{"edition":"chicago","organization":"Active Transportation Alliance","organizationId":"ein:36-3385886","boundaryVersion":"OMB-23-01-2023-07-21","updated":"2026-10-05","display":{"metric":{"id":"daly-equivalent","years":1,"label":"DALY","priceLabel":"$ / DALY"},"priceUSD":6371177.007001987,"canonicalPriceUSDPerTenEquivalentYears":63711770.07001986,"conversion":"display only; QALYs and income equivalents are not measured clinical DALYs"},"listDisplay":{"metric":{"id":"daly-equivalent","years":1,"label":"DALY","priceLabel":"$ / DALY"},"priceUSD":6371177.007001987,"canonicalPriceUSDPerTenEquivalentYears":63711770.07001986,"conversion":"display only; QALYs and income equivalents are not measured clinical DALYs"},"model":{"version":"chicago-ata-initial-health-income-v1","costScope":"Whole EIN recipient annual gross recognized expense; finite local clinical and resource component, not project capital, full world return or verified marginal cash-gift yield.","geographicAttribution":"Hypothetical local Chicago metro branch; statewide transit and shared coalition benefits are not assigned wholesale.","formula":"changed=N*implementation*credit*b. Clinical=g*changed*sum finite discounted[positiveOnly(exercise,k)+positiveOnly(safety,k)] minus full harms. Resources=.5*people*finite discounted log(1+joint signed net/baseline). Combined=health+resources; price10=10*C/known positive combined.","counterfactual":"Existing public capital, 2025 transit legislation, existing routes, other advocates, alternative jobs and transport options continue.","attribution":"Implementation, coalition contribution and annual-funded response are distinct priors, not repeated discounts on already-measured incremental outcomes. Resource exposure independent of clinical success. Resource success is an independent annual engagement/commuting branch, not raw implementation of the same policy. Central clinical25 is nested in resource100 by judgment; union population determines full harms.","uncertainty":"Observed financials and current program mechanisms; all local population, causal effect, resource and marginal response conversions are judgments. Full portfolio unknown is explicit.","nativeOutcomes":"Conditional planning reference: 25 expected clinical trajectories, 100 resource-exposed households and 25 additional resource changes. None is an observed current causal count.","inputs":[{"name":"C","value":2580481,"unit":"USD full annual recipient recognized expense","basis":"observed","rationale":"Calendar 2024 original Part IX $2,526,835 plus separately netted event cost $53,646; no rental group identified. Whole EIN recipient, not project capital or cash-only marginal cost.","sourceIds":["ata-99024"]},{"name":"N","value":1000,"unit":"hypothetical local households with one clinical person each","basis":"judgment","rationale":"1,000 is a finite prospective local planning population, not observed current route users or event participants.","sourceIds":["ata-current"]},{"name":"implementation","value":0.2,"unit":"additional implemented behavioral/exposure improvement probability","basis":"judgment","rationale":"Judged .2 additional implementation and behavior change versus existing funded projects. Announced funding is not completed injury or exercise improvement.","sourceIds":["ata-current"]},{"name":"credit","value":0.25,"unit":"distinct coalition causal contribution share","basis":"judgment","rationale":"Judged .25 causal coalition contribution; no national or coalition-wide result automatically owned.","sourceIds":["ata-current"]},{"name":"b","value":0.5,"unit":"annual resource-package response fraction","basis":"judgment","rationale":"Judged .5 response of the full annual package relative to continuing public/coalition funding. Whole annual denominator retained; marginal gift conversion unknown.","sourceIds":["ata-current"]},{"name":"exercise","value":0.005,"unit":"net annual clinical utility from additional activity","basis":"judgment","rationale":"Judged .005 annual net clinical utility for finite three years, not a mortality hazard ratio or lifetime exercise credit.","sourceIds":["ata-current"]},{"name":"safety","value":0.002,"unit":"net annual clinical utility from changed injury risk","basis":"judgment","rationale":"Judged .002 annual net injury-risk utility; negative safety effects remain full even when positive overlap is zero.","sourceIds":["ata-current"]},{"name":"clinicalOverlap","value":0.8,"unit":"retained positive clinical utility after overlap","basis":"judgment","rationale":"Positive exercise and safety utility each retained .8 for overlapping health domains; negative clinical effects never reduced.","sourceIds":["ata-current"]},{"name":"T","value":3,"unit":"finite clinical years","basis":"judgment","rationale":"Finite conditional judgment, not measured local causal effect; independent scenarios expose it.","sourceIds":["ata-current"]},{"name":"delay","value":2,"unit":"years to first implementation effect","basis":"judgment","rationale":"Finite conditional judgment, not measured local causal effect; independent scenarios expose it.","sourceIds":["ata-current"]},{"name":"discount","value":0.03,"unit":"annual discount fraction","basis":"judgment","rationale":"Finite conditional judgment, not measured local causal effect; independent scenarios expose it.","sourceIds":["ata-current"]},{"name":"resourcePopulation","value":200,"unit":"hypothetical unique resource-exposed household opportunities","basis":"judgment","rationale":"200 distinct local household opportunities is judgment, not a measured unique participant series; resource exposure is independent of clinical efficacy.","sourceIds":["ata-current"]},{"name":"resourceSuccess","value":0.25,"unit":"additional resource-changing fraction","basis":"judgment","rationale":"Independent judged .25 additional resource outcome among local commuting/route-planning or engagement households; this is NOT the implementation probability of the same capital project. It embeds alternative transport/work substitution. No observed outcome series establishes this branch.","sourceIds":["ata-current"]},{"name":"gain","value":300,"unit":"USD one-time net access/commuting resource gain before overlap","basis":"judgment","rationale":"Judged $300 one-time net resource change after taxes, benefit offsets, fares, bike/vehicle costs, childcare, replacement jobs and time; not gross wages or all travel-time value.","sourceIds":["ata-current"]},{"name":"cost","value":20,"unit":"USD full household time/work/fare/participation burden","basis":"judgment","rationale":"Full $20 process/work/time burden for all 100 resource-exposed households, including nonbeneficiaries and clinical-null.","sourceIds":["ata-current"]},{"name":"baseline","value":40000,"unit":"USD annual household resources per one welfareperson","basis":"judgment","rationale":"Finite conditional judgment, not measured local causal effect; independent scenarios expose it.","sourceIds":["ata-current"]},{"name":"positiveOverlap","value":0.5,"unit":"retained positive resource fraction after clinical overlap","basis":"judgment","rationale":"Finite conditional judgment, not measured local causal effect; independent scenarios expose it.","sourceIds":["ata-current"]},{"name":"payerShare","value":0,"unit":"signed matched transport payer/provider incidence share","basis":"unknown","rationale":"Unknown-neutral central0, NOT observed absence of operator/employer/payer losses; signed matched stress included.","sourceIds":["ata-current"]},{"name":"payerPeople","value":20,"unit":"disjoint local counterparty household-equivalent welfarepeople","basis":"judgment","rationale":"Finite conditional judgment, not measured local causal effect; independent scenarios expose it.","sourceIds":["ata-current"]},{"name":"payerBaseline","value":60000,"unit":"USD annual counterparty household resources","basis":"judgment","rationale":"Finite conditional judgment, not measured local causal effect; independent scenarios expose it.","sourceIds":["ata-current"]},{"name":"externalCost","value":0,"unit":"USD outside implementation burden per exposed household","basis":"unknown","rationale":"Unknown-neutral central0, NOT observed absence of public construction or provider costs; full external burden stress included.","sourceIds":["ata-current"]},{"name":"harm","value":0,"unit":"clinical QALYs harm per exposed household","basis":"judgment","rationale":"Finite conditional judgment, not measured local causal effect; independent scenarios expose it.","sourceIds":["ata-current"]},{"name":"g","value":1,"unit":"Chicago MSA share of modeled local branch","basis":"judgment","rationale":"Finite conditional judgment, not measured local causal effect; independent scenarios expose it.","sourceIds":["ata-current"]},{"name":"clinicalResourceOverlap","value":1,"unit":"fraction of smaller clinical/resource cohort overlapping","basis":"judgment","rationale":"Central 25 clinical households are assumed within 100 resource households, not independently added people. Harms charge the union, including excess clinical households in strong cases. Full disjointness remains possible.","sourceIds":["ata-current"]}],"scenarios":[{"id":"central","label":"central","inputs":{"C":2580481,"N":1000,"implementation":0.2,"credit":0.25,"b":0.5,"exercise":0.005,"safety":0.002,"clinicalOverlap":0.8,"T":3,"delay":2,"discount":0.03,"resourcePopulation":200,"resourceSuccess":0.25,"gain":300,"cost":20,"baseline":40000,"positiveOverlap":0.5,"payerShare":0,"payerPeople":20,"payerBaseline":60000,"externalCost":0,"harm":0,"clinicalResourceOverlap":1,"g":1},"costUSD":2580481,"changed":25,"exposed":100,"resourceChanged":25,"union":100,"allPopulationQalys":0.3844714462963643,"editionQalys":0.3844714462963643,"incomePathways":[{"id":"resource-changing","people":25,"annualIncomeBeforeUSD":40000,"annualIncomeGainUSD":130,"years":1,"editionShare":1,"delayYears":2,"discountRate":0.03,"rationale":"One welfareperson per distinct local household. Net commuting/work/access changes and full burdens combine BEFORE log; only positive gains receive health-overlap discount.","counterfactual":"Existing funded transit and street projects, alternative routes and jobs continue. Gain is judged net of taxes, benefits, fares, vehicle costs, displaced income, childcare and replacement time; no gross salary or ordinary survivor earnings.","sourceIds":["ata-current","ata-commute"]},{"id":"other-exposed","people":75,"annualIncomeBeforeUSD":40000,"annualIncomeGainUSD":-20,"years":1,"editionShare":1,"delayYears":2,"discountRate":0.03,"rationale":"One welfareperson per distinct local household. Net commuting/work/access changes and full burdens combine BEFORE log; only positive gains receive health-overlap discount.","counterfactual":"Existing funded transit and street projects, alternative routes and jobs continue. Gain is judged net of taxes, benefits, fares, vehicle costs, displaced income, childcare and replacement time; no gross salary or ordinary survivor earnings.","sourceIds":["ata-current","ata-commute"]}],"incomeEquivalent":0.020552774057900836,"incomeUnknown":false,"totalEquivalent":0.40502422035426516,"price10":63711770.07001986,"costPer10Qalys":63711770.07001986,"incomeEquivalentYears":0.020552774057900836,"combinedEquivalentYears":0.40502422035426516,"assumptions":"Conditional initial reference, not observed current causal beneficiaries or a marginal donor quote. Existing projects are baseline; full portfolio unknown."},{"id":"clinical-null","label":"clinical null","inputs":{"C":2580481,"N":1000,"implementation":0.2,"credit":0.25,"b":0.5,"exercise":0,"safety":0,"clinicalOverlap":0.8,"T":3,"delay":2,"discount":0.03,"resourcePopulation":200,"resourceSuccess":0.25,"gain":300,"cost":20,"baseline":40000,"positiveOverlap":0.5,"payerShare":0,"payerPeople":20,"payerBaseline":60000,"externalCost":0,"harm":0,"clinicalResourceOverlap":1,"g":1},"costUSD":2580481,"changed":25,"exposed":100,"resourceChanged":25,"union":100,"allPopulationQalys":0,"editionQalys":0,"incomePathways":[{"id":"resource-changing","people":25,"annualIncomeBeforeUSD":40000,"annualIncomeGainUSD":130,"years":1,"editionShare":1,"delayYears":2,"discountRate":0.03,"rationale":"One welfareperson per distinct local household. Net commuting/work/access changes and full burdens combine BEFORE log; only positive gains receive health-overlap discount.","counterfactual":"Existing funded transit and street projects, alternative routes and jobs continue. Gain is judged net of taxes, benefits, fares, vehicle costs, displaced income, childcare and replacement time; no gross salary or ordinary survivor earnings.","sourceIds":["ata-current","ata-commute"]},{"id":"other-exposed","people":75,"annualIncomeBeforeUSD":40000,"annualIncomeGainUSD":-20,"years":1,"editionShare":1,"delayYears":2,"discountRate":0.03,"rationale":"One welfareperson per distinct local household. Net commuting/work/access changes and full burdens combine BEFORE log; only positive gains receive health-overlap discount.","counterfactual":"Existing funded transit and street projects, alternative routes and jobs continue. Gain is judged net of taxes, benefits, fares, vehicle costs, displaced income, childcare and replacement time; no gross salary or ordinary survivor earnings.","sourceIds":["ata-current","ata-commute"]}],"incomeEquivalent":0.020552774057900836,"incomeUnknown":false,"totalEquivalent":0.020552774057900836,"price10":1255539029.7827067,"costPer10Qalys":1255539029.7827067,"incomeEquivalentYears":0.020552774057900836,"combinedEquivalentYears":0.020552774057900836,"assumptions":"Conditional initial reference, not observed current causal beneficiaries or a marginal donor quote. Existing projects are baseline; full portfolio unknown."},{"id":"financial-only","label":"financial only","inputs":{"C":2580481,"N":1000,"implementation":0.2,"credit":0.25,"b":0.5,"exercise":0,"safety":0,"clinicalOverlap":0.8,"T":3,"delay":2,"discount":0.03,"resourcePopulation":200,"resourceSuccess":0.25,"gain":300,"cost":20,"baseline":40000,"positiveOverlap":0.5,"payerShare":0,"payerPeople":20,"payerBaseline":60000,"externalCost":0,"harm":0,"clinicalResourceOverlap":1,"g":1},"costUSD":2580481,"changed":25,"exposed":100,"resourceChanged":25,"union":100,"allPopulationQalys":0,"editionQalys":0,"incomePathways":[{"id":"resource-changing","people":25,"annualIncomeBeforeUSD":40000,"annualIncomeGainUSD":130,"years":1,"editionShare":1,"delayYears":2,"discountRate":0.03,"rationale":"One welfareperson per distinct local household. Net commuting/work/access changes and full burdens combine BEFORE log; only positive gains receive health-overlap discount.","counterfactual":"Existing funded transit and street projects, alternative routes and jobs continue. Gain is judged net of taxes, benefits, fares, vehicle costs, displaced income, childcare and replacement time; no gross salary or ordinary survivor earnings.","sourceIds":["ata-current","ata-commute"]},{"id":"other-exposed","people":75,"annualIncomeBeforeUSD":40000,"annualIncomeGainUSD":-20,"years":1,"editionShare":1,"delayYears":2,"discountRate":0.03,"rationale":"One welfareperson per distinct local household. Net commuting/work/access changes and full burdens combine BEFORE log; only positive gains receive health-overlap discount.","counterfactual":"Existing funded transit and street projects, alternative routes and jobs continue. Gain is judged net of taxes, benefits, fares, vehicle costs, displaced income, childcare and replacement time; no gross salary or ordinary survivor earnings.","sourceIds":["ata-current","ata-commute"]}],"incomeEquivalent":0.020552774057900836,"incomeUnknown":false,"totalEquivalent":0.020552774057900836,"price10":1255539029.7827067,"costPer10Qalys":1255539029.7827067,"incomeEquivalentYears":0.020552774057900836,"combinedEquivalentYears":0.020552774057900836,"assumptions":"Conditional initial reference, not observed current causal beneficiaries or a marginal donor quote. Existing projects are baseline; full portfolio unknown."},{"id":"full-unknown","label":"full unknown","inputs":{"C":2580481,"N":1000,"implementation":0.2,"credit":0.25,"b":0.5,"exercise":0.005,"safety":0.002,"clinicalOverlap":0.8,"T":3,"delay":2,"discount":0.03,"resourcePopulation":200,"resourceSuccess":0.25,"gain":300,"cost":20,"baseline":40000,"positiveOverlap":0.5,"payerShare":0,"payerPeople":20,"payerBaseline":60000,"externalCost":0,"harm":0,"clinicalResourceOverlap":1,"g":1,"clinicalUnknown":true,"incomeUnknown":true},"costUSD":2580481,"changed":25,"exposed":100,"resourceChanged":25,"union":100,"allPopulationQalys":null,"editionQalys":null,"incomePathways":[{"id":"resource-changing","people":25,"annualIncomeBeforeUSD":40000,"annualIncomeGainUSD":130,"years":1,"editionShare":1,"delayYears":2,"discountRate":0.03,"rationale":"One welfareperson per distinct local household. Net commuting/work/access changes and full burdens combine BEFORE log; only positive gains receive health-overlap discount.","counterfactual":"Existing funded transit and street projects, alternative routes and jobs continue. Gain is judged net of taxes, benefits, fares, vehicle costs, displaced income, childcare and replacement time; no gross salary or ordinary survivor earnings.","sourceIds":["ata-current","ata-commute"]},{"id":"other-exposed","people":75,"annualIncomeBeforeUSD":40000,"annualIncomeGainUSD":-20,"years":1,"editionShare":1,"delayYears":2,"discountRate":0.03,"rationale":"One welfareperson per distinct local household. Net commuting/work/access changes and full burdens combine BEFORE log; only positive gains receive health-overlap discount.","counterfactual":"Existing funded transit and street projects, alternative routes and jobs continue. Gain is judged net of taxes, benefits, fares, vehicle costs, displaced income, childcare and replacement time; no gross salary or ordinary survivor earnings.","sourceIds":["ata-current","ata-commute"]}],"incomeEquivalent":0.020552774057900836,"incomeUnknown":true,"totalEquivalent":null,"price10":null,"costPer10Qalys":null,"incomeEquivalentYears":0.020552774057900836,"combinedEquivalentYears":null,"assumptions":"Conditional initial reference, not observed current causal beneficiaries or a marginal donor quote. Existing projects are baseline; full portfolio unknown."},{"id":"zero-expansion","label":"zero expansion","inputs":{"C":2580481,"N":1000,"implementation":0.2,"credit":0.25,"b":0,"exercise":0.005,"safety":0.002,"clinicalOverlap":0.8,"T":3,"delay":2,"discount":0.03,"resourcePopulation":200,"resourceSuccess":0.25,"gain":300,"cost":20,"baseline":40000,"positiveOverlap":0.5,"payerShare":0,"payerPeople":20,"payerBaseline":60000,"externalCost":0,"harm":0,"clinicalResourceOverlap":1,"g":1},"costUSD":2580481,"changed":0,"exposed":0,"resourceChanged":0,"union":0,"allPopulationQalys":0,"editionQalys":0,"incomePathways":[],"incomeEquivalent":0,"incomeUnknown":false,"totalEquivalent":0,"price10":null,"costPer10Qalys":null,"incomeEquivalentYears":0,"combinedEquivalentYears":0,"assumptions":"Conditional initial reference, not observed current causal beneficiaries or a marginal donor quote. Existing projects are baseline; full portfolio unknown."},{"id":"true-zero","label":"true zero","inputs":{"C":2580481,"N":1000,"implementation":0.2,"credit":0.25,"b":0.5,"exercise":0,"safety":0,"clinicalOverlap":0.8,"T":3,"delay":2,"discount":0.03,"resourcePopulation":200,"resourceSuccess":0.25,"gain":0,"cost":0,"baseline":40000,"positiveOverlap":0.5,"payerShare":0,"payerPeople":20,"payerBaseline":60000,"externalCost":0,"harm":0,"clinicalResourceOverlap":1,"g":1},"costUSD":2580481,"changed":25,"exposed":100,"resourceChanged":25,"union":100,"allPopulationQalys":0,"editionQalys":0,"incomePathways":[{"id":"resource-changing","people":25,"annualIncomeBeforeUSD":40000,"annualIncomeGainUSD":0,"years":1,"editionShare":1,"delayYears":2,"discountRate":0.03,"rationale":"One welfareperson per distinct local household. Net commuting/work/access changes and full burdens combine BEFORE log; only positive gains receive health-overlap discount.","counterfactual":"Existing funded transit and street projects, alternative routes and jobs continue. Gain is judged net of taxes, benefits, fares, vehicle costs, displaced income, childcare and replacement time; no gross salary or ordinary survivor earnings.","sourceIds":["ata-current","ata-commute"]},{"id":"other-exposed","people":75,"annualIncomeBeforeUSD":40000,"annualIncomeGainUSD":0,"years":1,"editionShare":1,"delayYears":2,"discountRate":0.03,"rationale":"One welfareperson per distinct local household. Net commuting/work/access changes and full burdens combine BEFORE log; only positive gains receive health-overlap discount.","counterfactual":"Existing funded transit and street projects, alternative routes and jobs continue. Gain is judged net of taxes, benefits, fares, vehicle costs, displaced income, childcare and replacement time; no gross salary or ordinary survivor earnings.","sourceIds":["ata-current","ata-commute"]}],"incomeEquivalent":0,"incomeUnknown":false,"totalEquivalent":0,"price10":null,"costPer10Qalys":null,"incomeEquivalentYears":0,"combinedEquivalentYears":0,"assumptions":"Conditional initial reference, not observed current causal beneficiaries or a marginal donor quote. Existing projects are baseline; full portfolio unknown."},{"id":"adverse","label":"adverse","inputs":{"C":2580481,"N":1000,"implementation":0.2,"credit":0.25,"b":0.5,"exercise":0,"safety":-0.005,"clinicalOverlap":0.8,"T":3,"delay":2,"discount":0.03,"resourcePopulation":200,"resourceSuccess":0.25,"gain":-300,"cost":20,"baseline":40000,"positiveOverlap":0.5,"payerShare":0,"payerPeople":20,"payerBaseline":60000,"externalCost":0,"harm":0,"clinicalResourceOverlap":1,"g":1},"costUSD":2580481,"changed":25,"exposed":100,"resourceChanged":25,"union":100,"allPopulationQalys":-0.3432780770503253,"editionQalys":-0.3432780770503253,"incomePathways":[{"id":"resource-changing","people":25,"annualIncomeBeforeUSD":40000,"annualIncomeGainUSD":-320,"years":1,"editionShare":1,"delayYears":2,"discountRate":0.03,"rationale":"One welfareperson per distinct local household. Net commuting/work/access changes and full burdens combine BEFORE log; only positive gains receive health-overlap discount.","counterfactual":"Existing funded transit and street projects, alternative routes and jobs continue. Gain is judged net of taxes, benefits, fares, vehicle costs, displaced income, childcare and replacement time; no gross salary or ordinary survivor earnings.","sourceIds":["ata-current","ata-commute"]},{"id":"other-exposed","people":75,"annualIncomeBeforeUSD":40000,"annualIncomeGainUSD":-20,"years":1,"editionShare":1,"delayYears":2,"discountRate":0.03,"rationale":"One welfareperson per distinct local household. Net commuting/work/access changes and full burdens combine BEFORE log; only positive gains receive health-overlap discount.","counterfactual":"Existing funded transit and street projects, alternative routes and jobs continue. Gain is judged net of taxes, benefits, fares, vehicle costs, displaced income, childcare and replacement time; no gross salary or ordinary survivor earnings.","sourceIds":["ata-current","ata-commute"]}],"incomeEquivalent":-0.11231674547920577,"incomeUnknown":false,"totalEquivalent":-0.4555948225295311,"price10":null,"costPer10Qalys":null,"incomeEquivalentYears":-0.11231674547920577,"combinedEquivalentYears":-0.4555948225295311,"assumptions":"Conditional initial reference, not observed current causal beneficiaries or a marginal donor quote. Existing projects are baseline; full portfolio unknown."},{"id":"negative-resources","label":"negative resources","inputs":{"C":2580481,"N":1000,"implementation":0.2,"credit":0.25,"b":0.5,"exercise":0.005,"safety":0.002,"clinicalOverlap":0.8,"T":3,"delay":2,"discount":0.03,"resourcePopulation":200,"resourceSuccess":0.25,"gain":-300,"cost":20,"baseline":40000,"positiveOverlap":0.5,"payerShare":0,"payerPeople":20,"payerBaseline":60000,"externalCost":0,"harm":0,"clinicalResourceOverlap":1,"g":1},"costUSD":2580481,"changed":25,"exposed":100,"resourceChanged":25,"union":100,"allPopulationQalys":0.3844714462963643,"editionQalys":0.3844714462963643,"incomePathways":[{"id":"resource-changing","people":25,"annualIncomeBeforeUSD":40000,"annualIncomeGainUSD":-320,"years":1,"editionShare":1,"delayYears":2,"discountRate":0.03,"rationale":"One welfareperson per distinct local household. Net commuting/work/access changes and full burdens combine BEFORE log; only positive gains receive health-overlap discount.","counterfactual":"Existing funded transit and street projects, alternative routes and jobs continue. Gain is judged net of taxes, benefits, fares, vehicle costs, displaced income, childcare and replacement time; no gross salary or ordinary survivor earnings.","sourceIds":["ata-current","ata-commute"]},{"id":"other-exposed","people":75,"annualIncomeBeforeUSD":40000,"annualIncomeGainUSD":-20,"years":1,"editionShare":1,"delayYears":2,"discountRate":0.03,"rationale":"One welfareperson per distinct local household. Net commuting/work/access changes and full burdens combine BEFORE log; only positive gains receive health-overlap discount.","counterfactual":"Existing funded transit and street projects, alternative routes and jobs continue. Gain is judged net of taxes, benefits, fares, vehicle costs, displaced income, childcare and replacement time; no gross salary or ordinary survivor earnings.","sourceIds":["ata-current","ata-commute"]}],"incomeEquivalent":-0.11231674547920577,"incomeUnknown":false,"totalEquivalent":0.27215470081715853,"price10":94816697.71831876,"costPer10Qalys":94816697.71831876,"incomeEquivalentYears":-0.11231674547920577,"combinedEquivalentYears":0.27215470081715853,"assumptions":"Conditional initial reference, not observed current causal beneficiaries or a marginal donor quote. Existing projects are baseline; full portfolio unknown."},{"id":"negative-no-overlap","label":"negative no overlap","inputs":{"C":2580481,"N":1000,"implementation":0.2,"credit":0.25,"b":0.5,"exercise":0.005,"safety":0.002,"clinicalOverlap":0.8,"T":3,"delay":2,"discount":0.03,"resourcePopulation":200,"resourceSuccess":0.25,"gain":-300,"cost":20,"baseline":40000,"positiveOverlap":0,"payerShare":0,"payerPeople":20,"payerBaseline":60000,"externalCost":0,"harm":0,"clinicalResourceOverlap":1,"g":1},"costUSD":2580481,"changed":25,"exposed":100,"resourceChanged":25,"union":100,"allPopulationQalys":0.3844714462963643,"editionQalys":0.3844714462963643,"incomePathways":[{"id":"resource-changing","people":25,"annualIncomeBeforeUSD":40000,"annualIncomeGainUSD":-320,"years":1,"editionShare":1,"delayYears":2,"discountRate":0.03,"rationale":"One welfareperson per distinct local household. Net commuting/work/access changes and full burdens combine BEFORE log; only positive gains receive health-overlap discount.","counterfactual":"Existing funded transit and street projects, alternative routes and jobs continue. Gain is judged net of taxes, benefits, fares, vehicle costs, displaced income, childcare and replacement time; no gross salary or ordinary survivor earnings.","sourceIds":["ata-current","ata-commute"]},{"id":"other-exposed","people":75,"annualIncomeBeforeUSD":40000,"annualIncomeGainUSD":-20,"years":1,"editionShare":1,"delayYears":2,"discountRate":0.03,"rationale":"One welfareperson per distinct local household. Net commuting/work/access changes and full burdens combine BEFORE log; only positive gains receive health-overlap discount.","counterfactual":"Existing funded transit and street projects, alternative routes and jobs continue. Gain is judged net of taxes, benefits, fares, vehicle costs, displaced income, childcare and replacement time; no gross salary or ordinary survivor earnings.","sourceIds":["ata-current","ata-commute"]}],"incomeEquivalent":-0.11231674547920577,"incomeUnknown":false,"totalEquivalent":0.27215470081715853,"price10":94816697.71831876,"costPer10Qalys":94816697.71831876,"incomeEquivalentYears":-0.11231674547920577,"combinedEquivalentYears":0.27215470081715853,"assumptions":"Conditional initial reference, not observed current causal beneficiaries or a marginal donor quote. Existing projects are baseline; full portfolio unknown."},{"id":"matched-transfer","label":"matched transfer","inputs":{"C":2580481,"N":1000,"implementation":0.2,"credit":0.25,"b":0.5,"exercise":0.005,"safety":0.002,"clinicalOverlap":0.8,"T":3,"delay":2,"discount":0.03,"resourcePopulation":200,"resourceSuccess":0.25,"gain":300,"cost":20,"baseline":40000,"positiveOverlap":0.5,"payerShare":1,"payerPeople":20,"payerBaseline":60000,"externalCost":0,"harm":0,"clinicalResourceOverlap":1,"g":1},"costUSD":2580481,"changed":25,"exposed":100,"resourceChanged":25,"union":100,"allPopulationQalys":0.3844714462963643,"editionQalys":0.3844714462963643,"incomePathways":[{"id":"resource-changing","people":25,"annualIncomeBeforeUSD":40000,"annualIncomeGainUSD":130,"years":1,"editionShare":1,"delayYears":2,"discountRate":0.03,"rationale":"One welfareperson per distinct local household. Net commuting/work/access changes and full burdens combine BEFORE log; only positive gains receive health-overlap discount.","counterfactual":"Existing funded transit and street projects, alternative routes and jobs continue. Gain is judged net of taxes, benefits, fares, vehicle costs, displaced income, childcare and replacement time; no gross salary or ordinary survivor earnings.","sourceIds":["ata-current","ata-commute"]},{"id":"other-exposed","people":75,"annualIncomeBeforeUSD":40000,"annualIncomeGainUSD":-20,"years":1,"editionShare":1,"delayYears":2,"discountRate":0.03,"rationale":"One welfareperson per distinct local household. Net commuting/work/access changes and full burdens combine BEFORE log; only positive gains receive health-overlap discount.","counterfactual":"Existing funded transit and street projects, alternative routes and jobs continue. Gain is judged net of taxes, benefits, fares, vehicle costs, displaced income, childcare and replacement time; no gross salary or ordinary survivor earnings.","sourceIds":["ata-current","ata-commute"]},{"id":"matched-counterparty-and-provider","people":20,"annualIncomeBeforeUSD":60000,"annualIncomeGainUSD":-375,"years":1,"editionShare":1,"delayYears":2,"discountRate":0.03,"rationale":"Disjoint local payer/provider household-equivalent stress. Full signed transfer and external implementation costs net jointly; not all avoided retail transport spending is a profit loss.","counterfactual":"Existing funded transit and street projects, alternative routes and jobs continue. Gain is judged net of taxes, benefits, fares, vehicle costs, displaced income, childcare and replacement time; no gross salary or ordinary survivor earnings.","sourceIds":["ata-current","ata-commute"]}],"incomeEquivalent":-0.038544341726766865,"incomeUnknown":false,"totalEquivalent":0.34592710456959747,"price10":74596091.65956032,"costPer10Qalys":74596091.65956032,"incomeEquivalentYears":-0.038544341726766865,"combinedEquivalentYears":0.34592710456959747,"assumptions":"Conditional initial reference, not observed current causal beneficiaries or a marginal donor quote. Existing projects are baseline; full portfolio unknown."},{"id":"external-resource-cost","label":"external resource cost","inputs":{"C":2580481,"N":1000,"implementation":0.2,"credit":0.25,"b":0.5,"exercise":0.005,"safety":0.002,"clinicalOverlap":0.8,"T":3,"delay":2,"discount":0.03,"resourcePopulation":200,"resourceSuccess":0.25,"gain":300,"cost":20,"baseline":40000,"positiveOverlap":0.5,"payerShare":0,"payerPeople":20,"payerBaseline":60000,"externalCost":100,"harm":0,"clinicalResourceOverlap":1,"g":1},"costUSD":2580481,"changed":25,"exposed":100,"resourceChanged":25,"union":100,"allPopulationQalys":0.3844714462963643,"editionQalys":0.3844714462963643,"incomePathways":[{"id":"resource-changing","people":25,"annualIncomeBeforeUSD":40000,"annualIncomeGainUSD":130,"years":1,"editionShare":1,"delayYears":2,"discountRate":0.03,"rationale":"One welfareperson per distinct local household. Net commuting/work/access changes and full burdens combine BEFORE log; only positive gains receive health-overlap discount.","counterfactual":"Existing funded transit and street projects, alternative routes and jobs continue. Gain is judged net of taxes, benefits, fares, vehicle costs, displaced income, childcare and replacement time; no gross salary or ordinary survivor earnings.","sourceIds":["ata-current","ata-commute"]},{"id":"other-exposed","people":75,"annualIncomeBeforeUSD":40000,"annualIncomeGainUSD":-20,"years":1,"editionShare":1,"delayYears":2,"discountRate":0.03,"rationale":"One welfareperson per distinct local household. Net commuting/work/access changes and full burdens combine BEFORE log; only positive gains receive health-overlap discount.","counterfactual":"Existing funded transit and street projects, alternative routes and jobs continue. Gain is judged net of taxes, benefits, fares, vehicle costs, displaced income, childcare and replacement time; no gross salary or ordinary survivor earnings.","sourceIds":["ata-current","ata-commute"]},{"id":"matched-counterparty-and-provider","people":20,"annualIncomeBeforeUSD":60000,"annualIncomeGainUSD":-500,"years":1,"editionShare":1,"delayYears":2,"discountRate":0.03,"rationale":"Disjoint local payer/provider household-equivalent stress. Full signed transfer and external implementation costs net jointly; not all avoided retail transport spending is a profit loss.","counterfactual":"Existing funded transit and street projects, alternative routes and jobs continue. Gain is judged net of taxes, benefits, fares, vehicle costs, displaced income, childcare and replacement time; no gross salary or ordinary survivor earnings.","sourceIds":["ata-current","ata-commute"]}],"incomeEquivalent":-0.058326005002487594,"incomeUnknown":false,"totalEquivalent":0.32614544129387674,"price10":79120560.13301228,"costPer10Qalys":79120560.13301228,"incomeEquivalentYears":-0.058326005002487594,"combinedEquivalentYears":0.32614544129387674,"assumptions":"Conditional initial reference, not observed current causal beneficiaries or a marginal donor quote. Existing projects are baseline; full portfolio unknown."},{"id":"positive-access","label":"positive access","inputs":{"C":2580481,"N":1000,"implementation":0.2,"credit":0.25,"b":0.5,"exercise":0.005,"safety":0.002,"clinicalOverlap":0.8,"T":3,"delay":2,"discount":0.03,"resourcePopulation":200,"resourceSuccess":0.25,"gain":1000,"cost":20,"baseline":40000,"positiveOverlap":0.5,"payerShare":0,"payerPeople":20,"payerBaseline":60000,"externalCost":0,"harm":0,"clinicalResourceOverlap":1,"g":1},"costUSD":2580481,"changed":25,"exposed":100,"resourceChanged":25,"union":100,"allPopulationQalys":0.3844714462963643,"editionQalys":0.3844714462963643,"incomePathways":[{"id":"resource-changing","people":25,"annualIncomeBeforeUSD":40000,"annualIncomeGainUSD":480,"years":1,"editionShare":1,"delayYears":2,"discountRate":0.03,"rationale":"One welfareperson per distinct local household. Net commuting/work/access changes and full burdens combine BEFORE log; only positive gains receive health-overlap discount.","counterfactual":"Existing funded transit and street projects, alternative routes and jobs continue. Gain is judged net of taxes, benefits, fares, vehicle costs, displaced income, childcare and replacement time; no gross salary or ordinary survivor earnings.","sourceIds":["ata-current","ata-commute"]},{"id":"other-exposed","people":75,"annualIncomeBeforeUSD":40000,"annualIncomeGainUSD":-20,"years":1,"editionShare":1,"delayYears":2,"discountRate":0.03,"rationale":"One welfareperson per distinct local household. Net commuting/work/access changes and full burdens combine BEFORE log; only positive gains receive health-overlap discount.","counterfactual":"Existing funded transit and street projects, alternative routes and jobs continue. Gain is judged net of taxes, benefits, fares, vehicle costs, displaced income, childcare and replacement time; no gross salary or ordinary survivor earnings.","sourceIds":["ata-current","ata-commute"]}],"incomeEquivalent":0.12286968305479909,"incomeUnknown":false,"totalEquivalent":0.5073411293511634,"price10":50862838.64468405,"costPer10Qalys":50862838.64468405,"incomeEquivalentYears":0.12286968305479909,"combinedEquivalentYears":0.5073411293511634,"assumptions":"Conditional initial reference, not observed current causal beneficiaries or a marginal donor quote. Existing projects are baseline; full portfolio unknown."},{"id":"positive-matched","label":"positive matched","inputs":{"C":2580481,"N":1000,"implementation":0.2,"credit":0.25,"b":0.5,"exercise":0.005,"safety":0.002,"clinicalOverlap":0.8,"T":3,"delay":2,"discount":0.03,"resourcePopulation":200,"resourceSuccess":0.25,"gain":1000,"cost":20,"baseline":40000,"positiveOverlap":0.5,"payerShare":1,"payerPeople":20,"payerBaseline":60000,"externalCost":0,"harm":0,"clinicalResourceOverlap":1,"g":1},"costUSD":2580481,"changed":25,"exposed":100,"resourceChanged":25,"union":100,"allPopulationQalys":0.3844714462963643,"editionQalys":0.3844714462963643,"incomePathways":[{"id":"resource-changing","people":25,"annualIncomeBeforeUSD":40000,"annualIncomeGainUSD":480,"years":1,"editionShare":1,"delayYears":2,"discountRate":0.03,"rationale":"One welfareperson per distinct local household. Net commuting/work/access changes and full burdens combine BEFORE log; only positive gains receive health-overlap discount.","counterfactual":"Existing funded transit and street projects, alternative routes and jobs continue. Gain is judged net of taxes, benefits, fares, vehicle costs, displaced income, childcare and replacement time; no gross salary or ordinary survivor earnings.","sourceIds":["ata-current","ata-commute"]},{"id":"other-exposed","people":75,"annualIncomeBeforeUSD":40000,"annualIncomeGainUSD":-20,"years":1,"editionShare":1,"delayYears":2,"discountRate":0.03,"rationale":"One welfareperson per distinct local household. Net commuting/work/access changes and full burdens combine BEFORE log; only positive gains receive health-overlap discount.","counterfactual":"Existing funded transit and street projects, alternative routes and jobs continue. Gain is judged net of taxes, benefits, fares, vehicle costs, displaced income, childcare and replacement time; no gross salary or ordinary survivor earnings.","sourceIds":["ata-current","ata-commute"]},{"id":"matched-counterparty-and-provider","people":20,"annualIncomeBeforeUSD":60000,"annualIncomeGainUSD":-1250,"years":1,"editionShare":1,"delayYears":2,"discountRate":0.03,"rationale":"Disjoint local payer/provider household-equivalent stress. Full signed transfer and external implementation costs net jointly; not all avoided retail transport spending is a profit loss.","counterfactual":"Existing funded transit and street projects, alternative routes and jobs continue. Gain is judged net of taxes, benefits, fares, vehicle costs, displaced income, childcare and replacement time; no gross salary or ordinary survivor earnings.","sourceIds":["ata-current","ata-commute"]}],"incomeEquivalent":-0.0755788907771581,"incomeUnknown":false,"totalEquivalent":0.30889255551920625,"price10":83539760.14936855,"costPer10Qalys":83539760.14936855,"incomeEquivalentYears":-0.0755788907771581,"combinedEquivalentYears":0.30889255551920625,"assumptions":"Conditional initial reference, not observed current causal beneficiaries or a marginal donor quote. Existing projects are baseline; full portfolio unknown."},{"id":"no-policy-success","label":"no policy success","inputs":{"C":2580481,"N":1000,"implementation":0,"credit":0.25,"b":0.5,"exercise":0.005,"safety":0.002,"clinicalOverlap":0.8,"T":3,"delay":2,"discount":0.03,"resourcePopulation":200,"resourceSuccess":0.25,"gain":300,"cost":20,"baseline":40000,"positiveOverlap":0.5,"payerShare":0,"payerPeople":20,"payerBaseline":60000,"externalCost":0,"harm":0,"clinicalResourceOverlap":1,"g":1},"costUSD":2580481,"changed":0,"exposed":100,"resourceChanged":25,"union":100,"allPopulationQalys":0,"editionQalys":0,"incomePathways":[{"id":"resource-changing","people":25,"annualIncomeBeforeUSD":40000,"annualIncomeGainUSD":130,"years":1,"editionShare":1,"delayYears":2,"discountRate":0.03,"rationale":"One welfareperson per distinct local household. Net commuting/work/access changes and full burdens combine BEFORE log; only positive gains receive health-overlap discount.","counterfactual":"Existing funded transit and street projects, alternative routes and jobs continue. Gain is judged net of taxes, benefits, fares, vehicle costs, displaced income, childcare and replacement time; no gross salary or ordinary survivor earnings.","sourceIds":["ata-current","ata-commute"]},{"id":"other-exposed","people":75,"annualIncomeBeforeUSD":40000,"annualIncomeGainUSD":-20,"years":1,"editionShare":1,"delayYears":2,"discountRate":0.03,"rationale":"One welfareperson per distinct local household. Net commuting/work/access changes and full burdens combine BEFORE log; only positive gains receive health-overlap discount.","counterfactual":"Existing funded transit and street projects, alternative routes and jobs continue. Gain is judged net of taxes, benefits, fares, vehicle costs, displaced income, childcare and replacement time; no gross salary or ordinary survivor earnings.","sourceIds":["ata-current","ata-commute"]}],"incomeEquivalent":0.020552774057900836,"incomeUnknown":false,"totalEquivalent":0.020552774057900836,"price10":1255539029.7827067,"costPer10Qalys":1255539029.7827067,"incomeEquivalentYears":0.020552774057900836,"combinedEquivalentYears":0.020552774057900836,"assumptions":"Conditional initial reference, not observed current causal beneficiaries or a marginal donor quote. Existing projects are baseline; full portfolio unknown."},{"id":"annual-full-response","label":"annual full response","inputs":{"C":2580481,"N":1000,"implementation":0.2,"credit":0.25,"b":1,"exercise":0.005,"safety":0.002,"clinicalOverlap":0.8,"T":3,"delay":2,"discount":0.03,"resourcePopulation":200,"resourceSuccess":0.25,"gain":300,"cost":20,"baseline":40000,"positiveOverlap":0.5,"payerShare":0,"payerPeople":20,"payerBaseline":60000,"externalCost":0,"harm":0,"clinicalResourceOverlap":1,"g":1},"costUSD":2580481,"changed":50,"exposed":200,"resourceChanged":50,"union":200,"allPopulationQalys":0.7689428925927286,"editionQalys":0.7689428925927286,"incomePathways":[{"id":"resource-changing","people":50,"annualIncomeBeforeUSD":40000,"annualIncomeGainUSD":130,"years":1,"editionShare":1,"delayYears":2,"discountRate":0.03,"rationale":"One welfareperson per distinct local household. Net commuting/work/access changes and full burdens combine BEFORE log; only positive gains receive health-overlap discount.","counterfactual":"Existing funded transit and street projects, alternative routes and jobs continue. Gain is judged net of taxes, benefits, fares, vehicle costs, displaced income, childcare and replacement time; no gross salary or ordinary survivor earnings.","sourceIds":["ata-current","ata-commute"]},{"id":"other-exposed","people":150,"annualIncomeBeforeUSD":40000,"annualIncomeGainUSD":-20,"years":1,"editionShare":1,"delayYears":2,"discountRate":0.03,"rationale":"One welfareperson per distinct local household. Net commuting/work/access changes and full burdens combine BEFORE log; only positive gains receive health-overlap discount.","counterfactual":"Existing funded transit and street projects, alternative routes and jobs continue. Gain is judged net of taxes, benefits, fares, vehicle costs, displaced income, childcare and replacement time; no gross salary or ordinary survivor earnings.","sourceIds":["ata-current","ata-commute"]}],"incomeEquivalent":0.04110554811580167,"incomeUnknown":false,"totalEquivalent":0.8100484407085303,"price10":31855885.03500993,"costPer10Qalys":31855885.03500993,"incomeEquivalentYears":0.04110554811580167,"combinedEquivalentYears":0.8100484407085303,"assumptions":"Conditional initial reference, not observed current causal beneficiaries or a marginal donor quote. Existing projects are baseline; full portfolio unknown."},{"id":"weak","label":"weak","inputs":{"C":2580481,"N":1000,"implementation":0.05,"credit":0.1,"b":0.5,"exercise":0.001,"safety":0,"clinicalOverlap":0.8,"T":1,"delay":2,"discount":0.03,"resourcePopulation":200,"resourceSuccess":0.25,"gain":300,"cost":20,"baseline":40000,"positiveOverlap":0.5,"payerShare":0,"payerPeople":20,"payerBaseline":60000,"externalCost":0,"harm":0,"clinicalResourceOverlap":1,"g":1},"costUSD":2580481,"changed":2.5,"exposed":100,"resourceChanged":25,"union":100,"allPopulationQalys":0.001885191818267509,"editionQalys":0.001885191818267509,"incomePathways":[{"id":"resource-changing","people":25,"annualIncomeBeforeUSD":40000,"annualIncomeGainUSD":130,"years":1,"editionShare":1,"delayYears":2,"discountRate":0.03,"rationale":"One welfareperson per distinct local household. Net commuting/work/access changes and full burdens combine BEFORE log; only positive gains receive health-overlap discount.","counterfactual":"Existing funded transit and street projects, alternative routes and jobs continue. Gain is judged net of taxes, benefits, fares, vehicle costs, displaced income, childcare and replacement time; no gross salary or ordinary survivor earnings.","sourceIds":["ata-current","ata-commute"]},{"id":"other-exposed","people":75,"annualIncomeBeforeUSD":40000,"annualIncomeGainUSD":-20,"years":1,"editionShare":1,"delayYears":2,"discountRate":0.03,"rationale":"One welfareperson per distinct local household. Net commuting/work/access changes and full burdens combine BEFORE log; only positive gains receive health-overlap discount.","counterfactual":"Existing funded transit and street projects, alternative routes and jobs continue. Gain is judged net of taxes, benefits, fares, vehicle costs, displaced income, childcare and replacement time; no gross salary or ordinary survivor earnings.","sourceIds":["ata-current","ata-commute"]}],"incomeEquivalent":0.020552774057900836,"incomeUnknown":false,"totalEquivalent":0.022437965876168343,"price10":1150051218.6538098,"costPer10Qalys":1150051218.6538098,"incomeEquivalentYears":0.020552774057900836,"combinedEquivalentYears":0.022437965876168343,"assumptions":"Conditional initial reference, not observed current causal beneficiaries or a marginal donor quote. Existing projects are baseline; full portfolio unknown."},{"id":"strong","label":"strong","inputs":{"C":2580481,"N":1000,"implementation":0.5,"credit":0.5,"b":0.5,"exercise":0.01,"safety":0.004,"clinicalOverlap":0.8,"T":5,"delay":2,"discount":0.03,"resourcePopulation":200,"resourceSuccess":0.25,"gain":300,"cost":20,"baseline":40000,"positiveOverlap":0.5,"payerShare":0,"payerPeople":20,"payerBaseline":60000,"externalCost":0,"harm":0,"clinicalResourceOverlap":1,"g":1},"costUSD":2580481,"changed":125,"exposed":100,"resourceChanged":25,"union":125,"allPopulationQalys":6.22484472045859,"editionQalys":6.22484472045859,"incomePathways":[{"id":"resource-changing","people":25,"annualIncomeBeforeUSD":40000,"annualIncomeGainUSD":130,"years":1,"editionShare":1,"delayYears":2,"discountRate":0.03,"rationale":"One welfareperson per distinct local household. Net commuting/work/access changes and full burdens combine BEFORE log; only positive gains receive health-overlap discount.","counterfactual":"Existing funded transit and street projects, alternative routes and jobs continue. Gain is judged net of taxes, benefits, fares, vehicle costs, displaced income, childcare and replacement time; no gross salary or ordinary survivor earnings.","sourceIds":["ata-current","ata-commute"]},{"id":"other-exposed","people":75,"annualIncomeBeforeUSD":40000,"annualIncomeGainUSD":-20,"years":1,"editionShare":1,"delayYears":2,"discountRate":0.03,"rationale":"One welfareperson per distinct local household. Net commuting/work/access changes and full burdens combine BEFORE log; only positive gains receive health-overlap discount.","counterfactual":"Existing funded transit and street projects, alternative routes and jobs continue. Gain is judged net of taxes, benefits, fares, vehicle costs, displaced income, childcare and replacement time; no gross salary or ordinary survivor earnings.","sourceIds":["ata-current","ata-commute"]}],"incomeEquivalent":0.020552774057900836,"incomeUnknown":false,"totalEquivalent":6.2453974945164905,"price10":4131812.2701808545,"costPer10Qalys":4131812.2701808545,"incomeEquivalentYears":0.020552774057900836,"combinedEquivalentYears":6.2453974945164905,"assumptions":"Conditional initial reference, not observed current causal beneficiaries or a marginal donor quote. Existing projects are baseline; full portfolio unknown."},{"id":"high-time-burden","label":"high time burden","inputs":{"C":2580481,"N":1000,"implementation":0.2,"credit":0.25,"b":0.5,"exercise":0.005,"safety":0.002,"clinicalOverlap":0.8,"T":3,"delay":2,"discount":0.03,"resourcePopulation":200,"resourceSuccess":0.25,"gain":300,"cost":100,"baseline":40000,"positiveOverlap":0.5,"payerShare":0,"payerPeople":20,"payerBaseline":60000,"externalCost":0,"harm":0,"clinicalResourceOverlap":1,"g":1},"costUSD":2580481,"changed":25,"exposed":100,"resourceChanged":25,"union":100,"allPopulationQalys":0.3844714462963643,"editionQalys":0.3844714462963643,"incomePathways":[{"id":"resource-changing","people":25,"annualIncomeBeforeUSD":40000,"annualIncomeGainUSD":50,"years":1,"editionShare":1,"delayYears":2,"discountRate":0.03,"rationale":"One welfareperson per distinct local household. Net commuting/work/access changes and full burdens combine BEFORE log; only positive gains receive health-overlap discount.","counterfactual":"Existing funded transit and street projects, alternative routes and jobs continue. Gain is judged net of taxes, benefits, fares, vehicle costs, displaced income, childcare and replacement time; no gross salary or ordinary survivor earnings.","sourceIds":["ata-current","ata-commute"]},{"id":"other-exposed","people":75,"annualIncomeBeforeUSD":40000,"annualIncomeGainUSD":-100,"years":1,"editionShare":1,"delayYears":2,"discountRate":0.03,"rationale":"One welfareperson per distinct local household. Net commuting/work/access changes and full burdens combine BEFORE log; only positive gains receive health-overlap discount.","counterfactual":"Existing funded transit and street projects, alternative routes and jobs continue. Gain is judged net of taxes, benefits, fares, vehicle costs, displaced income, childcare and replacement time; no gross salary or ordinary survivor earnings.","sourceIds":["ata-current","ata-commute"]}],"incomeEquivalent":-0.07376014768031465,"incomeUnknown":false,"totalEquivalent":0.3107112986160497,"price10":83050761.63930352,"costPer10Qalys":83050761.63930352,"incomeEquivalentYears":-0.07376014768031465,"combinedEquivalentYears":0.3107112986160497,"assumptions":"Conditional initial reference, not observed current causal beneficiaries or a marginal donor quote. Existing projects are baseline; full portfolio unknown."},{"id":"half-population","label":"half population","inputs":{"C":2580481,"N":500,"implementation":0.2,"credit":0.25,"b":0.5,"exercise":0.005,"safety":0.002,"clinicalOverlap":0.8,"T":3,"delay":2,"discount":0.03,"resourcePopulation":200,"resourceSuccess":0.25,"gain":300,"cost":20,"baseline":40000,"positiveOverlap":0.5,"payerShare":0,"payerPeople":20,"payerBaseline":60000,"externalCost":0,"harm":0,"clinicalResourceOverlap":1,"g":1},"costUSD":2580481,"changed":12.5,"exposed":100,"resourceChanged":25,"union":100,"allPopulationQalys":0.19223572314818216,"editionQalys":0.19223572314818216,"incomePathways":[{"id":"resource-changing","people":25,"annualIncomeBeforeUSD":40000,"annualIncomeGainUSD":130,"years":1,"editionShare":1,"delayYears":2,"discountRate":0.03,"rationale":"One welfareperson per distinct local household. Net commuting/work/access changes and full burdens combine BEFORE log; only positive gains receive health-overlap discount.","counterfactual":"Existing funded transit and street projects, alternative routes and jobs continue. Gain is judged net of taxes, benefits, fares, vehicle costs, displaced income, childcare and replacement time; no gross salary or ordinary survivor earnings.","sourceIds":["ata-current","ata-commute"]},{"id":"other-exposed","people":75,"annualIncomeBeforeUSD":40000,"annualIncomeGainUSD":-20,"years":1,"editionShare":1,"delayYears":2,"discountRate":0.03,"rationale":"One welfareperson per distinct local household. Net commuting/work/access changes and full burdens combine BEFORE log; only positive gains receive health-overlap discount.","counterfactual":"Existing funded transit and street projects, alternative routes and jobs continue. Gain is judged net of taxes, benefits, fares, vehicle costs, displaced income, childcare and replacement time; no gross salary or ordinary survivor earnings.","sourceIds":["ata-current","ata-commute"]}],"incomeEquivalent":0.020552774057900836,"incomeUnknown":false,"totalEquivalent":0.212788497206083,"price10":121269760.06136443,"costPer10Qalys":121269760.06136443,"incomeEquivalentYears":0.020552774057900836,"combinedEquivalentYears":0.212788497206083,"assumptions":"Conditional initial reference, not observed current causal beneficiaries or a marginal donor quote. Existing projects are baseline; full portfolio unknown."},{"id":"exercise-only","label":"exercise only","inputs":{"C":2580481,"N":1000,"implementation":0.2,"credit":0.25,"b":0.5,"exercise":0.005,"safety":0,"clinicalOverlap":0.8,"T":3,"delay":2,"discount":0.03,"resourcePopulation":200,"resourceSuccess":0.25,"gain":300,"cost":20,"baseline":40000,"positiveOverlap":0.5,"payerShare":0,"payerPeople":20,"payerBaseline":60000,"externalCost":0,"harm":0,"clinicalResourceOverlap":1,"g":1},"costUSD":2580481,"changed":25,"exposed":100,"resourceChanged":25,"union":100,"allPopulationQalys":0.2746224616402603,"editionQalys":0.2746224616402603,"incomePathways":[{"id":"resource-changing","people":25,"annualIncomeBeforeUSD":40000,"annualIncomeGainUSD":130,"years":1,"editionShare":1,"delayYears":2,"discountRate":0.03,"rationale":"One welfareperson per distinct local household. Net commuting/work/access changes and full burdens combine BEFORE log; only positive gains receive health-overlap discount.","counterfactual":"Existing funded transit and street projects, alternative routes and jobs continue. Gain is judged net of taxes, benefits, fares, vehicle costs, displaced income, childcare and replacement time; no gross salary or ordinary survivor earnings.","sourceIds":["ata-current","ata-commute"]},{"id":"other-exposed","people":75,"annualIncomeBeforeUSD":40000,"annualIncomeGainUSD":-20,"years":1,"editionShare":1,"delayYears":2,"discountRate":0.03,"rationale":"One welfareperson per distinct local household. Net commuting/work/access changes and full burdens combine BEFORE log; only positive gains receive health-overlap discount.","counterfactual":"Existing funded transit and street projects, alternative routes and jobs continue. Gain is judged net of taxes, benefits, fares, vehicle costs, displaced income, childcare and replacement time; no gross salary or ordinary survivor earnings.","sourceIds":["ata-current","ata-commute"]}],"incomeEquivalent":0.020552774057900836,"incomeUnknown":false,"totalEquivalent":0.2951752356981611,"price10":87422001.84566757,"costPer10Qalys":87422001.84566757,"incomeEquivalentYears":0.020552774057900836,"combinedEquivalentYears":0.2951752356981611,"assumptions":"Conditional initial reference, not observed current causal beneficiaries or a marginal donor quote. Existing projects are baseline; full portfolio unknown."},{"id":"safety-only","label":"safety only","inputs":{"C":2580481,"N":1000,"implementation":0.2,"credit":0.25,"b":0.5,"exercise":0,"safety":0.002,"clinicalOverlap":0.8,"T":3,"delay":2,"discount":0.03,"resourcePopulation":200,"resourceSuccess":0.25,"gain":300,"cost":20,"baseline":40000,"positiveOverlap":0.5,"payerShare":0,"payerPeople":20,"payerBaseline":60000,"externalCost":0,"harm":0,"clinicalResourceOverlap":1,"g":1},"costUSD":2580481,"changed":25,"exposed":100,"resourceChanged":25,"union":100,"allPopulationQalys":0.10984898465610411,"editionQalys":0.10984898465610411,"incomePathways":[{"id":"resource-changing","people":25,"annualIncomeBeforeUSD":40000,"annualIncomeGainUSD":130,"years":1,"editionShare":1,"delayYears":2,"discountRate":0.03,"rationale":"One welfareperson per distinct local household. Net commuting/work/access changes and full burdens combine BEFORE log; only positive gains receive health-overlap discount.","counterfactual":"Existing funded transit and street projects, alternative routes and jobs continue. Gain is judged net of taxes, benefits, fares, vehicle costs, displaced income, childcare and replacement time; no gross salary or ordinary survivor earnings.","sourceIds":["ata-current","ata-commute"]},{"id":"other-exposed","people":75,"annualIncomeBeforeUSD":40000,"annualIncomeGainUSD":-20,"years":1,"editionShare":1,"delayYears":2,"discountRate":0.03,"rationale":"One welfareperson per distinct local household. Net commuting/work/access changes and full burdens combine BEFORE log; only positive gains receive health-overlap discount.","counterfactual":"Existing funded transit and street projects, alternative routes and jobs continue. Gain is judged net of taxes, benefits, fares, vehicle costs, displaced income, childcare and replacement time; no gross salary or ordinary survivor earnings.","sourceIds":["ata-current","ata-commute"]}],"incomeEquivalent":0.020552774057900836,"incomeUnknown":false,"totalEquivalent":0.13040175871400495,"price10":197886978.3236183,"costPer10Qalys":197886978.3236183,"incomeEquivalentYears":0.020552774057900836,"combinedEquivalentYears":0.13040175871400495,"assumptions":"Conditional initial reference, not observed current causal beneficiaries or a marginal donor quote. Existing projects are baseline; full portfolio unknown."},{"id":"negative-safety-no-positive-overlap","label":"negative safety no positive overlap","inputs":{"C":2580481,"N":1000,"implementation":0.2,"credit":0.25,"b":0.5,"exercise":0.005,"safety":-0.005,"clinicalOverlap":0,"T":3,"delay":2,"discount":0.03,"resourcePopulation":200,"resourceSuccess":0.25,"gain":300,"cost":20,"baseline":40000,"positiveOverlap":0.5,"payerShare":0,"payerPeople":20,"payerBaseline":60000,"externalCost":0,"harm":0,"clinicalResourceOverlap":1,"g":1},"costUSD":2580481,"changed":25,"exposed":100,"resourceChanged":25,"union":100,"allPopulationQalys":-0.3432780770503253,"editionQalys":-0.3432780770503253,"incomePathways":[{"id":"resource-changing","people":25,"annualIncomeBeforeUSD":40000,"annualIncomeGainUSD":130,"years":1,"editionShare":1,"delayYears":2,"discountRate":0.03,"rationale":"One welfareperson per distinct local household. Net commuting/work/access changes and full burdens combine BEFORE log; only positive gains receive health-overlap discount.","counterfactual":"Existing funded transit and street projects, alternative routes and jobs continue. Gain is judged net of taxes, benefits, fares, vehicle costs, displaced income, childcare and replacement time; no gross salary or ordinary survivor earnings.","sourceIds":["ata-current","ata-commute"]},{"id":"other-exposed","people":75,"annualIncomeBeforeUSD":40000,"annualIncomeGainUSD":-20,"years":1,"editionShare":1,"delayYears":2,"discountRate":0.03,"rationale":"One welfareperson per distinct local household. Net commuting/work/access changes and full burdens combine BEFORE log; only positive gains receive health-overlap discount.","counterfactual":"Existing funded transit and street projects, alternative routes and jobs continue. Gain is judged net of taxes, benefits, fares, vehicle costs, displaced income, childcare and replacement time; no gross salary or ordinary survivor earnings.","sourceIds":["ata-current","ata-commute"]}],"incomeEquivalent":0.020552774057900836,"incomeUnknown":false,"totalEquivalent":-0.32272530299242447,"price10":null,"costPer10Qalys":null,"incomeEquivalentYears":0.020552774057900836,"combinedEquivalentYears":-0.32272530299242447,"assumptions":"Conditional initial reference, not observed current causal beneficiaries or a marginal donor quote. Existing projects are baseline; full portfolio unknown."},{"id":"three-year-mean","label":"three year mean","inputs":{"C":2764354.3333333335,"N":1000,"implementation":0.2,"credit":0.25,"b":0.5,"exercise":0.005,"safety":0.002,"clinicalOverlap":0.8,"T":3,"delay":2,"discount":0.03,"resourcePopulation":200,"resourceSuccess":0.25,"gain":300,"cost":20,"baseline":40000,"positiveOverlap":0.5,"payerShare":0,"payerPeople":20,"payerBaseline":60000,"externalCost":0,"harm":0,"clinicalResourceOverlap":1,"g":1},"costUSD":2764354.3333333335,"changed":25,"exposed":100,"resourceChanged":25,"union":100,"allPopulationQalys":0.3844714462963643,"editionQalys":0.3844714462963643,"incomePathways":[{"id":"resource-changing","people":25,"annualIncomeBeforeUSD":40000,"annualIncomeGainUSD":130,"years":1,"editionShare":1,"delayYears":2,"discountRate":0.03,"rationale":"One welfareperson per distinct local household. Net commuting/work/access changes and full burdens combine BEFORE log; only positive gains receive health-overlap discount.","counterfactual":"Existing funded transit and street projects, alternative routes and jobs continue. Gain is judged net of taxes, benefits, fares, vehicle costs, displaced income, childcare and replacement time; no gross salary or ordinary survivor earnings.","sourceIds":["ata-current","ata-commute"]},{"id":"other-exposed","people":75,"annualIncomeBeforeUSD":40000,"annualIncomeGainUSD":-20,"years":1,"editionShare":1,"delayYears":2,"discountRate":0.03,"rationale":"One welfareperson per distinct local household. Net commuting/work/access changes and full burdens combine BEFORE log; only positive gains receive health-overlap discount.","counterfactual":"Existing funded transit and street projects, alternative routes and jobs continue. Gain is judged net of taxes, benefits, fares, vehicle costs, displaced income, childcare and replacement time; no gross salary or ordinary survivor earnings.","sourceIds":["ata-current","ata-commute"]}],"incomeEquivalent":0.020552774057900836,"incomeUnknown":false,"totalEquivalent":0.40502422035426516,"price10":68251580.87867975,"costPer10Qalys":68251580.87867975,"incomeEquivalentYears":0.020552774057900836,"combinedEquivalentYears":0.40502422035426516,"assumptions":"Conditional initial reference, not observed current causal beneficiaries or a marginal donor quote. Existing projects are baseline; full portfolio unknown."}],"sensitivity":["Clinical-null preserves resources and all costs; zero response, true zero, adverse and complete unknown are distinct.","Negative exercise, safety and household changes remain full; positive components alone receive overlap reduction.","Population, coalition, implementation, duration, counterparty costs and annual response materially affect comparisons."],"missingInputs":["Completed current local improvements, distinct users and causal injury/activity outcomes.","Net work/access/commuting gains and full household burdens.","Outside public capital, operator and worker incidence, displacement and unrecognized resources.","Priced marginal donor tranche and replacement funding."]},"sources":[{"id":"ata-99024","title":"Original calendar 2024 Form 990","url":"https://projects.propublica.org/nonprofits/full_text/202533189349305038/IRS990","publisher":"IRS","published":null,"retrieved":"2026-10-05"},{"id":"ata-99023","title":"Original September 2023 annual Form 990","url":"https://projects.propublica.org/nonprofits/full_text/202422289349302297/IRS990","publisher":"IRS","published":null,"retrieved":"2026-10-05"},{"id":"ata-99022","title":"Original September 2022 annual Form 990","url":"https://projects.propublica.org/nonprofits/full_text/202302279349301300/IRS990","publisher":"IRS","published":null,"retrieved":"2026-10-05"},{"id":"ata-transition23","title":"Original three-month transition return","url":"https://projects.propublica.org/nonprofits/full_text/202403179349304520/IRS990","publisher":"IRS","published":null,"retrieved":"2026-10-05"},{"id":"ata-current","title":"Current Chicago-area work and implementation posts","url":"https://activetransportation.org/","publisher":"Active Transportation Alliance","published":null,"retrieved":"2026-10-05"},{"id":"ata-give","title":"Official recipient and giving scope","url":"https://activetransportation.org/about-us/get-involved/donation/","publisher":"Active Transportation Alliance","published":null,"retrieved":"2026-10-05"},{"id":"ata-financial-index","title":"Official financial information index","url":"https://activetransportation.org/about-us/our-organization/annual-reports-and-financial-information/","publisher":"Active Transportation Alliance","published":null,"retrieved":"2026-10-05"},{"id":"ata-commute","title":"Direct bike-to-work guidance, independent root source check","url":"https://activetransportation.org/resources/bike-to-work/get-ready-to-ride/","publisher":"Active Transportation Alliance","published":null,"retrieved":"2026-10-05"}]}