MMarket for Impact
Independent impact intelligence

Put every dollar
where it matters most.

A living market of the world’s most promising funding opportunities—compared across evidence, expected impact, and room for more funding.

2,893Coefficient grant records
$4.92Bpublished grant amounts
14currently listed funds
Aug 2026sources reviewed

THE OPPORTUNITY MARKET

Compare the next dollar.

These are research leads, not a universal ranking. Unlike outcomes stay visibly unlike until a defensible conversion is available.

#OpportunityCauseEvidencePublished metricRoom for fundingResearch source
1Malaria ConsortiumSeasonal malaria chemopreventionGlobal healthVery high~$4k / lifeRolling reviewGiveWell
2Against Malaria FoundationInsecticide-treated netsGlobal healthVery high~$5.5k / lifeRolling reviewGiveWell
3Imagine WorldwideAdaptive digital education in MalawiEducationModerate~11× cashScale-upFounders Pledge
4The Humane LeagueCorporate welfare campaignsAnimal welfareHigh~12 animals / $$28.7M / yrACE
5Clean Air Task ForceTechnology-neutral climate policyClimateModeledNot comparableFunding needGiving Green
6GiveDirectlyUnconditional cash transfersGlobal healthVery high1× baselineHighBenchmark

Source review: August 2026. Metrics preserve each evaluator’s native unit; “room” can mean a modeled gap, capacity, or open recommendation and is not yet normalized.

THE GIVEWELL MARKET

Four programs.
No fake precision.

GiveWell’s current Top Charities share a funding bar, but not a single donor-ready rank. We preserve each program’s evidence, native delivery unit, model version, geography, and live funding-room process.

Current funding bar6× GiveWell benchmark

Since November 2025, the benchmark is consumption-based.

GiveDirectly estimate34× benchmark

GiveDirectly is a useful reference point, but no longer the benchmark itself.

Published grant ledger541 records

$2.63B in exported row amounts through July 2026.

Exceptionally strong$4,000 / life

Malaria Consortium

Seasonal malaria chemoprevention

Delivery unit
$7 / child protected from malaria
Funding room
rolling top charity allocation

Current organization-level funding room is not published on the Top Charities page; GiveWell allocates Top Charities Fund donations to the highest-impact current opportunities within six months.

Exceptionally strong$5,500 / life

Against Malaria Foundation

Insecticide-treated net distributions

Delivery unit
$6 / insecticide-treated net provided
Funding room
verified campaign gaps

AMF and GiveWell assess campaign-specific gaps and other funders' likely contributions; no current aggregate donor-facing gap is published on the Top Charities page.

Very strong$3,500 / life

Helen Keller Intl

Vitamin A supplementation

Delivery unit
$2 / child supplemented for one year
Funding room
annual country campaign review

Helen Keller shares annual country-level room-for-more-funding reports; the latest report linked from GiveWell's review is 2023, so no current numeric gap is inferred.

Exceptionally strong$4,500 / life

New Incentives

Cash incentives for routine childhood vaccination

Delivery unit
$146 / infant vaccinated
Funding room
state by state expansion review

GiveWell evaluates expansion by state and does not publish a current aggregate donor-facing funding gap on the Top Charities page.

Historical metric. Cost-per-life figures are GiveWell’s reported averages for 2022–2024 directed funding—not literal outputs of the newer location-specific models.

Source discrepancy. Exported grant rows sum to $2,625,949,864, exactly $3 above Airtable’s displayed aggregate. Both are preserved; neither is silently “fixed.”

Top Charities updated September 2025 · Cost-effectiveness framework updated May 2026 · Grant export retrieved August 2026 · D1-backed grant totals reconcile on load. · Primary source ↗

THE RENPHIL FRONTIER

Funding the tools
behind discovery.

Renaissance Philanthropy’s AI for Math Fund backs open research infrastructure that individual academic and industry labs may lack incentives to build. These are disclosed awards—not a cost-effectiveness ranking.

First-round commitment$18M

Announced September 2025; not allocated across rows.

Published portfolio28 linked projects

RenPhil declares 29 awards; one is not named on the current page.

Row-level amounts0 published

Application caps and fund totals are never substituted.

Named funderXTX Markets

RenPhil administers the fund and supports grantees.

AWARD 01AMOUNT NOT PUBLISHED

An AI-Focused Tactic for Language Learning

The project aims to enhance AI proof agents by developing a domain-specific tactic language for Lean, designed to better align with AI capabilities and…

AWARD 02AMOUNT NOT PUBLISHED

A Dataset of Modern Formalized Theorem Statements

This project creates a public dataset of hundreds of formalized statements of recent theorems from top journals, such as the Annals of Mathematics. In…

AWARD 03AMOUNT NOT PUBLISHED

A Principled Approach to Proof Search with Applications to Siderenko’s Conjecture

This project proposes new proof methods to automate and streamline the proof discovery process for significant unsolved problems. To this end, this work seeks…

AWARD 04AMOUNT NOT PUBLISHED

A Structured Representation of Tactics for Machine-Assisted Theorem Proving

This project develops a machine learning-driven approach to creating tactics for interactive theorem proving. The project will represent tactics as algebraic objects in a…

AWARD 05AMOUNT NOT PUBLISHED

Bridging AI, Proof Assistants, and Mathematical Data (BRIDGE)

The BRIDGE project aims to integrate AI with proof assistants and mathematical data by creating and curating large-scale datasets and dependency graphs from formalized…

AWARD 06AMOUNT NOT PUBLISHED

Bridging Complexity and Automation to Advance Automatic Theorem Proving

This project automated theorem proving through three innovative research directions that address key conceptual questions about proof difficulty, tractability and performance scaling. In particular,…

AWARD 07AMOUNT NOT PUBLISHED

Bridging Proof and Computation

The project focuses on developing an extensible, native interface between Lean and the computational algebra system (CAS) Macaulay2 (M2) to enhance the integration between…

AWARD 08AMOUNT NOT PUBLISHED

Constraining LLMs for Theorem Proving

The goal of this project is to advance autoformalization—the task of translating informal mathematics into formal statements that can be automatically checked by state-of-the-art…

Coverage conflict. RenPhil repeatedly states that the first round funded 29 projects, while its current winners page exposes 28 linked project records. The ledger records one unresolved gap rather than inventing the missing award.

Capital signals stay separate. RenPhil reports $533M catalyzed in its first two years—$268M directly raised and $265M unlocked for others. None is treated as a grant-ledger total.

Portfolio retrieved August 30, 2026 · da47f374918f content hash · D1-backed totals reconcile on load. · Official winners page ↗

THE FLOW OF CAPITAL

See where impact funding is actually going.

Recommendations reveal what researchers believe. Grants reveal what funders do. Market for Impact connects both.

Explore all funding flows
DISCLOSED FUNDING SIGNALSA first map of the ecosystem
LATEST
Coefficient Givingdirected in 2025
$1B+
ACEestimated influenced, cumulative
$81M
Giving Greenannounced for 2025–26
$26M
Coefficient careers RFPawarded in Aug 2026
$13.1M
!

These numbers are intentionally not summed.
They mix annual grants, announced allocations, and influenced giving. The grant ledger will separate each type.

THE COEFFICIENT MARKET

One index. Fourteen fund lenses.

2,893 unique public grant records, classified against every fund on Coefficient’s current funds page. Overall totals count a source record once; fund rows are intentionally non-additive.

Published records2,893
Published amounts$4.92B
Recipient names1,133
Index coverage2012–2026

Coverage, not certainty. 43 records have no currently listed fund tag; 7 have multiple listed fund tags; 27 have no focus-area tag.

Amounts are partial. The unique-record total excludes 1 record without a published amount. “Published” does not mean paid, and one source award date is later than this snapshot’s retrieval date.

QUERY THE LEDGER

Trace individual grants.

Filter the complete D1-backed source ledger without losing Coefficient’s own fund tags or published-record semantics.

Querying the ledger…

Public index retrieved August 30, 2026 · 294c1ca483e6 content hash · Fund taxonomy ↗

FIRST LIVE GRANT LEDGER

Inside one Coefficient fund.

All 79 records currently displayed by the Effective Giving & Careers fund page, normalized without claiming that “published” means paid.

Published records79
Published amounts$46.7M
Distinct recipients51
Latest decision monthJuly 2026
RecipientPurposeAmount
Loading the D1-backed ledger…

Retrieved August 29, 2026 · Public index snapshot · Content-addressed · Removed records remain detectable through last-seen timestamps.

SOURCE LEDGER

Every claim should lead back to evidence.

A COMMON LANGUAGE FOR IMPACT

Comparable where possible.
Transparent where it isn’t.

01

Evidence

How confident should we be that the intervention causes the intended outcome?

02

Marginal impact

What additional good is expected from the next dollar—not the average past dollar?

03

Funding room

How much capital can the organization productively deploy, and on what timeline?

04

Uncertainty

Which estimates are measured, modeled, judgment-based, or fundamentally incomparable?