{"edition":"new-york-city","organization":"Common Justice","organizationId":"ein:82-0993366","boundaryVersion":"OMB-23-01-2023-07-21","updated":"2026-10-07","display":{"metric":{"id":"daly-equivalent","years":1,"label":"DALY","priceLabel":"$ / DALY"},"priceUSD":14067784.652603945,"canonicalPriceUSDPerTenEquivalentYears":140677846.52603945,"conversion":"display only; QALYs and income equivalents are not measured clinical DALYs"},"listDisplay":{"metric":{"id":"daly-equivalent","years":1,"label":"DALY","priceLabel":"$ / DALY"},"priceUSD":14067784.652603945,"canonicalPriceUSDPerTenEquivalentYears":140677846.52603945,"conversion":"display only; QALYs and income equivalents are not measured clinical DALYs"},"model":{"version":"nyc-commonjustice-targeted-resources-assessed-unknown-v2","costScope":"Entire recipient gross annual cost; partial direct-service health denominator. Wider policy and national replication effects are unpriced, not claimed absent.","geographicAttribution":"Only health accruing within the official 22-county NYC MSA is priced. Three-borough delivery motivates a 98% central share; no national chapter or expenditure-share proxy.","formula":"N=D/c. F(r,T)=(1-exp(-(r+ln(1+d))*T))/(r+ln(1+d)). Q_all=N*a*b*[v*((1-z)*ui*F(ri,Ti)+z*ud*F(md,Td))+ps*us*F(rs,Ts)+up*F(0,Tp)-h]. Q_NYC=g*Q_all. Price=10*C/Q_NYC when positive, otherwise null. Violence effects over two years are valued at onset for simplicity; a delay sensitivity can only reduce their positive value. Fatal and nonfatal victimization are mutually exclusive; survival is counted once per victim.","counterfactual":"Existing courts, alternative diversion, survivor services and government-funded work continue. v is the signed net violence difference versus that baseline, including incapacitation; a addresses replacement delivery, b addresses marginal funding response, each once.","attribution":"No credit for every graduate avoiding reconviction, previously enacted laws or nationwide media reach. Direct service is a central operational mechanism but only about half of program spending; wider institutional change remains a material omitted pathway.","uncertainty":"Scenario ranges are subjective alternatives, not confidence intervals. Capacity and all clinical coefficients are unobserved priors. The central is donor-useful only as an explicitly partial-health estimate, not a complete portfolio ranking.","nativeOutcomes":"Complete restorative case-pair episodes, inferred from program expenditure and assumed episode cost. Net violent victimizations prevented, split into fatal and nonfatal outcomes. Incremental trauma recovery among existing survivors and health-only effects of avoiding incarceration.","inputs":[{"name":"C","value":8027684,"unit":"USD annual gross recipient expense","basis":"observed","rationale":"Part IX plus donated services plus separately netted event costs.","sourceIds":["return2025","d2025"]},{"name":"D","value":2973529,"unit":"USD direct-service annual expenditure","basis":"observed","rationale":"Part III direct services; used only to infer capacity, not to shrink whole cost.","sourceIds":["return2025"]},{"name":"c","value":60000,"unit":"USD direct-service cost per complete case-pair episode","basis":"judgment","rationale":"$60,000 central, $30,000–$120,000 sensitivity; assumes steady-state spending finances complete multiyear episodes. Not a quoted service price.","sourceIds":["return2025","impact"]},{"name":"v","value":0.05,"unit":"additional violent victimizations prevented per case over two years","basis":"judgment","rationale":"Net of incapacitation, repeat offending and other prevention; not reconvictions. Signed in adverse case.","sourceIds":["rjc","impact"]},{"name":"z","value":0.005,"unit":"fatal share of prevented victimizations","basis":"judgment","rationale":"0.5% event mix assumption, not observed homicide rate.","sourceIds":["impact"]},{"name":"ui","value":0.2,"unit":"utility loss per nonfatal injury","basis":"judgment","rationale":"Physical and psychological burden of a newly prevented victimization.","sourceIds":["rjc"]},{"name":"ri","value":0.5,"unit":"annual nonfatal injury recovery rate","basis":"judgment","rationale":"Exponential recovery, no permanent injury claim.","sourceIds":["rjc"]},{"name":"Ti","value":3,"unit":"years nonfatal injury follow-up","basis":"judgment","rationale":"Finite three-year horizon.","sourceIds":[]},{"name":"ud","value":0.8,"unit":"utility among survivors of a prevented fatal victimization","basis":"judgment","rationale":"Health-adjusted survival, not a full-quality life.","sourceIds":[]},{"name":"md","value":0.02,"unit":"annual competing mortality hazard","basis":"judgment","rationale":"2% limits survival in a high-risk population.","sourceIds":[]},{"name":"Td","value":30,"unit":"years survival follow-up","basis":"judgment","rationale":"Finite 30-year survival cap.","sourceIds":[]},{"name":"ps","value":0.1,"unit":"additional existing survivors improving per case pair","basis":"judgment","rationale":"10% gain beyond alternative support. Existing-survivor recovery excludes new injuries in v.","sourceIds":["rjc","impact"]},{"name":"us","value":0.15,"unit":"utility improvement per responding survivor","basis":"judgment","rationale":"Not a validated conversion of the healing scale.","sourceIds":["rjc"]},{"name":"rs","value":0.5,"unit":"annual survivor recovery-effect decay","basis":"judgment","rationale":"Rapid decay to avoid indefinite trauma-recovery credit.","sourceIds":[]},{"name":"Ts","value":2,"unit":"years survivor follow-up","basis":"judgment","rationale":"Finite two-year horizon.","sourceIds":[]},{"name":"up","value":0.02,"unit":"net annual health-utility gain from avoided incarceration","basis":"judgment","rationale":"Small 0.02 health-only prior; excludes liberty, income and fiscal savings. Can be zero or negative.","sourceIds":["impact"]},{"name":"Tp","value":3,"unit":"years incarceration-related health difference","basis":"judgment","rationale":"Three-year cap, not an observed sentence.","sourceIds":["impact"]},{"name":"a","value":0.5,"unit":"fraction of case equivalents additional to other services/diversion","basis":"judgment","rationale":"50% after counterfactual alternative-service substitution; no second causal discount.","sourceIds":[]},{"name":"b","value":0.25,"unit":"recipient funding-response fraction","basis":"judgment","rationale":"25% of proportional historical delivery changes with ordinary funding; recognizes reserves, grants and referral constraints.","sourceIds":["return2025","impact"]},{"name":"g","value":0.98,"unit":"NYC MSA share of priced health","basis":"judgment","rationale":"98% because the priced direct service is in three NYC boroughs, allowing migration; does not assert 98% of national portfolio.","sourceIds":["current"]},{"name":"h","value":0,"unit":"additional QALY harm per marginal case pair","basis":"judgment","rationale":"Zero central, 0.01 adverse; separate from increased victimization.","sourceIds":[]},{"name":"d","value":0.03,"unit":"annual discount rate","basis":"judgment","rationale":"3% continuous-equivalent discount log(1+d).","sourceIds":[]}],"scenarios":[{"id":"central","label":"Conditional core-pathway central","costUSD":8027684,"allPopulationQalys":0.5822888598311062,"editionQalys":0.570643082634484,"pricePer10Qalys":140677846.52603945,"assumptions":"{\"C\":8027684,\"D\":2973529,\"c\":60000,\"v\":0.05,\"z\":0.005,\"ui\":0.2,\"ri\":0.5,\"Ti\":3,\"ud\":0.8,\"md\":0.02,\"Td\":30,\"ps\":0.1,\"us\":0.15,\"rs\":0.5,\"Ts\":2,\"up\":0.02,\"Tp\":3,\"a\":0.5,\"b\":0.25,\"g\":0.98,\"h\":0,\"d\":0.03}"},{"id":"low","label":"Low throughput and small health gains","costUSD":8027684,"allPopulationQalys":0.0034122641644707173,"editionQalys":0.003344018881181303,"pricePer10Qalys":24006096512.12302,"assumptions":"{\"C\":8027684,\"D\":2973529,\"c\":120000,\"v\":0.005,\"z\":0.005,\"ui\":0.2,\"ri\":0.5,\"Ti\":3,\"ud\":0.8,\"md\":0.02,\"Td\":30,\"ps\":0.02,\"us\":0.15,\"rs\":0.5,\"Ts\":2,\"up\":0,\"Tp\":3,\"a\":0.25,\"b\":0.1,\"g\":0.98,\"h\":0,\"d\":0.03}"},{"id":"high","label":"Higher throughput and larger gains","costUSD":8027684,"allPopulationQalys":9.070261625522157,"editionQalys":8.888856393011714,"pricePer10Qalys":9031177.51605397,"assumptions":"{\"C\":8027684,\"D\":2973529,\"c\":30000,\"v\":0.15,\"z\":0.005,\"ui\":0.2,\"ri\":0.5,\"Ti\":3,\"ud\":0.8,\"md\":0.02,\"Td\":30,\"ps\":0.25,\"us\":0.15,\"rs\":0.5,\"Ts\":2,\"up\":0.05,\"Tp\":3,\"a\":0.75,\"b\":0.5,\"g\":0.98,\"h\":0,\"d\":0.03}"},{"id":"zero","label":"No marginal funding response","costUSD":8027684,"allPopulationQalys":0,"editionQalys":0,"pricePer10Qalys":null,"assumptions":"{\"C\":8027684,\"D\":2973529,\"c\":60000,\"v\":0.05,\"z\":0.005,\"ui\":0.2,\"ri\":0.5,\"Ti\":3,\"ud\":0.8,\"md\":0.02,\"Td\":30,\"ps\":0.1,\"us\":0.15,\"rs\":0.5,\"Ts\":2,\"up\":0.02,\"Tp\":3,\"a\":0.5,\"b\":0,\"g\":0.98,\"h\":0,\"d\":0.03}"},{"id":"adverse","label":"Diversion increases violence and harms health","costUSD":8027684,"allPopulationQalys":-0.3517685286510094,"editionQalys":-0.3447331580779892,"pricePer10Qalys":null,"assumptions":"{\"C\":8027684,\"D\":2973529,\"c\":60000,\"v\":-0.05,\"z\":0.005,\"ui\":0.2,\"ri\":0.5,\"Ti\":3,\"ud\":0.8,\"md\":0.02,\"Td\":30,\"ps\":0,\"us\":0.15,\"rs\":0.5,\"Ts\":2,\"up\":-0.01,\"Tp\":3,\"a\":0.5,\"b\":0.25,\"g\":0.98,\"h\":0.01,\"d\":0.03}"},{"id":"no-prison-health","label":"No net health benefit from avoided incarceration","costUSD":8027684,"allPopulationQalys":0.22660132956612977,"editionQalys":0.22206930297480718,"pricePer10Qalys":361494537.6268735,"assumptions":"{\"C\":8027684,\"D\":2973529,\"c\":60000,\"v\":0.05,\"z\":0.005,\"ui\":0.2,\"ri\":0.5,\"Ti\":3,\"ud\":0.8,\"md\":0.02,\"Td\":30,\"ps\":0.1,\"us\":0.15,\"rs\":0.5,\"Ts\":2,\"up\":0,\"Tp\":3,\"a\":0.5,\"b\":0.25,\"g\":0.98,\"h\":0,\"d\":0.03}"},{"id":"induced-cost","label":"Additional external service resources","costUSD":8089632.520833333,"allPopulationQalys":0.5822888598311062,"editionQalys":0.570643082634484,"pricePer10Qalys":141763437.90037692,"assumptions":"{\"C\":8089632.520833333,\"D\":2973529,\"c\":60000,\"v\":0.05,\"z\":0.005,\"ui\":0.2,\"ri\":0.5,\"Ti\":3,\"ud\":0.8,\"md\":0.02,\"Td\":30,\"ps\":0.1,\"us\":0.15,\"rs\":0.5,\"Ts\":2,\"up\":0.02,\"Tp\":3,\"a\":0.5,\"b\":0.25,\"g\":0.98,\"h\":0,\"d\":0.03}"},{"id":"resource-cost","label":"25% additional unmeasured resources","costUSD":10034605,"allPopulationQalys":0.5822888598311062,"editionQalys":0.570643082634484,"pricePer10Qalys":175847308.15754932,"assumptions":"{\"C\":10034605,\"D\":2973529,\"c\":60000,\"v\":0.05,\"z\":0.005,\"ui\":0.2,\"ri\":0.5,\"Ti\":3,\"ud\":0.8,\"md\":0.02,\"Td\":30,\"ps\":0.1,\"us\":0.15,\"rs\":0.5,\"Ts\":2,\"up\":0.02,\"Tp\":3,\"a\":0.5,\"b\":0.25,\"g\":0.98,\"h\":0,\"d\":0.03}"},{"id":"combined-income-unknown","label":"Combined resources unknown; clinical reference retained","costUSD":8027684,"allPopulationQalys":0.5822888598311062,"editionQalys":0.570643082634484,"incomeUnknown":true,"assumptions":"Original clinical model and full annual recipient scope retained; net household resources unknown, not zero."}],"sensitivity":["Episode cost drives capacity inversely; the report supplies no verified annual cohort.","The no-prison-health scenario removes the most contestable direct participant benefit.","Violence can increase if diversion loses protective incapacitation or survivor safeguards fail.","External service costs and unrecognized resources worsen the price; no incarceration savings offset them.","A three-year delay would discount all positive health by (1.03)^-3; longer-term national spillovers remain unpriced."],"missingInputs":["Unique annual referrals, entrants and completions with full episode resource costs.","Comparison-group offending, injury and survivor health outcomes including non-completers.","Counterfactual sentences and health in custody versus community, including mortality and access to treatment.","Marginal donor-response evidence, restricted reserves and funded referral capacity.","Local incremental effects and costs of victim-compensation implementation, replication and narratives.","Current gift-responsive unique case/household cohorts, actual counterfactual sentences/diversion, retained net work/benefits versus alternatives, paid restitution/compensation and payer mix, taxes/withdrawals/full program work/access/time costs, MSA residence and finite delay/duration."],"incomeAssessment":{"status":"assessed-unknown","materiality":"targeted","acceptance":"independently-reviewed","evidence":"docs/geography-discovery/nyc-commonjustice-alpha-income-20261007/root-acceptance.md","sourceIds":["current","impact"],"rationale":"Restitution, work commitments, diversion and survivor compensation identify direct resource mechanisms, but actual net earnings, paid transfers and unique household incidence are unidentified. Case-pair capacity is a conditional prior, not observed financial successes; missing RCT or attribution judgment alone is not the reason for unknown.","directions":["Avoided custody can enable actual net work or benefits, but freedom value, public prison costs and gross wages are not household cash.","Restitution debits responsible households and credits survivors; joint transfers must not be counted twice. Compensation limits are not actual awards or gift-caused payments.","Full community-service, program/access/time and work burdens independent of clinical response; positive overlap only gains.","Taxes, benefits, work costs, finite sentence/duration and public payer transfers require scope; no duplication of original external resource diagnostics."],"missing":"Current gift-responsive unique case/household cohorts, actual counterfactual sentences/diversion, retained net work/benefits versus alternatives, paid restitution/compensation and payer mix, taxes/withdrawals/full program work/access/time costs, MSA residence and finite delay/duration."}},"sources":[{"id":"return2025","title":"FY2025 original Form 990","url":"https://projects.propublica.org/nonprofits/full_text/202620219349301152/IRS990","publisher":"Common Justice / IRS","published":null,"retrieved":"2026-09-14"},{"id":"d2025","title":"FY2025 original Schedule D reconciliation","url":"https://projects.propublica.org/nonprofits/full_text/202620219349301152/IRS990ScheduleD","publisher":"Common Justice / IRS","published":null,"retrieved":"2026-09-14"},{"id":"return2024","title":"FY2024 original Form 990","url":"https://projects.propublica.org/nonprofits/full_text/202500429349300210/IRS990","publisher":"Common Justice / IRS","published":null,"retrieved":"2026-09-14"},{"id":"d2024","title":"FY2024 original Schedule D reconciliation","url":"https://projects.propublica.org/nonprofits/full_text/202500429349300210/IRS990ScheduleD","publisher":"Common Justice / IRS","published":null,"retrieved":"2026-09-14"},{"id":"return2023","title":"FY2023 original Form 990","url":"https://projects.propublica.org/nonprofits/full_text/202431079349300913/IRS990","publisher":"Common Justice / IRS","published":null,"retrieved":"2026-09-14"},{"id":"d2023","title":"FY2023 original Schedule D reconciliation","url":"https://projects.propublica.org/nonprofits/full_text/202431079349300913/IRS990ScheduleD","publisher":"Common Justice / IRS","published":null,"retrieved":"2026-09-14"},{"id":"impact","title":"2025 impact report","url":"https://e1.nmcdn.io/assets/commonjustice/wp-content/uploads/2025/12/CJ-Impact-Report-2025.pdf","publisher":"Common Justice","published":"2025-12-18","retrieved":"2026-10-07"},{"id":"current","title":"Diverting serious violence","url":"https://commonjustice.org/diverting-serious-violence","publisher":"Common Justice","published":null,"retrieved":"2026-10-07"},{"id":"donate","title":"Ordinary recipient donation and legal entity","url":"https://commonjustice.org/donate","publisher":"Common Justice","published":null,"retrieved":"2026-09-14"},{"id":"rjc","title":"Randomized restorative-conferencing systematic review","url":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.4073/csr.2013.12","publisher":"Strang et al. / Campbell Systematic Reviews","published":"2013-11-04","retrieved":"2026-09-14"}]}