{"edition":"california","organization":"California Pan-Ethnic Health Network","organizationId":"org:california-pan-ethnic-health-network","boundaryVersion":"US-CA-state-v1","updated":"2026-09-14","model":{"version":"ca-cpehn-coverage-capacity-v2","costScope":"Full annual recipient gross recognized resources including donated services, all functions. Priced coverage slice excludes other portfolio health; public clinical resources separately tested. Annual full cost is a ratio normalization, not a verified donation tranche; proportional scaling assumes the stated policy-capacity response.","geographicAttribution":"California coverage-person-years only, g_CA=1; no national or dental-only coverage equivalent. Not an allocation based on headquarters.","formula":"F=C*f/k; Y=F*y*a*b; Q_CA=Y*q/(1+d); price10=10*C/Q_CA. y is conditional full-coverage person-years per capacity-year, before CPEHN attribution a and ordinary funding response b. Each benefit lasts one year; no repeated lifetime gain. Public resource stress adds Y*5000 to C.","counterfactual":"Already enacted budget protections, public administration, county programs and co-advocates proceed. Only future policy implementation preserving actual insurance beyond those alternatives counts. Dental-only delay and existing dashboard activity receive no full-insurance credit.","attribution":"a includes coalition and alternative implementation attribution, b gift capacity/substitution; each once. Conditional y is not already donor-attributable, and no further probability is added. Source role salary is scale only.","uncertainty":"Conditional policy productivity, allocation and contribution are uncalibrated judgments. Clinical transfer from Oregon is uncertain; this is neither measured CPEHN effectiveness nor complete portfolio rank.","nativeOutcomes":"Central 6.675113839285714 policy capacity-year equivalents and 16.687784598214286 net California coverage-person-years. Modeled equivalents, not jobs promised or enrollees observed.","inputs":[{"name":"C","value":4984085,"unit":"USD/year gross recognized recipient costs","basis":"observed","rationale":"2025 return plus $14,000 donated services.","sourceIds":["return25","schedule2025"]},{"name":"f","value":0.3,"unit":"capacity allocation fraction","basis":"judgment","rationale":"Unrestricted portfolio allocation judgment.","sourceIds":[]},{"name":"k","value":224000,"unit":"USD/capacity-year","basis":"judgment","rationale":"160000 advertised midpoint times1.4 overhead; not a current vacancy or observed marginal cost.","sourceIds":["jobs"]},{"name":"y","value":100,"unit":"conditional California insured person-years/capacity-year","basis":"judgment","rationale":"Explicit policy productivity prior; not a forecast or past-win share.","sourceIds":[]},{"name":"a","value":0.1,"unit":"net CPEHN causal contribution","basis":"judgment","rationale":"Beyond partners and ordinary public action.","sourceIds":[]},{"name":"b","value":0.25,"unit":"ordinary-funding response","basis":"judgment","rationale":"Capacity, reserve and restricted-grant substitution.","sourceIds":[]},{"name":"q","value":0.02,"unit":"QALY/additional insured person-year","basis":"judgment","rationale":"Clinical transfer judgment below Oregon mapped value; not dental-only health.","sourceIds":["oregon"]},{"name":"d","value":0.03,"unit":"annual discount","basis":"judgment","rationale":"One-year benefit only.","sourceIds":[]},{"name":"Q_other_CA","value":null,"unit":"California QALYs","basis":"unknown","rationale":"Other portfolio effects not priced.","sourceIds":[]}],"scenarios":[{"id":"central","label":"Conditional coverage-capacity central","costUSD":4984085,"allPopulationQalys":0.3240346523925104,"editionQalys":0.3240346523925104,"assumptions":"f=.3;k=224000;y=100;a=.1;b=.25;q=.02;d=.03."},{"id":"low","label":"Weak influence and response","costUSD":4984085,"allPopulationQalys":0.00008064862459546926,"editionQalys":0.00008064862459546926,"assumptions":"f=.1;k=300000;y=10;a=.02;b=.05;q=.005;d=.03."},{"id":"high","label":"Favorable coverage influence","costUSD":4984085,"allPopulationQalys":84.00898395361381,"editionQalys":84.00898395361381,"assumptions":"f=.5;k=180000;y=1000;a=.25;b=.5;q=.05;d=.03."},{"id":"zero","label":"No additional coverage","costUSD":4984085,"allPopulationQalys":0,"editionQalys":0,"assumptions":"a=0 or b=0."},{"id":"adverse","label":"Net adverse stress","costUSD":4984085,"allPopulationQalys":-1,"editionQalys":-1,"assumptions":"One California QALY lost to displaced better policy/services; judgment, not observed harm."},{"id":"portfolio","label":"Complete portfolio unknown","costUSD":4984085,"allPopulationQalys":null,"editionQalys":null,"assumptions":"Other effects may dominate."},{"id":"public-resources","label":"Add coverage resource stress","costUSD":5067523.922991072,"allPopulationQalys":0.3240346523925104,"editionQalys":0.3240346523925104,"assumptions":"Same health; $5000 per net additional coverage-person-year, judgment only."}],"sensitivity":["Central price $153813333.33333334/10 California QALYs. Public resource stress adds $83438.92299107143.","No past budget protection is assigned retrospectively to a future gift.","Tenfold lower y gives tenfold higher price; the productivity prior dominates."],"missingInputs":["Current flexible campaign allocation and donation-responsive staffing.","Future full-coverage mechanism and causal person-year yield beyond public/co-advocate baseline.","Empirical clinical transfer, public costs and overlap with other organizations.","Other portfolio effects and health opportunity costs."]},"sources":[{"id":"return25","title":"Original 2025 Form 990","publisher":"California Pan-Ethnic Health Network, IRS filing via ProPublica","url":"https://projects.propublica.org/nonprofits/organizations/943306223/202601819349302010/full","published":null,"retrieved":"2026-09-14"},{"id":"return24","title":"Original 2024 Form 990 with 2023 comparative","publisher":"California Pan-Ethnic Health Network, IRS filing via ProPublica","url":"https://projects.propublica.org/nonprofits/organizations/943306223/202511979349301616/full","published":null,"retrieved":"2026-09-14"},{"id":"strategy","title":"Strategic plan 2023–2028","publisher":"California Pan-Ethnic Health Network","url":"https://cpehn.org/assets/uploads/2023/08/2023-2028-Strategic-Plan-1.pdf","published":null,"retrieved":"2026-09-14"},{"id":"landscape","title":"Landscape of Access: Mental Health Disparities in Medi-Cal","publisher":"California Pan-Ethnic Health Network","url":"https://cpehn.org/assets/uploads/2026/07/Landscape-of-Access-Mental-Health-Disparities-in-MediCal.pdf","published":"2026-07-29","retrieved":"2026-09-14"},{"id":"dashboard","title":"Mental Health Services Performance Dashboard statutory framework","publisher":"California Department of Health Care Services","url":"https://www.dhcs.ca.gov/services/mental-health-services-division-default/mental-health-services-performance-dashboard/","published":null,"retrieved":"2026-09-14"},{"id":"budget","title":"Response to final FY2026–27 budget agreement","publisher":"California Pan-Ethnic Health Network","url":"https://cpehn.org/about-us/blog/final-fy26-budget-statement/","published":"2026-06-26","retrieved":"2026-09-14"},{"id":"dental","title":"Current dental benefit-change FAQ","publisher":"California Department of Health Care Services","url":"https://www.dhcs.ca.gov/services/medi-cal-dental-benefit-changes/medi-cal-dental-benefit-changes-frequently-asked-questions/","published":null,"retrieved":"2026-09-14"},{"id":"assets","title":"Current Medi-Cal asset-limit FAQ","publisher":"California Department of Health Care Services","url":"https://www.dhcs.ca.gov/medi-cal/help/asset-limit-frequently-asked-questions/","published":null,"retrieved":"2026-09-14"},{"id":"campaign","title":"Our Money, Our Health Care launch","publisher":"California Pan-Ethnic Health Network","url":"https://cpehn.org/about-us/blog/omoh-launch-annoucement/","published":"2026-07-20","retrieved":"2026-09-14"},{"id":"jobs","title":"Deputy Director campaign-leadership search","publisher":"NPAG, recruiting for CPEHN","url":"https://www.npag.com/cpehn-ddir","published":null,"retrieved":"2026-09-14"},{"id":"debt","title":"Effects of Medical Debt Relief: Evidence from Two Randomized Experiments","publisher":"Kluender, Mahoney, Wong and Yin, Quarterly Journal of Economics","url":"https://academic.oup.com/qje/article/140/2/1187/7933321","published":null,"retrieved":"2026-09-14"},{"id":"assistance","title":"Financial assistance and health-care utilization at Kaiser Permanente","publisher":"Adams et al., American Economic Review: Insights","url":"https://www.aeaweb.org/articles?id=10.1257/aeri.20210515","published":null,"retrieved":"2026-09-14"},{"id":"oregon","title":"The Value of Medicaid: Interpreting Results from the Oregon Health Insurance Experiment","publisher":"Finkelstein, Hendren and Luttmer, Journal of Political Economy","url":"https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC8081392/","published":null,"retrieved":"2026-09-14"},{"id":"donate","title":"Official site donation link","publisher":"California Pan-Ethnic Health Network","url":"https://cpehn.org/about-us/","published":null,"retrieved":"2026-09-14"},{"id":"schedule2023","title":"Original 2023 Schedule D expense reconciliation","publisher":"CPEHN / IRS","url":"https://projects.propublica.org/nonprofits/full_text/202432329349300048/IRS990ScheduleD","published":null,"retrieved":"2026-09-14"},{"id":"schedule2024","title":"Original 2024 Schedule D expense reconciliation","publisher":"CPEHN / IRS","url":"https://projects.propublica.org/nonprofits/full_text/202511979349301616/IRS990ScheduleD","published":null,"retrieved":"2026-09-14"},{"id":"schedule2025","title":"Original 2025 Schedule D expense reconciliation","publisher":"CPEHN / IRS","url":"https://projects.propublica.org/nonprofits/full_text/202601819349302010/IRS990ScheduleD","published":null,"retrieved":"2026-09-14"}]}