":3045,"capacity":10,"no_gift_stability":0.8,"incremental_stability":0.056,"unique_health":0.8,"utility":0.1,"years":1,"catchup_hazard":0,"mortality":0.01,"delay":0.1,"harm_q":0.0001},"housing_basis":"10k complete access/stabilization episode is a new prior, not v1 transfer-oriented3077. Current965254/317≈3045 is transfer per reported person, not full cost. 10% consolidated scale/317≈9706 contextual only. Stability difference0.112*0.5 transfer from prior VA evidence, capped by current80% no-gift stability. 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Weak positive central despite null advocacy counterweight, acknowledging intensive successful cases; no homicide survival or outreach multiplier.","sensitivity":"Utility[-0.04,0.1], target[0,0.7], response[0,0.7], unique[0,1].","cost_basis_years":0.5},{"id":"behavioral","cost":6000,"external":500,"capacity":5,"target":0.4,"response":0.3,"unique_health":0.6,"utility":0.08,"years":0.5,"catchup":2,"mortality":0.03,"delay":0.1,"harm_q":0.0002,"basis":"One course rather than attendee visit;40% persistent depression,30% meaningful CBT-response/local delivery,60% distinct symptom-time. Mixed outpatient groups not BRIGHT's32hour residential protocol. 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Treatment resource charged separately per selected patient, not per all test.","sensitivity":"Actionable[0,.2], earlier cure difference[-.05,.2], utility[-.01,.08], H[0,5].","cost_basis_years":3},{"id":"wound_care","cost":600,"external":800,"capacity":10,"target":0.4,"response":0.5,"unique_health":0.7,"utility":0.06,"years":0.038356164383561646,"catchup":10,"mortality":0.04,"delay":0.02,"harm_q":0.00005,"basis":"One acute wound-care course with partner medical resources;40% clinically symptomatic wounds,50% earlier meaningful healing relative to accessible public care,70% distinct physical symptom-time. 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HCV subgroup alone is not complete infection effect.","required_stress":"Separate selected incidence/diagnosis/care-acceleration parameters and finite competing-risk benefit; do not duplicate HCV or MOUD people-years."},{"id":"vaccination_and_other_primary_care","gift_share":null,"reason":"Wound care is named selected branch; vaccination counts/disease risks and other completed care unavailable.","required_stress":"Disease-specific vaccine or acute-care priors after cost/coverage allocation; no automatic course Q."},{"id":"affiliate","gift_share":0.04,"reason":"Exact Foundation-to-affiliate marginal flow not identified. Church activities not automatically Foundation donation effects.","required_stress":"Recipient-specific financial mapping."}],"expectation":{"status":"Not yet specified","reason":"Do not use central scenario price as whole-organization expected-value headline. Explicit correlated scenario weights and unresolved material branches need review."},"sources":[{"id":"impact","url":"https://www.glide.org/wp-content/uploads/2026/01/GLIDE-Impact-Report-2024-2025.pdf","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"heat","url":"https://www.glide.org/heat/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"moud_mortality","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/29913516/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"moud_engagement","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/25919527/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"cbt","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/21646576/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"advocacy_positive","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/10028208/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"advocacy_counterweight","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/20682933/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"parenting","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/17350966/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"parenting_followup","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/33573694/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"meals","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/30421335/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"meals_counterweight","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/38147326/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"hcv","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/35285851/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"}],"hcv_external_treatment_cost":15000,"hcv_external_treatment_cost_basis":"Gross course drug/lab/prescribing resource prior per nominal actionable HCV patient, before donor additionality or health-success discount; separate from testing cost. 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Gift above cap still fully costed with capped output.","common_external_fraction":"0.2 [0,0.8] gross associated volunteer/common partner resources beyond branch-specific costs, not causal net cost or waived charges. Excludes clinical resources separately specified.","geography":"Bay0.99/SF0.95 priors, nested. No additional indirect Bay/SF benefit assigned; policy spillovers unresolved."},"allocation":{"rescue":0.1,"housing":0.1,"meals":0.22,"parenting":0.04,"childcare":0.06,"women":0.05,"moud":0.03,"behavioral":0.02,"infection_linkage":0.01,"wound_care":0.01,"policy":0.04,"common_operations":0.28,"property_affiliate":0.04},"allocation_basis":"Retains v1 top-level allocation priors; subdivides 7% other HEAT and 10% family. Entire gift costed; allocation does not cancel out of benefits. Not observed budget fractions. Service counts constrain plausibility, not QALYs.","survival":{"rescue_cost":500,"rescue_external":80,"rescue_capacity":100,"rescue_active_years":1,"moud_annual_foundation_cost":16000,"moud_annual_external_cost":6000,"moud_capacity":10,"moud_active_years":0.5,"moud_no_gift_treatment_share":0.5,"moud_effective_retention":0.5,"moud_observed_hr":0.63,"moud_causal_transfer":0.1,"baseline_all_cause_hazard":0.07,"rescue_hazard_reduction":0.001,"rescue_moud_overlap":0.5,"utility":0.7,"horizon_years":10,"delay_years":0.25,"rescue_harm_q":0.0001,"moud_harm_q":0.0002},"survival_basis":{"costs":"Rescue nominal annual unique-person safer-use/rescue-support package, not price per dose. MOUD Foundation cost is annualized access/support cost prior, minimum one annual budget unit for setup; active durations above one year scale Foundation/external costs linearly. External cost includes medication, prescribing, labs and public clinical delivery. 3%*30.77m/56 enrollees≈16.5k is only a plausibility check, not audited program cost or evidence of additional patients.","counts":"Impact report says 56 people enrolled in MAT, not verified deduplicated longitudinal treatment records. No 56*survival multiplier. Per-gift capacity10 is a prior and must stress to zero.","baseline":"Both rescue and medication compare with same current-care hazard. Medication effect shrunk halfway from observed HR0.63 toward1; no-gift treatment share handles replacement of existing accessible medication, retention handles effective funded-course completion, funding additionality handles donor displacement. None is a second multiplication by trial ITT adherence.","survival":"Three exclusive cohorts rescue-only/MOUD-only/both. While active h=(base-rescueReduction)*(1-(1-HR)*transfer) for both; remove each factor when its active period ends. Equal baseline hazard after funded care preserves but does not create a survival gap, capped at15years. No separate opioid deaths added to all-cause."},"housing":{"cost":10000,"external":300,"cash_transfer":3045,"capacity":10,"no_gift_stability":0.8,"incremental_stability":0.056,"unique_health":0.8,"utility":0.1,"years":1,"catchup_hazard":0,"mortality":0.01,"delay":0.1,"harm_q":0.0001},"housing_basis":"10k complete access/stabilization episode is a new prior, not v1 transfer-oriented3077. Current965254/317≈3045 is transfer per reported person, not full cost. 10% consolidated scale/317≈9706 contextual only. Stability difference0.112*0.5 transfer from prior VA evidence, capped by current80% no-gift stability. 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Weak positive central despite null advocacy counterweight, acknowledging intensive successful cases; no homicide survival or outreach multiplier.","sensitivity":"Utility[-0.04,0.1], target[0,0.7], response[0,0.7], unique[0,1].","cost_basis_years":0.5},{"id":"behavioral","cost":6000,"external":500,"capacity":5,"target":0.4,"response":0.3,"unique_health":0.6,"utility":0.08,"years":0.5,"catchup":2,"mortality":0.03,"delay":0.1,"harm_q":0.0002,"basis":"One course rather than attendee visit;40% persistent depression,30% meaningful CBT-response/local delivery,60% distinct symptom-time. Mixed outpatient groups not BRIGHT's32hour residential protocol. 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HCV subgroup alone is not complete infection effect.","required_stress":"Separate selected incidence/diagnosis/care-acceleration parameters and finite competing-risk benefit; do not duplicate HCV or MOUD people-years."},{"id":"vaccination_and_other_primary_care","gift_share":null,"reason":"Wound care is named selected branch; vaccination counts/disease risks and other completed care unavailable.","required_stress":"Disease-specific vaccine or acute-care priors after cost/coverage allocation; no automatic course Q."},{"id":"affiliate","gift_share":0.04,"reason":"Exact Foundation-to-affiliate marginal flow not identified. Church activities not automatically Foundation donation effects.","required_stress":"Recipient-specific financial mapping."}],"expectation":{"status":"Not yet specified","reason":"Do not use central scenario price as whole-organization expected-value headline. Explicit correlated scenario weights and unresolved material branches need review."},"sources":[{"id":"impact","url":"https://www.glide.org/wp-content/uploads/2026/01/GLIDE-Impact-Report-2024-2025.pdf","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"heat","url":"https://www.glide.org/heat/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"moud_mortality","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/29913516/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"moud_engagement","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/25919527/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"cbt","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/21646576/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"advocacy_positive","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/10028208/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"advocacy_counterweight","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/20682933/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"parenting","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/17350966/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"parenting_followup","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/33573694/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"meals","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/30421335/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"meals_counterweight","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/38147326/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"hcv","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/35285851/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"}],"hcv_external_treatment_cost":15000,"hcv_external_treatment_cost_basis":"Gross course drug/lab/prescribing resource prior per nominal actionable HCV patient, before donor additionality or health-success discount; separate from testing cost. 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Gift above cap still fully costed with capped output.","common_external_fraction":"0.2 [0,0.8] gross associated volunteer/common partner resources beyond branch-specific costs, not causal net cost or waived charges. Excludes clinical resources separately specified.","geography":"Bay0.99/SF0.95 priors, nested. No additional indirect Bay/SF benefit assigned; policy spillovers unresolved."},"allocation":{"rescue":0.1,"housing":0.1,"meals":0.22,"parenting":0.04,"childcare":0.06,"women":0.05,"moud":0.03,"behavioral":0.02,"infection_linkage":0.01,"wound_care":0.01,"policy":0.04,"common_operations":0.28,"property_affiliate":0.04},"allocation_basis":"Retains v1 top-level allocation priors; subdivides 7% other HEAT and 10% family. Entire gift costed; allocation does not cancel out of benefits. Not observed budget fractions. Service counts constrain plausibility, not QALYs.","survival":{"rescue_cost":500,"rescue_external":80,"rescue_capacity":100,"rescue_active_years":1,"moud_annual_foundation_cost":16000,"moud_annual_external_cost":6000,"moud_capacity":10,"moud_active_years":0.5,"moud_no_gift_treatment_share":0.5,"moud_effective_retention":0.8,"moud_observed_hr":0.63,"moud_causal_transfer":0.8,"baseline_all_cause_hazard":0.07,"rescue_hazard_reduction":0.01,"rescue_moud_overlap":0.5,"utility":0.7,"horizon_years":10,"delay_years":0.25,"rescue_harm_q":0.0001,"moud_harm_q":0.0002},"survival_basis":{"costs":"Rescue nominal annual unique-person safer-use/rescue-support package, not price per dose. MOUD Foundation cost is annualized access/support cost prior, minimum one annual budget unit for setup; active durations above one year scale Foundation/external costs linearly. External cost includes medication, prescribing, labs and public clinical delivery. 3%*30.77m/56 enrollees≈16.5k is only a plausibility check, not audited program cost or evidence of additional patients.","counts":"Impact report says 56 people enrolled in MAT, not verified deduplicated longitudinal treatment records. No 56*survival multiplier. Per-gift capacity10 is a prior and must stress to zero.","baseline":"Both rescue and medication compare with same current-care hazard. Medication effect shrunk halfway from observed HR0.63 toward1; no-gift treatment share handles replacement of existing accessible medication, retention handles effective funded-course completion, funding additionality handles donor displacement. None is a second multiplication by trial ITT adherence.","survival":"Three exclusive cohorts rescue-only/MOUD-only/both. While active h=(base-rescueReduction)*(1-(1-HR)*transfer) for both; remove each factor when its active period ends. Equal baseline hazard after funded care preserves but does not create a survival gap, capped at15years. No separate opioid deaths added to all-cause."},"housing":{"cost":10000,"external":300,"cash_transfer":3045,"capacity":10,"no_gift_stability":0.8,"incremental_stability":0.056,"unique_health":0.8,"utility":0.1,"years":1,"catchup_hazard":0,"mortality":0.01,"delay":0.1,"harm_q":0.0001},"housing_basis":"10k complete access/stabilization episode is a new prior, not v1 transfer-oriented3077. Current965254/317≈3045 is transfer per reported person, not full cost. 10% consolidated scale/317≈9706 contextual only. Stability difference0.112*0.5 transfer from prior VA evidence, capped by current80% no-gift stability. 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Weak positive central despite null advocacy counterweight, acknowledging intensive successful cases; no homicide survival or outreach multiplier.","sensitivity":"Utility[-0.04,0.1], target[0,0.7], response[0,0.7], unique[0,1].","cost_basis_years":0.5},{"id":"behavioral","cost":6000,"external":500,"capacity":5,"target":0.4,"response":0.3,"unique_health":0.6,"utility":0.08,"years":0.5,"catchup":2,"mortality":0.03,"delay":0.1,"harm_q":0.0002,"basis":"One course rather than attendee visit;40% persistent depression,30% meaningful CBT-response/local delivery,60% distinct symptom-time. Mixed outpatient groups not BRIGHT's32hour residential protocol. 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Treatment resource charged separately per selected patient, not per all test.","sensitivity":"Actionable[0,.2], earlier cure difference[-.05,.2], utility[-.01,.08], H[0,5].","cost_basis_years":3},{"id":"wound_care","cost":600,"external":800,"capacity":10,"target":0.4,"response":0.5,"unique_health":0.7,"utility":0.06,"years":0.038356164383561646,"catchup":10,"mortality":0.04,"delay":0.02,"harm_q":0.00005,"basis":"One acute wound-care course with partner medical resources;40% clinically symptomatic wounds,50% earlier meaningful healing relative to accessible public care,70% distinct physical symptom-time. 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HCV subgroup alone is not complete infection effect.","required_stress":"Separate selected incidence/diagnosis/care-acceleration parameters and finite competing-risk benefit; do not duplicate HCV or MOUD people-years."},{"id":"vaccination_and_other_primary_care","gift_share":null,"reason":"Wound care is named selected branch; vaccination counts/disease risks and other completed care unavailable.","required_stress":"Disease-specific vaccine or acute-care priors after cost/coverage allocation; no automatic course Q."},{"id":"affiliate","gift_share":0.04,"reason":"Exact Foundation-to-affiliate marginal flow not identified. Church activities not automatically Foundation donation effects.","required_stress":"Recipient-specific financial mapping."}],"expectation":{"status":"Not yet specified","reason":"Do not use central scenario price as whole-organization expected-value headline. Explicit correlated scenario weights and unresolved material branches need review."},"sources":[{"id":"impact","url":"https://www.glide.org/wp-content/uploads/2026/01/GLIDE-Impact-Report-2024-2025.pdf","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"heat","url":"https://www.glide.org/heat/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"moud_mortality","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/29913516/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"moud_engagement","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/25919527/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"cbt","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/21646576/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"advocacy_positive","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/10028208/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"advocacy_counterweight","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/20682933/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"parenting","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/17350966/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"parenting_followup","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/33573694/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"meals","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/30421335/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"meals_counterweight","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/38147326/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"hcv","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/35285851/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"}],"hcv_external_treatment_cost":15000,"hcv_external_treatment_cost_basis":"Gross course drug/lab/prescribing resource prior per nominal actionable HCV patient, before donor additionality or health-success discount; separate from testing cost. 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Explicit correlated scenario weights and unresolved material branches need review."},"sources":[{"id":"impact","url":"https://www.glide.org/wp-content/uploads/2026/01/GLIDE-Impact-Report-2024-2025.pdf","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"heat","url":"https://www.glide.org/heat/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"moud_mortality","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/29913516/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"moud_engagement","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/25919527/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"cbt","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/21646576/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"advocacy_positive","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/10028208/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"advocacy_counterweight","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/20682933/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"parenting","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/17350966/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"parenting_followup","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/33573694/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"meals","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/30421335/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"meals_counterweight","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/38147326/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"hcv","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/35285851/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"}],"hcv_external_treatment_cost":15000,"hcv_external_treatment_cost_basis":"Gross course drug/lab/prescribing resource prior per nominal actionable HCV patient, before donor additionality or health-success discount; separate from testing cost. 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Gift above cap still fully costed with capped output.","common_external_fraction":"0.2 [0,0.8] gross associated volunteer/common partner resources beyond branch-specific costs, not causal net cost or waived charges. Excludes clinical resources separately specified.","geography":"Bay0.99/SF0.95 priors, nested. No additional indirect Bay/SF benefit assigned; policy spillovers unresolved."},"allocation":{"rescue":0.1,"housing":0.1,"meals":0.22,"parenting":0.04,"childcare":0.06,"women":0.05,"moud":0.03,"behavioral":0.02,"infection_linkage":0.01,"wound_care":0.01,"policy":0.04,"common_operations":0.28,"property_affiliate":0.04},"allocation_basis":"Retains v1 top-level allocation priors; subdivides 7% other HEAT and 10% family. Entire gift costed; allocation does not cancel out of benefits. Not observed budget fractions. Service counts constrain plausibility, not QALYs.","survival":{"rescue_cost":500,"rescue_external":80,"rescue_capacity":100,"rescue_active_years":1,"moud_annual_foundation_cost":16000,"moud_annual_external_cost":6000,"moud_capacity":10,"moud_active_years":0.5,"moud_no_gift_treatment_share":0.5,"moud_effective_retention":0.5,"moud_observed_hr":0.63,"moud_causal_transfer":0.5,"baseline_all_cause_hazard":0.07,"rescue_hazard_reduction":0.0025,"rescue_moud_overlap":0.5,"utility":0.7,"horizon_years":10,"delay_years":0.25,"rescue_harm_q":0.0001,"moud_harm_q":0.0002},"survival_basis":{"costs":"Rescue nominal annual unique-person safer-use/rescue-support package, not price per dose. MOUD Foundation cost is annualized access/support cost prior, minimum one annual budget unit for setup; active durations above one year scale Foundation/external costs linearly. External cost includes medication, prescribing, labs and public clinical delivery. 3%*30.77m/56 enrollees≈16.5k is only a plausibility check, not audited program cost or evidence of additional patients.","counts":"Impact report says 56 people enrolled in MAT, not verified deduplicated longitudinal treatment records. No 56*survival multiplier. Per-gift capacity10 is a prior and must stress to zero.","baseline":"Both rescue and medication compare with same current-care hazard. Medication effect shrunk halfway from observed HR0.63 toward1; no-gift treatment share handles replacement of existing accessible medication, retention handles effective funded-course completion, funding additionality handles donor displacement. None is a second multiplication by trial ITT adherence.","survival":"Three exclusive cohorts rescue-only/MOUD-only/both. While active h=(base-rescueReduction)*(1-(1-HR)*transfer) for both; remove each factor when its active period ends. Equal baseline hazard after funded care preserves but does not create a survival gap, capped at15years. No separate opioid deaths added to all-cause."},"housing":{"cost":10000,"external":300,"cash_transfer":3045,"capacity":10,"no_gift_stability":0.8,"incremental_stability":0.056,"unique_health":0.8,"utility":0.1,"years":1,"catchup_hazard":0,"mortality":0.01,"delay":0.1,"harm_q":0.0001},"housing_basis":"10k complete access/stabilization episode is a new prior, not v1 transfer-oriented3077. Current965254/317≈3045 is transfer per reported person, not full cost. 10% consolidated scale/317≈9706 contextual only. Stability difference0.112*0.5 transfer from prior VA evidence, capped by current80% no-gift stability. Unique-health exclusion prevents housing mood/safety stacking.","groups":[{"id":"meals","cost":1080,"external":180,"capacity":50,"target":0.2,"response":0.5,"unique_health":0.65,"utility":0.015,"years":0.0821917808219178,"catchup":0,"mortality":0.01,"delay":0,"harm_q":0.00002,"basis":"Thirty-day 90-meal course at12/meal; meal supply consumed and replaces inadequate intake in selected20%, with50% symptom-response/local transfer. 0.015 utility for physical/mental symptoms only, not hunger preference or tailored-diet disease effect. Distinct symptom-time65%. No future mortality. Cost plausibility22%*30.77m/620513≈10.9/meal, not observed marginal price.","sensitivity":"0.015 utility [-0.01,0.05]; selected share [0,0.5]; course30days [7,90] with proportional meal costs.","cost_basis_years":0.0821917808219178},{"id":"parenting","cost":4500,"external":300,"capacity":10,"target":0.3,"response":0.35,"unique_health":0.7,"utility":0.03,"years":0.5,"catchup":2,"mortality":0.01,"delay":0.1,"harm_q":0.0001,"basis":"One caregiver per meaningful class/support course; distressed share30%, trial-to-GLIDE delivery35%, unique mood/safety70%. Utility.03 and half-year window are weak priors; not trial-derived QALYs; catchup2/year. No child benefit in this row.","sensitivity":"Utility[-0.02,0.08], target[0,0.6], transfer[0,0.8], window[0,1].","cost_basis_years":0.5},{"id":"childcare","cost":13000,"external":600,"capacity":5,"target":0.2,"response":0.2,"unique_health":1,"utility":0.03,"years":0.5,"catchup":2,"mortality":0.002,"delay":0.1,"harm_q":0.0001,"basis":"One child with selected emotional/behavioral symptoms in meaningful socioemotional activity; not childcare economic value. Selected20%, effective-fidelity20% sharply below targeted12-week IY. Clinical utility and benefit probability weak priors; no parent spillover or lifetime conduct/crime/earnings.","sensitivity":"Utility[-0.02,0.06], target[0,0.5], delivery[0,0.6], H[0,1].","cost_basis_years":0.5},{"id":"women","cost":4000,"external":1000,"capacity":10,"target":0.35,"response":0.3,"unique_health":0.6,"utility":0.04,"years":0.5,"catchup":2,"mortality":0.02,"delay":0.05,"harm_q":0.0002,"basis":"One selected crisis/safety-support course;35% relevant trauma/abuse symptoms,30% effective clinical gain probability,60% distinct mood/safety outside housing/CBT. Weak positive central despite null advocacy counterweight, acknowledging intensive successful cases; no homicide survival or outreach multiplier.","sensitivity":"Utility[-0.04,0.1], target[0,0.7], response[0,0.7], unique[0,1].","cost_basis_years":0.5},{"id":"behavioral","cost":6000,"external":500,"capacity":5,"target":0.4,"response":0.3,"unique_health":0.6,"utility":0.08,"years":0.5,"catchup":2,"mortality":0.03,"delay":0.1,"harm_q":0.0002,"basis":"One course rather than attendee visit;40% persistent depression,30% meaningful CBT-response/local delivery,60% distinct symptom-time. Mixed outpatient groups not BRIGHT's32hour residential protocol. Utility.08 separate judgment, no substance-use mortality added.","sensitivity":"Utility[-0.05,0.2], target[0,0.8], response[0,0.7], H[0,1].","cost_basis_years":0.5},{"id":"infection_linkage","cost":300,"external":0,"capacity":20,"target":0.06,"response":0.05,"unique_health":0.6,"utility":0.03,"years":3,"catchup":0.5,"mortality":0.05,"delay":0.25,"harm_q":0.00001,"basis":"One unique testing/linkage episode;6% actionable RNA-positive untreated HCV,5% earlier effective cure difference vs existing public referral,60% distinct morbidity. No 44.2point colocated RCT transplant and no paused peer program. Three-year symptom benefit only with later-care catchup; no liver deaths or transmission added. Treatment resource charged separately per selected patient, not per all test.","sensitivity":"Actionable[0,.2], earlier cure difference[-.05,.2], utility[-.01,.08], H[0,5].","cost_basis_years":3},{"id":"wound_care","cost":600,"external":800,"capacity":10,"target":0.4,"response":0.5,"unique_health":0.7,"utility":0.06,"years":0.038356164383561646,"catchup":10,"mortality":0.04,"delay":0.02,"harm_q":0.00005,"basis":"One acute wound-care course with partner medical resources;40% clinically symptomatic wounds,50% earlier meaningful healing relative to accessible public care,70% distinct physical symptom-time. Utility.06 and14day window clinical judgment, not measured GLIDE trial; no unobserved admissions or sepsis mortality.","sensitivity":"Utility[-.03,.15], target[0,.8], response[0,.9], days[0,60] with duration-sensitive resources.","cost_basis_years":0.038356164383561646}],"unresolved":[{"id":"policy","gift_share":0.04,"reason":"No causally attributable policy probability, displaced public spending or recipient map; cannot claim coalition budget as QALYs.","required_stress":"Signed independently elicited total policy Q with geography; no generic residual expected mean."},{"id":"infection_prevention_and_hiv_sti","gift_share":null,"reason":"Safer-use prevention, HIV/STI treatment and secondary transmission plausibly material but no case/diagnosis mix. HCV subgroup alone is not complete infection effect.","required_stress":"Separate selected incidence/diagnosis/care-acceleration parameters and finite competing-risk benefit; do not duplicate HCV or MOUD people-years."},{"id":"vaccination_and_other_primary_care","gift_share":null,"reason":"Wound care is named selected branch; vaccination counts/disease risks and other completed care unavailable.","required_stress":"Disease-specific vaccine or acute-care priors after cost/coverage allocation; no automatic course Q."},{"id":"affiliate","gift_share":0.04,"reason":"Exact Foundation-to-affiliate marginal flow not identified. Church activities not automatically Foundation donation effects.","required_stress":"Recipient-specific financial mapping."}],"expectation":{"status":"Not yet specified","reason":"Do not use central scenario price as whole-organization expected-value headline. Explicit correlated scenario weights and unresolved material branches need review."},"sources":[{"id":"impact","url":"https://www.glide.org/wp-content/uploads/2026/01/GLIDE-Impact-Report-2024-2025.pdf","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"heat","url":"https://www.glide.org/heat/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"moud_mortality","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/29913516/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"moud_engagement","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/25919527/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"cbt","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/21646576/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"advocacy_positive","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/10028208/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"advocacy_counterweight","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/20682933/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"parenting","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/17350966/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"parenting_followup","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/33573694/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"meals","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/30421335/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"meals_counterweight","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/38147326/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"hcv","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/35285851/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"}],"hcv_external_treatment_cost":15000,"hcv_external_treatment_cost_basis":"Gross course drug/lab/prescribing resource prior per nominal actionable HCV patient, before donor additionality or health-success discount; separate from testing cost. This over-associates some unchanged baseline care and is not net induced cost. No charge only for successful cures."},"economic":{"incomeBeforeUSD":15000,"housingReplacementProbability":0.5,"mealReplacementProbability":0.25,"mealPurchaseUSD":3,"mealsPerCourse":90,"childcareReplacementProbability":0.25,"employmentProbability":0.2,"childcareAvoidedUSD":3000,"grossWagesUSD":3000,"alternativeCareUSD":600,"employmentTravelUSD":200,"employmentTaxUSD":300,"courseBurdenUSD":{"housing":30,"meals":10,"childcare":100},"independentBurdenUSD":25,"independentHealthHarm":0,"positiveIndependentShare":1,"crossHealthIncomeOverlap":0.2,"benefitRouteShare":1,"benefitBayShare":0.99,"benefitSFShare":0.95,"harmBayShare":0.99,"harmSFShare":0.95,"reportingPersonsPerHousehold":1,"householdOverlap":"disjoint","durationMultiplier":1,"unknownFlows":["owner_net_surplus","public_transfer_displacement","taxpayer_funding_incidence","SSI_CalFresh_net_benefits","CM_gift_cards","health_related_incremental_wages","policy","TAY","affiliate","other_household_goods"]}},"result":{"version":"glide-legacy-native-signed-recalibration-20261004","giftUSD":100000,"scope":"Whole unrestricted Foundation gift; finite conditional partial health + signed household cash/consumption 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specification and coverage-ledger asset; not independently accepted or publication ready","recipient":{"name":"Glide Foundation","ein":"94-1156481","boundary":"Ordinary unrestricted Foundation gift. Consolidated financial context includes Church/property affiliates; no separate Church gift or presumed clinical effect."},"finance":{"year":2025,"consolidated_expenses":30766602,"program":18342460,"church":1922106,"administration":7766659,"development":2735377,"cash":5908995,"source":"https://www.glide.org/wp-content/uploads/2026/03/GLIDE-Foundation-2024-25-SA-FS-Final.pdf","basis":"Final audit, not impact report's pending-audit numbers. Cash is historical, not current spare funding."},"shared":{"gift":0,"discount":0.03,"bay":0.99,"sf":0.95,"funding_additionality":0.25,"capacity_gift":100000,"common_external_fraction":0.2,"independent_harm_q":0},"shared_basis":{"funding_additionality":"Prior 0.4 [0,0.8]: current public grants, other donors and fixed capacity remain in no-gift world. Not estimated from contributions ratio.","capacity_gift":"100k scenario scale and assumed maximum absorbable tranche, NOT observed room; unknown room must be visible. Gift above cap still fully costed with capped output.","common_external_fraction":"0.2 [0,0.8] gross associated volunteer/common partner resources beyond branch-specific costs, not causal net cost or waived charges. Excludes clinical resources separately specified.","geography":"Bay0.99/SF0.95 priors, nested. No additional indirect Bay/SF benefit assigned; policy spillovers unresolved."},"allocation":{"rescue":0.1,"housing":0.1,"meals":0.22,"parenting":0.04,"childcare":0.06,"women":0.05,"moud":0.03,"behavioral":0.02,"infection_linkage":0.01,"wound_care":0.01,"policy":0.04,"common_operations":0.28,"property_affiliate":0.04},"allocation_basis":"Retains v1 top-level allocation priors; subdivides 7% other HEAT and 10% family. Entire gift costed; allocation does not cancel out of benefits. Not observed budget fractions. Service counts constrain plausibility, not QALYs.","survival":{"rescue_cost":500,"rescue_external":80,"rescue_capacity":100,"rescue_active_years":1,"moud_annual_foundation_cost":16000,"moud_annual_external_cost":6000,"moud_capacity":10,"moud_active_years":0.5,"moud_no_gift_treatment_share":0.5,"moud_effective_retention":0.5,"moud_observed_hr":0.63,"moud_causal_transfer":0.5,"baseline_all_cause_hazard":0.07,"rescue_hazard_reduction":0.0025,"rescue_moud_overlap":0.5,"utility":0.7,"horizon_years":10,"delay_years":0.25,"rescue_harm_q":0.0001,"moud_harm_q":0.0002},"survival_basis":{"costs":"Rescue nominal annual unique-person safer-use/rescue-support package, not price per dose. MOUD Foundation cost is annualized access/support cost prior, minimum one annual budget unit for setup; active durations above one year scale Foundation/external costs linearly. External cost includes medication, prescribing, labs and public clinical delivery. 3%*30.77m/56 enrollees≈16.5k is only a plausibility check, not audited program cost or evidence of additional patients.","counts":"Impact report says 56 people enrolled in MAT, not verified deduplicated longitudinal treatment records. No 56*survival multiplier. Per-gift capacity10 is a prior and must stress to zero.","baseline":"Both rescue and medication compare with same current-care hazard. Medication effect shrunk halfway from observed HR0.63 toward1; no-gift treatment share handles replacement of existing accessible medication, retention handles effective funded-course completion, funding additionality handles donor displacement. None is a second multiplication by trial ITT adherence.","survival":"Three exclusive cohorts rescue-only/MOUD-only/both. While active h=(base-rescueReduction)*(1-(1-HR)*transfer) for both; remove each factor when its active period ends. Equal baseline hazard after funded care preserves but does not create a survival gap, capped at15years. No separate opioid deaths added to all-cause."},"housing":{"cost":10000,"external":300,"cash_transfer":3045,"capacity":10,"no_gift_stability":0.8,"incremental_stability":0.056,"unique_health":0.8,"utility":0.1,"years":1,"catchup_hazard":0,"mortality":0.01,"delay":0.1,"harm_q":0.0001},"housing_basis":"10k complete access/stabilization episode is a new prior, not v1 transfer-oriented3077. Current965254/317≈3045 is transfer per reported person, not full cost. 10% consolidated scale/317≈9706 contextual only. Stability difference0.112*0.5 transfer from prior VA evidence, capped by current80% no-gift stability. 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No child benefit in this row.","sensitivity":"Utility[-0.02,0.08], target[0,0.6], transfer[0,0.8], window[0,1].","cost_basis_years":0.5},{"id":"childcare","cost":13000,"external":600,"capacity":5,"target":0.2,"response":0.2,"unique_health":1,"utility":0.03,"years":0.5,"catchup":2,"mortality":0.002,"delay":0.1,"harm_q":0.0001,"basis":"One child with selected emotional/behavioral symptoms in meaningful socioemotional activity; not childcare economic value. Selected20%, effective-fidelity20% sharply below targeted12-week IY. 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Weak positive central despite null advocacy counterweight, acknowledging intensive successful cases; no homicide survival or outreach multiplier.","sensitivity":"Utility[-0.04,0.1], target[0,0.7], response[0,0.7], unique[0,1].","cost_basis_years":0.5},{"id":"behavioral","cost":6000,"external":500,"capacity":5,"target":0.4,"response":0.3,"unique_health":0.6,"utility":0.08,"years":0.5,"catchup":2,"mortality":0.03,"delay":0.1,"harm_q":0.0002,"basis":"One course rather than attendee visit;40% persistent depression,30% meaningful CBT-response/local delivery,60% distinct symptom-time. Mixed outpatient groups not BRIGHT's32hour residential protocol. 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ared_utc":"2026-09-09","status":"Prior specification and coverage-ledger asset; not independently accepted or publication ready","recipient":{"name":"Glide Foundation","ein":"94-1156481","boundary":"Ordinary unrestricted Foundation gift. 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Gift above cap still fully costed with capped output.","common_external_fraction":"0.2 [0,0.8] gross associated volunteer/common partner resources beyond branch-specific costs, not causal net cost or waived charges. Excludes clinical resources separately specified.","geography":"Bay0.99/SF0.95 priors, nested. No additional indirect Bay/SF benefit assigned; policy spillovers unresolved."},"allocation":{"rescue":0.1,"housing":0.1,"meals":0.22,"parenting":0.04,"childcare":0.06,"women":0.05,"moud":0.03,"behavioral":0.02,"infection_linkage":0.01,"wound_care":0.01,"policy":0.04,"common_operations":0.28,"property_affiliate":0.04},"allocation_basis":"Retains v1 top-level allocation priors; subdivides 7% other HEAT and 10% family. Entire gift costed; allocation does not cancel out of benefits. Not observed budget fractions. Service counts constrain plausibility, not QALYs.","survival":{"rescue_cost":500,"rescue_external":80,"rescue_capacity":100,"rescue_active_years":1,"moud_annual_foundation_cost":16000,"moud_annual_external_cost":6000,"moud_capacity":10,"moud_active_years":0.5,"moud_no_gift_treatment_share":0.5,"moud_effective_retention":0.5,"moud_observed_hr":0.63,"moud_causal_transfer":0.5,"baseline_all_cause_hazard":0.07,"rescue_hazard_reduction":0.0025,"rescue_moud_overlap":0.5,"utility":0.7,"horizon_years":10,"delay_years":0.25,"rescue_harm_q":0.0001,"moud_harm_q":0.0002},"survival_basis":{"costs":"Rescue nominal annual unique-person safer-use/rescue-support package, not price per dose. MOUD Foundation cost is annualized access/support cost prior, minimum one annual budget unit for setup; active durations above one year scale Foundation/external costs linearly. External cost includes medication, prescribing, labs and public clinical delivery. 3%*30.77m/56 enrollees≈16.5k is only a plausibility check, not audited program cost or evidence of additional patients.","counts":"Impact report says 56 people enrolled in MAT, not verified deduplicated longitudinal treatment records. No 56*survival multiplier. Per-gift capacity10 is a prior and must stress to zero.","baseline":"Both rescue and medication compare with same current-care hazard. Medication effect shrunk halfway from observed HR0.63 toward1; no-gift treatment share handles replacement of existing accessible medication, retention handles effective funded-course completion, funding additionality handles donor displacement. None is a second multiplication by trial ITT adherence.","survival":"Three exclusive cohorts rescue-only/MOUD-only/both. While active h=(base-rescueReduction)*(1-(1-HR)*transfer) for both; remove each factor when its active period ends. 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specification and coverage-ledger asset; not independently accepted or publication ready","recipient":{"name":"Glide Foundation","ein":"94-1156481","boundary":"Ordinary unrestricted Foundation gift. Consolidated financial context includes Church/property affiliates; no separate Church gift or presumed clinical effect."},"finance":{"year":2025,"consolidated_expenses":30766602,"program":18342460,"church":1922106,"administration":7766659,"development":2735377,"cash":5908995,"source":"https://www.glide.org/wp-content/uploads/2026/03/GLIDE-Foundation-2024-25-SA-FS-Final.pdf","basis":"Final audit, not impact report's pending-audit numbers. Cash is historical, not current spare funding."},"shared":{"gift":100000,"discount":0.03,"bay":0.99,"sf":0.95,"funding_additionality":0.25,"capacity_gift":100000,"common_external_fraction":0.2,"independent_harm_q":0},"shared_basis":{"funding_additionality":"Prior 0.4 [0,0.8]: current public grants, other donors and fixed capacity remain in no-gift world. Not estimated from contributions ratio.","capacity_gift":"100k scenario scale and assumed maximum absorbable tranche, NOT observed room; unknown room must be visible. Gift above cap still fully costed with capped output.","common_external_fraction":"0.2 [0,0.8] gross associated volunteer/common partner resources beyond branch-specific costs, not causal net cost or waived charges. Excludes clinical resources separately specified.","geography":"Bay0.99/SF0.95 priors, nested. No additional indirect Bay/SF benefit assigned; policy spillovers unresolved."},"allocation":{"rescue":0.1,"housing":0.1,"meals":0.22,"parenting":0.04,"childcare":0.06,"women":0.05,"moud":0.03,"behavioral":0.02,"infection_linkage":0.01,"wound_care":0.01,"policy":0.04,"common_operations":0.28,"property_affiliate":0.04},"allocation_basis":"Retains v1 top-level allocation priors; subdivides 7% other HEAT and 10% family. Entire gift costed; allocation does not cancel out of benefits. Not observed budget fractions. Service counts constrain plausibility, not QALYs.","survival":{"rescue_cost":500,"rescue_external":80,"rescue_capacity":100,"rescue_active_years":1,"moud_annual_foundation_cost":16000,"moud_annual_external_cost":6000,"moud_capacity":10,"moud_active_years":0.5,"moud_no_gift_treatment_share":0.5,"moud_effective_retention":0.5,"moud_observed_hr":0.63,"moud_causal_transfer":0.5,"baseline_all_cause_hazard":0.07,"rescue_hazard_reduction":0.0025,"rescue_moud_overlap":0.5,"utility":0.7,"horizon_years":10,"delay_years":0.25,"rescue_harm_q":0.0001,"moud_harm_q":0.0002},"survival_basis":{"costs":"Rescue nominal annual unique-person safer-use/rescue-support package, not price per dose. MOUD Foundation cost is annualized access/support cost prior, minimum one annual budget unit for setup; active durations above one year scale Foundation/external costs linearly. External cost includes medication, prescribing, labs and public clinical delivery. 3%*30.77m/56 enrollees≈16.5k is only a plausibility check, not audited program cost or evidence of additional patients.","counts":"Impact report says 56 people enrolled in MAT, not verified deduplicated longitudinal treatment records. No 56*survival multiplier. Per-gift capacity10 is a prior and must stress to zero.","baseline":"Both rescue and medication compare with same current-care hazard. Medication effect shrunk halfway from observed HR0.63 toward1; no-gift treatment share handles replacement of existing accessible medication, retention handles effective funded-course completion, funding additionality handles donor displacement. None is a second multiplication by trial ITT adherence.","survival":"Three exclusive cohorts rescue-only/MOUD-only/both. While active h=(base-rescueReduction)*(1-(1-HR)*transfer) for both; remove each factor when its active period ends. Equal baseline hazard after funded care preserves but does not create a survival gap, capped at15years. No separate opioid deaths added to all-cause."},"housing":{"cost":10000,"external":300,"cash_transfer":3045,"capacity":10,"no_gift_stability":0.8,"incremental_stability":0.056,"unique_health":0.8,"utility":0.1,"years":1,"catchup_hazard":0,"mortality":0.01,"delay":0.1,"harm_q":0.0001},"housing_basis":"10k complete access/stabilization episode is a new prior, not v1 transfer-oriented3077. Current965254/317≈3045 is transfer per reported person, not full cost. 10% consolidated scale/317≈9706 contextual only. Stability difference0.112*0.5 transfer from prior VA evidence, capped by current80% no-gift stability. 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No child benefit in this row.","sensitivity":"Utility[-0.02,0.08], target[0,0.6], transfer[0,0.8], window[0,1].","cost_basis_years":0.5},{"id":"childcare","cost":13000,"external":600,"capacity":5,"target":0.2,"response":0.2,"unique_health":1,"utility":0.03,"years":0.5,"catchup":2,"mortality":0.002,"delay":0.1,"harm_q":0.0001,"basis":"One child with selected emotional/behavioral symptoms in meaningful socioemotional activity; not childcare economic value. Selected20%, effective-fidelity20% sharply below targeted12-week IY. Clinical utility and benefit probability weak priors; no parent spillover or lifetime conduct/crime/earnings.","sensitivity":"Utility[-0.02,0.06], target[0,0.5], delivery[0,0.6], H[0,1].","cost_basis_years":0.5},{"id":"women","cost":4000,"external":1000,"capacity":10,"target":0.35,"response":0.3,"unique_health":0.6,"utility":0.04,"years":0.5,"catchup":2,"mortality":0.02,"delay":0.05,"harm_q":0.0002,"basis":"One selected crisis/safety-support course;35% relevant trauma/abuse symptoms,30% effective clinical gain probability,60% distinct mood/safety outside housing/CBT. Weak positive central despite null advocacy counterweight, acknowledging intensive successful cases; no homicide survival or outreach multiplier.","sensitivity":"Utility[-0.04,0.1], target[0,0.7], response[0,0.7], unique[0,1].","cost_basis_years":0.5},{"id":"behavioral","cost":6000,"external":500,"capacity":5,"target":0.4,"response":0.3,"unique_health":0.6,"utility":0.08,"years":0.5,"catchup":2,"mortality":0.03,"delay":0.1,"harm_q":0.0002,"basis":"One course rather than attendee visit;40% persistent depression,30% meaningful CBT-response/local delivery,60% distinct symptom-time. Mixed outpatient groups not BRIGHT's32hour residential protocol. Utility.08 separate judgment, no substance-use mortality added.","sensitivity":"Utility[-0.05,0.2], target[0,0.8], response[0,0.7], H[0,1].","cost_basis_years":0.5},{"id":"infection_linkage","cost":300,"external":0,"capacity":20,"target":0.06,"response":0.05,"unique_health":0.6,"utility":0.03,"years":3,"catchup":0.5,"mortality":0.05,"delay":0.25,"harm_q":0.00001,"basis":"One unique testing/linkage episode;6% actionable RNA-positive untreated HCV,5% earlier effective cure difference vs existing public referral,60% distinct morbidity. No 44.2point colocated RCT transplant and no paused peer program. Three-year symptom benefit only with later-care catchup; no liver deaths or transmission added. Treatment resource charged separately per selected patient, not per all test.","sensitivity":"Actionable[0,.2], earlier cure difference[-.05,.2], utility[-.01,.08], H[0,5].","cost_basis_years":3},{"id":"wound_care","cost":600,"external":800,"capacity":10,"target":0.4,"response":0.5,"unique_health":0.7,"utility":0.06,"years":0.038356164383561646,"catchup":10,"mortality":0.04,"delay":0.02,"harm_q":0.00005,"basis":"One acute wound-care course with partner medical resources;40% clinically symptomatic wounds,50% earlier meaningful healing relative to accessible public care,70% distinct physical symptom-time. 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This over-associates some unchanged baseline care and is not net induced cost. No charge only for successful cures."},"economic":{"incomeBeforeUSD":15000,"housingReplacementProbability":0.5,"mealReplacementProbability":0.25,"mealPurchaseUSD":3,"mealsPerCourse":90,"childcareReplacementProbability":0.25,"employmentProbability":0.2,"childcareAvoidedUSD":3000,"grossWagesUSD":3000,"alternativeCareUSD":600,"employmentTravelUSD":200,"employmentTaxUSD":300,"courseBurdenUSD":{"housing":30,"meals":10,"childcare":100},"independentBurdenUSD":25,"independentHealthHarm":0,"positiveIndependentShare":1,"crossHealthIncomeOverlap":0.2,"benefitRouteShare":null,"benefitBayShare":0.99,"benefitSFShare":0.95,"harmBayShare":0.99,"harmSFShare":0.95,"reportingPersonsPerHousehold":1,"householdOverlap":"disjoint","durationMultiplier":1,"unknownFlows":["owner_net_surplus","public_transfer_displacement","taxpayer_funding_incidence","SSI_CalFresh_net_benefits","CM_gift_cards","health_related_incremental_wages","policy","TAY","affiliate","other_household_goods"]}},"result":{"version":"glide-legacy-native-signed-recalibration-20261004","giftUSD":100000,"scope":"Whole unrestricted Foundation gift; 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not independently accepted or publication ready","recipient":{"name":"Glide Foundation","ein":"94-1156481","boundary":"Ordinary unrestricted Foundation gift. Consolidated financial context includes Church/property affiliates; no separate Church gift or presumed clinical effect."},"finance":{"year":2025,"consolidated_expenses":30766602,"program":18342460,"church":1922106,"administration":7766659,"development":2735377,"cash":5908995,"source":"https://www.glide.org/wp-content/uploads/2026/03/GLIDE-Foundation-2024-25-SA-FS-Final.pdf","basis":"Final audit, not impact report's pending-audit numbers. Cash is historical, not current spare funding."},"shared":{"gift":100000,"discount":0.03,"bay":0.99,"sf":0.95,"funding_additionality":0.25,"capacity_gift":100000,"common_external_fraction":0.2,"independent_harm_q":0},"shared_basis":{"funding_additionality":"Prior 0.4 [0,0.8]: current public grants, other donors and fixed capacity remain in no-gift world. Not estimated from contributions ratio.","capacity_gift":"100k scenario scale and assumed maximum absorbable tranche, NOT observed room; unknown room must be visible. Gift above cap still fully costed with capped output.","common_external_fraction":"0.2 [0,0.8] gross associated volunteer/common partner resources beyond branch-specific costs, not causal net cost or waived charges. Excludes clinical resources separately specified.","geography":"Bay0.99/SF0.95 priors, nested. No additional indirect Bay/SF benefit assigned; policy spillovers unresolved."},"allocation":{"rescue":0.1,"housing":0.1,"meals":0.22,"parenting":0.04,"childcare":0.06,"women":0.05,"moud":0.03,"behavioral":0.02,"infection_linkage":0.01,"wound_care":0.01,"policy":0.04,"common_operations":0.28,"property_affiliate":0.04},"allocation_basis":"Retains v1 top-level allocation priors; subdivides 7% other HEAT and 10% family. Entire gift costed; allocation does not cancel out of benefits. Not observed budget fractions. Service counts constrain plausibility, not QALYs.","survival":{"rescue_cost":500,"rescue_external":80,"rescue_capacity":100,"rescue_active_years":1,"moud_annual_foundation_cost":16000,"moud_annual_external_cost":6000,"moud_capacity":10,"moud_active_years":0.5,"moud_no_gift_treatment_share":0.5,"moud_effective_retention":0.5,"moud_observed_hr":0.63,"moud_causal_transfer":0.5,"baseline_all_cause_hazard":0.07,"rescue_hazard_reduction":0.0025,"rescue_moud_overlap":0.5,"utility":0.7,"horizon_years":10,"delay_years":0.25,"rescue_harm_q":0.0001,"moud_harm_q":0.0002},"survival_basis":{"costs":"Rescue nominal annual unique-person safer-use/rescue-support package, not price per dose. MOUD Foundation cost is annualized access/support cost prior, minimum one annual budget unit for setup; active durations above one year scale Foundation/external costs linearly. External cost includes medication, prescribing, labs and public clinical delivery. 3%*30.77m/56 enrollees≈16.5k is only a plausibility check, not audited program cost or evidence of additional patients.","counts":"Impact report says 56 people enrolled in MAT, not verified deduplicated longitudinal treatment records. No 56*survival multiplier. Per-gift capacity10 is a prior and must stress to zero.","baseline":"Both rescue and medication compare with same current-care hazard. Medication effect shrunk halfway from observed HR0.63 toward1; no-gift treatment share handles replacement of existing accessible medication, retention handles effective funded-course completion, funding additionality handles donor displacement. None is a second multiplication by trial ITT adherence.","survival":"Three exclusive cohorts rescue-only/MOUD-only/both. While active h=(base-rescueReduction)*(1-(1-HR)*transfer) for both; remove each factor when its active period ends. Equal baseline hazard after funded care preserves but does not create a survival gap, capped at15years. No separate opioid deaths added to all-cause."},"housing":{"cost":10000,"external":300,"cash_transfer":3045,"capacity":10,"no_gift_stability":0.8,"incremental_stability":0.056,"unique_health":0.8,"utility":0.1,"years":1,"catchup_hazard":0,"mortality":0.01,"delay":0.1,"harm_q":0.0001},"housing_basis":"10k complete access/stabilization episode is a new prior, not v1 transfer-oriented3077. Current965254/317≈3045 is transfer per reported person, not full cost. 10% consolidated scale/317≈9706 contextual only. Stability difference0.112*0.5 transfer from prior VA evidence, capped by current80% no-gift stability. Unique-health exclusion prevents housing mood/safety stacking.","groups":[{"id":"meals","cost":1080,"external":180,"capacity":50,"target":0.2,"response":0.5,"unique_health":0.65,"utility":0.015,"years":0.0821917808219178,"catchup":0,"mortality":0.01,"delay":0,"harm_q":0.00002,"basis":"Thirty-day 90-meal course at12/meal; meal supply consumed and replaces inadequate intake in selected20%, with50% symptom-response/local transfer. 0.015 utility for physical/mental symptoms only, not hunger preference or tailored-diet disease effect. Distinct symptom-time65%. No future mortality. Cost plausibility22%*30.77m/620513≈10.9/meal, not observed marginal price.","sensitivity":"0.015 utility [-0.01,0.05]; selected share [0,0.5]; course30days [7,90] with proportional meal costs.","cost_basis_years":0.0821917808219178},{"id":"parenting","cost":4500,"external":300,"capacity":10,"target":0.3,"response":0.35,"unique_health":0.7,"utility":0.03,"years":0.5,"catchup":2,"mortality":0.01,"delay":0.1,"harm_q":0.0001,"basis":"One caregiver per meaningful class/support course; distressed share30%, trial-to-GLIDE delivery35%, unique mood/safety70%. Utility.03 and half-year window are weak priors; not trial-derived QALYs; catchup2/year. No child benefit in this row.","sensitivity":"Utility[-0.02,0.08], target[0,0.6], transfer[0,0.8], window[0,1].","cost_basis_years":0.5},{"id":"childcare","cost":13000,"external":600,"capacity":5,"target":0.2,"response":0.2,"unique_health":1,"utility":0.03,"years":0.5,"catchup":2,"mortality":0.002,"delay":0.1,"harm_q":0.0001,"basis":"One child with selected emotional/behavioral symptoms in meaningful socioemotional activity; not childcare economic value. Selected20%, effective-fidelity20% sharply below targeted12-week IY. Clinical utility and benefit probability weak priors; no parent spillover or lifetime conduct/crime/earnings.","sensitivity":"Utility[-0.02,0.06], target[0,0.5], delivery[0,0.6], H[0,1].","cost_basis_years":0.5},{"id":"women","cost":4000,"external":1000,"capacity":10,"target":0.35,"response":0.3,"unique_health":0.6,"utility":0.04,"years":0.5,"catchup":2,"mortality":0.02,"delay":0.05,"harm_q":0.0002,"basis":"One selected crisis/safety-support course;35% relevant trauma/abuse symptoms,30% effective clinical gain probability,60% distinct mood/safety outside housing/CBT. Weak positive central despite null advocacy counterweight, acknowledging intensive successful cases; no homicide survival or outreach multiplier.","sensitivity":"Utility[-0.04,0.1], target[0,0.7], response[0,0.7], unique[0,1].","cost_basis_years":0.5},{"id":"behavioral","cost":6000,"external":500,"capacity":5,"target":0.4,"response":0.3,"unique_health":0.6,"utility":0.08,"years":0.5,"catchup":2,"mortality":0.03,"delay":0.1,"harm_q":0.0002,"basis":"One course rather than attendee visit;40% persistent depression,30% meaningful CBT-response/local delivery,60% distinct symptom-time. Mixed outpatient groups not BRIGHT's32hour residential protocol. Utility.08 separate judgment, no substance-use mortality added.","sensitivity":"Utility[-0.05,0.2], target[0,0.8], response[0,0.7], H[0,1].","cost_basis_years":0.5},{"id":"infection_linkage","cost":300,"external":0,"capacity":20,"target":0.06,"response":0.05,"unique_health":0.6,"utility":0.03,"years":3,"catchup":0.5,"mortality":0.05,"delay":0.25,"harm_q":0.00001,"basis":"One unique testing/linkage episode;6% actionable RNA-positive untreated HCV,5% earlier effective cure difference vs existing public referral,60% distinct morbidity. No 44.2point colocated RCT transplant and no paused peer program. Three-year symptom benefit only with later-care catchup; no liver deaths or transmission added. Treatment resource charged separately per selected patient, not per all test.","sensitivity":"Actionable[0,.2], earlier cure difference[-.05,.2], utility[-.01,.08], H[0,5].","cost_basis_years":3},{"id":"wound_care","cost":600,"external":800,"capacity":10,"target":0.4,"response":0.5,"unique_health":0.7,"utility":0.06,"years":0.038356164383561646,"catchup":10,"mortality":0.04,"delay":0.02,"harm_q":0.00005,"basis":"One acute wound-care course with partner medical resources;40% clinically symptomatic wounds,50% earlier meaningful healing relative to accessible public care,70% distinct physical symptom-time. Utility.06 and14day window clinical judgment, not measured GLIDE trial; no unobserved admissions or sepsis mortality.","sensitivity":"Utility[-.03,.15], target[0,.8], response[0,.9], days[0,60] with duration-sensitive resources.","cost_basis_years":0.038356164383561646}],"unresolved":[{"id":"policy","gift_share":0.04,"reason":"No causally attributable policy probability, displaced public spending or recipient map; cannot claim coalition budget as QALYs.","required_stress":"Signed independently elicited total policy Q with geography; no generic residual expected mean."},{"id":"infection_prevention_and_hiv_sti","gift_share":null,"reason":"Safer-use prevention, HIV/STI treatment and secondary transmission plausibly material but no case/diagnosis mix. HCV subgroup alone is not complete infection effect.","required_stress":"Separate selected incidence/diagnosis/care-acceleration parameters and finite competing-risk benefit; do not duplicate HCV or MOUD people-years."},{"id":"vaccination_and_other_primary_care","gift_share":null,"reason":"Wound care is named selected branch; vaccination counts/disease risks and other completed care unavailable.","required_stress":"Disease-specific vaccine or acute-care priors after cost/coverage allocation; no automatic course Q."},{"id":"affiliate","gift_share":0.04,"reason":"Exact Foundation-to-affiliate marginal flow not identified. Church activities not automatically Foundation donation effects.","required_stress":"Recipient-specific financial mapping."}],"expectation":{"status":"Not yet specified","reason":"Do not use central scenario price as whole-organization expected-value headline. Explicit correlated scenario weights and unresolved material branches need review."},"sources":[{"id":"impact","url":"https://www.glide.org/wp-content/uploads/2026/01/GLIDE-Impact-Report-2024-2025.pdf","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"heat","url":"https://www.glide.org/heat/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"moud_mortality","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/29913516/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"moud_engagement","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/25919527/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"cbt","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/21646576/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"advocacy_positive","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/10028208/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"advocacy_counterweight","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/20682933/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"parenting","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/17350966/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"parenting_followup","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/33573694/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"meals","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/30421335/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"meals_counterweight","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/38147326/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"hcv","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/35285851/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"}],"hcv_external_treatment_cost":15000,"hcv_external_treatment_cost_basis":"Gross course drug/lab/prescribing resource prior per nominal actionable HCV patient, before donor additionality or health-success discount; separate from testing cost. This over-associates some unchanged baseline care and is not net induced cost. No charge only for successful 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specification and coverage-ledger asset; not independently accepted or publication ready","recipient":{"name":"Glide Foundation","ein":"94-1156481","boundary":"Ordinary unrestricted Foundation gift. 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Gift above cap still fully costed with capped output.","common_external_fraction":"0.2 [0,0.8] gross associated volunteer/common partner resources beyond branch-specific costs, not causal net cost or waived charges. Excludes clinical resources separately specified.","geography":"Bay0.99/SF0.95 priors, nested. No additional indirect Bay/SF benefit assigned; policy spillovers unresolved."},"allocation":{"rescue":0.1,"housing":0.1,"meals":0.22,"parenting":0.04,"childcare":0.06,"women":0.05,"moud":0.03,"behavioral":0.02,"infection_linkage":0.01,"wound_care":0.01,"policy":0.04,"common_operations":0.28,"property_affiliate":0.04},"allocation_basis":"Retains v1 top-level allocation priors; subdivides 7% other HEAT and 10% family. Entire gift costed; allocation does not cancel out of benefits. Not observed budget fractions. Service counts constrain plausibility, not QALYs.","survival":{"rescue_cost":500,"rescue_external":80,"rescue_capacity":100,"rescue_active_years":1,"moud_annual_foundation_cost":16000,"moud_annual_external_cost":6000,"moud_capacity":10,"moud_active_years":0.5,"moud_no_gift_treatment_share":0.5,"moud_effective_retention":0.5,"moud_observed_hr":0.63,"moud_causal_transfer":0,"baseline_all_cause_hazard":0.07,"rescue_hazard_reduction":0,"rescue_moud_overlap":0.5,"utility":0.7,"horizon_years":10,"delay_years":0.25,"rescue_harm_q":0.0001,"moud_harm_q":0.0002},"survival_basis":{"costs":"Rescue nominal annual unique-person safer-use/rescue-support package, not price per dose. MOUD Foundation cost is annualized access/support cost prior, minimum one annual budget unit for setup; active durations above one year scale Foundation/external costs linearly. External cost includes medication, prescribing, labs and public clinical delivery. 3%*30.77m/56 enrollees≈16.5k is only a plausibility check, not audited program cost or evidence of additional patients.","counts":"Impact report says 56 people enrolled in MAT, not verified deduplicated longitudinal treatment records. No 56*survival multiplier. Per-gift capacity10 is a prior and must stress to zero.","baseline":"Both rescue and medication compare with same current-care hazard. Medication effect shrunk halfway from observed HR0.63 toward1; no-gift treatment share handles replacement of existing accessible medication, retention handles effective funded-course completion, funding additionality handles donor displacement. None is a second multiplication by trial ITT adherence.","survival":"Three exclusive cohorts rescue-only/MOUD-only/both. While active h=(base-rescueReduction)*(1-(1-HR)*transfer) for both; remove each factor when its active period ends. Equal baseline hazard after funded care preserves but does not create a survival gap, capped at15years. No separate opioid deaths added to all-cause."},"housing":{"cost":10000,"external":300,"cash_transfer":3045,"capacity":10,"no_gift_stability":0.8,"incremental_stability":0,"unique_health":0.8,"utility":0.1,"years":1,"catchup_hazard":0,"mortality":0.01,"delay":0.1,"harm_q":0.0001},"housing_basis":"10k complete access/stabilization episode is a new prior, not v1 transfer-oriented3077. Current965254/317≈3045 is transfer per reported person, not full cost. 10% consolidated scale/317≈9706 contextual only. Stability difference0.112*0.5 transfer from prior VA evidence, capped by current80% no-gift stability. 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Cost plausibility22%*30.77m/620513≈10.9/meal, not observed marginal price.","sensitivity":"0.015 utility [-0.01,0.05]; selected share [0,0.5]; course30days [7,90] with proportional meal costs.","cost_basis_years":0.0821917808219178},{"id":"parenting","cost":4500,"external":300,"capacity":10,"target":0.3,"response":0,"unique_health":0.7,"utility":0.03,"years":0.5,"catchup":2,"mortality":0.01,"delay":0.1,"harm_q":0.0001,"basis":"One caregiver per meaningful class/support course; distressed share30%, trial-to-GLIDE delivery35%, unique mood/safety70%. Utility.03 and half-year window are weak priors; not trial-derived QALYs; catchup2/year. No child benefit in this row.","sensitivity":"Utility[-0.02,0.08], target[0,0.6], transfer[0,0.8], window[0,1].","cost_basis_years":0.5},{"id":"childcare","cost":13000,"external":600,"capacity":5,"target":0.2,"response":0,"unique_health":1,"utility":0.03,"years":0.5,"catchup":2,"mortality":0.002,"delay":0.1,"harm_q":0.0001,"basis":"One child with selected emotional/behavioral symptoms in meaningful socioemotional activity; not childcare economic value. Selected20%, effective-fidelity20% sharply below targeted12-week IY. Clinical utility and benefit probability weak priors; no parent spillover or lifetime conduct/crime/earnings.","sensitivity":"Utility[-0.02,0.06], target[0,0.5], delivery[0,0.6], H[0,1].","cost_basis_years":0.5},{"id":"women","cost":4000,"external":1000,"capacity":10,"target":0.35,"response":0,"unique_health":0.6,"utility":0.04,"years":0.5,"catchup":2,"mortality":0.02,"delay":0.05,"harm_q":0.0002,"basis":"One selected crisis/safety-support course;35% relevant trauma/abuse symptoms,30% effective clinical gain probability,60% distinct mood/safety outside housing/CBT. Weak positive central despite null advocacy counterweight, acknowledging intensive successful cases; no homicide survival or outreach multiplier.","sensitivity":"Utility[-0.04,0.1], target[0,0.7], response[0,0.7], unique[0,1].","cost_basis_years":0.5},{"id":"behavioral","cost":6000,"external":500,"capacity":5,"target":0.4,"response":0,"unique_health":0.6,"utility":0.08,"years":0.5,"catchup":2,"mortality":0.03,"delay":0.1,"harm_q":0.0002,"basis":"One course rather than attendee visit;40% persistent depression,30% meaningful CBT-response/local delivery,60% distinct symptom-time. Mixed outpatient groups not BRIGHT's32hour residential protocol. Utility.08 separate judgment, no substance-use mortality added.","sensitivity":"Utility[-0.05,0.2], target[0,0.8], response[0,0.7], H[0,1].","cost_basis_years":0.5},{"id":"infection_linkage","cost":300,"external":0,"capacity":20,"target":0.06,"response":0,"unique_health":0.6,"utility":0.03,"years":3,"catchup":0.5,"mortality":0.05,"delay":0.25,"harm_q":0.00001,"basis":"One unique testing/linkage episode;6% actionable RNA-positive untreated HCV,5% earlier effective cure difference vs existing public referral,60% distinct morbidity. No 44.2point colocated RCT transplant and no paused peer program. Three-year symptom benefit only with later-care catchup; no liver deaths or transmission added. Treatment resource charged separately per selected patient, not per all test.","sensitivity":"Actionable[0,.2], earlier cure difference[-.05,.2], utility[-.01,.08], H[0,5].","cost_basis_years":3},{"id":"wound_care","cost":600,"external":800,"capacity":10,"target":0.4,"response":0,"unique_health":0.7,"utility":0.06,"years":0.038356164383561646,"catchup":10,"mortality":0.04,"delay":0.02,"harm_q":0.00005,"basis":"One acute wound-care course with partner medical resources;40% clinically symptomatic wounds,50% earlier meaningful healing relative to accessible public care,70% distinct physical symptom-time. Utility.06 and14day window clinical judgment, not measured GLIDE trial; no unobserved admissions or sepsis mortality.","sensitivity":"Utility[-.03,.15], target[0,.8], response[0,.9], days[0,60] with duration-sensitive resources.","cost_basis_years":0.038356164383561646}],"unresolved":[{"id":"policy","gift_share":0.04,"reason":"No causally attributable policy probability, displaced public spending or recipient map; cannot claim coalition budget as QALYs.","required_stress":"Signed independently elicited total policy Q with geography; no generic residual expected mean."},{"id":"infection_prevention_and_hiv_sti","gift_share":null,"reason":"Safer-use prevention, HIV/STI treatment and secondary transmission plausibly material but no case/diagnosis mix. HCV subgroup alone is not complete infection effect.","required_stress":"Separate selected incidence/diagnosis/care-acceleration parameters and finite competing-risk benefit; do not duplicate HCV or MOUD people-years."},{"id":"vaccination_and_other_primary_care","gift_share":null,"reason":"Wound care is named selected branch; vaccination counts/disease risks and other completed care unavailable.","required_stress":"Disease-specific vaccine or acute-care priors after cost/coverage allocation; no automatic course Q."},{"id":"affiliate","gift_share":0.04,"reason":"Exact Foundation-to-affiliate marginal flow not identified. Church activities not automatically Foundation donation effects.","required_stress":"Recipient-specific financial mapping."}],"expectation":{"status":"Not yet specified","reason":"Do not use central scenario price as whole-organization expected-value headline. Explicit correlated scenario weights and unresolved material branches need review."},"sources":[{"id":"impact","url":"https://www.glide.org/wp-content/uploads/2026/01/GLIDE-Impact-Report-2024-2025.pdf","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"heat","url":"https://www.glide.org/heat/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"moud_mortality","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/29913516/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"moud_engagement","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/25919527/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"cbt","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/21646576/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"advocacy_positive","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/10028208/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"advocacy_counterweight","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/20682933/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"parenting","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/17350966/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"parenting_followup","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/33573694/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"meals","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/30421335/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"meals_counterweight","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/38147326/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"hcv","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/35285851/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"}],"hcv_external_treatment_cost":15000,"hcv_external_treatment_cost_basis":"Gross course drug/lab/prescribing resource prior per nominal actionable HCV patient, before donor additionality or health-success discount; separate from testing cost. This over-associates some unchanged baseline care and is not net induced cost. No charge only for successful 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specification and coverage-ledger asset; not independently accepted or publication ready","recipient":{"name":"Glide Foundation","ein":"94-1156481","boundary":"Ordinary unrestricted Foundation gift. 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Gift above cap still fully costed with capped output.","common_external_fraction":"0.2 [0,0.8] gross associated volunteer/common partner resources beyond branch-specific costs, not causal net cost or waived charges. Excludes clinical resources separately specified.","geography":"Bay0.99/SF0.95 priors, nested. No additional indirect Bay/SF benefit assigned; policy spillovers unresolved."},"allocation":{"rescue":0.1,"housing":0.1,"meals":0.22,"parenting":0.04,"childcare":0.06,"women":0.05,"moud":0.03,"behavioral":0.02,"infection_linkage":0.01,"wound_care":0.01,"policy":0.04,"common_operations":0.28,"property_affiliate":0.04},"allocation_basis":"Retains v1 top-level allocation priors; subdivides 7% other HEAT and 10% family. Entire gift costed; allocation does not cancel out of benefits. Not observed budget fractions. 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Weak positive central despite null advocacy counterweight, acknowledging intensive successful cases; no homicide survival or outreach multiplier.","sensitivity":"Utility[-0.04,0.1], target[0,0.7], response[0,0.7], unique[0,1].","cost_basis_years":0.5},{"id":"behavioral","cost":6000,"external":500,"capacity":5,"target":0.4,"response":0.3,"unique_health":0.6,"utility":0.08,"years":0,"catchup":2,"mortality":0.03,"delay":0.1,"harm_q":0.0002,"basis":"One course rather than attendee visit;40% persistent depression,30% meaningful CBT-response/local delivery,60% distinct symptom-time. Mixed outpatient groups not BRIGHT's32hour residential protocol. 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Treatment resource charged separately per selected patient, not per all test.","sensitivity":"Actionable[0,.2], earlier cure difference[-.05,.2], utility[-.01,.08], H[0,5].","cost_basis_years":3},{"id":"wound_care","cost":600,"external":800,"capacity":10,"target":0.4,"response":0.5,"unique_health":0.7,"utility":0.06,"years":0,"catchup":10,"mortality":0.04,"delay":0.02,"harm_q":0.00005,"basis":"One acute wound-care course with partner medical resources;40% clinically symptomatic wounds,50% earlier meaningful healing relative to accessible public care,70% distinct physical symptom-time. 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HCV subgroup alone is not complete infection effect.","required_stress":"Separate selected incidence/diagnosis/care-acceleration parameters and finite competing-risk benefit; do not duplicate HCV or MOUD people-years."},{"id":"vaccination_and_other_primary_care","gift_share":null,"reason":"Wound care is named selected branch; vaccination counts/disease risks and other completed care unavailable.","required_stress":"Disease-specific vaccine or acute-care priors after cost/coverage allocation; no automatic course Q."},{"id":"affiliate","gift_share":0.04,"reason":"Exact Foundation-to-affiliate marginal flow not identified. Church activities not automatically Foundation donation effects.","required_stress":"Recipient-specific financial mapping."}],"expectation":{"status":"Not yet specified","reason":"Do not use central scenario price as whole-organization expected-value headline. Explicit correlated scenario weights and unresolved material branches need review."},"sources":[{"id":"impact","url":"https://www.glide.org/wp-content/uploads/2026/01/GLIDE-Impact-Report-2024-2025.pdf","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"heat","url":"https://www.glide.org/heat/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"moud_mortality","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/29913516/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"moud_engagement","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/25919527/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"cbt","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/21646576/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"advocacy_positive","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/10028208/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"advocacy_counterweight","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/20682933/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"parenting","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/17350966/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"parenting_followup","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/33573694/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"meals","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/30421335/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"meals_counterweight","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/38147326/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"hcv","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/35285851/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"}],"hcv_external_treatment_cost":15000,"hcv_external_treatment_cost_basis":"Gross course drug/lab/prescribing resource prior per nominal actionable HCV patient, before donor additionality or health-success discount; separate from testing cost. This over-associates some unchanged baseline care and is not net induced cost. No charge only for successful 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specification and coverage-ledger asset; not independently accepted or publication ready","recipient":{"name":"Glide Foundation","ein":"94-1156481","boundary":"Ordinary unrestricted Foundation gift. 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Gift above cap still fully costed with capped output.","common_external_fraction":"0.2 [0,0.8] gross associated volunteer/common partner resources beyond branch-specific costs, not causal net cost or waived charges. Excludes clinical resources separately specified.","geography":"Bay0.99/SF0.95 priors, nested. No additional indirect Bay/SF benefit assigned; policy spillovers unresolved."},"allocation":{"rescue":0.1,"housing":0.1,"meals":0.22,"parenting":0.04,"childcare":0.06,"women":0.05,"moud":0.03,"behavioral":0.02,"infection_linkage":0.01,"wound_care":0.01,"policy":0.04,"common_operations":0.28,"property_affiliate":0.04},"allocation_basis":"Retains v1 top-level allocation priors; subdivides 7% other HEAT and 10% family. Entire gift costed; allocation does not cancel out of benefits. Not observed budget fractions. Service counts constrain plausibility, not QALYs.","survival":{"rescue_cost":500,"rescue_external":80,"rescue_capacity":100,"rescue_active_years":1,"moud_annual_foundation_cost":16000,"moud_annual_external_cost":6000,"moud_capacity":10,"moud_active_years":0.5,"moud_no_gift_treatment_share":0.5,"moud_effective_retention":0.5,"moud_observed_hr":1.3,"moud_causal_transfer":0.5,"baseline_all_cause_hazard":0.07,"rescue_hazard_reduction":-0.01,"rescue_moud_overlap":0.5,"utility":0.7,"horizon_years":10,"delay_years":0.25,"rescue_harm_q":0.0001,"moud_harm_q":0.0002},"survival_basis":{"costs":"Rescue nominal annual unique-person safer-use/rescue-support package, not price per dose. MOUD Foundation cost is annualized access/support cost prior, minimum one annual budget unit for setup; active durations above one year scale Foundation/external costs linearly. 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No child benefit in this row.","sensitivity":"Utility[-0.02,0.08], target[0,0.6], transfer[0,0.8], window[0,1].","cost_basis_years":0.5},{"id":"childcare","cost":13000,"external":600,"capacity":5,"target":0.2,"response":0.2,"unique_health":1,"utility":-0.03,"years":0.5,"catchup":2,"mortality":0.002,"delay":0.1,"harm_q":0.0001,"basis":"One child with selected emotional/behavioral symptoms in meaningful socioemotional activity; not childcare economic value. Selected20%, effective-fidelity20% sharply below targeted12-week IY. Clinical utility and benefit probability weak priors; no parent spillover or lifetime conduct/crime/earnings.","sensitivity":"Utility[-0.02,0.06], target[0,0.5], delivery[0,0.6], H[0,1].","cost_basis_years":0.5},{"id":"women","cost":4000,"external":1000,"capacity":10,"target":0.35,"response":0.3,"unique_health":0.6,"utility":-0.04,"years":0.5,"catchup":2,"mortality":0.02,"delay":0.05,"harm_q":0.0002,"basis":"One selected crisis/safety-support course;35% relevant trauma/abuse symptoms,30% effective clinical gain probability,60% distinct mood/safety outside housing/CBT. Weak positive central despite null advocacy counterweight, acknowledging intensive successful cases; no homicide survival or outreach multiplier.","sensitivity":"Utility[-0.04,0.1], target[0,0.7], response[0,0.7], unique[0,1].","cost_basis_years":0.5},{"id":"behavioral","cost":6000,"external":500,"capacity":5,"target":0.4,"response":0.3,"unique_health":0.6,"utility":-0.08,"years":0.5,"catchup":2,"mortality":0.03,"delay":0.1,"harm_q":0.0002,"basis":"One course rather than attendee visit;40% persistent depression,30% meaningful CBT-response/local delivery,60% distinct symptom-time. Mixed outpatient groups not BRIGHT's32hour residential protocol. 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Treatment resource charged separately per selected patient, not per all test.","sensitivity":"Actionable[0,.2], earlier cure difference[-.05,.2], utility[-.01,.08], H[0,5].","cost_basis_years":3},{"id":"wound_care","cost":600,"external":800,"capacity":10,"target":0.4,"response":0.5,"unique_health":0.7,"utility":-0.06,"years":0.038356164383561646,"catchup":10,"mortality":0.04,"delay":0.02,"harm_q":0.00005,"basis":"One acute wound-care course with partner medical resources;40% clinically symptomatic wounds,50% earlier meaningful healing relative to accessible public care,70% distinct physical symptom-time. 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HCV subgroup alone is not complete infection effect.","required_stress":"Separate selected incidence/diagnosis/care-acceleration parameters and finite competing-risk benefit; do not duplicate HCV or MOUD people-years."},{"id":"vaccination_and_other_primary_care","gift_share":null,"reason":"Wound care is named selected branch; vaccination counts/disease risks and other completed care unavailable.","required_stress":"Disease-specific vaccine or acute-care priors after cost/coverage allocation; no automatic course Q."},{"id":"affiliate","gift_share":0.04,"reason":"Exact Foundation-to-affiliate marginal flow not identified. Church activities not automatically Foundation donation effects.","required_stress":"Recipient-specific financial mapping."}],"expectation":{"status":"Not yet specified","reason":"Do not use central scenario price as whole-organization expected-value headline. Explicit correlated scenario weights and unresolved material branches need review."},"sources":[{"id":"impact","url":"https://www.glide.org/wp-content/uploads/2026/01/GLIDE-Impact-Report-2024-2025.pdf","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"heat","url":"https://www.glide.org/heat/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"moud_mortality","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/29913516/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"moud_engagement","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/25919527/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"cbt","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/21646576/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"advocacy_positive","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/10028208/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"advocacy_counterweight","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/20682933/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"parenting","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/17350966/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"parenting_followup","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/33573694/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"meals","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/30421335/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"meals_counterweight","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/38147326/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"hcv","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/35285851/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"}],"hcv_external_treatment_cost":15000,"hcv_external_treatment_cost_basis":"Gross course drug/lab/prescribing resource prior per nominal actionable HCV patient, before donor additionality or health-success discount; separate from testing cost. This over-associates some unchanged baseline care and is not net induced cost. No charge only for successful 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specification and coverage-ledger asset; not independently accepted or publication ready","recipient":{"name":"Glide Foundation","ein":"94-1156481","boundary":"Ordinary unrestricted Foundation gift. 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Gift above cap still fully costed with capped output.","common_external_fraction":"0.2 [0,0.8] gross associated volunteer/common partner resources beyond branch-specific costs, not causal net cost or waived charges. Excludes clinical resources separately specified.","geography":"Bay0.99/SF0.95 priors, nested. No additional indirect Bay/SF benefit assigned; policy spillovers unresolved."},"allocation":{"rescue":0.1,"housing":0.1,"meals":0.22,"parenting":0.04,"childcare":0.06,"women":0.05,"moud":0.03,"behavioral":0.02,"infection_linkage":0.01,"wound_care":0.01,"policy":0.04,"common_operations":0.28,"property_affiliate":0.04},"allocation_basis":"Retains v1 top-level allocation priors; subdivides 7% other HEAT and 10% family. Entire gift costed; allocation does not cancel out of benefits. Not observed budget fractions. Service counts constrain plausibility, not QALYs.","survival":{"rescue_cost":500,"rescue_external":80,"rescue_capacity":100,"rescue_active_years":1,"moud_annual_foundation_cost":16000,"moud_annual_external_cost":6000,"moud_capacity":10,"moud_active_years":0.5,"moud_no_gift_treatment_share":0.5,"moud_effective_retention":0.5,"moud_observed_hr":0.63,"moud_causal_transfer":0.5,"baseline_all_cause_hazard":0.07,"rescue_hazard_reduction":0.0025,"rescue_moud_overlap":0.5,"utility":0.7,"horizon_years":10,"delay_years":0.25,"rescue_harm_q":0.0001,"moud_harm_q":0.0002},"survival_basis":{"costs":"Rescue nominal annual unique-person safer-use/rescue-support package, not price per dose. MOUD Foundation cost is annualized access/support cost prior, minimum one annual budget unit for setup; active durations above one year scale Foundation/external costs linearly. 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No child benefit in this row.","sensitivity":"Utility[-0.02,0.08], target[0,0.6], transfer[0,0.8], window[0,1].","cost_basis_years":0.5},{"id":"childcare","cost":13000,"external":600,"capacity":5,"target":0.2,"response":0.2,"unique_health":1,"utility":0.03,"years":0.5,"catchup":2,"mortality":0.002,"delay":0.1,"harm_q":0.0001,"basis":"One child with selected emotional/behavioral symptoms in meaningful socioemotional activity; not childcare economic value. Selected20%, effective-fidelity20% sharply below targeted12-week IY. Clinical utility and benefit probability weak priors; no parent spillover or lifetime conduct/crime/earnings.","sensitivity":"Utility[-0.02,0.06], target[0,0.5], delivery[0,0.6], H[0,1].","cost_basis_years":0.5},{"id":"women","cost":4000,"external":1000,"capacity":10,"target":0.35,"response":0.3,"unique_health":0.6,"utility":0.04,"years":0.5,"catchup":2,"mortality":0.02,"delay":0.05,"harm_q":0.0002,"basis":"One selected crisis/safety-support course;35% relevant trauma/abuse symptoms,30% effective clinical gain probability,60% distinct mood/safety outside housing/CBT. 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Treatment resource charged separately per selected patient, not per all test.","sensitivity":"Actionable[0,.2], earlier cure difference[-.05,.2], utility[-.01,.08], H[0,5].","cost_basis_years":3},{"id":"wound_care","cost":600,"external":800,"capacity":10,"target":0.4,"response":0.5,"unique_health":0.7,"utility":0.06,"years":0.038356164383561646,"catchup":10,"mortality":0.04,"delay":0.02,"harm_q":0.00005,"basis":"One acute wound-care course with partner medical resources;40% clinically symptomatic wounds,50% earlier meaningful healing relative to accessible public care,70% distinct physical symptom-time. 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HCV subgroup alone is not complete infection effect.","required_stress":"Separate selected incidence/diagnosis/care-acceleration parameters and finite competing-risk benefit; do not duplicate HCV or MOUD people-years."},{"id":"vaccination_and_other_primary_care","gift_share":null,"reason":"Wound care is named selected branch; vaccination counts/disease risks and other completed care unavailable.","required_stress":"Disease-specific vaccine or acute-care priors after cost/coverage allocation; no automatic course Q."},{"id":"affiliate","gift_share":0.04,"reason":"Exact Foundation-to-affiliate marginal flow not identified. Church activities not automatically Foundation donation effects.","required_stress":"Recipient-specific financial mapping."}],"expectation":{"status":"Not yet specified","reason":"Do not use central scenario price as whole-organization expected-value headline. Explicit correlated scenario weights and unresolved material branches need review."},"sources":[{"id":"impact","url":"https://www.glide.org/wp-content/uploads/2026/01/GLIDE-Impact-Report-2024-2025.pdf","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"heat","url":"https://www.glide.org/heat/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"moud_mortality","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/29913516/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"moud_engagement","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/25919527/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"cbt","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/21646576/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"advocacy_positive","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/10028208/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"advocacy_counterweight","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/20682933/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"parenting","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/17350966/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"parenting_followup","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/33573694/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"meals","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/30421335/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"meals_counterweight","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/38147326/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"hcv","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/35285851/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"}],"hcv_external_treatment_cost":15000,"hcv_external_treatment_cost_basis":"Gross course drug/lab/prescribing resource prior per nominal actionable HCV patient, before donor additionality or health-success discount; separate from testing cost. This over-associates some unchanged baseline care and is not net induced cost. No charge only for successful 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specification and coverage-ledger asset; not independently accepted or publication ready","recipient":{"name":"Glide Foundation","ein":"94-1156481","boundary":"Ordinary unrestricted Foundation gift. 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Gift above cap still fully costed with capped output.","common_external_fraction":"0.2 [0,0.8] gross associated volunteer/common partner resources beyond branch-specific costs, not causal net cost or waived charges. Excludes clinical resources separately specified.","geography":"Bay0.99/SF0.95 priors, nested. No additional indirect Bay/SF benefit assigned; policy spillovers unresolved."},"allocation":{"rescue":0.1,"housing":0.1,"meals":0.22,"parenting":0.04,"childcare":0.06,"women":0.05,"moud":0.03,"behavioral":0.02,"infection_linkage":0.01,"wound_care":0.01,"policy":0.04,"common_operations":0.28,"property_affiliate":0.04},"allocation_basis":"Retains v1 top-level allocation priors; subdivides 7% other HEAT and 10% family. Entire gift costed; allocation does not cancel out of benefits. Not observed budget fractions. Service counts constrain plausibility, not QALYs.","survival":{"rescue_cost":500,"rescue_external":80,"rescue_capacity":100,"rescue_active_years":1,"moud_annual_foundation_cost":16000,"moud_annual_external_cost":6000,"moud_capacity":10,"moud_active_years":0.5,"moud_no_gift_treatment_share":0.5,"moud_effective_retention":0.5,"moud_observed_hr":0.63,"moud_causal_transfer":0.5,"baseline_all_cause_hazard":0.07,"rescue_hazard_reduction":0.0025,"rescue_moud_overlap":0.5,"utility":0.7,"horizon_years":10,"delay_years":0.25,"rescue_harm_q":0.0001,"moud_harm_q":0.0002},"survival_basis":{"costs":"Rescue nominal annual unique-person safer-use/rescue-support package, not price per dose. MOUD Foundation cost is annualized access/support cost prior, minimum one annual budget unit for setup; active durations above one year scale Foundation/external costs linearly. External cost includes medication, prescribing, labs and public clinical delivery. 3%*30.77m/56 enrollees≈16.5k is only a plausibility check, not audited program cost or evidence of additional patients.","counts":"Impact report says 56 people enrolled in MAT, not verified deduplicated longitudinal treatment records. No 56*survival multiplier. Per-gift capacity10 is a prior and must stress to zero.","baseline":"Both rescue and medication compare with same current-care hazard. Medication effect shrunk halfway from observed HR0.63 toward1; no-gift treatment share handles replacement of existing accessible medication, retention handles effective funded-course completion, funding additionality handles donor displacement. None is a second multiplication by trial ITT adherence.","survival":"Three exclusive cohorts rescue-only/MOUD-only/both. While active h=(base-rescueReduction)*(1-(1-HR)*transfer) for both; remove each factor when its active period ends. Equal baseline hazard after funded care preserves but does not create a survival gap, capped at15years. No separate opioid deaths added to all-cause."},"housing":{"cost":10000,"external":300,"cash_transfer":3045,"capacity":10,"no_gift_stability":0.8,"incremental_stability":0.056,"unique_health":0,"utility":0.1,"years":1,"catchup_hazard":0,"mortality":0.01,"delay":0.1,"harm_q":0.0001},"housing_basis":"10k complete access/stabilization episode is a new prior, not v1 transfer-oriented3077. Current965254/317≈3045 is transfer per reported person, not full cost. 10% consolidated scale/317≈9706 contextual only. Stability difference0.112*0.5 transfer from prior VA evidence, capped by current80% no-gift stability. 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No child benefit in this row.","sensitivity":"Utility[-0.02,0.08], target[0,0.6], transfer[0,0.8], window[0,1].","cost_basis_years":0.5},{"id":"childcare","cost":13000,"external":600,"capacity":5,"target":0.2,"response":0.2,"unique_health":0,"utility":0.03,"years":0.5,"catchup":2,"mortality":0.002,"delay":0.1,"harm_q":0.0001,"basis":"One child with selected emotional/behavioral symptoms in meaningful socioemotional activity; not childcare economic value. Selected20%, effective-fidelity20% sharply below targeted12-week IY. Clinical utility and benefit probability weak priors; no parent spillover or lifetime conduct/crime/earnings.","sensitivity":"Utility[-0.02,0.06], target[0,0.5], delivery[0,0.6], H[0,1].","cost_basis_years":0.5},{"id":"women","cost":4000,"external":1000,"capacity":10,"target":0.35,"response":0.3,"unique_health":0,"utility":0.04,"years":0.5,"catchup":2,"mortality":0.02,"delay":0.05,"harm_q":0.0002,"basis":"One selected crisis/safety-support course;35% relevant trauma/abuse symptoms,30% effective clinical gain probability,60% distinct mood/safety outside housing/CBT. Weak positive central despite null advocacy counterweight, acknowledging intensive successful cases; no homicide survival or outreach multiplier.","sensitivity":"Utility[-0.04,0.1], target[0,0.7], response[0,0.7], unique[0,1].","cost_basis_years":0.5},{"id":"behavioral","cost":6000,"external":500,"capacity":5,"target":0.4,"response":0.3,"unique_health":0,"utility":0.08,"years":0.5,"catchup":2,"mortality":0.03,"delay":0.1,"harm_q":0.0002,"basis":"One course rather than attendee visit;40% persistent depression,30% meaningful CBT-response/local delivery,60% distinct symptom-time. Mixed outpatient groups not BRIGHT's32hour residential protocol. Utility.08 separate judgment, no substance-use mortality added.","sensitivity":"Utility[-0.05,0.2], target[0,0.8], response[0,0.7], H[0,1].","cost_basis_years":0.5},{"id":"infection_linkage","cost":300,"external":0,"capacity":20,"target":0.06,"response":0.05,"unique_health":0,"utility":0.03,"years":3,"catchup":0.5,"mortality":0.05,"delay":0.25,"harm_q":0.00001,"basis":"One unique testing/linkage episode;6% actionable RNA-positive untreated HCV,5% earlier effective cure difference vs existing public referral,60% distinct morbidity. No 44.2point colocated RCT transplant and no paused peer program. Three-year symptom benefit only with later-care catchup; no liver deaths or transmission added. Treatment resource charged separately per selected patient, not per all test.","sensitivity":"Actionable[0,.2], earlier cure difference[-.05,.2], utility[-.01,.08], H[0,5].","cost_basis_years":3},{"id":"wound_care","cost":600,"external":800,"capacity":10,"target":0.4,"response":0.5,"unique_health":0,"utility":0.06,"years":0.038356164383561646,"catchup":10,"mortality":0.04,"delay":0.02,"harm_q":0.00005,"basis":"One acute wound-care course with partner medical resources;40% clinically symptomatic wounds,50% earlier meaningful healing relative to accessible public care,70% distinct physical symptom-time. Utility.06 and14day window clinical judgment, not measured GLIDE trial; no unobserved admissions or sepsis mortality.","sensitivity":"Utility[-.03,.15], target[0,.8], response[0,.9], days[0,60] with duration-sensitive resources.","cost_basis_years":0.038356164383561646}],"unresolved":[{"id":"policy","gift_share":0.04,"reason":"No causally attributable policy probability, displaced public spending or recipient map; cannot claim coalition budget as QALYs.","required_stress":"Signed independently elicited total policy Q with geography; no generic residual expected mean."},{"id":"infection_prevention_and_hiv_sti","gift_share":null,"reason":"Safer-use prevention, HIV/STI treatment and secondary transmission plausibly material but no case/diagnosis mix. HCV subgroup alone is not complete infection effect.","required_stress":"Separate selected incidence/diagnosis/care-acceleration parameters and finite competing-risk benefit; do not duplicate HCV or MOUD people-years."},{"id":"vaccination_and_other_primary_care","gift_share":null,"reason":"Wound care is named selected branch; vaccination counts/disease risks and other completed care unavailable.","required_stress":"Disease-specific vaccine or acute-care priors after cost/coverage allocation; no automatic course Q."},{"id":"affiliate","gift_share":0.04,"reason":"Exact Foundation-to-affiliate marginal flow not identified. Church activities not automatically Foundation donation effects.","required_stress":"Recipient-specific financial mapping."}],"expectation":{"status":"Not yet specified","reason":"Do not use central scenario price as whole-organization expected-value headline. Explicit correlated scenario weights and unresolved material branches need review."},"sources":[{"id":"impact","url":"https://www.glide.org/wp-content/uploads/2026/01/GLIDE-Impact-Report-2024-2025.pdf","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"heat","url":"https://www.glide.org/heat/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"moud_mortality","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/29913516/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"moud_engagement","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/25919527/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"cbt","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/21646576/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"advocacy_positive","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/10028208/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"advocacy_counterweight","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/20682933/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"parenting","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/17350966/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"parenting_followup","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/33573694/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"meals","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/30421335/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"meals_counterweight","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/38147326/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"hcv","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/35285851/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"}],"hcv_external_treatment_cost":15000,"hcv_external_treatment_cost_basis":"Gross course drug/lab/prescribing resource prior per nominal actionable HCV patient, before donor additionality or health-success discount; separate from testing cost. This over-associates some unchanged baseline care and is not net induced cost. No charge only for successful 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specification and coverage-ledger asset; not independently accepted or publication ready","recipient":{"name":"Glide Foundation","ein":"94-1156481","boundary":"Ordinary unrestricted Foundation gift. 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Gift above cap still fully costed with capped output.","common_external_fraction":"0.2 [0,0.8] gross associated volunteer/common partner resources beyond branch-specific costs, not causal net cost or waived charges. Excludes clinical resources separately specified.","geography":"Bay0.99/SF0.95 priors, nested. No additional indirect Bay/SF benefit assigned; policy spillovers unresolved."},"allocation":{"rescue":0.1,"housing":0.1,"meals":0.22,"parenting":0.04,"childcare":0.06,"women":0.05,"moud":0.03,"behavioral":0.02,"infection_linkage":0.01,"wound_care":0.01,"policy":0.04,"common_operations":0.28,"property_affiliate":0.04},"allocation_basis":"Retains v1 top-level allocation priors; subdivides 7% other HEAT and 10% family. Entire gift costed; allocation does not cancel out of benefits. Not observed budget fractions. Service counts constrain plausibility, not QALYs.","survival":{"rescue_cost":500,"rescue_external":80,"rescue_capacity":100,"rescue_active_years":1,"moud_annual_foundation_cost":16000,"moud_annual_external_cost":6000,"moud_capacity":10,"moud_active_years":0.5,"moud_no_gift_treatment_share":0.5,"moud_effective_retention":0.5,"moud_observed_hr":0.63,"moud_causal_transfer":0.5,"baseline_all_cause_hazard":0.07,"rescue_hazard_reduction":0.0025,"rescue_moud_overlap":0.5,"utility":0.7,"horizon_years":10,"delay_years":0.25,"rescue_harm_q":0.0001,"moud_harm_q":0.0002},"survival_basis":{"costs":"Rescue nominal annual unique-person safer-use/rescue-support package, not price per dose. MOUD Foundation cost is annualized access/support cost prior, minimum one annual budget unit for setup; active durations above one year scale Foundation/external costs linearly. 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No child benefit in this row.","sensitivity":"Utility[-0.02,0.08], target[0,0.6], transfer[0,0.8], window[0,1].","cost_basis_years":0.5},{"id":"childcare","cost":13000,"external":600,"capacity":5,"target":0.2,"response":0.2,"unique_health":1,"utility":0.03,"years":0.5,"catchup":2,"mortality":0.002,"delay":0.1,"harm_q":0.0001,"basis":"One child with selected emotional/behavioral symptoms in meaningful socioemotional activity; not childcare economic value. Selected20%, effective-fidelity20% sharply below targeted12-week IY. 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Treatment resource charged separately per selected patient, not per all test.","sensitivity":"Actionable[0,.2], earlier cure difference[-.05,.2], utility[-.01,.08], H[0,5].","cost_basis_years":3},{"id":"wound_care","cost":600,"external":800,"capacity":10,"target":0.4,"response":0.5,"unique_health":0.7,"utility":0.06,"years":0.038356164383561646,"catchup":10,"mortality":0.04,"delay":0.02,"harm_q":0.00005,"basis":"One acute wound-care course with partner medical resources;40% clinically symptomatic wounds,50% earlier meaningful healing relative to accessible public care,70% distinct physical symptom-time. 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HCV subgroup alone is not complete infection effect.","required_stress":"Separate selected incidence/diagnosis/care-acceleration parameters and finite competing-risk benefit; do not duplicate HCV or MOUD people-years."},{"id":"vaccination_and_other_primary_care","gift_share":null,"reason":"Wound care is named selected branch; vaccination counts/disease risks and other completed care unavailable.","required_stress":"Disease-specific vaccine or acute-care priors after cost/coverage allocation; no automatic course Q."},{"id":"affiliate","gift_share":0.04,"reason":"Exact Foundation-to-affiliate marginal flow not identified. Church activities not automatically Foundation donation effects.","required_stress":"Recipient-specific financial mapping."}],"expectation":{"status":"Not yet specified","reason":"Do not use central scenario price as whole-organization expected-value headline. Explicit correlated scenario weights and unresolved material branches need review."},"sources":[{"id":"impact","url":"https://www.glide.org/wp-content/uploads/2026/01/GLIDE-Impact-Report-2024-2025.pdf","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"heat","url":"https://www.glide.org/heat/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"moud_mortality","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/29913516/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"moud_engagement","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/25919527/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"cbt","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/21646576/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"advocacy_positive","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/10028208/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"advocacy_counterweight","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/20682933/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"parenting","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/17350966/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"parenting_followup","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/33573694/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"meals","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/30421335/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"meals_counterweight","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/38147326/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"hcv","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/35285851/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"}],"hcv_external_treatment_cost":15000,"hcv_external_treatment_cost_basis":"Gross course drug/lab/prescribing resource prior per nominal actionable HCV patient, before donor additionality or health-success discount; separate from testing cost. This over-associates some unchanged baseline care and is not net induced cost. No charge only for successful 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specification and coverage-ledger asset; not independently accepted or publication ready","recipient":{"name":"Glide Foundation","ein":"94-1156481","boundary":"Ordinary unrestricted Foundation gift. 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Gift above cap still fully costed with capped output.","common_external_fraction":"0.2 [0,0.8] gross associated volunteer/common partner resources beyond branch-specific costs, not causal net cost or waived charges. Excludes clinical resources separately specified.","geography":"Bay0.99/SF0.95 priors, nested. No additional indirect Bay/SF benefit assigned; policy spillovers unresolved."},"allocation":{"rescue":0.1,"housing":0.1,"meals":0.22,"parenting":0.04,"childcare":0.06,"women":0.05,"moud":0.03,"behavioral":0.02,"infection_linkage":0.01,"wound_care":0.01,"policy":0.04,"common_operations":0.28,"property_affiliate":0.04},"allocation_basis":"Retains v1 top-level allocation priors; subdivides 7% other HEAT and 10% family. Entire gift costed; allocation does not cancel out of benefits. Not observed budget fractions. Service counts constrain plausibility, not QALYs.","survival":{"rescue_cost":500,"rescue_external":80,"rescue_capacity":100,"rescue_active_years":1,"moud_annual_foundation_cost":16000,"moud_annual_external_cost":6000,"moud_capacity":10,"moud_active_years":0.5,"moud_no_gift_treatment_share":0.5,"moud_effective_retention":0.5,"moud_observed_hr":0.63,"moud_causal_transfer":0.5,"baseline_all_cause_hazard":0.07,"rescue_hazard_reduction":0.0025,"rescue_moud_overlap":0.5,"utility":0.7,"horizon_years":10,"delay_years":0.25,"rescue_harm_q":0.0001,"moud_harm_q":0.0002},"survival_basis":{"costs":"Rescue nominal annual unique-person safer-use/rescue-support package, not price per dose. MOUD Foundation cost is annualized access/support cost prior, minimum one annual budget unit for setup; active durations above one year scale Foundation/external costs linearly. External cost includes medication, prescribing, labs and public clinical delivery. 3%*30.77m/56 enrollees≈16.5k is only a plausibility check, not audited program cost or evidence of additional patients.","counts":"Impact report says 56 people enrolled in MAT, not verified deduplicated longitudinal treatment records. No 56*survival multiplier. Per-gift capacity10 is a prior and must stress to zero.","baseline":"Both rescue and medication compare with same current-care hazard. Medication effect shrunk halfway from observed HR0.63 toward1; no-gift treatment share handles replacement of existing accessible medication, retention handles effective funded-course completion, funding additionality handles donor displacement. None is a second multiplication by trial ITT adherence.","survival":"Three exclusive cohorts rescue-only/MOUD-only/both. While active h=(base-rescueReduction)*(1-(1-HR)*transfer) for both; remove each factor when its active period ends. Equal baseline hazard after funded care preserves but does not create a survival gap, capped at15years. No separate opioid deaths added to all-cause."},"housing":{"cost":10000,"external":300,"cash_transfer":3045,"capacity":10,"no_gift_stability":0.8,"incremental_stability":0.056,"unique_health":0.8,"utility":0.1,"years":1,"catchup_hazard":0,"mortality":0.01,"delay":0.1,"harm_q":0.0001},"housing_basis":"10k complete access/stabilization episode is a new prior, not v1 transfer-oriented3077. Current965254/317≈3045 is transfer per reported person, not full cost. 10% consolidated scale/317≈9706 contextual only. Stability difference0.112*0.5 transfer from prior VA evidence, capped by current80% no-gift stability. 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No child benefit in this row.","sensitivity":"Utility[-0.02,0.08], target[0,0.6], transfer[0,0.8], window[0,1].","cost_basis_years":0.5},{"id":"childcare","cost":13000,"external":600,"capacity":5,"target":0.2,"response":0.2,"unique_health":1,"utility":0.03,"years":0.5,"catchup":2,"mortality":0.002,"delay":0.1,"harm_q":0.0001,"basis":"One child with selected emotional/behavioral symptoms in meaningful socioemotional activity; not childcare economic value. Selected20%, effective-fidelity20% sharply below targeted12-week IY. Clinical utility and benefit probability weak priors; no parent spillover or lifetime conduct/crime/earnings.","sensitivity":"Utility[-0.02,0.06], target[0,0.5], delivery[0,0.6], H[0,1].","cost_basis_years":0.5},{"id":"women","cost":4000,"external":1000,"capacity":10,"target":0.35,"response":0.3,"unique_health":0.6,"utility":0.04,"years":0.5,"catchup":2,"mortality":0.02,"delay":0.05,"harm_q":0.0002,"basis":"One selected crisis/safety-support course;35% relevant trauma/abuse symptoms,30% effective clinical gain probability,60% distinct mood/safety outside housing/CBT. Weak positive central despite null advocacy counterweight, acknowledging intensive successful cases; no homicide survival or outreach multiplier.","sensitivity":"Utility[-0.04,0.1], target[0,0.7], response[0,0.7], unique[0,1].","cost_basis_years":0.5},{"id":"behavioral","cost":6000,"external":500,"capacity":5,"target":0.4,"response":0.3,"unique_health":0.6,"utility":0.08,"years":0.5,"catchup":2,"mortality":0.03,"delay":0.1,"harm_q":0.0002,"basis":"One course rather than attendee visit;40% persistent depression,30% meaningful CBT-response/local delivery,60% distinct symptom-time. Mixed outpatient groups not BRIGHT's32hour residential protocol. Utility.08 separate judgment, no substance-use mortality added.","sensitivity":"Utility[-0.05,0.2], target[0,0.8], response[0,0.7], H[0,1].","cost_basis_years":0.5},{"id":"infection_linkage","cost":300,"external":0,"capacity":20,"target":0.06,"response":0.05,"unique_health":0.6,"utility":0.03,"years":3,"catchup":0.5,"mortality":0.05,"delay":0.25,"harm_q":0.00001,"basis":"One unique testing/linkage episode;6% actionable RNA-positive untreated HCV,5% earlier effective cure difference vs existing public referral,60% distinct morbidity. No 44.2point colocated RCT transplant and no paused peer program. Three-year symptom benefit only with later-care catchup; no liver deaths or transmission added. Treatment resource charged separately per selected patient, not per all test.","sensitivity":"Actionable[0,.2], earlier cure difference[-.05,.2], utility[-.01,.08], H[0,5].","cost_basis_years":3},{"id":"wound_care","cost":600,"external":800,"capacity":10,"target":0.4,"response":0.5,"unique_health":0.7,"utility":0.06,"years":0.038356164383561646,"catchup":10,"mortality":0.04,"delay":0.02,"harm_q":0.00005,"basis":"One acute wound-care course with partner medical resources;40% clinically symptomatic wounds,50% earlier meaningful healing relative to accessible public care,70% distinct physical symptom-time. 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HCV subgroup alone is not complete infection effect.","required_stress":"Separate selected incidence/diagnosis/care-acceleration parameters and finite competing-risk benefit; do not duplicate HCV or MOUD people-years."},{"id":"vaccination_and_other_primary_care","gift_share":null,"reason":"Wound care is named selected branch; vaccination counts/disease risks and other completed care unavailable.","required_stress":"Disease-specific vaccine or acute-care priors after cost/coverage allocation; no automatic course Q."},{"id":"affiliate","gift_share":0.04,"reason":"Exact Foundation-to-affiliate marginal flow not identified. Church activities not automatically Foundation donation effects.","required_stress":"Recipient-specific financial mapping."}],"expectation":{"status":"Not yet specified","reason":"Do not use central scenario price as whole-organization expected-value headline. Explicit correlated scenario weights and unresolved material branches need review."},"sources":[{"id":"impact","url":"https://www.glide.org/wp-content/uploads/2026/01/GLIDE-Impact-Report-2024-2025.pdf","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"heat","url":"https://www.glide.org/heat/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"moud_mortality","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/29913516/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"moud_engagement","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/25919527/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"cbt","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/21646576/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"advocacy_positive","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/10028208/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"advocacy_counterweight","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/20682933/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"parenting","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/17350966/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"parenting_followup","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/33573694/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"meals","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/30421335/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"meals_counterweight","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/38147326/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"hcv","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/35285851/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"}],"hcv_external_treatment_cost":15000,"hcv_external_treatment_cost_basis":"Gross course drug/lab/prescribing resource prior per nominal actionable HCV patient, before donor additionality or health-success discount; separate from testing cost. This over-associates some unchanged baseline care and is not net induced cost. No charge only for successful 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specification and coverage-ledger asset; not independently accepted or publication ready","recipient":{"name":"Glide Foundation","ein":"94-1156481","boundary":"Ordinary unrestricted Foundation gift. Consolidated financial context includes Church/property affiliates; no separate Church gift or presumed clinical effect."},"finance":{"year":2025,"consolidated_expenses":30766602,"program":18342460,"church":1922106,"administration":7766659,"development":2735377,"cash":5908995,"source":"https://www.glide.org/wp-content/uploads/2026/03/GLIDE-Foundation-2024-25-SA-FS-Final.pdf","basis":"Final audit, not impact report's pending-audit numbers. Cash is historical, not current spare funding."},"shared":{"gift":100000,"discount":0.03,"bay":0.99,"sf":0.95,"funding_additionality":0.25,"capacity_gift":100000,"common_external_fraction":0.2,"independent_harm_q":0},"shared_basis":{"funding_additionality":"Prior 0.4 [0,0.8]: current public grants, other donors and fixed capacity remain in no-gift world. Not estimated from contributions ratio.","capacity_gift":"100k scenario scale and assumed maximum absorbable tranche, NOT observed room; unknown room must be visible. Gift above cap still fully costed with capped output.","common_external_fraction":"0.2 [0,0.8] gross associated volunteer/common partner resources beyond branch-specific costs, not causal net cost or waived charges. Excludes clinical resources separately specified.","geography":"Bay0.99/SF0.95 priors, nested. No additional indirect Bay/SF benefit assigned; policy spillovers unresolved."},"allocation":{"rescue":0.1,"housing":0.1,"meals":0.22,"parenting":0.04,"childcare":0.06,"women":0.05,"moud":0.03,"behavioral":0.02,"infection_linkage":0.01,"wound_care":0.01,"policy":0.04,"common_operations":0.28,"property_affiliate":0.04},"allocation_basis":"Retains v1 top-level allocation priors; subdivides 7% other HEAT and 10% family. Entire gift costed; allocation does not cancel out of benefits. Not observed budget fractions. Service counts constrain plausibility, not QALYs.","survival":{"rescue_cost":500,"rescue_external":80,"rescue_capacity":100,"rescue_active_years":1,"moud_annual_foundation_cost":16000,"moud_annual_external_cost":6000,"moud_capacity":10,"moud_active_years":0.5,"moud_no_gift_treatment_share":0.5,"moud_effective_retention":0.5,"moud_observed_hr":0.63,"moud_causal_transfer":0.5,"baseline_all_cause_hazard":0.07,"rescue_hazard_reduction":0.0025,"rescue_moud_overlap":0.5,"utility":0.7,"horizon_years":10,"delay_years":0.25,"rescue_harm_q":0.0001,"moud_harm_q":0.0002},"survival_basis":{"costs":"Rescue nominal annual unique-person safer-use/rescue-support package, not price per dose. MOUD Foundation cost is annualized access/support cost prior, minimum one annual budget unit for setup; active durations above one year scale Foundation/external costs linearly. External cost includes medication, prescribing, labs and public clinical delivery. 3%*30.77m/56 enrollees≈16.5k is only a plausibility check, not audited program cost or evidence of additional patients.","counts":"Impact report says 56 people enrolled in MAT, not verified deduplicated longitudinal treatment records. No 56*survival multiplier. Per-gift capacity10 is a prior and must stress to zero.","baseline":"Both rescue and medication compare with same current-care hazard. Medication effect shrunk halfway from observed HR0.63 toward1; no-gift treatment share handles replacement of existing accessible medication, retention handles effective funded-course completion, funding additionality handles donor displacement. None is a second multiplication by trial ITT adherence.","survival":"Three exclusive cohorts rescue-only/MOUD-only/both. While active h=(base-rescueReduction)*(1-(1-HR)*transfer) for both; remove each factor when its active period ends. Equal baseline hazard after funded care preserves but does not create a survival gap, capped at15years. No separate opioid deaths added to all-cause."},"housing":{"cost":10000,"external":300,"cash_transfer":3045,"capacity":10,"no_gift_stability":0.8,"incremental_stability":0.056,"unique_health":0.8,"utility":0.1,"years":1,"catchup_hazard":0,"mortality":0.01,"delay":0.1,"harm_q":0.0001},"housing_basis":"10k complete access/stabilization episode is a new prior, not v1 transfer-oriented3077. Current965254/317≈3045 is transfer per reported person, not full cost. 10% consolidated scale/317≈9706 contextual only. Stability difference0.112*0.5 transfer from prior VA evidence, capped by current80% no-gift stability. 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Cost plausibility22%*30.77m/620513≈10.9/meal, not observed marginal price.","sensitivity":"0.015 utility [-0.01,0.05]; selected share [0,0.5]; course30days [7,90] with proportional meal costs.","cost_basis_years":0.0821917808219178},{"id":"parenting","cost":4500,"external":300,"capacity":10,"target":0.3,"response":0.35,"unique_health":0.7,"utility":0.03,"years":0.5,"catchup":2,"mortality":0.01,"delay":0.1,"harm_q":0.0001,"basis":"One caregiver per meaningful class/support course; distressed share30%, trial-to-GLIDE delivery35%, unique mood/safety70%. Utility.03 and half-year window are weak priors; not trial-derived QALYs; catchup2/year. No child benefit in this row.","sensitivity":"Utility[-0.02,0.08], target[0,0.6], transfer[0,0.8], window[0,1].","cost_basis_years":0.5},{"id":"childcare","cost":13000,"external":600,"capacity":5,"target":0.2,"response":0.2,"unique_health":1,"utility":0.03,"years":0.5,"catchup":2,"mortality":0.002,"delay":0.1,"harm_q":0.0001,"basis":"One child with selected emotional/behavioral symptoms in meaningful socioemotional activity; not childcare economic value. Selected20%, effective-fidelity20% sharply below targeted12-week IY. Clinical utility and benefit probability weak priors; no parent spillover or lifetime conduct/crime/earnings.","sensitivity":"Utility[-0.02,0.06], target[0,0.5], delivery[0,0.6], H[0,1].","cost_basis_years":0.5},{"id":"women","cost":4000,"external":1000,"capacity":10,"target":0.35,"response":0.3,"unique_health":0.6,"utility":0.04,"years":0.5,"catchup":2,"mortality":0.02,"delay":0.05,"harm_q":0.0002,"basis":"One selected crisis/safety-support course;35% relevant trauma/abuse symptoms,30% effective clinical gain probability,60% distinct mood/safety outside housing/CBT. Weak positive central despite null advocacy counterweight, acknowledging intensive successful cases; no homicide survival or outreach multiplier.","sensitivity":"Utility[-0.04,0.1], target[0,0.7], response[0,0.7], unique[0,1].","cost_basis_years":0.5},{"id":"behavioral","cost":6000,"external":500,"capacity":5,"target":0.4,"response":0.3,"unique_health":0.6,"utility":0.08,"years":0.5,"catchup":2,"mortality":0.03,"delay":0.1,"harm_q":0.0002,"basis":"One course rather than attendee visit;40% persistent depression,30% meaningful CBT-response/local delivery,60% distinct symptom-time. Mixed outpatient groups not BRIGHT's32hour residential protocol. Utility.08 separate judgment, no substance-use mortality added.","sensitivity":"Utility[-0.05,0.2], target[0,0.8], response[0,0.7], H[0,1].","cost_basis_years":0.5},{"id":"infection_linkage","cost":300,"external":0,"capacity":20,"target":0.06,"response":0.05,"unique_health":0.6,"utility":0.03,"years":3,"catchup":0.5,"mortality":0.05,"delay":0.25,"harm_q":0.00001,"basis":"One unique testing/linkage episode;6% actionable RNA-positive untreated HCV,5% earlier effective cure difference vs existing public referral,60% distinct morbidity. No 44.2point colocated RCT transplant and no paused peer program. Three-year symptom benefit only with later-care catchup; no liver deaths or transmission added. Treatment resource charged separately per selected patient, not per all test.","sensitivity":"Actionable[0,.2], earlier cure difference[-.05,.2], utility[-.01,.08], H[0,5].","cost_basis_years":3},{"id":"wound_care","cost":600,"external":800,"capacity":10,"target":0.4,"response":0.5,"unique_health":0.7,"utility":0.06,"years":0.038356164383561646,"catchup":10,"mortality":0.04,"delay":0.02,"harm_q":0.00005,"basis":"One acute wound-care course with partner medical resources;40% clinically symptomatic wounds,50% earlier meaningful healing relative to accessible public care,70% distinct physical symptom-time. Utility.06 and14day window clinical judgment, not measured GLIDE trial; no unobserved admissions or sepsis mortality.","sensitivity":"Utility[-.03,.15], target[0,.8], response[0,.9], days[0,60] with duration-sensitive resources.","cost_basis_years":0.038356164383561646}],"unresolved":[{"id":"policy","gift_share":0.04,"reason":"No causally attributable policy probability, displaced public spending or recipient map; cannot claim coalition budget as QALYs.","required_stress":"Signed independently elicited total policy Q with geography; no generic residual expected mean."},{"id":"infection_prevention_and_hiv_sti","gift_share":null,"reason":"Safer-use prevention, HIV/STI treatment and secondary transmission plausibly material but no case/diagnosis mix. HCV subgroup alone is not complete infection effect.","required_stress":"Separate selected incidence/diagnosis/care-acceleration parameters and finite competing-risk benefit; do not duplicate HCV or MOUD people-years."},{"id":"vaccination_and_other_primary_care","gift_share":null,"reason":"Wound care is named selected branch; vaccination counts/disease risks and other completed care unavailable.","required_stress":"Disease-specific vaccine or acute-care priors after cost/coverage allocation; no automatic course Q."},{"id":"affiliate","gift_share":0.04,"reason":"Exact Foundation-to-affiliate marginal flow not identified. Church activities not automatically Foundation donation effects.","required_stress":"Recipient-specific financial mapping."}],"expectation":{"status":"Not yet specified","reason":"Do not use central scenario price as whole-organization expected-value headline. Explicit correlated scenario weights and unresolved material branches need review."},"sources":[{"id":"impact","url":"https://www.glide.org/wp-content/uploads/2026/01/GLIDE-Impact-Report-2024-2025.pdf","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"heat","url":"https://www.glide.org/heat/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"moud_mortality","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/29913516/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"moud_engagement","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/25919527/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"cbt","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/21646576/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"advocacy_positive","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/10028208/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"advocacy_counterweight","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/20682933/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"parenting","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/17350966/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"parenting_followup","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/33573694/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"meals","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/30421335/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"meals_counterweight","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/38147326/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"hcv","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/35285851/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"}],"hcv_external_treatment_cost":15000,"hcv_external_treatment_cost_basis":"Gross course drug/lab/prescribing resource prior per nominal actionable HCV patient, before donor additionality or health-success discount; separate from testing cost. This over-associates some unchanged baseline care and is not net induced cost. No charge only for successful 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specification and coverage-ledger asset; not independently accepted or publication ready","recipient":{"name":"Glide Foundation","ein":"94-1156481","boundary":"Ordinary unrestricted Foundation gift. 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No child benefit in this row.","sensitivity":"Utility[-0.02,0.08], target[0,0.6], transfer[0,0.8], window[0,1].","cost_basis_years":0.5},{"id":"childcare","cost":13000,"external":600,"capacity":5,"target":0.2,"response":0.2,"unique_health":1,"utility":0.03,"years":0.5,"catchup":2,"mortality":0.002,"delay":0.1,"harm_q":0.0001,"basis":"One child with selected emotional/behavioral symptoms in meaningful socioemotional activity; not childcare economic value. Selected20%, effective-fidelity20% sharply below targeted12-week IY. 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Treatment resource charged separately per selected patient, not per all test.","sensitivity":"Actionable[0,.2], earlier cure difference[-.05,.2], utility[-.01,.08], H[0,5].","cost_basis_years":3},{"id":"wound_care","cost":600,"external":800,"capacity":10,"target":0.4,"response":0.5,"unique_health":0.7,"utility":0.06,"years":0.038356164383561646,"catchup":10,"mortality":0.04,"delay":0.02,"harm_q":0.00005,"basis":"One acute wound-care course with partner medical resources;40% clinically symptomatic wounds,50% earlier meaningful healing relative to accessible public care,70% distinct physical symptom-time. 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HCV subgroup alone is not complete infection effect.","required_stress":"Separate selected incidence/diagnosis/care-acceleration parameters and finite competing-risk benefit; do not duplicate HCV or MOUD people-years."},{"id":"vaccination_and_other_primary_care","gift_share":null,"reason":"Wound care is named selected branch; vaccination counts/disease risks and other completed care unavailable.","required_stress":"Disease-specific vaccine or acute-care priors after cost/coverage allocation; no automatic course Q."},{"id":"affiliate","gift_share":0.04,"reason":"Exact Foundation-to-affiliate marginal flow not identified. Church activities not automatically Foundation donation effects.","required_stress":"Recipient-specific financial mapping."}],"expectation":{"status":"Not yet specified","reason":"Do not use central scenario price as whole-organization expected-value headline. Explicit correlated scenario weights and unresolved material branches need review."},"sources":[{"id":"impact","url":"https://www.glide.org/wp-content/uploads/2026/01/GLIDE-Impact-Report-2024-2025.pdf","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"heat","url":"https://www.glide.org/heat/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"moud_mortality","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/29913516/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"moud_engagement","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/25919527/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"cbt","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/21646576/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"advocacy_positive","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/10028208/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"advocacy_counterweight","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/20682933/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"parenting","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/17350966/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"parenting_followup","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/33573694/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"meals","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/30421335/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"meals_counterweight","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/38147326/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"hcv","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/35285851/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"}],"hcv_external_treatment_cost":15000,"hcv_external_treatment_cost_basis":"Gross course drug/lab/prescribing resource prior per nominal actionable HCV patient, before donor additionality or health-success discount; separate from testing cost. This over-associates some unchanged baseline care and is not net induced cost. No charge only for successful 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Service counts constrain plausibility, not QALYs.","survival":{"rescue_cost":500,"rescue_external":80,"rescue_capacity":100,"rescue_active_years":1,"moud_annual_foundation_cost":16000,"moud_annual_external_cost":6000,"moud_capacity":10,"moud_active_years":0.5,"moud_no_gift_treatment_share":0.5,"moud_effective_retention":0.5,"moud_observed_hr":0.63,"moud_causal_transfer":0.5,"baseline_all_cause_hazard":0.07,"rescue_hazard_reduction":0.0025,"rescue_moud_overlap":0.5,"utility":0.7,"horizon_years":10,"delay_years":0.25,"rescue_harm_q":0.0001,"moud_harm_q":0.0002},"survival_basis":{"costs":"Rescue nominal annual unique-person safer-use/rescue-support package, not price per dose. MOUD Foundation cost is annualized access/support cost prior, minimum one annual budget unit for setup; active durations above one year scale Foundation/external costs linearly. 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Treatment resource charged separately per selected patient, not per all test.","sensitivity":"Actionable[0,.2], earlier cure difference[-.05,.2], utility[-.01,.08], H[0,5].","cost_basis_years":3},{"id":"wound_care","cost":600,"external":800,"capacity":10,"target":0.4,"response":0.5,"unique_health":0.7,"utility":0.06,"years":0.038356164383561646,"catchup":10,"mortality":0.04,"delay":0.02,"harm_q":0.00005,"basis":"One acute wound-care course with partner medical resources;40% clinically symptomatic wounds,50% earlier meaningful healing relative to accessible public care,70% distinct physical symptom-time. 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HCV subgroup alone is not complete infection effect.","required_stress":"Separate selected incidence/diagnosis/care-acceleration parameters and finite competing-risk benefit; do not duplicate HCV or MOUD people-years."},{"id":"vaccination_and_other_primary_care","gift_share":null,"reason":"Wound care is named selected branch; vaccination counts/disease risks and other completed care unavailable.","required_stress":"Disease-specific vaccine or acute-care priors after cost/coverage allocation; no automatic course Q."},{"id":"affiliate","gift_share":0.04,"reason":"Exact Foundation-to-affiliate marginal flow not identified. Church activities not automatically Foundation donation effects.","required_stress":"Recipient-specific financial mapping."}],"expectation":{"status":"Not yet specified","reason":"Do not use central scenario price as whole-organization expected-value headline. Explicit correlated scenario weights and unresolved material branches need review."},"sources":[{"id":"impact","url":"https://www.glide.org/wp-content/uploads/2026/01/GLIDE-Impact-Report-2024-2025.pdf","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"heat","url":"https://www.glide.org/heat/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"moud_mortality","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/29913516/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"moud_engagement","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/25919527/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"cbt","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/21646576/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"advocacy_positive","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/10028208/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"advocacy_counterweight","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/20682933/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"parenting","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/17350966/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"parenting_followup","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/33573694/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"meals","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/30421335/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"meals_counterweight","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/38147326/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"hcv","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/35285851/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"}],"hcv_external_treatment_cost":15000,"hcv_external_treatment_cost_basis":"Gross course drug/lab/prescribing resource prior per nominal actionable HCV patient, before donor additionality or health-success discount; separate from testing cost. This over-associates some unchanged baseline care and is not net induced cost. No charge only for successful 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Service counts constrain plausibility, not QALYs.","survival":{"rescue_cost":500,"rescue_external":80,"rescue_capacity":100,"rescue_active_years":1,"moud_annual_foundation_cost":16000,"moud_annual_external_cost":6000,"moud_capacity":10,"moud_active_years":0.5,"moud_no_gift_treatment_share":0.5,"moud_effective_retention":0.5,"moud_observed_hr":0.63,"moud_causal_transfer":0.5,"baseline_all_cause_hazard":0.07,"rescue_hazard_reduction":0.0025,"rescue_moud_overlap":0.5,"utility":0.7,"horizon_years":10,"delay_years":0.25,"rescue_harm_q":0.0001,"moud_harm_q":0.0002},"survival_basis":{"costs":"Rescue nominal annual unique-person safer-use/rescue-support package, not price per dose. MOUD Foundation cost is annualized access/support cost prior, minimum one annual budget unit for setup; active durations above one year scale Foundation/external costs linearly. 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Weak positive central despite null advocacy counterweight, acknowledging intensive successful cases; no homicide survival or outreach multiplier.","sensitivity":"Utility[-0.04,0.1], target[0,0.7], response[0,0.7], unique[0,1].","cost_basis_years":0.5},{"id":"behavioral","cost":6000,"external":500,"capacity":5,"target":0.4,"response":0.3,"unique_health":0.6,"utility":0.08,"years":0.5,"catchup":2,"mortality":0.03,"delay":0.1,"harm_q":0.0002,"basis":"One course rather than attendee visit;40% persistent depression,30% meaningful CBT-response/local delivery,60% distinct symptom-time. Mixed outpatient groups not BRIGHT's32hour residential protocol. 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Treatment resource charged separately per selected patient, not per all test.","sensitivity":"Actionable[0,.2], earlier cure difference[-.05,.2], utility[-.01,.08], H[0,5].","cost_basis_years":3},{"id":"wound_care","cost":600,"external":800,"capacity":10,"target":0.4,"response":0.5,"unique_health":0.7,"utility":0.06,"years":0.038356164383561646,"catchup":10,"mortality":0.04,"delay":0.02,"harm_q":0.00005,"basis":"One acute wound-care course with partner medical resources;40% clinically symptomatic wounds,50% earlier meaningful healing relative to accessible public care,70% distinct physical symptom-time. 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HCV subgroup alone is not complete infection effect.","required_stress":"Separate selected incidence/diagnosis/care-acceleration parameters and finite competing-risk benefit; do not duplicate HCV or MOUD people-years."},{"id":"vaccination_and_other_primary_care","gift_share":null,"reason":"Wound care is named selected branch; vaccination counts/disease risks and other completed care unavailable.","required_stress":"Disease-specific vaccine or acute-care priors after cost/coverage allocation; no automatic course Q."},{"id":"affiliate","gift_share":0.04,"reason":"Exact Foundation-to-affiliate marginal flow not identified. Church activities not automatically Foundation donation effects.","required_stress":"Recipient-specific financial mapping."}],"expectation":{"status":"Not yet specified","reason":"Do not use central scenario price as whole-organization expected-value headline. Explicit correlated scenario weights and unresolved material branches need review."},"sources":[{"id":"impact","url":"https://www.glide.org/wp-content/uploads/2026/01/GLIDE-Impact-Report-2024-2025.pdf","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"heat","url":"https://www.glide.org/heat/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"moud_mortality","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/29913516/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"moud_engagement","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/25919527/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"cbt","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/21646576/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"advocacy_positive","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/10028208/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"advocacy_counterweight","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/20682933/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"parenting","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/17350966/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"parenting_followup","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/33573694/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"meals","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/30421335/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"meals_counterweight","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/38147326/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"hcv","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/35285851/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"}],"hcv_external_treatment_cost":15000,"hcv_external_treatment_cost_basis":"Gross course drug/lab/prescribing resource prior per nominal actionable HCV patient, before donor additionality or health-success discount; separate from testing cost. This over-associates some unchanged baseline care and is not net induced cost. No charge only for successful 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specification and coverage-ledger asset; not independently accepted or publication ready","recipient":{"name":"Glide Foundation","ein":"94-1156481","boundary":"Ordinary unrestricted Foundation gift. 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Gift above cap still fully costed with capped output.","common_external_fraction":"0.2 [0,0.8] gross associated volunteer/common partner resources beyond branch-specific costs, not causal net cost or waived charges. Excludes clinical resources separately specified.","geography":"Bay0.99/SF0.95 priors, nested. No additional indirect Bay/SF benefit assigned; policy spillovers unresolved."},"allocation":{"rescue":0.1,"housing":0.1,"meals":0.22,"parenting":0.04,"childcare":0.06,"women":0.05,"moud":0.03,"behavioral":0.02,"infection_linkage":0.01,"wound_care":0.01,"policy":0.04,"common_operations":0.28,"property_affiliate":0.04},"allocation_basis":"Retains v1 top-level allocation priors; subdivides 7% other HEAT and 10% family. Entire gift costed; allocation does not cancel out of benefits. Not observed budget fractions. 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Weak positive central despite null advocacy counterweight, acknowledging intensive successful cases; no homicide survival or outreach multiplier.","sensitivity":"Utility[-0.04,0.1], target[0,0.7], response[0,0.7], unique[0,1].","cost_basis_years":0.5},{"id":"behavioral","cost":6000,"external":500,"capacity":5,"target":0.4,"response":0.3,"unique_health":0.6,"utility":0.08,"years":0.5,"catchup":2,"mortality":0.03,"delay":0.1,"harm_q":0.0002,"basis":"One course rather than attendee visit;40% persistent depression,30% meaningful CBT-response/local delivery,60% distinct symptom-time. Mixed outpatient groups not BRIGHT's32hour residential protocol. 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Treatment resource charged separately per selected patient, not per all test.","sensitivity":"Actionable[0,.2], earlier cure difference[-.05,.2], utility[-.01,.08], H[0,5].","cost_basis_years":3},{"id":"wound_care","cost":600,"external":800,"capacity":10,"target":0.4,"response":0.5,"unique_health":0.7,"utility":0.06,"years":0.038356164383561646,"catchup":10,"mortality":0.04,"delay":0.02,"harm_q":0.00005,"basis":"One acute wound-care course with partner medical resources;40% clinically symptomatic wounds,50% earlier meaningful healing relative to accessible public care,70% distinct physical symptom-time. 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HCV subgroup alone is not complete infection effect.","required_stress":"Separate selected incidence/diagnosis/care-acceleration parameters and finite competing-risk benefit; do not duplicate HCV or MOUD people-years."},{"id":"vaccination_and_other_primary_care","gift_share":null,"reason":"Wound care is named selected branch; vaccination counts/disease risks and other completed care unavailable.","required_stress":"Disease-specific vaccine or acute-care priors after cost/coverage allocation; no automatic course Q."},{"id":"affiliate","gift_share":0.04,"reason":"Exact Foundation-to-affiliate marginal flow not identified. Church activities not automatically Foundation donation effects.","required_stress":"Recipient-specific financial mapping."}],"expectation":{"status":"Not yet specified","reason":"Do not use central scenario price as whole-organization expected-value headline. Explicit correlated scenario weights and unresolved material branches need review."},"sources":[{"id":"impact","url":"https://www.glide.org/wp-content/uploads/2026/01/GLIDE-Impact-Report-2024-2025.pdf","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"heat","url":"https://www.glide.org/heat/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"moud_mortality","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/29913516/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"moud_engagement","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/25919527/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"cbt","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/21646576/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"advocacy_positive","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/10028208/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"advocacy_counterweight","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/20682933/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"parenting","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/17350966/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"parenting_followup","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/33573694/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"meals","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/30421335/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"meals_counterweight","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/38147326/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"hcv","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/35285851/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"}],"hcv_external_treatment_cost":15000,"hcv_external_treatment_cost_basis":"Gross course drug/lab/prescribing resource prior per nominal actionable HCV patient, before donor additionality or health-success discount; separate from testing cost. This over-associates some unchanged baseline care and is not net induced cost. No charge only for successful 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specification and coverage-ledger asset; not independently accepted or publication ready","recipient":{"name":"Glide Foundation","ein":"94-1156481","boundary":"Ordinary unrestricted Foundation gift. 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Gift above cap still fully costed with capped output.","common_external_fraction":"0.2 [0,0.8] gross associated volunteer/common partner resources beyond branch-specific costs, not causal net cost or waived charges. Excludes clinical resources separately specified.","geography":"Bay0.99/SF0.95 priors, nested. No additional indirect Bay/SF benefit assigned; policy spillovers unresolved."},"allocation":{"rescue":0.1,"housing":0.1,"meals":0.22,"parenting":0.04,"childcare":0.06,"women":0.05,"moud":0.03,"behavioral":0.02,"infection_linkage":0.01,"wound_care":0.01,"policy":0.04,"common_operations":0.28,"property_affiliate":0.04},"allocation_basis":"Retains v1 top-level allocation priors; subdivides 7% other HEAT and 10% family. Entire gift costed; allocation does not cancel out of benefits. Not observed budget fractions. Service counts constrain plausibility, not QALYs.","survival":{"rescue_cost":500,"rescue_external":80,"rescue_capacity":100,"rescue_active_years":1,"moud_annual_foundation_cost":16000,"moud_annual_external_cost":6000,"moud_capacity":10,"moud_active_years":0.5,"moud_no_gift_treatment_share":0.5,"moud_effective_retention":0.5,"moud_observed_hr":0.63,"moud_causal_transfer":0.5,"baseline_all_cause_hazard":0.07,"rescue_hazard_reduction":0.0025,"rescue_moud_overlap":0.5,"utility":0.7,"horizon_years":10,"delay_years":0.25,"rescue_harm_q":0.0001,"moud_harm_q":0.0002},"survival_basis":{"costs":"Rescue nominal annual unique-person safer-use/rescue-support package, not price per dose. MOUD Foundation cost is annualized access/support cost prior, minimum one annual budget unit for setup; active durations above one year scale Foundation/external costs linearly. External cost includes medication, prescribing, labs and public clinical delivery. 3%*30.77m/56 enrollees≈16.5k is only a plausibility check, not audited program cost or evidence of additional patients.","counts":"Impact report says 56 people enrolled in MAT, not verified deduplicated longitudinal treatment records. No 56*survival multiplier. Per-gift capacity10 is a prior and must stress to zero.","baseline":"Both rescue and medication compare with same current-care hazard. Medication effect shrunk halfway from observed HR0.63 toward1; no-gift treatment share handles replacement of existing accessible medication, retention handles effective funded-course completion, funding additionality handles donor displacement. None is a second multiplication by trial ITT adherence.","survival":"Three exclusive cohorts rescue-only/MOUD-only/both. While active h=(base-rescueReduction)*(1-(1-HR)*transfer) for both; remove each factor when its active period ends. Equal baseline hazard after funded care preserves but does not create a survival gap, capped at15years. No separate opioid deaths added to all-cause."},"housing":{"cost":10000,"external":300,"cash_transfer":3045,"capacity":10,"no_gift_stability":0.8,"incremental_stability":0.056,"unique_health":0.8,"utility":0.1,"years":1,"catchup_hazard":0,"mortality":0.01,"delay":0.1,"harm_q":0.0001},"housing_basis":"10k complete access/stabilization episode is a new prior, not v1 transfer-oriented3077. Current965254/317≈3045 is transfer per reported person, not full cost. 10% consolidated scale/317≈9706 contextual only. Stability difference0.112*0.5 transfer from prior VA evidence, capped by current80% no-gift stability. 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Cost plausibility22%*30.77m/620513≈10.9/meal, not observed marginal price.","sensitivity":"0.015 utility [-0.01,0.05]; selected share [0,0.5]; course30days [7,90] with proportional meal costs.","cost_basis_years":0.0821917808219178},{"id":"parenting","cost":4500,"external":300,"capacity":10,"target":0.3,"response":0.35,"unique_health":0.7,"utility":0.03,"years":0.5,"catchup":2,"mortality":0.01,"delay":0.1,"harm_q":0.0001,"basis":"One caregiver per meaningful class/support course; distressed share30%, trial-to-GLIDE delivery35%, unique mood/safety70%. Utility.03 and half-year window are weak priors; not trial-derived QALYs; catchup2/year. No child benefit in this row.","sensitivity":"Utility[-0.02,0.08], target[0,0.6], transfer[0,0.8], window[0,1].","cost_basis_years":0.5},{"id":"childcare","cost":13000,"external":600,"capacity":5,"target":0.2,"response":0.2,"unique_health":1,"utility":0.03,"years":0.5,"catchup":2,"mortality":0.002,"delay":0.1,"harm_q":0.0001,"basis":"One child with selected emotional/behavioral symptoms in meaningful socioemotional activity; not childcare economic value. Selected20%, effective-fidelity20% sharply below targeted12-week IY. Clinical utility and benefit probability weak priors; no parent spillover or lifetime conduct/crime/earnings.","sensitivity":"Utility[-0.02,0.06], target[0,0.5], delivery[0,0.6], H[0,1].","cost_basis_years":0.5},{"id":"women","cost":4000,"external":1000,"capacity":10,"target":0.35,"response":0.3,"unique_health":0.6,"utility":0.04,"years":0.5,"catchup":2,"mortality":0.02,"delay":0.05,"harm_q":0.0002,"basis":"One selected crisis/safety-support course;35% relevant trauma/abuse symptoms,30% effective clinical gain probability,60% distinct mood/safety outside housing/CBT. Weak positive central despite null advocacy counterweight, acknowledging intensive successful cases; no homicide survival or outreach multiplier.","sensitivity":"Utility[-0.04,0.1], target[0,0.7], response[0,0.7], unique[0,1].","cost_basis_years":0.5},{"id":"behavioral","cost":6000,"external":500,"capacity":5,"target":0.4,"response":0.3,"unique_health":0.6,"utility":0.08,"years":0.5,"catchup":2,"mortality":0.03,"delay":0.1,"harm_q":0.0002,"basis":"One course rather than attendee visit;40% persistent depression,30% meaningful CBT-response/local delivery,60% distinct symptom-time. Mixed outpatient groups not BRIGHT's32hour residential protocol. Utility.08 separate judgment, no substance-use mortality added.","sensitivity":"Utility[-0.05,0.2], target[0,0.8], response[0,0.7], H[0,1].","cost_basis_years":0.5},{"id":"infection_linkage","cost":300,"external":0,"capacity":20,"target":0.06,"response":0.05,"unique_health":0.6,"utility":0.03,"years":3,"catchup":0.5,"mortality":0.05,"delay":0.25,"harm_q":0.00001,"basis":"One unique testing/linkage episode;6% actionable RNA-positive untreated HCV,5% earlier effective cure difference vs existing public referral,60% distinct morbidity. No 44.2point colocated RCT transplant and no paused peer program. Three-year symptom benefit only with later-care catchup; no liver deaths or transmission added. Treatment resource charged separately per selected patient, not per all test.","sensitivity":"Actionable[0,.2], earlier cure difference[-.05,.2], utility[-.01,.08], H[0,5].","cost_basis_years":3},{"id":"wound_care","cost":600,"external":800,"capacity":10,"target":0.4,"response":0.5,"unique_health":0.7,"utility":0.06,"years":0.038356164383561646,"catchup":10,"mortality":0.04,"delay":0.02,"harm_q":0.00005,"basis":"One acute wound-care course with partner medical resources;40% clinically symptomatic wounds,50% earlier meaningful healing relative to accessible public care,70% distinct physical symptom-time. Utility.06 and14day window clinical judgment, not measured GLIDE trial; no unobserved admissions or sepsis mortality.","sensitivity":"Utility[-.03,.15], target[0,.8], response[0,.9], days[0,60] with duration-sensitive resources.","cost_basis_years":0.038356164383561646}],"unresolved":[{"id":"policy","gift_share":0.04,"reason":"No causally attributable policy probability, displaced public spending or recipient map; cannot claim coalition budget as QALYs.","required_stress":"Signed independently elicited total policy Q with geography; no generic residual expected mean."},{"id":"infection_prevention_and_hiv_sti","gift_share":null,"reason":"Safer-use prevention, HIV/STI treatment and secondary transmission plausibly material but no case/diagnosis mix. HCV subgroup alone is not complete infection effect.","required_stress":"Separate selected incidence/diagnosis/care-acceleration parameters and finite competing-risk benefit; do not duplicate HCV or MOUD people-years."},{"id":"vaccination_and_other_primary_care","gift_share":null,"reason":"Wound care is named selected branch; vaccination counts/disease risks and other completed care unavailable.","required_stress":"Disease-specific vaccine or acute-care priors after cost/coverage allocation; no automatic course Q."},{"id":"affiliate","gift_share":0.04,"reason":"Exact Foundation-to-affiliate marginal flow not identified. Church activities not automatically Foundation donation effects.","required_stress":"Recipient-specific financial mapping."}],"expectation":{"status":"Not yet specified","reason":"Do not use central scenario price as whole-organization expected-value headline. Explicit correlated scenario weights and unresolved material branches need review."},"sources":[{"id":"impact","url":"https://www.glide.org/wp-content/uploads/2026/01/GLIDE-Impact-Report-2024-2025.pdf","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"heat","url":"https://www.glide.org/heat/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"moud_mortality","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/29913516/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"moud_engagement","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/25919527/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"cbt","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/21646576/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"advocacy_positive","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/10028208/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"advocacy_counterweight","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/20682933/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"parenting","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/17350966/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"parenting_followup","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/33573694/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"meals","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/30421335/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"meals_counterweight","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/38147326/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"hcv","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/35285851/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"}],"hcv_external_treatment_cost":15000,"hcv_external_treatment_cost_basis":"Gross course drug/lab/prescribing resource prior per nominal actionable HCV patient, before donor additionality or health-success discount; separate from testing cost. This over-associates some unchanged baseline care and is not net induced cost. No charge only for successful 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Unique-health exclusion prevents housing mood/safety stacking.","groups":[{"id":"meals","cost":2160,"external":180,"capacity":50,"target":0.2,"response":0.5,"unique_health":0.65,"utility":0.015,"years":0.0821917808219178,"catchup":0,"mortality":0.01,"delay":0,"harm_q":0.00002,"basis":"Thirty-day 90-meal course at12/meal; meal supply consumed and replaces inadequate intake in selected20%, with50% symptom-response/local transfer. 0.015 utility for physical/mental symptoms only, not hunger preference or tailored-diet disease effect. Distinct symptom-time65%. No future mortality. Cost plausibility22%*30.77m/620513≈10.9/meal, not observed marginal price.","sensitivity":"0.015 utility [-0.01,0.05]; selected share [0,0.5]; course30days [7,90] with proportional meal costs.","cost_basis_years":0.0821917808219178},{"id":"parenting","cost":9000,"external":300,"capacity":10,"target":0.3,"response":0.35,"unique_health":0.7,"utility":0.03,"years":0.5,"catchup":2,"mortality":0.01,"delay":0.1,"harm_q":0.0001,"basis":"One caregiver per meaningful class/support course; distressed share30%, trial-to-GLIDE delivery35%, unique mood/safety70%. Utility.03 and half-year window are weak priors; not trial-derived QALYs; catchup2/year. No child benefit in this row.","sensitivity":"Utility[-0.02,0.08], target[0,0.6], transfer[0,0.8], window[0,1].","cost_basis_years":0.5},{"id":"childcare","cost":26000,"external":600,"capacity":5,"target":0.2,"response":0.2,"unique_health":1,"utility":0.03,"years":0.5,"catchup":2,"mortality":0.002,"delay":0.1,"harm_q":0.0001,"basis":"One child with selected emotional/behavioral symptoms in meaningful socioemotional activity; not childcare economic value. Selected20%, effective-fidelity20% sharply below targeted12-week IY. Clinical utility and benefit probability weak priors; no parent spillover or lifetime conduct/crime/earnings.","sensitivity":"Utility[-0.02,0.06], target[0,0.5], delivery[0,0.6], H[0,1].","cost_basis_years":0.5},{"id":"women","cost":8000,"external":1000,"capacity":10,"target":0.35,"response":0.3,"unique_health":0.6,"utility":0.04,"years":0.5,"catchup":2,"mortality":0.02,"delay":0.05,"harm_q":0.0002,"basis":"One selected crisis/safety-support course;35% relevant trauma/abuse symptoms,30% effective clinical gain probability,60% distinct mood/safety outside housing/CBT. Weak positive central despite null advocacy counterweight, acknowledging intensive successful cases; no homicide survival or outreach multiplier.","sensitivity":"Utility[-0.04,0.1], target[0,0.7], response[0,0.7], unique[0,1].","cost_basis_years":0.5},{"id":"behavioral","cost":12000,"external":500,"capacity":5,"target":0.4,"response":0.3,"unique_health":0.6,"utility":0.08,"years":0.5,"catchup":2,"mortality":0.03,"delay":0.1,"harm_q":0.0002,"basis":"One course rather than attendee visit;40% persistent depression,30% meaningful CBT-response/local delivery,60% distinct symptom-time. Mixed outpatient groups not BRIGHT's32hour residential protocol. Utility.08 separate judgment, no substance-use mortality added.","sensitivity":"Utility[-0.05,0.2], target[0,0.8], response[0,0.7], H[0,1].","cost_basis_years":0.5},{"id":"infection_linkage","cost":600,"external":0,"capacity":20,"target":0.06,"response":0.05,"unique_health":0.6,"utility":0.03,"years":3,"catchup":0.5,"mortality":0.05,"delay":0.25,"harm_q":0.00001,"basis":"One unique testing/linkage episode;6% actionable RNA-positive untreated HCV,5% earlier effective cure difference vs existing public referral,60% distinct morbidity. No 44.2point colocated RCT transplant and no paused peer program. Three-year symptom benefit only with later-care catchup; no liver deaths or transmission added. Treatment resource charged separately per selected patient, not per all test.","sensitivity":"Actionable[0,.2], earlier cure difference[-.05,.2], utility[-.01,.08], H[0,5].","cost_basis_years":3},{"id":"wound_care","cost":1200,"external":800,"capacity":10,"target":0.4,"response":0.5,"unique_health":0.7,"utility":0.06,"years":0.038356164383561646,"catchup":10,"mortality":0.04,"delay":0.02,"harm_q":0.00005,"basis":"One acute wound-care course with partner medical resources;40% clinically symptomatic wounds,50% earlier meaningful healing relative to accessible public care,70% distinct physical symptom-time. Utility.06 and14day window clinical judgment, not measured GLIDE trial; no unobserved admissions or sepsis mortality.","sensitivity":"Utility[-.03,.15], target[0,.8], response[0,.9], days[0,60] with duration-sensitive resources.","cost_basis_years":0.038356164383561646}],"unresolved":[{"id":"policy","gift_share":0.04,"reason":"No causally attributable policy probability, displaced public spending or recipient map; cannot claim coalition budget as QALYs.","required_stress":"Signed independently elicited total policy Q with geography; no generic residual expected mean."},{"id":"infection_prevention_and_hiv_sti","gift_share":null,"reason":"Safer-use prevention, HIV/STI treatment and secondary transmission plausibly material but no case/diagnosis mix. HCV subgroup alone is not complete infection effect.","required_stress":"Separate selected incidence/diagnosis/care-acceleration parameters and finite competing-risk benefit; do not duplicate HCV or MOUD people-years."},{"id":"vaccination_and_other_primary_care","gift_share":null,"reason":"Wound care is named selected branch; vaccination counts/disease risks and other completed care unavailable.","required_stress":"Disease-specific vaccine or acute-care priors after cost/coverage allocation; no automatic course Q."},{"id":"affiliate","gift_share":0.04,"reason":"Exact Foundation-to-affiliate marginal flow not identified. Church activities not automatically Foundation donation effects.","required_stress":"Recipient-specific financial mapping."}],"expectation":{"status":"Not yet specified","reason":"Do not use central scenario price as whole-organization expected-value headline. Explicit correlated scenario weights and unresolved material branches need review."},"sources":[{"id":"impact","url":"https://www.glide.org/wp-content/uploads/2026/01/GLIDE-Impact-Report-2024-2025.pdf","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"heat","url":"https://www.glide.org/heat/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"moud_mortality","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/29913516/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"moud_engagement","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/25919527/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"cbt","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/21646576/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"advocacy_positive","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/10028208/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"advocacy_counterweight","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/20682933/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"parenting","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/17350966/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"parenting_followup","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/33573694/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"meals","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/30421335/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"meals_counterweight","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/38147326/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"hcv","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/35285851/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"}],"hcv_external_treatment_cost":15000,"hcv_external_treatment_cost_basis":"Gross course drug/lab/prescribing resource prior per nominal actionable HCV patient, before donor additionality or health-success discount; separate from testing cost. This over-associates some unchanged baseline care and is not net induced cost. No charge only for successful 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specification and coverage-ledger asset; not independently accepted or publication ready","recipient":{"name":"Glide Foundation","ein":"94-1156481","boundary":"Ordinary unrestricted Foundation gift. Consolidated financial context includes Church/property affiliates; no separate Church gift or presumed clinical effect."},"finance":{"year":2025,"consolidated_expenses":30766602,"program":18342460,"church":1922106,"administration":7766659,"development":2735377,"cash":5908995,"source":"https://www.glide.org/wp-content/uploads/2026/03/GLIDE-Foundation-2024-25-SA-FS-Final.pdf","basis":"Final audit, not impact report's pending-audit numbers. Cash is historical, not current spare funding."},"shared":{"gift":100000,"discount":0.03,"bay":0.99,"sf":0.95,"funding_additionality":0.25,"capacity_gift":100000,"common_external_fraction":0.8,"independent_harm_q":0},"shared_basis":{"funding_additionality":"Prior 0.4 [0,0.8]: current public grants, other donors and fixed capacity remain in no-gift world. Not estimated from contributions ratio.","capacity_gift":"100k scenario scale and assumed maximum absorbable tranche, NOT observed room; unknown room must be visible. Gift above cap still fully costed with capped output.","common_external_fraction":"0.2 [0,0.8] gross associated volunteer/common partner resources beyond branch-specific costs, not causal net cost or waived charges. Excludes clinical resources separately specified.","geography":"Bay0.99/SF0.95 priors, nested. No additional indirect Bay/SF benefit assigned; policy spillovers unresolved."},"allocation":{"rescue":0.1,"housing":0.1,"meals":0.22,"parenting":0.04,"childcare":0.06,"women":0.05,"moud":0.03,"behavioral":0.02,"infection_linkage":0.01,"wound_care":0.01,"policy":0.04,"common_operations":0.28,"property_affiliate":0.04},"allocation_basis":"Retains v1 top-level allocation priors; subdivides 7% other HEAT and 10% family. Entire gift costed; allocation does not cancel out of benefits. Not observed budget fractions. Service counts constrain plausibility, not QALYs.","survival":{"rescue_cost":500,"rescue_external":80,"rescue_capacity":100,"rescue_active_years":1,"moud_annual_foundation_cost":16000,"moud_annual_external_cost":6000,"moud_capacity":10,"moud_active_years":0.5,"moud_no_gift_treatment_share":0.5,"moud_effective_retention":0.5,"moud_observed_hr":0.63,"moud_causal_transfer":0.5,"baseline_all_cause_hazard":0.07,"rescue_hazard_reduction":0.0025,"rescue_moud_overlap":0.5,"utility":0.7,"horizon_years":10,"delay_years":0.25,"rescue_harm_q":0.0001,"moud_harm_q":0.0002},"survival_basis":{"costs":"Rescue nominal annual unique-person safer-use/rescue-support package, not price per dose. MOUD Foundation cost is annualized access/support cost prior, minimum one annual budget unit for setup; active durations above one year scale Foundation/external costs linearly. External cost includes medication, prescribing, labs and public clinical delivery. 3%*30.77m/56 enrollees≈16.5k is only a plausibility check, not audited program cost or evidence of additional patients.","counts":"Impact report says 56 people enrolled in MAT, not verified deduplicated longitudinal treatment records. No 56*survival multiplier. Per-gift capacity10 is a prior and must stress to zero.","baseline":"Both rescue and medication compare with same current-care hazard. Medication effect shrunk halfway from observed HR0.63 toward1; no-gift treatment share handles replacement of existing accessible medication, retention handles effective funded-course completion, funding additionality handles donor displacement. None is a second multiplication by trial ITT adherence.","survival":"Three exclusive cohorts rescue-only/MOUD-only/both. While active h=(base-rescueReduction)*(1-(1-HR)*transfer) for both; remove each factor when its active period ends. Equal baseline hazard after funded care preserves but does not create a survival gap, capped at15years. No separate opioid deaths added to all-cause."},"housing":{"cost":10000,"external":300,"cash_transfer":3045,"capacity":10,"no_gift_stability":0.8,"incremental_stability":0.056,"unique_health":0.8,"utility":0.1,"years":1,"catchup_hazard":0,"mortality":0.01,"delay":0.1,"harm_q":0.0001},"housing_basis":"10k complete access/stabilization episode is a new prior, not v1 transfer-oriented3077. Current965254/317≈3045 is transfer per reported person, not full cost. 10% consolidated scale/317≈9706 contextual only. Stability difference0.112*0.5 transfer from prior VA evidence, capped by current80% no-gift stability. Unique-health exclusion prevents housing mood/safety stacking.","groups":[{"id":"meals","cost":1080,"external":180,"capacity":50,"target":0.2,"response":0.5,"unique_health":0.65,"utility":0.015,"years":0.0821917808219178,"catchup":0,"mortality":0.01,"delay":0,"harm_q":0.00002,"basis":"Thirty-day 90-meal course at12/meal; meal supply consumed and replaces inadequate intake in selected20%, with50% symptom-response/local transfer. 0.015 utility for physical/mental symptoms only, not hunger preference or tailored-diet disease effect. Distinct symptom-time65%. No future mortality. Cost plausibility22%*30.77m/620513≈10.9/meal, not observed marginal price.","sensitivity":"0.015 utility [-0.01,0.05]; selected share [0,0.5]; course30days [7,90] with proportional meal costs.","cost_basis_years":0.0821917808219178},{"id":"parenting","cost":4500,"external":300,"capacity":10,"target":0.3,"response":0.35,"unique_health":0.7,"utility":0.03,"years":0.5,"catchup":2,"mortality":0.01,"delay":0.1,"harm_q":0.0001,"basis":"One caregiver per meaningful class/support course; distressed share30%, trial-to-GLIDE delivery35%, unique mood/safety70%. Utility.03 and half-year window are weak priors; not trial-derived QALYs; catchup2/year. No child benefit in this row.","sensitivity":"Utility[-0.02,0.08], target[0,0.6], transfer[0,0.8], window[0,1].","cost_basis_years":0.5},{"id":"childcare","cost":13000,"external":600,"capacity":5,"target":0.2,"response":0.2,"unique_health":1,"utility":0.03,"years":0.5,"catchup":2,"mortality":0.002,"delay":0.1,"harm_q":0.0001,"basis":"One child with selected emotional/behavioral symptoms in meaningful socioemotional activity; not childcare economic value. Selected20%, effective-fidelity20% sharply below targeted12-week IY. Clinical utility and benefit probability weak priors; no parent spillover or lifetime conduct/crime/earnings.","sensitivity":"Utility[-0.02,0.06], target[0,0.5], delivery[0,0.6], H[0,1].","cost_basis_years":0.5},{"id":"women","cost":4000,"external":1000,"capacity":10,"target":0.35,"response":0.3,"unique_health":0.6,"utility":0.04,"years":0.5,"catchup":2,"mortality":0.02,"delay":0.05,"harm_q":0.0002,"basis":"One selected crisis/safety-support course;35% relevant trauma/abuse symptoms,30% effective clinical gain probability,60% distinct mood/safety outside housing/CBT. Weak positive central despite null advocacy counterweight, acknowledging intensive successful cases; no homicide survival or outreach multiplier.","sensitivity":"Utility[-0.04,0.1], target[0,0.7], response[0,0.7], unique[0,1].","cost_basis_years":0.5},{"id":"behavioral","cost":6000,"external":500,"capacity":5,"target":0.4,"response":0.3,"unique_health":0.6,"utility":0.08,"years":0.5,"catchup":2,"mortality":0.03,"delay":0.1,"harm_q":0.0002,"basis":"One course rather than attendee visit;40% persistent depression,30% meaningful CBT-response/local delivery,60% distinct symptom-time. Mixed outpatient groups not BRIGHT's32hour residential protocol. Utility.08 separate judgment, no substance-use mortality added.","sensitivity":"Utility[-0.05,0.2], target[0,0.8], response[0,0.7], H[0,1].","cost_basis_years":0.5},{"id":"infection_linkage","cost":300,"external":0,"capacity":20,"target":0.06,"response":0.05,"unique_health":0.6,"utility":0.03,"years":3,"catchup":0.5,"mortality":0.05,"delay":0.25,"harm_q":0.00001,"basis":"One unique testing/linkage episode;6% actionable RNA-positive untreated HCV,5% earlier effective cure difference vs existing public referral,60% distinct morbidity. No 44.2point colocated RCT transplant and no paused peer program. Three-year symptom benefit only with later-care catchup; no liver deaths or transmission added. Treatment resource charged separately per selected patient, not per all test.","sensitivity":"Actionable[0,.2], earlier cure difference[-.05,.2], utility[-.01,.08], H[0,5].","cost_basis_years":3},{"id":"wound_care","cost":600,"external":800,"capacity":10,"target":0.4,"response":0.5,"unique_health":0.7,"utility":0.06,"years":0.038356164383561646,"catchup":10,"mortality":0.04,"delay":0.02,"harm_q":0.00005,"basis":"One acute wound-care course with partner medical resources;40% clinically symptomatic wounds,50% earlier meaningful healing relative to accessible public care,70% distinct physical symptom-time. Utility.06 and14day window clinical judgment, not measured GLIDE trial; no unobserved admissions or sepsis mortality.","sensitivity":"Utility[-.03,.15], target[0,.8], response[0,.9], days[0,60] with duration-sensitive resources.","cost_basis_years":0.038356164383561646}],"unresolved":[{"id":"policy","gift_share":0.04,"reason":"No causally attributable policy probability, displaced public spending or recipient map; cannot claim coalition budget as QALYs.","required_stress":"Signed independently elicited total policy Q with geography; no generic residual expected mean."},{"id":"infection_prevention_and_hiv_sti","gift_share":null,"reason":"Safer-use prevention, HIV/STI treatment and secondary transmission plausibly material but no case/diagnosis mix. HCV subgroup alone is not complete infection effect.","required_stress":"Separate selected incidence/diagnosis/care-acceleration parameters and finite competing-risk benefit; do not duplicate HCV or MOUD people-years."},{"id":"vaccination_and_other_primary_care","gift_share":null,"reason":"Wound care is named selected branch; vaccination counts/disease risks and other completed care unavailable.","required_stress":"Disease-specific vaccine or acute-care priors after cost/coverage allocation; no automatic course Q."},{"id":"affiliate","gift_share":0.04,"reason":"Exact Foundation-to-affiliate marginal flow not identified. Church activities not automatically Foundation donation effects.","required_stress":"Recipient-specific financial mapping."}],"expectation":{"status":"Not yet specified","reason":"Do not use central scenario price as whole-organization expected-value headline. Explicit correlated scenario weights and unresolved material branches need review."},"sources":[{"id":"impact","url":"https://www.glide.org/wp-content/uploads/2026/01/GLIDE-Impact-Report-2024-2025.pdf","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"heat","url":"https://www.glide.org/heat/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"moud_mortality","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/29913516/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"moud_engagement","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/25919527/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"cbt","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/21646576/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"advocacy_positive","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/10028208/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"advocacy_counterweight","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/20682933/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"parenting","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/17350966/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"parenting_followup","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/33573694/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"meals","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/30421335/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"meals_counterweight","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/38147326/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"hcv","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/35285851/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"}],"hcv_external_treatment_cost":15000,"hcv_external_treatment_cost_basis":"Gross course drug/lab/prescribing resource prior per nominal actionable HCV patient, before donor additionality or health-success discount; separate from testing cost. This over-associates some unchanged baseline care and is not net induced cost. No charge only for successful 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Gift above cap still fully costed with capped output.","common_external_fraction":"0.2 [0,0.8] gross associated volunteer/common partner resources beyond branch-specific costs, not causal net cost or waived charges. Excludes clinical resources separately specified.","geography":"Bay0.99/SF0.95 priors, nested. No additional indirect Bay/SF benefit assigned; policy spillovers unresolved."},"allocation":{"rescue":0.1,"housing":0.1,"meals":0.22,"parenting":0.04,"childcare":0.06,"women":0.05,"moud":0.03,"behavioral":0.02,"infection_linkage":0.01,"wound_care":0.01,"policy":0.04,"common_operations":0.28,"property_affiliate":0.04},"allocation_basis":"Retains v1 top-level allocation priors; subdivides 7% other HEAT and 10% family. Entire gift costed; allocation does not cancel out of benefits. Not observed budget fractions. Service counts constrain plausibility, not QALYs.","survival":{"rescue_cost":500,"rescue_external":80,"rescue_capacity":100,"rescue_active_years":1,"moud_annual_foundation_cost":16000,"moud_annual_external_cost":6000,"moud_capacity":10,"moud_active_years":0.5,"moud_no_gift_treatment_share":0.5,"moud_effective_retention":0.5,"moud_observed_hr":0.63,"moud_causal_transfer":0.5,"baseline_all_cause_hazard":0.07,"rescue_hazard_reduction":0.0025,"rescue_moud_overlap":0.5,"utility":0.7,"horizon_years":10,"delay_years":0.25,"rescue_harm_q":0.0001,"moud_harm_q":0.0002},"survival_basis":{"costs":"Rescue nominal annual unique-person safer-use/rescue-support package, not price per dose. MOUD Foundation cost is annualized access/support cost prior, minimum one annual budget unit for setup; active durations above one year scale Foundation/external costs linearly. External cost includes medication, prescribing, labs and public clinical delivery. 3%*30.77m/56 enrollees≈16.5k is only a plausibility check, not audited program cost or evidence of additional patients.","counts":"Impact report says 56 people enrolled in MAT, not verified deduplicated longitudinal treatment records. No 56*survival multiplier. Per-gift capacity10 is a prior and must stress to zero.","baseline":"Both rescue and medication compare with same current-care hazard. Medication effect shrunk halfway from observed HR0.63 toward1; no-gift treatment share handles replacement of existing accessible medication, retention handles effective funded-course completion, funding additionality handles donor displacement. None is a second multiplication by trial ITT adherence.","survival":"Three exclusive cohorts rescue-only/MOUD-only/both. While active h=(base-rescueReduction)*(1-(1-HR)*transfer) for both; remove each factor when its active period ends. Equal baseline hazard after funded care preserves but does not create a survival gap, capped at15years. No separate opioid deaths added to all-cause."},"housing":{"cost":10000,"external":300,"cash_transfer":3045,"capacity":10,"no_gift_stability":0.8,"incremental_stability":0.056,"unique_health":0.8,"utility":0.1,"years":1,"catchup_hazard":0,"mortality":0.01,"delay":0.1,"harm_q":0.0001},"housing_basis":"10k complete access/stabilization episode is a new prior, not v1 transfer-oriented3077. Current965254/317≈3045 is transfer per reported person, not full cost. 10% consolidated scale/317≈9706 contextual only. Stability difference0.112*0.5 transfer from prior VA evidence, capped by current80% no-gift stability. Unique-health exclusion prevents housing mood/safety stacking.","groups":[{"id":"meals","cost":1080,"external":180,"capacity":50,"target":0.2,"response":0.5,"unique_health":0.65,"utility":0.015,"years":0.0821917808219178,"catchup":0,"mortality":0.01,"delay":0,"harm_q":0.00002,"basis":"Thirty-day 90-meal course at12/meal; meal supply consumed and replaces inadequate intake in selected20%, with50% symptom-response/local transfer. 0.015 utility for physical/mental symptoms only, not hunger preference or tailored-diet disease effect. Distinct symptom-time65%. No future mortality. Cost plausibility22%*30.77m/620513≈10.9/meal, not observed marginal price.","sensitivity":"0.015 utility [-0.01,0.05]; selected share [0,0.5]; course30days [7,90] with proportional meal costs.","cost_basis_years":0.0821917808219178},{"id":"parenting","cost":4500,"external":300,"capacity":10,"target":0.3,"response":0.35,"unique_health":0.7,"utility":0.03,"years":0.5,"catchup":2,"mortality":0.01,"delay":0.1,"harm_q":0.0001,"basis":"One caregiver per meaningful class/support course; distressed share30%, trial-to-GLIDE delivery35%, unique mood/safety70%. Utility.03 and half-year window are weak priors; not trial-derived QALYs; catchup2/year. No child benefit in this row.","sensitivity":"Utility[-0.02,0.08], target[0,0.6], transfer[0,0.8], window[0,1].","cost_basis_years":0.5},{"id":"childcare","cost":13000,"external":600,"capacity":5,"target":0.2,"response":0.2,"unique_health":1,"utility":0.03,"years":0.5,"catchup":2,"mortality":0.002,"delay":0.1,"harm_q":0.0001,"basis":"One child with selected emotional/behavioral symptoms in meaningful socioemotional activity; not childcare economic value. Selected20%, effective-fidelity20% sharply below targeted12-week IY. Clinical utility and benefit probability weak priors; no parent spillover or lifetime conduct/crime/earnings.","sensitivity":"Utility[-0.02,0.06], target[0,0.5], delivery[0,0.6], H[0,1].","cost_basis_years":0.5},{"id":"women","cost":4000,"external":1000,"capacity":10,"target":0.35,"response":0.3,"unique_health":0.6,"utility":0.04,"years":0.5,"catchup":2,"mortality":0.02,"delay":0.05,"harm_q":0.0002,"basis":"One selected crisis/safety-support course;35% relevant trauma/abuse symptoms,30% effective clinical gain probability,60% distinct mood/safety outside housing/CBT. Weak positive central despite null advocacy counterweight, acknowledging intensive successful cases; no homicide survival or outreach multiplier.","sensitivity":"Utility[-0.04,0.1], target[0,0.7], response[0,0.7], unique[0,1].","cost_basis_years":0.5},{"id":"behavioral","cost":6000,"external":500,"capacity":5,"target":0.4,"response":0.3,"unique_health":0.6,"utility":0.08,"years":0.5,"catchup":2,"mortality":0.03,"delay":0.1,"harm_q":0.0002,"basis":"One course rather than attendee visit;40% persistent depression,30% meaningful CBT-response/local delivery,60% distinct symptom-time. Mixed outpatient groups not BRIGHT's32hour residential protocol. Utility.08 separate judgment, no substance-use mortality added.","sensitivity":"Utility[-0.05,0.2], target[0,0.8], response[0,0.7], H[0,1].","cost_basis_years":0.5},{"id":"infection_linkage","cost":300,"external":0,"capacity":20,"target":0.06,"response":0.05,"unique_health":0.6,"utility":0.03,"years":3,"catchup":0.5,"mortality":0.05,"delay":0.25,"harm_q":0.00001,"basis":"One unique testing/linkage episode;6% actionable RNA-positive untreated HCV,5% earlier effective cure difference vs existing public referral,60% distinct morbidity. No 44.2point colocated RCT transplant and no paused peer program. Three-year symptom benefit only with later-care catchup; no liver deaths or transmission added. Treatment resource charged separately per selected patient, not per all test.","sensitivity":"Actionable[0,.2], earlier cure difference[-.05,.2], utility[-.01,.08], H[0,5].","cost_basis_years":3},{"id":"wound_care","cost":600,"external":800,"capacity":10,"target":0.4,"response":0.5,"unique_health":0.7,"utility":0.06,"years":0.038356164383561646,"catchup":10,"mortality":0.04,"delay":0.02,"harm_q":0.00005,"basis":"One acute wound-care course with partner medical resources;40% clinically symptomatic wounds,50% earlier meaningful healing relative to accessible public care,70% distinct physical symptom-time. Utility.06 and14day window clinical judgment, not measured GLIDE trial; no unobserved admissions or sepsis mortality.","sensitivity":"Utility[-.03,.15], target[0,.8], response[0,.9], days[0,60] with duration-sensitive resources.","cost_basis_years":0.038356164383561646}],"unresolved":[{"id":"policy","gift_share":0.04,"reason":"No causally attributable policy probability, displaced public spending or recipient map; cannot claim coalition budget as QALYs.","required_stress":"Signed independently elicited total policy Q with geography; no generic residual expected mean."},{"id":"infection_prevention_and_hiv_sti","gift_share":null,"reason":"Safer-use prevention, HIV/STI treatment and secondary transmission plausibly material but no case/diagnosis mix. HCV subgroup alone is not complete infection effect.","required_stress":"Separate selected incidence/diagnosis/care-acceleration parameters and finite competing-risk benefit; do not duplicate HCV or MOUD people-years."},{"id":"vaccination_and_other_primary_care","gift_share":null,"reason":"Wound care is named selected branch; vaccination counts/disease risks and other completed care unavailable.","required_stress":"Disease-specific vaccine or acute-care priors after cost/coverage allocation; no automatic course Q."},{"id":"affiliate","gift_share":0.04,"reason":"Exact Foundation-to-affiliate marginal flow not identified. Church activities not automatically Foundation donation effects.","required_stress":"Recipient-specific financial mapping."}],"expectation":{"status":"Not yet specified","reason":"Do not use central scenario price as whole-organization expected-value headline. Explicit correlated scenario weights and unresolved material branches need review."},"sources":[{"id":"impact","url":"https://www.glide.org/wp-content/uploads/2026/01/GLIDE-Impact-Report-2024-2025.pdf","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"heat","url":"https://www.glide.org/heat/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"moud_mortality","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/29913516/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"moud_engagement","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/25919527/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"cbt","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/21646576/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"advocacy_positive","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/10028208/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"advocacy_counterweight","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/20682933/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"parenting","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/17350966/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"parenting_followup","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/33573694/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"meals","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/30421335/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"meals_counterweight","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/38147326/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"hcv","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/35285851/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"}],"hcv_external_treatment_cost":15000,"hcv_external_treatment_cost_basis":"Gross course drug/lab/prescribing resource prior per nominal actionable HCV patient, before donor additionality or health-success discount; separate from testing cost. This over-associates some unchanged baseline care and is not net induced cost. No charge only for successful 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Gift above cap still fully costed with capped output.","common_external_fraction":"0.2 [0,0.8] gross associated volunteer/common partner resources beyond branch-specific costs, not causal net cost or waived charges. Excludes clinical resources separately specified.","geography":"Bay0.99/SF0.95 priors, nested. No additional indirect Bay/SF benefit assigned; policy spillovers unresolved."},"allocation":{"rescue":0.1,"housing":0.1,"meals":0.22,"parenting":0.04,"childcare":0.06,"women":0.05,"moud":0.03,"behavioral":0.02,"infection_linkage":0.01,"wound_care":0.01,"policy":0.04,"common_operations":0.28,"property_affiliate":0.04},"allocation_basis":"Retains v1 top-level allocation priors; subdivides 7% other HEAT and 10% family. Entire gift costed; allocation does not cancel out of benefits. Not observed budget fractions. Service counts constrain plausibility, not QALYs.","survival":{"rescue_cost":500,"rescue_external":80,"rescue_capacity":100,"rescue_active_years":1,"moud_annual_foundation_cost":16000,"moud_annual_external_cost":6000,"moud_capacity":10,"moud_active_years":0.5,"moud_no_gift_treatment_share":0.5,"moud_effective_retention":0.5,"moud_observed_hr":0.63,"moud_causal_transfer":0.5,"baseline_all_cause_hazard":0.07,"rescue_hazard_reduction":0.0025,"rescue_moud_overlap":0.5,"utility":0.7,"horizon_years":10,"delay_years":0.25,"rescue_harm_q":0.0001,"moud_harm_q":0.0002},"survival_basis":{"costs":"Rescue nominal annual unique-person safer-use/rescue-support package, not price per dose. MOUD Foundation cost is annualized access/support cost prior, minimum one annual budget unit for setup; active durations above one year scale Foundation/external costs linearly. External cost includes medication, prescribing, labs and public clinical delivery. 3%*30.77m/56 enrollees≈16.5k is only a plausibility check, not audited program cost or evidence of additional patients.","counts":"Impact report says 56 people enrolled in MAT, not verified deduplicated longitudinal treatment records. No 56*survival multiplier. Per-gift capacity10 is a prior and must stress to zero.","baseline":"Both rescue and medication compare with same current-care hazard. Medication effect shrunk halfway from observed HR0.63 toward1; no-gift treatment share handles replacement of existing accessible medication, retention handles effective funded-course completion, funding additionality handles donor displacement. None is a second multiplication by trial ITT adherence.","survival":"Three exclusive cohorts rescue-only/MOUD-only/both. While active h=(base-rescueReduction)*(1-(1-HR)*transfer) for both; remove each factor when its active period ends. Equal baseline hazard after funded care preserves but does not create a survival gap, capped at15years. No separate opioid deaths added to all-cause."},"housing":{"cost":10000,"external":300,"cash_transfer":3045,"capacity":10,"no_gift_stability":0.8,"incremental_stability":0.056,"unique_health":0.8,"utility":0.1,"years":1,"catchup_hazard":0,"mortality":0.01,"delay":0.1,"harm_q":0.0001},"housing_basis":"10k complete access/stabilization episode is a new prior, not v1 transfer-oriented3077. Current965254/317≈3045 is transfer per reported person, not full cost. 10% consolidated scale/317≈9706 contextual only. Stability difference0.112*0.5 transfer from prior VA evidence, capped by current80% no-gift stability. 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Clinical utility and benefit probability weak priors; no parent spillover or lifetime conduct/crime/earnings.","sensitivity":"Utility[-0.02,0.06], target[0,0.5], delivery[0,0.6], H[0,1].","cost_basis_years":0.5},{"id":"women","cost":4000,"external":1000,"capacity":10,"target":0.35,"response":0.3,"unique_health":0.6,"utility":0.04,"years":0.5,"catchup":2,"mortality":0.02,"delay":0.05,"harm_q":0.0002,"basis":"One selected crisis/safety-support course;35% relevant trauma/abuse symptoms,30% effective clinical gain probability,60% distinct mood/safety outside housing/CBT. Weak positive central despite null advocacy counterweight, acknowledging intensive successful cases; no homicide survival or outreach multiplier.","sensitivity":"Utility[-0.04,0.1], target[0,0.7], response[0,0.7], unique[0,1].","cost_basis_years":0.5},{"id":"behavioral","cost":6000,"external":500,"capacity":5,"target":0.4,"response":0.3,"unique_health":0.6,"utility":0.08,"years":0.5,"catchup":2,"mortality":0.03,"delay":0.1,"harm_q":0.0002,"basis":"One course rather than attendee visit;40% persistent depression,30% meaningful CBT-response/local delivery,60% distinct symptom-time. Mixed outpatient groups not BRIGHT's32hour residential protocol. Utility.08 separate judgment, no substance-use mortality added.","sensitivity":"Utility[-0.05,0.2], target[0,0.8], response[0,0.7], H[0,1].","cost_basis_years":0.5},{"id":"infection_linkage","cost":300,"external":0,"capacity":20,"target":0.06,"response":0.05,"unique_health":0.6,"utility":0.03,"years":3,"catchup":0.5,"mortality":0.05,"delay":0.25,"harm_q":0.00001,"basis":"One unique testing/linkage episode;6% actionable RNA-positive untreated HCV,5% earlier effective cure difference vs existing public referral,60% distinct morbidity. No 44.2point colocated RCT transplant and no paused peer program. Three-year symptom benefit only with later-care catchup; no liver deaths or transmission added. Treatment resource charged separately per selected patient, not per all test.","sensitivity":"Actionable[0,.2], earlier cure difference[-.05,.2], utility[-.01,.08], H[0,5].","cost_basis_years":3},{"id":"wound_care","cost":600,"external":800,"capacity":10,"target":0.4,"response":0.5,"unique_health":0.7,"utility":0.06,"years":0.038356164383561646,"catchup":10,"mortality":0.04,"delay":0.02,"harm_q":0.00005,"basis":"One acute wound-care course with partner medical resources;40% clinically symptomatic wounds,50% earlier meaningful healing relative to accessible public care,70% distinct physical symptom-time. 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HCV subgroup alone is not complete infection effect.","required_stress":"Separate selected incidence/diagnosis/care-acceleration parameters and finite competing-risk benefit; do not duplicate HCV or MOUD people-years."},{"id":"vaccination_and_other_primary_care","gift_share":null,"reason":"Wound care is named selected branch; vaccination counts/disease risks and other completed care unavailable.","required_stress":"Disease-specific vaccine or acute-care priors after cost/coverage allocation; no automatic course Q."},{"id":"affiliate","gift_share":0.04,"reason":"Exact Foundation-to-affiliate marginal flow not identified. Church activities not automatically Foundation donation effects.","required_stress":"Recipient-specific financial mapping."}],"expectation":{"status":"Not yet specified","reason":"Do not use central scenario price as whole-organization expected-value headline. Explicit correlated scenario weights and unresolved material branches need review."},"sources":[{"id":"impact","url":"https://www.glide.org/wp-content/uploads/2026/01/GLIDE-Impact-Report-2024-2025.pdf","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"heat","url":"https://www.glide.org/heat/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"moud_mortality","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/29913516/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"moud_engagement","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/25919527/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"cbt","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/21646576/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"advocacy_positive","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/10028208/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"advocacy_counterweight","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/20682933/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"parenting","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/17350966/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"parenting_followup","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/33573694/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"meals","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/30421335/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"meals_counterweight","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/38147326/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"hcv","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/35285851/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"}],"hcv_external_treatment_cost":15000,"hcv_external_treatment_cost_basis":"Gross course drug/lab/prescribing resource prior per nominal actionable HCV patient, before donor additionality or health-success discount; separate from testing cost. 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Service counts constrain plausibility, not QALYs.","survival":{"rescue_cost":500,"rescue_external":80,"rescue_capacity":100,"rescue_active_years":1,"moud_annual_foundation_cost":16000,"moud_annual_external_cost":6000,"moud_capacity":10,"moud_active_years":0.5,"moud_no_gift_treatment_share":0.5,"moud_effective_retention":0.5,"moud_observed_hr":0.63,"moud_causal_transfer":0.5,"baseline_all_cause_hazard":0.07,"rescue_hazard_reduction":0.0025,"rescue_moud_overlap":0.5,"utility":0.7,"horizon_years":5,"delay_years":0.25,"rescue_harm_q":0.0001,"moud_harm_q":0.0002},"survival_basis":{"costs":"Rescue nominal annual unique-person safer-use/rescue-support package, not price per dose. MOUD Foundation cost is annualized access/support cost prior, minimum one annual budget unit for setup; active durations above one year scale Foundation/external costs linearly. External cost includes medication, prescribing, labs and public clinical delivery. 3%*30.77m/56 enrollees≈16.5k is only a plausibility check, not audited program cost or evidence of additional patients.","counts":"Impact report says 56 people enrolled in MAT, not verified deduplicated longitudinal treatment records. No 56*survival multiplier. Per-gift capacity10 is a prior and must stress to zero.","baseline":"Both rescue and medication compare with same current-care hazard. Medication effect shrunk halfway from observed HR0.63 toward1; no-gift treatment share handles replacement of existing accessible medication, retention handles effective funded-course completion, funding additionality handles donor displacement. None is a second multiplication by trial ITT adherence.","survival":"Three exclusive cohorts rescue-only/MOUD-only/both. While active h=(base-rescueReduction)*(1-(1-HR)*transfer) for both; remove each factor when its active period ends. Equal baseline hazard after funded care preserves but does not create a survival gap, capped at15years. No separate opioid deaths added to all-cause."},"housing":{"cost":10000,"external":300,"cash_transfer":3045,"capacity":10,"no_gift_stability":0.8,"incremental_stability":0.056,"unique_health":0.8,"utility":0.1,"years":1,"catchup_hazard":0,"mortality":0.01,"delay":0.1,"harm_q":0.0001},"housing_basis":"10k complete access/stabilization episode is a new prior, not v1 transfer-oriented3077. Current965254/317≈3045 is transfer per reported person, not full cost. 10% consolidated scale/317≈9706 contextual only. Stability difference0.112*0.5 transfer from prior VA evidence, capped by current80% no-gift stability. 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Clinical utility and benefit probability weak priors; no parent spillover or lifetime conduct/crime/earnings.","sensitivity":"Utility[-0.02,0.06], target[0,0.5], delivery[0,0.6], H[0,1].","cost_basis_years":0.5},{"id":"women","cost":4000,"external":1000,"capacity":10,"target":0.35,"response":0.3,"unique_health":0.6,"utility":0.04,"years":0.5,"catchup":2,"mortality":0.02,"delay":0.05,"harm_q":0.0002,"basis":"One selected crisis/safety-support course;35% relevant trauma/abuse symptoms,30% effective clinical gain probability,60% distinct mood/safety outside housing/CBT. Weak positive central despite null advocacy counterweight, acknowledging intensive successful cases; no homicide survival or outreach multiplier.","sensitivity":"Utility[-0.04,0.1], target[0,0.7], response[0,0.7], unique[0,1].","cost_basis_years":0.5},{"id":"behavioral","cost":6000,"external":500,"capacity":5,"target":0.4,"response":0.3,"unique_health":0.6,"utility":0.08,"years":0.5,"catchup":2,"mortality":0.03,"delay":0.1,"harm_q":0.0002,"basis":"One course rather than attendee visit;40% persistent depression,30% meaningful CBT-response/local delivery,60% distinct symptom-time. Mixed outpatient groups not BRIGHT's32hour residential protocol. 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Treatment resource charged separately per selected patient, not per all test.","sensitivity":"Actionable[0,.2], earlier cure difference[-.05,.2], utility[-.01,.08], H[0,5].","cost_basis_years":3},{"id":"wound_care","cost":600,"external":800,"capacity":10,"target":0.4,"response":0.5,"unique_health":0.7,"utility":0.06,"years":0.038356164383561646,"catchup":10,"mortality":0.04,"delay":0.02,"harm_q":0.00005,"basis":"One acute wound-care course with partner medical resources;40% clinically symptomatic wounds,50% earlier meaningful healing relative to accessible public care,70% distinct physical symptom-time. 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HCV subgroup alone is not complete infection effect.","required_stress":"Separate selected incidence/diagnosis/care-acceleration parameters and finite competing-risk benefit; do not duplicate HCV or MOUD people-years."},{"id":"vaccination_and_other_primary_care","gift_share":null,"reason":"Wound care is named selected branch; vaccination counts/disease risks and other completed care unavailable.","required_stress":"Disease-specific vaccine or acute-care priors after cost/coverage allocation; no automatic course Q."},{"id":"affiliate","gift_share":0.04,"reason":"Exact Foundation-to-affiliate marginal flow not identified. Church activities not automatically Foundation donation effects.","required_stress":"Recipient-specific financial mapping."}],"expectation":{"status":"Not yet specified","reason":"Do not use central scenario price as whole-organization expected-value headline. Explicit correlated scenario weights and unresolved material branches need review."},"sources":[{"id":"impact","url":"https://www.glide.org/wp-content/uploads/2026/01/GLIDE-Impact-Report-2024-2025.pdf","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"heat","url":"https://www.glide.org/heat/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"moud_mortality","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/29913516/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"moud_engagement","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/25919527/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"cbt","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/21646576/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"advocacy_positive","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/10028208/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"advocacy_counterweight","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/20682933/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"parenting","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/17350966/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"parenting_followup","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/33573694/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"meals","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/30421335/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"meals_counterweight","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/38147326/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"hcv","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/35285851/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"}],"hcv_external_treatment_cost":15000,"hcv_external_treatment_cost_basis":"Gross course drug/lab/prescribing resource prior per nominal actionable HCV patient, before donor additionality or health-success discount; separate from testing cost. 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Consolidated financial context includes Church/property affiliates; no separate Church gift or presumed clinical effect."},"finance":{"year":2025,"consolidated_expenses":30766602,"program":18342460,"church":1922106,"administration":7766659,"development":2735377,"cash":5908995,"source":"https://www.glide.org/wp-content/uploads/2026/03/GLIDE-Foundation-2024-25-SA-FS-Final.pdf","basis":"Final audit, not impact report's pending-audit numbers. Cash is historical, not current spare funding."},"shared":{"gift":100000,"discount":0.03,"bay":0.99,"sf":0.95,"funding_additionality":0.25,"capacity_gift":100000,"common_external_fraction":0.2,"independent_harm_q":0},"shared_basis":{"funding_additionality":"Prior 0.4 [0,0.8]: current public grants, other donors and fixed capacity remain in no-gift world. Not estimated from contributions ratio.","capacity_gift":"100k scenario scale and assumed maximum absorbable tranche, NOT observed room; unknown room must be visible. Gift above cap still fully costed with capped output.","common_external_fraction":"0.2 [0,0.8] gross associated volunteer/common partner resources beyond branch-specific costs, not causal net cost or waived charges. Excludes clinical resources separately specified.","geography":"Bay0.99/SF0.95 priors, nested. No additional indirect Bay/SF benefit assigned; policy spillovers unresolved."},"allocation":{"rescue":0.1,"housing":0.1,"meals":0.22,"parenting":0.04,"childcare":0.06,"women":0.05,"moud":0.03,"behavioral":0.02,"infection_linkage":0.01,"wound_care":0.01,"policy":0.04,"common_operations":0.28,"property_affiliate":0.04},"allocation_basis":"Retains v1 top-level allocation priors; subdivides 7% other HEAT and 10% family. Entire gift costed; allocation does not cancel out of benefits. Not observed budget fractions. Service counts constrain plausibility, not QALYs.","survival":{"rescue_cost":500,"rescue_external":80,"rescue_capacity":100,"rescue_active_years":1,"moud_annual_foundation_cost":16000,"moud_annual_external_cost":6000,"moud_capacity":10,"moud_active_years":0.5,"moud_no_gift_treatment_share":0.5,"moud_effective_retention":0.5,"moud_observed_hr":0.63,"moud_causal_transfer":0.5,"baseline_all_cause_hazard":0.07,"rescue_hazard_reduction":0.0025,"rescue_moud_overlap":0.5,"utility":0.7,"horizon_years":15,"delay_years":0.25,"rescue_harm_q":0.0001,"moud_harm_q":0.0002},"survival_basis":{"costs":"Rescue nominal annual unique-person safer-use/rescue-support package, not price per dose. MOUD Foundation cost is annualized access/support cost prior, minimum one annual budget unit for setup; active durations above one year scale Foundation/external costs linearly. External cost includes medication, prescribing, labs and public clinical delivery. 3%*30.77m/56 enrollees≈16.5k is only a plausibility check, not audited program cost or evidence of additional patients.","counts":"Impact report says 56 people enrolled in MAT, not verified deduplicated longitudinal treatment records. No 56*survival multiplier. Per-gift capacity10 is a prior and must stress to zero.","baseline":"Both rescue and medication compare with same current-care hazard. Medication effect shrunk halfway from observed HR0.63 toward1; no-gift treatment share handles replacement of existing accessible medication, retention handles effective funded-course completion, funding additionality handles donor displacement. None is a second multiplication by trial ITT adherence.","survival":"Three exclusive cohorts rescue-only/MOUD-only/both. While active h=(base-rescueReduction)*(1-(1-HR)*transfer) for both; remove each factor when its active period ends. Equal baseline hazard after funded care preserves but does not create a survival gap, capped at15years. No separate opioid deaths added to all-cause."},"housing":{"cost":10000,"external":300,"cash_transfer":3045,"capacity":10,"no_gift_stability":0.8,"incremental_stability":0.056,"unique_health":0.8,"utility":0.1,"years":1,"catchup_hazard":0,"mortality":0.01,"delay":0.1,"harm_q":0.0001},"housing_basis":"10k complete access/stabilization episode is a new prior, not v1 transfer-oriented3077. Current965254/317≈3045 is transfer per reported person, not full cost. 10% consolidated scale/317≈9706 contextual only. Stability difference0.112*0.5 transfer from prior VA evidence, capped by current80% no-gift stability. Unique-health exclusion prevents housing mood/safety stacking.","groups":[{"id":"meals","cost":1080,"external":180,"capacity":50,"target":0.2,"response":0.5,"unique_health":0.65,"utility":0.015,"years":0.0821917808219178,"catchup":0,"mortality":0.01,"delay":0,"harm_q":0.00002,"basis":"Thirty-day 90-meal course at12/meal; meal supply consumed and replaces inadequate intake in selected20%, with50% symptom-response/local transfer. 0.015 utility for physical/mental symptoms only, not hunger preference or tailored-diet disease effect. Distinct symptom-time65%. No future mortality. Cost plausibility22%*30.77m/620513≈10.9/meal, not observed marginal price.","sensitivity":"0.015 utility [-0.01,0.05]; selected share [0,0.5]; course30days [7,90] with proportional meal costs.","cost_basis_years":0.0821917808219178},{"id":"parenting","cost":4500,"external":300,"capacity":10,"target":0.3,"response":0.35,"unique_health":0.7,"utility":0.03,"years":0.5,"catchup":2,"mortality":0.01,"delay":0.1,"harm_q":0.0001,"basis":"One caregiver per meaningful class/support course; distressed share30%, trial-to-GLIDE delivery35%, unique mood/safety70%. Utility.03 and half-year window are weak priors; not trial-derived QALYs; catchup2/year. No child benefit in this row.","sensitivity":"Utility[-0.02,0.08], target[0,0.6], transfer[0,0.8], window[0,1].","cost_basis_years":0.5},{"id":"childcare","cost":13000,"external":600,"capacity":5,"target":0.2,"response":0.2,"unique_health":1,"utility":0.03,"years":0.5,"catchup":2,"mortality":0.002,"delay":0.1,"harm_q":0.0001,"basis":"One child with selected emotional/behavioral symptoms in meaningful socioemotional activity; not childcare economic value. Selected20%, effective-fidelity20% sharply below targeted12-week IY. Clinical utility and benefit probability weak priors; no parent spillover or lifetime conduct/crime/earnings.","sensitivity":"Utility[-0.02,0.06], target[0,0.5], delivery[0,0.6], H[0,1].","cost_basis_years":0.5},{"id":"women","cost":4000,"external":1000,"capacity":10,"target":0.35,"response":0.3,"unique_health":0.6,"utility":0.04,"years":0.5,"catchup":2,"mortality":0.02,"delay":0.05,"harm_q":0.0002,"basis":"One selected crisis/safety-support course;35% relevant trauma/abuse symptoms,30% effective clinical gain probability,60% distinct mood/safety outside housing/CBT. Weak positive central despite null advocacy counterweight, acknowledging intensive successful cases; no homicide survival or outreach multiplier.","sensitivity":"Utility[-0.04,0.1], target[0,0.7], response[0,0.7], unique[0,1].","cost_basis_years":0.5},{"id":"behavioral","cost":6000,"external":500,"capacity":5,"target":0.4,"response":0.3,"unique_health":0.6,"utility":0.08,"years":0.5,"catchup":2,"mortality":0.03,"delay":0.1,"harm_q":0.0002,"basis":"One course rather than attendee visit;40% persistent depression,30% meaningful CBT-response/local delivery,60% distinct symptom-time. Mixed outpatient groups not BRIGHT's32hour residential protocol. Utility.08 separate judgment, no substance-use mortality added.","sensitivity":"Utility[-0.05,0.2], target[0,0.8], response[0,0.7], H[0,1].","cost_basis_years":0.5},{"id":"infection_linkage","cost":300,"external":0,"capacity":20,"target":0.06,"response":0.05,"unique_health":0.6,"utility":0.03,"years":3,"catchup":0.5,"mortality":0.05,"delay":0.25,"harm_q":0.00001,"basis":"One unique testing/linkage episode;6% actionable RNA-positive untreated HCV,5% earlier effective cure difference vs existing public referral,60% distinct morbidity. No 44.2point colocated RCT transplant and no paused peer program. Three-year symptom benefit only with later-care catchup; no liver deaths or transmission added. Treatment resource charged separately per selected patient, not per all test.","sensitivity":"Actionable[0,.2], earlier cure difference[-.05,.2], utility[-.01,.08], H[0,5].","cost_basis_years":3},{"id":"wound_care","cost":600,"external":800,"capacity":10,"target":0.4,"response":0.5,"unique_health":0.7,"utility":0.06,"years":0.038356164383561646,"catchup":10,"mortality":0.04,"delay":0.02,"harm_q":0.00005,"basis":"One acute wound-care course with partner medical resources;40% clinically symptomatic wounds,50% earlier meaningful healing relative to accessible public care,70% distinct physical symptom-time. Utility.06 and14day window clinical judgment, not measured GLIDE trial; no unobserved admissions or sepsis mortality.","sensitivity":"Utility[-.03,.15], target[0,.8], response[0,.9], days[0,60] with duration-sensitive resources.","cost_basis_years":0.038356164383561646}],"unresolved":[{"id":"policy","gift_share":0.04,"reason":"No causally attributable policy probability, displaced public spending or recipient map; cannot claim coalition budget as QALYs.","required_stress":"Signed independently elicited total policy Q with geography; no generic residual expected mean."},{"id":"infection_prevention_and_hiv_sti","gift_share":null,"reason":"Safer-use prevention, HIV/STI treatment and secondary transmission plausibly material but no case/diagnosis mix. HCV subgroup alone is not complete infection effect.","required_stress":"Separate selected incidence/diagnosis/care-acceleration parameters and finite competing-risk benefit; do not duplicate HCV or MOUD people-years."},{"id":"vaccination_and_other_primary_care","gift_share":null,"reason":"Wound care is named selected branch; vaccination counts/disease risks and other completed care unavailable.","required_stress":"Disease-specific vaccine or acute-care priors after cost/coverage allocation; no automatic course Q."},{"id":"affiliate","gift_share":0.04,"reason":"Exact Foundation-to-affiliate marginal flow not identified. Church activities not automatically Foundation donation effects.","required_stress":"Recipient-specific financial mapping."}],"expectation":{"status":"Not yet specified","reason":"Do not use central scenario price as whole-organization expected-value headline. Explicit correlated scenario weights and unresolved material branches need review."},"sources":[{"id":"impact","url":"https://www.glide.org/wp-content/uploads/2026/01/GLIDE-Impact-Report-2024-2025.pdf","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"heat","url":"https://www.glide.org/heat/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"moud_mortality","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/29913516/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"moud_engagement","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/25919527/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"cbt","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/21646576/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"advocacy_positive","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/10028208/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"advocacy_counterweight","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/20682933/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"parenting","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/17350966/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"parenting_followup","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/33573694/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"meals","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/30421335/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"meals_counterweight","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/38147326/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"hcv","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/35285851/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"}],"hcv_external_treatment_cost":15000,"hcv_external_treatment_cost_basis":"Gross course drug/lab/prescribing resource prior per nominal actionable HCV patient, before donor additionality or health-success discount; separate from testing cost. This over-associates some unchanged baseline care and is not net induced cost. No charge only for successful 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specification and coverage-ledger asset; not independently accepted or publication ready","recipient":{"name":"Glide Foundation","ein":"94-1156481","boundary":"Ordinary unrestricted Foundation gift. Consolidated financial context includes Church/property affiliates; no separate Church gift or presumed clinical effect."},"finance":{"year":2025,"consolidated_expenses":30766602,"program":18342460,"church":1922106,"administration":7766659,"development":2735377,"cash":5908995,"source":"https://www.glide.org/wp-content/uploads/2026/03/GLIDE-Foundation-2024-25-SA-FS-Final.pdf","basis":"Final audit, not impact report's pending-audit numbers. Cash is historical, not current spare funding."},"shared":{"gift":100000,"discount":0.03,"bay":0.99,"sf":0.95,"funding_additionality":0.4,"capacity_gift":100000,"common_external_fraction":0.2,"independent_harm_q":0},"shared_basis":{"funding_additionality":"Prior 0.4 [0,0.8]: current public grants, other donors and fixed capacity remain in no-gift world. Not estimated from contributions ratio.","capacity_gift":"100k scenario scale and assumed maximum absorbable tranche, NOT observed room; unknown room must be visible. Gift above cap still fully costed with capped output.","common_external_fraction":"0.2 [0,0.8] gross associated volunteer/common partner resources beyond branch-specific costs, not causal net cost or waived charges. Excludes clinical resources separately specified.","geography":"Bay0.99/SF0.95 priors, nested. No additional indirect Bay/SF benefit assigned; policy spillovers unresolved."},"allocation":{"rescue":0.1,"housing":0.1,"meals":0.22,"parenting":0.04,"childcare":0.06,"women":0.05,"moud":0.03,"behavioral":0.02,"infection_linkage":0.01,"wound_care":0.01,"policy":0.04,"common_operations":0.28,"property_affiliate":0.04},"allocation_basis":"Retains v1 top-level allocation priors; subdivides 7% other HEAT and 10% family. Entire gift costed; allocation does not cancel out of benefits. Not observed budget fractions. Service counts constrain plausibility, not QALYs.","survival":{"rescue_cost":500,"rescue_external":80,"rescue_capacity":100,"rescue_active_years":1,"moud_annual_foundation_cost":16000,"moud_annual_external_cost":6000,"moud_capacity":10,"moud_active_years":0.5,"moud_no_gift_treatment_share":0.5,"moud_effective_retention":0.5,"moud_observed_hr":0.63,"moud_causal_transfer":0.5,"baseline_all_cause_hazard":0.07,"rescue_hazard_reduction":0.005,"rescue_moud_overlap":0.5,"utility":0.7,"horizon_years":15,"delay_years":0.25,"rescue_harm_q":0.0001,"moud_harm_q":0.0002},"survival_basis":{"costs":"Rescue nominal annual unique-person safer-use/rescue-support package, not price per dose. MOUD Foundation cost is annualized access/support cost prior, minimum one annual budget unit for setup; active durations above one year scale Foundation/external costs linearly. External cost includes medication, prescribing, labs and public clinical delivery. 3%*30.77m/56 enrollees≈16.5k is only a plausibility check, not audited program cost or evidence of additional patients.","counts":"Impact report says 56 people enrolled in MAT, not verified deduplicated longitudinal treatment records. No 56*survival multiplier. Per-gift capacity10 is a prior and must stress to zero.","baseline":"Both rescue and medication compare with same current-care hazard. Medication effect shrunk halfway from observed HR0.63 toward1; no-gift treatment share handles replacement of existing accessible medication, retention handles effective funded-course completion, funding additionality handles donor displacement. None is a second multiplication by trial ITT adherence.","survival":"Three exclusive cohorts rescue-only/MOUD-only/both. While active h=(base-rescueReduction)*(1-(1-HR)*transfer) for both; remove each factor when its active period ends. Equal baseline hazard after funded care preserves but does not create a survival gap, capped at15years. No separate opioid deaths added to all-cause."},"housing":{"cost":10000,"external":300,"cash_transfer":3045,"capacity":10,"no_gift_stability":0.8,"incremental_stability":0.056,"unique_health":0.8,"utility":0.1,"years":1,"catchup_hazard":0,"mortality":0.01,"delay":0.1,"harm_q":0.0001},"housing_basis":"10k complete access/stabilization episode is a new prior, not v1 transfer-oriented3077. Current965254/317≈3045 is transfer per reported person, not full cost. 10% consolidated scale/317≈9706 contextual only. Stability difference0.112*0.5 transfer from prior VA evidence, capped by current80% no-gift stability. 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Cost plausibility22%*30.77m/620513≈10.9/meal, not observed marginal price.","sensitivity":"0.015 utility [-0.01,0.05]; selected share [0,0.5]; course30days [7,90] with proportional meal costs.","cost_basis_years":0.0821917808219178},{"id":"parenting","cost":4500,"external":300,"capacity":10,"target":0.3,"response":0.35,"unique_health":0.7,"utility":0.03,"years":0.5,"catchup":2,"mortality":0.01,"delay":0.1,"harm_q":0.0001,"basis":"One caregiver per meaningful class/support course; distressed share30%, trial-to-GLIDE delivery35%, unique mood/safety70%. Utility.03 and half-year window are weak priors; not trial-derived QALYs; catchup2/year. No child benefit in this row.","sensitivity":"Utility[-0.02,0.08], target[0,0.6], transfer[0,0.8], window[0,1].","cost_basis_years":0.5},{"id":"childcare","cost":13000,"external":600,"capacity":5,"target":0.2,"response":0.2,"unique_health":1,"utility":0.03,"years":0.5,"catchup":2,"mortality":0.002,"delay":0.1,"harm_q":0.0001,"basis":"One child with selected emotional/behavioral symptoms in meaningful socioemotional activity; not childcare economic value. Selected20%, effective-fidelity20% sharply below targeted12-week IY. Clinical utility and benefit probability weak priors; no parent spillover or lifetime conduct/crime/earnings.","sensitivity":"Utility[-0.02,0.06], target[0,0.5], delivery[0,0.6], H[0,1].","cost_basis_years":0.5},{"id":"women","cost":4000,"external":1000,"capacity":10,"target":0.35,"response":0.3,"unique_health":0.6,"utility":0.04,"years":0.5,"catchup":2,"mortality":0.02,"delay":0.05,"harm_q":0.0002,"basis":"One selected crisis/safety-support course;35% relevant trauma/abuse symptoms,30% effective clinical gain probability,60% distinct mood/safety outside housing/CBT. Weak positive central despite null advocacy counterweight, acknowledging intensive successful cases; no homicide survival or outreach multiplier.","sensitivity":"Utility[-0.04,0.1], target[0,0.7], response[0,0.7], unique[0,1].","cost_basis_years":0.5},{"id":"behavioral","cost":6000,"external":500,"capacity":5,"target":0.4,"response":0.3,"unique_health":0.6,"utility":0.08,"years":0.5,"catchup":2,"mortality":0.03,"delay":0.1,"harm_q":0.0002,"basis":"One course rather than attendee visit;40% persistent depression,30% meaningful CBT-response/local delivery,60% distinct symptom-time. Mixed outpatient groups not BRIGHT's32hour residential protocol. Utility.08 separate judgment, no substance-use mortality added.","sensitivity":"Utility[-0.05,0.2], target[0,0.8], response[0,0.7], H[0,1].","cost_basis_years":0.5},{"id":"infection_linkage","cost":300,"external":0,"capacity":20,"target":0.06,"response":0.05,"unique_health":0.6,"utility":0.03,"years":3,"catchup":0.5,"mortality":0.05,"delay":0.25,"harm_q":0.00001,"basis":"One unique testing/linkage episode;6% actionable RNA-positive untreated HCV,5% earlier effective cure difference vs existing public referral,60% distinct morbidity. No 44.2point colocated RCT transplant and no paused peer program. Three-year symptom benefit only with later-care catchup; no liver deaths or transmission added. Treatment resource charged separately per selected patient, not per all test.","sensitivity":"Actionable[0,.2], earlier cure difference[-.05,.2], utility[-.01,.08], H[0,5].","cost_basis_years":3},{"id":"wound_care","cost":600,"external":800,"capacity":10,"target":0.4,"response":0.5,"unique_health":0.7,"utility":0.06,"years":0.038356164383561646,"catchup":10,"mortality":0.04,"delay":0.02,"harm_q":0.00005,"basis":"One acute wound-care course with partner medical resources;40% clinically symptomatic wounds,50% earlier meaningful healing relative to accessible public care,70% distinct physical symptom-time. Utility.06 and14day window clinical judgment, not measured GLIDE trial; no unobserved admissions or sepsis mortality.","sensitivity":"Utility[-.03,.15], target[0,.8], response[0,.9], days[0,60] with duration-sensitive resources.","cost_basis_years":0.038356164383561646}],"unresolved":[{"id":"policy","gift_share":0.04,"reason":"No causally attributable policy probability, displaced public spending or recipient map; cannot claim coalition budget as QALYs.","required_stress":"Signed independently elicited total policy Q with geography; no generic residual expected mean."},{"id":"infection_prevention_and_hiv_sti","gift_share":null,"reason":"Safer-use prevention, HIV/STI treatment and secondary transmission plausibly material but no case/diagnosis mix. HCV subgroup alone is not complete infection effect.","required_stress":"Separate selected incidence/diagnosis/care-acceleration parameters and finite competing-risk benefit; do not duplicate HCV or MOUD people-years."},{"id":"vaccination_and_other_primary_care","gift_share":null,"reason":"Wound care is named selected branch; vaccination counts/disease risks and other completed care unavailable.","required_stress":"Disease-specific vaccine or acute-care priors after cost/coverage allocation; no automatic course Q."},{"id":"affiliate","gift_share":0.04,"reason":"Exact Foundation-to-affiliate marginal flow not identified. Church activities not automatically Foundation donation effects.","required_stress":"Recipient-specific financial mapping."}],"expectation":{"status":"Not yet specified","reason":"Do not use central scenario price as whole-organization expected-value headline. Explicit correlated scenario weights and unresolved material branches need review."},"sources":[{"id":"impact","url":"https://www.glide.org/wp-content/uploads/2026/01/GLIDE-Impact-Report-2024-2025.pdf","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"heat","url":"https://www.glide.org/heat/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"moud_mortality","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/29913516/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"moud_engagement","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/25919527/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"cbt","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/21646576/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"advocacy_positive","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/10028208/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"advocacy_counterweight","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/20682933/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"parenting","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/17350966/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"parenting_followup","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/33573694/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"meals","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/30421335/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"meals_counterweight","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/38147326/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"hcv","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/35285851/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"}],"hcv_external_treatment_cost":15000,"hcv_external_treatment_cost_basis":"Gross course drug/lab/prescribing resource prior per nominal actionable HCV patient, before donor additionality or health-success discount; separate from testing cost. This over-associates some unchanged baseline care and is not net induced cost. No charge only for successful cures."},"result":{"rescue_nominal":20,"moud_nominal":0.1875,"rescue_incremental":8,"moud_incremental":0.018750000000000003,"shared_survival_people":0.009375000000000001,"rescue_q_per_person":0.025439456706370614,"moud_q_per_person":0.03404288287571089,"joint_q_per_person":0.057196029090171276,"survival_q":0.20332877354402284,"housing_q":0.0017198322434524124,"groups":[{"id":"meals","nominal":20.37037037037037,"incremental":8.148148148148149,"qaly":0.0004889446902438877,"external":3666.6666666666665},{"id":"parenting","nominal":0.8888888888888888,"incremental":0.35555555555555557,"qaly":0.00020947381202396657,"external":266.66666666666663},{"id":"childcare","nominal":0.46153846153846156,"incremental":0.18461538461538463,"qaly":0.00005089300939531352,"external":276.92307692307696},{"id":"women","nominal":1.25,"incremental":0.5,"qaly":0.0002935596722978198,"external":1250},{"id":"behavioral","nominal":0.3333333333333333,"incremental":0.13333333333333333,"qaly":0.00021236551241056122,"external":166.66666666666666},{"id":"infection_linkage","nominal":3.3333333333333335,"incremental":1.3333333333333335,"qaly":0.00008831098942877887,"external":3000},{"id":"wound_care","nominal":1.6666666666666667,"incremental":0.6666666666666667,"qaly":0.00014473790721278225,"external":1333.3333333333335}],"gross_external":32985.256410256414,"gross_associated_funding":132985.2564102564,"rental_transfer_excluded":3045,"gross_resources":129940.2564102564,"us":{"qaly":0.20653689138048836,"donor_per_10q":4841750.029818017,"gross_resources_per_10q":6291382.403489197},"bay":{"qaly":0.2044715224666835,"donor_per_10q":4890656.595775775,"gross_resources_per_10q":6354931.720696158},"sf":{"qaly":0.19621004681146392,"donor_per_10q":5096578.9787558075,"gross_resources_per_10q":6622507.793146524}}},{"id":"no_additional_funding","inputs":{"model_id":"glide-foundation-material-coverage-v2-design","prepared_utc":"2026-09-09","status":"Prior specification and coverage-ledger asset; not independently accepted or publication ready","recipient":{"name":"Glide Foundation","ein":"94-1156481","boundary":"Ordinary unrestricted Foundation gift. Consolidated financial context includes Church/property affiliates; no separate Church gift or presumed clinical effect."},"finance":{"year":2025,"consolidated_expenses":30766602,"program":18342460,"church":1922106,"administration":7766659,"development":2735377,"cash":5908995,"source":"https://www.glide.org/wp-content/uploads/2026/03/GLIDE-Foundation-2024-25-SA-FS-Final.pdf","basis":"Final audit, not impact report's pending-audit numbers. Cash is historical, not current spare funding."},"shared":{"gift":100000,"discount":0.03,"bay":0.99,"sf":0.95,"funding_additionality":0,"capacity_gift":100000,"common_external_fraction":0.2,"independent_harm_q":0},"shared_basis":{"funding_additionality":"Prior 0.4 [0,0.8]: current public grants, other donors and fixed capacity remain in no-gift world. Not estimated from contributions ratio.","capacity_gift":"100k scenario scale and assumed maximum absorbable tranche, NOT observed room; unknown room must be visible. Gift above cap still fully costed with capped output.","common_external_fraction":"0.2 [0,0.8] gross associated volunteer/common partner resources beyond branch-specific costs, not causal net cost or waived charges. Excludes clinical resources separately specified.","geography":"Bay0.99/SF0.95 priors, nested. No additional indirect Bay/SF benefit assigned; policy spillovers unresolved."},"allocation":{"rescue":0.1,"housing":0.1,"meals":0.22,"parenting":0.04,"childcare":0.06,"women":0.05,"moud":0.03,"behavioral":0.02,"infection_linkage":0.01,"wound_care":0.01,"policy":0.04,"common_operations":0.28,"property_affiliate":0.04},"allocation_basis":"Retains v1 top-level allocation priors; subdivides 7% other HEAT and 10% family. Entire gift costed; allocation does not cancel out of benefits. Not observed budget fractions. Service counts constrain plausibility, not QALYs.","survival":{"rescue_cost":500,"rescue_external":80,"rescue_capacity":100,"rescue_active_years":1,"moud_annual_foundation_cost":16000,"moud_annual_external_cost":6000,"moud_capacity":10,"moud_active_years":0.5,"moud_no_gift_treatment_share":0.5,"moud_effective_retention":0.5,"moud_observed_hr":0.63,"moud_causal_transfer":0.5,"baseline_all_cause_hazard":0.07,"rescue_hazard_reduction":0.005,"rescue_moud_overlap":0.5,"utility":0.7,"horizon_years":15,"delay_years":0.25,"rescue_harm_q":0.0001,"moud_harm_q":0.0002},"survival_basis":{"costs":"Rescue nominal annual unique-person safer-use/rescue-support package, not price per dose. MOUD Foundation cost is annualized access/support cost prior, minimum one annual budget unit for setup; active durations above one year scale Foundation/external costs linearly. External cost includes medication, prescribing, labs and public clinical delivery. 3%*30.77m/56 enrollees≈16.5k is only a plausibility check, not audited program cost or evidence of additional patients.","counts":"Impact report says 56 people enrolled in MAT, not verified deduplicated longitudinal treatment records. No 56*survival multiplier. Per-gift capacity10 is a prior and must stress to zero.","baseline":"Both rescue and medication compare with same current-care hazard. Medication effect shrunk halfway from observed HR0.63 toward1; no-gift treatment share handles replacement of existing accessible medication, retention handles effective funded-course completion, funding additionality handles donor displacement. None is a second multiplication by trial ITT adherence.","survival":"Three exclusive cohorts rescue-only/MOUD-only/both. While active h=(base-rescueReduction)*(1-(1-HR)*transfer) for both; remove each factor when its active period ends. Equal baseline hazard after funded care preserves but does not create a survival gap, capped at15years. No separate opioid deaths added to all-cause."},"housing":{"cost":10000,"external":300,"cash_transfer":3045,"capacity":10,"no_gift_stability":0.8,"incremental_stability":0.056,"unique_health":0.8,"utility":0.1,"years":1,"catchup_hazard":0,"mortality":0.01,"delay":0.1,"harm_q":0.0001},"housing_basis":"10k complete access/stabilization episode is a new prior, not v1 transfer-oriented3077. Current965254/317≈3045 is transfer per reported person, not full cost. 10% consolidated scale/317≈9706 contextual only. Stability difference0.112*0.5 transfer from prior VA evidence, capped by current80% no-gift stability. Unique-health exclusion prevents housing mood/safety stacking.","groups":[{"id":"meals","cost":1080,"external":180,"capacity":50,"target":0.2,"response":0.5,"unique_health":0.65,"utility":0.015,"years":0.0821917808219178,"catchup":0,"mortality":0.01,"delay":0,"harm_q":0.00002,"basis":"Thirty-day 90-meal course at12/meal; meal supply consumed and replaces inadequate intake in selected20%, with50% symptom-response/local transfer. 0.015 utility for physical/mental symptoms only, not hunger preference or tailored-diet disease effect. Distinct symptom-time65%. No future mortality. Cost plausibility22%*30.77m/620513≈10.9/meal, not observed marginal price.","sensitivity":"0.015 utility [-0.01,0.05]; selected share [0,0.5]; course30days [7,90] with proportional meal costs.","cost_basis_years":0.0821917808219178},{"id":"parenting","cost":4500,"external":300,"capacity":10,"target":0.3,"response":0.35,"unique_health":0.7,"utility":0.03,"years":0.5,"catchup":2,"mortality":0.01,"delay":0.1,"harm_q":0.0001,"basis":"One caregiver per meaningful class/support course; distressed share30%, trial-to-GLIDE delivery35%, unique mood/safety70%. Utility.03 and half-year window are weak priors; not trial-derived QALYs; catchup2/year. No child benefit in this row.","sensitivity":"Utility[-0.02,0.08], target[0,0.6], transfer[0,0.8], window[0,1].","cost_basis_years":0.5},{"id":"childcare","cost":13000,"external":600,"capacity":5,"target":0.2,"response":0.2,"unique_health":1,"utility":0.03,"years":0.5,"catchup":2,"mortality":0.002,"delay":0.1,"harm_q":0.0001,"basis":"One child with selected emotional/behavioral symptoms in meaningful socioemotional activity; not childcare economic value. Selected20%, effective-fidelity20% sharply below targeted12-week IY. Clinical utility and benefit probability weak priors; no parent spillover or lifetime conduct/crime/earnings.","sensitivity":"Utility[-0.02,0.06], target[0,0.5], delivery[0,0.6], H[0,1].","cost_basis_years":0.5},{"id":"women","cost":4000,"external":1000,"capacity":10,"target":0.35,"response":0.3,"unique_health":0.6,"utility":0.04,"years":0.5,"catchup":2,"mortality":0.02,"delay":0.05,"harm_q":0.0002,"basis":"One selected crisis/safety-support course;35% relevant trauma/abuse symptoms,30% effective clinical gain probability,60% distinct mood/safety outside housing/CBT. Weak positive central despite null advocacy counterweight, acknowledging intensive successful cases; no homicide survival or outreach multiplier.","sensitivity":"Utility[-0.04,0.1], target[0,0.7], response[0,0.7], unique[0,1].","cost_basis_years":0.5},{"id":"behavioral","cost":6000,"external":500,"capacity":5,"target":0.4,"response":0.3,"unique_health":0.6,"utility":0.08,"years":0.5,"catchup":2,"mortality":0.03,"delay":0.1,"harm_q":0.0002,"basis":"One course rather than attendee visit;40% persistent depression,30% meaningful CBT-response/local delivery,60% distinct symptom-time. Mixed outpatient groups not BRIGHT's32hour residential protocol. Utility.08 separate judgment, no substance-use mortality added.","sensitivity":"Utility[-0.05,0.2], target[0,0.8], response[0,0.7], H[0,1].","cost_basis_years":0.5},{"id":"infection_linkage","cost":300,"external":0,"capacity":20,"target":0.06,"response":0.05,"unique_health":0.6,"utility":0.03,"years":3,"catchup":0.5,"mortality":0.05,"delay":0.25,"harm_q":0.00001,"basis":"One unique testing/linkage episode;6% actionable RNA-positive untreated HCV,5% earlier effective cure difference vs existing public referral,60% distinct morbidity. No 44.2point colocated RCT transplant and no paused peer program. Three-year symptom benefit only with later-care catchup; no liver deaths or transmission added. Treatment resource charged separately per selected patient, not per all test.","sensitivity":"Actionable[0,.2], earlier cure difference[-.05,.2], utility[-.01,.08], H[0,5].","cost_basis_years":3},{"id":"wound_care","cost":600,"external":800,"capacity":10,"target":0.4,"response":0.5,"unique_health":0.7,"utility":0.06,"years":0.038356164383561646,"catchup":10,"mortality":0.04,"delay":0.02,"harm_q":0.00005,"basis":"One acute wound-care course with partner medical resources;40% clinically symptomatic wounds,50% earlier meaningful healing relative to accessible public care,70% distinct physical symptom-time. Utility.06 and14day window clinical judgment, not measured GLIDE trial; no unobserved admissions or sepsis mortality.","sensitivity":"Utility[-.03,.15], target[0,.8], response[0,.9], days[0,60] with duration-sensitive resources.","cost_basis_years":0.038356164383561646}],"unresolved":[{"id":"policy","gift_share":0.04,"reason":"No causally attributable policy probability, displaced public spending or recipient map; cannot claim coalition budget as QALYs.","required_stress":"Signed independently elicited total policy Q with geography; no generic residual expected mean."},{"id":"infection_prevention_and_hiv_sti","gift_share":null,"reason":"Safer-use prevention, HIV/STI treatment and secondary transmission plausibly material but no case/diagnosis mix. HCV subgroup alone is not complete infection effect.","required_stress":"Separate selected incidence/diagnosis/care-acceleration parameters and finite competing-risk benefit; do not duplicate HCV or MOUD people-years."},{"id":"vaccination_and_other_primary_care","gift_share":null,"reason":"Wound care is named selected branch; vaccination counts/disease risks and other completed care unavailable.","required_stress":"Disease-specific vaccine or acute-care priors after cost/coverage allocation; no automatic course Q."},{"id":"affiliate","gift_share":0.04,"reason":"Exact Foundation-to-affiliate marginal flow not identified. Church activities not automatically Foundation donation effects.","required_stress":"Recipient-specific financial mapping."}],"expectation":{"status":"Not yet specified","reason":"Do not use central scenario price as whole-organization expected-value headline. Explicit correlated scenario weights and unresolved material branches need review."},"sources":[{"id":"impact","url":"https://www.glide.org/wp-content/uploads/2026/01/GLIDE-Impact-Report-2024-2025.pdf","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"heat","url":"https://www.glide.org/heat/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"moud_mortality","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/29913516/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"moud_engagement","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/25919527/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"cbt","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/21646576/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"advocacy_positive","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/10028208/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"advocacy_counterweight","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/20682933/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"parenting","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/17350966/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"parenting_followup","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/33573694/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"meals","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/30421335/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"meals_counterweight","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/38147326/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"hcv","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/35285851/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"}],"hcv_external_treatment_cost":15000,"hcv_external_treatment_cost_basis":"Gross course drug/lab/prescribing resource prior per nominal actionable HCV patient, before donor additionality or health-success discount; separate from testing cost. This over-associates some unchanged baseline care and is not net induced cost. No charge only for successful cures."},"result":{"rescue_nominal":20,"moud_nominal":0.1875,"rescue_incremental":0,"moud_incremental":0,"shared_survival_people":0,"rescue_q_per_person":0.025439456706370614,"moud_q_per_person":0.03404288287571089,"joint_q_per_person":0.057196029090171276,"survival_q":0,"housing_q":0,"groups":[{"id":"meals","nominal":20.37037037037037,"incremental":0,"qaly":0,"external":3666.6666666666665},{"id":"parenting","nominal":0.8888888888888888,"incremental":0,"qaly":0,"external":266.66666666666663},{"id":"childcare","nominal":0.46153846153846156,"incremental":0,"qaly":0,"external":276.92307692307696},{"id":"women","nominal":1.25,"incremental":0,"qaly":0,"external":1250},{"id":"behavioral","nominal":0.3333333333333333,"incremental":0,"qaly":0,"external":166.66666666666666},{"id":"infection_linkage","nominal":3.3333333333333335,"incremental":0,"qaly":0,"external":3000},{"id":"wound_care","nominal":1.6666666666666667,"incremental":0,"qaly":0,"external":1333.3333333333335}],"gross_external":32985.256410256414,"gross_associated_funding":132985.2564102564,"rental_transfer_excluded":3045,"gross_resources":129940.2564102564,"us":{"qaly":0,"donor_per_10q":null,"gross_resources_per_10q":null},"bay":{"qaly":0,"donor_per_10q":null,"gross_resources_per_10q":null},"sf":{"qaly":0,"donor_per_10q":null,"gross_resources_per_10q":null}}},{"id":"zero_absorbable_capacity","inputs":{"model_id":"glide-foundation-material-coverage-v2-design","prepared_utc":"2026-09-09","status":"Prior specification and coverage-ledger asset; not independently accepted or publication ready","recipient":{"name":"Glide Foundation","ein":"94-1156481","boundary":"Ordinary unrestricted Foundation gift. Consolidated financial context includes Church/property affiliates; no separate Church gift or presumed clinical effect."},"finance":{"year":2025,"consolidated_expenses":30766602,"program":18342460,"church":1922106,"administration":7766659,"development":2735377,"cash":5908995,"source":"https://www.glide.org/wp-content/uploads/2026/03/GLIDE-Foundation-2024-25-SA-FS-Final.pdf","basis":"Final audit, not impact report's pending-audit numbers. Cash is historical, not current spare funding."},"shared":{"gift":100000,"discount":0.03,"bay":0.99,"sf":0.95,"funding_additionality":0.4,"capacity_gift":0,"common_external_fraction":0.2,"independent_harm_q":0},"shared_basis":{"funding_additionality":"Prior 0.4 [0,0.8]: current public grants, other donors and fixed capacity remain in no-gift world. Not estimated from contributions ratio.","capacity_gift":"100k scenario scale and assumed maximum absorbable tranche, NOT observed room; unknown room must be visible. Gift above cap still fully costed with capped output.","common_external_fraction":"0.2 [0,0.8] gross associated volunteer/common partner resources beyond branch-specific costs, not causal net cost or waived charges. Excludes clinical resources separately specified.","geography":"Bay0.99/SF0.95 priors, nested. No additional indirect Bay/SF benefit assigned; policy spillovers unresolved."},"allocation":{"rescue":0.1,"housing":0.1,"meals":0.22,"parenting":0.04,"childcare":0.06,"women":0.05,"moud":0.03,"behavioral":0.02,"infection_linkage":0.01,"wound_care":0.01,"policy":0.04,"common_operations":0.28,"property_affiliate":0.04},"allocation_basis":"Retains v1 top-level allocation priors; subdivides 7% other HEAT and 10% family. Entire gift costed; allocation does not cancel out of benefits. Not observed budget fractions. Service counts constrain plausibility, not QALYs.","survival":{"rescue_cost":500,"rescue_external":80,"rescue_capacity":100,"rescue_active_years":1,"moud_annual_foundation_cost":16000,"moud_annual_external_cost":6000,"moud_capacity":10,"moud_active_years":0.5,"moud_no_gift_treatment_share":0.5,"moud_effective_retention":0.5,"moud_observed_hr":0.63,"moud_causal_transfer":0.5,"baseline_all_cause_hazard":0.07,"rescue_hazard_reduction":0.005,"rescue_moud_overlap":0.5,"utility":0.7,"horizon_years":15,"delay_years":0.25,"rescue_harm_q":0.0001,"moud_harm_q":0.0002},"survival_basis":{"costs":"Rescue nominal annual unique-person safer-use/rescue-support package, not price per dose. MOUD Foundation cost is annualized access/support cost prior, minimum one annual budget unit for setup; active durations above one year scale Foundation/external costs linearly. External cost includes medication, prescribing, labs and public clinical delivery. 3%*30.77m/56 enrollees≈16.5k is only a plausibility check, not audited program cost or evidence of additional patients.","counts":"Impact report says 56 people enrolled in MAT, not verified deduplicated longitudinal treatment records. No 56*survival multiplier. Per-gift capacity10 is a prior and must stress to zero.","baseline":"Both rescue and medication compare with same current-care hazard. Medication effect shrunk halfway from observed HR0.63 toward1; no-gift treatment share handles replacement of existing accessible medication, retention handles effective funded-course completion, funding additionality handles donor displacement. None is a second multiplication by trial ITT adherence.","survival":"Three exclusive cohorts rescue-only/MOUD-only/both. While active h=(base-rescueReduction)*(1-(1-HR)*transfer) for both; remove each factor when its active period ends. Equal baseline hazard after funded care preserves but does not create a survival gap, capped at15years. No separate opioid deaths added to all-cause."},"housing":{"cost":10000,"external":300,"cash_transfer":3045,"capacity":10,"no_gift_stability":0.8,"incremental_stability":0.056,"unique_health":0.8,"utility":0.1,"years":1,"catchup_hazard":0,"mortality":0.01,"delay":0.1,"harm_q":0.0001},"housing_basis":"10k complete access/stabilization episode is a new prior, not v1 transfer-oriented3077. Current965254/317≈3045 is transfer per reported person, not full cost. 10% consolidated scale/317≈9706 contextual only. Stability difference0.112*0.5 transfer from prior VA evidence, capped by current80% no-gift stability. Unique-health exclusion prevents housing mood/safety stacking.","groups":[{"id":"meals","cost":1080,"external":180,"capacity":50,"target":0.2,"response":0.5,"unique_health":0.65,"utility":0.015,"years":0.0821917808219178,"catchup":0,"mortality":0.01,"delay":0,"harm_q":0.00002,"basis":"Thirty-day 90-meal course at12/meal; meal supply consumed and replaces inadequate intake in selected20%, with50% symptom-response/local transfer. 0.015 utility for physical/mental symptoms only, not hunger preference or tailored-diet disease effect. Distinct symptom-time65%. No future mortality. Cost plausibility22%*30.77m/620513≈10.9/meal, not observed marginal price.","sensitivity":"0.015 utility [-0.01,0.05]; selected share [0,0.5]; course30days [7,90] with proportional meal costs.","cost_basis_years":0.0821917808219178},{"id":"parenting","cost":4500,"external":300,"capacity":10,"target":0.3,"response":0.35,"unique_health":0.7,"utility":0.03,"years":0.5,"catchup":2,"mortality":0.01,"delay":0.1,"harm_q":0.0001,"basis":"One caregiver per meaningful class/support course; distressed share30%, trial-to-GLIDE delivery35%, unique mood/safety70%. Utility.03 and half-year window are weak priors; not trial-derived QALYs; catchup2/year. No child benefit in this row.","sensitivity":"Utility[-0.02,0.08], target[0,0.6], transfer[0,0.8], window[0,1].","cost_basis_years":0.5},{"id":"childcare","cost":13000,"external":600,"capacity":5,"target":0.2,"response":0.2,"unique_health":1,"utility":0.03,"years":0.5,"catchup":2,"mortality":0.002,"delay":0.1,"harm_q":0.0001,"basis":"One child with selected emotional/behavioral symptoms in meaningful socioemotional activity; not childcare economic value. Selected20%, effective-fidelity20% sharply below targeted12-week IY. Clinical utility and benefit probability weak priors; no parent spillover or lifetime conduct/crime/earnings.","sensitivity":"Utility[-0.02,0.06], target[0,0.5], delivery[0,0.6], H[0,1].","cost_basis_years":0.5},{"id":"women","cost":4000,"external":1000,"capacity":10,"target":0.35,"response":0.3,"unique_health":0.6,"utility":0.04,"years":0.5,"catchup":2,"mortality":0.02,"delay":0.05,"harm_q":0.0002,"basis":"One selected crisis/safety-support course;35% relevant trauma/abuse symptoms,30% effective clinical gain probability,60% distinct mood/safety outside housing/CBT. Weak positive central despite null advocacy counterweight, acknowledging intensive successful cases; no homicide survival or outreach multiplier.","sensitivity":"Utility[-0.04,0.1], target[0,0.7], response[0,0.7], unique[0,1].","cost_basis_years":0.5},{"id":"behavioral","cost":6000,"external":500,"capacity":5,"target":0.4,"response":0.3,"unique_health":0.6,"utility":0.08,"years":0.5,"catchup":2,"mortality":0.03,"delay":0.1,"harm_q":0.0002,"basis":"One course rather than attendee visit;40% persistent depression,30% meaningful CBT-response/local delivery,60% distinct symptom-time. Mixed outpatient groups not BRIGHT's32hour residential protocol. Utility.08 separate judgment, no substance-use mortality added.","sensitivity":"Utility[-0.05,0.2], target[0,0.8], response[0,0.7], H[0,1].","cost_basis_years":0.5},{"id":"infection_linkage","cost":300,"external":0,"capacity":20,"target":0.06,"response":0.05,"unique_health":0.6,"utility":0.03,"years":3,"catchup":0.5,"mortality":0.05,"delay":0.25,"harm_q":0.00001,"basis":"One unique testing/linkage episode;6% actionable RNA-positive untreated HCV,5% earlier effective cure difference vs existing public referral,60% distinct morbidity. No 44.2point colocated RCT transplant and no paused peer program. Three-year symptom benefit only with later-care catchup; no liver deaths or transmission added. Treatment resource charged separately per selected patient, not per all test.","sensitivity":"Actionable[0,.2], earlier cure difference[-.05,.2], utility[-.01,.08], H[0,5].","cost_basis_years":3},{"id":"wound_care","cost":600,"external":800,"capacity":10,"target":0.4,"response":0.5,"unique_health":0.7,"utility":0.06,"years":0.038356164383561646,"catchup":10,"mortality":0.04,"delay":0.02,"harm_q":0.00005,"basis":"One acute wound-care course with partner medical resources;40% clinically symptomatic wounds,50% earlier meaningful healing relative to accessible public care,70% distinct physical symptom-time. Utility.06 and14day window clinical judgment, not measured GLIDE trial; no unobserved admissions or sepsis mortality.","sensitivity":"Utility[-.03,.15], target[0,.8], response[0,.9], days[0,60] with duration-sensitive resources.","cost_basis_years":0.038356164383561646}],"unresolved":[{"id":"policy","gift_share":0.04,"reason":"No causally attributable policy probability, displaced public spending or recipient map; cannot claim coalition budget as QALYs.","required_stress":"Signed independently elicited total policy Q with geography; no generic residual expected mean."},{"id":"infection_prevention_and_hiv_sti","gift_share":null,"reason":"Safer-use prevention, HIV/STI treatment and secondary transmission plausibly material but no case/diagnosis mix. HCV subgroup alone is not complete infection effect.","required_stress":"Separate selected incidence/diagnosis/care-acceleration parameters and finite competing-risk benefit; do not duplicate HCV or MOUD people-years."},{"id":"vaccination_and_other_primary_care","gift_share":null,"reason":"Wound care is named selected branch; vaccination counts/disease risks and other completed care unavailable.","required_stress":"Disease-specific vaccine or acute-care priors after cost/coverage allocation; no automatic course Q."},{"id":"affiliate","gift_share":0.04,"reason":"Exact Foundation-to-affiliate marginal flow not identified. Church activities not automatically Foundation donation effects.","required_stress":"Recipient-specific financial mapping."}],"expectation":{"status":"Not yet specified","reason":"Do not use central scenario price as whole-organization expected-value headline. Explicit correlated scenario weights and unresolved material branches need review."},"sources":[{"id":"impact","url":"https://www.glide.org/wp-content/uploads/2026/01/GLIDE-Impact-Report-2024-2025.pdf","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"heat","url":"https://www.glide.org/heat/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"moud_mortality","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/29913516/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"moud_engagement","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/25919527/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"cbt","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/21646576/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"advocacy_positive","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/10028208/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"advocacy_counterweight","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/20682933/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"parenting","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/17350966/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"parenting_followup","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/33573694/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"meals","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/30421335/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"meals_counterweight","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/38147326/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"hcv","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/35285851/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"}],"hcv_external_treatment_cost":15000,"hcv_external_treatment_cost_basis":"Gross course drug/lab/prescribing resource prior per nominal actionable HCV patient, before donor additionality or health-success discount; separate from testing cost. This over-associates some unchanged baseline care and is not net induced cost. No charge only for successful cures."},"result":{"rescue_nominal":0,"moud_nominal":0,"rescue_incremental":0,"moud_incremental":0,"shared_survival_people":0,"rescue_q_per_person":0.025439456706370614,"moud_q_per_person":0.03404288287571089,"joint_q_per_person":0.057196029090171276,"survival_q":0,"housing_q":0,"groups":[{"id":"meals","nominal":0,"incremental":0,"qaly":0,"external":0},{"id":"parenting","nominal":0,"incremental":0,"qaly":0,"external":0},{"id":"childcare","nominal":0,"incremental":0,"qaly":0,"external":0},{"id":"women","nominal":0,"incremental":0,"qaly":0,"external":0},{"id":"behavioral","nominal":0,"incremental":0,"qaly":0,"external":0},{"id":"infection_linkage","nominal":0,"incremental":0,"qaly":0,"external":0},{"id":"wound_care","nominal":0,"incremental":0,"qaly":0,"external":0}],"gross_external":0,"gross_associated_funding":100000,"rental_transfer_excluded":0,"gross_resources":100000,"us":{"qaly":0,"donor_per_10q":null,"gross_resources_per_10q":null},"bay":{"qaly":0,"donor_per_10q":null,"gross_resources_per_10q":null},"sf":{"qaly":0,"donor_per_10q":null,"gross_resources_per_10q":null}}},{"id":"harm_only","inputs":{"model_id":"glide-foundation-material-coverage-v2-design","prepared_utc":"2026-09-09","status":"Prior specification and coverage-ledger asset; not independently accepted or publication ready","recipient":{"name":"Glide Foundation","ein":"94-1156481","boundary":"Ordinary unrestricted Foundation gift. Consolidated financial context includes Church/property affiliates; no separate Church gift or presumed clinical effect."},"finance":{"year":2025,"consolidated_expenses":30766602,"program":18342460,"church":1922106,"administration":7766659,"development":2735377,"cash":5908995,"source":"https://www.glide.org/wp-content/uploads/2026/03/GLIDE-Foundation-2024-25-SA-FS-Final.pdf","basis":"Final audit, not impact report's pending-audit numbers. Cash is historical, not current spare funding."},"shared":{"gift":100000,"discount":0.03,"bay":0.99,"sf":0.95,"funding_additionality":0,"capacity_gift":100000,"common_external_fraction":0.2,"independent_harm_q":0.1},"shared_basis":{"funding_additionality":"Prior 0.4 [0,0.8]: current public grants, other donors and fixed capacity remain in no-gift world. Not estimated from contributions ratio.","capacity_gift":"100k scenario scale and assumed maximum absorbable tranche, NOT observed room; unknown room must be visible. Gift above cap still fully costed with capped output.","common_external_fraction":"0.2 [0,0.8] gross associated volunteer/common partner resources beyond branch-specific costs, not causal net cost or waived charges. Excludes clinical resources separately specified.","geography":"Bay0.99/SF0.95 priors, nested. No additional indirect Bay/SF benefit assigned; policy spillovers unresolved."},"allocation":{"rescue":0.1,"housing":0.1,"meals":0.22,"parenting":0.04,"childcare":0.06,"women":0.05,"moud":0.03,"behavioral":0.02,"infection_linkage":0.01,"wound_care":0.01,"policy":0.04,"common_operations":0.28,"property_affiliate":0.04},"allocation_basis":"Retains v1 top-level allocation priors; subdivides 7% other HEAT and 10% family. Entire gift costed; allocation does not cancel out of benefits. Not observed budget fractions. Service counts constrain plausibility, not QALYs.","survival":{"rescue_cost":500,"rescue_external":80,"rescue_capacity":100,"rescue_active_years":1,"moud_annual_foundation_cost":16000,"moud_annual_external_cost":6000,"moud_capacity":10,"moud_active_years":0.5,"moud_no_gift_treatment_share":0.5,"moud_effective_retention":0.5,"moud_observed_hr":0.63,"moud_causal_transfer":0.5,"baseline_all_cause_hazard":0.07,"rescue_hazard_reduction":0.005,"rescue_moud_overlap":0.5,"utility":0.7,"horizon_years":15,"delay_years":0.25,"rescue_harm_q":0.0001,"moud_harm_q":0.0002},"survival_basis":{"costs":"Rescue nominal annual unique-person safer-use/rescue-support package, not price per dose. MOUD Foundation cost is annualized access/support cost prior, minimum one annual budget unit for setup; active durations above one year scale Foundation/external costs linearly. External cost includes medication, prescribing, labs and public clinical delivery. 3%*30.77m/56 enrollees≈16.5k is only a plausibility check, not audited program cost or evidence of additional patients.","counts":"Impact report says 56 people enrolled in MAT, not verified deduplicated longitudinal treatment records. No 56*survival multiplier. Per-gift capacity10 is a prior and must stress to zero.","baseline":"Both rescue and medication compare with same current-care hazard. Medication effect shrunk halfway from observed HR0.63 toward1; no-gift treatment share handles replacement of existing accessible medication, retention handles effective funded-course completion, funding additionality handles donor displacement. None is a second multiplication by trial ITT adherence.","survival":"Three exclusive cohorts rescue-only/MOUD-only/both. While active h=(base-rescueReduction)*(1-(1-HR)*transfer) for both; remove each factor when its active period ends. Equal baseline hazard after funded care preserves but does not create a survival gap, capped at15years. No separate opioid deaths added to all-cause."},"housing":{"cost":10000,"external":300,"cash_transfer":3045,"capacity":10,"no_gift_stability":0.8,"incremental_stability":0.056,"unique_health":0.8,"utility":0.1,"years":1,"catchup_hazard":0,"mortality":0.01,"delay":0.1,"harm_q":0.0001},"housing_basis":"10k complete access/stabilization episode is a new prior, not v1 transfer-oriented3077. Current965254/317≈3045 is transfer per reported person, not full cost. 10% consolidated scale/317≈9706 contextual only. Stability difference0.112*0.5 transfer from prior VA evidence, capped by current80% no-gift stability. Unique-health exclusion prevents housing mood/safety stacking.","groups":[{"id":"meals","cost":1080,"external":180,"capacity":50,"target":0.2,"response":0.5,"unique_health":0.65,"utility":0.015,"years":0.0821917808219178,"catchup":0,"mortality":0.01,"delay":0,"harm_q":0.00002,"basis":"Thirty-day 90-meal course at12/meal; meal supply consumed and replaces inadequate intake in selected20%, with50% symptom-response/local transfer. 0.015 utility for physical/mental symptoms only, not hunger preference or tailored-diet disease effect. Distinct symptom-time65%. No future mortality. Cost plausibility22%*30.77m/620513≈10.9/meal, not observed marginal price.","sensitivity":"0.015 utility [-0.01,0.05]; selected share [0,0.5]; course30days [7,90] with proportional meal costs.","cost_basis_years":0.0821917808219178},{"id":"parenting","cost":4500,"external":300,"capacity":10,"target":0.3,"response":0.35,"unique_health":0.7,"utility":0.03,"years":0.5,"catchup":2,"mortality":0.01,"delay":0.1,"harm_q":0.0001,"basis":"One caregiver per meaningful class/support course; distressed share30%, trial-to-GLIDE delivery35%, unique mood/safety70%. Utility.03 and half-year window are weak priors; not trial-derived QALYs; catchup2/year. No child benefit in this row.","sensitivity":"Utility[-0.02,0.08], target[0,0.6], transfer[0,0.8], window[0,1].","cost_basis_years":0.5},{"id":"childcare","cost":13000,"external":600,"capacity":5,"target":0.2,"response":0.2,"unique_health":1,"utility":0.03,"years":0.5,"catchup":2,"mortality":0.002,"delay":0.1,"harm_q":0.0001,"basis":"One child with selected emotional/behavioral symptoms in meaningful socioemotional activity; not childcare economic value. Selected20%, effective-fidelity20% sharply below targeted12-week IY. Clinical utility and benefit probability weak priors; no parent spillover or lifetime conduct/crime/earnings.","sensitivity":"Utility[-0.02,0.06], target[0,0.5], delivery[0,0.6], H[0,1].","cost_basis_years":0.5},{"id":"women","cost":4000,"external":1000,"capacity":10,"target":0.35,"response":0.3,"unique_health":0.6,"utility":0.04,"years":0.5,"catchup":2,"mortality":0.02,"delay":0.05,"harm_q":0.0002,"basis":"One selected crisis/safety-support course;35% relevant trauma/abuse symptoms,30% effective clinical gain probability,60% distinct mood/safety outside housing/CBT. Weak positive central despite null advocacy counterweight, acknowledging intensive successful cases; no homicide survival or outreach multiplier.","sensitivity":"Utility[-0.04,0.1], target[0,0.7], response[0,0.7], unique[0,1].","cost_basis_years":0.5},{"id":"behavioral","cost":6000,"external":500,"capacity":5,"target":0.4,"response":0.3,"unique_health":0.6,"utility":0.08,"years":0.5,"catchup":2,"mortality":0.03,"delay":0.1,"harm_q":0.0002,"basis":"One course rather than attendee visit;40% persistent depression,30% meaningful CBT-response/local delivery,60% distinct symptom-time. Mixed outpatient groups not BRIGHT's32hour residential protocol. Utility.08 separate judgment, no substance-use mortality added.","sensitivity":"Utility[-0.05,0.2], target[0,0.8], response[0,0.7], H[0,1].","cost_basis_years":0.5},{"id":"infection_linkage","cost":300,"external":0,"capacity":20,"target":0.06,"response":0.05,"unique_health":0.6,"utility":0.03,"years":3,"catchup":0.5,"mortality":0.05,"delay":0.25,"harm_q":0.00001,"basis":"One unique testing/linkage episode;6% actionable RNA-positive untreated HCV,5% earlier effective cure difference vs existing public referral,60% distinct morbidity. No 44.2point colocated RCT transplant and no paused peer program. Three-year symptom benefit only with later-care catchup; no liver deaths or transmission added. Treatment resource charged separately per selected patient, not per all test.","sensitivity":"Actionable[0,.2], earlier cure difference[-.05,.2], utility[-.01,.08], H[0,5].","cost_basis_years":3},{"id":"wound_care","cost":600,"external":800,"capacity":10,"target":0.4,"response":0.5,"unique_health":0.7,"utility":0.06,"years":0.038356164383561646,"catchup":10,"mortality":0.04,"delay":0.02,"harm_q":0.00005,"basis":"One acute wound-care course with partner medical resources;40% clinically symptomatic wounds,50% earlier meaningful healing relative to accessible public care,70% distinct physical symptom-time. Utility.06 and14day window clinical judgment, not measured GLIDE trial; no unobserved admissions or sepsis mortality.","sensitivity":"Utility[-.03,.15], target[0,.8], response[0,.9], days[0,60] with duration-sensitive resources.","cost_basis_years":0.038356164383561646}],"unresolved":[{"id":"policy","gift_share":0.04,"reason":"No causally attributable policy probability, displaced public spending or recipient map; cannot claim coalition budget as QALYs.","required_stress":"Signed independently elicited total policy Q with geography; no generic residual expected mean."},{"id":"infection_prevention_and_hiv_sti","gift_share":null,"reason":"Safer-use prevention, HIV/STI treatment and secondary transmission plausibly material but no case/diagnosis mix. HCV subgroup alone is not complete infection effect.","required_stress":"Separate selected incidence/diagnosis/care-acceleration parameters and finite competing-risk benefit; do not duplicate HCV or MOUD people-years."},{"id":"vaccination_and_other_primary_care","gift_share":null,"reason":"Wound care is named selected branch; vaccination counts/disease risks and other completed care unavailable.","required_stress":"Disease-specific vaccine or acute-care priors after cost/coverage allocation; no automatic course Q."},{"id":"affiliate","gift_share":0.04,"reason":"Exact Foundation-to-affiliate marginal flow not identified. Church activities not automatically Foundation donation effects.","required_stress":"Recipient-specific financial mapping."}],"expectation":{"status":"Not yet specified","reason":"Do not use central scenario price as whole-organization expected-value headline. Explicit correlated scenario weights and unresolved material branches need review."},"sources":[{"id":"impact","url":"https://www.glide.org/wp-content/uploads/2026/01/GLIDE-Impact-Report-2024-2025.pdf","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"heat","url":"https://www.glide.org/heat/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"moud_mortality","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/29913516/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"moud_engagement","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/25919527/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"cbt","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/21646576/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"advocacy_positive","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/10028208/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"advocacy_counterweight","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/20682933/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"parenting","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/17350966/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"parenting_followup","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/33573694/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"meals","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/30421335/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"meals_counterweight","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/38147326/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"hcv","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/35285851/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"}],"hcv_external_treatment_cost":15000,"hcv_external_treatment_cost_basis":"Gross course drug/lab/prescribing resource prior per nominal actionable HCV patient, before donor additionality or health-success discount; separate from testing cost. This over-associates some unchanged baseline care and is not net induced cost. No charge only for successful cures."},"result":{"rescue_nominal":20,"moud_nominal":0.1875,"rescue_incremental":0,"moud_incremental":0,"shared_survival_people":0,"rescue_q_per_person":0.025439456706370614,"moud_q_per_person":0.03404288287571089,"joint_q_per_person":0.057196029090171276,"survival_q":0,"housing_q":0,"groups":[{"id":"meals","nominal":20.37037037037037,"incremental":0,"qaly":0,"external":3666.6666666666665},{"id":"parenting","nominal":0.8888888888888888,"incremental":0,"qaly":0,"external":266.66666666666663},{"id":"childcare","nominal":0.46153846153846156,"incremental":0,"qaly":0,"external":276.92307692307696},{"id":"women","nominal":1.25,"incremental":0,"qaly":0,"external":1250},{"id":"behavioral","nominal":0.3333333333333333,"incremental":0,"qaly":0,"external":166.66666666666666},{"id":"infection_linkage","nominal":3.3333333333333335,"incremental":0,"qaly":0,"external":3000},{"id":"wound_care","nominal":1.6666666666666667,"incremental":0,"qaly":0,"external":1333.3333333333335}],"gross_external":32985.256410256414,"gross_associated_funding":132985.2564102564,"rental_transfer_excluded":3045,"gross_resources":129940.2564102564,"us":{"qaly":-0.1,"donor_per_10q":null,"gross_resources_per_10q":null},"bay":{"qaly":-0.099,"donor_per_10q":null,"gross_resources_per_10q":null},"sf":{"qaly":-0.095,"donor_per_10q":null,"gross_resources_per_10q":null}}},{"id":"no_favorable_clinical_effect","inputs":{"model_id":"glide-foundation-material-coverage-v2-design","prepared_utc":"2026-09-09","status":"Prior specification and coverage-ledger asset; not independently accepted or publication ready","recipient":{"name":"Glide Foundation","ein":"94-1156481","boundary":"Ordinary unrestricted Foundation gift. Consolidated financial context includes Church/property affiliates; no separate Church gift or presumed clinical effect."},"finance":{"year":2025,"consolidated_expenses":30766602,"program":18342460,"church":1922106,"administration":7766659,"development":2735377,"cash":5908995,"source":"https://www.glide.org/wp-content/uploads/2026/03/GLIDE-Foundation-2024-25-SA-FS-Final.pdf","basis":"Final audit, not impact report's pending-audit numbers. Cash is historical, not current spare funding."},"shared":{"gift":100000,"discount":0.03,"bay":0.99,"sf":0.95,"funding_additionality":0.4,"capacity_gift":100000,"common_external_fraction":0.2,"independent_harm_q":0},"shared_basis":{"funding_additionality":"Prior 0.4 [0,0.8]: current public grants, other donors and fixed capacity remain in no-gift world. Not estimated from contributions ratio.","capacity_gift":"100k scenario scale and assumed maximum absorbable tranche, NOT observed room; unknown room must be visible. Gift above cap still fully costed with capped output.","common_external_fraction":"0.2 [0,0.8] gross associated volunteer/common partner resources beyond branch-specific costs, not causal net cost or waived charges. Excludes clinical resources separately specified.","geography":"Bay0.99/SF0.95 priors, nested. No additional indirect Bay/SF benefit assigned; policy spillovers unresolved."},"allocation":{"rescue":0.1,"housing":0.1,"meals":0.22,"parenting":0.04,"childcare":0.06,"women":0.05,"moud":0.03,"behavioral":0.02,"infection_linkage":0.01,"wound_care":0.01,"policy":0.04,"common_operations":0.28,"property_affiliate":0.04},"allocation_basis":"Retains v1 top-level allocation priors; subdivides 7% other HEAT and 10% family. Entire gift costed; allocation does not cancel out of benefits. Not observed budget fractions. Service counts constrain plausibility, not QALYs.","survival":{"rescue_cost":500,"rescue_external":80,"rescue_capacity":100,"rescue_active_years":1,"moud_annual_foundation_cost":16000,"moud_annual_external_cost":6000,"moud_capacity":10,"moud_active_years":0.5,"moud_no_gift_treatment_share":0.5,"moud_effective_retention":0.5,"moud_observed_hr":0.63,"moud_causal_transfer":0,"baseline_all_cause_hazard":0.07,"rescue_hazard_reduction":0,"rescue_moud_overlap":0.5,"utility":0.7,"horizon_years":15,"delay_years":0.25,"rescue_harm_q":0.0001,"moud_harm_q":0.0002},"survival_basis":{"costs":"Rescue nominal annual unique-person safer-use/rescue-support package, not price per dose. MOUD Foundation cost is annualized access/support cost prior, minimum one annual budget unit for setup; active durations above one year scale Foundation/external costs linearly. External cost includes medication, prescribing, labs and public clinical delivery. 3%*30.77m/56 enrollees≈16.5k is only a plausibility check, not audited program cost or evidence of additional patients.","counts":"Impact report says 56 people enrolled in MAT, not verified deduplicated longitudinal treatment records. No 56*survival multiplier. Per-gift capacity10 is a prior and must stress to zero.","baseline":"Both rescue and medication compare with same current-care hazard. Medication effect shrunk halfway from observed HR0.63 toward1; no-gift treatment share handles replacement of existing accessible medication, retention handles effective funded-course completion, funding additionality handles donor displacement. None is a second multiplication by trial ITT adherence.","survival":"Three exclusive cohorts rescue-only/MOUD-only/both. While active h=(base-rescueReduction)*(1-(1-HR)*transfer) for both; remove each factor when its active period ends. Equal baseline hazard after funded care preserves but does not create a survival gap, capped at15years. No separate opioid deaths added to all-cause."},"housing":{"cost":10000,"external":300,"cash_transfer":3045,"capacity":10,"no_gift_stability":0.8,"incremental_stability":0,"unique_health":0.8,"utility":0.1,"years":1,"catchup_hazard":0,"mortality":0.01,"delay":0.1,"harm_q":0.0001},"housing_basis":"10k complete access/stabilization episode is a new prior, not v1 transfer-oriented3077. Current965254/317≈3045 is transfer per reported person, not full cost. 10% consolidated scale/317≈9706 contextual only. Stability difference0.112*0.5 transfer from prior VA evidence, capped by current80% no-gift stability. Unique-health exclusion prevents housing mood/safety stacking.","groups":[{"id":"meals","cost":1080,"external":180,"capacity":50,"target":0.2,"response":0,"unique_health":0.65,"utility":0.015,"years":0.0821917808219178,"catchup":0,"mortality":0.01,"delay":0,"harm_q":0.00002,"basis":"Thirty-day 90-meal course at12/meal; meal supply consumed and replaces inadequate intake in selected20%, with50% symptom-response/local transfer. 0.015 utility for physical/mental symptoms only, not hunger preference or tailored-diet disease effect. Distinct symptom-time65%. No future mortality. Cost plausibility22%*30.77m/620513≈10.9/meal, not observed marginal price.","sensitivity":"0.015 utility [-0.01,0.05]; selected share [0,0.5]; course30days [7,90] with proportional meal costs.","cost_basis_years":0.0821917808219178},{"id":"parenting","cost":4500,"external":300,"capacity":10,"target":0.3,"response":0,"unique_health":0.7,"utility":0.03,"years":0.5,"catchup":2,"mortality":0.01,"delay":0.1,"harm_q":0.0001,"basis":"One caregiver per meaningful class/support course; distressed share30%, trial-to-GLIDE delivery35%, unique mood/safety70%. Utility.03 and half-year window are weak priors; not trial-derived QALYs; catchup2/year. No child benefit in this row.","sensitivity":"Utility[-0.02,0.08], target[0,0.6], transfer[0,0.8], window[0,1].","cost_basis_years":0.5},{"id":"childcare","cost":13000,"external":600,"capacity":5,"target":0.2,"response":0,"unique_health":1,"utility":0.03,"years":0.5,"catchup":2,"mortality":0.002,"delay":0.1,"harm_q":0.0001,"basis":"One child with selected emotional/behavioral symptoms in meaningful socioemotional activity; not childcare economic value. Selected20%, effective-fidelity20% sharply below targeted12-week IY. Clinical utility and benefit probability weak priors; no parent spillover or lifetime conduct/crime/earnings.","sensitivity":"Utility[-0.02,0.06], target[0,0.5], delivery[0,0.6], H[0,1].","cost_basis_years":0.5},{"id":"women","cost":4000,"external":1000,"capacity":10,"target":0.35,"response":0,"unique_health":0.6,"utility":0.04,"years":0.5,"catchup":2,"mortality":0.02,"delay":0.05,"harm_q":0.0002,"basis":"One selected crisis/safety-support course;35% relevant trauma/abuse symptoms,30% effective clinical gain probability,60% distinct mood/safety outside housing/CBT. Weak positive central despite null advocacy counterweight, acknowledging intensive successful cases; no homicide survival or outreach multiplier.","sensitivity":"Utility[-0.04,0.1], target[0,0.7], response[0,0.7], unique[0,1].","cost_basis_years":0.5},{"id":"behavioral","cost":6000,"external":500,"capacity":5,"target":0.4,"response":0,"unique_health":0.6,"utility":0.08,"years":0.5,"catchup":2,"mortality":0.03,"delay":0.1,"harm_q":0.0002,"basis":"One course rather than attendee visit;40% persistent depression,30% meaningful CBT-response/local delivery,60% distinct symptom-time. Mixed outpatient groups not BRIGHT's32hour residential protocol. Utility.08 separate judgment, no substance-use mortality added.","sensitivity":"Utility[-0.05,0.2], target[0,0.8], response[0,0.7], H[0,1].","cost_basis_years":0.5},{"id":"infection_linkage","cost":300,"external":0,"capacity":20,"target":0.06,"response":0,"unique_health":0.6,"utility":0.03,"years":3,"catchup":0.5,"mortality":0.05,"delay":0.25,"harm_q":0.00001,"basis":"One unique testing/linkage episode;6% actionable RNA-positive untreated HCV,5% earlier effective cure difference vs existing public referral,60% distinct morbidity. No 44.2point colocated RCT transplant and no paused peer program. Three-year symptom benefit only with later-care catchup; no liver deaths or transmission added. Treatment resource charged separately per selected patient, not per all test.","sensitivity":"Actionable[0,.2], earlier cure difference[-.05,.2], utility[-.01,.08], H[0,5].","cost_basis_years":3},{"id":"wound_care","cost":600,"external":800,"capacity":10,"target":0.4,"response":0,"unique_health":0.7,"utility":0.06,"years":0.038356164383561646,"catchup":10,"mortality":0.04,"delay":0.02,"harm_q":0.00005,"basis":"One acute wound-care course with partner medical resources;40% clinically symptomatic wounds,50% earlier meaningful healing relative to accessible public care,70% distinct physical symptom-time. Utility.06 and14day window clinical judgment, not measured GLIDE trial; no unobserved admissions or sepsis mortality.","sensitivity":"Utility[-.03,.15], target[0,.8], response[0,.9], days[0,60] with duration-sensitive resources.","cost_basis_years":0.038356164383561646}],"unresolved":[{"id":"policy","gift_share":0.04,"reason":"No causally attributable policy probability, displaced public spending or recipient map; cannot claim coalition budget as QALYs.","required_stress":"Signed independently elicited total policy Q with geography; no generic residual expected mean."},{"id":"infection_prevention_and_hiv_sti","gift_share":null,"reason":"Safer-use prevention, HIV/STI treatment and secondary transmission plausibly material but no case/diagnosis mix. HCV subgroup alone is not complete infection effect.","required_stress":"Separate selected incidence/diagnosis/care-acceleration parameters and finite competing-risk benefit; do not duplicate HCV or MOUD people-years."},{"id":"vaccination_and_other_primary_care","gift_share":null,"reason":"Wound care is named selected branch; vaccination counts/disease risks and other completed care unavailable.","required_stress":"Disease-specific vaccine or acute-care priors after cost/coverage allocation; no automatic course Q."},{"id":"affiliate","gift_share":0.04,"reason":"Exact Foundation-to-affiliate marginal flow not identified. Church activities not automatically Foundation donation effects.","required_stress":"Recipient-specific financial mapping."}],"expectation":{"status":"Not yet specified","reason":"Do not use central scenario price as whole-organization expected-value headline. Explicit correlated scenario weights and unresolved material branches need review."},"sources":[{"id":"impact","url":"https://www.glide.org/wp-content/uploads/2026/01/GLIDE-Impact-Report-2024-2025.pdf","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"heat","url":"https://www.glide.org/heat/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"moud_mortality","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/29913516/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"moud_engagement","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/25919527/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"cbt","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/21646576/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"advocacy_positive","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/10028208/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"advocacy_counterweight","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/20682933/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"parenting","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/17350966/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"parenting_followup","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/33573694/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"meals","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/30421335/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"meals_counterweight","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/38147326/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"hcv","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/35285851/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"}],"hcv_external_treatment_cost":15000,"hcv_external_treatment_cost_basis":"Gross course drug/lab/prescribing resource prior per nominal actionable HCV patient, before donor additionality or health-success discount; separate from testing cost. This over-associates some unchanged baseline care and is not net induced cost. No charge only for successful cures."},"result":{"rescue_nominal":20,"moud_nominal":0.1875,"rescue_incremental":8,"moud_incremental":0.018750000000000003,"shared_survival_people":0.009375000000000001,"rescue_q_per_person":0,"moud_q_per_person":0,"joint_q_per_person":0,"survival_q":-0.00080375,"housing_q":-0.000032000000000000005,"groups":[{"id":"meals","nominal":20.37037037037037,"incremental":8.148148148148149,"qaly":-0.00016296296296296298,"external":3666.6666666666665},{"id":"parenting","nominal":0.8888888888888888,"incremental":0.35555555555555557,"qaly":-0.00003555555555555556,"external":266.66666666666663},{"id":"childcare","nominal":0.46153846153846156,"incremental":0.18461538461538463,"qaly":-0.000018461538461538465,"external":276.92307692307696},{"id":"women","nominal":1.25,"incremental":0.5,"qaly":-0.0001,"external":1250},{"id":"behavioral","nominal":0.3333333333333333,"incremental":0.13333333333333333,"qaly":-0.000026666666666666667,"external":166.66666666666666},{"id":"infection_linkage","nominal":3.3333333333333335,"incremental":1.3333333333333335,"qaly":-0.000013333333333333337,"external":3000},{"id":"wound_care","nominal":1.6666666666666667,"incremental":0.6666666666666667,"qaly":-0.00003333333333333334,"external":1333.3333333333335}],"gross_external":32985.256410256414,"gross_associated_funding":132985.2564102564,"rental_transfer_excluded":3045,"gross_resources":129940.2564102564,"us":{"qaly":-0.0012260633903133904,"donor_per_10q":null,"gross_resources_per_10q":null},"bay":{"qaly":-0.0012138027564102566,"donor_per_10q":null,"gross_resources_per_10q":null},"sf":{"qaly":-0.001164760220797721,"donor_per_10q":null,"gross_resources_per_10q":null}}},{"id":"weak_delivery","inputs":{"model_id":"glide-foundation-material-coverage-v2-design","prepared_utc":"2026-09-09","status":"Prior specification and coverage-ledger asset; not independently accepted or publication ready","recipient":{"name":"Glide Foundation","ein":"94-1156481","boundary":"Ordinary unrestricted Foundation gift. Consolidated financial context includes Church/property affiliates; no separate Church gift or presumed clinical effect."},"finance":{"year":2025,"consolidated_expenses":30766602,"program":18342460,"church":1922106,"administration":7766659,"development":2735377,"cash":5908995,"source":"https://www.glide.org/wp-content/uploads/2026/03/GLIDE-Foundation-2024-25-SA-FS-Final.pdf","basis":"Final audit, not impact report's pending-audit numbers. Cash is historical, not current spare funding."},"shared":{"gift":100000,"discount":0.03,"bay":0.99,"sf":0.95,"funding_additionality":0.1,"capacity_gift":100000,"common_external_fraction":0.2,"independent_harm_q":0},"shared_basis":{"funding_additionality":"Prior 0.4 [0,0.8]: current public grants, other donors and fixed capacity remain in no-gift world. Not estimated from contributions ratio.","capacity_gift":"100k scenario scale and assumed maximum absorbable tranche, NOT observed room; unknown room must be visible. Gift above cap still fully costed with capped output.","common_external_fraction":"0.2 [0,0.8] gross associated volunteer/common partner resources beyond branch-specific costs, not causal net cost or waived charges. Excludes clinical resources separately specified.","geography":"Bay0.99/SF0.95 priors, nested. No additional indirect Bay/SF benefit assigned; policy spillovers unresolved."},"allocation":{"rescue":0.1,"housing":0.1,"meals":0.22,"parenting":0.04,"childcare":0.06,"women":0.05,"moud":0.03,"behavioral":0.02,"infection_linkage":0.01,"wound_care":0.01,"policy":0.04,"common_operations":0.28,"property_affiliate":0.04},"allocation_basis":"Retains v1 top-level allocation priors; subdivides 7% other HEAT and 10% family. Entire gift costed; allocation does not cancel out of benefits. Not observed budget fractions. Service counts constrain plausibility, not QALYs.","survival":{"rescue_cost":500,"rescue_external":80,"rescue_capacity":100,"rescue_active_years":1,"moud_annual_foundation_cost":16000,"moud_annual_external_cost":6000,"moud_capacity":10,"moud_active_years":0.5,"moud_no_gift_treatment_share":0.5,"moud_effective_retention":0.5,"moud_observed_hr":0.63,"moud_causal_transfer":0.1,"baseline_all_cause_hazard":0.07,"rescue_hazard_reduction":0.001,"rescue_moud_overlap":0.5,"utility":0.7,"horizon_years":15,"delay_years":0.25,"rescue_harm_q":0.0001,"moud_harm_q":0.0002},"survival_basis":{"costs":"Rescue nominal annual unique-person safer-use/rescue-support package, not price per dose. MOUD Foundation cost is annualized access/support cost prior, minimum one annual budget unit for setup; active durations above one year scale Foundation/external costs linearly. External cost includes medication, prescribing, labs and public clinical delivery. 3%*30.77m/56 enrollees≈16.5k is only a plausibility check, not audited program cost or evidence of additional patients.","counts":"Impact report says 56 people enrolled in MAT, not verified deduplicated longitudinal treatment records. No 56*survival multiplier. Per-gift capacity10 is a prior and must stress to zero.","baseline":"Both rescue and medication compare with same current-care hazard. Medication effect shrunk halfway from observed HR0.63 toward1; no-gift treatment share handles replacement of existing accessible medication, retention handles effective funded-course completion, funding additionality handles donor displacement. None is a second multiplication by trial ITT adherence.","survival":"Three exclusive cohorts rescue-only/MOUD-only/both. While active h=(base-rescueReduction)*(1-(1-HR)*transfer) for both; remove each factor when its active period ends. Equal baseline hazard after funded care preserves but does not create a survival gap, capped at15years. No separate opioid deaths added to all-cause."},"housing":{"cost":10000,"external":300,"cash_transfer":3045,"capacity":10,"no_gift_stability":0.8,"incremental_stability":0.01,"unique_health":0.8,"utility":0.1,"years":1,"catchup_hazard":0,"mortality":0.01,"delay":0.1,"harm_q":0.0001},"housing_basis":"10k complete access/stabilization episode is a new prior, not v1 transfer-oriented3077. Current965254/317≈3045 is transfer per reported person, not full cost. 10% consolidated scale/317≈9706 contextual only. Stability difference0.112*0.5 transfer from prior VA evidence, capped by current80% no-gift stability. Unique-health exclusion prevents housing mood/safety stacking.","groups":[{"id":"meals","cost":1080,"external":180,"capacity":50,"target":0.2,"response":0.125,"unique_health":0.65,"utility":0.015,"years":0.0821917808219178,"catchup":0,"mortality":0.01,"delay":0,"harm_q":0.00002,"basis":"Thirty-day 90-meal course at12/meal; meal supply consumed and replaces inadequate intake in selected20%, with50% symptom-response/local transfer. 0.015 utility for physical/mental symptoms only, not hunger preference or tailored-diet disease effect. Distinct symptom-time65%. No future mortality. Cost plausibility22%*30.77m/620513≈10.9/meal, not observed marginal price.","sensitivity":"0.015 utility [-0.01,0.05]; selected share [0,0.5]; course30days [7,90] with proportional meal costs.","cost_basis_years":0.0821917808219178},{"id":"parenting","cost":4500,"external":300,"capacity":10,"target":0.3,"response":0.0875,"unique_health":0.7,"utility":0.03,"years":0.5,"catchup":2,"mortality":0.01,"delay":0.1,"harm_q":0.0001,"basis":"One caregiver per meaningful class/support course; distressed share30%, trial-to-GLIDE delivery35%, unique mood/safety70%. Utility.03 and half-year window are weak priors; not trial-derived QALYs; catchup2/year. No child benefit in this row.","sensitivity":"Utility[-0.02,0.08], target[0,0.6], transfer[0,0.8], window[0,1].","cost_basis_years":0.5},{"id":"childcare","cost":13000,"external":600,"capacity":5,"target":0.2,"response":0.05,"unique_health":1,"utility":0.03,"years":0.5,"catchup":2,"mortality":0.002,"delay":0.1,"harm_q":0.0001,"basis":"One child with selected emotional/behavioral symptoms in meaningful socioemotional activity; not childcare economic value. Selected20%, effective-fidelity20% sharply below targeted12-week IY. Clinical utility and benefit probability weak priors; no parent spillover or lifetime conduct/crime/earnings.","sensitivity":"Utility[-0.02,0.06], target[0,0.5], delivery[0,0.6], H[0,1].","cost_basis_years":0.5},{"id":"women","cost":4000,"external":1000,"capacity":10,"target":0.35,"response":0.075,"unique_health":0.6,"utility":0.04,"years":0.5,"catchup":2,"mortality":0.02,"delay":0.05,"harm_q":0.0002,"basis":"One selected crisis/safety-support course;35% relevant trauma/abuse symptoms,30% effective clinical gain probability,60% distinct mood/safety outside housing/CBT. Weak positive central despite null advocacy counterweight, acknowledging intensive successful cases; no homicide survival or outreach multiplier.","sensitivity":"Utility[-0.04,0.1], target[0,0.7], response[0,0.7], unique[0,1].","cost_basis_years":0.5},{"id":"behavioral","cost":6000,"external":500,"capacity":5,"target":0.4,"response":0.075,"unique_health":0.6,"utility":0.08,"years":0.5,"catchup":2,"mortality":0.03,"delay":0.1,"harm_q":0.0002,"basis":"One course rather than attendee visit;40% persistent depression,30% meaningful CBT-response/local delivery,60% distinct symptom-time. Mixed outpatient groups not BRIGHT's32hour residential protocol. Utility.08 separate judgment, no substance-use mortality added.","sensitivity":"Utility[-0.05,0.2], target[0,0.8], response[0,0.7], H[0,1].","cost_basis_years":0.5},{"id":"infection_linkage","cost":300,"external":0,"capacity":20,"target":0.06,"response":0.0125,"unique_health":0.6,"utility":0.03,"years":3,"catchup":0.5,"mortality":0.05,"delay":0.25,"harm_q":0.00001,"basis":"One unique testing/linkage episode;6% actionable RNA-positive untreated HCV,5% earlier effective cure difference vs existing public referral,60% distinct morbidity. No 44.2point colocated RCT transplant and no paused peer program. Three-year symptom benefit only with later-care catchup; no liver deaths or transmission added. Treatment resource charged separately per selected patient, not per all test.","sensitivity":"Actionable[0,.2], earlier cure difference[-.05,.2], utility[-.01,.08], H[0,5].","cost_basis_years":3},{"id":"wound_care","cost":600,"external":800,"capacity":10,"target":0.4,"response":0.125,"unique_health":0.7,"utility":0.06,"years":0.038356164383561646,"catchup":10,"mortality":0.04,"delay":0.02,"harm_q":0.00005,"basis":"One acute wound-care course with partner medical resources;40% clinically symptomatic wounds,50% earlier meaningful healing relative to accessible public care,70% distinct physical symptom-time. Utility.06 and14day window clinical judgment, not measured GLIDE trial; no unobserved admissions or sepsis mortality.","sensitivity":"Utility[-.03,.15], target[0,.8], response[0,.9], days[0,60] with duration-sensitive resources.","cost_basis_years":0.038356164383561646}],"unresolved":[{"id":"policy","gift_share":0.04,"reason":"No causally attributable policy probability, displaced public spending or recipient map; cannot claim coalition budget as QALYs.","required_stress":"Signed independently elicited total policy Q with geography; no generic residual expected mean."},{"id":"infection_prevention_and_hiv_sti","gift_share":null,"reason":"Safer-use prevention, HIV/STI treatment and secondary transmission plausibly material but no case/diagnosis mix. HCV subgroup alone is not complete infection effect.","required_stress":"Separate selected incidence/diagnosis/care-acceleration parameters and finite competing-risk benefit; do not duplicate HCV or MOUD people-years."},{"id":"vaccination_and_other_primary_care","gift_share":null,"reason":"Wound care is named selected branch; vaccination counts/disease risks and other completed care unavailable.","required_stress":"Disease-specific vaccine or acute-care priors after cost/coverage allocation; no automatic course Q."},{"id":"affiliate","gift_share":0.04,"reason":"Exact Foundation-to-affiliate marginal flow not identified. Church activities not automatically Foundation donation effects.","required_stress":"Recipient-specific financial mapping."}],"expectation":{"status":"Not yet specified","reason":"Do not use central scenario price as whole-organization expected-value headline. Explicit correlated scenario weights and unresolved material branches need review."},"sources":[{"id":"impact","url":"https://www.glide.org/wp-content/uploads/2026/01/GLIDE-Impact-Report-2024-2025.pdf","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"heat","url":"https://www.glide.org/heat/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"moud_mortality","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/29913516/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"moud_engagement","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/25919527/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"cbt","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/21646576/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"advocacy_positive","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/10028208/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"advocacy_counterweight","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/20682933/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"parenting","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/17350966/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"parenting_followup","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/33573694/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"meals","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/30421335/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"meals_counterweight","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/38147326/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"hcv","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/35285851/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"}],"hcv_external_treatment_cost":15000,"hcv_external_treatment_cost_basis":"Gross course drug/lab/prescribing resource prior per nominal actionable HCV patient, before donor additionality or health-success discount; separate from testing cost. This over-associates some unchanged baseline care and is not net induced cost. No charge only for successful cures."},"result":{"rescue_nominal":20,"moud_nominal":0.1875,"rescue_incremental":2,"moud_incremental":0.004687500000000001,"shared_survival_people":0.0023437500000000003,"rescue_q_per_person":0.005077941180437039,"moud_q_per_person":0.006791143361084093,"joint_q_per_person":0.011778456982474952,"survival_q":0.009986565937037645,"housing_q":0.00007020679658269697,"groups":[{"id":"meals","nominal":20.37037037037037,"incremental":2.037037037037037,"qaly":3.4875846874193442e-9,"external":3666.6666666666665},{"id":"parenting","nominal":0.8888888888888888,"incremental":0.08888888888888889,"qaly":0.000006425446584831245,"external":266.66666666666663},{"id":"childcare","nominal":0.46153846153846156,"incremental":0.046153846153846156,"qaly":-2.8072537433136675e-7,"external":276.92307692307696},{"id":"women","nominal":1.25,"incremental":0.125,"qaly":-4.025204813862657e-7,"external":1250},{"id":"behavioral","nominal":0.3333333333333333,"incremental":0.03333333333333333,"qaly":0.000008272844525660077,"external":166.66666666666666},{"id":"infection_linkage","nominal":3.3333333333333335,"incremental":0.33333333333333337,"qaly":0.000003019436839298679,"external":3000},{"id":"wound_care","nominal":1.6666666666666667,"incremental":0.16666666666666669,"qaly":0.0000027961192007988893,"external":1333.3333333333335}],"gross_external":32985.256410256414,"gross_associated_funding":132985.2564102564,"rental_transfer_excluded":3045,"gross_resources":129940.2564102564,"us":{"qaly":0.0100766068224999,"donor_per_10q":99239755.76452139,"gross_resources_per_10q":128952393.1013313},"bay":{"qaly":0.009975840754274901,"donor_per_10q":100242177.5399206,"gross_resources_per_10q":130254942.52659728},"sf":{"qaly":0.009572776481374905,"donor_per_10q":104462900.80475935,"gross_resources_per_10q":135739361.1592961}}},{"id":"favorable_delivery","inputs":{"model_id":"glide-foundation-material-coverage-v2-design","prepared_utc":"2026-09-09","status":"Prior specification and coverage-ledger asset; not independently accepted or publication ready","recipient":{"name":"Glide Foundation","ein":"94-1156481","boundary":"Ordinary unrestricted Foundation gift. Consolidated financial context includes Church/property affiliates; no separate Church gift or presumed clinical effect."},"finance":{"year":2025,"consolidated_expenses":30766602,"program":18342460,"church":1922106,"administration":7766659,"development":2735377,"cash":5908995,"source":"https://www.glide.org/wp-content/uploads/2026/03/GLIDE-Foundation-2024-25-SA-FS-Final.pdf","basis":"Final audit, not impact report's pending-audit numbers. Cash is historical, not current spare funding."},"shared":{"gift":100000,"discount":0.03,"bay":0.99,"sf":0.95,"funding_additionality":0.7,"capacity_gift":100000,"common_external_fraction":0.2,"independent_harm_q":0},"shared_basis":{"funding_additionality":"Prior 0.4 [0,0.8]: current public grants, other donors and fixed capacity remain in no-gift world. Not estimated from contributions ratio.","capacity_gift":"100k scenario scale and assumed maximum absorbable tranche, NOT observed room; unknown room must be visible. Gift above cap still fully costed with capped output.","common_external_fraction":"0.2 [0,0.8] gross associated volunteer/common partner resources beyond branch-specific costs, not causal net cost or waived charges. Excludes clinical resources separately specified.","geography":"Bay0.99/SF0.95 priors, nested. No additional indirect Bay/SF benefit assigned; policy spillovers unresolved."},"allocation":{"rescue":0.1,"housing":0.1,"meals":0.22,"parenting":0.04,"childcare":0.06,"women":0.05,"moud":0.03,"behavioral":0.02,"infection_linkage":0.01,"wound_care":0.01,"policy":0.04,"common_operations":0.28,"property_affiliate":0.04},"allocation_basis":"Retains v1 top-level allocation priors; subdivides 7% other HEAT and 10% family. Entire gift costed; allocation does not cancel out of benefits. Not observed budget fractions. Service counts constrain plausibility, not QALYs.","survival":{"rescue_cost":500,"rescue_external":80,"rescue_capacity":100,"rescue_active_years":1,"moud_annual_foundation_cost":16000,"moud_annual_external_cost":6000,"moud_capacity":10,"moud_active_years":0.5,"moud_no_gift_treatment_share":0.5,"moud_effective_retention":0.8,"moud_observed_hr":0.63,"moud_causal_transfer":0.8,"baseline_all_cause_hazard":0.07,"rescue_hazard_reduction":0.01,"rescue_moud_overlap":0.5,"utility":0.7,"horizon_years":15,"delay_years":0.25,"rescue_harm_q":0.0001,"moud_harm_q":0.0002},"survival_basis":{"costs":"Rescue nominal annual unique-person safer-use/rescue-support package, not price per dose. MOUD Foundation cost is annualized access/support cost prior, minimum one annual budget unit for setup; active durations above one year scale Foundation/external costs linearly. External cost includes medication, prescribing, labs and public clinical delivery. 3%*30.77m/56 enrollees≈16.5k is only a plausibility check, not audited program cost or evidence of additional patients.","counts":"Impact report says 56 people enrolled in MAT, not verified deduplicated longitudinal treatment records. No 56*survival multiplier. Per-gift capacity10 is a prior and must stress to zero.","baseline":"Both rescue and medication compare with same current-care hazard. Medication effect shrunk halfway from observed HR0.63 toward1; no-gift treatment share handles replacement of existing accessible medication, retention handles effective funded-course completion, funding additionality handles donor displacement. None is a second multiplication by trial ITT adherence.","survival":"Three exclusive cohorts rescue-only/MOUD-only/both. While active h=(base-rescueReduction)*(1-(1-HR)*transfer) for both; remove each factor when its active period ends. Equal baseline hazard after funded care preserves but does not create a survival gap, capped at15years. No separate opioid deaths added to all-cause."},"housing":{"cost":10000,"external":300,"cash_transfer":3045,"capacity":10,"no_gift_stability":0.8,"incremental_stability":0.112,"unique_health":0.8,"utility":0.1,"years":1,"catchup_hazard":0,"mortality":0.01,"delay":0.1,"harm_q":0.0001},"housing_basis":"10k complete access/stabilization episode is a new prior, not v1 transfer-oriented3077. Current965254/317≈3045 is transfer per reported person, not full cost. 10% consolidated scale/317≈9706 contextual only. Stability difference0.112*0.5 transfer from prior VA evidence, capped by current80% no-gift stability. Unique-health exclusion prevents housing mood/safety stacking.","groups":[{"id":"meals","cost":1080,"external":180,"capacity":50,"target":0.2,"response":1,"unique_health":0.65,"utility":0.015,"years":0.0821917808219178,"catchup":0,"mortality":0.01,"delay":0,"harm_q":0.00002,"basis":"Thirty-day 90-meal course at12/meal; meal supply consumed and replaces inadequate intake in selected20%, with50% symptom-response/local transfer. 0.015 utility for physical/mental symptoms only, not hunger preference or tailored-diet disease effect. Distinct symptom-time65%. No future mortality. Cost plausibility22%*30.77m/620513≈10.9/meal, not observed marginal price.","sensitivity":"0.015 utility [-0.01,0.05]; selected share [0,0.5]; course30days [7,90] with proportional meal costs.","cost_basis_years":0.0821917808219178},{"id":"parenting","cost":4500,"external":300,"capacity":10,"target":0.3,"response":0.7,"unique_health":0.7,"utility":0.03,"years":0.5,"catchup":2,"mortality":0.01,"delay":0.1,"harm_q":0.0001,"basis":"One caregiver per meaningful class/support course; distressed share30%, trial-to-GLIDE delivery35%, unique mood/safety70%. Utility.03 and half-year window are weak priors; not trial-derived QALYs; catchup2/year. No child benefit in this row.","sensitivity":"Utility[-0.02,0.08], target[0,0.6], transfer[0,0.8], window[0,1].","cost_basis_years":0.5},{"id":"childcare","cost":13000,"external":600,"capacity":5,"target":0.2,"response":0.4,"unique_health":1,"utility":0.03,"years":0.5,"catchup":2,"mortality":0.002,"delay":0.1,"harm_q":0.0001,"basis":"One child with selected emotional/behavioral symptoms in meaningful socioemotional activity; not childcare economic value. Selected20%, effective-fidelity20% sharply below targeted12-week IY. Clinical utility and benefit probability weak priors; no parent spillover or lifetime conduct/crime/earnings.","sensitivity":"Utility[-0.02,0.06], target[0,0.5], delivery[0,0.6], H[0,1].","cost_basis_years":0.5},{"id":"women","cost":4000,"external":1000,"capacity":10,"target":0.35,"response":0.6,"unique_health":0.6,"utility":0.04,"years":0.5,"catchup":2,"mortality":0.02,"delay":0.05,"harm_q":0.0002,"basis":"One selected crisis/safety-support course;35% relevant trauma/abuse symptoms,30% effective clinical gain probability,60% distinct mood/safety outside housing/CBT. Weak positive central despite null advocacy counterweight, acknowledging intensive successful cases; no homicide survival or outreach multiplier.","sensitivity":"Utility[-0.04,0.1], target[0,0.7], response[0,0.7], unique[0,1].","cost_basis_years":0.5},{"id":"behavioral","cost":6000,"external":500,"capacity":5,"target":0.4,"response":0.6,"unique_health":0.6,"utility":0.08,"years":0.5,"catchup":2,"mortality":0.03,"delay":0.1,"harm_q":0.0002,"basis":"One course rather than attendee visit;40% persistent depression,30% meaningful CBT-response/local delivery,60% distinct symptom-time. Mixed outpatient groups not BRIGHT's32hour residential protocol. Utility.08 separate judgment, no substance-use mortality added.","sensitivity":"Utility[-0.05,0.2], target[0,0.8], response[0,0.7], H[0,1].","cost_basis_years":0.5},{"id":"infection_linkage","cost":300,"external":0,"capacity":20,"target":0.06,"response":0.1,"unique_health":0.6,"utility":0.03,"years":3,"catchup":0.5,"mortality":0.05,"delay":0.25,"harm_q":0.00001,"basis":"One unique testing/linkage episode;6% actionable RNA-positive untreated HCV,5% earlier effective cure difference vs existing public referral,60% distinct morbidity. No 44.2point colocated RCT transplant and no paused peer program. Three-year symptom benefit only with later-care catchup; no liver deaths or transmission added. Treatment resource charged separately per selected patient, not per all test.","sensitivity":"Actionable[0,.2], earlier cure difference[-.05,.2], utility[-.01,.08], H[0,5].","cost_basis_years":3},{"id":"wound_care","cost":600,"external":800,"capacity":10,"target":0.4,"response":1,"unique_health":0.7,"utility":0.06,"years":0.038356164383561646,"catchup":10,"mortality":0.04,"delay":0.02,"harm_q":0.00005,"basis":"One acute wound-care course with partner medical resources;40% clinically symptomatic wounds,50% earlier meaningful healing relative to accessible public care,70% distinct physical symptom-time. Utility.06 and14day window clinical judgment, not measured GLIDE trial; no unobserved admissions or sepsis mortality.","sensitivity":"Utility[-.03,.15], target[0,.8], response[0,.9], days[0,60] with duration-sensitive resources.","cost_basis_years":0.038356164383561646}],"unresolved":[{"id":"policy","gift_share":0.04,"reason":"No causally attributable policy probability, displaced public spending or recipient map; cannot claim coalition budget as QALYs.","required_stress":"Signed independently elicited total policy Q with geography; no generic residual expected mean."},{"id":"infection_prevention_and_hiv_sti","gift_share":null,"reason":"Safer-use prevention, HIV/STI treatment and secondary transmission plausibly material but no case/diagnosis mix. HCV subgroup alone is not complete infection effect.","required_stress":"Separate selected incidence/diagnosis/care-acceleration parameters and finite competing-risk benefit; do not duplicate HCV or MOUD people-years."},{"id":"vaccination_and_other_primary_care","gift_share":null,"reason":"Wound care is named selected branch; vaccination counts/disease risks and other completed care unavailable.","required_stress":"Disease-specific vaccine or acute-care priors after cost/coverage allocation; no automatic course Q."},{"id":"affiliate","gift_share":0.04,"reason":"Exact Foundation-to-affiliate marginal flow not identified. Church activities not automatically Foundation donation effects.","required_stress":"Recipient-specific financial mapping."}],"expectation":{"status":"Not yet specified","reason":"Do not use central scenario price as whole-organization expected-value headline. Explicit correlated scenario weights and unresolved material branches need review."},"sources":[{"id":"impact","url":"https://www.glide.org/wp-content/uploads/2026/01/GLIDE-Impact-Report-2024-2025.pdf","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"heat","url":"https://www.glide.org/heat/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"moud_mortality","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/29913516/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"moud_engagement","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/25919527/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"cbt","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/21646576/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"advocacy_positive","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/10028208/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"advocacy_counterweight","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/20682933/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"parenting","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/17350966/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"parenting_followup","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/33573694/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"meals","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/30421335/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"meals_counterweight","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/38147326/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"hcv","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/35285851/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"}],"hcv_external_treatment_cost":15000,"hcv_external_treatment_cost_basis":"Gross course drug/lab/prescribing resource prior per nominal actionable HCV patient, before donor additionality or health-success discount; separate from testing cost. This over-associates some unchanged baseline care and is not net induced cost. No charge only for successful cures."},"result":{"rescue_nominal":20,"moud_nominal":0.1875,"rescue_incremental":14,"moud_incremental":0.05249999999999999,"shared_survival_people":0.026249999999999996,"rescue_q_per_person":0.0510036601918401,"moud_q_per_person":0.054573526847657115,"joint_q_per_person":0.09819908550252997,"survival_q":0.7153121776799181,"housing_q":0.0060754128520834425,"groups":[{"id":"meals","nominal":20.37037037037037,"incremental":14.259259259259258,"qaly":0.0019964916010387916,"external":3666.6666666666665},{"id":"parenting","nominal":0.8888888888888888,"incremental":0.6222222222222221,"qaly":0.0007953805643061051,"external":266.66666666666663},{"id":"childcare","nominal":0.46153846153846156,"incremental":0.3230769230769231,"qaly":0.00021043322519128963,"external":276.92307692307696},{"id":"women","nominal":1.25,"incremental":0.875,"qaly":0.0012024588530423692,"external":1250},{"id":"behavioral","nominal":0.3333333333333333,"incremental":0.2333333333333333,"qaly":0.0007899459601036309,"external":166.66666666666666},{"id":"infection_linkage","nominal":3.3333333333333335,"incremental":2.3333333333333335,"qaly":0.00033242179633405936,"external":3000},{"id":"wound_care","nominal":1.6666666666666667,"incremental":1.1666666666666667,"qaly":0.0005649160085780711,"external":1333.3333333333335}],"gross_external":32985.256410256414,"gross_associated_funding":132985.2564102564,"rental_transfer_excluded":3045,"gross_resources":129940.2564102564,"us":{"qaly":0.7272796385405959,"donor_per_10q":1374986.9335083568,"gross_resources_per_10q":1786661.5470082804},"bay":{"qaly":0.7200068421551898,"donor_per_10q":1388875.6904124818,"gross_resources_per_10q":1804708.6333416975},"sf":{"qaly":0.690915656613566,"donor_per_10q":1447354.666850902,"gross_resources_per_10q":1880696.3652718742}}},{"id":"no_moud_effect","inputs":{"model_id":"glide-foundation-material-coverage-v2-design","prepared_utc":"2026-09-09","status":"Prior specification and coverage-ledger asset; not independently accepted or publication ready","recipient":{"name":"Glide Foundation","ein":"94-1156481","boundary":"Ordinary unrestricted Foundation gift. Consolidated financial context includes Church/property affiliates; no separate Church gift or presumed clinical effect."},"finance":{"year":2025,"consolidated_expenses":30766602,"program":18342460,"church":1922106,"administration":7766659,"development":2735377,"cash":5908995,"source":"https://www.glide.org/wp-content/uploads/2026/03/GLIDE-Foundation-2024-25-SA-FS-Final.pdf","basis":"Final audit, not impact report's pending-audit numbers. Cash is historical, not current spare funding."},"shared":{"gift":100000,"discount":0.03,"bay":0.99,"sf":0.95,"funding_additionality":0.4,"capacity_gift":100000,"common_external_fraction":0.2,"independent_harm_q":0},"shared_basis":{"funding_additionality":"Prior 0.4 [0,0.8]: current public grants, other donors and fixed capacity remain in no-gift world. Not estimated from contributions ratio.","capacity_gift":"100k scenario scale and assumed maximum absorbable tranche, NOT observed room; unknown room must be visible. Gift above cap still fully costed with capped output.","common_external_fraction":"0.2 [0,0.8] gross associated volunteer/common partner resources beyond branch-specific costs, not causal net cost or waived charges. Excludes clinical resources separately specified.","geography":"Bay0.99/SF0.95 priors, nested. No additional indirect Bay/SF benefit assigned; policy spillovers unresolved."},"allocation":{"rescue":0.1,"housing":0.1,"meals":0.22,"parenting":0.04,"childcare":0.06,"women":0.05,"moud":0.03,"behavioral":0.02,"infection_linkage":0.01,"wound_care":0.01,"policy":0.04,"common_operations":0.28,"property_affiliate":0.04},"allocation_basis":"Retains v1 top-level allocation priors; subdivides 7% other HEAT and 10% family. Entire gift costed; allocation does not cancel out of benefits. Not observed budget fractions. Service counts constrain plausibility, not QALYs.","survival":{"rescue_cost":500,"rescue_external":80,"rescue_capacity":100,"rescue_active_years":1,"moud_annual_foundation_cost":16000,"moud_annual_external_cost":6000,"moud_capacity":10,"moud_active_years":0.5,"moud_no_gift_treatment_share":0.5,"moud_effective_retention":0.5,"moud_observed_hr":0.63,"moud_causal_transfer":0,"baseline_all_cause_hazard":0.07,"rescue_hazard_reduction":0.005,"rescue_moud_overlap":0.5,"utility":0.7,"horizon_years":15,"delay_years":0.25,"rescue_harm_q":0.0001,"moud_harm_q":0.0002},"survival_basis":{"costs":"Rescue nominal annual unique-person safer-use/rescue-support package, not price per dose. MOUD Foundation cost is annualized access/support cost prior, minimum one annual budget unit for setup; active durations above one year scale Foundation/external costs linearly. External cost includes medication, prescribing, labs and public clinical delivery. 3%*30.77m/56 enrollees≈16.5k is only a plausibility check, not audited program cost or evidence of additional patients.","counts":"Impact report says 56 people enrolled in MAT, not verified deduplicated longitudinal treatment records. No 56*survival multiplier. Per-gift capacity10 is a prior and must stress to zero.","baseline":"Both rescue and medication compare with same current-care hazard. Medication effect shrunk halfway from observed HR0.63 toward1; no-gift treatment share handles replacement of existing accessible medication, retention handles effective funded-course completion, funding additionality handles donor displacement. None is a second multiplication by trial ITT adherence.","survival":"Three exclusive cohorts rescue-only/MOUD-only/both. While active h=(base-rescueReduction)*(1-(1-HR)*transfer) for both; remove each factor when its active period ends. Equal baseline hazard after funded care preserves but does not create a survival gap, capped at15years. No separate opioid deaths added to all-cause."},"housing":{"cost":10000,"external":300,"cash_transfer":3045,"capacity":10,"no_gift_stability":0.8,"incremental_stability":0.056,"unique_health":0.8,"utility":0.1,"years":1,"catchup_hazard":0,"mortality":0.01,"delay":0.1,"harm_q":0.0001},"housing_basis":"10k complete access/stabilization episode is a new prior, not v1 transfer-oriented3077. Current965254/317≈3045 is transfer per reported person, not full cost. 10% consolidated scale/317≈9706 contextual only. Stability difference0.112*0.5 transfer from prior VA evidence, capped by current80% no-gift stability. Unique-health exclusion prevents housing mood/safety stacking.","groups":[{"id":"meals","cost":1080,"external":180,"capacity":50,"target":0.2,"response":0.5,"unique_health":0.65,"utility":0.015,"years":0.0821917808219178,"catchup":0,"mortality":0.01,"delay":0,"harm_q":0.00002,"basis":"Thirty-day 90-meal course at12/meal; meal supply consumed and replaces inadequate intake in selected20%, with50% symptom-response/local transfer. 0.015 utility for physical/mental symptoms only, not hunger preference or tailored-diet disease effect. Distinct symptom-time65%. No future mortality. Cost plausibility22%*30.77m/620513≈10.9/meal, not observed marginal price.","sensitivity":"0.015 utility [-0.01,0.05]; selected share [0,0.5]; course30days [7,90] with proportional meal costs.","cost_basis_years":0.0821917808219178},{"id":"parenting","cost":4500,"external":300,"capacity":10,"target":0.3,"response":0.35,"unique_health":0.7,"utility":0.03,"years":0.5,"catchup":2,"mortality":0.01,"delay":0.1,"harm_q":0.0001,"basis":"One caregiver per meaningful class/support course; distressed share30%, trial-to-GLIDE delivery35%, unique mood/safety70%. Utility.03 and half-year window are weak priors; not trial-derived QALYs; catchup2/year. No child benefit in this row.","sensitivity":"Utility[-0.02,0.08], target[0,0.6], transfer[0,0.8], window[0,1].","cost_basis_years":0.5},{"id":"childcare","cost":13000,"external":600,"capacity":5,"target":0.2,"response":0.2,"unique_health":1,"utility":0.03,"years":0.5,"catchup":2,"mortality":0.002,"delay":0.1,"harm_q":0.0001,"basis":"One child with selected emotional/behavioral symptoms in meaningful socioemotional activity; not childcare economic value. Selected20%, effective-fidelity20% sharply below targeted12-week IY. Clinical utility and benefit probability weak priors; no parent spillover or lifetime conduct/crime/earnings.","sensitivity":"Utility[-0.02,0.06], target[0,0.5], delivery[0,0.6], H[0,1].","cost_basis_years":0.5},{"id":"women","cost":4000,"external":1000,"capacity":10,"target":0.35,"response":0.3,"unique_health":0.6,"utility":0.04,"years":0.5,"catchup":2,"mortality":0.02,"delay":0.05,"harm_q":0.0002,"basis":"One selected crisis/safety-support course;35% relevant trauma/abuse symptoms,30% effective clinical gain probability,60% distinct mood/safety outside housing/CBT. Weak positive central despite null advocacy counterweight, acknowledging intensive successful cases; no homicide survival or outreach multiplier.","sensitivity":"Utility[-0.04,0.1], target[0,0.7], response[0,0.7], unique[0,1].","cost_basis_years":0.5},{"id":"behavioral","cost":6000,"external":500,"capacity":5,"target":0.4,"response":0.3,"unique_health":0.6,"utility":0.08,"years":0.5,"catchup":2,"mortality":0.03,"delay":0.1,"harm_q":0.0002,"basis":"One course rather than attendee visit;40% persistent depression,30% meaningful CBT-response/local delivery,60% distinct symptom-time. Mixed outpatient groups not BRIGHT's32hour residential protocol. Utility.08 separate judgment, no substance-use mortality added.","sensitivity":"Utility[-0.05,0.2], target[0,0.8], response[0,0.7], H[0,1].","cost_basis_years":0.5},{"id":"infection_linkage","cost":300,"external":0,"capacity":20,"target":0.06,"response":0.05,"unique_health":0.6,"utility":0.03,"years":3,"catchup":0.5,"mortality":0.05,"delay":0.25,"harm_q":0.00001,"basis":"One unique testing/linkage episode;6% actionable RNA-positive untreated HCV,5% earlier effective cure difference vs existing public referral,60% distinct morbidity. No 44.2point colocated RCT transplant and no paused peer program. Three-year symptom benefit only with later-care catchup; no liver deaths or transmission added. Treatment resource charged separately per selected patient, not per all test.","sensitivity":"Actionable[0,.2], earlier cure difference[-.05,.2], utility[-.01,.08], H[0,5].","cost_basis_years":3},{"id":"wound_care","cost":600,"external":800,"capacity":10,"target":0.4,"response":0.5,"unique_health":0.7,"utility":0.06,"years":0.038356164383561646,"catchup":10,"mortality":0.04,"delay":0.02,"harm_q":0.00005,"basis":"One acute wound-care course with partner medical resources;40% clinically symptomatic wounds,50% earlier meaningful healing relative to accessible public care,70% distinct physical symptom-time. Utility.06 and14day window clinical judgment, not measured GLIDE trial; no unobserved admissions or sepsis mortality.","sensitivity":"Utility[-.03,.15], target[0,.8], response[0,.9], days[0,60] with duration-sensitive resources.","cost_basis_years":0.038356164383561646}],"unresolved":[{"id":"policy","gift_share":0.04,"reason":"No causally attributable policy probability, displaced public spending or recipient map; cannot claim coalition budget as QALYs.","required_stress":"Signed independently elicited total policy Q with geography; no generic residual expected mean."},{"id":"infection_prevention_and_hiv_sti","gift_share":null,"reason":"Safer-use prevention, HIV/STI treatment and secondary transmission plausibly material but no case/diagnosis mix. HCV subgroup alone is not complete infection effect.","required_stress":"Separate selected incidence/diagnosis/care-acceleration parameters and finite competing-risk benefit; do not duplicate HCV or MOUD people-years."},{"id":"vaccination_and_other_primary_care","gift_share":null,"reason":"Wound care is named selected branch; vaccination counts/disease risks and other completed care unavailable.","required_stress":"Disease-specific vaccine or acute-care priors after cost/coverage allocation; no automatic course Q."},{"id":"affiliate","gift_share":0.04,"reason":"Exact Foundation-to-affiliate marginal flow not identified. Church activities not automatically Foundation donation effects.","required_stress":"Recipient-specific financial mapping."}],"expectation":{"status":"Not yet specified","reason":"Do not use central scenario price as whole-organization expected-value headline. Explicit correlated scenario weights and unresolved material branches need review."},"sources":[{"id":"impact","url":"https://www.glide.org/wp-content/uploads/2026/01/GLIDE-Impact-Report-2024-2025.pdf","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"heat","url":"https://www.glide.org/heat/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"moud_mortality","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/29913516/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"moud_engagement","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/25919527/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"cbt","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/21646576/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"advocacy_positive","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/10028208/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"advocacy_counterweight","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/20682933/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"parenting","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/17350966/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"parenting_followup","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/33573694/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"meals","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/30421335/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"meals_counterweight","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/38147326/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"hcv","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/35285851/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"}],"hcv_external_treatment_cost":15000,"hcv_external_treatment_cost_basis":"Gross course drug/lab/prescribing resource prior per nominal actionable HCV patient, before donor additionality or health-success discount; separate from testing cost. This over-associates some unchanged baseline care and is not net induced cost. No charge only for successful cures."},"result":{"rescue_nominal":20,"moud_nominal":0.1875,"rescue_incremental":8,"moud_incremental":0.018750000000000003,"shared_survival_people":0.009375000000000001,"rescue_q_per_person":0.025439456706370614,"moud_q_per_person":0,"joint_q_per_person":0.025439456706371256,"survival_q":0.20271190365096492,"housing_q":0.0017198322434524124,"groups":[{"id":"meals","nominal":20.37037037037037,"incremental":8.148148148148149,"qaly":0.0004889446902438877,"external":3666.6666666666665},{"id":"parenting","nominal":0.8888888888888888,"incremental":0.35555555555555557,"qaly":0.00020947381202396657,"external":266.66666666666663},{"id":"childcare","nominal":0.46153846153846156,"incremental":0.18461538461538463,"qaly":0.00005089300939531352,"external":276.92307692307696},{"id":"women","nominal":1.25,"incremental":0.5,"qaly":0.0002935596722978198,"external":1250},{"id":"behavioral","nominal":0.3333333333333333,"incremental":0.13333333333333333,"qaly":0.00021236551241056122,"external":166.66666666666666},{"id":"infection_linkage","nominal":3.3333333333333335,"incremental":1.3333333333333335,"qaly":0.00008831098942877887,"external":3000},{"id":"wound_care","nominal":1.6666666666666667,"incremental":0.6666666666666667,"qaly":0.00014473790721278225,"external":1333.3333333333335}],"gross_external":32985.256410256414,"gross_associated_funding":132985.2564102564,"rental_transfer_excluded":3045,"gross_resources":129940.2564102564,"us":{"qaly":0.20592002148743044,"donor_per_10q":4856254.349512299,"gross_resources_per_10q":6310229.35369051},"bay":{"qaly":0.20386082127255614,"donor_per_10q":4905307.423749796,"gross_resources_per_10q":6373969.044131828},"sf":{"qaly":0.1956240204130589,"donor_per_10q":5111846.683697157,"gross_resources_per_10q":6642346.688095273}}},{"id":"no_rescue_effect","inputs":{"model_id":"glide-foundation-material-coverage-v2-design","prepared_utc":"2026-09-09","status":"Prior specification and coverage-ledger asset; not independently accepted or publication ready","recipient":{"name":"Glide Foundation","ein":"94-1156481","boundary":"Ordinary unrestricted Foundation gift. Consolidated financial context includes Church/property affiliates; no separate Church gift or presumed clinical effect."},"finance":{"year":2025,"consolidated_expenses":30766602,"program":18342460,"church":1922106,"administration":7766659,"development":2735377,"cash":5908995,"source":"https://www.glide.org/wp-content/uploads/2026/03/GLIDE-Foundation-2024-25-SA-FS-Final.pdf","basis":"Final audit, not impact report's pending-audit numbers. Cash is historical, not current spare funding."},"shared":{"gift":100000,"discount":0.03,"bay":0.99,"sf":0.95,"funding_additionality":0.4,"capacity_gift":100000,"common_external_fraction":0.2,"independent_harm_q":0},"shared_basis":{"funding_additionality":"Prior 0.4 [0,0.8]: current public grants, other donors and fixed capacity remain in no-gift world. Not estimated from contributions ratio.","capacity_gift":"100k scenario scale and assumed maximum absorbable tranche, NOT observed room; unknown room must be visible. Gift above cap still fully costed with capped output.","common_external_fraction":"0.2 [0,0.8] gross associated volunteer/common partner resources beyond branch-specific costs, not causal net cost or waived charges. Excludes clinical resources separately specified.","geography":"Bay0.99/SF0.95 priors, nested. No additional indirect Bay/SF benefit assigned; policy spillovers unresolved."},"allocation":{"rescue":0.1,"housing":0.1,"meals":0.22,"parenting":0.04,"childcare":0.06,"women":0.05,"moud":0.03,"behavioral":0.02,"infection_linkage":0.01,"wound_care":0.01,"policy":0.04,"common_operations":0.28,"property_affiliate":0.04},"allocation_basis":"Retains v1 top-level allocation priors; subdivides 7% other HEAT and 10% family. Entire gift costed; allocation does not cancel out of benefits. Not observed budget fractions. Service counts constrain plausibility, not QALYs.","survival":{"rescue_cost":500,"rescue_external":80,"rescue_capacity":100,"rescue_active_years":1,"moud_annual_foundation_cost":16000,"moud_annual_external_cost":6000,"moud_capacity":10,"moud_active_years":0.5,"moud_no_gift_treatment_share":0.5,"moud_effective_retention":0.5,"moud_observed_hr":0.63,"moud_causal_transfer":0.5,"baseline_all_cause_hazard":0.07,"rescue_hazard_reduction":0,"rescue_moud_overlap":0.5,"utility":0.7,"horizon_years":15,"delay_years":0.25,"rescue_harm_q":0.0001,"moud_harm_q":0.0002},"survival_basis":{"costs":"Rescue nominal annual unique-person safer-use/rescue-support package, not price per dose. MOUD Foundation cost is annualized access/support cost prior, minimum one annual budget unit for setup; active durations above one year scale Foundation/external costs linearly. External cost includes medication, prescribing, labs and public clinical delivery. 3%*30.77m/56 enrollees≈16.5k is only a plausibility check, not audited program cost or evidence of additional patients.","counts":"Impact report says 56 people enrolled in MAT, not verified deduplicated longitudinal treatment records. No 56*survival multiplier. Per-gift capacity10 is a prior and must stress to zero.","baseline":"Both rescue and medication compare with same current-care hazard. Medication effect shrunk halfway from observed HR0.63 toward1; no-gift treatment share handles replacement of existing accessible medication, retention handles effective funded-course completion, funding additionality handles donor displacement. None is a second multiplication by trial ITT adherence.","survival":"Three exclusive cohorts rescue-only/MOUD-only/both. While active h=(base-rescueReduction)*(1-(1-HR)*transfer) for both; remove each factor when its active period ends. Equal baseline hazard after funded care preserves but does not create a survival gap, capped at15years. No separate opioid deaths added to all-cause."},"housing":{"cost":10000,"external":300,"cash_transfer":3045,"capacity":10,"no_gift_stability":0.8,"incremental_stability":0.056,"unique_health":0.8,"utility":0.1,"years":1,"catchup_hazard":0,"mortality":0.01,"delay":0.1,"harm_q":0.0001},"housing_basis":"10k complete access/stabilization episode is a new prior, not v1 transfer-oriented3077. Current965254/317≈3045 is transfer per reported person, not full cost. 10% consolidated scale/317≈9706 contextual only. Stability difference0.112*0.5 transfer from prior VA evidence, capped by current80% no-gift stability. Unique-health exclusion prevents housing mood/safety stacking.","groups":[{"id":"meals","cost":1080,"external":180,"capacity":50,"target":0.2,"response":0.5,"unique_health":0.65,"utility":0.015,"years":0.0821917808219178,"catchup":0,"mortality":0.01,"delay":0,"harm_q":0.00002,"basis":"Thirty-day 90-meal course at12/meal; meal supply consumed and replaces inadequate intake in selected20%, with50% symptom-response/local transfer. 0.015 utility for physical/mental symptoms only, not hunger preference or tailored-diet disease effect. Distinct symptom-time65%. No future mortality. Cost plausibility22%*30.77m/620513≈10.9/meal, not observed marginal price.","sensitivity":"0.015 utility [-0.01,0.05]; selected share [0,0.5]; course30days [7,90] with proportional meal costs.","cost_basis_years":0.0821917808219178},{"id":"parenting","cost":4500,"external":300,"capacity":10,"target":0.3,"response":0.35,"unique_health":0.7,"utility":0.03,"years":0.5,"catchup":2,"mortality":0.01,"delay":0.1,"harm_q":0.0001,"basis":"One caregiver per meaningful class/support course; distressed share30%, trial-to-GLIDE delivery35%, unique mood/safety70%. Utility.03 and half-year window are weak priors; not trial-derived QALYs; catchup2/year. No child benefit in this row.","sensitivity":"Utility[-0.02,0.08], target[0,0.6], transfer[0,0.8], window[0,1].","cost_basis_years":0.5},{"id":"childcare","cost":13000,"external":600,"capacity":5,"target":0.2,"response":0.2,"unique_health":1,"utility":0.03,"years":0.5,"catchup":2,"mortality":0.002,"delay":0.1,"harm_q":0.0001,"basis":"One child with selected emotional/behavioral symptoms in meaningful socioemotional activity; not childcare economic value. Selected20%, effective-fidelity20% sharply below targeted12-week IY. Clinical utility and benefit probability weak priors; no parent spillover or lifetime conduct/crime/earnings.","sensitivity":"Utility[-0.02,0.06], target[0,0.5], delivery[0,0.6], H[0,1].","cost_basis_years":0.5},{"id":"women","cost":4000,"external":1000,"capacity":10,"target":0.35,"response":0.3,"unique_health":0.6,"utility":0.04,"years":0.5,"catchup":2,"mortality":0.02,"delay":0.05,"harm_q":0.0002,"basis":"One selected crisis/safety-support course;35% relevant trauma/abuse symptoms,30% effective clinical gain probability,60% distinct mood/safety outside housing/CBT. Weak positive central despite null advocacy counterweight, acknowledging intensive successful cases; no homicide survival or outreach multiplier.","sensitivity":"Utility[-0.04,0.1], target[0,0.7], response[0,0.7], unique[0,1].","cost_basis_years":0.5},{"id":"behavioral","cost":6000,"external":500,"capacity":5,"target":0.4,"response":0.3,"unique_health":0.6,"utility":0.08,"years":0.5,"catchup":2,"mortality":0.03,"delay":0.1,"harm_q":0.0002,"basis":"One course rather than attendee visit;40% persistent depression,30% meaningful CBT-response/local delivery,60% distinct symptom-time. Mixed outpatient groups not BRIGHT's32hour residential protocol. Utility.08 separate judgment, no substance-use mortality added.","sensitivity":"Utility[-0.05,0.2], target[0,0.8], response[0,0.7], H[0,1].","cost_basis_years":0.5},{"id":"infection_linkage","cost":300,"external":0,"capacity":20,"target":0.06,"response":0.05,"unique_health":0.6,"utility":0.03,"years":3,"catchup":0.5,"mortality":0.05,"delay":0.25,"harm_q":0.00001,"basis":"One unique testing/linkage episode;6% actionable RNA-positive untreated HCV,5% earlier effective cure difference vs existing public referral,60% distinct morbidity. No 44.2point colocated RCT transplant and no paused peer program. Three-year symptom benefit only with later-care catchup; no liver deaths or transmission added. Treatment resource charged separately per selected patient, not per all test.","sensitivity":"Actionable[0,.2], earlier cure difference[-.05,.2], utility[-.01,.08], H[0,5].","cost_basis_years":3},{"id":"wound_care","cost":600,"external":800,"capacity":10,"target":0.4,"response":0.5,"unique_health":0.7,"utility":0.06,"years":0.038356164383561646,"catchup":10,"mortality":0.04,"delay":0.02,"harm_q":0.00005,"basis":"One acute wound-care course with partner medical resources;40% clinically symptomatic wounds,50% earlier meaningful healing relative to accessible public care,70% distinct physical symptom-time. Utility.06 and14day window clinical judgment, not measured GLIDE trial; no unobserved admissions or sepsis mortality.","sensitivity":"Utility[-.03,.15], target[0,.8], response[0,.9], days[0,60] with duration-sensitive resources.","cost_basis_years":0.038356164383561646}],"unresolved":[{"id":"policy","gift_share":0.04,"reason":"No causally attributable policy probability, displaced public spending or recipient map; cannot claim coalition budget as QALYs.","required_stress":"Signed independently elicited total policy Q with geography; no generic residual expected mean."},{"id":"infection_prevention_and_hiv_sti","gift_share":null,"reason":"Safer-use prevention, HIV/STI treatment and secondary transmission plausibly material but no case/diagnosis mix. HCV subgroup alone is not complete infection effect.","required_stress":"Separate selected incidence/diagnosis/care-acceleration parameters and finite competing-risk benefit; do not duplicate HCV or MOUD people-years."},{"id":"vaccination_and_other_primary_care","gift_share":null,"reason":"Wound care is named selected branch; vaccination counts/disease risks and other completed care unavailable.","required_stress":"Disease-specific vaccine or acute-care priors after cost/coverage allocation; no automatic course Q."},{"id":"affiliate","gift_share":0.04,"reason":"Exact Foundation-to-affiliate marginal flow not identified. Church activities not automatically Foundation donation effects.","required_stress":"Recipient-specific financial mapping."}],"expectation":{"status":"Not yet specified","reason":"Do not use central scenario price as whole-organization expected-value headline. Explicit correlated scenario weights and unresolved material branches need review."},"sources":[{"id":"impact","url":"https://www.glide.org/wp-content/uploads/2026/01/GLIDE-Impact-Report-2024-2025.pdf","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"heat","url":"https://www.glide.org/heat/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"moud_mortality","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/29913516/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"moud_engagement","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/25919527/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"cbt","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/21646576/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"advocacy_positive","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/10028208/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"advocacy_counterweight","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/20682933/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"parenting","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/17350966/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"parenting_followup","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/33573694/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"meals","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/30421335/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"meals_counterweight","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/38147326/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"hcv","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/35285851/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"}],"hcv_external_treatment_cost":15000,"hcv_external_treatment_cost_basis":"Gross course drug/lab/prescribing resource prior per nominal actionable HCV patient, before donor additionality or health-success discount; separate from testing cost. This over-associates some unchanged baseline care and is not net induced cost. No charge only for successful cures."},"result":{"rescue_nominal":20,"moud_nominal":0.1875,"rescue_incremental":8,"moud_incremental":0.018750000000000003,"shared_survival_people":0.009375000000000001,"rescue_q_per_person":0,"moud_q_per_person":0.03404288287571089,"joint_q_per_person":0.03404288287571128,"survival_q":-0.00016544594608041715,"housing_q":0.0017198322434524124,"groups":[{"id":"meals","nominal":20.37037037037037,"incremental":8.148148148148149,"qaly":0.0004889446902438877,"external":3666.6666666666665},{"id":"parenting","nominal":0.8888888888888888,"incremental":0.35555555555555557,"qaly":0.00020947381202396657,"external":266.66666666666663},{"id":"childcare","nominal":0.46153846153846156,"incremental":0.18461538461538463,"qaly":0.00005089300939531352,"external":276.92307692307696},{"id":"women","nominal":1.25,"incremental":0.5,"qaly":0.0002935596722978198,"external":1250},{"id":"behavioral","nominal":0.3333333333333333,"incremental":0.13333333333333333,"qaly":0.00021236551241056122,"external":166.66666666666666},{"id":"infection_linkage","nominal":3.3333333333333335,"incremental":1.3333333333333335,"qaly":0.00008831098942877887,"external":3000},{"id":"wound_care","nominal":1.6666666666666667,"incremental":0.6666666666666667,"qaly":0.00014473790721278225,"external":1333.3333333333335}],"gross_external":32985.256410256414,"gross_associated_funding":132985.2564102564,"rental_transfer_excluded":3045,"gross_resources":129940.2564102564,"us":{"qaly":0.0030426718903851053,"donor_per_10q":328658506.74205685,"gross_resources_per_10q":427059706.37474847},"bay":{"qaly":0.0030122451714812543,"donor_per_10q":331978289.63844126,"gross_resources_per_10q":431373440.78257424},"sf":{"qaly":0.00289053829586585,"donor_per_10q":345956322.88637567,"gross_resources_per_10q":449536533.0260511}}},{"id":"no_survival_overlap","inputs":{"model_id":"glide-foundation-material-coverage-v2-design","prepared_utc":"2026-09-09","status":"Prior specification and coverage-ledger asset; not independently accepted or publication ready","recipient":{"name":"Glide Foundation","ein":"94-1156481","boundary":"Ordinary unrestricted Foundation gift. Consolidated financial context includes Church/property affiliates; no separate Church gift or presumed clinical effect."},"finance":{"year":2025,"consolidated_expenses":30766602,"program":18342460,"church":1922106,"administration":7766659,"development":2735377,"cash":5908995,"source":"https://www.glide.org/wp-content/uploads/2026/03/GLIDE-Foundation-2024-25-SA-FS-Final.pdf","basis":"Final audit, not impact report's pending-audit numbers. Cash is historical, not current spare funding."},"shared":{"gift":100000,"discount":0.03,"bay":0.99,"sf":0.95,"funding_additionality":0.4,"capacity_gift":100000,"common_external_fraction":0.2,"independent_harm_q":0},"shared_basis":{"funding_additionality":"Prior 0.4 [0,0.8]: current public grants, other donors and fixed capacity remain in no-gift world. Not estimated from contributions ratio.","capacity_gift":"100k scenario scale and assumed maximum absorbable tranche, NOT observed room; unknown room must be visible. Gift above cap still fully costed with capped output.","common_external_fraction":"0.2 [0,0.8] gross associated volunteer/common partner resources beyond branch-specific costs, not causal net cost or waived charges. Excludes clinical resources separately specified.","geography":"Bay0.99/SF0.95 priors, nested. No additional indirect Bay/SF benefit assigned; policy spillovers unresolved."},"allocation":{"rescue":0.1,"housing":0.1,"meals":0.22,"parenting":0.04,"childcare":0.06,"women":0.05,"moud":0.03,"behavioral":0.02,"infection_linkage":0.01,"wound_care":0.01,"policy":0.04,"common_operations":0.28,"property_affiliate":0.04},"allocation_basis":"Retains v1 top-level allocation priors; subdivides 7% other HEAT and 10% family. Entire gift costed; allocation does not cancel out of benefits. Not observed budget fractions. Service counts constrain plausibility, not QALYs.","survival":{"rescue_cost":500,"rescue_external":80,"rescue_capacity":100,"rescue_active_years":1,"moud_annual_foundation_cost":16000,"moud_annual_external_cost":6000,"moud_capacity":10,"moud_active_years":0.5,"moud_no_gift_treatment_share":0.5,"moud_effective_retention":0.5,"moud_observed_hr":0.63,"moud_causal_transfer":0.5,"baseline_all_cause_hazard":0.07,"rescue_hazard_reduction":0.005,"rescue_moud_overlap":0,"utility":0.7,"horizon_years":15,"delay_years":0.25,"rescue_harm_q":0.0001,"moud_harm_q":0.0002},"survival_basis":{"costs":"Rescue nominal annual unique-person safer-use/rescue-support package, not price per dose. MOUD Foundation cost is annualized access/support cost prior, minimum one annual budget unit for setup; active durations above one year scale Foundation/external costs linearly. External cost includes medication, prescribing, labs and public clinical delivery. 3%*30.77m/56 enrollees≈16.5k is only a plausibility check, not audited program cost or evidence of additional patients.","counts":"Impact report says 56 people enrolled in MAT, not verified deduplicated longitudinal treatment records. No 56*survival multiplier. Per-gift capacity10 is a prior and must stress to zero.","baseline":"Both rescue and medication compare with same current-care hazard. Medication effect shrunk halfway from observed HR0.63 toward1; no-gift treatment share handles replacement of existing accessible medication, retention handles effective funded-course completion, funding additionality handles donor displacement. None is a second multiplication by trial ITT adherence.","survival":"Three exclusive cohorts rescue-only/MOUD-only/both. While active h=(base-rescueReduction)*(1-(1-HR)*transfer) for both; remove each factor when its active period ends. Equal baseline hazard after funded care preserves but does not create a survival gap, capped at15years. No separate opioid deaths added to all-cause."},"housing":{"cost":10000,"external":300,"cash_transfer":3045,"capacity":10,"no_gift_stability":0.8,"incremental_stability":0.056,"unique_health":0.8,"utility":0.1,"years":1,"catchup_hazard":0,"mortality":0.01,"delay":0.1,"harm_q":0.0001},"housing_basis":"10k complete access/stabilization episode is a new prior, not v1 transfer-oriented3077. Current965254/317≈3045 is transfer per reported person, not full cost. 10% consolidated scale/317≈9706 contextual only. Stability difference0.112*0.5 transfer from prior VA evidence, capped by current80% no-gift stability. Unique-health exclusion prevents housing mood/safety stacking.","groups":[{"id":"meals","cost":1080,"external":180,"capacity":50,"target":0.2,"response":0.5,"unique_health":0.65,"utility":0.015,"years":0.0821917808219178,"catchup":0,"mortality":0.01,"delay":0,"harm_q":0.00002,"basis":"Thirty-day 90-meal course at12/meal; meal supply consumed and replaces inadequate intake in selected20%, with50% symptom-response/local transfer. 0.015 utility for physical/mental symptoms only, not hunger preference or tailored-diet disease effect. Distinct symptom-time65%. No future mortality. Cost plausibility22%*30.77m/620513≈10.9/meal, not observed marginal price.","sensitivity":"0.015 utility [-0.01,0.05]; selected share [0,0.5]; course30days [7,90] with proportional meal costs.","cost_basis_years":0.0821917808219178},{"id":"parenting","cost":4500,"external":300,"capacity":10,"target":0.3,"response":0.35,"unique_health":0.7,"utility":0.03,"years":0.5,"catchup":2,"mortality":0.01,"delay":0.1,"harm_q":0.0001,"basis":"One caregiver per meaningful class/support course; distressed share30%, trial-to-GLIDE delivery35%, unique mood/safety70%. Utility.03 and half-year window are weak priors; not trial-derived QALYs; catchup2/year. No child benefit in this row.","sensitivity":"Utility[-0.02,0.08], target[0,0.6], transfer[0,0.8], window[0,1].","cost_basis_years":0.5},{"id":"childcare","cost":13000,"external":600,"capacity":5,"target":0.2,"response":0.2,"unique_health":1,"utility":0.03,"years":0.5,"catchup":2,"mortality":0.002,"delay":0.1,"harm_q":0.0001,"basis":"One child with selected emotional/behavioral symptoms in meaningful socioemotional activity; not childcare economic value. Selected20%, effective-fidelity20% sharply below targeted12-week IY. Clinical utility and benefit probability weak priors; no parent spillover or lifetime conduct/crime/earnings.","sensitivity":"Utility[-0.02,0.06], target[0,0.5], delivery[0,0.6], H[0,1].","cost_basis_years":0.5},{"id":"women","cost":4000,"external":1000,"capacity":10,"target":0.35,"response":0.3,"unique_health":0.6,"utility":0.04,"years":0.5,"catchup":2,"mortality":0.02,"delay":0.05,"harm_q":0.0002,"basis":"One selected crisis/safety-support course;35% relevant trauma/abuse symptoms,30% effective clinical gain probability,60% distinct mood/safety outside housing/CBT. Weak positive central despite null advocacy counterweight, acknowledging intensive successful cases; no homicide survival or outreach multiplier.","sensitivity":"Utility[-0.04,0.1], target[0,0.7], response[0,0.7], unique[0,1].","cost_basis_years":0.5},{"id":"behavioral","cost":6000,"external":500,"capacity":5,"target":0.4,"response":0.3,"unique_health":0.6,"utility":0.08,"years":0.5,"catchup":2,"mortality":0.03,"delay":0.1,"harm_q":0.0002,"basis":"One course rather than attendee visit;40% persistent depression,30% meaningful CBT-response/local delivery,60% distinct symptom-time. Mixed outpatient groups not BRIGHT's32hour residential protocol. Utility.08 separate judgment, no substance-use mortality added.","sensitivity":"Utility[-0.05,0.2], target[0,0.8], response[0,0.7], H[0,1].","cost_basis_years":0.5},{"id":"infection_linkage","cost":300,"external":0,"capacity":20,"target":0.06,"response":0.05,"unique_health":0.6,"utility":0.03,"years":3,"catchup":0.5,"mortality":0.05,"delay":0.25,"harm_q":0.00001,"basis":"One unique testing/linkage episode;6% actionable RNA-positive untreated HCV,5% earlier effective cure difference vs existing public referral,60% distinct morbidity. No 44.2point colocated RCT transplant and no paused peer program. Three-year symptom benefit only with later-care catchup; no liver deaths or transmission added. Treatment resource charged separately per selected patient, not per all test.","sensitivity":"Actionable[0,.2], earlier cure difference[-.05,.2], utility[-.01,.08], H[0,5].","cost_basis_years":3},{"id":"wound_care","cost":600,"external":800,"capacity":10,"target":0.4,"response":0.5,"unique_health":0.7,"utility":0.06,"years":0.038356164383561646,"catchup":10,"mortality":0.04,"delay":0.02,"harm_q":0.00005,"basis":"One acute wound-care course with partner medical resources;40% clinically symptomatic wounds,50% earlier meaningful healing relative to accessible public care,70% distinct physical symptom-time. Utility.06 and14day window clinical judgment, not measured GLIDE trial; no unobserved admissions or sepsis mortality.","sensitivity":"Utility[-.03,.15], target[0,.8], response[0,.9], days[0,60] with duration-sensitive resources.","cost_basis_years":0.038356164383561646}],"unresolved":[{"id":"policy","gift_share":0.04,"reason":"No causally attributable policy probability, displaced public spending or recipient map; cannot claim coalition budget as QALYs.","required_stress":"Signed independently elicited total policy Q with geography; no generic residual expected mean."},{"id":"infection_prevention_and_hiv_sti","gift_share":null,"reason":"Safer-use prevention, HIV/STI treatment and secondary transmission plausibly material but no case/diagnosis mix. HCV subgroup alone is not complete infection effect.","required_stress":"Separate selected incidence/diagnosis/care-acceleration parameters and finite competing-risk benefit; do not duplicate HCV or MOUD people-years."},{"id":"vaccination_and_other_primary_care","gift_share":null,"reason":"Wound care is named selected branch; vaccination counts/disease risks and other completed care unavailable.","required_stress":"Disease-specific vaccine or acute-care priors after cost/coverage allocation; no automatic course Q."},{"id":"affiliate","gift_share":0.04,"reason":"Exact Foundation-to-affiliate marginal flow not identified. Church activities not automatically Foundation donation effects.","required_stress":"Recipient-specific financial mapping."}],"expectation":{"status":"Not yet specified","reason":"Do not use central scenario price as whole-organization expected-value headline. Explicit correlated scenario weights and unresolved material branches need review."},"sources":[{"id":"impact","url":"https://www.glide.org/wp-content/uploads/2026/01/GLIDE-Impact-Report-2024-2025.pdf","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"heat","url":"https://www.glide.org/heat/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"moud_mortality","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/29913516/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"moud_engagement","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/25919527/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"cbt","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/21646576/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"advocacy_positive","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/10028208/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"advocacy_counterweight","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/20682933/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"parenting","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/17350966/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"parenting_followup","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/33573694/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"meals","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/30421335/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"meals_counterweight","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/38147326/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"hcv","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/35285851/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"}],"hcv_external_treatment_cost":15000,"hcv_external_treatment_cost_basis":"Gross course drug/lab/prescribing resource prior per nominal actionable HCV patient, before donor additionality or health-success discount; separate from testing cost. This over-associates some unchanged baseline care and is not net induced cost. No charge only for successful cures."},"result":{"rescue_nominal":20,"moud_nominal":0.1875,"rescue_incremental":8,"moud_incremental":0.018750000000000003,"shared_survival_people":0,"rescue_q_per_person":0.025439456706370614,"moud_q_per_person":0.03404288287571089,"joint_q_per_person":0.057196029090171276,"survival_q":0.2033502077048845,"housing_q":0.0017198322434524124,"groups":[{"id":"meals","nominal":20.37037037037037,"incremental":8.148148148148149,"qaly":0.0004889446902438877,"external":3666.6666666666665},{"id":"parenting","nominal":0.8888888888888888,"incremental":0.35555555555555557,"qaly":0.00020947381202396657,"external":266.66666666666663},{"id":"childcare","nominal":0.46153846153846156,"incremental":0.18461538461538463,"qaly":0.00005089300939531352,"external":276.92307692307696},{"id":"women","nominal":1.25,"incremental":0.5,"qaly":0.0002935596722978198,"external":1250},{"id":"behavioral","nominal":0.3333333333333333,"incremental":0.13333333333333333,"qaly":0.00021236551241056122,"external":166.66666666666666},{"id":"infection_linkage","nominal":3.3333333333333335,"incremental":1.3333333333333335,"qaly":0.00008831098942877887,"external":3000},{"id":"wound_care","nominal":1.6666666666666667,"incremental":0.6666666666666667,"qaly":0.00014473790721278225,"external":1333.3333333333335}],"gross_external":32985.256410256414,"gross_associated_funding":132985.2564102564,"rental_transfer_excluded":3045,"gross_resources":129940.2564102564,"us":{"qaly":0.20655832554135,"donor_per_10q":4841247.610713297,"gross_resources_per_10q":6290729.558816269},"bay":{"qaly":0.2044927422859365,"donor_per_10q":4890149.101730603,"gross_resources_per_10q":6354272.281632595},"sf":{"qaly":0.1962304092642825,"donor_per_10q":5096050.116540312,"gross_resources_per_10q":6621820.588227652}}},{"id":"maximum_survival_overlap","inputs":{"model_id":"glide-foundation-material-coverage-v2-design","prepared_utc":"2026-09-09","status":"Prior specification and coverage-ledger asset; not independently accepted or publication ready","recipient":{"name":"Glide Foundation","ein":"94-1156481","boundary":"Ordinary unrestricted Foundation gift. Consolidated financial context includes Church/property affiliates; no separate Church gift or presumed clinical effect."},"finance":{"year":2025,"consolidated_expenses":30766602,"program":18342460,"church":1922106,"administration":7766659,"development":2735377,"cash":5908995,"source":"https://www.glide.org/wp-content/uploads/2026/03/GLIDE-Foundation-2024-25-SA-FS-Final.pdf","basis":"Final audit, not impact report's pending-audit numbers. Cash is historical, not current spare funding."},"shared":{"gift":100000,"discount":0.03,"bay":0.99,"sf":0.95,"funding_additionality":0.4,"capacity_gift":100000,"common_external_fraction":0.2,"independent_harm_q":0},"shared_basis":{"funding_additionality":"Prior 0.4 [0,0.8]: current public grants, other donors and fixed capacity remain in no-gift world. Not estimated from contributions ratio.","capacity_gift":"100k scenario scale and assumed maximum absorbable tranche, NOT observed room; unknown room must be visible. Gift above cap still fully costed with capped output.","common_external_fraction":"0.2 [0,0.8] gross associated volunteer/common partner resources beyond branch-specific costs, not causal net cost or waived charges. Excludes clinical resources separately specified.","geography":"Bay0.99/SF0.95 priors, nested. No additional indirect Bay/SF benefit assigned; policy spillovers unresolved."},"allocation":{"rescue":0.1,"housing":0.1,"meals":0.22,"parenting":0.04,"childcare":0.06,"women":0.05,"moud":0.03,"behavioral":0.02,"infection_linkage":0.01,"wound_care":0.01,"policy":0.04,"common_operations":0.28,"property_affiliate":0.04},"allocation_basis":"Retains v1 top-level allocation priors; subdivides 7% other HEAT and 10% family. Entire gift costed; allocation does not cancel out of benefits. Not observed budget fractions. Service counts constrain plausibility, not QALYs.","survival":{"rescue_cost":500,"rescue_external":80,"rescue_capacity":100,"rescue_active_years":1,"moud_annual_foundation_cost":16000,"moud_annual_external_cost":6000,"moud_capacity":10,"moud_active_years":0.5,"moud_no_gift_treatment_share":0.5,"moud_effective_retention":0.5,"moud_observed_hr":0.63,"moud_causal_transfer":0.5,"baseline_all_cause_hazard":0.07,"rescue_hazard_reduction":0.005,"rescue_moud_overlap":1,"utility":0.7,"horizon_years":15,"delay_years":0.25,"rescue_harm_q":0.0001,"moud_harm_q":0.0002},"survival_basis":{"costs":"Rescue nominal annual unique-person safer-use/rescue-support package, not price per dose. MOUD Foundation cost is annualized access/support cost prior, minimum one annual budget unit for setup; active durations above one year scale Foundation/external costs linearly. External cost includes medication, prescribing, labs and public clinical delivery. 3%*30.77m/56 enrollees≈16.5k is only a plausibility check, not audited program cost or evidence of additional patients.","counts":"Impact report says 56 people enrolled in MAT, not verified deduplicated longitudinal treatment records. No 56*survival multiplier. Per-gift capacity10 is a prior and must stress to zero.","baseline":"Both rescue and medication compare with same current-care hazard. Medication effect shrunk halfway from observed HR0.63 toward1; no-gift treatment share handles replacement of existing accessible medication, retention handles effective funded-course completion, funding additionality handles donor displacement. None is a second multiplication by trial ITT adherence.","survival":"Three exclusive cohorts rescue-only/MOUD-only/both. While active h=(base-rescueReduction)*(1-(1-HR)*transfer) for both; remove each factor when its active period ends. Equal baseline hazard after funded care preserves but does not create a survival gap, capped at15years. No separate opioid deaths added to all-cause."},"housing":{"cost":10000,"external":300,"cash_transfer":3045,"capacity":10,"no_gift_stability":0.8,"incremental_stability":0.056,"unique_health":0.8,"utility":0.1,"years":1,"catchup_hazard":0,"mortality":0.01,"delay":0.1,"harm_q":0.0001},"housing_basis":"10k complete access/stabilization episode is a new prior, not v1 transfer-oriented3077. Current965254/317≈3045 is transfer per reported person, not full cost. 10% consolidated scale/317≈9706 contextual only. Stability difference0.112*0.5 transfer from prior VA evidence, capped by current80% no-gift stability. Unique-health exclusion prevents housing mood/safety stacking.","groups":[{"id":"meals","cost":1080,"external":180,"capacity":50,"target":0.2,"response":0.5,"unique_health":0.65,"utility":0.015,"years":0.0821917808219178,"catchup":0,"mortality":0.01,"delay":0,"harm_q":0.00002,"basis":"Thirty-day 90-meal course at12/meal; meal supply consumed and replaces inadequate intake in selected20%, with50% symptom-response/local transfer. 0.015 utility for physical/mental symptoms only, not hunger preference or tailored-diet disease effect. Distinct symptom-time65%. No future mortality. Cost plausibility22%*30.77m/620513≈10.9/meal, not observed marginal price.","sensitivity":"0.015 utility [-0.01,0.05]; selected share [0,0.5]; course30days [7,90] with proportional meal costs.","cost_basis_years":0.0821917808219178},{"id":"parenting","cost":4500,"external":300,"capacity":10,"target":0.3,"response":0.35,"unique_health":0.7,"utility":0.03,"years":0.5,"catchup":2,"mortality":0.01,"delay":0.1,"harm_q":0.0001,"basis":"One caregiver per meaningful class/support course; distressed share30%, trial-to-GLIDE delivery35%, unique mood/safety70%. Utility.03 and half-year window are weak priors; not trial-derived QALYs; catchup2/year. No child benefit in this row.","sensitivity":"Utility[-0.02,0.08], target[0,0.6], transfer[0,0.8], window[0,1].","cost_basis_years":0.5},{"id":"childcare","cost":13000,"external":600,"capacity":5,"target":0.2,"response":0.2,"unique_health":1,"utility":0.03,"years":0.5,"catchup":2,"mortality":0.002,"delay":0.1,"harm_q":0.0001,"basis":"One child with selected emotional/behavioral symptoms in meaningful socioemotional activity; not childcare economic value. Selected20%, effective-fidelity20% sharply below targeted12-week IY. Clinical utility and benefit probability weak priors; no parent spillover or lifetime conduct/crime/earnings.","sensitivity":"Utility[-0.02,0.06], target[0,0.5], delivery[0,0.6], H[0,1].","cost_basis_years":0.5},{"id":"women","cost":4000,"external":1000,"capacity":10,"target":0.35,"response":0.3,"unique_health":0.6,"utility":0.04,"years":0.5,"catchup":2,"mortality":0.02,"delay":0.05,"harm_q":0.0002,"basis":"One selected crisis/safety-support course;35% relevant trauma/abuse symptoms,30% effective clinical gain probability,60% distinct mood/safety outside housing/CBT. Weak positive central despite null advocacy counterweight, acknowledging intensive successful cases; no homicide survival or outreach multiplier.","sensitivity":"Utility[-0.04,0.1], target[0,0.7], response[0,0.7], unique[0,1].","cost_basis_years":0.5},{"id":"behavioral","cost":6000,"external":500,"capacity":5,"target":0.4,"response":0.3,"unique_health":0.6,"utility":0.08,"years":0.5,"catchup":2,"mortality":0.03,"delay":0.1,"harm_q":0.0002,"basis":"One course rather than attendee visit;40% persistent depression,30% meaningful CBT-response/local delivery,60% distinct symptom-time. Mixed outpatient groups not BRIGHT's32hour residential protocol. Utility.08 separate judgment, no substance-use mortality added.","sensitivity":"Utility[-0.05,0.2], target[0,0.8], response[0,0.7], H[0,1].","cost_basis_years":0.5},{"id":"infection_linkage","cost":300,"external":0,"capacity":20,"target":0.06,"response":0.05,"unique_health":0.6,"utility":0.03,"years":3,"catchup":0.5,"mortality":0.05,"delay":0.25,"harm_q":0.00001,"basis":"One unique testing/linkage episode;6% actionable RNA-positive untreated HCV,5% earlier effective cure difference vs existing public referral,60% distinct morbidity. No 44.2point colocated RCT transplant and no paused peer program. Three-year symptom benefit only with later-care catchup; no liver deaths or transmission added. Treatment resource charged separately per selected patient, not per all test.","sensitivity":"Actionable[0,.2], earlier cure difference[-.05,.2], utility[-.01,.08], H[0,5].","cost_basis_years":3},{"id":"wound_care","cost":600,"external":800,"capacity":10,"target":0.4,"response":0.5,"unique_health":0.7,"utility":0.06,"years":0.038356164383561646,"catchup":10,"mortality":0.04,"delay":0.02,"harm_q":0.00005,"basis":"One acute wound-care course with partner medical resources;40% clinically symptomatic wounds,50% earlier meaningful healing relative to accessible public care,70% distinct physical symptom-time. Utility.06 and14day window clinical judgment, not measured GLIDE trial; no unobserved admissions or sepsis mortality.","sensitivity":"Utility[-.03,.15], target[0,.8], response[0,.9], days[0,60] with duration-sensitive resources.","cost_basis_years":0.038356164383561646}],"unresolved":[{"id":"policy","gift_share":0.04,"reason":"No causally attributable policy probability, displaced public spending or recipient map; cannot claim coalition budget as QALYs.","required_stress":"Signed independently elicited total policy Q with geography; no generic residual expected mean."},{"id":"infection_prevention_and_hiv_sti","gift_share":null,"reason":"Safer-use prevention, HIV/STI treatment and secondary transmission plausibly material but no case/diagnosis mix. HCV subgroup alone is not complete infection effect.","required_stress":"Separate selected incidence/diagnosis/care-acceleration parameters and finite competing-risk benefit; do not duplicate HCV or MOUD people-years."},{"id":"vaccination_and_other_primary_care","gift_share":null,"reason":"Wound care is named selected branch; vaccination counts/disease risks and other completed care unavailable.","required_stress":"Disease-specific vaccine or acute-care priors after cost/coverage allocation; no automatic course Q."},{"id":"affiliate","gift_share":0.04,"reason":"Exact Foundation-to-affiliate marginal flow not identified. Church activities not automatically Foundation donation effects.","required_stress":"Recipient-specific financial mapping."}],"expectation":{"status":"Not yet specified","reason":"Do not use central scenario price as whole-organization expected-value headline. Explicit correlated scenario weights and unresolved material branches need review."},"sources":[{"id":"impact","url":"https://www.glide.org/wp-content/uploads/2026/01/GLIDE-Impact-Report-2024-2025.pdf","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"heat","url":"https://www.glide.org/heat/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"moud_mortality","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/29913516/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"moud_engagement","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/25919527/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"cbt","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/21646576/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"advocacy_positive","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/10028208/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"advocacy_counterweight","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/20682933/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"parenting","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/17350966/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"parenting_followup","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/33573694/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"meals","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/30421335/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"meals_counterweight","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/38147326/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"hcv","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/35285851/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"}],"hcv_external_treatment_cost":15000,"hcv_external_treatment_cost_basis":"Gross course drug/lab/prescribing resource prior per nominal actionable HCV patient, before donor additionality or health-success discount; separate from testing cost. This over-associates some unchanged baseline care and is not net induced cost. No charge only for successful cures."},"result":{"rescue_nominal":20,"moud_nominal":0.1875,"rescue_incremental":8,"moud_incremental":0.018750000000000003,"shared_survival_people":0.018750000000000003,"rescue_q_per_person":0.025439456706370614,"moud_q_per_person":0.03404288287571089,"joint_q_per_person":0.057196029090171276,"survival_q":0.20330733938316117,"housing_q":0.0017198322434524124,"groups":[{"id":"meals","nominal":20.37037037037037,"incremental":8.148148148148149,"qaly":0.0004889446902438877,"external":3666.6666666666665},{"id":"parenting","nominal":0.8888888888888888,"incremental":0.35555555555555557,"qaly":0.00020947381202396657,"external":266.66666666666663},{"id":"childcare","nominal":0.46153846153846156,"incremental":0.18461538461538463,"qaly":0.00005089300939531352,"external":276.92307692307696},{"id":"women","nominal":1.25,"incremental":0.5,"qaly":0.0002935596722978198,"external":1250},{"id":"behavioral","nominal":0.3333333333333333,"incremental":0.13333333333333333,"qaly":0.00021236551241056122,"external":166.66666666666666},{"id":"infection_linkage","nominal":3.3333333333333335,"incremental":1.3333333333333335,"qaly":0.00008831098942877887,"external":3000},{"id":"wound_care","nominal":1.6666666666666667,"incremental":0.6666666666666667,"qaly":0.00014473790721278225,"external":1333.3333333333335}],"gross_external":32985.256410256414,"gross_associated_funding":132985.2564102564,"rental_transfer_excluded":3045,"gross_resources":129940.2564102564,"us":{"qaly":0.2065154572196267,"donor_per_10q":4842252.553214514,"gross_resources_per_10q":6292035.383679126},"bay":{"qaly":0.20445030264743042,"donor_per_10q":4891164.195166175,"gross_resources_per_10q":6355591.296645583},"sf":{"qaly":0.19618968435864534,"donor_per_10q":5097107.95075212,"gross_resources_per_10q":6623195.140714871}}},{"id":"adverse_moud","inputs":{"model_id":"glide-foundation-material-coverage-v2-design","prepared_utc":"2026-09-09","status":"Prior specification and coverage-ledger asset; not independently accepted or publication ready","recipient":{"name":"Glide Foundation","ein":"94-1156481","boundary":"Ordinary unrestricted Foundation gift. Consolidated financial context includes Church/property affiliates; no separate Church gift or presumed clinical effect."},"finance":{"year":2025,"consolidated_expenses":30766602,"program":18342460,"church":1922106,"administration":7766659,"development":2735377,"cash":5908995,"source":"https://www.glide.org/wp-content/uploads/2026/03/GLIDE-Foundation-2024-25-SA-FS-Final.pdf","basis":"Final audit, not impact report's pending-audit numbers. Cash is historical, not current spare funding."},"shared":{"gift":100000,"discount":0.03,"bay":0.99,"sf":0.95,"funding_additionality":0.4,"capacity_gift":100000,"common_external_fraction":0.2,"independent_harm_q":0},"shared_basis":{"funding_additionality":"Prior 0.4 [0,0.8]: current public grants, other donors and fixed capacity remain in no-gift world. Not estimated from contributions ratio.","capacity_gift":"100k scenario scale and assumed maximum absorbable tranche, NOT observed room; unknown room must be visible. Gift above cap still fully costed with capped output.","common_external_fraction":"0.2 [0,0.8] gross associated volunteer/common partner resources beyond branch-specific costs, not causal net cost or waived charges. Excludes clinical resources separately specified.","geography":"Bay0.99/SF0.95 priors, nested. No additional indirect Bay/SF benefit assigned; policy spillovers unresolved."},"allocation":{"rescue":0.1,"housing":0.1,"meals":0.22,"parenting":0.04,"childcare":0.06,"women":0.05,"moud":0.03,"behavioral":0.02,"infection_linkage":0.01,"wound_care":0.01,"policy":0.04,"common_operations":0.28,"property_affiliate":0.04},"allocation_basis":"Retains v1 top-level allocation priors; subdivides 7% other HEAT and 10% family. Entire gift costed; allocation does not cancel out of benefits. Not observed budget fractions. Service counts constrain plausibility, not QALYs.","survival":{"rescue_cost":500,"rescue_external":80,"rescue_capacity":100,"rescue_active_years":1,"moud_annual_foundation_cost":16000,"moud_annual_external_cost":6000,"moud_capacity":10,"moud_active_years":0.5,"moud_no_gift_treatment_share":0.5,"moud_effective_retention":0.5,"moud_observed_hr":1.3,"moud_causal_transfer":0.5,"baseline_all_cause_hazard":0.07,"rescue_hazard_reduction":0.005,"rescue_moud_overlap":0.5,"utility":0.7,"horizon_years":15,"delay_years":0.25,"rescue_harm_q":0.0001,"moud_harm_q":0.0002},"survival_basis":{"costs":"Rescue nominal annual unique-person safer-use/rescue-support package, not price per dose. MOUD Foundation cost is annualized access/support cost prior, minimum one annual budget unit for setup; active durations above one year scale Foundation/external costs linearly. External cost includes medication, prescribing, labs and public clinical delivery. 3%*30.77m/56 enrollees≈16.5k is only a plausibility check, not audited program cost or evidence of additional patients.","counts":"Impact report says 56 people enrolled in MAT, not verified deduplicated longitudinal treatment records. No 56*survival multiplier. Per-gift capacity10 is a prior and must stress to zero.","baseline":"Both rescue and medication compare with same current-care hazard. Medication effect shrunk halfway from observed HR0.63 toward1; no-gift treatment share handles replacement of existing accessible medication, retention handles effective funded-course completion, funding additionality handles donor displacement. None is a second multiplication by trial ITT adherence.","survival":"Three exclusive cohorts rescue-only/MOUD-only/both. While active h=(base-rescueReduction)*(1-(1-HR)*transfer) for both; remove each factor when its active period ends. Equal baseline hazard after funded care preserves but does not create a survival gap, capped at15years. No separate opioid deaths added to all-cause."},"housing":{"cost":10000,"external":300,"cash_transfer":3045,"capacity":10,"no_gift_stability":0.8,"incremental_stability":0.056,"unique_health":0.8,"utility":0.1,"years":1,"catchup_hazard":0,"mortality":0.01,"delay":0.1,"harm_q":0.0001},"housing_basis":"10k complete access/stabilization episode is a new prior, not v1 transfer-oriented3077. Current965254/317≈3045 is transfer per reported person, not full cost. 10% consolidated scale/317≈9706 contextual only. Stability difference0.112*0.5 transfer from prior VA evidence, capped by current80% no-gift stability. Unique-health exclusion prevents housing mood/safety stacking.","groups":[{"id":"meals","cost":1080,"external":180,"capacity":50,"target":0.2,"response":0.5,"unique_health":0.65,"utility":0.015,"years":0.0821917808219178,"catchup":0,"mortality":0.01,"delay":0,"harm_q":0.00002,"basis":"Thirty-day 90-meal course at12/meal; meal supply consumed and replaces inadequate intake in selected20%, with50% symptom-response/local transfer. 0.015 utility for physical/mental symptoms only, not hunger preference or tailored-diet disease effect. Distinct symptom-time65%. No future mortality. Cost plausibility22%*30.77m/620513≈10.9/meal, not observed marginal price.","sensitivity":"0.015 utility [-0.01,0.05]; selected share [0,0.5]; course30days [7,90] with proportional meal costs.","cost_basis_years":0.0821917808219178},{"id":"parenting","cost":4500,"external":300,"capacity":10,"target":0.3,"response":0.35,"unique_health":0.7,"utility":0.03,"years":0.5,"catchup":2,"mortality":0.01,"delay":0.1,"harm_q":0.0001,"basis":"One caregiver per meaningful class/support course; distressed share30%, trial-to-GLIDE delivery35%, unique mood/safety70%. Utility.03 and half-year window are weak priors; not trial-derived QALYs; catchup2/year. No child benefit in this row.","sensitivity":"Utility[-0.02,0.08], target[0,0.6], transfer[0,0.8], window[0,1].","cost_basis_years":0.5},{"id":"childcare","cost":13000,"external":600,"capacity":5,"target":0.2,"response":0.2,"unique_health":1,"utility":0.03,"years":0.5,"catchup":2,"mortality":0.002,"delay":0.1,"harm_q":0.0001,"basis":"One child with selected emotional/behavioral symptoms in meaningful socioemotional activity; not childcare economic value. Selected20%, effective-fidelity20% sharply below targeted12-week IY. Clinical utility and benefit probability weak priors; no parent spillover or lifetime conduct/crime/earnings.","sensitivity":"Utility[-0.02,0.06], target[0,0.5], delivery[0,0.6], H[0,1].","cost_basis_years":0.5},{"id":"women","cost":4000,"external":1000,"capacity":10,"target":0.35,"response":0.3,"unique_health":0.6,"utility":0.04,"years":0.5,"catchup":2,"mortality":0.02,"delay":0.05,"harm_q":0.0002,"basis":"One selected crisis/safety-support course;35% relevant trauma/abuse symptoms,30% effective clinical gain probability,60% distinct mood/safety outside housing/CBT. Weak positive central despite null advocacy counterweight, acknowledging intensive successful cases; no homicide survival or outreach multiplier.","sensitivity":"Utility[-0.04,0.1], target[0,0.7], response[0,0.7], unique[0,1].","cost_basis_years":0.5},{"id":"behavioral","cost":6000,"external":500,"capacity":5,"target":0.4,"response":0.3,"unique_health":0.6,"utility":0.08,"years":0.5,"catchup":2,"mortality":0.03,"delay":0.1,"harm_q":0.0002,"basis":"One course rather than attendee visit;40% persistent depression,30% meaningful CBT-response/local delivery,60% distinct symptom-time. Mixed outpatient groups not BRIGHT's32hour residential protocol. Utility.08 separate judgment, no substance-use mortality added.","sensitivity":"Utility[-0.05,0.2], target[0,0.8], response[0,0.7], H[0,1].","cost_basis_years":0.5},{"id":"infection_linkage","cost":300,"external":0,"capacity":20,"target":0.06,"response":0.05,"unique_health":0.6,"utility":0.03,"years":3,"catchup":0.5,"mortality":0.05,"delay":0.25,"harm_q":0.00001,"basis":"One unique testing/linkage episode;6% actionable RNA-positive untreated HCV,5% earlier effective cure difference vs existing public referral,60% distinct morbidity. No 44.2point colocated RCT transplant and no paused peer program. Three-year symptom benefit only with later-care catchup; no liver deaths or transmission added. Treatment resource charged separately per selected patient, not per all test.","sensitivity":"Actionable[0,.2], earlier cure difference[-.05,.2], utility[-.01,.08], H[0,5].","cost_basis_years":3},{"id":"wound_care","cost":600,"external":800,"capacity":10,"target":0.4,"response":0.5,"unique_health":0.7,"utility":0.06,"years":0.038356164383561646,"catchup":10,"mortality":0.04,"delay":0.02,"harm_q":0.00005,"basis":"One acute wound-care course with partner medical resources;40% clinically symptomatic wounds,50% earlier meaningful healing relative to accessible public care,70% distinct physical symptom-time. Utility.06 and14day window clinical judgment, not measured GLIDE trial; no unobserved admissions or sepsis mortality.","sensitivity":"Utility[-.03,.15], target[0,.8], response[0,.9], days[0,60] with duration-sensitive resources.","cost_basis_years":0.038356164383561646}],"unresolved":[{"id":"policy","gift_share":0.04,"reason":"No causally attributable policy probability, displaced public spending or recipient map; cannot claim coalition budget as QALYs.","required_stress":"Signed independently elicited total policy Q with geography; no generic residual expected mean."},{"id":"infection_prevention_and_hiv_sti","gift_share":null,"reason":"Safer-use prevention, HIV/STI treatment and secondary transmission plausibly material but no case/diagnosis mix. HCV subgroup alone is not complete infection effect.","required_stress":"Separate selected incidence/diagnosis/care-acceleration parameters and finite competing-risk benefit; do not duplicate HCV or MOUD people-years."},{"id":"vaccination_and_other_primary_care","gift_share":null,"reason":"Wound care is named selected branch; vaccination counts/disease risks and other completed care unavailable.","required_stress":"Disease-specific vaccine or acute-care priors after cost/coverage allocation; no automatic course Q."},{"id":"affiliate","gift_share":0.04,"reason":"Exact Foundation-to-affiliate marginal flow not identified. Church activities not automatically Foundation donation effects.","required_stress":"Recipient-specific financial mapping."}],"expectation":{"status":"Not yet specified","reason":"Do not use central scenario price as whole-organization expected-value headline. Explicit correlated scenario weights and unresolved material branches need review."},"sources":[{"id":"impact","url":"https://www.glide.org/wp-content/uploads/2026/01/GLIDE-Impact-Report-2024-2025.pdf","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"heat","url":"https://www.glide.org/heat/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"moud_mortality","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/29913516/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"moud_engagement","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/25919527/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"cbt","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/21646576/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"advocacy_positive","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/10028208/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"advocacy_counterweight","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/20682933/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"parenting","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/17350966/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"parenting_followup","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/33573694/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"meals","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/30421335/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"meals_counterweight","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/38147326/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"hcv","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/35285851/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"}],"hcv_external_treatment_cost":15000,"hcv_external_treatment_cost_basis":"Gross course drug/lab/prescribing resource prior per nominal actionable HCV patient, before donor additionality or health-success discount; separate from testing cost. This over-associates some unchanged baseline care and is not net induced cost. No charge only for successful cures."},"result":{"rescue_nominal":20,"moud_nominal":0.1875,"rescue_incremental":8,"moud_incremental":0.018750000000000003,"shared_survival_people":0.009375000000000001,"rescue_q_per_person":0.025439456706370614,"moud_q_per_person":-0.027442709657751807,"joint_q_per_person":-0.00017081152046908134,"survival_q":0.20221453198329686,"housing_q":0.0017198322434524124,"groups":[{"id":"meals","nominal":20.37037037037037,"incremental":8.148148148148149,"qaly":0.0004889446902438877,"external":3666.6666666666665},{"id":"parenting","nominal":0.8888888888888888,"incremental":0.35555555555555557,"qaly":0.00020947381202396657,"external":266.66666666666663},{"id":"childcare","nominal":0.46153846153846156,"incremental":0.18461538461538463,"qaly":0.00005089300939531352,"external":276.92307692307696},{"id":"women","nominal":1.25,"incremental":0.5,"qaly":0.0002935596722978198,"external":1250},{"id":"behavioral","nominal":0.3333333333333333,"incremental":0.13333333333333333,"qaly":0.00021236551241056122,"external":166.66666666666666},{"id":"infection_linkage","nominal":3.3333333333333335,"incremental":1.3333333333333335,"qaly":0.00008831098942877887,"external":3000},{"id":"wound_care","nominal":1.6666666666666667,"incremental":0.6666666666666667,"qaly":0.00014473790721278225,"external":1333.3333333333335}],"gross_external":32985.256410256414,"gross_associated_funding":132985.2564102564,"rental_transfer_excluded":3045,"gross_resources":129940.2564102564,"us":{"qaly":0.20542264981976238,"donor_per_10q":4868012.36804899,"gross_resources_per_10q":6325507.753125853},"bay":{"qaly":0.20336842332156477,"donor_per_10q":4917184.210150495,"gross_resources_per_10q":6389401.7708341945},"sf":{"qaly":0.19515151732877425,"donor_per_10q":5124223.545314727,"gross_resources_per_10q":6658429.213816687}}},{"id":"adverse_rescue","inputs":{"model_id":"glide-foundation-material-coverage-v2-design","prepared_utc":"2026-09-09","status":"Prior specification and coverage-ledger asset; not independently accepted or publication ready","recipient":{"name":"Glide Foundation","ein":"94-1156481","boundary":"Ordinary unrestricted Foundation gift. Consolidated financial context includes Church/property affiliates; no separate Church gift or presumed clinical effect."},"finance":{"year":2025,"consolidated_expenses":30766602,"program":18342460,"church":1922106,"administration":7766659,"development":2735377,"cash":5908995,"source":"https://www.glide.org/wp-content/uploads/2026/03/GLIDE-Foundation-2024-25-SA-FS-Final.pdf","basis":"Final audit, not impact report's pending-audit numbers. Cash is historical, not current spare funding."},"shared":{"gift":100000,"discount":0.03,"bay":0.99,"sf":0.95,"funding_additionality":0.4,"capacity_gift":100000,"common_external_fraction":0.2,"independent_harm_q":0},"shared_basis":{"funding_additionality":"Prior 0.4 [0,0.8]: current public grants, other donors and fixed capacity remain in no-gift world. Not estimated from contributions ratio.","capacity_gift":"100k scenario scale and assumed maximum absorbable tranche, NOT observed room; unknown room must be visible. Gift above cap still fully costed with capped output.","common_external_fraction":"0.2 [0,0.8] gross associated volunteer/common partner resources beyond branch-specific costs, not causal net cost or waived charges. Excludes clinical resources separately specified.","geography":"Bay0.99/SF0.95 priors, nested. No additional indirect Bay/SF benefit assigned; policy spillovers unresolved."},"allocation":{"rescue":0.1,"housing":0.1,"meals":0.22,"parenting":0.04,"childcare":0.06,"women":0.05,"moud":0.03,"behavioral":0.02,"infection_linkage":0.01,"wound_care":0.01,"policy":0.04,"common_operations":0.28,"property_affiliate":0.04},"allocation_basis":"Retains v1 top-level allocation priors; subdivides 7% other HEAT and 10% family. Entire gift costed; allocation does not cancel out of benefits. Not observed budget fractions. Service counts constrain plausibility, not QALYs.","survival":{"rescue_cost":500,"rescue_external":80,"rescue_capacity":100,"rescue_active_years":1,"moud_annual_foundation_cost":16000,"moud_annual_external_cost":6000,"moud_capacity":10,"moud_active_years":0.5,"moud_no_gift_treatment_share":0.5,"moud_effective_retention":0.5,"moud_observed_hr":0.63,"moud_causal_transfer":0.5,"baseline_all_cause_hazard":0.07,"rescue_hazard_reduction":-0.01,"rescue_moud_overlap":0.5,"utility":0.7,"horizon_years":15,"delay_years":0.25,"rescue_harm_q":0.0001,"moud_harm_q":0.0002},"survival_basis":{"costs":"Rescue nominal annual unique-person safer-use/rescue-support package, not price per dose. MOUD Foundation cost is annualized access/support cost prior, minimum one annual budget unit for setup; active durations above one year scale Foundation/external costs linearly. External cost includes medication, prescribing, labs and public clinical delivery. 3%*30.77m/56 enrollees≈16.5k is only a plausibility check, not audited program cost or evidence of additional patients.","counts":"Impact report says 56 people enrolled in MAT, not verified deduplicated longitudinal treatment records. No 56*survival multiplier. Per-gift capacity10 is a prior and must stress to zero.","baseline":"Both rescue and medication compare with same current-care hazard. Medication effect shrunk halfway from observed HR0.63 toward1; no-gift treatment share handles replacement of existing accessible medication, retention handles effective funded-course completion, funding additionality handles donor displacement. None is a second multiplication by trial ITT adherence.","survival":"Three exclusive cohorts rescue-only/MOUD-only/both. While active h=(base-rescueReduction)*(1-(1-HR)*transfer) for both; remove each factor when its active period ends. Equal baseline hazard after funded care preserves but does not create a survival gap, capped at15years. No separate opioid deaths added to all-cause."},"housing":{"cost":10000,"external":300,"cash_transfer":3045,"capacity":10,"no_gift_stability":0.8,"incremental_stability":0.056,"unique_health":0.8,"utility":0.1,"years":1,"catchup_hazard":0,"mortality":0.01,"delay":0.1,"harm_q":0.0001},"housing_basis":"10k complete access/stabilization episode is a new prior, not v1 transfer-oriented3077. Current965254/317≈3045 is transfer per reported person, not full cost. 10% consolidated scale/317≈9706 contextual only. Stability difference0.112*0.5 transfer from prior VA evidence, capped by current80% no-gift stability. Unique-health exclusion prevents housing mood/safety stacking.","groups":[{"id":"meals","cost":1080,"external":180,"capacity":50,"target":0.2,"response":0.5,"unique_health":0.65,"utility":0.015,"years":0.0821917808219178,"catchup":0,"mortality":0.01,"delay":0,"harm_q":0.00002,"basis":"Thirty-day 90-meal course at12/meal; meal supply consumed and replaces inadequate intake in selected20%, with50% symptom-response/local transfer. 0.015 utility for physical/mental symptoms only, not hunger preference or tailored-diet disease effect. Distinct symptom-time65%. No future mortality. Cost plausibility22%*30.77m/620513≈10.9/meal, not observed marginal price.","sensitivity":"0.015 utility [-0.01,0.05]; selected share [0,0.5]; course30days [7,90] with proportional meal costs.","cost_basis_years":0.0821917808219178},{"id":"parenting","cost":4500,"external":300,"capacity":10,"target":0.3,"response":0.35,"unique_health":0.7,"utility":0.03,"years":0.5,"catchup":2,"mortality":0.01,"delay":0.1,"harm_q":0.0001,"basis":"One caregiver per meaningful class/support course; distressed share30%, trial-to-GLIDE delivery35%, unique mood/safety70%. Utility.03 and half-year window are weak priors; not trial-derived QALYs; catchup2/year. No child benefit in this row.","sensitivity":"Utility[-0.02,0.08], target[0,0.6], transfer[0,0.8], window[0,1].","cost_basis_years":0.5},{"id":"childcare","cost":13000,"external":600,"capacity":5,"target":0.2,"response":0.2,"unique_health":1,"utility":0.03,"years":0.5,"catchup":2,"mortality":0.002,"delay":0.1,"harm_q":0.0001,"basis":"One child with selected emotional/behavioral symptoms in meaningful socioemotional activity; not childcare economic value. Selected20%, effective-fidelity20% sharply below targeted12-week IY. Clinical utility and benefit probability weak priors; no parent spillover or lifetime conduct/crime/earnings.","sensitivity":"Utility[-0.02,0.06], target[0,0.5], delivery[0,0.6], H[0,1].","cost_basis_years":0.5},{"id":"women","cost":4000,"external":1000,"capacity":10,"target":0.35,"response":0.3,"unique_health":0.6,"utility":0.04,"years":0.5,"catchup":2,"mortality":0.02,"delay":0.05,"harm_q":0.0002,"basis":"One selected crisis/safety-support course;35% relevant trauma/abuse symptoms,30% effective clinical gain probability,60% distinct mood/safety outside housing/CBT. Weak positive central despite null advocacy counterweight, acknowledging intensive successful cases; no homicide survival or outreach multiplier.","sensitivity":"Utility[-0.04,0.1], target[0,0.7], response[0,0.7], unique[0,1].","cost_basis_years":0.5},{"id":"behavioral","cost":6000,"external":500,"capacity":5,"target":0.4,"response":0.3,"unique_health":0.6,"utility":0.08,"years":0.5,"catchup":2,"mortality":0.03,"delay":0.1,"harm_q":0.0002,"basis":"One course rather than attendee visit;40% persistent depression,30% meaningful CBT-response/local delivery,60% distinct symptom-time. Mixed outpatient groups not BRIGHT's32hour residential protocol. Utility.08 separate judgment, no substance-use mortality added.","sensitivity":"Utility[-0.05,0.2], target[0,0.8], response[0,0.7], H[0,1].","cost_basis_years":0.5},{"id":"infection_linkage","cost":300,"external":0,"capacity":20,"target":0.06,"response":0.05,"unique_health":0.6,"utility":0.03,"years":3,"catchup":0.5,"mortality":0.05,"delay":0.25,"harm_q":0.00001,"basis":"One unique testing/linkage episode;6% actionable RNA-positive untreated HCV,5% earlier effective cure difference vs existing public referral,60% distinct morbidity. No 44.2point colocated RCT transplant and no paused peer program. Three-year symptom benefit only with later-care catchup; no liver deaths or transmission added. Treatment resource charged separately per selected patient, not per all test.","sensitivity":"Actionable[0,.2], earlier cure difference[-.05,.2], utility[-.01,.08], H[0,5].","cost_basis_years":3},{"id":"wound_care","cost":600,"external":800,"capacity":10,"target":0.4,"response":0.5,"unique_health":0.7,"utility":0.06,"years":0.038356164383561646,"catchup":10,"mortality":0.04,"delay":0.02,"harm_q":0.00005,"basis":"One acute wound-care course with partner medical resources;40% clinically symptomatic wounds,50% earlier meaningful healing relative to accessible public care,70% distinct physical symptom-time. Utility.06 and14day window clinical judgment, not measured GLIDE trial; no unobserved admissions or sepsis mortality.","sensitivity":"Utility[-.03,.15], target[0,.8], response[0,.9], days[0,60] with duration-sensitive resources.","cost_basis_years":0.038356164383561646}],"unresolved":[{"id":"policy","gift_share":0.04,"reason":"No causally attributable policy probability, displaced public spending or recipient map; cannot claim coalition budget as QALYs.","required_stress":"Signed independently elicited total policy Q with geography; no generic residual expected mean."},{"id":"infection_prevention_and_hiv_sti","gift_share":null,"reason":"Safer-use prevention, HIV/STI treatment and secondary transmission plausibly material but no case/diagnosis mix. HCV subgroup alone is not complete infection effect.","required_stress":"Separate selected incidence/diagnosis/care-acceleration parameters and finite competing-risk benefit; do not duplicate HCV or MOUD people-years."},{"id":"vaccination_and_other_primary_care","gift_share":null,"reason":"Wound care is named selected branch; vaccination counts/disease risks and other completed care unavailable.","required_stress":"Disease-specific vaccine or acute-care priors after cost/coverage allocation; no automatic course Q."},{"id":"affiliate","gift_share":0.04,"reason":"Exact Foundation-to-affiliate marginal flow not identified. Church activities not automatically Foundation donation effects.","required_stress":"Recipient-specific financial mapping."}],"expectation":{"status":"Not yet specified","reason":"Do not use central scenario price as whole-organization expected-value headline. Explicit correlated scenario weights and unresolved material branches need review."},"sources":[{"id":"impact","url":"https://www.glide.org/wp-content/uploads/2026/01/GLIDE-Impact-Report-2024-2025.pdf","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"heat","url":"https://www.glide.org/heat/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"moud_mortality","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/29913516/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"moud_engagement","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/25919527/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"cbt","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/21646576/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"advocacy_positive","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/10028208/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"advocacy_counterweight","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/20682933/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"parenting","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/17350966/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"parenting_followup","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/33573694/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"meals","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/30421335/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"meals_counterweight","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/38147326/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"hcv","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/35285851/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"}],"hcv_external_treatment_cost":15000,"hcv_external_treatment_cost_basis":"Gross course drug/lab/prescribing resource prior per nominal actionable HCV patient, before donor additionality or health-success discount; separate from testing cost. This over-associates some unchanged baseline care and is not net induced cost. No charge only for successful cures."},"result":{"rescue_nominal":20,"moud_nominal":0.1875,"rescue_incremental":8,"moud_incremental":0.018750000000000003,"shared_survival_people":0.009375000000000001,"rescue_q_per_person":-0.05050713148416914,"moud_q_per_person":0.03404288287571089,"joint_q_per_person":-0.011956194752810591,"survival_q":-0.40418023481453685,"housing_q":0.0017198322434524124,"groups":[{"id":"meals","nominal":20.37037037037037,"incremental":8.148148148148149,"qaly":0.0004889446902438877,"external":3666.6666666666665},{"id":"parenting","nominal":0.8888888888888888,"incremental":0.35555555555555557,"qaly":0.00020947381202396657,"external":266.66666666666663},{"id":"childcare","nominal":0.46153846153846156,"incremental":0.18461538461538463,"qaly":0.00005089300939531352,"external":276.92307692307696},{"id":"women","nominal":1.25,"incremental":0.5,"qaly":0.0002935596722978198,"external":1250},{"id":"behavioral","nominal":0.3333333333333333,"incremental":0.13333333333333333,"qaly":0.00021236551241056122,"external":166.66666666666666},{"id":"infection_linkage","nominal":3.3333333333333335,"incremental":1.3333333333333335,"qaly":0.00008831098942877887,"external":3000},{"id":"wound_care","nominal":1.6666666666666667,"incremental":0.6666666666666667,"qaly":0.00014473790721278225,"external":1333.3333333333335}],"gross_external":32985.256410256414,"gross_associated_funding":132985.2564102564,"rental_transfer_excluded":3045,"gross_resources":129940.2564102564,"us":{"qaly":-0.40097211697807134,"donor_per_10q":null,"gross_resources_per_10q":null},"bay":{"qaly":-0.3969623958082906,"donor_per_10q":null,"gross_resources_per_10q":null},"sf":{"qaly":-0.3809235111291677,"donor_per_10q":null,"gross_resources_per_10q":null}}},{"id":"adverse_group_health","inputs":{"model_id":"glide-foundation-material-coverage-v2-design","prepared_utc":"2026-09-09","status":"Prior specification and coverage-ledger asset; not independently accepted or publication ready","recipient":{"name":"Glide Foundation","ein":"94-1156481","boundary":"Ordinary unrestricted Foundation gift. Consolidated financial context includes Church/property affiliates; no separate Church gift or presumed clinical effect."},"finance":{"year":2025,"consolidated_expenses":30766602,"program":18342460,"church":1922106,"administration":7766659,"development":2735377,"cash":5908995,"source":"https://www.glide.org/wp-content/uploads/2026/03/GLIDE-Foundation-2024-25-SA-FS-Final.pdf","basis":"Final audit, not impact report's pending-audit numbers. Cash is historical, not current spare funding."},"shared":{"gift":100000,"discount":0.03,"bay":0.99,"sf":0.95,"funding_additionality":0.4,"capacity_gift":100000,"common_external_fraction":0.2,"independent_harm_q":0},"shared_basis":{"funding_additionality":"Prior 0.4 [0,0.8]: current public grants, other donors and fixed capacity remain in no-gift world. Not estimated from contributions ratio.","capacity_gift":"100k scenario scale and assumed maximum absorbable tranche, NOT observed room; unknown room must be visible. Gift above cap still fully costed with capped output.","common_external_fraction":"0.2 [0,0.8] gross associated volunteer/common partner resources beyond branch-specific costs, not causal net cost or waived charges. Excludes clinical resources separately specified.","geography":"Bay0.99/SF0.95 priors, nested. No additional indirect Bay/SF benefit assigned; policy spillovers unresolved."},"allocation":{"rescue":0.1,"housing":0.1,"meals":0.22,"parenting":0.04,"childcare":0.06,"women":0.05,"moud":0.03,"behavioral":0.02,"infection_linkage":0.01,"wound_care":0.01,"policy":0.04,"common_operations":0.28,"property_affiliate":0.04},"allocation_basis":"Retains v1 top-level allocation priors; subdivides 7% other HEAT and 10% family. Entire gift costed; allocation does not cancel out of benefits. Not observed budget fractions. Service counts constrain plausibility, not QALYs.","survival":{"rescue_cost":500,"rescue_external":80,"rescue_capacity":100,"rescue_active_years":1,"moud_annual_foundation_cost":16000,"moud_annual_external_cost":6000,"moud_capacity":10,"moud_active_years":0.5,"moud_no_gift_treatment_share":0.5,"moud_effective_retention":0.5,"moud_observed_hr":0.63,"moud_causal_transfer":0.5,"baseline_all_cause_hazard":0.07,"rescue_hazard_reduction":0.005,"rescue_moud_overlap":0.5,"utility":0.7,"horizon_years":15,"delay_years":0.25,"rescue_harm_q":0.0001,"moud_harm_q":0.0002},"survival_basis":{"costs":"Rescue nominal annual unique-person safer-use/rescue-support package, not price per dose. MOUD Foundation cost is annualized access/support cost prior, minimum one annual budget unit for setup; active durations above one year scale Foundation/external costs linearly. External cost includes medication, prescribing, labs and public clinical delivery. 3%*30.77m/56 enrollees≈16.5k is only a plausibility check, not audited program cost or evidence of additional patients.","counts":"Impact report says 56 people enrolled in MAT, not verified deduplicated longitudinal treatment records. No 56*survival multiplier. Per-gift capacity10 is a prior and must stress to zero.","baseline":"Both rescue and medication compare with same current-care hazard. Medication effect shrunk halfway from observed HR0.63 toward1; no-gift treatment share handles replacement of existing accessible medication, retention handles effective funded-course completion, funding additionality handles donor displacement. None is a second multiplication by trial ITT adherence.","survival":"Three exclusive cohorts rescue-only/MOUD-only/both. While active h=(base-rescueReduction)*(1-(1-HR)*transfer) for both; remove each factor when its active period ends. Equal baseline hazard after funded care preserves but does not create a survival gap, capped at15years. No separate opioid deaths added to all-cause."},"housing":{"cost":10000,"external":300,"cash_transfer":3045,"capacity":10,"no_gift_stability":0.8,"incremental_stability":0.056,"unique_health":0.8,"utility":0.1,"years":1,"catchup_hazard":0,"mortality":0.01,"delay":0.1,"harm_q":0.0001},"housing_basis":"10k complete access/stabilization episode is a new prior, not v1 transfer-oriented3077. Current965254/317≈3045 is transfer per reported person, not full cost. 10% consolidated scale/317≈9706 contextual only. Stability difference0.112*0.5 transfer from prior VA evidence, capped by current80% no-gift stability. Unique-health exclusion prevents housing mood/safety stacking.","groups":[{"id":"meals","cost":1080,"external":180,"capacity":50,"target":0.2,"response":0.5,"unique_health":0.65,"utility":-0.015,"years":0.0821917808219178,"catchup":0,"mortality":0.01,"delay":0,"harm_q":0.00002,"basis":"Thirty-day 90-meal course at12/meal; meal supply consumed and replaces inadequate intake in selected20%, with50% symptom-response/local transfer. 0.015 utility for physical/mental symptoms only, not hunger preference or tailored-diet disease effect. Distinct symptom-time65%. No future mortality. Cost plausibility22%*30.77m/620513≈10.9/meal, not observed marginal price.","sensitivity":"0.015 utility [-0.01,0.05]; selected share [0,0.5]; course30days [7,90] with proportional meal costs.","cost_basis_years":0.0821917808219178},{"id":"parenting","cost":4500,"external":300,"capacity":10,"target":0.3,"response":0.35,"unique_health":0.7,"utility":-0.03,"years":0.5,"catchup":2,"mortality":0.01,"delay":0.1,"harm_q":0.0001,"basis":"One caregiver per meaningful class/support course; distressed share30%, trial-to-GLIDE delivery35%, unique mood/safety70%. Utility.03 and half-year window are weak priors; not trial-derived QALYs; catchup2/year. No child benefit in this row.","sensitivity":"Utility[-0.02,0.08], target[0,0.6], transfer[0,0.8], window[0,1].","cost_basis_years":0.5},{"id":"childcare","cost":13000,"external":600,"capacity":5,"target":0.2,"response":0.2,"unique_health":1,"utility":-0.03,"years":0.5,"catchup":2,"mortality":0.002,"delay":0.1,"harm_q":0.0001,"basis":"One child with selected emotional/behavioral symptoms in meaningful socioemotional activity; not childcare economic value. Selected20%, effective-fidelity20% sharply below targeted12-week IY. Clinical utility and benefit probability weak priors; no parent spillover or lifetime conduct/crime/earnings.","sensitivity":"Utility[-0.02,0.06], target[0,0.5], delivery[0,0.6], H[0,1].","cost_basis_years":0.5},{"id":"women","cost":4000,"external":1000,"capacity":10,"target":0.35,"response":0.3,"unique_health":0.6,"utility":-0.04,"years":0.5,"catchup":2,"mortality":0.02,"delay":0.05,"harm_q":0.0002,"basis":"One selected crisis/safety-support course;35% relevant trauma/abuse symptoms,30% effective clinical gain probability,60% distinct mood/safety outside housing/CBT. Weak positive central despite null advocacy counterweight, acknowledging intensive successful cases; no homicide survival or outreach multiplier.","sensitivity":"Utility[-0.04,0.1], target[0,0.7], response[0,0.7], unique[0,1].","cost_basis_years":0.5},{"id":"behavioral","cost":6000,"external":500,"capacity":5,"target":0.4,"response":0.3,"unique_health":0.6,"utility":-0.08,"years":0.5,"catchup":2,"mortality":0.03,"delay":0.1,"harm_q":0.0002,"basis":"One course rather than attendee visit;40% persistent depression,30% meaningful CBT-response/local delivery,60% distinct symptom-time. Mixed outpatient groups not BRIGHT's32hour residential protocol. Utility.08 separate judgment, no substance-use mortality added.","sensitivity":"Utility[-0.05,0.2], target[0,0.8], response[0,0.7], H[0,1].","cost_basis_years":0.5},{"id":"infection_linkage","cost":300,"external":0,"capacity":20,"target":0.06,"response":0.05,"unique_health":0.6,"utility":-0.03,"years":3,"catchup":0.5,"mortality":0.05,"delay":0.25,"harm_q":0.00001,"basis":"One unique testing/linkage episode;6% actionable RNA-positive untreated HCV,5% earlier effective cure difference vs existing public referral,60% distinct morbidity. No 44.2point colocated RCT transplant and no paused peer program. Three-year symptom benefit only with later-care catchup; no liver deaths or transmission added. Treatment resource charged separately per selected patient, not per all test.","sensitivity":"Actionable[0,.2], earlier cure difference[-.05,.2], utility[-.01,.08], H[0,5].","cost_basis_years":3},{"id":"wound_care","cost":600,"external":800,"capacity":10,"target":0.4,"response":0.5,"unique_health":0.7,"utility":-0.06,"years":0.038356164383561646,"catchup":10,"mortality":0.04,"delay":0.02,"harm_q":0.00005,"basis":"One acute wound-care course with partner medical resources;40% clinically symptomatic wounds,50% earlier meaningful healing relative to accessible public care,70% distinct physical symptom-time. Utility.06 and14day window clinical judgment, not measured GLIDE trial; no unobserved admissions or sepsis mortality.","sensitivity":"Utility[-.03,.15], target[0,.8], response[0,.9], days[0,60] with duration-sensitive resources.","cost_basis_years":0.038356164383561646}],"unresolved":[{"id":"policy","gift_share":0.04,"reason":"No causally attributable policy probability, displaced public spending or recipient map; cannot claim coalition budget as QALYs.","required_stress":"Signed independently elicited total policy Q with geography; no generic residual expected mean."},{"id":"infection_prevention_and_hiv_sti","gift_share":null,"reason":"Safer-use prevention, HIV/STI treatment and secondary transmission plausibly material but no case/diagnosis mix. HCV subgroup alone is not complete infection effect.","required_stress":"Separate selected incidence/diagnosis/care-acceleration parameters and finite competing-risk benefit; do not duplicate HCV or MOUD people-years."},{"id":"vaccination_and_other_primary_care","gift_share":null,"reason":"Wound care is named selected branch; vaccination counts/disease risks and other completed care unavailable.","required_stress":"Disease-specific vaccine or acute-care priors after cost/coverage allocation; no automatic course Q."},{"id":"affiliate","gift_share":0.04,"reason":"Exact Foundation-to-affiliate marginal flow not identified. Church activities not automatically Foundation donation effects.","required_stress":"Recipient-specific financial mapping."}],"expectation":{"status":"Not yet specified","reason":"Do not use central scenario price as whole-organization expected-value headline. Explicit correlated scenario weights and unresolved material branches need review."},"sources":[{"id":"impact","url":"https://www.glide.org/wp-content/uploads/2026/01/GLIDE-Impact-Report-2024-2025.pdf","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"heat","url":"https://www.glide.org/heat/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"moud_mortality","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/29913516/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"moud_engagement","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/25919527/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"cbt","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/21646576/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"advocacy_positive","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/10028208/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"advocacy_counterweight","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/20682933/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"parenting","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/17350966/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"parenting_followup","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/33573694/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"meals","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/30421335/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"meals_counterweight","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/38147326/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"hcv","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/35285851/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"}],"hcv_external_treatment_cost":15000,"hcv_external_treatment_cost_basis":"Gross course drug/lab/prescribing resource prior per nominal actionable HCV patient, before donor additionality or health-success discount; separate from testing cost. This over-associates some unchanged baseline care and is not net induced cost. No charge only for successful cures."},"result":{"rescue_nominal":20,"moud_nominal":0.1875,"rescue_incremental":8,"moud_incremental":0.018750000000000003,"shared_survival_people":0.009375000000000001,"rescue_q_per_person":0.025439456706370614,"moud_q_per_person":0.03404288287571089,"joint_q_per_person":0.057196029090171276,"survival_q":0.20332877354402284,"housing_q":0.0017198322434524124,"groups":[{"id":"meals","nominal":20.37037037037037,"incremental":8.148148148148149,"qaly":-0.0008148706161698136,"external":3666.6666666666665},{"id":"parenting","nominal":0.8888888888888888,"incremental":0.35555555555555557,"qaly":-0.0002805849231350777,"external":266.66666666666663},{"id":"childcare","nominal":0.46153846153846156,"incremental":0.18461538461538463,"qaly":-0.00008781608631839045,"external":276.92307692307696},{"id":"women","nominal":1.25,"incremental":0.5,"qaly":-0.0004935596722978198,"external":1250},{"id":"behavioral","nominal":0.3333333333333333,"incremental":0.13333333333333333,"qaly":-0.00026569884574389454,"external":166.66666666666666},{"id":"infection_linkage","nominal":3.3333333333333335,"incremental":1.3333333333333335,"qaly":-0.00011497765609544554,"external":3000},{"id":"wound_care","nominal":1.6666666666666667,"incremental":0.6666666666666667,"qaly":-0.00021140457387944895,"external":1333.3333333333335}],"gross_external":32985.256410256414,"gross_associated_funding":132985.2564102564,"rental_transfer_excluded":3045,"gross_resources":129940.2564102564,"us":{"qaly":0.20277969341383537,"donor_per_10q":4931460.261946384,"gross_resources_per_10q":6407952.109143034},"bay":{"qaly":0.20075189647969702,"donor_per_10q":4981272.991865034,"gross_resources_per_10q":6472678.898124276},"sf":{"qaly":0.1926407087431436,"donor_per_10q":5191010.802048826,"gross_resources_per_10q":6745212.746466351}}},{"id":"no_distinct_symptom_health","inputs":{"model_id":"glide-foundation-material-coverage-v2-design","prepared_utc":"2026-09-09","status":"Prior specification and coverage-ledger asset; not independently accepted or publication ready","recipient":{"name":"Glide Foundation","ein":"94-1156481","boundary":"Ordinary unrestricted Foundation gift. Consolidated financial context includes Church/property affiliates; no separate Church gift or presumed clinical effect."},"finance":{"year":2025,"consolidated_expenses":30766602,"program":18342460,"church":1922106,"administration":7766659,"development":2735377,"cash":5908995,"source":"https://www.glide.org/wp-content/uploads/2026/03/GLIDE-Foundation-2024-25-SA-FS-Final.pdf","basis":"Final audit, not impact report's pending-audit numbers. Cash is historical, not current spare funding."},"shared":{"gift":100000,"discount":0.03,"bay":0.99,"sf":0.95,"funding_additionality":0.4,"capacity_gift":100000,"common_external_fraction":0.2,"independent_harm_q":0},"shared_basis":{"funding_additionality":"Prior 0.4 [0,0.8]: current public grants, other donors and fixed capacity remain in no-gift world. Not estimated from contributions ratio.","capacity_gift":"100k scenario scale and assumed maximum absorbable tranche, NOT observed room; unknown room must be visible. Gift above cap still fully costed with capped output.","common_external_fraction":"0.2 [0,0.8] gross associated volunteer/common partner resources beyond branch-specific costs, not causal net cost or waived charges. Excludes clinical resources separately specified.","geography":"Bay0.99/SF0.95 priors, nested. No additional indirect Bay/SF benefit assigned; policy spillovers unresolved."},"allocation":{"rescue":0.1,"housing":0.1,"meals":0.22,"parenting":0.04,"childcare":0.06,"women":0.05,"moud":0.03,"behavioral":0.02,"infection_linkage":0.01,"wound_care":0.01,"policy":0.04,"common_operations":0.28,"property_affiliate":0.04},"allocation_basis":"Retains v1 top-level allocation priors; subdivides 7% other HEAT and 10% family. Entire gift costed; allocation does not cancel out of benefits. Not observed budget fractions. Service counts constrain plausibility, not QALYs.","survival":{"rescue_cost":500,"rescue_external":80,"rescue_capacity":100,"rescue_active_years":1,"moud_annual_foundation_cost":16000,"moud_annual_external_cost":6000,"moud_capacity":10,"moud_active_years":0.5,"moud_no_gift_treatment_share":0.5,"moud_effective_retention":0.5,"moud_observed_hr":0.63,"moud_causal_transfer":0.5,"baseline_all_cause_hazard":0.07,"rescue_hazard_reduction":0.005,"rescue_moud_overlap":0.5,"utility":0.7,"horizon_years":15,"delay_years":0.25,"rescue_harm_q":0.0001,"moud_harm_q":0.0002},"survival_basis":{"costs":"Rescue nominal annual unique-person safer-use/rescue-support package, not price per dose. MOUD Foundation cost is annualized access/support cost prior, minimum one annual budget unit for setup; active durations above one year scale Foundation/external costs linearly. External cost includes medication, prescribing, labs and public clinical delivery. 3%*30.77m/56 enrollees≈16.5k is only a plausibility check, not audited program cost or evidence of additional patients.","counts":"Impact report says 56 people enrolled in MAT, not verified deduplicated longitudinal treatment records. No 56*survival multiplier. Per-gift capacity10 is a prior and must stress to zero.","baseline":"Both rescue and medication compare with same current-care hazard. Medication effect shrunk halfway from observed HR0.63 toward1; no-gift treatment share handles replacement of existing accessible medication, retention handles effective funded-course completion, funding additionality handles donor displacement. None is a second multiplication by trial ITT adherence.","survival":"Three exclusive cohorts rescue-only/MOUD-only/both. While active h=(base-rescueReduction)*(1-(1-HR)*transfer) for both; remove each factor when its active period ends. Equal baseline hazard after funded care preserves but does not create a survival gap, capped at15years. No separate opioid deaths added to all-cause."},"housing":{"cost":10000,"external":300,"cash_transfer":3045,"capacity":10,"no_gift_stability":0.8,"incremental_stability":0.056,"unique_health":0,"utility":0.1,"years":1,"catchup_hazard":0,"mortality":0.01,"delay":0.1,"harm_q":0.0001},"housing_basis":"10k complete access/stabilization episode is a new prior, not v1 transfer-oriented3077. Current965254/317≈3045 is transfer per reported person, not full cost. 10% consolidated scale/317≈9706 contextual only. Stability difference0.112*0.5 transfer from prior VA evidence, capped by current80% no-gift stability. Unique-health exclusion prevents housing mood/safety stacking.","groups":[{"id":"meals","cost":1080,"external":180,"capacity":50,"target":0.2,"response":0.5,"unique_health":0,"utility":0.015,"years":0.0821917808219178,"catchup":0,"mortality":0.01,"delay":0,"harm_q":0.00002,"basis":"Thirty-day 90-meal course at12/meal; meal supply consumed and replaces inadequate intake in selected20%, with50% symptom-response/local transfer. 0.015 utility for physical/mental symptoms only, not hunger preference or tailored-diet disease effect. Distinct symptom-time65%. No future mortality. Cost plausibility22%*30.77m/620513≈10.9/meal, not observed marginal price.","sensitivity":"0.015 utility [-0.01,0.05]; selected share [0,0.5]; course30days [7,90] with proportional meal costs.","cost_basis_years":0.0821917808219178},{"id":"parenting","cost":4500,"external":300,"capacity":10,"target":0.3,"response":0.35,"unique_health":0,"utility":0.03,"years":0.5,"catchup":2,"mortality":0.01,"delay":0.1,"harm_q":0.0001,"basis":"One caregiver per meaningful class/support course; distressed share30%, trial-to-GLIDE delivery35%, unique mood/safety70%. Utility.03 and half-year window are weak priors; not trial-derived QALYs; catchup2/year. No child benefit in this row.","sensitivity":"Utility[-0.02,0.08], target[0,0.6], transfer[0,0.8], window[0,1].","cost_basis_years":0.5},{"id":"childcare","cost":13000,"external":600,"capacity":5,"target":0.2,"response":0.2,"unique_health":0,"utility":0.03,"years":0.5,"catchup":2,"mortality":0.002,"delay":0.1,"harm_q":0.0001,"basis":"One child with selected emotional/behavioral symptoms in meaningful socioemotional activity; not childcare economic value. Selected20%, effective-fidelity20% sharply below targeted12-week IY. Clinical utility and benefit probability weak priors; no parent spillover or lifetime conduct/crime/earnings.","sensitivity":"Utility[-0.02,0.06], target[0,0.5], delivery[0,0.6], H[0,1].","cost_basis_years":0.5},{"id":"women","cost":4000,"external":1000,"capacity":10,"target":0.35,"response":0.3,"unique_health":0,"utility":0.04,"years":0.5,"catchup":2,"mortality":0.02,"delay":0.05,"harm_q":0.0002,"basis":"One selected crisis/safety-support course;35% relevant trauma/abuse symptoms,30% effective clinical gain probability,60% distinct mood/safety outside housing/CBT. Weak positive central despite null advocacy counterweight, acknowledging intensive successful cases; no homicide survival or outreach multiplier.","sensitivity":"Utility[-0.04,0.1], target[0,0.7], response[0,0.7], unique[0,1].","cost_basis_years":0.5},{"id":"behavioral","cost":6000,"external":500,"capacity":5,"target":0.4,"response":0.3,"unique_health":0,"utility":0.08,"years":0.5,"catchup":2,"mortality":0.03,"delay":0.1,"harm_q":0.0002,"basis":"One course rather than attendee visit;40% persistent depression,30% meaningful CBT-response/local delivery,60% distinct symptom-time. Mixed outpatient groups not BRIGHT's32hour residential protocol. Utility.08 separate judgment, no substance-use mortality added.","sensitivity":"Utility[-0.05,0.2], target[0,0.8], response[0,0.7], H[0,1].","cost_basis_years":0.5},{"id":"infection_linkage","cost":300,"external":0,"capacity":20,"target":0.06,"response":0.05,"unique_health":0,"utility":0.03,"years":3,"catchup":0.5,"mortality":0.05,"delay":0.25,"harm_q":0.00001,"basis":"One unique testing/linkage episode;6% actionable RNA-positive untreated HCV,5% earlier effective cure difference vs existing public referral,60% distinct morbidity. No 44.2point colocated RCT transplant and no paused peer program. Three-year symptom benefit only with later-care catchup; no liver deaths or transmission added. Treatment resource charged separately per selected patient, not per all test.","sensitivity":"Actionable[0,.2], earlier cure difference[-.05,.2], utility[-.01,.08], H[0,5].","cost_basis_years":3},{"id":"wound_care","cost":600,"external":800,"capacity":10,"target":0.4,"response":0.5,"unique_health":0,"utility":0.06,"years":0.038356164383561646,"catchup":10,"mortality":0.04,"delay":0.02,"harm_q":0.00005,"basis":"One acute wound-care course with partner medical resources;40% clinically symptomatic wounds,50% earlier meaningful healing relative to accessible public care,70% distinct physical symptom-time. Utility.06 and14day window clinical judgment, not measured GLIDE trial; no unobserved admissions or sepsis mortality.","sensitivity":"Utility[-.03,.15], target[0,.8], response[0,.9], days[0,60] with duration-sensitive resources.","cost_basis_years":0.038356164383561646}],"unresolved":[{"id":"policy","gift_share":0.04,"reason":"No causally attributable policy probability, displaced public spending or recipient map; cannot claim coalition budget as QALYs.","required_stress":"Signed independently elicited total policy Q with geography; no generic residual expected mean."},{"id":"infection_prevention_and_hiv_sti","gift_share":null,"reason":"Safer-use prevention, HIV/STI treatment and secondary transmission plausibly material but no case/diagnosis mix. HCV subgroup alone is not complete infection effect.","required_stress":"Separate selected incidence/diagnosis/care-acceleration parameters and finite competing-risk benefit; do not duplicate HCV or MOUD people-years."},{"id":"vaccination_and_other_primary_care","gift_share":null,"reason":"Wound care is named selected branch; vaccination counts/disease risks and other completed care unavailable.","required_stress":"Disease-specific vaccine or acute-care priors after cost/coverage allocation; no automatic course Q."},{"id":"affiliate","gift_share":0.04,"reason":"Exact Foundation-to-affiliate marginal flow not identified. Church activities not automatically Foundation donation effects.","required_stress":"Recipient-specific financial mapping."}],"expectation":{"status":"Not yet specified","reason":"Do not use central scenario price as whole-organization expected-value headline. Explicit correlated scenario weights and unresolved material branches need review."},"sources":[{"id":"impact","url":"https://www.glide.org/wp-content/uploads/2026/01/GLIDE-Impact-Report-2024-2025.pdf","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"heat","url":"https://www.glide.org/heat/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"moud_mortality","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/29913516/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"moud_engagement","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/25919527/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"cbt","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/21646576/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"advocacy_positive","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/10028208/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"advocacy_counterweight","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/20682933/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"parenting","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/17350966/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"parenting_followup","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/33573694/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"meals","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/30421335/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"meals_counterweight","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/38147326/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"hcv","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/35285851/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"}],"hcv_external_treatment_cost":15000,"hcv_external_treatment_cost_basis":"Gross course drug/lab/prescribing resource prior per nominal actionable HCV patient, before donor additionality or health-success discount; separate from testing cost. This over-associates some unchanged baseline care and is not net induced cost. No charge only for successful cures."},"result":{"rescue_nominal":20,"moud_nominal":0.1875,"rescue_incremental":8,"moud_incremental":0.018750000000000003,"shared_survival_people":0.009375000000000001,"rescue_q_per_person":0.025439456706370614,"moud_q_per_person":0.03404288287571089,"joint_q_per_person":0.057196029090171276,"survival_q":0.20332877354402284,"housing_q":0,"groups":[{"id":"meals","nominal":20.37037037037037,"incremental":8.148148148148149,"qaly":-0.00016296296296296298,"external":3666.6666666666665},{"id":"parenting","nominal":0.8888888888888888,"incremental":0.35555555555555557,"qaly":-0.00003555555555555556,"external":266.66666666666663},{"id":"childcare","nominal":0.46153846153846156,"incremental":0.18461538461538463,"qaly":-0.000018461538461538465,"external":276.92307692307696},{"id":"women","nominal":1.25,"incremental":0.5,"qaly":-0.0001,"external":1250},{"id":"behavioral","nominal":0.3333333333333333,"incremental":0.13333333333333333,"qaly":-0.000026666666666666667,"external":166.66666666666666},{"id":"infection_linkage","nominal":3.3333333333333335,"incremental":1.3333333333333335,"qaly":-0.000013333333333333337,"external":3000},{"id":"wound_care","nominal":1.6666666666666667,"incremental":0.6666666666666667,"qaly":-0.00003333333333333334,"external":1333.3333333333335}],"gross_external":32985.256410256414,"gross_associated_funding":132985.2564102564,"rental_transfer_excluded":3045,"gross_resources":129940.2564102564,"us":{"qaly":0.20293846015370945,"donor_per_10q":4927602.186606624,"gross_resources_per_10q":6402938.916154048},"bay":{"qaly":0.20090907555217236,"donor_per_10q":4977375.946067297,"gross_resources_per_10q":6467615.066822272},"sf":{"qaly":0.19279153714602396,"donor_per_10q":5186949.670112236,"gross_resources_per_10q":6739935.701214789}}},{"id":"fully_funded_three_year_moud","inputs":{"model_id":"glide-foundation-material-coverage-v2-design","prepared_utc":"2026-09-09","status":"Prior specification and coverage-ledger asset; not independently accepted or publication ready","recipient":{"name":"Glide Foundation","ein":"94-1156481","boundary":"Ordinary unrestricted Foundation gift. Consolidated financial context includes Church/property affiliates; no separate Church gift or presumed clinical effect."},"finance":{"year":2025,"consolidated_expenses":30766602,"program":18342460,"church":1922106,"administration":7766659,"development":2735377,"cash":5908995,"source":"https://www.glide.org/wp-content/uploads/2026/03/GLIDE-Foundation-2024-25-SA-FS-Final.pdf","basis":"Final audit, not impact report's pending-audit numbers. Cash is historical, not current spare funding."},"shared":{"gift":100000,"discount":0.03,"bay":0.99,"sf":0.95,"funding_additionality":0.4,"capacity_gift":100000,"common_external_fraction":0.2,"independent_harm_q":0},"shared_basis":{"funding_additionality":"Prior 0.4 [0,0.8]: current public grants, other donors and fixed capacity remain in no-gift world. Not estimated from contributions ratio.","capacity_gift":"100k scenario scale and assumed maximum absorbable tranche, NOT observed room; unknown room must be visible. Gift above cap still fully costed with capped output.","common_external_fraction":"0.2 [0,0.8] gross associated volunteer/common partner resources beyond branch-specific costs, not causal net cost or waived charges. Excludes clinical resources separately specified.","geography":"Bay0.99/SF0.95 priors, nested. No additional indirect Bay/SF benefit assigned; policy spillovers unresolved."},"allocation":{"rescue":0.1,"housing":0.1,"meals":0.22,"parenting":0.04,"childcare":0.06,"women":0.05,"moud":0.03,"behavioral":0.02,"infection_linkage":0.01,"wound_care":0.01,"policy":0.04,"common_operations":0.28,"property_affiliate":0.04},"allocation_basis":"Retains v1 top-level allocation priors; subdivides 7% other HEAT and 10% family. Entire gift costed; allocation does not cancel out of benefits. Not observed budget fractions. Service counts constrain plausibility, not QALYs.","survival":{"rescue_cost":500,"rescue_external":80,"rescue_capacity":100,"rescue_active_years":1,"moud_annual_foundation_cost":16000,"moud_annual_external_cost":6000,"moud_capacity":10,"moud_active_years":3,"moud_no_gift_treatment_share":0.5,"moud_effective_retention":0.5,"moud_observed_hr":0.63,"moud_causal_transfer":0.5,"baseline_all_cause_hazard":0.07,"rescue_hazard_reduction":0.005,"rescue_moud_overlap":0.5,"utility":0.7,"horizon_years":15,"delay_years":0.25,"rescue_harm_q":0.0001,"moud_harm_q":0.0002},"survival_basis":{"costs":"Rescue nominal annual unique-person safer-use/rescue-support package, not price per dose. MOUD Foundation cost is annualized access/support cost prior, minimum one annual budget unit for setup; active durations above one year scale Foundation/external costs linearly. External cost includes medication, prescribing, labs and public clinical delivery. 3%*30.77m/56 enrollees≈16.5k is only a plausibility check, not audited program cost or evidence of additional patients.","counts":"Impact report says 56 people enrolled in MAT, not verified deduplicated longitudinal treatment records. No 56*survival multiplier. Per-gift capacity10 is a prior and must stress to zero.","baseline":"Both rescue and medication compare with same current-care hazard. Medication effect shrunk halfway from observed HR0.63 toward1; no-gift treatment share handles replacement of existing accessible medication, retention handles effective funded-course completion, funding additionality handles donor displacement. None is a second multiplication by trial ITT adherence.","survival":"Three exclusive cohorts rescue-only/MOUD-only/both. While active h=(base-rescueReduction)*(1-(1-HR)*transfer) for both; remove each factor when its active period ends. Equal baseline hazard after funded care preserves but does not create a survival gap, capped at15years. No separate opioid deaths added to all-cause."},"housing":{"cost":10000,"external":300,"cash_transfer":3045,"capacity":10,"no_gift_stability":0.8,"incremental_stability":0.056,"unique_health":0.8,"utility":0.1,"years":1,"catchup_hazard":0,"mortality":0.01,"delay":0.1,"harm_q":0.0001},"housing_basis":"10k complete access/stabilization episode is a new prior, not v1 transfer-oriented3077. Current965254/317≈3045 is transfer per reported person, not full cost. 10% consolidated scale/317≈9706 contextual only. Stability difference0.112*0.5 transfer from prior VA evidence, capped by current80% no-gift stability. Unique-health exclusion prevents housing mood/safety stacking.","groups":[{"id":"meals","cost":1080,"external":180,"capacity":50,"target":0.2,"response":0.5,"unique_health":0.65,"utility":0.015,"years":0.0821917808219178,"catchup":0,"mortality":0.01,"delay":0,"harm_q":0.00002,"basis":"Thirty-day 90-meal course at12/meal; meal supply consumed and replaces inadequate intake in selected20%, with50% symptom-response/local transfer. 0.015 utility for physical/mental symptoms only, not hunger preference or tailored-diet disease effect. Distinct symptom-time65%. No future mortality. Cost plausibility22%*30.77m/620513≈10.9/meal, not observed marginal price.","sensitivity":"0.015 utility [-0.01,0.05]; selected share [0,0.5]; course30days [7,90] with proportional meal costs.","cost_basis_years":0.0821917808219178},{"id":"parenting","cost":4500,"external":300,"capacity":10,"target":0.3,"response":0.35,"unique_health":0.7,"utility":0.03,"years":0.5,"catchup":2,"mortality":0.01,"delay":0.1,"harm_q":0.0001,"basis":"One caregiver per meaningful class/support course; distressed share30%, trial-to-GLIDE delivery35%, unique mood/safety70%. Utility.03 and half-year window are weak priors; not trial-derived QALYs; catchup2/year. No child benefit in this row.","sensitivity":"Utility[-0.02,0.08], target[0,0.6], transfer[0,0.8], window[0,1].","cost_basis_years":0.5},{"id":"childcare","cost":13000,"external":600,"capacity":5,"target":0.2,"response":0.2,"unique_health":1,"utility":0.03,"years":0.5,"catchup":2,"mortality":0.002,"delay":0.1,"harm_q":0.0001,"basis":"One child with selected emotional/behavioral symptoms in meaningful socioemotional activity; not childcare economic value. Selected20%, effective-fidelity20% sharply below targeted12-week IY. Clinical utility and benefit probability weak priors; no parent spillover or lifetime conduct/crime/earnings.","sensitivity":"Utility[-0.02,0.06], target[0,0.5], delivery[0,0.6], H[0,1].","cost_basis_years":0.5},{"id":"women","cost":4000,"external":1000,"capacity":10,"target":0.35,"response":0.3,"unique_health":0.6,"utility":0.04,"years":0.5,"catchup":2,"mortality":0.02,"delay":0.05,"harm_q":0.0002,"basis":"One selected crisis/safety-support course;35% relevant trauma/abuse symptoms,30% effective clinical gain probability,60% distinct mood/safety outside housing/CBT. Weak positive central despite null advocacy counterweight, acknowledging intensive successful cases; no homicide survival or outreach multiplier.","sensitivity":"Utility[-0.04,0.1], target[0,0.7], response[0,0.7], unique[0,1].","cost_basis_years":0.5},{"id":"behavioral","cost":6000,"external":500,"capacity":5,"target":0.4,"response":0.3,"unique_health":0.6,"utility":0.08,"years":0.5,"catchup":2,"mortality":0.03,"delay":0.1,"harm_q":0.0002,"basis":"One course rather than attendee visit;40% persistent depression,30% meaningful CBT-response/local delivery,60% distinct symptom-time. Mixed outpatient groups not BRIGHT's32hour residential protocol. Utility.08 separate judgment, no substance-use mortality added.","sensitivity":"Utility[-0.05,0.2], target[0,0.8], response[0,0.7], H[0,1].","cost_basis_years":0.5},{"id":"infection_linkage","cost":300,"external":0,"capacity":20,"target":0.06,"response":0.05,"unique_health":0.6,"utility":0.03,"years":3,"catchup":0.5,"mortality":0.05,"delay":0.25,"harm_q":0.00001,"basis":"One unique testing/linkage episode;6% actionable RNA-positive untreated HCV,5% earlier effective cure difference vs existing public referral,60% distinct morbidity. No 44.2point colocated RCT transplant and no paused peer program. Three-year symptom benefit only with later-care catchup; no liver deaths or transmission added. Treatment resource charged separately per selected patient, not per all test.","sensitivity":"Actionable[0,.2], earlier cure difference[-.05,.2], utility[-.01,.08], H[0,5].","cost_basis_years":3},{"id":"wound_care","cost":600,"external":800,"capacity":10,"target":0.4,"response":0.5,"unique_health":0.7,"utility":0.06,"years":0.038356164383561646,"catchup":10,"mortality":0.04,"delay":0.02,"harm_q":0.00005,"basis":"One acute wound-care course with partner medical resources;40% clinically symptomatic wounds,50% earlier meaningful healing relative to accessible public care,70% distinct physical symptom-time. Utility.06 and14day window clinical judgment, not measured GLIDE trial; no unobserved admissions or sepsis mortality.","sensitivity":"Utility[-.03,.15], target[0,.8], response[0,.9], days[0,60] with duration-sensitive resources.","cost_basis_years":0.038356164383561646}],"unresolved":[{"id":"policy","gift_share":0.04,"reason":"No causally attributable policy probability, displaced public spending or recipient map; cannot claim coalition budget as QALYs.","required_stress":"Signed independently elicited total policy Q with geography; no generic residual expected mean."},{"id":"infection_prevention_and_hiv_sti","gift_share":null,"reason":"Safer-use prevention, HIV/STI treatment and secondary transmission plausibly material but no case/diagnosis mix. HCV subgroup alone is not complete infection effect.","required_stress":"Separate selected incidence/diagnosis/care-acceleration parameters and finite competing-risk benefit; do not duplicate HCV or MOUD people-years."},{"id":"vaccination_and_other_primary_care","gift_share":null,"reason":"Wound care is named selected branch; vaccination counts/disease risks and other completed care unavailable.","required_stress":"Disease-specific vaccine or acute-care priors after cost/coverage allocation; no automatic course Q."},{"id":"affiliate","gift_share":0.04,"reason":"Exact Foundation-to-affiliate marginal flow not identified. Church activities not automatically Foundation donation effects.","required_stress":"Recipient-specific financial mapping."}],"expectation":{"status":"Not yet specified","reason":"Do not use central scenario price as whole-organization expected-value headline. Explicit correlated scenario weights and unresolved material branches need review."},"sources":[{"id":"impact","url":"https://www.glide.org/wp-content/uploads/2026/01/GLIDE-Impact-Report-2024-2025.pdf","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"heat","url":"https://www.glide.org/heat/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"moud_mortality","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/29913516/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"moud_engagement","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/25919527/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"cbt","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/21646576/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"advocacy_positive","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/10028208/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"advocacy_counterweight","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/20682933/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"parenting","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/17350966/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"parenting_followup","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/33573694/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"meals","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/30421335/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"meals_counterweight","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/38147326/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"hcv","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/35285851/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"}],"hcv_external_treatment_cost":15000,"hcv_external_treatment_cost_basis":"Gross course drug/lab/prescribing resource prior per nominal actionable HCV patient, before donor additionality or health-success discount; separate from testing cost. This over-associates some unchanged baseline care and is not net induced cost. No charge only for successful cures."},"result":{"rescue_nominal":20,"moud_nominal":0.0625,"rescue_incremental":8,"moud_incremental":0.00625,"shared_survival_people":0.003125,"rescue_q_per_person":0.025439456706370614,"moud_q_per_person":0.17668074658366195,"joint_q_per_person":0.19812010831677257,"survival_q":0.20380615802032134,"housing_q":0.0017198322434524124,"groups":[{"id":"meals","nominal":20.37037037037037,"incremental":8.148148148148149,"qaly":0.0004889446902438877,"external":3666.6666666666665},{"id":"parenting","nominal":0.8888888888888888,"incremental":0.35555555555555557,"qaly":0.00020947381202396657,"external":266.66666666666663},{"id":"childcare","nominal":0.46153846153846156,"incremental":0.18461538461538463,"qaly":0.00005089300939531352,"external":276.92307692307696},{"id":"women","nominal":1.25,"incremental":0.5,"qaly":0.0002935596722978198,"external":1250},{"id":"behavioral","nominal":0.3333333333333333,"incremental":0.13333333333333333,"qaly":0.00021236551241056122,"external":166.66666666666666},{"id":"infection_linkage","nominal":3.3333333333333335,"incremental":1.3333333333333335,"qaly":0.00008831098942877887,"external":3000},{"id":"wound_care","nominal":1.6666666666666667,"incremental":0.6666666666666667,"qaly":0.00014473790721278225,"external":1333.3333333333335}],"gross_external":32985.256410256414,"gross_associated_funding":132985.2564102564,"rental_transfer_excluded":3045,"gross_resources":129940.2564102564,"us":{"qaly":0.20701427585678686,"donor_per_10q":4830584.730744865,"gross_resources_per_10q":6276874.185244571},"bay":{"qaly":0.204944133098219,"donor_per_10q":4879378.515903904,"gross_resources_per_10q":6340276.954792497},"sf":{"qaly":0.1966635620639475,"donor_per_10q":5084826.032363016,"gross_resources_per_10q":6607235.98446797}}},{"id":"longer_funded_symptom_courses","inputs":{"model_id":"glide-foundation-material-coverage-v2-design","prepared_utc":"2026-09-09","status":"Prior specification and coverage-ledger asset; not independently accepted or publication ready","recipient":{"name":"Glide Foundation","ein":"94-1156481","boundary":"Ordinary unrestricted Foundation gift. Consolidated financial context includes Church/property affiliates; no separate Church gift or presumed clinical effect."},"finance":{"year":2025,"consolidated_expenses":30766602,"program":18342460,"church":1922106,"administration":7766659,"development":2735377,"cash":5908995,"source":"https://www.glide.org/wp-content/uploads/2026/03/GLIDE-Foundation-2024-25-SA-FS-Final.pdf","basis":"Final audit, not impact report's pending-audit numbers. Cash is historical, not current spare funding."},"shared":{"gift":100000,"discount":0.03,"bay":0.99,"sf":0.95,"funding_additionality":0.4,"capacity_gift":100000,"common_external_fraction":0.2,"independent_harm_q":0},"shared_basis":{"funding_additionality":"Prior 0.4 [0,0.8]: current public grants, other donors and fixed capacity remain in no-gift world. Not estimated from contributions ratio.","capacity_gift":"100k scenario scale and assumed maximum absorbable tranche, NOT observed room; unknown room must be visible. Gift above cap still fully costed with capped output.","common_external_fraction":"0.2 [0,0.8] gross associated volunteer/common partner resources beyond branch-specific costs, not causal net cost or waived charges. Excludes clinical resources separately specified.","geography":"Bay0.99/SF0.95 priors, nested. No additional indirect Bay/SF benefit assigned; policy spillovers unresolved."},"allocation":{"rescue":0.1,"housing":0.1,"meals":0.22,"parenting":0.04,"childcare":0.06,"women":0.05,"moud":0.03,"behavioral":0.02,"infection_linkage":0.01,"wound_care":0.01,"policy":0.04,"common_operations":0.28,"property_affiliate":0.04},"allocation_basis":"Retains v1 top-level allocation priors; subdivides 7% other HEAT and 10% family. Entire gift costed; allocation does not cancel out of benefits. Not observed budget fractions. Service counts constrain plausibility, not QALYs.","survival":{"rescue_cost":500,"rescue_external":80,"rescue_capacity":100,"rescue_active_years":1,"moud_annual_foundation_cost":16000,"moud_annual_external_cost":6000,"moud_capacity":10,"moud_active_years":0.5,"moud_no_gift_treatment_share":0.5,"moud_effective_retention":0.5,"moud_observed_hr":0.63,"moud_causal_transfer":0.5,"baseline_all_cause_hazard":0.07,"rescue_hazard_reduction":0.005,"rescue_moud_overlap":0.5,"utility":0.7,"horizon_years":15,"delay_years":0.25,"rescue_harm_q":0.0001,"moud_harm_q":0.0002},"survival_basis":{"costs":"Rescue nominal annual unique-person safer-use/rescue-support package, not price per dose. MOUD Foundation cost is annualized access/support cost prior, minimum one annual budget unit for setup; active durations above one year scale Foundation/external costs linearly. External cost includes medication, prescribing, labs and public clinical delivery. 3%*30.77m/56 enrollees≈16.5k is only a plausibility check, not audited program cost or evidence of additional patients.","counts":"Impact report says 56 people enrolled in MAT, not verified deduplicated longitudinal treatment records. No 56*survival multiplier. Per-gift capacity10 is a prior and must stress to zero.","baseline":"Both rescue and medication compare with same current-care hazard. Medication effect shrunk halfway from observed HR0.63 toward1; no-gift treatment share handles replacement of existing accessible medication, retention handles effective funded-course completion, funding additionality handles donor displacement. None is a second multiplication by trial ITT adherence.","survival":"Three exclusive cohorts rescue-only/MOUD-only/both. While active h=(base-rescueReduction)*(1-(1-HR)*transfer) for both; remove each factor when its active period ends. Equal baseline hazard after funded care preserves but does not create a survival gap, capped at15years. No separate opioid deaths added to all-cause."},"housing":{"cost":10000,"external":300,"cash_transfer":3045,"capacity":10,"no_gift_stability":0.8,"incremental_stability":0.056,"unique_health":0.8,"utility":0.1,"years":1,"catchup_hazard":0,"mortality":0.01,"delay":0.1,"harm_q":0.0001},"housing_basis":"10k complete access/stabilization episode is a new prior, not v1 transfer-oriented3077. Current965254/317≈3045 is transfer per reported person, not full cost. 10% consolidated scale/317≈9706 contextual only. Stability difference0.112*0.5 transfer from prior VA evidence, capped by current80% no-gift stability. Unique-health exclusion prevents housing mood/safety stacking.","groups":[{"id":"meals","cost":1080,"external":180,"capacity":50,"target":0.2,"response":0.5,"unique_health":0.65,"utility":0.015,"years":0.1643835616438356,"catchup":0,"mortality":0.01,"delay":0,"harm_q":0.00002,"basis":"Thirty-day 90-meal course at12/meal; meal supply consumed and replaces inadequate intake in selected20%, with50% symptom-response/local transfer. 0.015 utility for physical/mental symptoms only, not hunger preference or tailored-diet disease effect. Distinct symptom-time65%. No future mortality. Cost plausibility22%*30.77m/620513≈10.9/meal, not observed marginal price.","sensitivity":"0.015 utility [-0.01,0.05]; selected share [0,0.5]; course30days [7,90] with proportional meal costs.","cost_basis_years":0.0821917808219178},{"id":"parenting","cost":4500,"external":300,"capacity":10,"target":0.3,"response":0.35,"unique_health":0.7,"utility":0.03,"years":1,"catchup":2,"mortality":0.01,"delay":0.1,"harm_q":0.0001,"basis":"One caregiver per meaningful class/support course; distressed share30%, trial-to-GLIDE delivery35%, unique mood/safety70%. Utility.03 and half-year window are weak priors; not trial-derived QALYs; catchup2/year. No child benefit in this row.","sensitivity":"Utility[-0.02,0.08], target[0,0.6], transfer[0,0.8], window[0,1].","cost_basis_years":0.5},{"id":"childcare","cost":13000,"external":600,"capacity":5,"target":0.2,"response":0.2,"unique_health":1,"utility":0.03,"years":1,"catchup":2,"mortality":0.002,"delay":0.1,"harm_q":0.0001,"basis":"One child with selected emotional/behavioral symptoms in meaningful socioemotional activity; not childcare economic value. Selected20%, effective-fidelity20% sharply below targeted12-week IY. Clinical utility and benefit probability weak priors; no parent spillover or lifetime conduct/crime/earnings.","sensitivity":"Utility[-0.02,0.06], target[0,0.5], delivery[0,0.6], H[0,1].","cost_basis_years":0.5},{"id":"women","cost":4000,"external":1000,"capacity":10,"target":0.35,"response":0.3,"unique_health":0.6,"utility":0.04,"years":1,"catchup":2,"mortality":0.02,"delay":0.05,"harm_q":0.0002,"basis":"One selected crisis/safety-support course;35% relevant trauma/abuse symptoms,30% effective clinical gain probability,60% distinct mood/safety outside housing/CBT. Weak positive central despite null advocacy counterweight, acknowledging intensive successful cases; no homicide survival or outreach multiplier.","sensitivity":"Utility[-0.04,0.1], target[0,0.7], response[0,0.7], unique[0,1].","cost_basis_years":0.5},{"id":"behavioral","cost":6000,"external":500,"capacity":5,"target":0.4,"response":0.3,"unique_health":0.6,"utility":0.08,"years":1,"catchup":2,"mortality":0.03,"delay":0.1,"harm_q":0.0002,"basis":"One course rather than attendee visit;40% persistent depression,30% meaningful CBT-response/local delivery,60% distinct symptom-time. Mixed outpatient groups not BRIGHT's32hour residential protocol. Utility.08 separate judgment, no substance-use mortality added.","sensitivity":"Utility[-0.05,0.2], target[0,0.8], response[0,0.7], H[0,1].","cost_basis_years":0.5},{"id":"infection_linkage","cost":300,"external":0,"capacity":20,"target":0.06,"response":0.05,"unique_health":0.6,"utility":0.03,"years":6,"catchup":0.5,"mortality":0.05,"delay":0.25,"harm_q":0.00001,"basis":"One unique testing/linkage episode;6% actionable RNA-positive untreated HCV,5% earlier effective cure difference vs existing public referral,60% distinct morbidity. No 44.2point colocated RCT transplant and no paused peer program. Three-year symptom benefit only with later-care catchup; no liver deaths or transmission added. Treatment resource charged separately per selected patient, not per all test.","sensitivity":"Actionable[0,.2], earlier cure difference[-.05,.2], utility[-.01,.08], H[0,5].","cost_basis_years":3},{"id":"wound_care","cost":600,"external":800,"capacity":10,"target":0.4,"response":0.5,"unique_health":0.7,"utility":0.06,"years":0.07671232876712329,"catchup":10,"mortality":0.04,"delay":0.02,"harm_q":0.00005,"basis":"One acute wound-care course with partner medical resources;40% clinically symptomatic wounds,50% earlier meaningful healing relative to accessible public care,70% distinct physical symptom-time. Utility.06 and14day window clinical judgment, not measured GLIDE trial; no unobserved admissions or sepsis mortality.","sensitivity":"Utility[-.03,.15], target[0,.8], response[0,.9], days[0,60] with duration-sensitive resources.","cost_basis_years":0.038356164383561646}],"unresolved":[{"id":"policy","gift_share":0.04,"reason":"No causally attributable policy probability, displaced public spending or recipient map; cannot claim coalition budget as QALYs.","required_stress":"Signed independently elicited total policy Q with geography; no generic residual expected mean."},{"id":"infection_prevention_and_hiv_sti","gift_share":null,"reason":"Safer-use prevention, HIV/STI treatment and secondary transmission plausibly material but no case/diagnosis mix. HCV subgroup alone is not complete infection effect.","required_stress":"Separate selected incidence/diagnosis/care-acceleration parameters and finite competing-risk benefit; do not duplicate HCV or MOUD people-years."},{"id":"vaccination_and_other_primary_care","gift_share":null,"reason":"Wound care is named selected branch; vaccination counts/disease risks and other completed care unavailable.","required_stress":"Disease-specific vaccine or acute-care priors after cost/coverage allocation; no automatic course Q."},{"id":"affiliate","gift_share":0.04,"reason":"Exact Foundation-to-affiliate marginal flow not identified. Church activities not automatically Foundation donation effects.","required_stress":"Recipient-specific financial mapping."}],"expectation":{"status":"Not yet specified","reason":"Do not use central scenario price as whole-organization expected-value headline. Explicit correlated scenario weights and unresolved material branches need review."},"sources":[{"id":"impact","url":"https://www.glide.org/wp-content/uploads/2026/01/GLIDE-Impact-Report-2024-2025.pdf","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"heat","url":"https://www.glide.org/heat/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"moud_mortality","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/29913516/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"moud_engagement","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/25919527/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"cbt","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/21646576/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"advocacy_positive","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/10028208/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"advocacy_counterweight","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/20682933/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"parenting","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/17350966/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"parenting_followup","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/33573694/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"meals","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/30421335/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"meals_counterweight","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/38147326/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"hcv","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/35285851/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"}],"hcv_external_treatment_cost":15000,"hcv_external_treatment_cost_basis":"Gross course drug/lab/prescribing resource prior per nominal actionable HCV patient, before donor additionality or health-success discount; separate from testing cost. This over-associates some unchanged baseline care and is not net induced cost. No charge only for successful cures."},"result":{"rescue_nominal":20,"moud_nominal":0.1875,"rescue_incremental":8,"moud_incremental":0.018750000000000003,"shared_survival_people":0.009375000000000001,"rescue_q_per_person":0.025439456706370614,"moud_q_per_person":0.03404288287571089,"joint_q_per_person":0.057196029090171276,"survival_q":0.20332877354402284,"housing_q":0.0017198322434524124,"groups":[{"id":"meals","nominal":10.185185185185185,"incremental":4.074074074074074,"qaly":0.0005693680837845818,"external":3666.6666666666665},{"id":"parenting","nominal":0.4444444444444444,"incremental":0.17777777777777778,"qaly":0.0001489248278144023,"external":266.66666666666663},{"id":"childcare","nominal":0.23076923076923078,"incremental":0.09230769230769231,"qaly":0.00003800384201143944,"external":276.92307692307696},{"id":"women","nominal":0.625,"incremental":0.25,"qaly":0.0002173993226837,"external":1250},{"id":"behavioral","nominal":0.16666666666666666,"incremental":0.06666666666666667,"qaly":0.00014886024563855906,"external":166.66666666666666},{"id":"infection_linkage","nominal":1.6666666666666667,"incremental":0.6666666666666667,"qaly":0.000053087635541092763,"external":1500},{"id":"wound_care","nominal":0.8333333333333334,"incremental":0.33333333333333337,"qaly":0.000132878846148386,"external":1333.3333333333335}],"gross_external":31485.256410256414,"gross_associated_funding":131485.2564102564,"rental_transfer_excluded":3045,"gross_resources":128440.2564102564,"us":{"qaly":0.2063571285910974,"donor_per_10q":4845967.797805177,"gross_resources_per_10q":6224173.465059425},"bay":{"qaly":0.20429355730518642,"donor_per_10q":4894916.967479977,"gross_resources_per_10q":6287043.904100429},"sf":{"qaly":0.19603927216154252,"donor_per_10q":5101018.734531766,"gross_resources_per_10q":6551761.542167816}}},{"id":"zero_discount","inputs":{"model_id":"glide-foundation-material-coverage-v2-design","prepared_utc":"2026-09-09","status":"Prior specification and coverage-ledger asset; not independently accepted or publication ready","recipient":{"name":"Glide Foundation","ein":"94-1156481","boundary":"Ordinary unrestricted Foundation gift. Consolidated financial context includes Church/property affiliates; no separate Church gift or presumed clinical effect."},"finance":{"year":2025,"consolidated_expenses":30766602,"program":18342460,"church":1922106,"administration":7766659,"development":2735377,"cash":5908995,"source":"https://www.glide.org/wp-content/uploads/2026/03/GLIDE-Foundation-2024-25-SA-FS-Final.pdf","basis":"Final audit, not impact report's pending-audit numbers. Cash is historical, not current spare funding."},"shared":{"gift":100000,"discount":0,"bay":0.99,"sf":0.95,"funding_additionality":0.4,"capacity_gift":100000,"common_external_fraction":0.2,"independent_harm_q":0},"shared_basis":{"funding_additionality":"Prior 0.4 [0,0.8]: current public grants, other donors and fixed capacity remain in no-gift world. Not estimated from contributions ratio.","capacity_gift":"100k scenario scale and assumed maximum absorbable tranche, NOT observed room; unknown room must be visible. Gift above cap still fully costed with capped output.","common_external_fraction":"0.2 [0,0.8] gross associated volunteer/common partner resources beyond branch-specific costs, not causal net cost or waived charges. Excludes clinical resources separately specified.","geography":"Bay0.99/SF0.95 priors, nested. No additional indirect Bay/SF benefit assigned; policy spillovers unresolved."},"allocation":{"rescue":0.1,"housing":0.1,"meals":0.22,"parenting":0.04,"childcare":0.06,"women":0.05,"moud":0.03,"behavioral":0.02,"infection_linkage":0.01,"wound_care":0.01,"policy":0.04,"common_operations":0.28,"property_affiliate":0.04},"allocation_basis":"Retains v1 top-level allocation priors; subdivides 7% other HEAT and 10% family. Entire gift costed; allocation does not cancel out of benefits. Not observed budget fractions. Service counts constrain plausibility, not QALYs.","survival":{"rescue_cost":500,"rescue_external":80,"rescue_capacity":100,"rescue_active_years":1,"moud_annual_foundation_cost":16000,"moud_annual_external_cost":6000,"moud_capacity":10,"moud_active_years":0.5,"moud_no_gift_treatment_share":0.5,"moud_effective_retention":0.5,"moud_observed_hr":0.63,"moud_causal_transfer":0.5,"baseline_all_cause_hazard":0.07,"rescue_hazard_reduction":0.005,"rescue_moud_overlap":0.5,"utility":0.7,"horizon_years":15,"delay_years":0.25,"rescue_harm_q":0.0001,"moud_harm_q":0.0002},"survival_basis":{"costs":"Rescue nominal annual unique-person safer-use/rescue-support package, not price per dose. MOUD Foundation cost is annualized access/support cost prior, minimum one annual budget unit for setup; active durations above one year scale Foundation/external costs linearly. External cost includes medication, prescribing, labs and public clinical delivery. 3%*30.77m/56 enrollees≈16.5k is only a plausibility check, not audited program cost or evidence of additional patients.","counts":"Impact report says 56 people enrolled in MAT, not verified deduplicated longitudinal treatment records. No 56*survival multiplier. Per-gift capacity10 is a prior and must stress to zero.","baseline":"Both rescue and medication compare with same current-care hazard. Medication effect shrunk halfway from observed HR0.63 toward1; no-gift treatment share handles replacement of existing accessible medication, retention handles effective funded-course completion, funding additionality handles donor displacement. None is a second multiplication by trial ITT adherence.","survival":"Three exclusive cohorts rescue-only/MOUD-only/both. While active h=(base-rescueReduction)*(1-(1-HR)*transfer) for both; remove each factor when its active period ends. Equal baseline hazard after funded care preserves but does not create a survival gap, capped at15years. No separate opioid deaths added to all-cause."},"housing":{"cost":10000,"external":300,"cash_transfer":3045,"capacity":10,"no_gift_stability":0.8,"incremental_stability":0.056,"unique_health":0.8,"utility":0.1,"years":1,"catchup_hazard":0,"mortality":0.01,"delay":0.1,"harm_q":0.0001},"housing_basis":"10k complete access/stabilization episode is a new prior, not v1 transfer-oriented3077. Current965254/317≈3045 is transfer per reported person, not full cost. 10% consolidated scale/317≈9706 contextual only. Stability difference0.112*0.5 transfer from prior VA evidence, capped by current80% no-gift stability. Unique-health exclusion prevents housing mood/safety stacking.","groups":[{"id":"meals","cost":1080,"external":180,"capacity":50,"target":0.2,"response":0.5,"unique_health":0.65,"utility":0.015,"years":0.0821917808219178,"catchup":0,"mortality":0.01,"delay":0,"harm_q":0.00002,"basis":"Thirty-day 90-meal course at12/meal; meal supply consumed and replaces inadequate intake in selected20%, with50% symptom-response/local transfer. 0.015 utility for physical/mental symptoms only, not hunger preference or tailored-diet disease effect. Distinct symptom-time65%. No future mortality. Cost plausibility22%*30.77m/620513≈10.9/meal, not observed marginal price.","sensitivity":"0.015 utility [-0.01,0.05]; selected share [0,0.5]; course30days [7,90] with proportional meal costs.","cost_basis_years":0.0821917808219178},{"id":"parenting","cost":4500,"external":300,"capacity":10,"target":0.3,"response":0.35,"unique_health":0.7,"utility":0.03,"years":0.5,"catchup":2,"mortality":0.01,"delay":0.1,"harm_q":0.0001,"basis":"One caregiver per meaningful class/support course; distressed share30%, trial-to-GLIDE delivery35%, unique mood/safety70%. Utility.03 and half-year window are weak priors; not trial-derived QALYs; catchup2/year. No child benefit in this row.","sensitivity":"Utility[-0.02,0.08], target[0,0.6], transfer[0,0.8], window[0,1].","cost_basis_years":0.5},{"id":"childcare","cost":13000,"external":600,"capacity":5,"target":0.2,"response":0.2,"unique_health":1,"utility":0.03,"years":0.5,"catchup":2,"mortality":0.002,"delay":0.1,"harm_q":0.0001,"basis":"One child with selected emotional/behavioral symptoms in meaningful socioemotional activity; not childcare economic value. Selected20%, effective-fidelity20% sharply below targeted12-week IY. Clinical utility and benefit probability weak priors; no parent spillover or lifetime conduct/crime/earnings.","sensitivity":"Utility[-0.02,0.06], target[0,0.5], delivery[0,0.6], H[0,1].","cost_basis_years":0.5},{"id":"women","cost":4000,"external":1000,"capacity":10,"target":0.35,"response":0.3,"unique_health":0.6,"utility":0.04,"years":0.5,"catchup":2,"mortality":0.02,"delay":0.05,"harm_q":0.0002,"basis":"One selected crisis/safety-support course;35% relevant trauma/abuse symptoms,30% effective clinical gain probability,60% distinct mood/safety outside housing/CBT. Weak positive central despite null advocacy counterweight, acknowledging intensive successful cases; no homicide survival or outreach multiplier.","sensitivity":"Utility[-0.04,0.1], target[0,0.7], response[0,0.7], unique[0,1].","cost_basis_years":0.5},{"id":"behavioral","cost":6000,"external":500,"capacity":5,"target":0.4,"response":0.3,"unique_health":0.6,"utility":0.08,"years":0.5,"catchup":2,"mortality":0.03,"delay":0.1,"harm_q":0.0002,"basis":"One course rather than attendee visit;40% persistent depression,30% meaningful CBT-response/local delivery,60% distinct symptom-time. Mixed outpatient groups not BRIGHT's32hour residential protocol. Utility.08 separate judgment, no substance-use mortality added.","sensitivity":"Utility[-0.05,0.2], target[0,0.8], response[0,0.7], H[0,1].","cost_basis_years":0.5},{"id":"infection_linkage","cost":300,"external":0,"capacity":20,"target":0.06,"response":0.05,"unique_health":0.6,"utility":0.03,"years":3,"catchup":0.5,"mortality":0.05,"delay":0.25,"harm_q":0.00001,"basis":"One unique testing/linkage episode;6% actionable RNA-positive untreated HCV,5% earlier effective cure difference vs existing public referral,60% distinct morbidity. No 44.2point colocated RCT transplant and no paused peer program. Three-year symptom benefit only with later-care catchup; no liver deaths or transmission added. Treatment resource charged separately per selected patient, not per all test.","sensitivity":"Actionable[0,.2], earlier cure difference[-.05,.2], utility[-.01,.08], H[0,5].","cost_basis_years":3},{"id":"wound_care","cost":600,"external":800,"capacity":10,"target":0.4,"response":0.5,"unique_health":0.7,"utility":0.06,"years":0.038356164383561646,"catchup":10,"mortality":0.04,"delay":0.02,"harm_q":0.00005,"basis":"One acute wound-care course with partner medical resources;40% clinically symptomatic wounds,50% earlier meaningful healing relative to accessible public care,70% distinct physical symptom-time. Utility.06 and14day window clinical judgment, not measured GLIDE trial; no unobserved admissions or sepsis mortality.","sensitivity":"Utility[-.03,.15], target[0,.8], response[0,.9], days[0,60] with duration-sensitive resources.","cost_basis_years":0.038356164383561646}],"unresolved":[{"id":"policy","gift_share":0.04,"reason":"No causally attributable policy probability, displaced public spending or recipient map; cannot claim coalition budget as QALYs.","required_stress":"Signed independently elicited total policy Q with geography; no generic residual expected mean."},{"id":"infection_prevention_and_hiv_sti","gift_share":null,"reason":"Safer-use prevention, HIV/STI treatment and secondary transmission plausibly material but no case/diagnosis mix. HCV subgroup alone is not complete infection effect.","required_stress":"Separate selected incidence/diagnosis/care-acceleration parameters and finite competing-risk benefit; do not duplicate HCV or MOUD people-years."},{"id":"vaccination_and_other_primary_care","gift_share":null,"reason":"Wound care is named selected branch; vaccination counts/disease risks and other completed care unavailable.","required_stress":"Disease-specific vaccine or acute-care priors after cost/coverage allocation; no automatic course Q."},{"id":"affiliate","gift_share":0.04,"reason":"Exact Foundation-to-affiliate marginal flow not identified. Church activities not automatically Foundation donation effects.","required_stress":"Recipient-specific financial mapping."}],"expectation":{"status":"Not yet specified","reason":"Do not use central scenario price as whole-organization expected-value headline. Explicit correlated scenario weights and unresolved material branches need review."},"sources":[{"id":"impact","url":"https://www.glide.org/wp-content/uploads/2026/01/GLIDE-Impact-Report-2024-2025.pdf","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"heat","url":"https://www.glide.org/heat/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"moud_mortality","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/29913516/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"moud_engagement","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/25919527/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"cbt","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/21646576/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"advocacy_positive","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/10028208/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"advocacy_counterweight","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/20682933/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"parenting","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/17350966/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"parenting_followup","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/33573694/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"meals","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/30421335/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"meals_counterweight","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/38147326/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"hcv","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/35285851/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"}],"hcv_external_treatment_cost":15000,"hcv_external_treatment_cost_basis":"Gross course drug/lab/prescribing resource prior per nominal actionable HCV patient, before donor additionality or health-success discount; separate from testing cost. This over-associates some unchanged baseline care and is not net induced cost. No charge only for successful cures."},"result":{"rescue_nominal":20,"moud_nominal":0.1875,"rescue_incremental":8,"moud_incremental":0.018750000000000003,"shared_survival_people":0.009375000000000001,"rescue_q_per_person":0.030868940886728324,"moud_q_per_person":0.04110323714356052,"joint_q_per_person":0.06921277062995501,"survival_q":0.24689259334589023,"housing_q":0.0017510697921490853,"groups":[{"id":"meals","nominal":20.37037037037037,"incremental":8.148148148148149,"qaly":0.0004897368040415404,"external":3666.6666666666665},{"id":"parenting","nominal":0.8888888888888888,"incremental":0.35555555555555557,"qaly":0.0002117185769387987,"external":266.66666666666663},{"id":"childcare","nominal":0.46153846153846156,"incremental":0.18461538461538463,"qaly":0.00005152870870079778,"external":276.92307692307696},{"id":"women","nominal":1.25,"incremental":0.5,"qaly":0.0002965762800692479,"external":1250},{"id":"behavioral","nominal":0.3333333333333333,"incremental":0.13333333333333333,"qaly":0.00021455251258882465,"external":166.66666666666666},{"id":"infection_linkage","nominal":3.3333333333333335,"incremental":1.3333333333333335,"qaly":0.00009243467862904066,"external":3000},{"id":"wound_care","nominal":1.6666666666666667,"incremental":0.6666666666666667,"qaly":0.00014493776351989806,"external":1333.3333333333335}],"gross_external":32985.256410256414,"gross_associated_funding":132985.2564102564,"rental_transfer_excluded":3045,"gross_resources":129940.2564102564,"us":{"qaly":0.25014514846252744,"donor_per_10q":3997678.9721740424,"gross_resources_per_10q":5194594.3069018535},"bay":{"qaly":0.24764369697790217,"donor_per_10q":4038059.5678525683,"gross_resources_per_10q":5247064.956466518},"sf":{"qaly":0.23763789103940106,"donor_per_10q":4208083.128604256,"gross_resources_per_10q":5467994.00726511}}},{"id":"no_direct_sf","inputs":{"model_id":"glide-foundation-material-coverage-v2-design","prepared_utc":"2026-09-09","status":"Prior specification and coverage-ledger asset; not independently accepted or publication ready","recipient":{"name":"Glide Foundation","ein":"94-1156481","boundary":"Ordinary unrestricted Foundation gift. Consolidated financial context includes Church/property affiliates; no separate Church gift or presumed clinical effect."},"finance":{"year":2025,"consolidated_expenses":30766602,"program":18342460,"church":1922106,"administration":7766659,"development":2735377,"cash":5908995,"source":"https://www.glide.org/wp-content/uploads/2026/03/GLIDE-Foundation-2024-25-SA-FS-Final.pdf","basis":"Final audit, not impact report's pending-audit numbers. Cash is historical, not current spare funding."},"shared":{"gift":100000,"discount":0.03,"bay":0.99,"sf":0,"funding_additionality":0.4,"capacity_gift":100000,"common_external_fraction":0.2,"independent_harm_q":0},"shared_basis":{"funding_additionality":"Prior 0.4 [0,0.8]: current public grants, other donors and fixed capacity remain in no-gift world. Not estimated from contributions ratio.","capacity_gift":"100k scenario scale and assumed maximum absorbable tranche, NOT observed room; unknown room must be visible. Gift above cap still fully costed with capped output.","common_external_fraction":"0.2 [0,0.8] gross associated volunteer/common partner resources beyond branch-specific costs, not causal net cost or waived charges. Excludes clinical resources separately specified.","geography":"Bay0.99/SF0.95 priors, nested. No additional indirect Bay/SF benefit assigned; policy spillovers unresolved."},"allocation":{"rescue":0.1,"housing":0.1,"meals":0.22,"parenting":0.04,"childcare":0.06,"women":0.05,"moud":0.03,"behavioral":0.02,"infection_linkage":0.01,"wound_care":0.01,"policy":0.04,"common_operations":0.28,"property_affiliate":0.04},"allocation_basis":"Retains v1 top-level allocation priors; subdivides 7% other HEAT and 10% family. Entire gift costed; allocation does not cancel out of benefits. Not observed budget fractions. Service counts constrain plausibility, not QALYs.","survival":{"rescue_cost":500,"rescue_external":80,"rescue_capacity":100,"rescue_active_years":1,"moud_annual_foundation_cost":16000,"moud_annual_external_cost":6000,"moud_capacity":10,"moud_active_years":0.5,"moud_no_gift_treatment_share":0.5,"moud_effective_retention":0.5,"moud_observed_hr":0.63,"moud_causal_transfer":0.5,"baseline_all_cause_hazard":0.07,"rescue_hazard_reduction":0.005,"rescue_moud_overlap":0.5,"utility":0.7,"horizon_years":15,"delay_years":0.25,"rescue_harm_q":0.0001,"moud_harm_q":0.0002},"survival_basis":{"costs":"Rescue nominal annual unique-person safer-use/rescue-support package, not price per dose. MOUD Foundation cost is annualized access/support cost prior, minimum one annual budget unit for setup; active durations above one year scale Foundation/external costs linearly. External cost includes medication, prescribing, labs and public clinical delivery. 3%*30.77m/56 enrollees≈16.5k is only a plausibility check, not audited program cost or evidence of additional patients.","counts":"Impact report says 56 people enrolled in MAT, not verified deduplicated longitudinal treatment records. No 56*survival multiplier. Per-gift capacity10 is a prior and must stress to zero.","baseline":"Both rescue and medication compare with same current-care hazard. Medication effect shrunk halfway from observed HR0.63 toward1; no-gift treatment share handles replacement of existing accessible medication, retention handles effective funded-course completion, funding additionality handles donor displacement. None is a second multiplication by trial ITT adherence.","survival":"Three exclusive cohorts rescue-only/MOUD-only/both. While active h=(base-rescueReduction)*(1-(1-HR)*transfer) for both; remove each factor when its active period ends. Equal baseline hazard after funded care preserves but does not create a survival gap, capped at15years. No separate opioid deaths added to all-cause."},"housing":{"cost":10000,"external":300,"cash_transfer":3045,"capacity":10,"no_gift_stability":0.8,"incremental_stability":0.056,"unique_health":0.8,"utility":0.1,"years":1,"catchup_hazard":0,"mortality":0.01,"delay":0.1,"harm_q":0.0001},"housing_basis":"10k complete access/stabilization episode is a new prior, not v1 transfer-oriented3077. Current965254/317≈3045 is transfer per reported person, not full cost. 10% consolidated scale/317≈9706 contextual only. Stability difference0.112*0.5 transfer from prior VA evidence, capped by current80% no-gift stability. Unique-health exclusion prevents housing mood/safety stacking.","groups":[{"id":"meals","cost":1080,"external":180,"capacity":50,"target":0.2,"response":0.5,"unique_health":0.65,"utility":0.015,"years":0.0821917808219178,"catchup":0,"mortality":0.01,"delay":0,"harm_q":0.00002,"basis":"Thirty-day 90-meal course at12/meal; meal supply consumed and replaces inadequate intake in selected20%, with50% symptom-response/local transfer. 0.015 utility for physical/mental symptoms only, not hunger preference or tailored-diet disease effect. Distinct symptom-time65%. No future mortality. Cost plausibility22%*30.77m/620513≈10.9/meal, not observed marginal price.","sensitivity":"0.015 utility [-0.01,0.05]; selected share [0,0.5]; course30days [7,90] with proportional meal costs.","cost_basis_years":0.0821917808219178},{"id":"parenting","cost":4500,"external":300,"capacity":10,"target":0.3,"response":0.35,"unique_health":0.7,"utility":0.03,"years":0.5,"catchup":2,"mortality":0.01,"delay":0.1,"harm_q":0.0001,"basis":"One caregiver per meaningful class/support course; distressed share30%, trial-to-GLIDE delivery35%, unique mood/safety70%. Utility.03 and half-year window are weak priors; not trial-derived QALYs; catchup2/year. No child benefit in this row.","sensitivity":"Utility[-0.02,0.08], target[0,0.6], transfer[0,0.8], window[0,1].","cost_basis_years":0.5},{"id":"childcare","cost":13000,"external":600,"capacity":5,"target":0.2,"response":0.2,"unique_health":1,"utility":0.03,"years":0.5,"catchup":2,"mortality":0.002,"delay":0.1,"harm_q":0.0001,"basis":"One child with selected emotional/behavioral symptoms in meaningful socioemotional activity; not childcare economic value. Selected20%, effective-fidelity20% sharply below targeted12-week IY. Clinical utility and benefit probability weak priors; no parent spillover or lifetime conduct/crime/earnings.","sensitivity":"Utility[-0.02,0.06], target[0,0.5], delivery[0,0.6], H[0,1].","cost_basis_years":0.5},{"id":"women","cost":4000,"external":1000,"capacity":10,"target":0.35,"response":0.3,"unique_health":0.6,"utility":0.04,"years":0.5,"catchup":2,"mortality":0.02,"delay":0.05,"harm_q":0.0002,"basis":"One selected crisis/safety-support course;35% relevant trauma/abuse symptoms,30% effective clinical gain probability,60% distinct mood/safety outside housing/CBT. Weak positive central despite null advocacy counterweight, acknowledging intensive successful cases; no homicide survival or outreach multiplier.","sensitivity":"Utility[-0.04,0.1], target[0,0.7], response[0,0.7], unique[0,1].","cost_basis_years":0.5},{"id":"behavioral","cost":6000,"external":500,"capacity":5,"target":0.4,"response":0.3,"unique_health":0.6,"utility":0.08,"years":0.5,"catchup":2,"mortality":0.03,"delay":0.1,"harm_q":0.0002,"basis":"One course rather than attendee visit;40% persistent depression,30% meaningful CBT-response/local delivery,60% distinct symptom-time. Mixed outpatient groups not BRIGHT's32hour residential protocol. Utility.08 separate judgment, no substance-use mortality added.","sensitivity":"Utility[-0.05,0.2], target[0,0.8], response[0,0.7], H[0,1].","cost_basis_years":0.5},{"id":"infection_linkage","cost":300,"external":0,"capacity":20,"target":0.06,"response":0.05,"unique_health":0.6,"utility":0.03,"years":3,"catchup":0.5,"mortality":0.05,"delay":0.25,"harm_q":0.00001,"basis":"One unique testing/linkage episode;6% actionable RNA-positive untreated HCV,5% earlier effective cure difference vs existing public referral,60% distinct morbidity. No 44.2point colocated RCT transplant and no paused peer program. Three-year symptom benefit only with later-care catchup; no liver deaths or transmission added. Treatment resource charged separately per selected patient, not per all test.","sensitivity":"Actionable[0,.2], earlier cure difference[-.05,.2], utility[-.01,.08], H[0,5].","cost_basis_years":3},{"id":"wound_care","cost":600,"external":800,"capacity":10,"target":0.4,"response":0.5,"unique_health":0.7,"utility":0.06,"years":0.038356164383561646,"catchup":10,"mortality":0.04,"delay":0.02,"harm_q":0.00005,"basis":"One acute wound-care course with partner medical resources;40% clinically symptomatic wounds,50% earlier meaningful healing relative to accessible public care,70% distinct physical symptom-time. Utility.06 and14day window clinical judgment, not measured GLIDE trial; no unobserved admissions or sepsis mortality.","sensitivity":"Utility[-.03,.15], target[0,.8], response[0,.9], days[0,60] with duration-sensitive resources.","cost_basis_years":0.038356164383561646}],"unresolved":[{"id":"policy","gift_share":0.04,"reason":"No causally attributable policy probability, displaced public spending or recipient map; cannot claim coalition budget as QALYs.","required_stress":"Signed independently elicited total policy Q with geography; no generic residual expected mean."},{"id":"infection_prevention_and_hiv_sti","gift_share":null,"reason":"Safer-use prevention, HIV/STI treatment and secondary transmission plausibly material but no case/diagnosis mix. HCV subgroup alone is not complete infection effect.","required_stress":"Separate selected incidence/diagnosis/care-acceleration parameters and finite competing-risk benefit; do not duplicate HCV or MOUD people-years."},{"id":"vaccination_and_other_primary_care","gift_share":null,"reason":"Wound care is named selected branch; vaccination counts/disease risks and other completed care unavailable.","required_stress":"Disease-specific vaccine or acute-care priors after cost/coverage allocation; no automatic course Q."},{"id":"affiliate","gift_share":0.04,"reason":"Exact Foundation-to-affiliate marginal flow not identified. Church activities not automatically Foundation donation effects.","required_stress":"Recipient-specific financial mapping."}],"expectation":{"status":"Not yet specified","reason":"Do not use central scenario price as whole-organization expected-value headline. Explicit correlated scenario weights and unresolved material branches need review."},"sources":[{"id":"impact","url":"https://www.glide.org/wp-content/uploads/2026/01/GLIDE-Impact-Report-2024-2025.pdf","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"heat","url":"https://www.glide.org/heat/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"moud_mortality","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/29913516/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"moud_engagement","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/25919527/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"cbt","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/21646576/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"advocacy_positive","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/10028208/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"advocacy_counterweight","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/20682933/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"parenting","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/17350966/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"parenting_followup","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/33573694/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"meals","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/30421335/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"meals_counterweight","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/38147326/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"hcv","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/35285851/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"}],"hcv_external_treatment_cost":15000,"hcv_external_treatment_cost_basis":"Gross course drug/lab/prescribing resource prior per nominal actionable HCV patient, before donor additionality or health-success discount; separate from testing cost. This over-associates some unchanged baseline care and is not net induced cost. No charge only for successful cures."},"result":{"rescue_nominal":20,"moud_nominal":0.1875,"rescue_incremental":8,"moud_incremental":0.018750000000000003,"shared_survival_people":0.009375000000000001,"rescue_q_per_person":0.025439456706370614,"moud_q_per_person":0.03404288287571089,"joint_q_per_person":0.057196029090171276,"survival_q":0.20332877354402284,"housing_q":0.0017198322434524124,"groups":[{"id":"meals","nominal":20.37037037037037,"incremental":8.148148148148149,"qaly":0.0004889446902438877,"external":3666.6666666666665},{"id":"parenting","nominal":0.8888888888888888,"incremental":0.35555555555555557,"qaly":0.00020947381202396657,"external":266.66666666666663},{"id":"childcare","nominal":0.46153846153846156,"incremental":0.18461538461538463,"qaly":0.00005089300939531352,"external":276.92307692307696},{"id":"women","nominal":1.25,"incremental":0.5,"qaly":0.0002935596722978198,"external":1250},{"id":"behavioral","nominal":0.3333333333333333,"incremental":0.13333333333333333,"qaly":0.00021236551241056122,"external":166.66666666666666},{"id":"infection_linkage","nominal":3.3333333333333335,"incremental":1.3333333333333335,"qaly":0.00008831098942877887,"external":3000},{"id":"wound_care","nominal":1.6666666666666667,"incremental":0.6666666666666667,"qaly":0.00014473790721278225,"external":1333.3333333333335}],"gross_external":32985.256410256414,"gross_associated_funding":132985.2564102564,"rental_transfer_excluded":3045,"gross_resources":129940.2564102564,"us":{"qaly":0.20653689138048836,"donor_per_10q":4841750.029818017,"gross_resources_per_10q":6291382.403489197},"bay":{"qaly":0.2044715224666835,"donor_per_10q":4890656.595775775,"gross_resources_per_10q":6354931.720696158},"sf":{"qaly":0,"donor_per_10q":null,"gross_resources_per_10q":null}}},{"id":"large_gift_capacity_held","inputs":{"model_id":"glide-foundation-material-coverage-v2-design","prepared_utc":"2026-09-09","status":"Prior specification and coverage-ledger asset; not independently accepted or publication ready","recipient":{"name":"Glide Foundation","ein":"94-1156481","boundary":"Ordinary unrestricted Foundation gift. Consolidated financial context includes Church/property affiliates; no separate Church gift or presumed clinical effect."},"finance":{"year":2025,"consolidated_expenses":30766602,"program":18342460,"church":1922106,"administration":7766659,"development":2735377,"cash":5908995,"source":"https://www.glide.org/wp-content/uploads/2026/03/GLIDE-Foundation-2024-25-SA-FS-Final.pdf","basis":"Final audit, not impact report's pending-audit numbers. Cash is historical, not current spare funding."},"shared":{"gift":1000000,"discount":0.03,"bay":0.99,"sf":0.95,"funding_additionality":0.4,"capacity_gift":100000,"common_external_fraction":0.2,"independent_harm_q":0},"shared_basis":{"funding_additionality":"Prior 0.4 [0,0.8]: current public grants, other donors and fixed capacity remain in no-gift world. Not estimated from contributions ratio.","capacity_gift":"100k scenario scale and assumed maximum absorbable tranche, NOT observed room; unknown room must be visible. Gift above cap still fully costed with capped output.","common_external_fraction":"0.2 [0,0.8] gross associated volunteer/common partner resources beyond branch-specific costs, not causal net cost or waived charges. Excludes clinical resources separately specified.","geography":"Bay0.99/SF0.95 priors, nested. No additional indirect Bay/SF benefit assigned; policy spillovers unresolved."},"allocation":{"rescue":0.1,"housing":0.1,"meals":0.22,"parenting":0.04,"childcare":0.06,"women":0.05,"moud":0.03,"behavioral":0.02,"infection_linkage":0.01,"wound_care":0.01,"policy":0.04,"common_operations":0.28,"property_affiliate":0.04},"allocation_basis":"Retains v1 top-level allocation priors; subdivides 7% other HEAT and 10% family. Entire gift costed; allocation does not cancel out of benefits. Not observed budget fractions. Service counts constrain plausibility, not QALYs.","survival":{"rescue_cost":500,"rescue_external":80,"rescue_capacity":100,"rescue_active_years":1,"moud_annual_foundation_cost":16000,"moud_annual_external_cost":6000,"moud_capacity":10,"moud_active_years":0.5,"moud_no_gift_treatment_share":0.5,"moud_effective_retention":0.5,"moud_observed_hr":0.63,"moud_causal_transfer":0.5,"baseline_all_cause_hazard":0.07,"rescue_hazard_reduction":0.005,"rescue_moud_overlap":0.5,"utility":0.7,"horizon_years":15,"delay_years":0.25,"rescue_harm_q":0.0001,"moud_harm_q":0.0002},"survival_basis":{"costs":"Rescue nominal annual unique-person safer-use/rescue-support package, not price per dose. MOUD Foundation cost is annualized access/support cost prior, minimum one annual budget unit for setup; active durations above one year scale Foundation/external costs linearly. External cost includes medication, prescribing, labs and public clinical delivery. 3%*30.77m/56 enrollees≈16.5k is only a plausibility check, not audited program cost or evidence of additional patients.","counts":"Impact report says 56 people enrolled in MAT, not verified deduplicated longitudinal treatment records. No 56*survival multiplier. Per-gift capacity10 is a prior and must stress to zero.","baseline":"Both rescue and medication compare with same current-care hazard. Medication effect shrunk halfway from observed HR0.63 toward1; no-gift treatment share handles replacement of existing accessible medication, retention handles effective funded-course completion, funding additionality handles donor displacement. None is a second multiplication by trial ITT adherence.","survival":"Three exclusive cohorts rescue-only/MOUD-only/both. While active h=(base-rescueReduction)*(1-(1-HR)*transfer) for both; remove each factor when its active period ends. Equal baseline hazard after funded care preserves but does not create a survival gap, capped at15years. No separate opioid deaths added to all-cause."},"housing":{"cost":10000,"external":300,"cash_transfer":3045,"capacity":10,"no_gift_stability":0.8,"incremental_stability":0.056,"unique_health":0.8,"utility":0.1,"years":1,"catchup_hazard":0,"mortality":0.01,"delay":0.1,"harm_q":0.0001},"housing_basis":"10k complete access/stabilization episode is a new prior, not v1 transfer-oriented3077. Current965254/317≈3045 is transfer per reported person, not full cost. 10% consolidated scale/317≈9706 contextual only. Stability difference0.112*0.5 transfer from prior VA evidence, capped by current80% no-gift stability. Unique-health exclusion prevents housing mood/safety stacking.","groups":[{"id":"meals","cost":1080,"external":180,"capacity":50,"target":0.2,"response":0.5,"unique_health":0.65,"utility":0.015,"years":0.0821917808219178,"catchup":0,"mortality":0.01,"delay":0,"harm_q":0.00002,"basis":"Thirty-day 90-meal course at12/meal; meal supply consumed and replaces inadequate intake in selected20%, with50% symptom-response/local transfer. 0.015 utility for physical/mental symptoms only, not hunger preference or tailored-diet disease effect. Distinct symptom-time65%. No future mortality. Cost plausibility22%*30.77m/620513≈10.9/meal, not observed marginal price.","sensitivity":"0.015 utility [-0.01,0.05]; selected share [0,0.5]; course30days [7,90] with proportional meal costs.","cost_basis_years":0.0821917808219178},{"id":"parenting","cost":4500,"external":300,"capacity":10,"target":0.3,"response":0.35,"unique_health":0.7,"utility":0.03,"years":0.5,"catchup":2,"mortality":0.01,"delay":0.1,"harm_q":0.0001,"basis":"One caregiver per meaningful class/support course; distressed share30%, trial-to-GLIDE delivery35%, unique mood/safety70%. Utility.03 and half-year window are weak priors; not trial-derived QALYs; catchup2/year. No child benefit in this row.","sensitivity":"Utility[-0.02,0.08], target[0,0.6], transfer[0,0.8], window[0,1].","cost_basis_years":0.5},{"id":"childcare","cost":13000,"external":600,"capacity":5,"target":0.2,"response":0.2,"unique_health":1,"utility":0.03,"years":0.5,"catchup":2,"mortality":0.002,"delay":0.1,"harm_q":0.0001,"basis":"One child with selected emotional/behavioral symptoms in meaningful socioemotional activity; not childcare economic value. Selected20%, effective-fidelity20% sharply below targeted12-week IY. Clinical utility and benefit probability weak priors; no parent spillover or lifetime conduct/crime/earnings.","sensitivity":"Utility[-0.02,0.06], target[0,0.5], delivery[0,0.6], H[0,1].","cost_basis_years":0.5},{"id":"women","cost":4000,"external":1000,"capacity":10,"target":0.35,"response":0.3,"unique_health":0.6,"utility":0.04,"years":0.5,"catchup":2,"mortality":0.02,"delay":0.05,"harm_q":0.0002,"basis":"One selected crisis/safety-support course;35% relevant trauma/abuse symptoms,30% effective clinical gain probability,60% distinct mood/safety outside housing/CBT. Weak positive central despite null advocacy counterweight, acknowledging intensive successful cases; no homicide survival or outreach multiplier.","sensitivity":"Utility[-0.04,0.1], target[0,0.7], response[0,0.7], unique[0,1].","cost_basis_years":0.5},{"id":"behavioral","cost":6000,"external":500,"capacity":5,"target":0.4,"response":0.3,"unique_health":0.6,"utility":0.08,"years":0.5,"catchup":2,"mortality":0.03,"delay":0.1,"harm_q":0.0002,"basis":"One course rather than attendee visit;40% persistent depression,30% meaningful CBT-response/local delivery,60% distinct symptom-time. Mixed outpatient groups not BRIGHT's32hour residential protocol. Utility.08 separate judgment, no substance-use mortality added.","sensitivity":"Utility[-0.05,0.2], target[0,0.8], response[0,0.7], H[0,1].","cost_basis_years":0.5},{"id":"infection_linkage","cost":300,"external":0,"capacity":20,"target":0.06,"response":0.05,"unique_health":0.6,"utility":0.03,"years":3,"catchup":0.5,"mortality":0.05,"delay":0.25,"harm_q":0.00001,"basis":"One unique testing/linkage episode;6% actionable RNA-positive untreated HCV,5% earlier effective cure difference vs existing public referral,60% distinct morbidity. No 44.2point colocated RCT transplant and no paused peer program. Three-year symptom benefit only with later-care catchup; no liver deaths or transmission added. Treatment resource charged separately per selected patient, not per all test.","sensitivity":"Actionable[0,.2], earlier cure difference[-.05,.2], utility[-.01,.08], H[0,5].","cost_basis_years":3},{"id":"wound_care","cost":600,"external":800,"capacity":10,"target":0.4,"response":0.5,"unique_health":0.7,"utility":0.06,"years":0.038356164383561646,"catchup":10,"mortality":0.04,"delay":0.02,"harm_q":0.00005,"basis":"One acute wound-care course with partner medical resources;40% clinically symptomatic wounds,50% earlier meaningful healing relative to accessible public care,70% distinct physical symptom-time. Utility.06 and14day window clinical judgment, not measured GLIDE trial; no unobserved admissions or sepsis mortality.","sensitivity":"Utility[-.03,.15], target[0,.8], response[0,.9], days[0,60] with duration-sensitive resources.","cost_basis_years":0.038356164383561646}],"unresolved":[{"id":"policy","gift_share":0.04,"reason":"No causally attributable policy probability, displaced public spending or recipient map; cannot claim coalition budget as QALYs.","required_stress":"Signed independently elicited total policy Q with geography; no generic residual expected mean."},{"id":"infection_prevention_and_hiv_sti","gift_share":null,"reason":"Safer-use prevention, HIV/STI treatment and secondary transmission plausibly material but no case/diagnosis mix. HCV subgroup alone is not complete infection effect.","required_stress":"Separate selected incidence/diagnosis/care-acceleration parameters and finite competing-risk benefit; do not duplicate HCV or MOUD people-years."},{"id":"vaccination_and_other_primary_care","gift_share":null,"reason":"Wound care is named selected branch; vaccination counts/disease risks and other completed care unavailable.","required_stress":"Disease-specific vaccine or acute-care priors after cost/coverage allocation; no automatic course Q."},{"id":"affiliate","gift_share":0.04,"reason":"Exact Foundation-to-affiliate marginal flow not identified. Church activities not automatically Foundation donation effects.","required_stress":"Recipient-specific financial mapping."}],"expectation":{"status":"Not yet specified","reason":"Do not use central scenario price as whole-organization expected-value headline. Explicit correlated scenario weights and unresolved material branches need review."},"sources":[{"id":"impact","url":"https://www.glide.org/wp-content/uploads/2026/01/GLIDE-Impact-Report-2024-2025.pdf","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"heat","url":"https://www.glide.org/heat/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"moud_mortality","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/29913516/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"moud_engagement","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/25919527/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"cbt","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/21646576/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"advocacy_positive","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/10028208/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"advocacy_counterweight","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/20682933/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"parenting","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/17350966/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"parenting_followup","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/33573694/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"meals","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/30421335/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"meals_counterweight","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/38147326/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"hcv","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/35285851/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"}],"hcv_external_treatment_cost":15000,"hcv_external_treatment_cost_basis":"Gross course drug/lab/prescribing resource prior per nominal actionable HCV patient, before donor additionality or health-success discount; separate from testing cost. This over-associates some unchanged baseline care and is not net induced cost. No charge only for successful cures."},"result":{"rescue_nominal":20,"moud_nominal":0.1875,"rescue_incremental":8,"moud_incremental":0.018750000000000003,"shared_survival_people":0.009375000000000001,"rescue_q_per_person":0.025439456706370614,"moud_q_per_person":0.03404288287571089,"joint_q_per_person":0.057196029090171276,"survival_q":0.20332877354402284,"housing_q":0.0017198322434524124,"groups":[{"id":"meals","nominal":20.37037037037037,"incremental":8.148148148148149,"qaly":0.0004889446902438877,"external":3666.6666666666665},{"id":"parenting","nominal":0.8888888888888888,"incremental":0.35555555555555557,"qaly":0.00020947381202396657,"external":266.66666666666663},{"id":"childcare","nominal":0.46153846153846156,"incremental":0.18461538461538463,"qaly":0.00005089300939531352,"external":276.92307692307696},{"id":"women","nominal":1.25,"incremental":0.5,"qaly":0.0002935596722978198,"external":1250},{"id":"behavioral","nominal":0.3333333333333333,"incremental":0.13333333333333333,"qaly":0.00021236551241056122,"external":166.66666666666666},{"id":"infection_linkage","nominal":3.3333333333333335,"incremental":1.3333333333333335,"qaly":0.00008831098942877887,"external":3000},{"id":"wound_care","nominal":1.6666666666666667,"incremental":0.6666666666666667,"qaly":0.00014473790721278225,"external":1333.3333333333335}],"gross_external":32985.256410256414,"gross_associated_funding":1032985.2564102564,"rental_transfer_excluded":3045,"gross_resources":1029940.2564102564,"us":{"qaly":0.20653689138048836,"donor_per_10q":48417500.29818016,"gross_resources_per_10q":49867132.671851344},"bay":{"qaly":0.2044715224666835,"donor_per_10q":48906565.95775774,"gross_resources_per_10q":50370841.082678124},"sf":{"qaly":0.19621004681146392,"donor_per_10q":50965789.78755808,"gross_resources_per_10q":52491718.60194879}}}],"finance":[{"year":2023,"program":20654944,"management":8363610,"fundraising":1682188,"functional":30700742,"event":1291282,"inventory":32724,"whole":32024748,"revenue":18761101,"assets":59416030,"liabilities":7695541,"employeesCalendarPriorYear":271},{"year":2024,"program":17544163,"management":7796613,"fundraising":2988423,"functional":28329199,"event":738988,"inventory":0,"whole":29068187,"revenue":26742300,"assets":53205168,"liabilities":2834350,"employeesCalendarPriorYear":347},{"year":2025,"program":17533149,"management":7784212,"fundraising":3620456,"functional":28937817,"event":505300,"inventory":0,"whole":29443117,"revenue":28318144,"assets":54682674,"liabilities":4386340,"employeesCalendarPriorYear":258}],"weightedExpectation":null,"wholeOrganizationExpectedHealthyYears":null,"capacityOfferVerified":null},"rankingStatistic":"conditional specified health and signed household resources"},"inputs":{"model_id":"glide-foundation-material-coverage-v2-design","prepared_utc":"2026-09-09","status":"Prior specification and coverage-ledger asset; not independently accepted or publication ready","recipient":{"name":"Glide Foundation","ein":"94-1156481","boundary":"Ordinary unrestricted Foundation gift. Consolidated financial context includes Church/property affiliates; no separate Church gift or presumed clinical effect."},"finance":{"year":2025,"consolidated_expenses":30766602,"program":18342460,"church":1922106,"administration":7766659,"development":2735377,"cash":5908995,"source":"https://www.glide.org/wp-content/uploads/2026/03/GLIDE-Foundation-2024-25-SA-FS-Final.pdf","basis":"Final audit, not impact report's pending-audit numbers. Cash is historical, not current spare funding."},"shared":{"gift":100000,"discount":0.03,"bay":0.99,"sf":0.95,"funding_additionality":0.4,"capacity_gift":100000,"common_external_fraction":0.2,"independent_harm_q":0},"shared_basis":{"funding_additionality":"Prior 0.4 [0,0.8]: current public grants, other donors and fixed capacity remain in no-gift world. Not estimated from contributions ratio.","capacity_gift":"100k scenario scale and assumed maximum absorbable tranche, NOT observed room; unknown room must be visible. Gift above cap still fully costed with capped output.","common_external_fraction":"0.2 [0,0.8] gross associated volunteer/common partner resources beyond branch-specific costs, not causal net cost or waived charges. Excludes clinical resources separately specified.","geography":"Bay0.99/SF0.95 priors, nested. No additional indirect Bay/SF benefit assigned; policy spillovers unresolved."},"allocation":{"rescue":0.1,"housing":0.1,"meals":0.22,"parenting":0.04,"childcare":0.06,"women":0.05,"moud":0.03,"behavioral":0.02,"infection_linkage":0.01,"wound_care":0.01,"policy":0.04,"common_operations":0.28,"property_affiliate":0.04},"allocation_basis":"Retains v1 top-level allocation priors; subdivides 7% other HEAT and 10% family. Entire gift costed; allocation does not cancel out of benefits. Not observed budget fractions. Service counts constrain plausibility, not QALYs.","survival":{"rescue_cost":500,"rescue_external":80,"rescue_capacity":100,"rescue_active_years":1,"moud_annual_foundation_cost":16000,"moud_annual_external_cost":6000,"moud_capacity":10,"moud_active_years":0.5,"moud_no_gift_treatment_share":0.5,"moud_effective_retention":0.5,"moud_observed_hr":0.63,"moud_causal_transfer":0.5,"baseline_all_cause_hazard":0.07,"rescue_hazard_reduction":0.005,"rescue_moud_overlap":0.5,"utility":0.7,"horizon_years":15,"delay_years":0.25,"rescue_harm_q":0.0001,"moud_harm_q":0.0002},"survival_basis":{"costs":"Rescue nominal annual unique-person safer-use/rescue-support package, not price per dose. MOUD Foundation cost is annualized access/support cost prior, minimum one annual budget unit for setup; active durations above one year scale Foundation/external costs linearly. External cost includes medication, prescribing, labs and public clinical delivery. 3%*30.77m/56 enrollees≈16.5k is only a plausibility check, not audited program cost or evidence of additional patients.","counts":"Impact report says 56 people enrolled in MAT, not verified deduplicated longitudinal treatment records. No 56*survival multiplier. Per-gift capacity10 is a prior and must stress to zero.","baseline":"Both rescue and medication compare with same current-care hazard. Medication effect shrunk halfway from observed HR0.63 toward1; no-gift treatment share handles replacement of existing accessible medication, retention handles effective funded-course completion, funding additionality handles donor displacement. None is a second multiplication by trial ITT adherence.","survival":"Three exclusive cohorts rescue-only/MOUD-only/both. While active h=(base-rescueReduction)*(1-(1-HR)*transfer) for both; remove each factor when its active period ends. Equal baseline hazard after funded care preserves but does not create a survival gap, capped at15years. No separate opioid deaths added to all-cause."},"housing":{"cost":10000,"external":300,"cash_transfer":3045,"capacity":10,"no_gift_stability":0.8,"incremental_stability":0.056,"unique_health":0.8,"utility":0.1,"years":1,"catchup_hazard":0,"mortality":0.01,"delay":0.1,"harm_q":0.0001},"housing_basis":"10k complete access/stabilization episode is a new prior, not v1 transfer-oriented3077. Current965254/317≈3045 is transfer per reported person, not full cost. 10% consolidated scale/317≈9706 contextual only. Stability difference0.112*0.5 transfer from prior VA evidence, capped by current80% no-gift stability. Unique-health exclusion prevents housing mood/safety stacking.","groups":[{"id":"meals","cost":1080,"external":180,"capacity":50,"target":0.2,"response":0.5,"unique_health":0.65,"utility":0.015,"years":0.0821917808219178,"catchup":0,"mortality":0.01,"delay":0,"harm_q":0.00002,"basis":"Thirty-day 90-meal course at12/meal; meal supply consumed and replaces inadequate intake in selected20%, with50% symptom-response/local transfer. 0.015 utility for physical/mental symptoms only, not hunger preference or tailored-diet disease effect. Distinct symptom-time65%. No future mortality. Cost plausibility22%*30.77m/620513≈10.9/meal, not observed marginal price.","sensitivity":"0.015 utility [-0.01,0.05]; selected share [0,0.5]; course30days [7,90] with proportional meal costs.","cost_basis_years":0.0821917808219178},{"id":"parenting","cost":4500,"external":300,"capacity":10,"target":0.3,"response":0.35,"unique_health":0.7,"utility":0.03,"years":0.5,"catchup":2,"mortality":0.01,"delay":0.1,"harm_q":0.0001,"basis":"One caregiver per meaningful class/support course; distressed share30%, trial-to-GLIDE delivery35%, unique mood/safety70%. Utility.03 and half-year window are weak priors; not trial-derived QALYs; catchup2/year. No child benefit in this row.","sensitivity":"Utility[-0.02,0.08], target[0,0.6], transfer[0,0.8], window[0,1].","cost_basis_years":0.5},{"id":"childcare","cost":13000,"external":600,"capacity":5,"target":0.2,"response":0.2,"unique_health":1,"utility":0.03,"years":0.5,"catchup":2,"mortality":0.002,"delay":0.1,"harm_q":0.0001,"basis":"One child with selected emotional/behavioral symptoms in meaningful socioemotional activity; not childcare economic value. Selected20%, effective-fidelity20% sharply below targeted12-week IY. Clinical utility and benefit probability weak priors; no parent spillover or lifetime conduct/crime/earnings.","sensitivity":"Utility[-0.02,0.06], target[0,0.5], delivery[0,0.6], H[0,1].","cost_basis_years":0.5},{"id":"women","cost":4000,"external":1000,"capacity":10,"target":0.35,"response":0.3,"unique_health":0.6,"utility":0.04,"years":0.5,"catchup":2,"mortality":0.02,"delay":0.05,"harm_q":0.0002,"basis":"One selected crisis/safety-support course;35% relevant trauma/abuse symptoms,30% effective clinical gain probability,60% distinct mood/safety outside housing/CBT. Weak positive central despite null advocacy counterweight, acknowledging intensive successful cases; no homicide survival or outreach multiplier.","sensitivity":"Utility[-0.04,0.1], target[0,0.7], response[0,0.7], unique[0,1].","cost_basis_years":0.5},{"id":"behavioral","cost":6000,"external":500,"capacity":5,"target":0.4,"response":0.3,"unique_health":0.6,"utility":0.08,"years":0.5,"catchup":2,"mortality":0.03,"delay":0.1,"harm_q":0.0002,"basis":"One course rather than attendee visit;40% persistent depression,30% meaningful CBT-response/local delivery,60% distinct symptom-time. Mixed outpatient groups not BRIGHT's32hour residential protocol. Utility.08 separate judgment, no substance-use mortality added.","sensitivity":"Utility[-0.05,0.2], target[0,0.8], response[0,0.7], H[0,1].","cost_basis_years":0.5},{"id":"infection_linkage","cost":300,"external":0,"capacity":20,"target":0.06,"response":0.05,"unique_health":0.6,"utility":0.03,"years":3,"catchup":0.5,"mortality":0.05,"delay":0.25,"harm_q":0.00001,"basis":"One unique testing/linkage episode;6% actionable RNA-positive untreated HCV,5% earlier effective cure difference vs existing public referral,60% distinct morbidity. No 44.2point colocated RCT transplant and no paused peer program. Three-year symptom benefit only with later-care catchup; no liver deaths or transmission added. Treatment resource charged separately per selected patient, not per all test.","sensitivity":"Actionable[0,.2], earlier cure difference[-.05,.2], utility[-.01,.08], H[0,5].","cost_basis_years":3},{"id":"wound_care","cost":600,"external":800,"capacity":10,"target":0.4,"response":0.5,"unique_health":0.7,"utility":0.06,"years":0.038356164383561646,"catchup":10,"mortality":0.04,"delay":0.02,"harm_q":0.00005,"basis":"One acute wound-care course with partner medical resources;40% clinically symptomatic wounds,50% earlier meaningful healing relative to accessible public care,70% distinct physical symptom-time. Utility.06 and14day window clinical judgment, not measured GLIDE trial; no unobserved admissions or sepsis mortality.","sensitivity":"Utility[-.03,.15], target[0,.8], response[0,.9], days[0,60] with duration-sensitive resources.","cost_basis_years":0.038356164383561646}],"unresolved":[{"id":"policy","gift_share":0.04,"reason":"No causally attributable policy probability, displaced public spending or recipient map; cannot claim coalition budget as QALYs.","required_stress":"Signed independently elicited total policy Q with geography; no generic residual expected mean."},{"id":"infection_prevention_and_hiv_sti","gift_share":null,"reason":"Safer-use prevention, HIV/STI treatment and secondary transmission plausibly material but no case/diagnosis mix. HCV subgroup alone is not complete infection effect.","required_stress":"Separate selected incidence/diagnosis/care-acceleration parameters and finite competing-risk benefit; do not duplicate HCV or MOUD people-years."},{"id":"vaccination_and_other_primary_care","gift_share":null,"reason":"Wound care is named selected branch; vaccination counts/disease risks and other completed care unavailable.","required_stress":"Disease-specific vaccine or acute-care priors after cost/coverage allocation; no automatic course Q."},{"id":"affiliate","gift_share":0.04,"reason":"Exact Foundation-to-affiliate marginal flow not identified. Church activities not automatically Foundation donation effects.","required_stress":"Recipient-specific financial mapping."}],"expectation":{"status":"Not yet specified","reason":"Do not use central scenario price as whole-organization expected-value headline. Explicit correlated scenario weights and unresolved material branches need review."},"sources":[{"id":"impact","url":"https://www.glide.org/wp-content/uploads/2026/01/GLIDE-Impact-Report-2024-2025.pdf","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"heat","url":"https://www.glide.org/heat/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"moud_mortality","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/29913516/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"moud_engagement","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/25919527/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"cbt","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/21646576/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"advocacy_positive","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/10028208/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"advocacy_counterweight","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/20682933/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"parenting","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/17350966/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"parenting_followup","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/33573694/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"meals","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/30421335/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"meals_counterweight","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/38147326/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"},{"id":"hcv","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/35285851/","retrieved_utc":"2026-09-09"}],"hcv_external_treatment_cost":15000,"hcv_external_treatment_cost_basis":"Gross course drug/lab/prescribing resource prior per nominal actionable HCV patient, before donor additionality or health-success discount; separate from testing cost. This over-associates some unchanged baseline care and is not net induced cost. No charge only for successful cures."},"evaluated":{"version":"glide-depth-v2-2026-09-11","central":{"rescue_nominal":20,"moud_nominal":0.1875,"rescue_incremental":8,"moud_incremental":0.018750000000000003,"shared_survival_people":0.009375000000000001,"rescue_q_per_person":0.025439456706370614,"moud_q_per_person":0.03404288287571089,"joint_q_per_person":0.057196029090171276,"survival_q":0.20332877354402284,"housing_q":0.0017198322434524124,"groups":[{"id":"meals","nominal":20.37037037037037,"incremental":8.148148148148149,"qaly":0.0004889446902438877,"external":3666.6666666666665},{"id":"parenting","nominal":0.8888888888888888,"incremental":0.35555555555555557,"qaly":0.00020947381202396657,"external":266.66666666666663},{"id":"childcare","nominal":0.46153846153846156,"incremental":0.18461538461538463,"qaly":0.00005089300939531352,"external":276.92307692307696},{"id":"women","nominal":1.25,"incremental":0.5,"qaly":0.0002935596722978198,"external":1250},{"id":"behavioral","nominal":0.3333333333333333,"incremental":0.13333333333333333,"qaly":0.00021236551241056122,"external":166.66666666666666},{"id":"infection_linkage","nominal":3.3333333333333335,"incremental":1.3333333333333335,"qaly":0.00008831098942877887,"external":3000},{"id":"wound_care","nominal":1.6666666666666667,"incremental":0.6666666666666667,"qaly":0.00014473790721278225,"external":1333.3333333333335}],"gross_external":32985.256410256414,"gross_associated_funding":132985.2564102564,"rental_transfer_excluded":3045,"gross_resources":129940.2564102564,"us":{"qaly":0.20653689138048836,"donor_per_10q":4841750.029818017,"gross_resources_per_10q":6291382.403489197},"bay":{"qaly":0.2044715224666835,"donor_per_10q":4890656.595775775,"gross_resources_per_10q":6354931.720696158},"sf":{"qaly":0.19621004681146392,"donor_per_10q":5096578.9787558075,"gross_resources_per_10q":6622507.793146524}},"weightedExpectation":null,"wholeOrganizationExpectedQaly":null,"scenarioWeights":null,"scope":"whole 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